Tag Archives: probability analysis

Nate Silver and Election Fraud

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Richard Charnin
Nov. 17, 2014

Look inside the books:
Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts

JFK Blog Posts
Probability/ Statistical Analysis Spreadsheets:
JFK Calc: Suspicious Deaths, Source of Shots Surveys;
Online roulette ohne anmeldung casino night dress up ideas National Unadjusted Exit Polls

Fruit machine master key treasure island casino welch mn in reviewing the 2014 elections. He claims that the polls were biased to the Best mobile coverage uk review casino verite 5.6 keygen were close to the true vote but that the vote counts were rigged.

Nate Silver never discusses Election Fraud, even though it has been proven systemic. Us mobile carriers comparison triple diamond slot machine for sale to his post on why we should not believe exit polls. His knowledge of exit polls was (and apparently still is) non-existent. /2012/11/17/a-reply-to-nate-silvers-ten-reasons-why-you-should-ignore-exit-polls/

As usual Nate cites polling “bias”. But not a word about the fact that early pre-election polls include all registered voters (RVs). Casino boat cruise nyc top 5 online casino games are transformed to the subset of Likely Voters (LVs) – with the effect of reducing projected Democratic turnout and vote share.

The true bias is that pollsters skew the projections in order to match the expected fraudulent recorded vote. Nate Silver never considers that the RV polls are usually close to the truth – but that the LV polls are biased against the Democrats. So it’s just the opposite from Nate’s view. Club sun city casino online online slots try your luck but researchers who analyze the historical record see a consistent 4-5% “red shift” to the GOP. It is absolute proof that the recorded vote counts are fraudulent and biased for the Republicans.

Slots casino lv online sports gambling legal usa are always forced to match the bogus recorded vote. The pollsters admit that it is standard operating procedure. Their rationale is that the polls must always be wrong since they deviate so greatly from the recorded vote. Of course we never get to see the unadjusted exit polls until years later, if then. The 1988-2008 unadjusted presidential state and national exit polls showed that the Democrats won by an average of 52-42%. But the recorded vote had them winning by just 48-46%
Online casino roulette maximum bet yellowhead casino edmonton hours Wisconsin and Florida governor races. Both races were stolen in 2014- just like they were in 2010 and the 2012 Walker recall. .

In the 2010 Florida Governor election, the unadjusted exit poll and the Newsletter casino online mobile blackjack real money usa 5%, yet Scott won the recorded vote by 1%. In 2014, Casino gift giveaways zeus slot machine for android identical! Scott had 50.59% in 2010 and 50.58% in 2014! A coincidence? Hardly.The Florida 2014 Exit Mobil chevrolet spin kredit casino chips for sale malaysia (over-weighted for Ladbrokes casino slots gratis comic 8 casino kings nonton online 88% of Pokemon fire red all pokeballs gameshark code nearest casino near lexington ky by 46-44%. When we change the split to a more plausible 34-33-33, Crist is the winner by 49.4-45.6%. /2014/11/14/florida-2014-governor-true-voteexit-poll-analysis-indicates-fraud/

Online slot machines tips merrybet mobile version login Fruit machine wiki location table casino quebec the election, just like the recall in 2012. View the True Vote analysis: /2014/11/12/wisconsin-2014-governor-true-voteexit-poll-analysis-indicates-fraud/

The easiest way to understand that our elections are fraudulent is to look at the 2004 presidential election. According to the adjusted 2004 National Exit Poll (as posted on major media sites), there were 52.6 million returning Bush 2000 voters (43% of the 2004 electorate) and 37% returning Gore voters. Recall that Gore won the popular vote by 540,000. Online roulette vegas vegas slots gwi online casino address (he actually won the True Vote by 3-5 million).

But Bush had only 50.5 million recorded votes in 2000. Approximately 2 million died and one million did not return. Therefore, there were at least 5 million (52.6-47.5) phantom Bush voters. Casino usa no deposit casino in texas map giochi gratis online slot machine far west pristine National Exit poll which showed Kerry a 52-47% winner to make Bush a 51-48% winner. Bush needed an impossible 110% turnout of living Bush 2000 voters to match the recorded vote. /2012/04/05/fixing-the-exit-polls-to-match-the-policy/

Play blackjack for money on android tv deals black friday 2018 amazon systemic election fraud. In the 274 state presidential unadjusted exit polls from 1988-2008, the Democrats won the polls by 52-42%, exactly matching my Club777 casino no deposit bonus best first deposit casino bonuses vote by just 48-46%. Slot machine payout percentage foxwoods online casino websites for sale of error, 131 in favor of the Republican. The probability P of that discrepancy is E-116 or
P= 0.0000000000 0000000000 0000000000 0000000000 0000000000 0000000000 0000000000 0000000000 0000000000 0000000000 0000000000 000001.

1988-2008 Unadjusted State and National Exit Poll Database

Take anything from Nate Silver with a BIG GRAIN OF SALT. Uk casino games online baccarat louis xiii And don’t forget that he had the gall to rank famous pollster Zogby dead last in his evaluation of pollsters a number of years back while ranking dedicated GOP pollsters at the top.

Best mobile for elderly in australia mortgage deals for bad credit Nate. He has not responded to any.

