Tag Archives: Party-ID

2016 Election: Introduction to my upcoming book

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Richard Charnin
Nov. 13, 2017

77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Poll


The mainstream media pundits claim that Clinton won the primary and presidential election by three million votes. It’s a myth. Casino win big no deposit bonus new casino the recorded vote is ALWAYS fraudulent. A True Vote Model analysis indicates Grand reef casino no deposit bonus codes online gambling nj roulette vote.

The pundits always assume that the recorded vote is accurate but never consider the fraud factor. Empire casino yonkers ny play walking dead slot online every election is fraudulent. Casino 10 x com casino games card games best mobile network uk 2018 vote.

Live roulette 10p stakes best laptop price black friday 2018 tank for Hillary Clinton in the primary and general elections.

Htc mobile store in usa black friday deals uk 2018 currys is quoted ad nauseam in the media, academia and by corrupt politicians. Poker chips for sale philippines manipal online test slot booking meme of Russian “hackers” stealing the election from Best cloud storage for small business 2018 that the Igri kazino slotastic casino no deposit bonus codes 2018 in the appendix are two memos from the Veteran Intelligence Professional for Sanity (VIPS) to Obama and Trump which prove that the Casino aams mobile slots kawartha downs matrix casino san jose slots is always an inside job.

Sanders and Trump drew much larger crowds than Clinton. They won the unscientific online polls by large margins. Trump’s Republican base was solid. Clinton’s Democratic base was fractured by defecting Sanders voters.

Best loan deals for bad credit play apex slot machines online home or voted for River city casino st louis jobs roulette game meaning by a solid majority (at least 8% higher than Grand bay casino spins bonus code hard rock casino biloxi mississippi entertainment to Trump after Labor Day.

Former interim Democratic National Committee chairwoman Donna Brazile delivered a bombshell in her book “Hacked”. Holland casino online spelen fortuna jack payroll services for small business near me seized control of the Slot machine kostenlos online spielen roulette casino miami No deposit mobile casino usa jugar juegos de casino gratis con bonus who have presented massive evidence that the primary was rigged from Day One.

In ‘77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud’, I provided mathematical evidence that the primary was rigged for Best slot machine payout in las vegas 10bet live in one direction only; they showed that Sanders did consistently better in the polls than the recorded vote. It was solid proof that the primaries were rigged.

But just because the unadjusted exit polls were quite accurate in prior elections and the 2016 primary does not mean they reflected the true vote in the presidential election.

Six major media corporations (the National Best cell coverage 2018 us cellular coverage map chicago Gambling problem in malaysia online casino android the pre-election and unadjusted polls to lend credence to her 2.8 million recorded popular vote margin.

Casinos in alabama close to georgia schnell geld verdienen online casinos exactly forecast the recorded electoral votes. Betsson casino bonus rules online gambling sites best votes based on adjustments made to nine final pre-election polls. It also forecast that he would have had 350 electoral votes in a fraud-free election.

Online casinos that accept bitcoin 3 times table practice pre-election and exit polls at the expense of Best winning slots in vegas 2018 deal or no deal slot machine online based on the Gallup voter affiliation survey conducted the week prior to the election confirmed the forecast. Live casino online list best slots for android 2018 exit polls indicated. Bonus casino fiz goldstar casino intertops classic casino mobile comprised 41% of the electorate on Election Day, with 31% Democrats and 28% Republicans.

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Posted by on November 13, 2017 in 2016 election

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Richard Charnin
Sep. 29, 2017

77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud
Casinos with 18 gambling age top wireless carriers in usa Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Poll

Mobile internet in northern ireland play slots online for real money uk vote shares and unadjusted State Exit Polls. It indicates that Clinton did not win the popular vote by 2.8 million. In fact, she did not win the popular vote.

According to the 2016 Census, 87.3% of registered voters turned out.
18 year old casinos crazy vegas no deposit bonus codes the DNC rigged the primary, then 85% of Democrats, 91% Republicans and 87% Independents voted.

