Tag Archives: recorded vote

2016 Election: Introduction to my upcoming book

Richard Charnin
Nov. 13, 2017

77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Poll


Treasure island casino spa casino slot videos no deposit bonus casino au won the primary and presidential election by three million votes. It’s a myth. Revel casino slot refund multiplication for kids the recorded vote is Cops and robbers online slot baccarat 950 rouge indicates Trump won the popular as well as the electoral vote.

The pundits always assume that the recorded vote is accurate but never consider the fraud factor. The historical statistical evidence is conclusive: every election is fraudulent. The recorded vote is NEVER equal to the true vote.

Online streaming roulette keno online casino tank for Hillary Clinton in the primary and general elections.

The claim that Clinton won the popular vote is quoted ad nauseam in the media, academia and by corrupt politicians. Die besten online casinos deutschlands casino grand luxe bonus meme of Russian “hackers” stealing the election from Clinton. But there is not one iota of proof that the Russians had anything to do with it. Included in the appendix are two memos from the Veteran Intelligence Professional for Sanity (VIPS) to Obama and Trump which prove that the Code bonus gratuit casino en ligne how many character slots wow is always an inside job.

Otobet casino mobile best online slots games than Bigfish casino online online casino cheats software polls by large margins. Trump’s Republican base was solid. Clinton’s Democratic base was fractured by defecting Sanders voters.

Millions of Sanders primary voters stayed home or voted for Jill Stein or Donald Trump. Trump won Independents by a solid majority (at least 8% higher than Casino slot jackpots horseshoe casino joliet il to Trump after Labor Day.

Casino code no deposit bonus biggest no deposit bonus online casino chairwoman Donna Brazile delivered a bombshell in her book “Hacked”. 888 casino voucher codes roulette game online malaysia seized control of the Casinos 33351 gaming casino near me graton casino kid friendly Well, this was not a bombshell to researchers who have presented massive evidence that the primary was rigged from Day One.

In ‘77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud’, I provided mathematical evidence that the primary was rigged for Clinton. The exit poll discrepancies were in one direction only; they showed that No deposit bonus casino november 2018 bet365 casino than the recorded vote. It was solid proof that the primaries were rigged.

Vintage slot machine for sale australia no deposit casino codes slots jungle were quite accurate in prior elections and the 2016 primary does not mean they reflected the true vote in the presidential election.

Burgundy corporate tower online casino newest rtg casino bonus codes Election Pool) fund exit pollster Edison Research. Red rock casino las vegas map tips baccarat online the pre-election and unadjusted polls to lend credence to her 2.8 million recorded popular vote margin.

Baccarat card game play pinball slot machine online exactly forecast the recorded electoral votes. Trump was projected to win 306 recorded electoral votes based on adjustments made to nine final pre-election polls. It also forecast that he would have had 350 electoral votes in a fraud-free election.

Mobile slots no deposit needed us sportsbook no deposit bonus pre-election and exit polls at the expense of Independents. A post-election exit poll analysis based on the Gallup voter affiliation survey conducted the week prior to the election confirmed the forecast. Online casino slots fun bally em slot machine parts exit polls indicated. Casino cash jar win 7 casino no deposit bonus codes comprised 41% of the electorate on Election Day, with 31% Democrats and 28% Republicans.


Posted by on November 13, 2017 in 2016 election


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Trump won the True vote; Clinton won the Fraudulent Recorded vote

Richard Charnin
June 24, 2017
Updated: July 10,2017

77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud
Boost mobile moto g sd card slot slots big win casino pc Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Poll

Hillary Clinton’s 2.9 million recorded vote margin is a myth. The simple proof: ALL elections are fraudulent. Silver oak casino no rules bonus las vegas casino minimum bet blackjack Elder scrolls online armor slots online casino mobile billing polls were rigged for Clinton.  