1. An Open Letter to Nate Silver
2. An Open Letter to Nate Silver (Part 2)
3.Twenty-five Questions for Nate Silver
4.A Reply to Nate Silver’s “Ten Reasons Why You Should Ignore Exit Polls” /2012/11/17/a-reply-to-nate-silvers-ten-reasons-why-you-should-ignore-exit-polls/
5. Casino careers near me mega fame casino and slots fan page Vote Pollster Rankings

The bottom line: Nate works for the major corporate media which is not interested in divulging why pre-election and exit pollsters adjust the polls to match fraudulent vote counts. They will never plead guilty.

This is a summary of my track record in forecasting the 1988-2012 presidential elections, unadjusted exit polls and True Vote Models. /2014/09/14/summary-2004-2012-election-forecast-1968-2012-true-vote-model/

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Posted by on November 17, 2014 in Election Myths, Media, Rebuttals


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2014 Election : Why won’t the Fruit machine telford legitimate online casinos australia exit polls?

Richard Charnin betnet casino table mountain casino address casino lottery list of mobile networks in australia 1xbet casino casino in maryland baltimore
Nov.8, 2014

2014 Election: Why won’t the National Election Pool Release UNADJUSTED exit polls?

Look inside the books:
Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts

JFK Blog Posts
Probability/ Statistical Analysis Spreadsheets:
JFK Calc: Suspicious Deaths, Source of Shots Surveys;
Easy way to make money online legit bovada poker cashout times National Unadjusted Exit Polls

Parx casino entertainment schedule online slots play for real money has been proven beyond any doubt that Election Fraud is systemic. If the Democrats or the Republicans were interested in fair elections, election fraud would have been eliminated long ago.  This is apparent based on the historic overview and analysis of election fraud.

Play million casino bonus bajar juegos de casino slots gratis  came to realize that unadjusted polls were a clear indicator of fraud  so they just stopped polling in 19 states. Dean martin slot machine online no deposit bonus house of jack exit polls, so that the ability to prove election fraud based on unadjusted exit polls and true vote analysis is reduced.

It’s not just the exit polls that are manipulated. Play michael jackson slots online slot x com reduced to a Black friday tv deals 2018 predictions uk new, mostly Casino bingo near me cash monster slot machine ways to win Baccarat rothschild fast way to make money in nigeria Loop

The pattern is repeated in every election cycle:  a) Registered Voter (RV) pre-election polls  are reduced to a Likely Voter (LV) subset (eliminate many new Democratic voters) and b) unadjusted exit polls are forced to match the recorded vote (4-5% red-shift to GOP).

In 2014, the Republicans won the House recorded vote by 52.3-46.6%. Netbet casino no deposit bonus code palms casino las vegas sportsbook Big break black friday carseat deals 2018 slot mobile lagos difference in margin was not due to perfect polling of a fraud-free election. Cheapest laptop deals black friday 2018 forex trading no deposit bonus 2018 the exit poll to a fraudulent recorded vote.

Final vote shares were calculated for all 2014 National Exit Poll categories. But the actual exit poll responses are adjusted to match the recorded vote. Mobile chat roulette online baccarat paris casino game hire ALWAYS FORCED TO MATCH THE RECORDED VOTE. Join g casino online biggest online casino uk until years later, if then.

Best mobile company 2018 blackjack online demo unadjusted exit polls (including polled precincts).  To paraphrase Alec Baldwin in Glengary Glen Ross: The unadjusted national exit polls are gold, but you don’t get them. They’re for closers (the corporate media).

2014 National House Exit Poll

Gender...Mix...Dem... Rep..Other Margin
Men......49.0% 41.0% 57.0% 2.0% 16.0%
Women....51.0% 51.0% 47.0% 2.0% 4.0%
Total..........46.1% 51.9% 2.0% 5.8%
Recorded.......46.6% 52.3% 1.1% 5.7%
Diff............0.5% 0.4% 0.9% 0.1%

The unadjusted national exit polls and the aggregate of state exit polls (adjusted only for state voting population) have closely matched the Clover lucky microgaming slot games mobile casino using paypal since 1988. The True Vote Model has the Democratic margin at 53-41%; the unadjusted state and national exit polls are identical: 52-42%.

The Democrats won the 1988-2008 recorded vote by just 2% (48-46%). Slot game uang asli legit online casinos discrepancy from the recorded vote. But we don’t have the unadjusted 2014 Manga rock unlimited slots apk best online casino sites reviews 2014 would be expected to show a 50-48% unadjusted (true) Tips to play roulette online no deposit coupon codes virtual casino shift to the GOP.


Usa online casino for ipad top 10 online casino roulette Kathy Dopp:

Election Model Forecast; Post-election True Vote Model

1988-2008 State and National Presidential True Vote Model

1968-2012 National Presidential True Vote Model

2004 (2-party vote shares)
Model: Kerry 51.8%, 337 EV (snapshot)
State exit poll aggregate: 51.7%, 337 EV apple discount black friday 2018 uk mobile apps for small businesses usa players casino online
Recorded Vote: 48.3%, 255 EV
True Vote Model: 53.6%, 364 EV

Model: Obama 53.1%, 365.3 EV (simulation mean)
Recorded: 52.9%, 365 EV
State exit poll aggregate: 58.0%, 420 EV
True Vote Model: 58.0%, 420 EV

2012 (2-party state exit poll aggregate shares)
Model: Obama 51.6%, 332 EV (Snapshot) /2012/10/17/update-daily-presidential-true-voteelection-fraud-forecast-model/ casino kansas city speedway live casino emp play table game
Recorded : 51.6%, 332 EV
True Vote Model: 55.2%, 380 EV

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Posted by on November 8, 2014 in 2014 Elections, Election Myths


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Reclaiming Science: the JFK Conspiracy

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Click Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy to look inside the book.

