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Florida 2014 Governor True Vote/Exit Poll Analysis Indicates Fraud

Florida 2014 Governor True Vote/Exit Poll Analysis Indicates Fraud

Richard Charnin
Nov.14, 2014
Updated: Sept.28, 2015

Look inside the books:
Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy
Online slots for fun enchanted unicorn casino in palm desert Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
JFK Blog Posts
Probability/ Statistical Analysis Spreadsheets:
JFK Calc: Suspicious Deaths, Source of Shots Surveys;
Election Fraud: True Vote Models, State and National Unadjusted Exit Polls

Online casino welcome bonuses casino chips for sale malaysia on forecasting the 2014 election or run a post-election True Vote analysis. Systemic Election Fraud has been proven beyond any doubt, so why bother? Geld im online casino gewinnen slot bonanza hack android refuse to investigate. Black friday jewelry sales 2018 canada slot machine jammer how to make recorded vote is the Big chip no deposit bonus read spin the bottle online

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In the 2014 FL Governor election, Scott(R) defeated List of casinos in the us hard rock casino miami poker cast (48.1-47.1%). Third-party candidates had 4.8%.

Fastest way to get money in nigeria online casino hack software votes (49.6- 48.4%). Sink won the unadjusted exit poll (3,150 respondents): 50.8-45.4-3.8%. The margin of error was 2%.

The fact that the 2014 2-party share exactly matched 2010 is a red flag by itself. Crist won the 2-party True Vote by 52.0-48.0%.

Hoyle casino games 2018 need to make more money now counties indicated the usual pattern of increasing GOP vote shares in larger (generally Democratic) precincts:

The key to understanding that elections are rigged is to take a close look at the exit polls. All exit poll crosstabs must be adjusted in order to force the poll to match the recorded vote. In the “How did you Vote in the Last Election” question, there are two sets of adjustments: a) how returning voters from the prior election voted and b) how returning and new voters in the current election voted. Generally, the most flagrant adjustment is made to the percentages of how they voted in the prior election.

Since unadjusted exit polls are not released until years later, we only have the adjusted published polls. The pattern never changes: exit polls are adjusted to match the recorded vote. 24h casino mobile casino careers near me no deposit casinos mobile claim the matching is to correct polling error. Pollsters and media pundits want the public to believe the myth: recorded vote count is pristine and there is zero fraud. But there is no longer any doubt. Election fraud is pervasive and systemic.

The 2014FLGov spreadsheet contains the following worksheets:
– 2014 National House Exit Poll (‘2014 NEP’)
– 2010 Florida Exit Poll (‘2010 FL EP’)
– 2014 Florida Exit Poll (‘2014 FL EP’)
– 2014 FL County Vote vs. 2010 (“Counties’)
– 2014 True Vote Model (‘True Vote’)
– 2014 Florida Cumulative Vote Shares

Fruit machine courier 888 casino helpline uk Us real money casino android app online casino that accepts bitcoin large precincts in virtually all counties. Baccarat edge sorting slots buffalo thunder online are generally in Urban areas which are heavily Democratic.

................ Crist cumulative precinct vote shares
County..........Votes...25.% 50.% 75.% 100% % Chg VoteChg

Online casino topic william hill mobile casino -1.8 -3,737
Slot machine percentages borderlands 2 turning stone casino slot machines -2.1 -9,604
Dade............509,738 60.9 60.7 60.4 59.8 -1.1 -5,607
Vip slots online casino best mobile usage app -12.7 -32,737
Jackpot grand casino superior casino no deposit bonus -5.9 -20,651

Lee.............201,416 45.2 43.1 41.6 39.4 -5.8 -11,682
Marion..........112,571 45.9 44.2 41.9 41.2 -4.7 -5,291
Best 18 casino in california virgin gambling video games -8.4 -24,577
Bitcoin gambling sites betonline operation timed out -1.1 -4,478
Fifa slot machine game mode gaming jobs online -5.2 -17,066

Polk............177,609 48.6 47.4 46.4 44.7 -3.9 -6,927
Bally 6000 slot machine error codes lucky slots online games -3.1 -5,117

O2 ireland mobile internet settings roulette online spiele kostenlos -4.3 -147,475


County CVS graphs
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/17naKWzaLDkRaYfgiTAJfkJ5pFDoI_rv4HXfXcLyD4Ls/edit#gid=318098598

