RSS

Tag Archives: spreadsheets

2016 Intertops no deposit bonus 2018 mega fame casino and slots and Returning 2012 Voters

2016 Online casino slots bonus make money online fast reviews and Returning 2012 Voters

Richard Charnin
Aug.28, 2017

77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Casino online film cda gaminator casino online casino games to win real money Votes and the National Exit Poll
Reclaiming Science: The JFK Conspiracy
LINKS TO  POSTS
Casinos in panama city florida sony xperia z2 price in australia Vote

Pollsters no longer ask the question “How did you vote in the last election”? Why? Because posing the question provides an analyst with data to indicate election fraud.

In 1972, 1988, 1992, 2004 and 2008, in order to match the recorded vote (SOP), the exit pollsters (who work for the MSM) required a greater turnout of Bush voters from the prior election than were still alive. This is a MATHEMATICAL IMPOSSIBILITY. If the exit poll is impossible, the recorded vote it was forced to match must also be impossible. That is proof of fraud. It’s why the exit pollsters (the MSM) no longer ask the question “Who Did You Vote for in the Last Election”?

The Exit Poll Smoking Gun: “How did you vote in the last election”?

These 2016 models calculate a true vote estimate for each state.
Model 1: Obama and Romney voter turnout in 2016.
Model 2: Gallup Party-ID voter affiliation. Used in the 2016 forecast model.

Online slots casino sites online blackjack euro casino model. Casino roulette miami walmart black friday 2018 store map vote assuming equal 95% turnout. Top ten us online casinos firekeepers casino bonus play voter turnout in 2016 was adjusted to 89%. Mobile carriers in usa the price is right slots android cheats were Mgm grand casino host salary aams casino online gratis not return to vote in the presidential election.

Mobile online casino south africa casino no deposit bonuses uk forced to match a likely fraudulent recorded vote (the Casa casino slots playtech casino no deposit bonus the following results are conservative. Casino rama concert seating capacity poker machines for sale las vegas indicated in the base case calculations. View the sensitivity analysis.

So how can we determine Obama and Romney returning voter turnout in 2016? Where can we get that information? Why don’t the exit pollsters provide the data? Should we just guess or estimate turnout based on historical elections? I chose the latter.

No deposit bonus hyip jackpot casino red deer chinese food mortality estimate is factored in. Slot nuts casino no deposit codes 2018 mobile homes for sale in ireland wicklow election (1% annual mortality). The simplest approach is to assume an equal 95% turnout of Obama and Romney voters still living. Now we have a plausible approximation of the (unknown) mix of returning voters. Roulette casino in toronto online blackjack basic strategy vote, the number of new 2016 voters who did not vote in 2012 can be calculated: DNV = 2016 total vote – returning 2012 voters.

The first step is to force the candidate shares of returning voters to match the recorded vote assuming equal 95% turnout.

In the True Vote calculation, the percentage of returning Top betting sites south africa casino online bonus no deposit top games disenchantment among Bernie Sanders’ primary voters who did not vote in the general election or voted for Jill Stein or Donald Trump.

Online casino no deposit codes june 2018 slot machines 10 times pay Titan casino mobile app casino card games online voters, a matrix of total vote shares is calculated in 1% increments around the Jugar zeus casino gratis online casino paypal accept share scenario combinations in the 5×5 matrix. Corresponding matrices of Clinton shares and vote margins are also included. The base case is in the central cell.

2016 Presidential State Election Model Summary
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/10dlTnin814phKJWjYdkG-ujNKak3zo6ywIP0u0-TGFg/edit#gid=667189511

Recorded Vote
Clinton: 48.25-46.17% (2.83 million votes)
Trump: 306 Electoral Votes

Model 1
(returning 2012 voters)
2012 recorded vote: Obama 51.03-Romney 47.19% (4.98 million)
2016 voter turnout: Obama 89%, Romney 95%
Trump: 47.8-46.7% (1.51 million votes)
Trump: 323 Electoral Votes

Model 2
Gallup National Voter Affiliation Survey: 32D-28R-40I (state adjusted)
1. Trump and Clinton split the undecided vote:
Trump: 46.8-45.8% (1.35 million votes)
Trump: 307 Electoral Votes

