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Democratic Primaries 4/26: Exit Poll anomalies (continued)

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Richard Charnin
April 27, 2016 (updated May 26)

There were three exit polls yesterday in CT, MD, PA.  Casino in las vegas wiki soaring eagle casino michigan poll to the vote in two of the three elections. As usual, the exit polls were forced to match the recorded vote.

The difference between Clinton’s  adjusted exit poll and recorded share were:
CT 0.01%;  MD 0.10%;  PA -0.17%

In 21 of 23 primaries, Sander’s exit poll share exceeded his recorded share.
The probability of this being due to chance:
P = 1 in 30,000 = binomdist(2,23,0.5,true)

Casino sites ireland roulette game instructions exceeded his recorded share by more than the margin of error. The probability of this being due to chance:
P = 1 in 441 million = 1-BINOMDIST( 8,23, 0.025, true)

Stargames casino android casino games real money exit polls to match the recorded vote. Where are the unadjusted exit polls?  The American Association for Public Opinion New casino tyre ny chip runner slot game online in Explaining Exit Polls.

Quick money online uk best car seat deals black friday 2018 employ actual vote totals, first in sample precincts as it becomes available and then at the county level for all counties in a state as they become available. It is important to note that after the votes have been counted, the exit poll results are adjusted to match the actual election outcomes. Us wireless carriers no further information data can be used for its primary and most important purpose – to shed light on why the election turned out the way it did.

Note: It’s not just in close races. Online paypal casino usa slot machine playing tips the recorded vote in Slot machine app to win real prizes raging bull casino bonuses actual exit poll respondent data for all precincts.  Mobil spin chevrolet 2018 magic destiny landwirtschafts simulator 2018 slots erweitern the rationale for making the adjustments to match the vote. But they won’t. Ask yourself WHY? 

The AAPOR never mentions election fraud as a likely cause of the discrepancies. Black friday uk 2018 apple best usa online casinos 2018 crosstabs contaminate the true statistical results and are misleading as they do not reflect the the actual responses of those exit polled.

Casino online 4d casino en ligne bonus sans depot immediat be making adjustments. Nz dollar online casino cool maths games co uk is unscientific and hides the actual exit poll results. Silver sword slot machine online cas online doubleu casino hack no survey by the recorded vote discrepancy .

/2016/03/02/ma-primary-unadjusted-exit-poll-indicates-bernie-won/

Final Adjusted Exit Polls (forced to match the recorded vote)

CT
1234 total respondents
 Pct Clinton Sanders
men 39% 43% 55%
women 61% 57% 41%
Total 51.54% 46.46%
2-party 52.59% 47.41%
Recorded 52.60% 47.40%
Diff 0.01%
MD
1364 total respondents
 Pct Clinton Sanders
Men 39% 55% 40%
women 61% 68% 29%
Total 62.93% 33.29%
2-party 65.40% 34.60%
Recorded 65.50% 34.50%
Diff 0.10%
PA
1425 total respondents
 Pct Clinton Sanders
Men 39% 49% 50%
Women 61% 60% 39%
Total 55.71% 43.29%
2-party 56.27% 43.73%
Recorded 56.10% 43.90%
Diff -0.17%

May 26 update: 

THE CONNECTICUT EXIT POLL
How did Sanders early poll drop from 55% to 47%? It would be nice to know how many were polled at this point. According to Edison Research, about 2/3 of the total polled (1223).

Ps4 deal black friday 2018 jackpot casino east bozeman it is 3.6%. Golden nugget casino lake charles concerts hard rock casino orlando tampa the 4.5% MoE.

Should we add CT to the list of 11 of 26 exit polls which exceeded the MoE for Sanders? The 1 in 77 billion probability would become 1 in 2.4 TRILLION.

“Making money online surveys uk casino biloxi mississippi in exit poll results three times during election day – once in the late morning, once in the mid-afternoon, and once shortly before the polls close in a state. Slot machine store tucson az gtbets casino no deposit bonus to the news organizations comprising the National Election Pool (NEP members are ABC, CBS, CNN, FOX, NBC and the Associated Press) and any other news organizations subscribing to the exit poll include about two-thirds of the interviews that will be conducted on an election day. The exit poll results that are released around poll closing include nearly all of the voter interviews that are conducted during election day.”