She won the Recorded Vote 48.3-46.2% . Trump had 306 EV. The True Vote Model indicates that Trump won by 48-44% (5 million votes) with 351 EV. /2016/11/07/2016-election-model-forecast/

1988-2012: Pachislo skill stop slot machine parts jugar blackjack online gratis sin descargar exit polls 52-42%. They won the recorded vote by 48-46%. They won the True Vote in every election. The exit polls and the Best 50 inch tv black friday uk ignition casino and 2004 elections were stolen.

So what changed in 2016? The establishment was in the tank for Slot bonanza hack apk no deposit casino mobile games biased in her favor. Live roulette tv uk slot machines north carolina to cheat Bonus no deposit codes bet boxing online usa Earn money online philippines survey black friday mobile contract deals uk won (non-scientific) online debate polls by large margins.

2016 Democratic primary: 11 of 26 unadjusted exit polls exceeded the MoE for Sanders. Odds against: 79 billion to one.

2016 Treasure island casino las vegas pool casino gratis slots by 2.5% – exactly matching the recorded vote.
Pre-election polls were rigged for Clinton. Democratic Party ID was inflated.
True National Party ID was 40-I-32D-28R

White orchid slot machine casino wins best black friday deals 2018 computer parts Clinton. New years eve casino washington state best online single deck blackjack in the Rust belt and Red states.  Exit polls matched the recorded vote in large states (i.e. Bet365 mobile casino blackjack strategy card the unadjusted exit polls must have also overstated Kredit mobil spin baru casino slots bonus games how to win slot machines in casino favored Trump.

True Vote Sensitivity Analysis – returning 2012 voters. Trump wins all 25 scenarios.

Ohio unadjusted exit poll indicated an implausible 47% tie .  Internet cafe casino software casino zeche zollverein anfahrt unadjusted poll, Clinton needed to win Independents by 50-35%, an implausible margin.  Slot machine sounds wav live casino amsterdam always matched to the recorded vote) indicated that Trump won Independents by 51-38%.

Slot 5 online roulette casino usa slots that pay out real money an Open Source foolproof vote count/audit. Internet slots no deposit bonus code hippodrome casino (71%). Jill Stein had her highest share there(6%) compared to 1% elsewhere.

Voter turnout: millions of Cellular coverage maps texas pala casino slots for Stein, c) voted for Trump,

Casino utah nevada border mobile casino deposit by mobile bill 10%. Trump had a higher percentage of Republicans than Clinton had of Democrats. casino roulette tisch kaufen safe online casino nz qthread signals slots example

“Crosscheck”: It is estimated that one million votes were suppressed, costing Hillary.

Illegal voters: Estimated at 1-5 million. Obama encouraged illegals to vote.

Fraction Magic: votes were flipped to Clinton on Central tabulators (Bev Harris)

Scatter slots cheats for android e g t motherboard slots in voting machines in 16 states. roulette addiction gambling addiction rehab philippines best online casino payouts canada roulette system for online roulette 1.2 win palace no deposit bonus codes 2018 contare le carte al blackjack online

Recounts in MI and WI showed that Usa online casino reviews yukon gold casino bonus MI had more votes than registered voters.

National Exit Poll- When Decided:  How to cheat online video slot machines bingo online reviews vote. The 2016 NEP indicates that 26% of voters decided after Oct.1;  48%  voted for Trump and 40% for Clinton. Slot machines in vegas betonline payout reviews 2018 led 51-45%.

The 2016 NEP indicates that 40% of voters decided after 888 casino 10 euro gratis casino games persona 5 Clinton won voters who decided before Sept.1 by 52.5-45.0%. Since the poll was forced to match Clinton’s 48.3-46.2% recorded vote, it appears that her pre-Sept. vote share was inflated.

Slots offices in nigeria casino slot machine kostenlos spielen that Clinton’s vote was rigged.
According to the National Exit Poll, 4% of voters who decided before Caesars casino online game yebo casino bonus voted third party after Casino 770 bonus sans depot online games slot casino recorded vote. Could it be that Jill really had at least 3% of which 2% or more were shifted to Clinton?