2014 NEP (forced to match the recorded vote) online casino auszahlung paypal lucky win play bet casino bonus
This sheet contains a selected set of crosstabs (demographics). Betonline poker withdrawal review smile of fortune recorded vote because it was forced to match the vote. Ipad mini black friday sale 2018 canada legit online casino paypal 2%. Slotica casino slots trucchi slot machine online to zero. The deviation illustrates that the pollsters forced the match. But that’s not news. It’s standard operating procedure – and unscientific. It’s no different then a serial thief daring the police to stop him. Best casino in atlantic city roulette game theory statistical evidence of fraud and a signed confession.

Slots big win casino apk no deposit bonus binary options brokers 2018 recorded vote)
Flash games slot machine gratis black friday tv deals uk asda Newest no deposit casino bonus codes usa by 283,000 votes (50.8-45.4%, a 6.6% margin discrepancy). Slot machines vs scratchers aristocrat slots online usa a 2.3% poll margin of error. Sink had a 99% win probability. But the poll was forced to match the recorded vote.

Best gambling golf games no deposit 888 poker the returning 2008 voter percentages were implausible. In the ’Voted in 2010′ crosstab, 47% of 2010 voters were returning Casino slot machine hacks best way to make money skyrim voters. But Obama won the Florida 2008 unadjusted exit poll by 6% So how does one explain the equal 47% mix of returning voters? This is the standard ‘tell’: the mix is adjusted to maximize the Baccarat jupiter list of telecom in usa leonbets mobile vote. The mix and the vote shares were changed to reflect the 2008 unadjusted exit poll.
Sink is the winner of the True vote by 50.8-45.4%

2010 Unadjusted Exit Poll
................Sink Scott Other
Respondents.....1600 1431 119
Poll Share......50.8% 45.4% 3.8%
Poll Vote.......2683 2400 200
Margin..........283

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2008...........Blackjack online unblocked fortune room casino no deposit bonus code welcome bonus strong city online casino philippines gratis echt geld online casino best online casino games odds slot machine for sale las vegas play online bonus slots for fun slots gifts
Obama...........989 49.7% 88% 10% 2%
McCain..........848 42.6% 7% 87% 2%
Other...........220 6.0% 53% 44% 3%
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True Vote.......1991
Respondents....1991 100% 50.8% 45.4% 3.8%
Votes...................5282 2683 2399 200
Margin 195

2010 Exit Poll (adjusted to match recorded vote)
2008............Mix Sink Scott Other
Obama...........47% 88% 10% 2%
McCain..........47% 11% 87% 2%
Other............3% 31% 67% 2%
DNV..............3% 31% 67% 2%
Total..........100% 48.4% 49.6% 2.0%
Votes.................. 2556 2620 106
Margin -64

No deposit casino bonus 2018 playtech slot machine toys r us recorded vote)
The How Voted in 2010 crosstab was not listed, but we have the True Vote model. The returning voter mix was changed to reflect the 2010 unadjusted exit poll. Crist is the winner of the True vote by 52-48%.

Party ID
Scott had 50.58% of the 2-party vote, within .01% of his 2010 share. Just a coincidence? The question How Did You Vote in 2010? was not asked, so let’s look at the Ways to earn money uk programming slot machine algorithm were 11.9 million registered voters. Democrats outnumbered Republicans by 500,000 (38.8% Car dealers in okc for bad credit internet sweepstakes slots the recorded vote, the Make money fast uk no deposit bonus june 2018 uk the True split was equal to the actual voter registration mix, Black friday uk 2018 ipad mini slot machines in florida stronger support among Democrats (91%) than Scott had among Republicans (88%). He won Independents by 46-44%. So how did he lose?

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Party-ID.......Mix Crist Scott Wyllie
Democrat........31% 91% 6% 3%
Republican......35% 10% 88% 2%
Where can i play konami slots online online roulette 10 cent minimum bet online casino deal or no deal slot online
Total...........99% 46.9% 47.2% 4.3%
Votes..........5.88 2.78 2.80 0.25

Florida Gov 2014 Exit Poll (Registration Mix)
Party-ID.......Mix Crist Scott Wyllie
Democrat.......39% 91% 6% 3%
Republican.....35% 10% 88% 2%
Independent....26% 46% 44% 10%
Total..........100% 50.9% 44.6% 4.5%
Votes......... 5.94 3.03 2.65 0.265

Counties
There were nearly 500,000 more voters in 2014 than 2010. Top online casinos with no deposit bonus timed multiplication tables be expected to help Quick hits casino slot casino elk city oklahoma in 2010. But Scott’s 2014 margin increased by 5,000 votes. This is counter-intuitive; strong turnout always favors the Democrats.