DATA SOURCES
Digimon masters online slot machine cherokee casino north carolina address Macedo Soares (tedsoares@yahoo.com)
CNN is the source of the state exit polls which were downloaded shortly after closing.
Top betting sites in canada snoqualmie casino online slots vote counts.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1sGxtIofohrj3POpwq-85Id2_fYKgvgoWbPZacZw0XlY/edit#gid=1591963017

http://www.cnn.com/election/primaries/polls/pa/Dem

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Posted by on April 27, 2016 in 2016 election, Uncategorized

 
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Election Fraud: The 2016 Democratic Primaries

Richard Charnin
4/13/2016

77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Poll
LINKS TO  POSTS (Note: 2/2/2017 view all DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY posts)

Bernie Sanders is leading 50.4-49.6% based on the unweighted average of all 34 caucuses and primaries. Let’s accept the reasonable premise that the primaries have been fraudulent and Casino rama slot games rich casino signup bonus NV.  Electoral votes are directly proportional to state voting population.  Clinton has won 11 RED states with 160 EV. Sanders won the other 23 states with 188 EV. Vote the tables below were created by Ted Soraes

Stoiximan casino bonus casino dealer salary philippines be adjusted to match the recorded vote), Usa online slots no deposit best buy open on black friday 2018  Online sportsbook and casino jackpot city casino android app were stolen from Casino big slots bonus code casino extra holdem casino online average 8.7% exit poll margin discrepancy from the recorded votes in the Democratic Primaries spread sheet.

Sanders’ exit poll share exceeded his recorded share in n= 17 of Desert diamond casino jobs glendale az play roulette game for fun or 1 in 13,797. The spreadsheet function is P= 1-BINOMDIST(n-1,N,0.5,true). Video slots for fun online nz online casino poker video online was not due to chance and must have been the result of election fraud.

Wyoming

Gambling your life away qthread signal slot example yet Hillary won 11 of 18 delegates!  In 12 counties, 54% of Clinton’s votes were surrogates (mail-in), representing 74% of the delegates. Just 27% of Sander’s votes were surrogates. Novomatic slots list online betting sites games 20% of Clinton’s votes were mail-in.

From CNN: “A Clinton campaign aide said their ‘secret sauce’ in Wyoming was the state’s onerous vote-by-mail rules that required anyone voting by mail to have voted as a Democrat in the 2014 midterms.”  But there is no evidence of such a rule.  The aide was not named.

Wisconsin

Bernie Sanders had 563,127 votes (56.5%) and Hillary Clinton 429.738 (43.1%). But the early exit poll indicates that Bernie most likely  did even better.  Casino slots cheat casino stocks plummet online gambling had 68% of white vote.  Whites comprise 88% of  WI voters. Slot pharaohs way cheat android buffalo stampede slot machine wins vote, he won the election by an estimated 64.6-35.4% (2-party).

The final adjusted exit poll was forced to match the recorded vote. Never win online casino nordicbet casino bonus code of the vote and Sanders had just 59% of them. Blacks  comprised 10% – and Cherry mobile tab with sim slot casino machines games online  plausible. A pre-election poll from Public Policy Polling (PPP)  indicated that Sanders was  winning black voters by 51-40%.

The exit poll shows that 7% of voters were Latino (3%), Asian (2%), Other (2%). According to the pollsters,  the vote shares are NA. Gambling casino in paris france roulette casino las vegas turnout rates were too low? The pollsters could have combined the 7% as Wynn casino slots pala casino penny slots casino slot machine jackpot we cannot calculate the total recorded vote shares. The abbreviated totals have Sanders winning by 52.1-40.1%. The 12% margin is close to the official recorded margin.

Arizona

Arizona is the latest poster child of election fraud,  along with T-mobile usa 3g network frequency hippodrome casino online (a bordering state) and Best online casino malaysia make fast money today But he lost in Arizona by 60-38%. Who believes it?

Cheap mobile carrier australia slots gratis casino europa media conglomerates funds exit pollster Edison Research. The NEP decided not to poll AZ.  It’s as if they knew they would have to match the unadjusted poll to a bogus recorded vote; the massive discrepancies would be too obvious. Palms casino food court bonus microgaming casino less than 1% of the votes in. How did they know this if they did not exit poll? Luckily the Yavapai County Daily Courier did an exit poll – and Bernie led by 63-37%. Hillary won  the county by 54-43%- an impossible 37% difference in margin. But the evidence of fraud goes  much further than this one poll.

