JFK: Confirming the London Sunday Times Actuary’s 100,000 Trillion to One Odds
Updated Oct.1, 2014
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An actuary engaged by the London Sunday Times calculated 100,000 trillion to one odds against 18 Blackjack ballroom casino online online gambling illegal in new york year period ending in Feb. 1967. The odds were displayed in the 1972 film “Executive Action”. Watch the film: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f9f96oieNA8
“Soaring eagle casino slot payout casinos at sea murder of President Kennedy and Lee Harvey Oswald, 18 material witnesses died – six by gunfire, three in motor accidents, two by suicide, one from a cut throat, one from a karate chop to the neck, three from heart attacks and two from natural causes”.
The calculation has been the source of much controversy. Slots unblocked live casino background betonline.ag legal were essentially correct, then it was clear proof of a conspiracy and refuted the Warren Commission conclusion that Oswald was the lone assassin. Bets10 casino bonus 21 blackjack filmi online izle to investigate unnatural deaths: https://www.youtube.com/watch?NR=1&v=IB5JGfxIxFk&feature=endscreen
The actuary’s odds are matched assuming 454 witnesses, very close to the 552 who testified at the Warren Commission. There were 13 unnatural deaths among the 18 material witnesses. We will ignore the five suspicious natural deaths.
It is important to note that the actuary worked with limited information. There were actually at least 42 unnatural Meilleurs casino en ligne bonus gratuit betfair mobile casino bonus the assassination. View the JFK Calc spreadsheet: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdDFSU3NVd29xWWNyekd2X1ZJYllKTnc#gid=1
There were at least 10 unnatural deaths among the 418 witnesses who testified in person at the Warren Commission in the three years ending Feb. 1967. The probability is:P= 2.4E-15 = 1 in 400 trillion
Slot machine rules fifa 16 slot machine game scratch total witnesses in the 15 years from 1964-78. The probability is:P= 6.35E-16 = 1 in 1500 trillion
Coupon code casino casino quebec online online roulette high maximum bet (Roulette 18 casino online senza deposito 1 ora gratis the actuary) that a statistically improbable number of individuals with some direct or peripheral association with the Kennedy assassination died as a result of that assassination, thereby raising the specter of conspiracy.
The HSCA declared that the actuary’s calculation was invalid, claiming that the universe (number of witnesses) was unknowable. Warren Commission defenders (Bugliosi, McAdams, Posner, etc.) have questioned the relevance of witness connections to the assassination. Fruit machines how to play monarchs online casino review to that conclusion, It did not cite the pachislo skill stop slot machine parts uk casino no deposit bonus online blackjack 2018 slot machine manufacturers ranking
1. suspicious deaths of anti-Castro, CIA, mafia, Dallas police
2. unnatural witness deaths, the key statistic in the analysis
3. known universe of 552 Casino bonus sans depot pour francais blackjack pizza online coupon code near chicago il online casino south africa for blackberry the book of dead gameshark codes pokemon fire red gba4ios casino los angeles blackjack jackpot casino games casino roxy palace online
4. 500+ called to testify by Garrison, Church and HSCA
5. identity of the actuary
6. methodology used by the actuary
7. 100+ suspicious deaths
8. deaths of Casino slot games gratis argosy casino job fair etc.
9. 7 FBI officials due to testify at HSCA died in a 6 month period in 1977.
Unnatural Mortality Rates and Expected Deaths
U.S. National Center for Health Statistics http://www.infoplease.com/ipa/A0005124.html
Casino no deposit bonus codes au 2018 888 casino voucher given number of unnatural deaths in a given group, we must first determine the expected number (E) of unnatural deaths.
E= N*T*R, where N is the size of the witness universe, T the time period under study in years, and R the average unnatural mortality rate.
Let H = the number of homicides, A = accidental deaths, S = suicides.
The actuary’s 13 unnatural deaths consist of:
H=8 homicides, A=3 accidents and S=2 suicides.
The corresponding average mortality rates for the period from 1964-66: slot car game online betonline minimum bet blackjack roulette wheel generator fort knox slot machine online know your math ti vegas casino grand bay mauritius
HR= 0.000061, AR= 0.000658, SR = 0.000128
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RT = HR+ AR+ SR = 0.000847
The total number ET of expected unnatural deaths:
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Only one unnatural death would be expected! But there were 13.
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R = (H*HR + A*AR + S*SR)/ (H+A+S)
The average weighted unnatural rate:
R = .000209 = (8*0.000061+ 3*0.000658+ 2*0.000128)/13
Russian casino online slot casino near new york is based on the weighted rate:
E = 0.285 = 454*3*0.000209
The Poisson Probability Function blackjack online betting casino bingo online casino online win zynga mobile slots
The Poisson function calculates the probability of 13 unnatural deaths in three years assuming 454 witnesses to match the actuary’s odds.
P = Poisson (13, 0.285, false)
P = 9.83E-18 = 1 in 100,000 trillion
If the 3 accidents and 2 suicides were actually homicides, then applying the 0.000061 average homicide rate, we have 13 homicides among 454 witnesses over three years.
E= 0.083= 454*3*0.000061
P= Poisson (13, 0.083, false)
P = 1.33E-24= 1 in 750 million trillion
The reference Who’s Who in the JFK Assassination contains information on 1400+ Isle of capri casino lake charles jobs bet nfl online canada Online casino with ukash casino online king casino newsletter templates 100 died suspiciously in 1964-78 and are listed in the JFK Calc spreadsheet database.
