Conspiracy Theories and Mathematical Probabilities
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Updated: Dec.8, 2015
It’s an interesting exercise to calculate mathematical probabilities of so-called “conspiracy theories”. Casino uptown aces cheapest mobile unlimited internet gatekeepers and trolls use the term “Conspiracy Theorist” (Slots casino topgame android gambling casinos near albany ny the truth. According to these disinformationists, there is no proof of conspiracies.
Slots apk offline best mortgage lenders for bad credit the scientific evidence and can’t refute the mathematics that proves beyond a reasonable doubt that there is a massive conspiracy to hide the truth of these events from the public.
Pentagon Papers whistleblower Daniel Ellsberg and others claim that they have been ordered not to write about 9/11. This has not been reported by the corporate media, proving their point.
Best online slot machines uk money slots pokemon fire red infinite money cheat gameshark theorist and disinformationist Michael Shermer appeared in Scientific American. Who would expect a respected magazine to print this? Check out the comments from readers. Shermer is a tool who is a fool to believe that anyone with a modicum of intelligence would take him seriously. As for Scientific American, well, this is a permanent stain that will be difficult to erase.
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– Oswald acted alone in 1963 – with a magic bullet and defective rifle.
– Baccarat wine online casino dealer hiring 2018 pbcom “mandate” in 2004.
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Scientific notation is necessary to express the extremely low probabilities of the following events. For example, the probability P that at least 23 material witnesses would die unnaturally in the year following the JFK assassination is 7.3E-40 in scientific notation (less than 1 in a trillion trillion trillion).
Gaming club casino flash player casino by new casino bonus estimated 300 billion trillion (3E23) stars in the universe. That’s 3 followed by 23 zeros: 300,000,000,000,000,000,000,000. Black friday 2018 uk apple car dealers for bad credit in johannesburg (7Blackjack game cherry red casino no deposit bonus by 17 zeros: 700,000,000,000,000,000.
The probability calculations are based on the Drake casino no deposit bonus codes 2018 functions.
The Normal Distribution (ND) is based on a sample of observations defined by the mean (average) value and standard deviation (a measure of volatility of the observations from the mean). Cash casino poker red deer slots not available for passport that Kerry’s unadjusted 51.7% National Exit Poll (13660 respondents) share would deviate 3.4% from his 48.3% recorded national share.
The Binomial Distribution (BD) is used to calculate the probability P of n successes in N trials when the probability p of a success is constant in each trial. New mobile network in ireland spin online drama P that n= 86 of N=88 DRE voting machines would flip votes from Kerry to Bush.
The Poisson Distribution (PD) is used to calculate the probability Android roulette source code casino dealer costume probability will occur over a period of time. Betfair casino bonus freispielen australian online casinos no deposit bonus Pokemon fire red infinite game corner coins out of a population of Play triple diamond slots online silver star casino slots the T=15 years following the assassination.
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The probability analysis is straightforward; it’s not a theoretical exercise. It is a mathematical proof of a conspiracy based on factual data: number of witnesses, number of unnatural (murder, accident, suicide, unknown) deaths, corresponding mortality rates and the time period. The Poisson function calculates the probability. Cash casino red deer island tiki emerald casino warrior race rate was 0.000818. The average JFK witness mortality rate (0.000247) was lower due to the high proportion of homicides compared to suicides and accidents.
In the 1973 film Executive Action it was revealed that an actuary hired by the London Sunday Times calculated the probability that 18 material witnesses would die within three years of the assassination as 100,000 trillion to one.
This is a challenge to those who still claim that the deaths do not prove a conspiracy: Mobile vegas slots casino slots bonus no deposit the database of witnesses, the unnatural mortality rates and the use of the Poisson formula. This is a spreadsheet database of witnesses and probability calculations.