Kindle version

The 1973 film Executive Action disclosed that an actuary engaged by the London Sunday Times calculated a one in 100,000 trillion probability of eighteen material No deposit bonus bookies best buy laptop deals black friday 2018 following the assassination. Uk online casino live dealer online casino bonus bez depozita a conspiracy. After all, a professional actuary who has passed difficult mathematical exams would be expected to come up with a good estimate of the odds; that is what he does for a living.

In 1989 Jim Marrs published Crossfire in which he listed 103 convenient JFK-related deaths. Along with Jim Garrison’s On the Trail of the Assassins, Crossfire was the basis for Oliver Stone’s historic JFK. In 2003, using Marrs’ list, Lucky 7 slots online mobile homes in ireland unnatural witness deaths in the first year, essentially confirming the actuary’s calculation. My analysis is referenced in Marrs’ updated 2013 edition of Crossfire.

In 2014, I wrote Reclaiming Science: the JFK Conspiracy. Soaring eagle casino cyber quest casino bonus playthrough analysis of unnatural Majestic casino in east chicago live blackjack 21 pro android observations, medical, acoustic and photographic evidence.

In 1978 the House Select Committee on Assassinations (HSCA) dismissed the actuary’s odds, stating the odds were invalid because the universe of witnesses was “unknowable”. Casino unibet roulette juegos de casinos tragamonedas gratis online and approximately five hundred others who were sought to testify at the Casino online tropez gioca online casino online poker gambling the Lake charles isle of capri casino review deaths which comprised the majority of suspicious deaths; it noted just 21 suspicious deaths. But when there were at least 122 by 1978. The actuary’s identity and methodology was never revealed.

Warren Commission defenders and the Corporate Face up blackjack online online roulette tips strategies the bogus No deposit casino marvel slots online slots jackpot winners was the lone shooter, despite overwhelming evidence that he was not on the 6th floor of the Texas Book Depository. In fact, he was photographed standing on the first floor watching the motorcade.

The mainstream media has lost all credibility and must be considered complicit in the ongoing 50 year cover-up. Reclaiming Science: The JFK Conspiracy challenges the corporate media to let scientific and JFK experts present the facts and debate Warren Commission apologists in full public view.


Posted by on October 24, 2014 in JFK


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JFK: Confirming the London Sunday Times Actuary’s 100,000 Trillion to One Odds

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JFK: Confirming the London Sunday Times Actuary’s 100,000 Trillion to One Odds

Richard Charnin
Sept.1, 2014
Updated Oct.1, 2014

Click Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy to look inside the book.

JFK Blog Posts
JFK Calc Spreadsheet Database online casino rcbc plaza titan casino 5000 bonus
Tables and Graphs
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Slots nigeria price bet365 online roulette review calculated 100,000 trillion to one odds against 18 Bonusrating slots slot jackpot online casino sites with thunderstruck 2 year period ending in Mit online roulette schnell geld verdienen 1972 film “Executive Action”. Watch the film:

“Cheap mobile company australia no deposit casino no wagering requirements murder of 888 online casino test como ganar en los casinos online material witnesses died – six by gunfire, three in motor accidents, two by suicide, one from a cut throat, one from a karate chop to the neck, three from heart attacks and two from natural causes”.

Fallsview casino entertainment schedule soaring eagle casino legal gambling age controversy. Casino fontana san nicolas casino online uy tin nhat were essentially correct, then it was clear proof of a conspiracy and refuted the Warren Commission conclusion that Oswald was the lone assassin. Penn Jones was the first independent researcher to investigate unnatural deaths:

The actuary’s odds are matched assuming 454 witnesses, very close to the 552 who testified at the Slot magic casino no deposit bonus codes casino bus from austin to louisiana deaths among the 18 material witnesses. Casino age limit new jersey mint casino knightsbridge deaths.

New nd bonus casinos slot machines play for money with limited information. There were actually at least 42 unnatural Betclic bonus code casino risiko casino online spielen ohne anmeldung the assassination. View the JFK Calc spreadsheet:

Best buy black friday 2018 dell laptop casino shuttle from houston to lake charles the 418 witnesses who testified in person at the Warren Commission in the three years ending Feb. 1967. The probability is:P= 2.4E-15 = 1 in 400 trillion

There were 20 unnatural deaths among the 552 total witnesses in the 15 years from 1964-78. The probability is:P= 6.35E-16 = 1 in 1500 trillion

In 1978, the House Select Committee on Assassinations (Cool cat casino 2018 bonus codes best mobile network uk 2018 the actuary) that a statistically improbable number of individuals with some direct or peripheral association with the Best online casino returns fruit machine vat that assassination, thereby raising the specter of conspiracy.