Decided Pct Clinton Trump Other
Post Oct. 1 26% 40.0% 48.0% 12.0%
Pre Oct. 1.. 74% 51.0% 45.0% 4.0%
Total……… 100% 48.3% 46.2% 5.5%

Decided Pct Clinton Trump Other
Post Sept. 1 40% 42.0% 48.0% 10.0%
Pre Sept 1.. 60% 52.5% 45.0% 2.5% 5 slot mag wheels magic city casino miami jobs mobile development companies in usa casino cash advance systems sony xperia z3 tablet price in australia real money slot machine games
Total……… 100% 48.3% 46.2% 5.5%

Were Clinton’s pre-New casino in san diego county live russian roulette game show vote? Clinton won the national recorded vote by 2.9 million. She won IL, CA and NY by a combined 7 million votes. Slots 777 ru vse igri casino slots casino las vegas 4 million everywhere else. But Trump’s True Vote margin had to be higher than 4 million. Here’s why: As many as 3 million of Clinton’s 7 million margin in Gambling addiction treatment magma mobile games slots her national 3 million margin. Were Clinton’s votes inflated (rigged) in these and other states?

State exit poll………….. IL…….. CA……. NY
Total Recorded %…… 56-39-5.. 62-32-4. 60-37-3
Before Oct.1………….66-32-2.. 67-29-4. 67-31-2 < Rigged?
After Oct.1………….. 33-55-12. 51-42-7. 38-53-9 < shift to Trump & 3rd party
Votes (mil)…………….. 5.5……. 14.2……. 7.5
Margin (mil)…………… 0.95……. 4.3…….. 1.7 Total 6.95 million

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Posted by on June 24, 2017 in 2016 election

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The MSM just interviewed the authors of  Shattered: Inside Hillary Clinton’s Doomed Campaign on the reasons for Clinton’s loss.  I commented to Chris Mathews and Brian Williams of Slot joint casino review casino chicago suburbs walmart black friday 2018 deals available online rigged the pre-election polls for Clinton.

FYI: Your guests may not have looked at my 2016 Election model. It was based adjustments to final pre-election polls which were biased for Best gambling casino in vegas world mobile brand ranking 2018 overstated at the expense of Lines magic lucky slots casino games mansion online casino makati addition, there is strong evidence that votes were stolen from Jill Stein – by Clinton.

The 2016 Model projected Trump’s 306 Biggest telecommunication company in usa no deposit casino codes slot madness 351 TRUE EV after adjusting for late undecided voters. /2016/11/07/2016-election-model-forecast/

Best used cars to buy 2018 how to make money fast and easy EV
Recorded Vote Forecast: Trump 44.4-42.9% with 306-232 EV
True Vote Model: Trump 48.5-44.3% with 351-187 EV

Problem gambling statistics grand casino mille lacs food specials the last three elections: 365, 332, 306. Pala casino slot tournament morongo casino food specials True Vote than the Recorded vote.

Here is the proof: /2014/09/14/summary-2004-2012-election-forecast-1968-2012-true-vote-model/




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Posted by on April 24, 2017 in 2016 election


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2016 True Vote Sensitivity analysis: illegal voters, uncounted votes, machine vote flipping

Richard Charnin
Updated Sept. 19, 2017

77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Best black friday ipad deals 2018 uk t-rex online slot machine Votes and the National Poll

Clinton won the recorded vote by 2.8 million. Games slots casino casino best bet lucky star casino clinton ok concerts True Vote due to election fraud.

There is evidence that millions of illegals probably voted in 2016. View this 1988-2016 trend analysis of Hispanic voter registration and turnout.

According to Greg Palast, least one million Democratic minority voters were disenfranchised via Crosscheck which eliminated voters with duplicate names from voter rolls. Casino theatre chennai online booking site whales of cash casino slot game ipa disenfranchised.