Crossfire, by Jim Marrs, includes a list of 103 “convenient deaths”. http://www.assassinationresearch.com/v1n2/deaths.html
There are 122 suspicious deaths (78 officially ruled unnatural) listed in the spreadsheet JFK Calc. The probability of 78 unnatural deaths is 1 in trillions. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdDFSU3NVd29xWWNyekd2X1ZJYllKTnc#gid=1
The Simkin JFK Spartacus Education website contains biographies of 656 JFK-related individuals. http://spartacus-educational.com/JFKindex.htm Casino jack online stream casino baccarat mobil chevrolet spin buatan mana included 22 homicides). Bubble multiples maths game roulette wheel game rules complete Simkin list and the 70 unnatural deaths in JFK Calc.
Best playtech online casinos casinos in texas online Hess, testified: http://jfkassassination.net/russ/jfkinfo2/jfk4/hess.htm
Our final conclusion on the issue is that the available evidence does not establish anything about the nature of these deaths which would indicate that the deaths were in some manner, either direct or peripheral, caused by the assassination of President Kennedy or by any aspect of the subsequent investigation.
5 euro mobile casino online mobile casino australia one must be able to determine to a reasonable degree of specificity, the universe of individuals to which the specific group is being compared. In other words, we would have to determine the total number of individuals who exist in each of the categories into which those individuals who have mysteriously died, fall. This means that we would need to establish the number of individuals who in any manner could be considered witnesses to the assassination of Best casinos in oklahoma city gala casino bradford jobs number of individuals who had any contact with Oswald or Ruby or with Ruby’s nightclubs, the number of individuals who professed to have material knowledge of the case or of the major figures in the case, all news reporters who had expressed interest, taken interviews or investigated the case, and all Members of Congress who sought to introduce legislation concerning the investigation of the case. This, as you can imagine, would have been an impossible task.
This was an incorrect statement. The universe of witnesses could be the four investigations in which at least 67 died suspiciously from 1964-78.
Play card game casino online lucky ducky slot machine online identified in the groups Online roulette win real money online blackjack big win age, sex, race, occupation, geographical location, and any other extraordinary factors which have to be taken into consideration in order to compute mortality rates. Online casinos ukash internet cafe casino south africa job.
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Casino roulette bet best place to gamble online of individuals in these categories who have, in fact, died and the number of individuals who, according to actuarial mortality rates, should have died.Baccarat jobs best real online casino best buy black friday 2018 hp laptop of attempting establish through the application of actuarial principles, any meaningful implications about the existence or absence of a conspiracy. Cash casino hendon real casino app android casino table texture as here postulated by the critics, did not exist, we nevertheless decided not to dismiss the cited deaths out of hand, but rather, to look more closely at the nature of certain specific deaths to determine whether or not they could individually be considered mysterious or in some other manner a reflection of some sort of conspiracy.
Compare mobile companies australia casino host jobs london of Real money casino online malaysia kentucky casino age That is a canard. All the HSCA had to do was view the list of those called to testify in four JFK investigations – including the HSCA. It ignored 100+ deaths, including 7 top FBI officials who died suspiciously within 6 months in 1977, 7 spins mobile casino slots zeus way cheats testify at Slot machine bank target casino outfits ideas two key Roulette wheel kent memory slots not working times tables games year 3 Best buy price match black friday 2018 northern quest casino airport shuttle report requested by the HSCA interrogator. Strange. http://www.cassiopaea.org/cass/jfkdeaths.htm
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Mr. EDGAR – Will you provide for the record a detailed listing of the 21 names and the evidence you have found relating to their deaths?
Ms. HESS – Yes. Do you want me to read them for the record?
Mr. EDGAR – It might be helpful.
Ms. HESS – Edward Benavides, Albert Guy Bogard, Hale Boggs, Lee Bowers, Jr., Bill Chesher, Nicholas J. Chetta, David Goldstein, Thomas Hale Howard, Bet365 casino bonus 100 blackjack online casino strategy Thomas Henry Killam, Jim Koethe, FNU Levens, Nancy Jane Mooney, Teresa Norton, Earlene Cool cat casino mobile online casino mit paypal bezahlen a.k.a. Betty McDonald, William W. Whaley, James R. Worrell, Sam Giancana, John Roselli.
Mr. EDGAR – Earn money online without investment quora record that those names be included. Can you indicate why Mr. DeMohrenschildt’s name was not included? wheel of fortune slot machine android app virtual roulette online carbon poker mobile casino 888 casino withdrawal uk ameristar casino jobs in vicksburg ms
Ms. HESS – Slot car store online sony xperia z5 compact best price australia investigation and became part of a great investigative effort.
Actuary – 18 material witness deaths
Caesars slots online roulette wheel maker attack, O=other
W = testified at WC
Note:* No anti-Castro; CIA; Mafia; Dallas police in HSCA list of 21 deaths
S 6402 BETTY MACDONALD W
M 6403 HANK KILLAM
H 6403 BILL CHESHER
M 6404 BILL HUNTER
M 6405 GARY UNDERHILL * CIA/Life magazine, predicted his death
M 6409 JIM KOETHE
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M 6507 HAROLD RUSSEL W
A 6512 WILLIAM WHALEY W
H 6601 EARLENE ROBERTS W
S 6602 ALBERT BOGARD W
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A 6608 LEE BOWERS W
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A 6611 JAMES WORRELL W
O 6701 JACK RUBY W * Connected to Dallas PD, mob (sudden cancer)
M 6702 DAVID FERRIE * CIA, knew Oswald
M 6702 ELADIO DEL VALLE * anti-Castro, knew Ferrie
Convenient deaths spiked in 1964 (Warren Commission) and 1977 (House Select Committee).