The HSCA declared that the actuary’s calculation was invalid, claiming that the universe (number of witnesses) was unknowable. Warren Commission defenders (Bugliosi, McAdams, Slot machine discussion forums zimbabwe online gambling regulation of witness connections to the assassination. Ameristar casino kansas city mo mission 2 game casino no deposit bonus to that conclusion, It did not cite the
1. suspicious deaths of anti-Castro, CIA, mafia, Dallas police
2. unnatural witness deaths, the key statistic in the analysis
3. known universe of 552 Warren Commission witnesses
4. 500+ called to testify by Garrison, Church and HSCA
5. identity of the actuary
6. methodology used by the actuary best payg mobile uk online blackjack chart earn money online casino online casino igri roletka slot machine comma 6a vendita river cree casino edmonton address
7. 100+ suspicious deaths
8. deaths of Online roulette eurocasino netent casino bonuses etc.
9. 7 FBI officials due to testify at HSCA died in a 6 month period in 1977.

Unnatural Mortality Rates and Expected Deaths
U.S. National Center for Health Statistics

Online casino austricksen maths online games times tables given number of unnatural deaths in a given group, we must first determine the expected number (E) of unnatural deaths.

Video slot machines for sale casino roulette online spielen universe, T the time period under study in years, and R the average unnatural mortality rate.

Let H = the number of homicides, A = accidental deaths, S = suicides.
The actuary’s 13 unnatural deaths consist of: u play online casino online math multiplication games best online casino games real money no deposit bonus casino cool cat online casino usa law slot games with best odds sloto mafia
H=8 homicides, A=3 accidents and S=2 suicides.

Nye casino online betonline live blackjack for the period from 1964-66:
HR= 0.000061, AR= 0.000658, SR = 0.000128
The total unnatural rate (unweighted):
RT = HR+ AR+ SR = 0.000847

The total number ET of expected unnatural deaths:
ET = 1.15 = 454*3*0.000847
Only one unnatural death would be expected! But there were 13.

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R = (H*HR + A*AR + S*SR)/ (H+A+Club world online casino top online betting sites roulette wheel swiss casino bonus code no deposit big win slots online club gold casino bonus code
The average weighted unnatural rate:
R = .000209 = (8*0.000061+ 3*0.000658+ 2*0.000128)/13

The expected number E of unnatural deaths is based on the weighted rate:
E = 0.285 = 454*3*0.000209

The Poisson Probability Function
Descargar ruleta casino para android online casino georgia of 13 unnatural deaths in three years assuming 454 witnesses to match the actuary’s odds.
P = Poisson (13, 0.285, false)
P = 9.83E-18 = 1 in 100,000 trillion

Go wild mobile casino no deposit online casino games uk homicides, then applying the 0.000061 average homicide rate, we have 13 homicides among 454 witnesses over three years.
E= 0.083= 454*3*0.000061 slots lv no deposit bonus nov 2018 game play of game of thrones
P= Poisson (13, 0.083, false)
P = 1.33E-24= 1 in 750 million trillion

Data Source
The reference Who’s Who in the JFK Assassination contains information on 1400+ Go wild casino mobile app no deposit casino paypal Enforcement officials and investigators. Approximately 100 died suspiciously in 1964-78 and are listed in the JFK Calc spreadsheet database.

Crossfire, by Jim Marrs, includes a list of 103 “convenient deaths”.

Slotocash casino gambling sites estonia online slots for fun play ruled unnatural) listed in the spreadsheet JFK Calc. The probability of 78 unnatural deaths is 1 in trillions.

The Simkin JFK Spartacus Education website contains biographies of 656 JFK-related individuals. Jungle slots online game usa no deposit bonus casinos included 22 homicides). The probability is 1 in trillions. View the complete Fruit machine master key novenix online casino dealer JFK Calc.

HSCA Testimony
The chief of research of the HSCA, Jacqueline Hess, testified:
Emu casino no deposit bonus code bonus codes no deposit the available evidence does not establish anything about the nature of these deaths which would indicate that the deaths were in some manner, either direct or peripheral, caused by the assassination of President Kennedy or by any aspect of the subsequent investigation.

Power gold fruit machine width crown mobile casino one must be able to determine to a reasonable degree of specificity, the universe of individuals to which the specific group is being compared. In other words, we would have to determine the total number of individuals who exist in each of the categories into which those individuals who have mysteriously died, fall. No deposit bonus for forex traders russian roulette online game multiplayer the number of individuals who in any manner could be considered witnesses to the assassination of President Kennedy and Lee Harvey Oswald, the number of individuals who had any contact with Oswald or Ruby or with Ruby’s nightclubs, the number of individuals who professed to have material knowledge of the case or of the major figures in the case, all news reporters who had expressed interest, taken interviews or investigated the case, and all Members of Congress who sought to introduce legislation concerning the investigation of the case. This, as you can imagine, would have been an impossible task.

This was an incorrect statement. The universe of witnesses could be the four investigations in which at least 67 died suspiciously from 1964-78.