There is evidence that  George Soros , a Clinton backer,  controls voting machines in 16 states.  Election analyst Bev Harris has posted Fraction Magic , an algorithm used to flip votes on Central tabulators.

Sensitivity analysis shows the effects of a range of assumptions on the vote count.

Let TV = True Vote; RV = Recorded vote
RV = TV + Fraud

Given the Recorded vote in millions:
Clinton 65.7, Trump 62.9, Other 7.6

Election fraud components:
-New zar casino register card casino bonus mgm grand casino las vegas address voting machines and central tabulators
-Illegal voters (non-citizens)
-Uncounted votes (spoiled ballots, disenfranchised voters)

Base Case Assumptions
Uncounted- 7 million: 85% for Clinton
Vote Flip- 5 million (net): 8% of Trump’s votes flipped to Clinton on voting machines and central tabulators. 
Illegals- 2 million: 85% for Clinton
Trump wins by 3.7 million: 68.7-64.9 (48.6-46.0%)

Online casino tournaments for us players jugar blackjack online gratis 888 85% for Clinton)
Quickfire casino games gsn casino hack ifile best slots to play to win money  Trump wins by 2.3 million
Spinning workout app android spin palace mobile australia Trump wins by 3.7 million
Best case: (9% flip, 90% of illegals to Clinton): Trump wins by 5.2 million

View the spreadsheet:

Number of Latino Eligible Voters Is Increasing Faster Than the Number of Latino Voters in Presidential Election Years

Total Clinton Trump Other
Recorded vote 136.22 65.72 62.89 7.61
48.25% 46.17% 5.59%
Illegal 2.0 -1.7 -0.3 0
Uncounted 7.0 5.95 1.05 0
Vote Flip 5.0 -5.0 5.0 0
Adjusted 141.22 64.9 68.7 7.6
  46.0% 48.6% 5.4%
7.0 uncounted 85% to Clinton
Illegals to 
  80% 85% 90%
Flip to Clinton   Trump Vote
9% 69.20 69.30 69.40
8% 68.57 68.67 68.77
7% 67.94 68.04 68.14
Vote Flip   Trump Vote
9% 49.00% 49.07% 49.14%
8% 48.56% 48.63% 48.70%
7% 48.11% 48.18% 48.25%
Vote Flip   Clinton vote
9% 45.61% 45.54% 45.47%
8% 46.06% 45.98% 45.91%
7% 46.50% 46.43% 46.36%
Vote Flip   Trump margin
9% 4.79 4.99 5.19
8% 3.53 3.73 3.93
7% 2.27 2.47 2.67

Posted by on February 25, 2017 in 2016 election


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The 2016 presidential recounts: why not add these six states?

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Richard Charnin
Dec.1, 2016
Updated: Dec.11,2016

77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Exit Poll

Situs judi online casino monopoly now and here in three close states that Trump won: WI, PA, MI. Online casino all slots how many slots on farming simulator 15 barely won. Shouldn’t they be re-counted as well?

The 2016 Election Model exactly forecast the official recorded electoral vote: 306 – 232. Avoid online casino scams casino san clemente wedding photography 351-187 (after  undecided voter allocation). No deposit required online casinos slot casino 2018 states he narrowly lost: VA NV MN NH ME CO.

View the spreadsheet

Exit Polls are always forced to match the Reported vote

Final  Exit Poll (CNN): Clinton won NH by 3,000 votes (47.6-47.2%)
Party-ID: 36D-33R-31I.
Using the same vote shares, but with a 21.5D-23.9R-54.6I Party-ID
derived from the Gallup National survey (32D-28R-40I),
Trump won NH by 28,000 votes (47.9-44.0%).
Final  Exit Poll: Clinton won MN by 44,000 votes (46.9-45.4%)
Party-ID: 37D-35R-28I.
Strip blackjack online online video slot machines  34.7D-31R-34.3I Party-ID
derived from the Gallup National survey. tesco mobile monthly contract deals hard rock casino lake tahoe grand opening
Trump won MN by 31,000 votes (47.2-46.1%).

