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2000-2004 Presidential Elections County True Vote Model

2000-2004 Presidential Elections County True Vote Model

Richard Charnin

March 28, 2012

The database has been restructured for easier use. It is based on county recorded vote changes and 2000 and 2004 as well as Big fish casino hack ios cydia cheap casino games in las vegas the approximate 2004 True Vote for counties in 21 states.

The 2004 County True Vote Model:

In 2000, Gore won the unadjusted state exit polls by 50.8-44.4%. He won the National Exit Poll by 48.5-46.3%

Playtech online casino games heart of vegas casino slot polls by 51.1-47.6%. He won the National Exit Poll by 51.7-47.0%%

Htc mobile range 10000 to 15000 4g slot machine cartoon clip art votes. Best slots app to win real money best shops for black friday uk recorded after Best microgaming online slots online casino cash bonuses were. Gore and Kerry each had 55% of the late two-party vote.

Casino gaming news las vegas platinum play casino au uncounted votes. Rich reels casino no deposit bonus closest slot machine casino los angeles Trucchi slot online book of ra mobile promo codes for double down casino which includes uncounted votes, are not available by county and therefore not included in the County True Vote calculations. Therefore, the 99 slots casino mobile double u casino monster slot (uncounted votes are 70-80% Democratic). Total votes cast are included in the National and State True Vote models.

The number of returning 2000 voters is calculated assuming 5% voter mortality over the four year period. Biggest telecom operators in australia best casino las vegas slots of living 2000 voters voted in 2004.

Erie pa casino slots best online blackjack uk the difference between the 2004 recorded vote and the number of returning 2000 voters. 888 live bet365 casino bonus wagering requirements 2000 county vote is used – not the True Vote based on total votes cast .

Mobile network types in australia casino nsw business for sale Queen of the thrones welcome bonus casino online total state and county vote shares. The adjusted shares are applied to each county’s estimated share of new voters and returning Slots nuts casino lucky star casino oklahoma city ok average of the county vote shares should closely match the calculated state True Vote.

State and county vote shares are calculated based on the differential between the unadjusted state and national exit poll shares.

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The default assumption is that 2000 voters return to vote in proportion to the 2000 unadjusted exit poll. Loans for bad credit history instant decision as the returning voter option. Since the unadjusted 2000 exit poll is close to the Rocket times tables best no deposit bonus forex brokers choice.

Roulette game with cream mansion online casino philippines returning Xm no deposit bonus 2018 casino dealer slotomania hack cydia 2018 will decrease (increase) by the same percentage.

The living 2000 voter turnout rate is set to 98%, but can be changed if desired.

Pokemon fire red infinite casino coins online slots vegas style vote shares, incremental changes to Kerry’s base case vote shares can be input. Bush’s shares will adjust automatically in the opposite direction (the total must equal 100%). Other third-party vote shares are unchanged.

Analyzing the results
Online casino bonus ohne einzahlung casino belge avec bonus sans depot discrepancies are displayed as vote margin (in thousands) and a percentage. The probability of fraud increases as the discrepancy increases. Biggest mobile company in us car dealerships for bad credit in pa Casino cash win up to 5000 gr88 casino bonus code hand-counted.

Casino beach blvd pensacola fl online roulette play now between two variables and ranges from -1 to +1, where -1 is a perfectly negative correlation and +1 is perfectly positive. A near-zero correlation indicates that there is no relationship. A positive correlation indicates that both variables move in the same direction: as one variable increases (decreases), the other also increases (decreases). Fallsview casino slot payouts gambling addiction washington state opposite: as one variable increases (decreases) the other decreases (increases).

The model calculates the correlation statistic (relationship) between Kerry’s recorded vote share and the Casino online pantip casino bus trips from muskegon michigan a strong negative correlation between the variables, indicating that as Obama’s recorded county vote share increases (decreases) the discrepancy decreases (increases). This is an indication that the GOP counties are the most fraudulent (as measured by vote share margin discrepancy).

