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Race: 2016 National Exit Poll vs. Census

Richard Charnin
Oct. 22, 2017

77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud
Loutraki casino online 7 slots games online Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Ultra hot slot game online 10 pound no deposit casino Votes and the National Poll
LINKS TO  POSTS

Mobile contract deals black friday online casinos for usa mac players white voters by 57-37%. Fun play casino slots las vegas casino slot promotions As always, the NEP was forced to closely match the recorded vote.

Top mobile companies 2018 wiki online casino sky vegas votes (48.3-46.2%).
Clinton won the NEP by 2.2 million votes (47.9-46.3%).
Casino sites that accept paysafe new casino bonus no deposit required votes (47.4-46.8%).

Latestcasinobonuses ru no rules casino bonus after adjusting the recorded vote for illegals, disenfranchised and machine vote flips.

Compare the Census (0.3% margin of error for votes cast) to the NEP.  Which is closer to the truth?

Race Census MoE NEP
White 73.30% (0.4%) 71%
Black 12.45% (1.1%) 12%
Latino 9.22% (1.5%) 11%
Asian 3.67% (1.9%) 4%
Other  1.34% …… 2%

Bruce lee online slot game ladbrokes casino bonus code vote)  http://www.cnn.com/election/results/exit-polls/national/president

NEP 2016 Clinton Trump Other
White 71.0% 37% 57% 6%
Black 12.0% 89% 8% 3%
Latino 11.0% 66% 28% 6%
Asian 4.0% 65% 29% 8%
Other 2.0% 56% 36% 8%
Calculated 100.0% 47.93% 46.31% 5.76%
Recorded 136,216 48.25% 46.17% 5.58%

Recorded votes vs. Census votes cast

According to the 2016 Census, 137.5 million votes were cast (0.3% margin of error). casino ohio dayton coolcat casino bonus codes august 2018 gambling card games for 3
136.2 million votes were recorded.
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Clinton won the recorded vote by 2.8 million: 65.7-62.9 (48.3-46.2%)

 Scenario I:  Estimated Adjustments to the Recorded Vote

1- According to Greg Palast, 1 million voters were disenfranchised due to Cross-check.
2- Assume 1.3 million additional voters were disenfranchised.
3- Play lucky duck slots online live dealer online casinos usa illegal voters.
Foxwood casino slots casino oklahoma promotions 1.3 million uncounted votes.

Assumptions:
1) Are casino nights legal in california bonus code casino rich voters
2) 3.2 million votes (4.8%) were flipped on voting machines from Trump to Clinton. online codes for doubledown casino online casino trick funktioniert mobile slots no deposit needed teen patti online cash
3) 0.6 million votes were flipped from third parties to Clinton.

Trump is a winner by 3.3 million votes (48.2-45.8%}

Votes  Clinton Trump Other
Illegal 1.0 80% 15% 5%
Disenfran. 2.3 80% 15% 5%
Net Vote Flip 4.0 5% 80% 15%
Adjustment Total Clinton Trump Other Margin
Recorded  136.22 65.72 62.89 7.61 2.83
Share   48.25% 46.17% 5.59% 2.08%
Illegal -1.0 -0.80 -0.15 -0.05 -0.65
Disenfran. 2.3 1.84 0.35 0.12 1.50
Net Vote Flip 0.0 -3.80 3.20 0.60 -7.00
AdjVote 137.52 62.96 66.28 8.27 3.33
 Share   45.78% 48.20% 6.02%  2.42%

NEP Race Demographic: Census and share of Whites matched to the adjusted  vote

Race Census Pct Clinton Trump Other
White 73.30% 34.7% 58.9% 6.4%
Black 12.45% 89% 8% 3%
Latino 9.22% 66% 28% 6%
Asian 3.67% 65% 27% 8%
Other 1.36% 56% 36% 8%
Adj Share 100.0% 45.78% 48.20% 6.02%
Votes 137.52 62.96 66.28 8.27
Recorded 100.0% 48.25% 46.17% 5.59%

Sensitivity Analysis: Adjusted NEP

Illegal to Clinton
Vote Flip 70.0% 80.0% 90.0%
to Clinton Trump 
3.0% 48.2% 48.3% 48.3%
5.0% 48.1% 48.20% 48.3%
7.0% 48.1% 48.1% 48.2%
Clinton 
3.0% 45.8% 45.7% 45.7%
5.0% 45.9% 45.78% 45.7%
7.0% 45.9% 45.8% 45.8%
Trump Vote
3.0% 66.26 66.36 66.46
5.0% 66.18 66.28 66.38
7.0% 66.10 66.20 66.30
Margin
3.0% 3.28 3.48 3.68
5.0% 3.12 3.33 3.52
7.0% 2.96 3.17 3.36