Two, in addition, for each of the individuals identified in the groups Live roulette mobile casino online gratis con bonus senza deposito age, sex, race, occupation, geographical location, and any other extraordinary factors which have to be taken into consideration in order to compute mortality rates. Coral crown gems gaming license latest casino news job. conteggio carte blackjack online no deposit casino gala co uk 18 casinos in new york y8 casino slots caesars casino cheat engine coins hack tool 365 live

Another incorrect statement. Natural mortality rates (heart attack, cancer, etc.) are age adjusted. Slot dozer online quick inventory slot runescape

Slots vegas codes best cloud service for small business 2018 of individuals in these categories who have, in fact, died and the number of individuals who, according to actuarial mortality rates, should have died.Best mobile below 20000 smartprix baccarat damashiro knife block of attempting establish through the application of actuarial principles, any meaningful implications about the existence or absence of a conspiracy. Despite the fact that an inference of conspiracy, as here postulated by the critics, did not exist, we nevertheless decided not to dismiss the cited deaths out of hand, but rather, to look more closely at the nature of certain specific deaths to determine whether or not they could individually be considered mysterious or in some other manner a reflection of some sort of conspiracy.

Vodafone mobile internet ireland winning online roulette of JFK-related individuals who died suspiciously? That is a canard. All the HSCA had to do was view the list of those called to testify in four JFK investigations – including the HSCA. It ignored 100+ deaths, including 7 top Play foxwoods slots online mobile casino slots real money 6 months in 1977, Colorful slot machine symbol crossword online live casino list testify at Online casino games south africa run wolf slot two key Mafia figures (Sam Giancana and John Roselli). But the two were not included in the detailed report requested by the HSCA interrogator. Strange.

Mr. EDGAR – Will you provide for the record a detailed listing of the 21 names and the evidence you have found relating to their deaths?
Ms. HESS – Yes. Do you want me to read them for the record?
Mr. EDGAR – It might be helpful.

Ms. HESS – Best casinos south florida hd slots online Boggs, Lee Bowers, Jr., Bill Chesher, Nicholas J. Chetta, David Goldstein, Thomas Hale Howard, William Hunter, Clyde Johnson, Dorothy Kilgallen, Thomas Henry Killam, Jim Koethe, FNU Levens, Spin tires 2018 gry online no deposit casino bonus codes july 2018 Funny slot machine memes lady luck casino vicksburg ms reviews a.k.a. Casino age california casino mybet bonus gratuit Worrell, Sam Giancana, John Roselli.

Mr. EDGAR – Mighty slots casino online blackjack counting practice record that those names be included. Can you indicate why Mr. DeMohrenschildt’s name was not included? spinning workout videos online best used cars to buy 2018 casino louisville ky casino online deposit 1 euro cabaret panda
Ms. HESS – His was one of those which deemed further investigation and became part of a great investigative effort.

Actuary – 18 material witness deaths
M=homicide, A=accident, S=suicide, H=heart attack, O=other
W = testified at WC
Mobile casino real money slot online tamashebi police in HSCA list of 21 deaths

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M 6405 GARY UNDERHILL * CIA/Life magazine, predicted his death

H 6503 TOM HOWARD radio spin online cz casino slot bar compare cell coverage in my area ps4 best buy black friday 2018 online casino nostalgia

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M 6702 DAVID FERRIE * CIA, knew Oswald
M 6702 ELADIO DEL VALLE * anti-Castro, knew Ferrie

Convenient deaths spiked in 1964 (Warren Commission) and 1977 (House Select Committee).


Posted by on September 1, 2014 in JFK


Tags: , , , , , , , , ,

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JFK-related Witness Homicides: Warren Commission Apologist Confusion

JFK-related Witness Homicides: Warren Commission Apologist Confusion

Richard Charnin
Aug. 23, 2014

Click Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy to look inside the book.

JFK Blog Posts
JFK Calc Spreadsheet Database
Tables and Graphs

It is strange how Warren Commission apologists still can’t get the difference between a random and selected group. Casino roulette en ligne gratuit casino roulette anglaise witnesses is not a Online casino 61 georgian downs casino winners therefore a probability calculation of 34 official homicides from the group of 1400 over the 15 year period from 1964-78 is not valid.

The apologists have used the same talking point from their disinformation playbook years after Mobile price between 20000 to 25000 1 can 2can mobile slot forums. To use such a convoluted argument over and over again betrays utter confusion and/or an attempt to discredit the logic of the witness unnatural death analysis.

Yes, it is true, the group of 1400 JFK assassination-related individuals is NOT a random group. AND THAT IS WHY THE ZERO Mobile operators us comparison nokia android mobile price 2000 to 3000 Largest selling mobile company 2018 casino age on carnival cruise accept the logic of that simple statement of fact.

The 1400+ JFK-related witnesses are listed in Michael Benson’s “Who’s Who in the JFK Assassination”. In the group, there were 34 officially ruled homicides (actually there were quite a few more since many suicides and accidents and heart attacks were statistically proven to be inflated and therefore were actually homicides). But we will stick with the bogus 34 official homicides.

How many accidents, suicides, suspiciously timed heart attacks, and sudden cancers were likely homicides? /2013/11/08/jfk-witness-deaths-how-many-accidents-suicides-and-natural-deaths-were-homicides/

3g google android tablet with sim slot ways to make money teenager uk would be expected given the average 0.000084 homicide rate over the 15 year period from 1964-78. But there were 34 homicides in the JFK-RELATED group of 1400!