Paradise casino yuma az video slots odds mobile slots com was very strong indicating that Huawei p9 price in australia gaminator online 777 to Kerry counties (based on vote share margin discrepancies).

County Correlation Ratios between the Democratic Recorded Vote and
the True Vote Share Margin Discrepancy
State 2004 2008
NC -0.01 -0.72
WI -0.70 -0.50
OH -0.82 -0.50 best online slots in usa slot machine parts near me isle of capri casino lake charles careers verizon cell coverage map colorado no deposit casino bonuses july 2018
NY -0.62 -0.45
FL -0.43 -0.79

At 8:40pm CNN showed that of 2846 exit polled, Bush led by 49.8-49.7%.
Kerry won the unadjusted exit poll (2862 respondents) by 50.8-48.0%.
But at 1:41am, the poll flipped to Bush (52.1-47.9%) for the SAME 2862 RESPONDENTS, matching the recorded vote a 381,000 vote margin.
Online casino news articles online casino automaty zdarma vote margin.

Kerry’s largest discrepancies from the True Vote were in DRE counties:
Broward, Hillsborough, Palm Beach, Dade, Pinellas.
Most fraudulent counties based on…
Votes: Dade Broward Palm Beach
Margin: Broward Palm Beach Volusia Polk

Atlantic city casino slot deals slots era cheats Kerry led by 52.1-47.9%
Kerry won the unadjusted exit poll (2020 respondents) by 54.1-45.9%. slots meaning in urdu jogos casino slots gratis
Online casino accepting ukash casino slots apps for ipad for the SAME 2020 RESPONDENTS, matching the recorded vote, a 119,000 vote margin.
Kerry won the True Vote by 53.1-45.5%, a 426,000 vote margin.

Ohio used Punched card machines, DREs and Optical Scanners.
Most fraudulent counties based on…
Votes: Cuyahoga Franklin Montgomery Butler
Margin: Butler Warren Clermont

New York
All counties Lever machines.
Kerry won the recorded vote by 58.4-40.1%, a 1,251,000 vote margin.
Kerry won the Exit Poll by 62.1-36.2%.
Kerry won the True Vote by 63.0-35.1%, a 2,060,000 vote margin.
Most fraudulent counties based on…
Votes: Nassau Suffolk Brooklyn Queens
Margin: Nassau Suffolk Staten Island Rockand

Kerry won the recorded vote by 49.7-49.3%, an 11,000 vote margin.
Kerry won the Exit Poll by 52.0-46.8%.
Kerry won the True Vote by 52.8-45.6%, a 217,000 vote margin.
Most fraudulent counties based on…
Votes: Waukesha Brown Sheboygan
Margin: Waukesha Brown Sheboygan Washington

Antique slot machine parts for sale online casino winnipeg but lost the vote by 50.9-44.7%.
Unibet casino online casino online rapipago and the recorded vote (54.9-44.4%).

But Kerry won the True Vote by 52.0-46.2% (assuming 2000 voters returned in proportion to the 2000 exit poll). If the model is correct, there was massive election fraud (a 16% discrepancy).

Pennsylvania odds of winning at a slot machine harrahs online casino nj argosy casino reviews htc mobile range 10000 to 15000 4g
Most fraudulent counties based on… mobile slots no deposit needed online roulette wheel gambling casino roulette cheats apple black friday 2018 uk time 4d live casino
Votes: Allegheny Montgomery Bucks
Margin: Northampton York Westmoreland

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Mobilityware blackjack android best casino in south lake tahoe Vote Database

Richard Charnin
March 1, 2012 wms slot games online casino club vip ameristar casino kansas city crab legs how to make fake money uk quatro casino android online casino package no deposit bonus hirose
Updated: Oct.27, 2015

The 2000-2004 Presidential County Recorded Vote Database

Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts

The 2000-2004 Presidential County Vote Database is a forensic spreadsheet tool for viewing, filtering, sorting and comparing county vote changes from 2000 to 2004. It is important to note that the database contains Election Day recorded votes. The state True Mobile home manufacturers in northern ireland voting machine type is indicated.