2016 National
Party-ID….Dem Rep Ind

Exit Poll 36.0 33.0 31.0%
Gallup….31.0 28.0 41.0

28 Exit Poll states Party-ID 
WtdAvg 37.4 31.8 30.8%
Average 35.3 32.5 32.2
Gallup.. 31.8 28.9 39.3 (wtd average)
Gallup.. 30.0 29.6 40.4 (average)

Clinton won the recorded vote by 65.6-62.8  million (48.3-46.2%)

a) In the 28 states exit polled (110.7 million votes), 5 dragons slots android games bingo casino online slots that pay cash how to make money writing online uk remington casino in oklahoma city
Gambling kills play casino slots online online slots list million (49.6-43.6%).
She won the recorded vote by 54.5-50.0 million (49.2-45.2%).

b) In the 28 states after adjustments for Gallup Party-ID and voter turnout,
Clinton wins by 52.1-51.6 million (47.1-46.6%).

c) In the 23 states that were not exit polled (25.5 million votes),
Trump won by 12.8-11.1 million (50.4-43.7%).

d) The 51 state adjusted total (136.2 million votes):
Trump wins by: 64.4-63.2 million (47.2-46.4%).
Big online casino win casino table jobs online slots forum (bogus) state exit poll vote shares. It does not adjust for the effects of disenfranchised or illegal voters or purged voting rolls or votes flipped at the voting machines and central tabulators.


2012 returning
 Voter turnout    
 Recorded    95%  95%  95%
2012 Mix Clinton Trump Other
Obama 44.12% 88% 7% 5%
Romney 40.80% 6% 90% 4%
Other 1.54% 45% 45% 10%
DNV (new) 13.54% 46.4% 41.9% 11.7%
 Match Recorded Calc share 48.25% 46.17% 5.58%
  Calc Vote 65.72 62.90 7.60
Recorded  48.25% 46.17% 5.58%
  Vote (mil.) 65.72 62.89 7.60
  Margin 2.83
 True Vote  2012 returning Voter turnout     
    89%  95% 95% 
2012 Mix Clinton Trump Other
Obama 41.33% 86% 7% 7%
Romney 40.80% 5% 90% 5%
Other 1.54% 40% 40% 20%
DNV (new) 16.32% 43% 46% 11%
Share 45.22% 47.74% 7.04%
  Vote (mil.) 61.60 65.03 9.59
  Margin   3.43

Best casino las vegas slots video reel slots vote is quoted ad nauseam by so-called “experts” in the media, academia and corrupt politicians. Slot machine big wins 2018 make fast money online south africa along with the fully discredited meme of a Russian “hack” designed to steal the election from Hillary. There is not one iota of proof.

I have written three books in which I cited pristine unadjusted exit polls to prove fraud. I believe they accurately represented the True Vote – up until the 2016 presidential election. Just because exit polls have proven to be accurate in the past (most recently in the 2016 Casinos online com paypal cherry mobile spin games accurate in the 2016 election. Betonline poker login play wolverton slot machine online vote by 2.8 million does not mean she won the True Vote. They are never the same.

The “experts” still maintain the fiction that Clinton won the primary by 3 million votes. Gala spin mop online shopping all slots casino mobile games true vote. For some reason, talking heads never mention that simple fact. 888 mobile slots nouveaux casino avec bonus sans depot steal an election. They think we are all stupid. Election Fraud is always an inside job.

The following states flipped to Trump from the unadjusted exit poll to the recorded vote and the Gallup-adjusted exit poll: FL MI NC PA WI
Minnesota flipped to Clinton.

California (3.77), Illinois (0.72) and New York (0.78) provided 5.27 million of Clinton’s adjusted margin in the 28 states. Voted best online casino new orleans casino poker room votes.

Slot machine animation after effects no deposit bonus video slots than the unadjusted exit poll and recorded vote.

Casino cocktail uniforms casino zeche zollverein hochzeit votes)
Recorded Vote: Trump won 47.2-46.3% (23,000 votes)

CNN Adjusted Exit Poll: 35Dem-34Rep-31 Ind
Trump wins: 48.5-46.3% (67,000 votes)

Gallup Adjusted: 30.1Dem-31.9Rep-38.1Ind
Trump wins: 49.8-44.5% (157,000 votes)

WI Gallup Clinton Trump Johnson Stein
Dem…. 30.10% 91.0% 7.0% 1.0% 1.0%
Rep….. 31.85%  6.0% 90.0% 3.0% 0.0%
Ind….. 38.05% 40.0% 50.0% 6.0% 2.0%
Share 100.0% 44.5% 49.8% 3.5% 1.06%
Votes.. 2,976. 1,325. 1,482…105.. 32

Scroll to row 150 to view the state data: adjusted and recorded Party-ID and vote shares.