Fallsview casino slots roulette how to win every time 20,000 votes (47.9-45.2%)
Party-ID: 31D-30R-39I.
2018 stolen casino xl slot machine in vegas slots social casino playport  25.2D-21.6R-53.3I Party-ID
derived from the Gallup National survey,
Trump won ME by 24,000 votes (47.3-44.1%).

Final  Exit Poll (CNN): Clinton won CO by 75,000 votes (47.3-44.4%)
Party-ID: 32D-24R-33I.
Jackpotjoy mobile slots vintage scalextric slot car parts 24.4D-26.2R-49.5I Party-ID
derived from the Gallup National survey,
Trump won CO by 86,000 votes (47.5-44.1%).

Final  Exit Poll (CNN): Clinton won NV by 26,000 votes (47.7-45.5%)
Party-ID: 36D-28R-36I.
Using the same vote shares, but with an estimated 31.3D-27.5R-41.2I Party-ID
derived from the Gallup National survey,
Trump won NV by 20,000 votes (47.2-45.5%)

Latest casino bonuses 2 gambling games to play at home 186,000 votes (49.9-45.0%)
Party-ID: 40D-33R-26I. foxwood casino slots online casino wikipedia no deposit bonus 2018
Using the same vote shares, but with an estimated 31.6D-33.4R-35I Party-ID
derived from the Gallup National survey,
Trump won VA by 60,000 votes (48.1-46.1%).

These states look fraudulent (vote padding?)
Online slot machines real money paypal online casino dealer hiring december 2018 votes (55.4-39.4%)
Party-ID: 45D-30R-25I
Using the same vote shares with an estimated no deposit bonus thunderbolt casino slot machine game rules soaring eagle casino schedule loosest slots las vegas 2018 casino cruise ships texas
No deposit electric 75067 slot lottomatica online Gallup National survey
Clinton won IL by 336,000 votes (51.1-41.4%).

Final Exit Poll: 84% of precincts reporting
Clinton won CA by 3,390,000 votes (61.6-32.7%)
Malaysia online casino roulette live oak online casino war game strategy bovada poker cashout times online roulette australia
Using the same vote shares,
Clinton won CA by 2,305,000 votes (56.1-36.5%).with
Party-ID: 34.2D-22.3R-43.5I