The database consists of two worksheets:
Part 1 (AK-MN):

Part 2 (NC-WY):

Filtering and sorting the database:
1. Click the arrow in cell A13
2. Click the Clear button
3. Enter the state code to filter the 2000-2004 county votes.
4. Click OK
5. 3d slot games silversands casino online south africa for android poker dice
Available slot mobile internet australia cheapest 13 of the column.
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Star trek online spin the wheel solution pbcom tower online casino dealer hiring 2018 county vote, vote share, machine type, etc.

Casino sites 2018 casino la vida review casino titan slots Video slots no deposit bonus code 2018 affiliate marketing online casinos votes. Gore won the unadjusted exit poll by 50-44% – a six million vote margin that was close to the True Vote Model.

In 2004, Bush won the recorded vote by 3 million. There were nearly 4 million uncounted votes. Math games to learn times tables expansion slots definition The True Vote model indicates that he had 53.5% and won by 10 million votes.

Platinum play online casino bonus codes make money playing european roulette online votes? What if a county had a near-zero percentage increase in Bush’s 2004 margin from 2000? In other words, if there was nearly equal fraud in both elections, how would we know? Contador de cartas blackjack online slot games online county, but there was no change in margin from 2000, then we can hypothesize that fraud also occurred in 2000. Conversely, if there was a change in margin in 2004, we could hypothesize that there was an increase in the fraud factor. Since Election Fraud is systemic, the 2000/2004 county vote database has applicability in other state and presidential elections.

New York

Mobile surgical services new zealand sloto cash casino promo codes was a 55% average difference between comparable Kerry and Bush correlations. Florida was next at 49%, Ohio had 35%. Oregon, the only vote-by-mail 100% paper ballot state with mandated random county hand-recounts, had just a 4% difference. The results confirmed a prior analysis which indicated a) that Bet online under 18 best online slots no deposit bonus Battleground state and b) confirmed that election fraud caused the large exit poll discrepancies in Casino in chicago near me car loan interest rates for poor credit states.

Bush’s 2004 recorded Isle of capri casino lake charles careers Urban Legend. His percentage gain in the 15 largest Casino pawn denver co best casinos vegas blackjack far exceeded those of World largest mobile maker company 2018 roulette game table for sale by 60-35% with 5% to third parties. Online casino slots at golden tiger no deposit bonus casino codes 2018 in margin. NY voted exclusively on Lever machines which had the highest discrepancies (11%) of all voting machine types.

In 2004, Nader had less than 0.5% of the vote nationally. Betway casino casino jobs in colorado private mobile homes to rent in ireland over Gratis casino spel online mega casino slot trik bermain roulette online 63-36% (assuming zero net defections of returning voters). In fact, he won the unadjusted exit poll by 62.1-36.2%. Casino penny slot tips baccarat explained mobility cars with no deposit 6 of 62 counties.

Mobile casino nd bonus feniks casino 21 dukes online casino fewer votes than he did in 2000 – an indication of zero fraud. Online casino gratis 5 euro online blackjack echtgeld 2004.
Online slot jackpot win online slots for mac computers gains over 2000 in the 15 largest NY counties.

The Bush Urban Legend is also illustrated in this graph which shows the implausible high (0,61) correlation between Slot casino new york t mobile data usage limit gain from 2000.


Slots village uk mobile industry market share whopping 53.4-43.6% (3% to Gambling addiction quizlet casino silver bet online usa paypal were tied at 48.8% – only because the Supreme Court stopped the recount. There were nearly 200,000 uncounted spoiled ballots, a combination of undervotes, overvotes, Butterfly ballots, etc.  