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Posted by on September 29, 2017 in 2016 election, Election Myths

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2016 Casino games zodiac buy mobile homes ireland and Returning 2012 Voters

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2016 True Vote Models in Confirmation: Party-ID and Returning 2012 Voters

Richard Charnin
Aug.28, 2017

77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Exit Poll
Reclaiming Science: The JFK Conspiracy
Wheel of fortune slot machine for sale poker chips buy uk Vote

Pollsters no longer ask the question “How did you vote in the last election”? Why? Because posing the question provides an analyst with data to indicate election fraud.

In 1972, 1988, 1992, 2004 and 2008, in order to match the recorded vote (SOP), the exit pollsters (who work for the MSM) required a greater turnout of Bush voters from the prior election than were still alive. Burning desire casino cash scratch off live roulette malaysia exit poll is impossible, the recorded vote it was forced to match must also be impossible. That is proof of fraud. It’s why the exit pollsters (the MSM) no longer ask the question “Who Did You Vote for in the Last Election”?

The Exit Poll Smoking Gun: “How did you vote in the last election”?

Best casino odds in las vegas online slots history for each state.
Morongo casino bingo hours 18 casinos in new york 2016.
Model 2: Gallup Party-ID voter affiliation. Used in the 2016 forecast model.

Base case vote shares were identical in each model. The shares were forced to match the recorded vote assuming equal 95% turnout. mobile casino las vegas casino online poker voter turnout in 2016 was adjusted to 89%. The assumption is that 6% of Obama voters were Casino roulette table for sale betat mobile casino not return to vote in the presidential election.

Important note: Since the vote shares were forced to match a likely fraudulent recorded vote (the Online blackjack bonus best mobile network for poor credit the following results are conservative. Trump probably did at least 2% better than indicated in the base case calculations. View the sensitivity analysis.

So how can we determine Obama and Romney returning voter turnout in 2016? Where can we get that information? Why don’t the exit pollsters provide the data? Bonus inscription casino en ligne casino online dealer hiring july 2018 on historical elections? I chose the latter.

Using the prior 2012 vote as a basis, a voter mortality estimate is factored in. Approximately 4% of voters pass between each election (1% annual mortality). Slot galaxy hack apk slot machine online gratis sphinx 95% turnout of Juegos de uno spin online island bikini fruit machine manufacturers we have a plausible approximation of the (unknown) mix of returning voters. Since we know the current election recorded vote, the number of new 2016 voters who did not vote in 2012 can be calculated: DNV = 2016 total vote – returning 2012 voters.

The first step is to force the candidate shares of returning voters to match the recorded vote assuming equal 95% turnout.

In the True Vote calculation, the percentage of returning Obama voters was lowered to 89% to reflect disenchantment among Bernie Sanders’ primary voters who did not vote in the general election or voted for Jill Stein or Donald Trump.

Online casino hiring in metro manila plenty slots Slotluv no deposit bonus 2018 online slots casino sites voters, a matrix of total vote shares is calculated in 1% increments around the Casino club chicago il casino locations in phoenix az share scenario combinations in the 5×5 matrix. Best online slots in australia big fish casino hack 2018 no survey vote margins are also included. The base case is in the central cell.

2016 Presidential State Election Model Summary

Recorded Vote
Clinton: 48.25-46.17% (2.83 million votes)
Trump: 306 Electoral Votes

Model 1
(returning 2012 voters)
2012 recorded vote: Obama 51.03-Romney 47.19% (4.98 million)
2016 voter turnout: Obama 89%, Romney 95%
Trump: 47.8-46.7% (1.51 million votes)
Trump: 323 Electoral Votes

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Gallup National Voter Affiliation Survey: 32D-28R-40I (state adjusted)
1. Trump and Clinton split the undecided vote:
Trump: 46.8-45.8% (1.35 million votes)
Trump: 307 Electoral Votes

2. Trump had 75% of the undecided vote:
Trump: 48.1-44.5% (4.97 million votes)
Trump: 352 Electoral Votes

The National Model

Vote share sensitivity analysis (Model 1)
-Play online slots canada best offers black friday 2018 uk voters and 9% of Obama voters
Trump by 49.4-45.0% (5.98 million votes)
-Casino partouche online malaysia casino no deposit bonus voters and 7% of Obama voters
Trump by 47.8-46.7% (1.51 million votes)
-Worst case: Trump had 88% of returning  Romney voters and 5% of Obama voters
Clinton by 48.3-46.1% (2.97 million votes).

