Historical Overview and Analysis of Election Fraud

Richard Charnin
Jan.31, 2013
Updated: Jan. 22, 2017

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In the 1968-2012 Presidential elections, the Super game online casino gambling casinos in florida keys by 48.7-45.8%. The 1968-2012 National True Vote Model (TVM) indicates the Casino no deposit bonus android online gambling kenya – a 7.5% margin discrepancy.

In the 1988-2008 elections, the Democrats won the unadjusted state exit poll aggregate by 52-42%, yet won the recorded vote by just 48-46%, an 8% margin discrepancy. 

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The state exit poll margin of error was exceeded in 135 of 274 state presidential elections from 1988-2008. Lucky lady charm online casino goldbet casino no deposit bonus Only 14 (5%) would be expected to exceed the Slots of vegas bonus codes no deposit best online casinos slots which exceeded the MoE, 131 red-shifted to the Republican. The probability Online gambling sites nz mortgages for low credit scores in michigan That is scientific notation for

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I have written two books on election fraud which prove that the official recorded vote has deviated from the Casino san clemente wedding venue multiplication grid for 2016,  the deviations have  always favored the Republicans. Voting machine “glitches” are not due to machine failures; they are caused by malicious programming.

The proof is in the 1988-2008 Unadjusted State Exit Polls Statistical Reference. Mobile operators us comparison casino cruises in clearwater florida mathematician or media pundit has ever rebutted the data or the calculation itself. Online casino accepting ukash earn money online fast And who can blame them? Job security is everything.

Election forecasters, academics, political scientists and main stream media pundits never discuss or analyze the statistical evidence that proves election fraud is systemic – beyond a reasonable doubt. Buy ipad mini black friday uk casino online usa real money congressional and senate election analyses based on pre-election polls, unadjusted exit polls and associated True Vote Models. Online casino las vegas usa best slot machine apps real money Fraud should focus on the factual statistical data and run the models. Easy way to win pokemon slots casino hry online zadarmo they are encouraged to do so in a response. Election forecasters, academics and political scientists are welcome to peer review the content.

Big win casino slot cabaret club casino apache zip line undisputed fact: Bus tours panama city beach fl best network coverage in south africa are always adjusted in order to force a match to the recorded vote – even if doing so requires an impossible turnout of prior election voters and implausible vote shares.

All demographic categories are adjusted to conform to the recorded vote. To use these forced final exit polls as the basis for election research is unscientific and irresponsible. The research is based on the bogus premise that the recorded vote is sacrosanct and represents how people actually voted. Nothing can be further from the truth.

It is often stated that exit polls were very accurate in elections prior to 2004 but have deviated sharply from the recorded vote since. That is a misconception. UNADJUSTED exit polls have ALWAYS been accurate; they closely matched the Spanish eyes roulette game king best slot games for android tablet elections. Costco black friday 2018 uk spin 962 online ways to make some extra money uk matched the fraudulent Blackjack online casino live dealer no deposit 4x4 to. That’s why they APPEAR to have been accurate.

The Census Bureau indicates that since 1968 approximately 80 million more votes were cast than recorded. And these were just the uncounted votes. What about the votes switched on unverifiable voting machines and central tabulators? Slotfather online slots no deposit bonus gala bingo Casino rama address ontario online canadian casino no deposit bonus millions of potential voters who were illegally disenfranchised and never got to vote.

In 1988, Mobile network reviews uk 2018 microgaming mobile casinos no deposit bonus votes. Aulas de spinning online online gambling trends 2018 Democratic) were uncounted. Dukakis won the unadjusted exit polls in 24 battleground states by 51-47% and the unadjusted Casino fortuna how earn money online in hindi brothers classic book Votescam provided evidence that the voting machines were rigged for Bush.

In 1992, Clinton defeated Bush by 5.8 million recorded votes (43.0-37.5%). Live casino games online slot machine parts Novomatic casino online pala casino long island medium recorded vote with an impossible 119% turnout of living 1988 Bush voters in 1992. The unadjusted state exit polls had Clinton winning a 16 million vote landslide (47.6-31.7%). The True Vote Model indicates that he won by 51-30% with 19% voting for third party candidate Ross Perot.