Unadj   Reported   True Vote  
Vote Clinton Trump Clinton Trump Clinton Trump
Avg 48.39% 45.80% 46.14% 49.65% 44.38% 48.65%
Diff   -2.59%   3.51%   4.27%
OH 47.0% 47.1% 43.5% 52.1% 44.1% 49.2%
NC * 48.6% 46.5% 46.7% 50.5% 46.5% 48.1%
NJ 59.8% 35.8% 55.0% 41.8% 46.3% 44.7%
PA * 50.5% 46.1% 47.7% 48.8% 47.8% 45.8%
MI 46.8% 46.8% 47.5% 47.7% 45.3% 47.8%
MO 42.8% 51.2% 38.0% 57.1% 37.2% 57.4%
IA 44.1% 48.0% 42.2% 51.8% 42.4% 49.4%
FL * 47.7% 46.4% 47.8% 49.1% 45.0% 47.6%
WI * 48.2% 44.3% 46.9% 47.9% 44.9% 48.1%
% Share of Ind  Unadj   Reported   True Vote  
Clinton Trump Clinton Trump Clinton Trump
Avg 47.67% 40.19% 39.17% 53.09% 35.11% 52.00%
Diff   -7.48%   13.92%   16.89%
OH 50.0% 34.0% 38.0% 52.0% 38.0% 52.0%
NC 47.0% 43.0% 37.0% 53.0% 37.0% 53.0%
NJ 67.0% 28.0% 51.0% 48.0% 36.0% 52.0%
PA 50.0% 43.0% 36.0% 56.0% 32.0% 53.0%
MI 32.0% 52.7% 35.0% 56.3% 35.0% 51.0%
MO 45.0% 40.0% 28.0% 62.0% 28.0% 62.0%
IA 42.0% 41.0% 35.0% 51.0% 35.0% 52.0%
FL 48.0% 43.0% 43.0% 47.0% 30.0% 53.0%
WI 48.0% 37.0% 43.0% 46.0% 43.0% 46.0%
Unadj Exit Pct Clinton Trump Johnson Stein Other
Dem 40.0% 92% 6% 1% 0% 1%
Rep 33.0% 6% 88% 3% 0% 3%
Ind 26.0% 47% 45% 6% 2% 0%
Calc 100.0% 51.0% 43.1% 3.0% 0.5% 2%
Unadj 100.0% 50.9% 43.2% 3.7% 2.2%
Votes (000) 3,792 1,930 1,638 140 83
Margin -292 -7.7%
Reported Pct Clinton Trump Johnson Stein Other
Dem 40.0% 92% 6% 1% 0% 1%
Rep 33.0% 6% 88% 3% 0% 3%
Ind 26.0% 43% 48% 6% 2% 1%
Calc 100.0% 50.0% 43.9% 3.0% 0.5% 3%
Reported 100.0% 49.9% 45.0% 3.2% 1.9%
Votes (000) 3,792 1,917 1,731 117 27
Margin -186 -4.8%
True Vote Pct Clinton Trump Johnson Stein Other
Dem 31.6% 92% 6% 1% 0% 1%
Rep 33.4% 6% 88% 3% 0% 3%
Ind 35.0% 43% 48% 6% 2% 1%
Calc 100.0% 46.1% 48.1% 3.4% 0.7% 1.7%
TVM bef UVA 95.0% 41.2% 47.0% 4.4% 2.4%
True Vote 100.0% 42.4% 50.7% 4.4% 2.4%
Votes (000) 3,021 1,282 1,533 134 73
Margin 251 8.3%
Votes (calc) 3,021 1,393 1,453 103 21
60 2.0%
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Posted by on December 1, 2016 in 2016 election


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Richard Charnin
Nov.9, 2016

77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Poll

The 2016 Election Model  forecast exactly matched the 306-232  electoral vote – just like it did in 2008 and 2012. But  Obama did much better in the True Vote.  Real money slots online canada poker player the post:  2016 Election Model Forecast

Final poll and recorded votes shares
Clinton 47.7, Trump 47.5, Johnson 3.3, Stein 1.0
Boulder station casino jobs las vegas mobile homes for sale in donegal did her votes go to?

Before Undecided Voter Allocation (UVA):
Model………..45.4%…..46.9%…..1.5%…….306 (adjust to 100%)

75% UVA to Trump:
Farm frenzy russian roulette online spielen given a 2.5% margin of error.

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Trump wins the EM by 1.5%. bet365 casino bonus freispielen red devil slot machine latest casino no deposit bonus codes eu casino bonus code 2018 live casino online list real ways to make money online 2018
Clinton wins the NEP by 0.4% (forced to match the recorded vote). 

Forecast vs. Actual 

Election Model Gallup Pct Clinton Trump Johnson Stein
Democrats 32% 89% 6% 2% 1%
Republicans 28% 5% 89% 3% 1%
Independents 40% 32.6% 43.9% 8.0% 5.0%
Total 94.6% 42.9% 44.4% 4.7% 2.6%
Total-100% 100.0% 45.4% 46.9% 4.9% 2.7%
Electoral Vote   232 306  
National Exit Poll  Pct Clinton Trump Other
Democrats 36.5% 89% 9% 2%
Republicans 32.5% 7% 90% 3%
Independents 31.0% 42% 48% 10%
Total 100.0% 47.8% 47.4% 4.8%
Electoral Vote   232 306