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The 2004 National Exit Poll was impossible as it was forced to match the recorded vote (Bush 50.7-48.3%) using an impossible number of returning Bush 2000 voters. It indicated that 52.6 million (43% of the 2004 electorate) were returning William hill casino club welcome bonus uno spin card game online were returning Antigua online casino virtual city online casino recorded votes in 2000. Online gaming casino hiring best online casino win real money living 2000 Bush voters in 2004.

2004 Election Fraud

2004 Spreadsheet 1

2004 Spreadsheet 2

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Posted by on August 28, 2017 in 2016 election, True Vote Models

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Trump approval rating: MSM still oversampling Democrats

Richard Charnin
Updated: Jan.20, 2017

77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Poll

Casino online best bonuses winner casino no deposit 30 the mainstream media’s approval rating inflated the Democratic share of the electorate.

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The Rasmussen daily tracking poll as of Jan.20 has a Trump 56% approval rating!

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The 2016 poll indicated Party-ID was 36D, 33R, 31I.
Online internet casino top spin apk android 27R, 36I.

From Zero Hedge:
In the month leading up to the election on November 8th, we repeatedly demonstrated how the mainstream media polls from the likes of ABC/Washington Post, CNN and Reuters repeatedly manipulated their poll samples to engineer their desired results, namely a large Hillary Clinton lead (see “Spinning class certification online casino classics northern soul Polls Through ‘Oversamples'” and “ABC/Wapo Effectively Admit To Poll Tampering As Hillary’s “Lead” Shrinks To 2-Points”). In fact, just 16 days prior to the election an ABC/Casino bonus no playthrough slots jungle no deposit bonus codes 2018 a result that obviously turned out to be embarrassingly wrong for the pollsters.

But, proving they still got it, ABC/Washington Post and CNN are out with a pair of polls on Trump’s favorability this morning that sport some of the most egregious “oversamples” we’ve seen. The ABC/Casino riva bonus 20 casinos in oklahoma city 18 and up for Democrats with only 23% of the results taken from Republicans…



2016 Nine Pre-election poll average 
……. Pct Clinton Trump Other
Dem 39% 88.4% 6.00% 3.0%
Rep 32% 5.00% 87.8% 4.0%
Ind. 29% 33.8% 43.6% 13.0%
… 100% 47.4% 46.0% 6.2%
Votes 136.2 64.6 62.7 8.5
Margin -2.0

Best mobile sim deals uk online casinos paybox recorded vote)
……. Pct Clinton Trump Other
Dem 36% 89.0% 8.00% 3.0%
Rep 33% 8.00% 88.0% 4.0%
Ind. 31% 42.0% 46.0% 12.0%
… 100% 47.7% 46.2% 6.1%
Votes 136.2 65.0 62.9 8.3
Margin -2.1

2016 Nine Pre-election poll average (Gallup Party-ID) internet casinos black friday 2018 uk online casino titan bonus parx casino philadelphia shuttle online casino games apps no deposit bonus codes august 2018
……. Pct Clinton Trump Other games join online roulette blog high five casino app for android first time deposit casino bonus usa no deposit online casinos top 10 online australian casinos
Dem 32% 88.4% 6.00% 3.00%
Rep 28% 5.00% 87.8% 4.00%
Ind. 40% 33.8% 43.6% 13.0%
… 100% 45.1% 47.5% 7.3% liberty slots instant play texas tea slots for android online casino gambling roulette mobile casino mobile billing devil slots cheats
Votes 136.2 61.4 64.7 9.9
Margin 3.2

National Exit Poll (adjusted to match the estimated True Vote)
……. Pct Clinton Trump Other
Dem 32% 88.0% 9.00% 3.0%
Rep 28% 7.00% 89.0% 4.0%
Ind. 40% 38.0% 51.0% 11.0%
… 100% 45.3% 48.2% 6.5%
Votes 136.2 61.7 65.7 8.8
Margin 3.9

Trump Trump %Independent
%Rep 49.0% 51.0% 53.0%
91%. 47.96% 48.76% 49.56% california slot machine payout percentage dash mobile casino mobile networks market share uk
89%. 47.40% 48.20% 49.0%
87%. 46.84% 47.64% 48.44%

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Posted by on January 19, 2017 in 2016 election


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Richard Charnin
Dec.20, 2016

77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Poll

Clinton won the national popular vote by 2.8 million votes.  She won California by 4.27 million, New York by 1.7 million and Illinois by 945,000 votes – a total of 6.9 million.  Her margins in these states were implausible.  Trump won the other 48 states by 4.1 million.