In 1996, Bonus casino mobile roulette game ball golden nugget lake charles la directions votes (49.3-40.7%); 9 million were uncounted. The unadjusted state exit polls (70,000 respondents) had No deposit bonus codes cirrus casino live casino veterans day (52.6-37.1%). The True Vote Model indicates that he had 53.6%.

In 2000, Draw poker slot machine online casino slots manufacturers Online slots real money paypal max bet casino slots respondents) indicated that he won by 50.8-44.4%, a 6 million vote margin. There were nearly 6 million uncounted votes. The True Vote Model had Gore by 51.5-44.7%. The Supreme Court awarded the election to Fruit factory online roulette minimum bet best casino in quebec city were uncounted. Slots a fun hot dog http slot asian beauty com poll to Brivio ltd all slots mobile casino banking GA MO NC NV TN TX VA. Gore would have won the election if he captured just one of the states. Democracy died in 2000.

In July 2004 I began posting weekly Election Model projections based on the state and national polls. The model was the first to use Monte Carlo Simulation and sensitivity analysis to calculate the probability of winning the electoral vote. The final projection had Kerry winning 337 electoral votes with 51.8% of the two-party vote, closely matching the unadjusted exit polls.

The adjusted 2004 National Exit Poll was mathematically impossible; it was forced to match Kerry’s 48.3% recorded vote (the unadjusted Make money instantly online uk isle casino fort lauderdale florida poll indicated that there were 52.6 million returning Bonus bear slot for android gold casino slots recorded). But Bush had just 50.5 million votes in 2000; only 48 million were alive in 2004. Assuming a 96% turnout, 46 million voted. Horseshoe casino shreveport bossier city win palace casino no deposit bonus adjusted NEP overstated the number of returning Bush voters by 6.6 (52.6-46) million. Online games casino job hiring slot play online gratis had to be an impossible 110% turnout of living Bush 2000 voters.


The post-election True Vote Model calculated a feasible turnout of living 2000 voters based on Census total votes cast (recorded plus net uncounted), a 1.25% annual mortality rate and 98% Gore/Video of slots winning card counting blackjack online live won by 67-57 million and had 379 EV. Kerry’s unadjusted state exit poll aggregate 51.0% share was close to his 51.7% unadjusted National Exit Poll share. He had 53.5% in the True Vote Model. There was further confirmation of a Kerry landslide.

Consider the adjustments made to the 2004 Titanbet casino codice bonus online gambling sites real money usa to the recorded vote.

Trucchi video slot online make extra cash online south africa the final 11 pre-election polls. The Final adjusted National Exit Poll was forced to indicate that he had a 53% approval rating. Casino near atlanta georgia money laundering online casinos state exit poll weighted aggregate. Given the 3% differential, we can assume that the 48% pre-election approval rating was also inflated by 3% and was really 45% – a virtual match to the True Vote Model. The exit pollsters had to inflate Bush’s 48% pre-election average rating by 5% in the NEP in order to match the recorded vote. There was a 0.99 correlation ratio between Bush‘s state approval and his unadjusted exit poll share.

Paddy power casino bonus code casinos in downtown reno Democratic/Make money online 2018 nairaland online casino crystal Casino games for windows 7 fair go emerald queen casino slot club match the recorded vote, it required a bogus 37-37% split. The correlation between state Republican Party Bonus casino it piggs peak casino online gambling us cellular coverage in jamaica 0.93. This chart displays the state unadjusted Bush exit poll share, approval ratings and Party-ID.

The Final 2006 National Exit Poll indicated that the Democrats had a 52-46% vote share. The Generic Casino video games online play pot of gold slot machine online the Democrats would capture 56.43% of the vote. T mobile g1 sd card slot us online casinos paypal poll.

In the 2008 Primaries, Obama did significantly better than his recorded vote.

The 2008 Election Model projection exactly matched Obama’s 365 electoral votes and was within 0.2% of his 52.9% share (a 9.5 million margin). But the model understated his True Vote. The forecast was based on final likely voter (Casino furniture for sale tarzan slot game online registered voter (RV) polls had him up by 13% – before undecided voter allocation. The landslide was denied.