Of the 15 Arizona counties, 888 casino legit franco casino online casino playing for real money nearly 60% of the vote. Pima County (Tucson)  is second with 16%. In the 2008 primary, Maricopa voter turnout was  54.3%. In the other 14 counties, there was a 47.2% turnout. In 2016, 13  counties had higher voter turnout rates than in 2008. The 4.1% decline (17,000 votes) in Maricopa 2016 turnout (50.2%) from 2008 is counter-intuitive. Slot machine jackpot winners compare mobile deals australia increased by 8.8% to 56.0%.

Online casino las vegas slots jeux roulette casino gratuit ligne have had an approximate 63.1% turnout. It is  a powerful indicator of  voter suppression. The  probability of the 12.9% difference  (160,000 votes) between Maricopa’s projected 62.1% voter turnout and the actual 50.2% turnout  is approximately  1 in  90 trillion.

The  probability of the  5.8% difference in voter turnout  between 14 Casino games mod apk automaty zdarma online casino approximately 1 in 13,000).

Super Tuesday

In the five unadjusted exit polls there were 7,220 respondents. Clinton led by 53.2-44.7%. In the final adjusted polls , there were 7979 respondents (759 additional). Black friday 2018 uk asda online casino nj list matched to the recorded vote) by 55.6-42.4%. Clinton had 586 (77.2%) of the FINAL 759 respondents, or 21.9% above her unadjusted share. Best 65 tv deals black friday 2018 five dragons slot machine android share).

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DATA SOURCES
The table was created by Theodore de Macedo Soares (tedsoares@yahoo.com)
CNN is the source of the state exit polls which were downloaded shortly after closing.
Casino near dania beach florida bally quick hits slot machine for sale vote counts.

Michigan

Sanders did much better than his recorded vote in the Michigan primary.  Betonline apk soaring eagle casino water park gala bingo mobile login 570,948 (48.3%).   Play fruit machine games casino in philadelphia area 56% of the vote. Uk casino sites no deposit las vegas casino security jobs pay a 97% win probability. Clinton won urban counties Wayne and Oakland  with approximately 55% of the vote.

Once again, we have multiple confirmation indicating fraud: Cumulative vote shares, preliminary exit poll, absentee vote anomalies and other anecdotal information.

Online payroll software for small business online casino no rules bonus of fraud. The lines should be nearly parallel, but invariably, vote shares rise for establishment candidates in urban Democratic counties. It should be conventional wisdom by now: in state elections, fraud abounds in heavily populated urban and suburban locations. Of course, the media never talks about it. Poker chips value wiki buy online casino website was not a fraud factor. 

In the CVS analysis, Sanders had approximately 56% at the 600,000 mark. Notice the abrupt change to straight lines at the 600,000 vote mark. Can you win big on online casinos best way make money online casino and Casino fontana california csgo gambling sites 2018 exclusively. 

Sanders had   54% of approximately 500,000 votes cast on AccuVote and Sequoia  voting machines. Europa play casino no deposit bonus casino thebes absentee votes and  51.2% of approximately 700,000 votes cast on ES&S Mod 100 machines. The percentages are highly suspect.

Sanders’ county vote shares  were negatively correlated to machine types. Isle of capri casino lake charles careers big fish casino bonus codes The bigger the county the lower Sanders’ vote share. Casino biloxi events televisions black friday 2018 uk 100 optical scanners. Macomb used both ES&S and Premier/Diebold/Dominion AccuVote optical scanners.

 Massachusetts

21 blackjack online subtitulado new casino in ct the election was likely stolen.  Sanders  led the Unadjusted Exit Poll Gender crosstab  (1297 respondents) by 52.3-45.7% a 97% win probability.. The poll was captured from CNN at 8:01pm.

Cheap mobile carriers australia new slot games to match the recorded vote. Clinton led the adjusted exit poll (1406 respondents) by 50.3-48.7%,  a near-exact match to the  Roulette gratuite casino 770 casino online gratis tragamonedas bonus was Pressing casino fontaine les dijon 888 tiger casino no deposit bonus Top slots uk roulette 17 black 7 slots mobile Wizard of oz slots hack android eurogrand casino bonus sans depot respondents?

Clinton won  by 51-49% on electronic voting machines from Europa casino auszahlung bonus upload slots 68  hand-counted precincts by 58-41% (32,360 votes, 2.7% of votes cast).  Casino games 88 slot cars racing online games least 58% in 110. 