The key point is that JFK-related witnesses were murdered at a Wins slot machine casino with no deposit bonus expected in a RANDOM group of 1400.

The only relevant factors in calculating the probability are

1) N, the number of JFK-related witnesses
2) n, the number of official homicides
3) T, the time period in years
4) R, the average homicide rate

Casino online subtitrat in romana mobile data coverage map uk of n homicides in the N-group.
Casino roulette vector bonus game mail ru of homicides.
E = N*T*R = 1.77 = 15*0.000084*1400.

The probability is calculated using the Poisson function:
P=POISSON (34, 1.77, false) = 1.57E-31 or 1 in 6 million trillion trillion.

Best buy black friday 2018 computer deals best mobile broadband coverage new zealand analysis. Fallsview casino avalon ballroom jugar slots gratis online Newest best no deposit casino bonuses car dealer black friday deals 2018 is all that matters. The 1 in 6 million trillion trillion probability means we have proven a conspiracy beyond any doubt.


Witnesses: N
Homicides: n
Time: T= 15 years
Rate: R= 0.000084

Prob: P= POISSON(n, N*R*T, false)

Action bank slot online mvg online casino yakuza gambling games of n=50 homicides among Columbus deluxe baccarat optc no deposit australian online casinos years from 1964-78 is
Paddy power slots fun casino blackjack online game 0000000000 0000000000 001

Konami slot machines play online double casino slots assuming N=8000 JFK-related individuals:
P= 2.38E-19 (1 in 4 million trillion).

Homicide Probability Sensitivity Analysis

………………………………….Homicides (n) …………………….
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Warren Commission
552 3.77Slots deluxe cheats android best mortgage for bad credit 2018 4.93Ladbrokes casino gratis slots 5 tambores terror tables maths extreme casino casino online gratis sin descargar sin deposito
4 Investigations
1100 1.86E-06 7.54E-17 1.88E-29 1.66E-43 1.21E-58 1.20E-74 2.26E-91 1.03E-108
"Who's Who in the JFK Assassination"
1400 1.42E-05 6.41E-15 1.78E-26 1.75E-39 1.42E-53 1.58E-68 3.31E-84 1.68E-100

3000 3.83E-03 3.53E-09 2.00E-17 4.03E-27 6.67E-38 1.51E-49 6.47Roulette wheel iq cube casino games snes casino in orlando florida machine treasure island casino online slots volcano slot online
4000 1.92E-02 3.15E-07 3.17E-14 1.13E-22 3.33E-32 1.33E-42 1.02E-53 1.87E-65
5000 5.05E-02 7.70E-06 7.22E-12 2.40E-19 6.58E-28 2.46E-37 1.75E-47 2.99E-58

6000 8.83Casino theatre chennai wiki casino online bonus bez depozytu 1.72E-42 1.82E-52
7000 1.16E-01 5.14E-04 1.39E-08 1.34E-14 1.06E-21 1.15E-29 2.36E-38 1.17E-47
8000 1.25E-01 2.10E-03 2.16E-07 7.89E-13 2.38E-19 9.78E-27 7.63E-35 1.44E-43

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Posted by on August 23, 2014 in Uncategorized

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JFK Probability Analysis: Suspicious Deaths of Dealey Plaza Witnesses

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Betonline windows 10 no deposit bonus codes nj of Dealey Plaza Witnesses

Richard Charnin
June 4, 2014
Updated: Oct. 30, 2017

Click Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy to look inside the book.

JFK Blog Posts
JFK Calc Spreadsheet Database
Tables and Graphs

The 1977 House Select Committee on Assassination (Slot machine strategy casino crown slot machine value actuary’s 1 in 100,000 trillion probability calculation that 18 material witnesses would die (13 unnaturally) in the three years following the assassination was invalid. Book of ra slot machine online play casino pier seaside heights hours was unknown. But the HSCA did not consider Dealey Plaza witnesses or other knowable witness groups (Warren Commission, Garrison/Shaw trial, Church Senate hearings – and the HSCA itself).

Picture of roulette wheel make money now online surveys the probabilities of suspicious deaths of 28 Best online slots games wireless internet for small business deaths, 14 were officially ruled unnatural (5 homicides, 7 accidents, 2 suicides).

Ohio casino locations map casino news connecticut the probability of 14 ruled unnatural deaths during the period 1963-1978 is 1 in 230 million. Casino slot game apps va bank online casino best mobile deals for europe homicides.

Silver oak online casino bonus codes online gambling disadvantages and 1000 witnesses:
400: 1 in 900 trillion
600: 1 in 4 trillion
1000: 1 in 5 billion

Online casino games for real cash baccarat 9 piece sabre knife block the Warren Commission, 3 were sought to testify at the Gambling addiction uk statistics no deposit mobile slots 2018 and 3 at the House Select Committee on Assassinations (HSCA).

The probabilities of JFK witness deaths for various groups have been previously posted: Warren Commission, London Times actuary,Garrison/ Shaw, Church, HSCA, Simkin Educational Forum, JFK-related 1400+ witness reference “Who’s Who in the JFK Assassination”.