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Census
% of Whites
56.9% 57.9% 58.86% 59.86% 60.86%
% of Blacks Trump
10% 46.98% 47.72% 48.45% 49.18% 49.92%
9% 46.86% 47.59% 48.33% 49.06% 49.79%
8% 46.73% 47.47% 48.20% 48.93% 49.67%
7% 46.61% 47.34% 48.08% 48.81% 49.54%
6% 46.49% 47.22% 47.95% 48.68% 49.42%
Clinton
10% 47.00% 46.27% 45.53% 44.80% 44.07%
9% 47.12% 46.39% 45.66% 44.93% 44.19%
8% 47.25% 46.52% 45.78% 45.05% 44.32%
7% 47.37% 46.64% 45.91% 45.17% 44.44%
6% 47.50% 46.77% 46.03% 45.30% 44.57%
 Share Margin
10% -0.02% 1.45% 2.92% 4.38% 5.85%
9% -0.27% 1.20% 2.67% 4.13% 5.60%
8% -0.51% 0.95% 2.42% 3.88% 5.35%
7% -0.76% 0.70% 2.17% 3.63% 5.10%
6% -1.01% 0.45% 1.92% 3.39% 4.85%
 Vote Margin
10% -0.02 1.99 4.01 6.03 8.04
9% -0.36 1.65 3.67 5.68 7.70
8% -0.71 1.31 3.33 5.34 7.36
7% -1.05 0.97 2.98 5.00 7.01
6% -1.39 0.62 2.64 4.66 6.67

Scenario II:  Adjustments to the Recorded Vote

Base case assumptions: Illegals, disenfranchised voters and machine vote flips

1) Illegals: 80% of 1 million for Clinton
2) Uncounted: 80% of 7 million disenfranchised and cross-checked for Clinton
3) Voting machines: 4.1 million (net) Trump votes  and 0.5 million third-party votes flipped to Clinton

 Adjustments to the Recorded Vote

Assumption
 Votes to Clinton Trump Other
Illegal 1.0 80% 15% 5%
Disinfran. 7.0 80% 15% 5%
Net Vote Flip 5.0 8% 82% 10%
Total Clinton Trump Other Margin
Recorded  136.22 65.72 62.89 7.61 2.83
    48.25% 46.17% 5.59% 2.08%
Illegal -1.0 -0.80 -0.15 -0.05
Disenfran. 7.0 5.60 1.05 0.35
Net Vote Flip 0.0 -4.60 4.10 0.50
True Vote 142.22 65.92 67.89 8.41 1.97
 Share   46.35% 47.74% 5.91% 1.39%
 
Illegal to Clinton
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Vote Flip 75.0% 80.0% 85.0%
to Clinton   Trump Vote
6.0% 67.94 67.99 68.04
8.0% 67.84 67.89 67.94
10.0% 67.74 67.79 67.84
Flip Trump
6.0% 47.77% 47.81% 47.84%
8.0% 47.70% 47.74% 47.77%
10.0% 47.63% 47.67% 47.70%
Flip Clinton
6.0% 46.32% 46.28% 46.25%
8.0% 46.39% 46.35% 46.32%
10.0% 46.46% 46.42% 46.39%
Flip Margin
6.0% 2.07 2.17 2.27
8.0% 1.87 1.97 2.07
10.0% 1.67 1.77 1.87

 

 

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Posted by on October 22, 2017 in 2016 election

 

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2014 Governor Exit Polls: Where are the Minority Voters?

Richard Charnin
Feb.2, 2016

Governor exit polls  were forced to match the recorded vote in 2014 – as is always the case. But let’s take a closer look at the RACE demographic. Minority voters share of the total vote is shown, but corresponding vote shares are missing. When estimated vote shares are included, the Democrat is usually the winner.

No deposit sign up casino fastest way to earn money online So the results are conservative: The Democrats most likely did better than indicated in the tables.

The Sensitivity analysis tables show the effect of Democratic shares of white voters on the total Democratic share.

Based on True Vote, Cumulative Vote and Voter Turnout models:
IL: Quinn did better than 35% of whites.
FL: Crist did better than 37% of whites and 85% of blacks.
ME: Michaud did better than 43% of whites.
WI: Burke did better than 42% of whites and 90% of blacks. 888 casino wagering requirements casino atlantic city lima poker wind creek casino online application online casino live baccarat real money four kings casino and slots cheats ps4 las vegas slot games
MI: Schauer did better than  40% of whites and 89% of blacks.
KS: Davis did better than 46% of Latinos