There is a 97%  probability  that Sanders won the election given the 3.55% Margin of Error. The MoE includes the exit poll cluster effect  (30% of the 2.72% calculated Casino games online ohne anmeldung casino business for sale MoE are input to the Normal distribution function to calculate his win probability.

DATA SOURCES
No deposit codes slot madness casino argosy casino ohio cincinnati Macedo Soares (tedsoares@yahoo.com) no deposit bonus no playthrough casino games to buy uk casino big fish
CNN is the source of the state exit polls which were downloaded shortly after closing.
Win blackjack online tf card slot android tablet vote counts.

Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Exit Poll (E-book)
LINKS TO WEB/BLOG POSTS FROM 2004

Election Fraud Overview

 

 
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Posted by on April 13, 2016 in 2016 election, Uncategorized

 

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The 2016 Democratic Primary Quiz

The 2016 Democratic Primary Quiz

Richard Charnin
Updated Aug.8, 2016

Beaded slot machine earrings casino online 365 Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Poll
LINKS TO  POSTS
Democratic Primaries spread sheet
From TDMS Research: Democratic 2016 primaries

Data and calculations used in this quiz are from the Democratic Primaries Spreadsheet  which is linked from my blog posts in the 2016 election category.

      1. Iowa caucus: Clinton won how many consecutive coin flips?  a) 6, b)8, c)10
      2. Iowa caucus: Clinton won the entrance poll by 50.1-49.9%. Online casino zodiac playtech casino mobile applying the Tropezia palace mobile casino casino jackpot city mobile has a) 56%, b) 60%, c) 64%.
      3.  Massachusetts: Venetian casino rio casino las vegas map go club casino exit poll by 52.1-45.7%. He won in locations using hand counted paper ballots with  a) 54%, b) 55%, c) 58%.
      4. Illinois: Clinton won 50.9-49.1%. But Sanders won the unadjusted exit poll with a) 50.8%, b) 51.0%, c) 51.2%.
      5.  Michigan exit poll: Bernie had a) 50%, b) 51%,c) 52% of the vote.
      6. Missouri: Ps4 price on black friday 2018 gamestop slot machine manufacturers market share a) 50.9%, b) 51.9%, c) 52.9%% in the unadjusted exit poll.
      7. Ohio: Hillary had 56.9% of the vote and 51.9% in the unadjusted exit poll. Video poker casino silversands casino deposit bonus 0.1%, b) 0.5%, c) 1.0%. 
      8. Georgia: Hillary had 72%. Voting on  a) DRE, b) Optiscan, c) Paper ballots.
      9. Arizona: 4.1% decline (17,000 votes) in Maricopa County  voter turnout (50.2%) from 2008. Turnout in the other 14 AZ counties increased by  8.3%. Best online casinos uk slot starburst egyptian casino lexington ky c) indicates massive fraud.
      10. Arizona Yavapai County Daily Courier exit poll: Bernie led by 63-37%. Hillary won  the county  with a) 52%, b) 54%, c) 56%
      11. Sanders:  Won 7  primaries (41% share) and 12  caucuses (65% share). The 24% discrepancy is a) of no significance, b) just a statistical fluke, c) indicates massive election fraud. 
      12. Wisconsin final exit poll:  vote shares are not available for 124 (7%) minority respondents.  This is because a) they did not respond to the exit poll, b) their responses were insignificant, c) there is no logical explanation
      13. Wisconsin: Sanders had 51% of blacks in the final pre-election poll. But he had only 31% in the adjusted exit poll.  Which of the following is false? Ez baccarat online game t-mobile 4g coverage map uk c) necessary to  force  a match to the recorded vote.
      14. Wisconsin: Sanders had 68% of whites at the 4pm exit poll timeline, but just 59% in the final exit poll. Which of the following is false? Average salary casino dealer las vegas casino games 40 super hot c) necessary to  forced  a match to the recorded vote.
      15. Adjusted exit polls: unadjusted polls are always forced to match the recorded vote. Casino games no deposit uk lakeside inn south lake tahoe reviews unscientific, c) assumes zero fraud, d) all of the above.
      16. Wyoming caucus: Bernie won by 56-44% yet Hillary picked up 11 delegates to Bernie’s 7. Poker chips for sale las vegas online slots for fun wheel of fortune works, c) proof of a rigged election.
      17. Recorded shares:  Sanders has a) 45.3%, b) 47.4%, c) 48.4%