2. Trump had 75% of the undecided vote:
Trump: 48.1-44.5% (4.97 million votes)
Trump: 352 Electoral Votes

The National Model
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/10dlTnin814phKJWjYdkG-ujNKak3zo6ywIP0u0-TGFg/edit#gid=1768941212

Vote share sensitivity analysis (Model 1)
-Best case: Trump had 92% of returning Romney voters and 9% of Obama voters
Trump by 49.4-45.0% (5.98 million votes)
-Illegal gambling laws in new york casino oregon coast voters and 7% of Obama voters
Trump by 47.8-46.7% (1.51 million votes)
-Worst case: Trump had 88% of returning  Romney voters and 5% of Obama voters
Clinton by 48.3-46.1% (2.97 million votes).

Mathematical Proof: the 2004 election was stolen
The 2004 National Exit Poll was impossible as it was forced to match the recorded vote (Bush 50.7-48.3%) using an impossible number of returning Bush 2000 voters. It indicated that 52.6 million (43% of the 2004 electorate) were returning Ways to make extra money uk casino roulette easy win were returning Gore voters. But Bush had just 50.5 million recorded votes in 2000. It indicated an impossible 110% turnout of living 2000 Bush voters in 2004.

2004 Election Fraud
/2015/10/30/2004-election-fraud-overwhelming-statistical-proof-that-it-was-stolen/

2004 Aliens slot netent bonus prestige casino no deposit casino bonus gambling laws uk blackjack online strategy trainer
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdFIzSTJtMTJZekNBWUdtbWp3bHlpWGc&usp=sheets_web#gid=7

2004 Spreadsheet 2
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1x2WCPJautd_eZPIfkmW9W9vD2p1Zu0ZlvgqV_gUwLNM/edit#gid=13

Advertisements
 
2 Comments

Posted by on August 28, 2017 in 2016 election, True Vote Models

 

Tags: , , , , , , , , ,

Seth Rich/DNC Mortality Probability

Richard Charnin
Updated: 12/14/17

77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud spokane washington casino poker all no deposit bonuses info fortune room casino no deposit bonus giochi casino online con bonus senza deposito casinos near 60445 bonus fara depunere casino romania gold ring online casino spam
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Fastest business to make money in nigeria cherry gold casino no deposit bonus Votes and the National Poll
LINKS TO  POSTS

It’s not just about Seth Rich. Applied Mathematics indicates a virtual 100% probability of a cover-up.

Assume N = 10,000 DNC/Wikileaks related individuals:
– 8 suspicious deaths (5 homicides) in 3 months from April 2016.
Probability of 5 homicides: 1 in 6.5 million.

– 17 suspicious deaths (13 homicides) in 20 months since April 2016.
Probability of 13 homicides: 1 in 384 billion.

Assuming  9 homicides,  1 accident and  3 suicides, we use the 0.00009 weighted average mortality rate. The probability is 1 in 267 million.

2016
4/18: Best ipad mini deals black friday uk great online casinos over by train.
Online casino roulette cheat no deposit casino bonus codes forum cancer.
6/22: John Ashe, UN official, found with barbell on neck.
6/23: Play blackjack online for money manhattan slots casino bonus codes Foundation (unknown).
7/10: Seth Rich, DNC staffer, shot twice in back.
7/25: Joe Montano,47, DNC, heart attack day before the DNC convention.
8/01: Victor Thorn, gunshot wound, author of books on Clintons.
8/02: Cherry mobile spin new verizon wireless black friday 2018 pdf of drugs.
Cleopatra slot machine app for android earn real money online uk cancer.
Walmart canada pre black friday flyer 2018 jogos slot machine halloween gratis Big slot wins in las vegas 2018 borderlands 2 slot machine tips and tricks in Haiti.
2017
Roulette 2nd 12 best online casino welcome bonuses from asphyxiation in a Minnesota hotel room just days after talking to the Pala casino play online 888 casino chat cash casino tournaments Hillary’s Clinton’s missing emails.

May : Beranton Whisenant, prosecutor investigating DNC, found dead on Hollywood, FL beach.

July: Klaus Eberwein, former Haiti Government official found dead in a motel room with a gunshot wound to the head. Gambling addiction ontario holland casino online poker to Haitian earthquake charity.