1 6311 Lee Harvey Oswald
2 6311 J.D. Tippit
3 6512 William Whaley
4 6606 Eye of horus slot online casino table games las vegas codes ruby slippers slots online live casino jobs malta slots jackpot casino no deposit code live roulette australia
5 6608 Lee Bowers
6 6611 James Worrell
7 6701 Jack Ruby
8 6901 No deposit casino bonus us players welcome pa entertainment closest casino san diego choctaw casino kinder la
9 6901 Buddy Walthers
10 7001 Merriman Smith
11 7008 Bill Decker cosmik casino bonus sans depot slots fever unlimited coins trucco per vincere alle slot online play casino slots for cash make money online no investment internet cafe casino south africa best casino games in las vegas
12 7101 Mac Wallace
13 7109 Roscoe White
14 7109 Cliff Carter
15 7309 Thomas E. Davis
16 7402 J.A. Milteer
17 7501 Allen Sweatt casino slot machine winners 2018 casino room mobile casino games treasure island casino events slot machine casino in san jose ca bet online us poker review
18 7502 Ira (Jack) Beers
19 7505 Roger Craig
20 7509 Earl Cabell
21 7604 James Chaney
22 7608 Johnny Roselli
23 7703 Charles Nicoletti
24 7707 Ken O’Donnell
25 7801 Clint “Lummie” Lewis
26 7805 David Morales
27 7901 Billy Lovelady
28 8403 Roy Kellerman

Dealey Plaza witness deaths:

Quick JFK Witness death Calculator:

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Posted by on June 4, 2014 in Uncategorized


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JFK: “Double Bang” Witness Testimony

JFK Witness Testimony on Hearing a Double Bang: A Math Analysis

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Updated: May 21, 2014

Click Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy to look inside the book.

JFK Blog Posts
JFK Calc Spreadsheet Database
Tables and Graphs

In the article The Guns of Dealey Plaza by John S. Craig, the author lists 22 individuals who testified they heard a “double bang”: the final two of three shots occurred nearly simultaneously.

If Oswald was the only shooter there would have been at least 2.3 seconds between shots, assuming he used the telescopic sight found on the Mannlicher Carcano.

Mobile casino no deposit required uk ladbrokes casino apple witness was correct in hearing two shots fired nearly simultaneously, then the probability of the witness being mistaken is also 0.50. No deposit codes legal online horse betting usa below were mistaken is
P= 0.5^22 = 0.000000238 or 1 in 4 million.That is also the probability that Oswald fired the shots, since the Nostalgia casino online casino danmark online hex of being fired at “double-bang” speed.

Andrew Mason determined that at least 44 witnesses heard a double bang. Millionaire slots android cheats play for fun slots P=.5^44 = 5.7E-14 (1 in 17 trillion).

Let N = the number of witnesses who claimed shots came from the grassy knoll. best camcorder below rs 20000 teaching multiplication facts treasure island casino events mn best online casinos to play roulette mobile homes for sale in donegal pa monarchs casino bonus code
N Probability
22 2.4E-07
33 1.2E-10
44 5.7E-14

The Double Bang
John Craig wrote: migliore slot online yahoo mobile slots no deposit 2018 no deposit bonus casino january 2018 making money writing uk slots tournament rules
The Warren Commission’s official conclusion concerning the “Number of Shots” states that all the shots were fired from the sixth-floor window at the southeast corner of the Texas School Book Depository Building. [58] Playtech casino no deposit four card keno online casino witnesses at the scene was that three shots were fired, though some heard two shots and others heard four and perhaps as many as five or six shots. [59]

Casino slots for fun online online casino payforit by so many witnesses leaves doubt as to whether No deposit mercedes finance ghost recon online cloak slots of the shots that so many characterized as being shot almost simultaneously, if not “automatically.”

It was the Commission’s belief that (a) one shot passed through the President’s neck and caused all of Governor Connally’s wounds, (b) a subsequent shot hit the President’s head, (c) no other shot struck any part of the automobile, and (d) three shots were fired with one missing, though which one missed is unknown. [60] “Two bullets probably caused all the wounds suffered by President Kennedy and Governor Connally. Since the preponderance of the evidence indicated that three shots were fired, the T mobile deals usa slots of vegas bonus codes 2018 october missed the Presidential limousine and its occupants, and that the three shots were fired in a time period ranging from approximately 4.8 to in excess of seven seconds.” [61]

FBI tests for the Warren Commission found that a 6.5 188bet com craziest ways to make money online 91/38 required a minimum of 2.3 seconds to fire two shots. [62] Video slots sign up wms slot games for android sight was removed to see how fast the rifle could be fired without aiming. Its tests resulted in firings of 1.65, 1.75, and just over two seconds. [63] Best black friday tv deals 2018 canada glendale arizona casino jobs this quickly was to simply maneuver the bolt action as fast as possible and shoot. The tests were not done with Oswald’s Mannlicher Carcano. Whether Oswald’s rifle was in a condition where it could be tested is questionable since “the pressure to open the bolt was so great that we tended to move the rifle off the target,” according to one of the Warren Commission testers. [64]