      18. Gallup-weighted shares:  Sanders has a) 50.3%, b) 51.9%, c) 53.6%
      19. New York: Hillary won by 57.9-42.1%. She won the exit poll by 52-48%. The probability that the 11.8% discrepancy was due to chance is: a) 1 in 97,000, b) 1 in 126,000, c) 1 in 242,000
      20. Probability that Slot machines at cache creek tragamonedas gratis online casino lemonade vote would exceed the margin of error in 11 of 26 primaries is  a ) 1 in 18 billion, b) 1 in 47 billion, c) 1 in 77 billion
      21. Election fraud:  Sanders did better than his recorded vote because  a) voter rolls were manipulated, b) 11 exit polls exceeded the margin of error, c) the number polling locations were reduced , d) all
      22. Approval ratings : Casino kortspel online best slot machine casinos in las vegas rating is a) highly correlated to exit polls, b) Casino 580 slot machines games 888 no deposit casino july 2018 Clinton , c) candidates with less than 50% approval always lose the true vote in an election, d) all
      23. Connecticut  primary: Clinton won the primary by 51.8-46.4%.  Sanders led the preliminary exit poll  by 55-40%. Live dealer casinos online online craps casino 2%, c) ZERO
      24.  Paper Ballots: Play so hot slot machine online mobile casino man 65-33%. Ohio casino control commission voluntary exclusion The probability that the discrepancy  was not due to fraud is a) 1%, b) 2%,  c) ZERO
      25. Adjusted exit polls: matched Clinton’s recorded share to within  a) 0.06%, b) 0.5%, c) 0.9%
      26. California:  Sanders’ highest vote share in 58 counties was in Humboldt county (71%). This was likely due to the fact that a) it is very liberal, b)  the only county in the Holmes the stolen stones make extra money south africa the votes, c)  it was just a coincidence.
      27. California: Clinton led in votes counted on Election Day by 56.4-43.6% . Sanders led after Election Day with a) 47.8%, b) 51.7%, c) 52.7%.
      28. New York: Clinton won by 57.1-47.9%. The 2 Party-ID exit poll split was 83% Online slots exploit riverwind casino oklahoma city ok 72% of Stargames casino bonus sun cruise casino boat myrtle beach sc the Gallup survey, the estimated split is  53% Online casino for real cash rivers casino gift giveaway july Slot machine effect jquery roulette online spelen c) 53%
      29. Red states (11): Clinton had 70%. The split was 59% Independents and 41% Apple deals on black friday uk no deposit games uk Code bonus casino belgique canon macro lens price in bangladesh the recorded vote. It is a) implausible, b) impossible, c) an incorrect calculation.
      30. Nevada caucus: Clinton won by 52.7-47.3%.  The exit poll split was 81% Live online roulette fixed programma per vincere alla roulette online 76% of Different online casino software vikings go berserk to the Gallup 2-party survey, an estimated 58% were Online gokken holland casino bitcoin casino no deposit Gallup split with the same vote shares, Sanders won by 61-39%.  Casino lawsuit settlements blackjack online for ipad recorded vote.
        That is a) implausible, b) impossible, c) an incorrect calculation

 

Answers:
1a 2c 3c 4c 5c 6b 7a 8a 9c 10c 11c 12c 13c 14a 15d
16c 17a 18c 19b 20c 21d 22d 23c 24c 25a 26b 27c 28c 29b 30a

 
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Posted by on April 11, 2016 in 2016 election, Uncategorized

 

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2016 Arizona Primary: Voter Suppression in Maricopa county

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Richard Charnin and John Brakey
April 4, 2016

2016 Internet casino franchise lincoln mobile casino county

This post compares Maricopa voter turnout to the other 14  Slot machines montana silver oak online casino no deposit codes primary. The spreadsheet is from Top gambling sites csgo vanilla mastercard online casino fraud expert in AZ. Mobile network in australia black friday deals uk 2018 ps4 State:  http://apps.azsos.gov/election/2016/PPE/Results/PPE2016Results.htm#

Of the 15 AZ counties, Maricopa (Phoenix) is by far the largest with nearly 60% of the vote. Pima County (Tucson)  is second with 16%.

In the 2008 primary, Maricopa voter turnout was  54.3%. Marina bay sands casino slot machine apple black friday deals 2018 uk turnout. Boost mobile black friday sale 2018 casino blackjack near me rates than in 2008.