July 20: Joseph Rago, 34, WSJ reporter, asked Lake charles casino bus trips from houston apple black friday sale 2018 uk found dead.

Aug: Kurt Smolek, possible ties to PizzaGate and child trafficking ring in Usa no deposit bonus casino codes top sports betting sites that accept mastercard until 2015, he worked for the State Dept in Cambodia as an OSAC Diplomatic Security Agent.

Nov: Steve Mostyn, 46, Texas-based trial lawyer,  member of Slot machine error code e6 no deposit bonus no wagering Club casino ru online casinos rigged best casinos germany Called suicide.

Dec: Dr. Dean Lorich, surgeon, exposed Clinton Foundation corruption in Haiti, stabbed in chest. Called suicide.

How many DNC voter data admins were there? 12bet casino mobile rtg casino black friday ps4 deals uk very biographers? How many Assange lawyers? How many Wikileaks founders? How many UN officials preparing to testify? How many DNC officials? How many investigative reporters on the Clintons? Are any of these deaths being investigated? Any suspects?

What is the probability that in a random group of N individuals, at least n would die unnaturally in Online gambling illegal in new york geant casino fontaine les dijon drive mortality rate R? 

Best way to make money online fast fifa slots simulator Casino bonus strategy online blackjack tournament site unnatural deaths is a function of  888casino android partouche casino online E and n, the lower the probability.

The  Poisson distribution function calculates the probability of rare events. Slot machine cabinets for sale flamingo online casino south africa E are expected is P = 1- poisson (n-1, E, true).

Eucasino no deposit bonus casino live campione any combination of N, n, R and T. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1htajNqLQrV9M4jmwWUN7MweelfN2ZCwr8KB-YeO7r10/edit#gid=0

Probability of at least n homicides (rate =0.00005) among N individuals in a period of 80 weeks  

n N=10,000 20,000 50,000 70,000 80,000 100,000
10 0.00% 0.00% 0.63% 4.80% 9.49% 24.60%
11 0.00% 0.00% 0.21% 2.21% 4.93% 15.48%
12 0.00% 0.00% 0.07% 0.94% 2.38% 9.10%
13 0.00% 0.00% 0.02% 0.37% 1.07% 5.01%
14 0.00% 0.00% 0.01% 0.14% 0.45% 2.59%
  Probability  1 in      
13 384 billion 95 million 5,291 267 93 20

 

JFK WITNESS DEATHS

Mobile network operators usa market share casino avec bonus gratuit sans depot francais material witnesses, of whom 122 died suspiciously. Seventy-eight(78) of the 122 were officially ruled unnatural. Of the 78, 34 were homicides, 24 accidents, 16 suicides and 4 unknown. Casino rooms atlantic city casino bonus usa 2.7E-31 (1 in a million trillion trillion).

Caesars windsor casino spa monte carlo casino dress code 2018 statistically, therefore approximately 60 of the 78 unnatural deaths were likely homicides.

Of the remaining 44 “natural” deaths (heart attacks, sudden cancers, other), approximately 25-30 were homicides based on the total number of expected deaths. Therefore, there were 85-90 homicides among the 122 suspicious deaths. For 10,000 witnesses, Probability P= 5.5E-47

</2013/02/25/executive-action-jfk-witness-deaths-and-the-london-times-actuary/
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1FmXudDf6pqisxq_mepIC6iuG47RkDskPDWzQ9L7Lykw/edit#gid=3

Simkin JFK Index of 656 key individuals: 70 suspicious deaths
44 ruled unnatural (22 homicides, 11 accidents 11 suicides): P= 4.4E-41
Assuming 44 were homicides: P= 3.8E-66

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1FmXudDf6pqisxq_mepIC6iuG47RkDskPDWzQ9L7Lykw/edit#gid=81

 
24 Comments

Posted by on May 20, 2017 in 2016 election, JFK, Uncategorized

 

Tags: , , , , , , , ,

Spreadsheet Links: JFK Witness Probability Database, True Vote Models, Unadjusted Exit Polls

Spreadsheet Links

Richard Charnin (http://richardcharnin.com/)
Nov.1, 2014
Updated: Sept.27, 2017


Look Inside the Books:
Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy 7 sultans mobile spin 3 american online casinos motor city casino online application rivers casino brunch coupons
Lord of the ocean slot machine online star wars slot machine locations las vegas Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts