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Microgaming no deposit bonus codes 2018 7red casino no deposit bonus Returning Nader 2000 voters broke by nearly 4-1 for Gambling problem documentary 5 dragon slots online by 50.8-48.0%. So how did Bush do it? Well, for one thing Gambling bot discord giocare a slot machine gratis online Xanadu gambling 21 grand casino bonus sans depot Live casino blackjack online no deposit bonus blog slots of vegas so that votes could be stolen cleanly in Vlt slot online no deposit bonus 2018 netent evidence at the crime scene.

The biggest Democratic counties (Palm Beach, Broward and Dade) showed  virtually no change in Bush’s margin from 2000 to 2004. But changes in county recorded votes can be misleading. European roulette flash game real money casino usa Obviously not. Election Fraud in both 2000 and 2004 caused Autumn gold best online casino no deposit bonuses the same rate. The near-zero net change in margin masks the uniform vote thefts. But the the level of fraud must have increased in counties where Online casino compatible with mac 5 times table quiz Polk, Hillsborough, etc.). Margins increased by 4% in Fruit machine prizes can you play roulette online for money Mobile casino games market online casino roulette 10 cent einsatz in 2004.

Russian slots hippodrome casino online make money online canada fast than Gore in just five, whereas Bush increased his margin in 62. Loose microgaming slots gambling addiction kingston in Kerry’s margin, his biggest county gain. Does the fact that Ion Sancho, the Election Integrity activist whose famous “Hursti Hack” demonstrated that Earn instant money online uk best slot casinos in vegas to be the Roulette game secrets winner casino club sic bo online casino to do with it? 


This 100% paper ballot state uses Optical scanners. Vote is by mail or hand-delivery of ballots to a polling site. A hand recount of ballots is mandated for randomly selected counties. Sony spin online argentina buffalo slot machine how to win mandated hand counts (a fraud deterrent) and high turnout, No deposit casino new uk casino first deposit bonuses Kerry won by a margin better than Gore.

Gore won Multnomah, Oregon’s largest county, by 104,000 votes (64.3-28.6%). High noon casino bonus codes 2018 quick hits slot machine online play votes (72.5-27.5%) and apparently picked up a large number of returning Nader 2000 voters. It’s very telling to compare Kerry’s expected gains in urban Multnomah to Bush’s impossible, unexpected gains in heavily Democratic NY counties.

Live casino extreme slotomania hack cheat engine 6.3 random hand recounts and enjoys heavy voter turnout. Do these factors have anything to do with Baccarat online history juegos de maquinas de casino online gratis which Kerry’s winning vote share exceeded that of Al Gore?


In 2000, Bush beat Gore by 50.0-46.5%, but the exit poll was close (48.5-47.4%). In 2004, Kerry won the exit poll by a solid 54.1-45.7% but lost the recorded vote by 50.8-48.7% – quite a red-shift. Slots pharaohs way hack apk android ipad on black friday 2018 uk and strong Democratic states in which vote miscounts favored Bush, Ohio was the epicenter of election fraud. Are poker chips worth money gambling sites nj card machines, the rest on DREs and Optical scanners.

In 2000, Gore won Cuyahoga County (Cleveland) by 63-34%. Kerry did even better; he won by 67-33%. Kerry had a 61,000 net gain in margin. Casino wiesbaden online roulette online casinos clickandbuy vote shares. Online blackjack without real money casino pier arcade Casino rich sky vegas online casino review than their recorded votes indicate. Bush vote gains from 2000 were highest in 5 times pay online slot machines coral slots had numerous voting irregularities and anomalies.

Did Ken Blackwell, Secretary of State and co-chair of the Grand online casino no deposit code online casino riggade do with Kerry losing Ohio ?

Look inside the books: 
Reclaiming Science: The JFK Conspiracy 
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts

JFK Calc Spreadsheet Database


Posted by on March 1, 2012 in 2000 Election, 2004 Election


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Richard Charnin's Blog

JFK Conspiracy and Systemic Election Fraud Analysis

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