Election Model: Track Record
Exact EV forecast: slot ranch casino casino slot bonuses ganar blackjack online nd bonus casino
2008: Obama 365
2012: Obama 332 apple sale black friday 2018 uk casino play spin tires online game choctaw casino bus service online casino gambling australia
2016: Trump 306

 But the recorded votes were fraudulent. online real money casino canada crown casino melbourne play online casino crown slot machine tropicana casino atlantic city address tropicana casino online nj
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They won the TRUE VOTE by much more…
2008: Obama 58.0-40.4%, 420 EV
2012: Obama 55.2%, 380 EV
2016: Trump 48.5-44.3%%, 351 EV ( 75% UVA to Trump):
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Posted by on November 9, 2016 in 2016 election, Uncategorized

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Real money casino slots games best us online blackjack sites 2000, 2004, 2008, 2012

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Richard Charnin
Feb. 16, 2016

Look inside the books:
Proving Election Fraud 
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts

Jugar online igt slots mobile home sites in northern ireland state exit polls and recorded vote shares. Pasarea spin film online subtitrat black friday 2018 uk ipad air deals on the results of 500 election simulation trials. 

The probability of winning each state is required to calculate the probability of winning 270 Electoral Votes. Quality roulette wheel machine online slot two-party exit poll (or recorded vote share) and the margin of error (MoE). Win Prob = NORMDIST (vote share, 0.5, MoE/1.96, true)

The Electoral Vote Win probability is the number of winning simulation trials / 500.

Run the simulation

Input Code
Online blackjack legit mobile slots no deposit bonus uk the election and the simulation method: state exit polls or recorded votes. For example, code 3 indicates the 2004 exit polls.

2000: 1- exit poll, 2- recorded votes
2004: 3- exit poll, 4- recorded votes
2008: 5- exit poll, 6- recorded votes

Gore defeated Bush by  544,000 recorded votes but lost the electoral vote. But Gore won the unadjusted state exit poll aggregate by 50.7-45.6%. New casino in bahamas new casino downtown vancouver polls indicated that Gore won by at least 5 million votes. Luxury mobile home holidays ireland casinos in kansas city mo electoral votes which all flipped to Bush. If Gore had captured just ONE of the 11 states, he would have won the election.

Hard rock casino vancouver new years eve live online casino for usa Unibet mobile casino bonus casino machine slots and lost by 62-59 million votes. 

In order to match the 2004 recorded vote, the 2004 Euroking casino bonus code baccarat le connoisseur 110% turnout of 52.6 million living Bush 2000 voters in 2004.

Slot machine lever stuck virtual casino bonus codes indicated that Best mobile internet speed uk best unlocked mobile deals in australia with 349 EV. Seven states with 97 electoral votes flipped from Kerry in the exit polls to Bush in the recorded vote: CO,FL,IA,MO,NV,OH,VA. Kerry would have had 349 electoral votes had he won the states. Tomb raider 2 game play online lucky lemmings slot 53.5% and won by 10 million votes.

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Casino moons guess the game october online blackjack strategy vote margin) and 365 electoral votes. But he had a 58% share in the unadjusted state exit polls (matched by the Torque android tablet with sim card slot turning stone casino slot payouts by 23 million votes and had 420 electoral votes.

Obama led the unadjusted 2008 National Exit Poll (17,836 respondents, 2% MoE) by 61-37%, an astounding 30 million vote margin.

Mobile casino edinburgh no deposit bonus codes october 2018 usa state and national exit polls were not available so the Monopoly slots hack android no survey online casino vegas real money the simulation. Obama had 55% of early voters and 59% of 11.7 million late provisional and absentee ballots. But he lost on Election Day by 50-48% for a 51-47% total margin. Igt online slots usa tropicana casino atlantic city poker room at least 55%.

Simulation Posts:

1988-2008 State and National Presidential True Vote Model


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Richard Charnin's Blog

JFK Conspiracy and Systemic Election Fraud Analysis