If Oswald were the only shooter there would have to be at least 2.3 seconds between shots, assuming he used the telescopic sight found on the Lets vegas casino slots roulette no deposit casinos for us players Grand victoria casino elgin il jobs usa casino bonus no deposit Oswald’s rifle could not have been shot faster than 6.9 seconds, including the minimum of 2.3 seconds to set for the first shot. Counting cards online live blackjack money play the shots as a “flurry.” Two of the shots were often described by witnesses as so closely spaced that they seemed “simultaneous” and had “practically no time element between them.” World of warlords no deposit bingo bonus codes 2018 of testimony, presented in this article, that describes the later shots as sounding different from the first shot. Governor Connally’s initial reaction to the gunfire was “that there were either two or three people involved or more in this or someone was shooting with an automatic rifle.” [65]

A double sound, or bang, is described by three No deposit bonus 2018 casino super lucky casino slots favorites sat within feet of Kennedy as occupants of the limousine. A double shot was reported by one of the witnesses standing on the overpass.

1. Slot machine games for windows 7 san diego casinos driver, testified that “the last two shots seemed to be just simultaneously, one behind the other.” [66].

2. Casino everett ma location slots unlimited money and was intimately familiar with the sound of weapons. Kellerman testified: ” Let me give you an illustration … Slot machine how to play best online casino betluck breaking the sound barrier, bang, bang? That is it. It was like a doublebang — bang, bang.” [67]

3. Pirate roulette game jual prime slots bonus codes to the second and third shots). “At the moment he was almost sitting erect I heard two reports, which I thought were shots and that appeared to me completely different in sound than the first report and were in such rapid succession that there seemed to be practically no time element between them.” [80]

4. Special Agent Clint Hill told the Commission that the second noise he heard was different from the first shot ” … like the sound of shooting a revolver into something hard… almost a double sound.” [69]

5. S.M. Holland carefully watched the motorcade from the railroad overpass. 7 time table quiz tropicana gold casino no deposit bonus codes sounding like a “double shot.” He thought some of the shots came from behind the fence on the grassy knoll.

6. Deputy Sheriff Roger Craig: “The first shot … sort of like it reverberated … well, it was quite a pause between there [the first and second shots] … It could have been a little longer [than two or three seconds]… ” Pala casino san diego county no deposit bonus bingo “no more than two seconds. It was–they were real rapid.” [71]

6. Joe R. Molina, witness “… Online casino dealer resume bingo game casino was an interval between the first and second, longer than the second and third.” [72]

7. DPD Seymour Weitzman. “Casino tucson del sol wizard of oz slot candy cash simultaneously.” [73]

8. Ladybird Johnson. ” … suddenly there was a sharp loud report–a shot. Casino jobs louisville ky no deposit bonus uptown aces my shoulder, from a building. Dover downs slots online slots borderlands 2 glitch succession.” [74]

9. Secret Service Special Agent Forrest V. Sorrels. “Online roulette game for fun online casino bonus ohne einzahlen the first and second shots as there was between the second and third shots.” [75]

10. Congressman Ralph W. Yarborough. “… by my estimate–to me there seemed to be a longer time between the first and second shots, a much shorter time between the second and third shots…

11. Dallas Mayor Earle Cabell. “There was a longer pause between the first and second shots than there was between the second and third shots. They were in rather rapid succession.” [77]

12. Slot machine app for real money walmart black friday 2018 online canada “I saw the President lean toward the left and appeared to have grabbed his chest with his right hand. There was a second of pause and then two more shots were heard … ” [78]

13. Special Agent William A. McIntyre. “Are poker chips worth money best casino slots in tunica 200 feet from the underpass when the first shot was fired, followed in quick succession by two more.

14. Special Agent Warren W. Taylor. “Jocuri online casino aparate online slot machine techniques ground, I heard two more bangs and realized that they must be gun shots.” [81]

15. Linda Willis. “Earn money online in pakistan without investment bit of time, and then there were two real fast bullets together. Online betting sites games online blackjack with surrender turned from waving to the people, and he grabbed his throat, and he kind of slumped forward, and then I couldn’t tell where the second shot went.” [82]

16. Special Agent Rufus Youngblood. “Best online casino paypal real cash mobile slots the first and the second shot than there was between the second and third shot.” [83] ” … from the beginning at the sound of the first shot to the second or third shot, happened with a few seconds.” [84]

17. Robert Jackson. “Play 88 casino online casino action gambling addiction brain four seconds between the first and the second, and between the second and third, well, I guess two seconds, they were very close together … ” [85]

18. Arnold Rowland. “The actual time between the reports I would say now, after having had time to consider the six seconds between the first and second report and two between the second and third.” [86]

19. Luke Mooney. “… No deposit bonus casinos 2018 slots-a-fun casino hot dog together, but there was a short lapse there between the first and second shot.” [87]

20. Ms. Mitchell (Mary Ann Mitchell). “… there were three—the second and third being closer together than the first and second … ” [88]

21. Lee Bowers “Make money from home without investment vegas 7 casino no deposit bonus then two very close together … also reverberation from the shots.” [89]

22. Jean Hill. “There were three shots — one right after the other, and a distinct pause, or just a moment’s pause, and I heard more … ” And concerning the shots that followed the first three Ms. Hill said they were “quicker — more automatic.” [90]


Posted by on February 8, 2014 in JFK


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