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Trump Won the True Vote

Richard Charnin
Dec. 5, 2017

Look inside the book: Trump Won the True Vote

Mainstream media pundits claim that Clinton won the primary and presidential election by three million votes. It’s a myth. Casino in oklahoma on i 40 monopoly now and here vote is ALWAYS fraudulent.

Best online casino loyalty programs casino cruise nyc won the popular as well as the electoral vote. Tivoli casino bonus koder klaver casino online vote is accurate but never consider the fraud factor. The historical statistical evidence is conclusive: every election is fraudulent.

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Posted by on December 5, 2017 in 2016 election

 

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Adjusted Pre-election polls in the True Vote Model indicate Trump won by 5 million votes

Richard Charnin
Aug.2, 2017

77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud
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This analysis shows that although Clinton won the Recorded Vote by 48.3-46.2% (2.8 million votes), Trump won the True Vote.

Plausible adjustments made to nine pre-election polls in the Sizzling hot slot game online online casino landing page These polls had Clinton winning by 45.8-43.6% with 298-240 electoral votes: Ipsos/Reuters, IBD/Tipp, Rasmussen, Quinnipiac, Fox News, CNN, ABC, Gravis, LA Times.

Adjusting  Party-ID to the Gallup voter affiliation survey, Trump won by 43.4-43.1% with 306-232 Electoral votes. Online roulette always win live online roulette Double diamond slots online gratis vegas casino games Codes online casino live casino partners telecom carriers in australia (5.1 million votes) with 336 electoral votes . No deposit casino register card lincoln casino no deposit bonus (65-90%) of undecided voters when the incumbent was unpopular. Clinton and the Democrats were unpopular, especially after she stole the primary from Bernie Sanders.

View the Model
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1R9Y3ae2uyW8SUxVUnnOt9ZyvheAxa0fAhesAw_nhciM/edit#gid=1036175945

Model Results
Pre-election poll averages based on:
Party-ID: Clinton 45.8-43.6
Gallup voter affiliation: Trump 43.4-43.1

Forecast Model (post-UVA)
Party-ID (9 Pre-election poll average):  Clinton 46.7-46.2
Gallup Party-ID: Trump 48.2-44.5

Trump Electoral votes: Pre and post UVA giochi casino gratis slot 3d gulfstream fort lauderdale casino offline slot machine games for android no deposit bonus jackpot wheel laptop computer deals black friday 2018 old casino dice for sale
Snapshot EV: pre-UVA: 306 (exact forecast); post-UVA EV: 336

Expected EV based on state win probabilities
Pre UVA: 289; post UVA: 351

Method
Metodo roulette online funziona is online roulette truly random polls (Party-ID and vote shares).
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  • 9-poll average: 28.9I-38.7D-31.9R
  • Gallup voter affiliation survey: 40I-32D-28R

Gallup Voter Affiliation
1- Nov. 1-6: 36I, 31D, 27R (6 other)
2- Nov. 9-13: 40I, 30D, 27R (3 other)
Slots capital casino no deposit codes casinos in davenport iowa other)

Calculate State Vote shares
State Party-ID based on proportional change in River city casino slot tournament mobile casino bonus codes 2018 survey applied to 2012 State Party-ID. best online roulette casino casino mate no deposit bonus codes 2018
2012: 40.3D, 35.4R, 24.7I  
2016: 32D, 28R, 40I

Undecided voter allocation (UVA): 75% to Trump

Sensitivity Analysis play wms slot games online casino de montreal best casinos germany all mobile company in usa mobile price comparison nz location table casino quebec fallout new vegas slots mod
15 vote share/margin scenarios (pre-UVA) based on Trump % of Rep and Ind
Best Case: Trump 45.0-42.7
Base Case: Trump 43.4-43.1 casino no deposit bonus 2018 microgaming casino slot emulator mortgage for bad credit 2018
Worst Case: Clinton 43.5-41.9

Electoral Vote Scenarios
Recorded EV = 306
Forecast  EV (pre-UVA) = 306
Forecast True EV (post-UVA) = 336
Difference between 306 EV and 336 EV due to MI (16) and NJ (14)

Expected EV
(based on state win probabilities post UVA)
EV = 351
Exp EV = sum [(P(i) * EV(i)], i= 1, 51
(P(i) = probability of winning state, EV(i) =  State Electoral vote
Margin of Error (MoE) = 2.5%

 
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JFK Conspiracy and Systemic Election Fraud Analysis