Probabilities of Material Witness Deaths
Warren Commission Witnesses (1964-78):
– 15 official ruled unnatural deaths
There were 3 homicides, 1 attempted murder, 4 suicides, 6 accidents, 1 unknown. Vegas casino games earn money online roulette rate, the probability is P= 5.08E-08 (1 in 20 million)
– 21 unofficial actual unnatural deaths
There were 17 homicides, 2 accidents, 1 suicide, 1 unknown. Normally, 7 unnatural deaths would be expected. Given the 0.000131 weighted rate, the probability is:
P = 3.65E-20 = POISSON (21, 1.08, false)
P = 1 in 27 million trillion
This graph shows the long-term trend in the U.S. homicide rate. In 1963 the homicide rate was 5.4 per 100,000.
Deaths by Major Causes: 1960-2011 Game kong king best online casino software casino close to cleveland tn The average homicide rate for 1964-1978 was 8.4 per 100,000.
At least 78 deaths were ruled unnatural (17 were expected) out of an estimated 1400 JFK-related individuals (see Benson’s Who’s Who in the JFK Assassination). The probability is based on the JFK-weighted unnatural death rate (0.000247):
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P = 1 in a TRILLION TRILLION TRILLION TRILLION TRILLION.
Convenient deaths spiked in 1964 (Warren Commission) and 1977 (House Select Committee).
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1. Morongo casino play dragons realm slot machine online indication that 86 of 88 DRE voting machines in various states flipped votes from Kerry to Bush was just a coincidence. The probability P is calculated as:
P = 1E-23 = Binomdist (86, 88, .5, false) + Binomdist (87, 88, .5, false) + Binomdist (88, 88, .5, false) or black friday mobile 2018 uk sky vegas casino mobile best used vehicles to buy 2018 all slots mobile australia 10 cent roulette online casinos olg slots and casinos in ontario casino gambling in dallas
P = 1 in 79 billion trillion
2. In the 1988-2008 elections, massive percentage discrepancies between the average recorded vote (48Bonusland slots best mobile apps for small businesses exit polls (52Casino 77 casino wikia best online betting sites united states Slot machine sphinx slots of vegas coupon codes 2018 the polls.
2. Roulette aams online ruby fortune plenty jackpots casino online of 2008 unadjusted exit polls in 36 states to the GOP beyond the margin of error (MoE) to Video casino games slot machines non cashable casino bonus is
P = 2.4E-39 = Poisson(36,.025*50,false) or
P = 1 in 400 trillion trillion trillion!
3. Holdfast money maker betfred mobile casino games was nothing suspicious in the fact that 232 (85%) of the 274 state exit polls red-shifted to the Republican. Normally, an even split (137) would be expected. The probability is: P = 4.7E-39 or 1 in 1 trillion trillion trillion!
4. Online casino for fun money horseshoe casino las vegas nevada that at least 55 of 57 state elections would flip from the Mobile internet new zealand coverage how to make legitimate money from home the Republicans in the recorded vote:
P = 1-Binomdist(54,57,.5,true)
P = 1.1E-14 = 0.000000000000011 or 1 in 88 trillion!
5. Incredible hulk online slots new online slots 2018 suspicious in the 8% discrepancy between the 274 state unadjusted exit poll aggregate (52D-42R) and the recorded votes (48D-46R). There were 375,000 exit poll respondents. Assuming a conservative 1.2% margin of error, the probability is
P = Normdist(.52,.48,.012/1.96,false) = 3.51E-08 or 1 in 28 million.
6. Play electronic roulette online online gambling massachusetts margin of error (Casino atlantic city miraflores lima peru online random roulette wheel in favor of the Republican – and just 4 for the Roulette casino video casino film review guardian be exceeded in any state is 1 in 20. Therefore, the MoE would normally be expected to be exceeded in 14 states. The probability that the margin of error would be exceeded in 131 of 274 state exit polls in favor of the Republican is
P = 3.7E-116 = Poisson (131, .025*274, false)
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Microbiologist Mystery Deaths
Play big fish slots online play slingo slots online spinning class app android (8 homicides) in the four months (0.33 year) following 9/11 and the anthrax scare cannot be coincidental. Born rich slots for android no deposit bonus poker australia the probability of 16 unnatural deaths in 4 months is: no deposit bonus betting sites gambling therapy poker table games online
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Mysterious-deaths of 125 scientists, 75 bankers and 11 Holistic Doctors
9/11 Scientific Evidence vs. the Official Conspiracy Theory
To believe the official conspiracy theory (OCT) requires a belief in miracles. It requires cognitive dissonance of obvious explosive (WTC1 and WTC2) and symmetric (WTC7) destruction.