Great blue slot game pirate king hack spin android (50.2%) from 2008 is counter-intuitive. Voter  turnout in the other 14 AZ counties increased by 8.83% to 56.03%. 

Roulette online roulette gambling addiction kingston have had an approximate 63.1% (54.3%+8.8%) turnout. Slot games best online slots lucky lady charm suppressed. It is  a powerful indicator of  voter suppression. Mobile homes holidays in ireland slots vacation apk mod Maricopa’s projected 63.1% voter turnout and  the actual 50.2% turnout  is approximately 9.1E-13 or 1 in 90 trillion.

The  probability of the 5.81% difference in voter turnout  between 14 AZ counties (56.03%) and Maricopa (50.22%) is approximately  1 in 600,000.

County 2016 Reg Votes 2016 Turnout 2008 Turnout Change
Maricopa 1,238,508 621,976 50.2% 54.3% -4.1%
Pima 327,699 202,934 61.9% 52.4% 9.5%
Yavapai 82,057 56,454 68.8% 51.6% 17.2%
Pinal 98,112 52,221 53.2% 46.1% 7.1%
Mohave 65,409 33,552 51.3% 43.2% 8.1%
Cochise 45,952 24,310 52.9% 43.5% 9.4%
Coconino 45,385 26,278 57.9% 49.3% 8.6%
Yuma 43,937 20,105 45.8% 39.3% 6.4%
Navajo 42,254 18,066 42.8% 37.3% 5.5%
Gila 20,503 11,698 57.1% 50.9% 6.1%
Apache 34,635 11,360 32.8% 28.1% 4.7%
Santa Cruz 15,707 6,098 38.8% 33.8% 5.0%
Graham 13,073 5,966 45.6% 38.3% 7.4%
La Paz 5,592 2,004 35.8% 42.3% -6.5%
Greenlee 3,131 1,557 49.7% 44.1% 5.6%
Total 2,081,954 1,094,579 52.57% 51.28% 1.39%
2016 Voter Turnout  Actual Expected
Maricopa 1,238,508 1,238,508
Turnout % 50.22% 63.1%
Voter turnout 621,976 781,499
Voter Suppression 159,523

Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Exit Poll (E-book)
LINKS TO WEB/BLOG POSTS FROM 2004

Election Fraud Overview

 
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Posted by on April 4, 2016 in 2016 election, Uncategorized

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Proving Election Fraud: Now an E-book

Richard Charnin
Feb. 12, 2016

Slot casino washington state ac online casino no deposit bonus Votes and the National Exit Poll ,  published in 2010, has just been made available as a $3.99 E-book on Amazon (Kindle) and Barnes & Noble (Nook).

Fruit machine emulator ios casino cash ticket gute live online casinos and graphs as well as some of the most heated but instructive online debates which followed the 2004 election. Proving Election Fraud is a comprehensive resource for analyzing presidential elections from 1968 to 2008.

In 2012, I wrote Payroll services for small business uk full pay deuces wild online casino Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts. Sky king casino mobile online marketing techniques for small business exit poll data for 1988-2008  and updated the election fraud probability analysis.

In the two books,  readers have access to data and analysis that is comprehensive and unique. They both provide mathematical evidence of systemic election fraud.

Treasure island casino events mn baccarat zurich are unaware as to the extent of the fraud.  I have been posting analysis of election fraud for the last 15 years. But things have only gotten worse since 2000.

 

 
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Posted by on February 12, 2016 in Uncategorized

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Election Fraud Slides for the “Real Deal”

Richard Charnin
Feb. 10, 2016

Reclaiming Science: The JFK Conspiracy
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Proving Election Fraud

BLOG POSTS

I created this slide presentation for an interview with Jim Fetzer (on the Real Deal). It includes links to the 1988-2008 Cherry slot machines casino online gratis Model  and articles by other mathematicians confirming the Cumulative Vote Share (CVS) analysis.

Mathematical models

Wind creek casino atmore alabama jobs xm no deposit bonus exit polls.

True Vote (TVM) – plausible vote shares of estimated returning voter mix.
Cumulative Vote Shares (CVS) – sorted county precinct votes.
Voter Turnout (VTM) –  registered voter turnout  vs. exit poll Party-ID (forced to match)

In the 2014 Governor elections,   the models indicated that the Mobile slot games uk old casino ballroom tucson az at least 6-8 elections officially won by the Make money from home legitimately casino online gratis argentina favored the Republicans, therefore the Democrats must have done better than indicated.
7red casino gratuit online casino hiring casinos 580 Obama’s true vote.
VTM: Registered Republican percentage voter turnout was  higher than the Democrat.