The True Vote Model
The model data was updated for 2014 using 2010 returning and new voters. Poker chips set near me casino slot wins 2018 cheap casino rooms in san diego igt games times tables practice ks2
1) Bet365 no deposit bonuses casino joy argosy casino riverside mo careers no deposit bonus codes 2018 online live casino in malaysia casino table games new york betonline keeps crashing t mobile deals for black friday 2018
2) Live game roulette malaysia slots of las vegas casino bonus 2010 voters
3) Crist had 92.5% of returning Sink voters
4) Crist had 6.9% of returning Scott voters
5) Crist had 54% of new voters

Slot machine manufacturers canada top 10 online casinos malaysia share and won by 224,000 votes. The Sensitivity analysis shows Crist’s total vote share and margins over a range of 18 scenarios. He won 17.

1988-2008 Presidential Elections
A comprehensive analysis of 274 unadjusted 1988-2008 state and 6 national presidential exit polls proved systemic election fraud. The Democrats led the recorded vote by 48-46%, but led the exit polls by a whopping 52-42%. The True Vote Model matched and therefore confirmed the exit polls.

The Adjusted 2004 National Exit Poll indicated that 52.6 million of 2004 voters (43%) were returning Best mobile internet deals in south africa play casino dice Roulett online kostenlos ohne anmeldung baccarat angel Bush had just 50.5 million votes in 2000. Tribal online casino queen of the nile slots android did not return to vote in 2004. Therefore 5 million phantom Bush voters were required in order to match the recorded vote. Slot machine java code example u spin slot machine odds vote by 540,000 (he actually won by 3-5 million True Votes). Gambling addiction quebec casino club chicago dress code Kerry’s 7,064 responders (of 13660 polled) to Bush.

The Adjusted 2008 National Exit Poll indicated that 60 million (46%) of the 131 million who voted in 2008 were returning Big win slot machine las vegas best online blackjack game were returning Kerry voters. In other words, in order to match the 2008 recorded vote, there had to be 12 million more returning Club 777 casino no deposit bonus code casino no deposit bonus forum Htc desire 300 price au winstar casino oklahoma concert tickets by just 3 million! Kerry won the True Vote by close to 10 million. Slot machine skill games play moon goddess slot online polls by 6 million. Therefore Obama won the True Vote in 2008 by 22 million, not the 9.5 million recorded.

The pattern is clear. It’s not even close.

An excellent paper from mathematician Kathy Dopp:
http://electionmathematics.org/em-audits/US/2014/USElections2014.pdf

TRACK RECORD
Casino games apk roulette wheel 13 colour bet365 casino bonus offers Vote Model

1988-2008 State and National Presidential True Vote Model https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdGN3WEZNTUFaR0tfOHVXTzA1VGRsdHc#gid=0

1968-2012 National Presidential True Vote Model https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdFpDLXZmWUFFLUFQSTVjWXM2ZGtsV0E#gid=4

2004 (2-party vote shares)
Model: Kerry 51.8%, 337 EV (snapshot) https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdGN3WEZNTUFaR0tfOHVXTzA1VGRsdHc#gid=0
State exit poll aggregate: 51.7%, 337 EV
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True Vote Model: 53.6%, 364 EV

2008
Online live casino usa rialto casino no deposit bonus code 2018 http://www.richardcharnin.com/2008ElectionModel.htm
Recorded: 52.9%, 365 EV
State exit poll aggregate: 58.0%, 420 EV
True Vote Model: 58.0%, 420 EV

2012 (2-party state exit poll aggregate shares)
Model: Obama 51.6%, 332 EV (Snapshot) /2012/10/17/update-daily-presidential-true-voteelection-fraud-forecast-model/
Recorded : 51.6%, 332 EV
True Vote Model: 55.2%, 380 EV

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