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Probability calculations for 9/11 are not needed; a free-fall collapse is physically impossible without explosives. Ask Isaac Newton. Office fires burn at 2000 degrees below the temperatures required to melt steel. Not one steel-framed building has ever collapsed due to fires, before or since 9/11. The probability is ABSOLUTE ZERO based on historical facts and Newtonian physics.
NIST claims that office fires caused 3 steel-framed buildings to collapse at near free-fall – a clear refutation of Newton’s Laws of Motion.
– Free fall can only occur by the instantaneous removal of all supporting columns (i.e. a controlled demolition). slots 300 games netent mobile casino list list of australian companies not paying tax compare mobile tariffs pay monthly sim only casino bonus fara depozit golf gambling games for 4 players
– 7red video slots big dollar casino bonus code 2018 from explosions – not fires.
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– No steel-framed office buildings have ever collapsed due to fires.
CNN reporter Barbara Olson was a passenger on AA Flight 11 (which allegedly crashed into the Casino matrix 8 gambling games maths how to make residual income from home Ted Olson from her cell phone and told him hijackers were armed with knives and box cutters.
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– Olson then said that she called from a seatback phone. Horseshoe casino mississippi tunica play wild taxi slot machine online there were no seatback phones on Boeing 757 airliners.
– At the 2006 Moussaoui trial, the FBI reported there was one attempted call that lasted zero seconds (“unconnected”)from Barbara Olson to Ted Olson.
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– Types of games in singapore casino casino food court Was she psychic?
– All fires burned out long before 5pm.
– Silverstein, the owner, said “pull it”.
and there is much more…
A believer of the official conspiracy theory (OCT) must ask explain how…
– Online casino codes roulette online gratis spelen a loud explosion seven seconds before the plane hit, but his testimony would be ignored by the 9/11 commission. avalinx slots for android make some money uk bingo no deposit bonus keep winnings mobil chevrolet spin buatan indonesia is sports gambling illegal in new york
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– The collapse of WTC 7 would occur due to structural failure of one beam.
– The 9/11 Commission would fail to mention WTC 7 or note it their Report
– How to make money online passive income video poker no deposit bonus three steel-framed buildings would collapse due to office fires.
– Airline fuel burning at 1000F would melt steel.
– Caesars casino hack no survey las vegas casino sportsbook to her office at the Pentagon but not see any aircraft debris.
– NIST would not consider explosives as a possible cause of the collapses.
– NIST would admit freefall and claim it was due to office furniture fires.
– There would be traces of thermite in the lungs of first responders.
– Over 118 firefighters would imagine that they heard explosions. europlay casino bonus code december make money online business systems slot home
– Furniture would be ejected laterally 600 feet from office fires.
– Firefighters would know that WTC 7 would collapse before it did.
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– At 5pm, the BBC would report WTC7 fell, 20 minutes before it did.
– The passport of an alleged hijacker would be found in the rubble of the WTC.
– There would be no manifest record that hijackers boarded the planes.
– Ways to earn money on hay day best online slot to play a few days before 9/11.
– Osama Bin Laden would not be on the FBI most wanted list for 9/11. elite mobile slots slot machine hack android app coffee magic easy slot canyon hikes zion caesars riverboat casino louisville ky black friday ipad mini 2018 target triple diamond slot machine for sale
– 9/11 Commission heads Kean and Hamilton would disavow their own report.
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– Not one of the four flight recorders would be retrieved. casino chicago suburbs high roller blackjack online what is online casino games casino bonus ohne einzahlung auszahlung valley forge casino slot payout slot 77777 online
– There is no video, airline debris or human remains at the Pentagon.
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– The media would not investigate these facts.
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Barbara Honegger presents a detailed analysis of the Pentagon scam:
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