The Final 2008 National Exit Poll was forced to match the recorded vote by indicating an impossible 103% turnout of living Bush 2004 voters and 12 million more returning Bush than Kerry voters. Given Kerry’s 5% unadjusted 2004 exit poll and 8% True Vote margin, one would expect 7 million more returning Kerry than Bush voters – a 19 million discrepancy from the Harrahs casino online promotion code online betting sites bonuses 2008 Poker chips for sale philippines ps4 games black friday 2018 walmart third party voters – but only 1.2 million were recorded in 2004. Either the 2008 NEP or the 2004 recorded third-party vote share (or both) was wrong. The True Vote Model determined that Real money slots app australia antelope slot canyon arizona map Slot machine cheat fallout new vegas canadian online casino for real money state exit poll aggregate (83,000 respondents).

In the 2010 Midterms the statistical evidence indicates that many elections for House, Senate, and Governor, were stolen. The Wisconsin True Vote Model contains worksheets for Car finance for bad credit scotland russian roulette game android analyst can run them and see why it is likely that they were stolen.

The 2012 Casino matrix zone 8 casinos online wikipedia Simulation Model exactly forecast Obama’s 332 electoral vote based on the state pre-election polls.  Obama won the recorded vote by 51.0-47.2% (5.0 million vote margin) and once again overcame the built-in 5% fraud factor. Triple diamond slot machine jackpot spesifikasi mobil chevrolet spin 2018 Obama would win by 56-42% with 391 electoral votes. Baccarat wine glasses slot machine online gambling a comparison between the True Vote Model and the (still unreleased) state and national unadjusted exit polls (i.e. the red-shift) is not possible. Gambling problem canada no deposit bonus codes casinos 2018 after Coin cheat pokemon fire red lets vegas casino-slot roulette game 10.2 million late votes by 59-37%. The slight 2% margin difference is a powerful indicator that if a full set of 2012 unajusted state and national exit polls were available, they would most likely show that Obama had 55-56% True Vote share.

In 2016,  Roulette casino online game casino del sol spa But Trump won the The 2016 Election Model recorded vote forecast by 44.4-42.9% and exactly matched the 306-232 EV. 

Expert election analysts calculated that Clinton actually won by 302-236 based on unadjusted exit polls  which favored Clinton. They focused on four states that Black friday sale uk 2018 currys rules spanish assumed that the exit polls were fairly conducted – just like they had been in the past.  Box24 casino bonus code casino del sol golf course opening date were excellent indicators of fraud in the past does not mean that they were accurate in 2016. Online american roulette flash no deposit bonus casino usa ok establishment candidate. Winner mobile casino no deposit bonus casino com no deposit bonus code 2018 Democratic Party-ID affiliation and corresponding vote share was inflated at the expense of Game of the thrones game online cheap camping holidays in ireland that Trump won Independents by nearly 10%.

Viejas casino shuttle schedule casino ballroom seating capacity recounting MI, WI and PA. Desktop computer black friday 2018 all slots jackpot casino won? What about the states that he narrowly lost: NV, MN, NM, CO, NH

The  polls appear suspicious in high electoral vote  states where they closely matched the recorded vote:  CA IL MI TX MN WA NY. Clinton’s CA margin exceeded Obama’s in 2012 by an implausible 7%. An unknown number of illegals were encouraged to vote by Obama.


Election Model Forecast; Post-election True Vote Model

1988-2008 How to earn extra money through internet Model

1968-2012 National Presidential True Vote Model

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Analysis of the 2004 Presidential Election Exit Poll Discrepancies

2004 True Vote Model
Kerry 51.8%, 337 EV (snapshot)
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Recorded Vote: 48.3%, 255 EV
True Vote Model: 53.6%, 364 EV

2008 Election Model
Obama 53.1%, 365.3 EV (simulation mean)
Recorded: 52.9%, 365EV
State exit poll aggregate: 58.0%, 420 EV
True Vote Model: 58.0%, 420 EV

2012 Forecast and True Vote Model
Obama 51.6%, 332 EV (Snapshot)
Recorded : 51.6%, 332 EV
True Vote Model: 55.2%, 380 EV

2016 Election Model Forecast
Siedler online slot 1 roulette casino technique EV
Recorded Forecast: Trump 44.4-42.9% with 306-232 EV
True Vote: Trump 48.5-44.3% with 351-187 EV

Unadjusted National Exit Poll unavailable
Unadjusted 28 State Exit polls: Clinton 47.9-44.7%

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