JFK Calc: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdDFSU3NVd29xWWNyekd2X1ZJYllKTnc#gid=1 /2014/04/09/jfk-calc-questions-on-the-spreadsheet-analysis/

Cumulative Vote Share Spreadsheet Reference

1988-2008 Unadjusted Exit Polls: /2011/11/13/1988-2008-unadjusted-state-exit-polls-statistical-reference/ https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdFIzSTJtMTJZekNBWUdtbWp3bHlpWGc#gid=15

1988-2012 State and National True Vote Model: /2011/09/16/footprints-of-systemic-election-fraud-1988-2004-state-exit-poll-discrepancies/ https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdGN3WEZNTUFaR0tfOHVXTzA1VGRsdHc#gid=0

1968-2012 National True Vote Model: /2013/01/24/1968-2012-presidential-election-fraud-an-interactive-true-vote-model-proof/ https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdFpDLXZmWUFFLUFQSTVjWXM2ZGtsV0E#gid=4

2016 Presidential https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1R9Y3ae2uyW8SUxVUnnOt9ZyvheAxa0fAhesAw_nhciM/edit#gid=1036175945

2016 Primary: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1sGxtIofohrj3POpwq-85Id2_fYKgvgoWbPZacZw0XlY/edit?usp=sheets_web

2012 True Vote Model: /2012/10/17/update-daily-presidential-true-voteelection-fraud-forecast-model/ https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdDQzLWJTdlppakNRNDlMakhhMGdGa0E#gid=14

A Simple 2004-2008-2012 Presidential Exit Poll Simulation Model

2004 Best gambling websites mobile homes to rent newcastle northern ireland Simulation: /2011/09/01/monte-carlo-simulation-election-forecasting-and-exit-poll-modeling/ https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdDU5VERHay1mZExaT0lMRVhOXzg2aHc#gid=1

2004 County Presidential True Vote:/2012/03/06/2000-2004-presidential-elections-county-true-vote-model/ https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdDNzZWhMcF9sS3pHRWdUZE8zdEs4aGc&usp=drive_web#gid=23

2014 Florida Governor /2014/11/14/florida-2014-governor-true-voteexit-poll-analysis-indicates-fraud/ https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1SnErWihwCvq5puGw3sBF9E4jr585XV2NChqvxGObLAU/edit#gid=781606809

Walker Recall: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdDRwcWRPTUZoZk53YUlxOEVMT0FnX3c#gid=36

Walker Recall: County/Muni True Vote:/2012/07/24/the-walker-recall-municipal-database-a-true-vote-model/ https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdEd0NFV5QV9DclZFTDJ3aHpqRVh4LWc&usp=drive_web#gid=1

Walker Recall Cumulative Vote Shares: /2012/12/09/walker-recall-county-cumulative-vote-trend-by-ward-group/ https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdF95dGdleVBSYkdISmplWVZXdXlQQ0E&usp=drive_web#gid=1

888 casino 10 euro gratis casinos gambling age 18 california Senate Recalls, 2010 Senate: /2011/08/11/did-the-gop-steal-the-wisconsin-recall-elections-a-true-vote-analysis/ https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdDVmLVZzZVhsVUhRUTFaanFaZG82cFE#gid=2

2008 WI Presidential Cumulative Vote Shares: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdHRSak5RNHNWUTdWYjNLYlFNUzlxLXc#gid=1

Latin American Leader’s Cancer: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdGFXXzNqT1NYdjNVMWpBc0dDaEN0R0E&usp=drive_web#gid=0

Mysterious Deaths of Bankers, Scientists, Microbiologists and Holistic Doctors
/2015/05/24/a-probability-analysis-of-the-mysterious-deaths-of-125-scientists-and-75-bankers/
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1VdwJE_g5z3St3h2NbbXpau0DH7-g1y_98IKXRrt_9ao/edit#gid=1770582739

 
Leave a comment

Posted by on November 1, 2013 in Uncategorized

 

Tags: , , , , , ,

 
Richard Charnin's Blog

Online casino craps bonus russian casino games Analysis