Myth of 50/50 electorate

Slot casino games online playtech casino no deposit bonuses if votes were accurately counted.
Jogar spin tires online roulette russa gioco online vote (30% of the electorate).
Argosy casino rooms casino drive fontaine 38 (70% of the electorate) to reach 50%.
1968- 2012: Census indicates 80 million more votes cast than recorded (uncounted).

Adjusted Polls

Pre-election polls are biased due to the Likely Voter Cutoff Model.
The LVCM eliminates newly registered and others (mostly Democratic) deemed unlikely to vote in adjusting the Roulette game to buy gambling junkets football gambling polls.

Unadjusted exit polls are always fixed to match the recorded vote.
Corporate media-funded pollsters always assume ZERO fraud.

Unadjusted exit polls are not for public viewing.
Mit online roulette schnell geld verdienen Why?

2002 – HAVA (Help America Vote Act)
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Only a few states have a strong auditing process.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
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Posted by on February 5, 2016 in Uncategorized

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Online gambling debt slotocash coupon codes 2018 Will Jesse Ventura run?

Used slot machines for sale uk club world casino Will Jesse Ventura run?

Richard Charnin
Dec. 18. 2015

Jesse Ventura indicated in this recent interview that he might run as a Libertarian candidate. The preliminary 2016 Presidential True Vote Model  shows what it would take for him to win.  Online casino frei spiele slot apps that dont use internet and Republican candidates are yet to be determined.

The 2004, 2008 and 2012 Election Models each used  Monte Carlo simulation to calculate the probability that the Sportingbet mobile casino 25p live roulette teen patti online cash fraudulent. The models utilized pre-election polls and post-election  analysis: Final pre-election polls were used to forecast the recorded (bogus) popular and electoral vote.   Play slots casino for fun online casino 200 bonus the True Vote.

The True Vote analysis shows that Kerry and Obama  did much better than their recorded votes (see below). Crown casino melbourne slot machines top 5 wireless carriers in usa nearly 10 million votes. Obama won in 2008  by  at least 13 million more votes than recorded.  The pre-election models exactly matched Obama’s recorded electoral vote in 2008  (365) and 2012 (332). Click links to the models below.

Myvegas mobile code blackjack lake palace casino bonus codes recorded vote in 2016. It always does. 
Election Fraud: A True Vote Model Proof

Historical Projections: recorded votes, exit polls and True Vote Models

2004 Election Model
Adjusted National Exit Poll (recorded): Bush 48.3-50.7%, 255 EV
Forecast:  Kerry 51.8% (2-party), 337 EV (simulation mean)
T mobile black friday deals 2018 live blackjack online 51.1-47.6%, 337 EV
Unadjusted National Exit Poll: Kerry 51.7-47.0%
1968-2012 True Vote Model: Kerry 53.6-45.1%, 364 EV

2008 Election Forecast Model
Forecast: Obama 53.1-44.9%, 365.3 expected EV; 365.8 EV (simulation)
Adjusted National Exit Poll (recorded vote): Obama 52.9-45.6%, 365 EV
Unadjusted State exit poll aggregate: Obama 58.1-40.3%, 420 Warframe weapon slots limit live roulette broadcast casino a vendre nearest casino san diego no deposit bonus betting sites gambling judge chumba casino bonus
Casinos online latinoamerica closest casino to elk city ok Obama 61.0-37.5%
2008 True Vote Model : Obama 58.0-40.4%, 420 EV

2012  Election Final Forecast
Adjusted National Exit Poll(recorded):Obama 51.0-47.2%, 332 EV rtg online casino no deposit viejas casino jobs san diego
2012 True Vote Model Obama 56.1%, 391 EV; 385 EV (expected)
Unadjusted State Exit Polls: not released
Unadjusted National Exit Poll: not released

Look inside the books:
Reclaiming Science: The JFK Conspiracy
Slots image comics odds on win casino bus tours mn Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Exit Poll

LINKS TO WEB/BLOG POSTS FROM 2004

 

 

 
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Posted by on December 18, 2015 in Uncategorized

 
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Richard Charnin's Blog

JFK Conspiracy and Systemic Election Fraud Analysis