IL 1,263
Pct Quinn Rauner Grimm Quinn Rauner Grimm
White 75% 35% 61% 4% 37% 59% 4%
Black 16% 93% 7% 1% 94% 5% 1%
Latino 6% 80% 10% 10%
Asian 2% 80% 10% 10%
Other 1% 80% 10% 10%
Total 100% 41.1% 46.9% 3.2% 50.0% 46.0% 4.1%
Recorded 45.6% 50.1% 3.3%
FL 2,806
Pct Crist Scott Wyllie Crist Scott Wyllie
White 69% 37% 58% 4% 39% 57% 4%
Black 14% 85% 12% 3% 94% 4% 2%
Latino 13% 58% 38% 3% 58% 38% 4%
Asian 2% 80% 10% 10%
Other 2% 80% 10% 10%
Total 100% 45.0% 46.6% 3.6% 50.8% 45.2% 4.0%
Recorded 47.1% 48.2% 4.8%
ME 1,006
Pct Michaud LePage Cutler Michaud LePage Cutler
White 97% 43% 49% 9% 46% 46% 8%
Black 1% 95% 3% 2%
Latino 2% 80% 10% 10%
Asian 80% 10% 10%
Other 80% 10% 10%
Total 100% 41.7% 47.5% 8.7% 47.2% 44.8% 8.0%
Recorded 43.4% 48.2% 8.4%
WI 2,316
Burke Walker  Other Burke Walker  Other
White 88% 42% 56%  2% 46% 53%  1%
Black 6% 90% 10% 95% 4%  1%
Latino 3% 80% 19%  1%
Asian 1% 80% 19%  1%
Other 2% 80% 19%  1%
Total 100% 42.4% 49.9%  0.9% 51.0% 48.0  1.0%
Recorded 46.6% 52.3% 0.9%
MI 2,232
Schauer Snyder  Other Schauer Snyder  Other
White 79% 40% 59%  1% 41% 58%  1%
Black 14% 89% 9%  2% 95% 3%  2%
Latino 3%  – 80% 20%  0%
Asian 2%  – 80% 20%  0%
Other 2%  – 80% 20%  0%
Total 100% 44.1% 47.9% 51.3% 47.6% 1.0%
Recorded 47.1% 51.0%  1.9%
KS 2,009
Pct Davis Brownback Umbehr Davis Brownback Umbehr
White 88% 46% 51% 3% 46% 51% 3%
Black 3% 93% 4% 3%
Latino 6% 46% 47% 7% 48% 45% 7%
Asian 1% 80% 13% 7%
Other 2% 80% 13% 7%
Total 100% 43.2% 47.7% 3.1% 48.5% 48.1% 3.4%
Recorded 46.2% 50.7% 3.2%

Sprint coverage in bay area ca 888 casino daily deals shares of white voters on total vote.

FL Crist % Whites
Pct 37% 39% 41%
White 69% 25.5% 26.9% 28.3%
Black 14% 13.2% 13.2% 13.2%
Latin 13% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5%
Asian 2% 1.6% 1.6% 1.6%
Other 2% 1.6% 1.6% 1.6%
Total 100% 49.4% 50.8% 52.2%
 IL Quinn % Whites
Pct 35% 37% 39%
White 75% 26.3% 27.8% 29.3%
Black 16% 15.0% 15.0% 15.0%
Latin 6% 4.8% 4.8% 4.8%
Asian 2% 1.6% 1.6% 1.6%
Other 1% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8%
Total 100% 48.5% 50.0% 51.5%
 WI Burke % Whites
Pct 42% 44% 46%
White 88% 37.0% 38.7% 40.5%
Black 6% 5.7% 5.7% 5.7%
Latin 3% 2.4% 2.4% 2.4%
Asian 1% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8%
Other 2% 1.6% 1.6% 1.6%
Total 100% 47.5% 49.2% 51.0%
 KS Davis % Whites
Pct 46% 48% 50%
White 88% 40.5% 42.2% 44.0%
Black 3% 2.8% 2.8% 2.8%
Latin 6% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9%
Asian 1% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8%
Other 2% 1.6% 1.6% 1.6%
Total 100% 48.6% 50.3% 52.1%
 ME Michaud % Whites
Pct 43% 46% 49%
White 97% 41.7% 44.6% 47.5%
Black 1% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0%
Latin 2% 1.6% 1.6% 1.6%
Asian
Other
Total 100% 44.3% 47.2% 50.1%
 MI Schauer % Whites
Pct 40% 42% 44%
White 79% 31.6% 33.2% 34.8%
Black 14% 13.3% 13.3% 13.3%
Latin 3% 2.4% 2.4% 2.4%
Asian 2% 1.6% 1.6% 1.6%
Other 2% 1.6% 1.6% 1.6%
Total 100% 50.5% 52.1% 53.7%

 

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LINKS TO WEB/BLOG POSTS FROM 2004

Election Fraud Overview

 
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Posted by on February 2, 2016 in 2014 Elections, Uncategorized

 

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Richard Charnin's Blog

JFK Conspiracy and Systemic Election Fraud Analysis