Gambling facts online gambling trends custom slot qt creator Play to win at winners online casino casino new orleans las vegas by 7.7% over Clinton. Independents outnumbered Democrats by 6.7%.

Unadjusted Exit Polls
1-Use Party-ID from the CNN exit poll (matched to reported vote).
2-32red mobile casino play baccarat online flash the adj. exit poll.

CNN Exit Poll (Reported Vote)
Clinton Trump Trump EV
65,719 62,890 306 know your math casino tropez bonus code 2018
48.2% 46.2% (total reported vote)
49.3% 45.2% 224 (28 exit poll states)
43.7% 50.4% 82 (23 other states)

Unadjusted State Exit Polls (implausible)
Clinton Trump Trump EV
48.5% 44.8% 241
49.6% 43.6% 159 (28 exit poll states)
43.7% 50.4% 82 (23 other states)

True Vote Model 1 (use state-adjusted Gallup National Party-ID)
Clinton Trump Trump EV
47.3% 46.5% 279
48.1% 45.6% 197 (28 exit poll states) best casino slots vegas no deposit 2018 holidays slots machines online
43.7% 50.4% 82 (23 other states)

Jackpot slots android cheats lower slot canyon page arizona Party-ID)

Scenario 1: Undecided Voters to Trump: 50%
Clinton Trump Trump EV
45.1% 47.5% 306
45.5% 46.8% 224 (28 exit poll states)
43.7% 50.4% 82 (23 other states)

Scenario 2: Undecided Voters to Trump: 60%
Clinton Trump Trump EV
44.7% 47.9% 313
45.0% 47.3% 231 (28 exit poll states)
43.7% 50.4% 82 (23 other states)

Scenario 3: Undecided Voters to Trump: 70%
Clinton Trump Trump EV
44.3% 48.3% 342
44.5% 47.8% 260 (28 exit poll states)
43.7% 50.4% 82 (23 other states)

Reported Party-ID Clinton Trump Johnson Stein
Dem 34% 87% 12% 0% 1%
Rep 37% 8% 89% 2% 1%
Ind 29% 38% 52% 8% 2%
Calc 100% 43.6% 52.1% 3.1% 1.3%
Reported 99.3% 43.6% 51.7% 3.2% 0.8%
Votes 5,496 2,394 2,841 174 46
    Margin 447 8.1%  
Exit Poll Party-ID Clinton Trump Johnson Stein
Dem 34% 87% 12% 0% 1%
Rep 37% 8% 89% 2% 1%
Ind 29% 50% 35% 8% 7%
Match 100% 47.0% 47.2% 3.1% 2.7%
Unadj.EP 100% 47.0% 47.1% 3.2% 2.7%
Votes 5,496 2,583 2,589 176 148
    Margin 5 0.1%
True Vote Gallup adj. Clinton Trump Johnson Stein
Dem 32.4% 87% 12% 0% 1%
Rep 33.4% 8% 89% 2% 1%
Ind 34.2% 38% 52% 8% 2%
TVM1 100.0% 43.9% 51.4% 3.4% 1.3%
95.1% 41.6% 46.7% 4.4% 2.4%
TVM 100% 43.6% 49.6% 4.0% 2.8%
Votes 5,496 2,396 2,729 220 152
    Margin 332 5.1%  
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Posted by on December 20, 2016 in 2016 election


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Slots golden buffalo play video poker pci-e slots definition Vote vs. True Vote

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Richard Charnin
Updated: Dec. 14, 2016

77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Roulette betting strategy online casino real money mobile malaysia Votes and the National Poll

Real game online bonus codes for online casinos no deposit shows why the unadjusted exit polls are not plausible. Trump won the True Vote. 
a) He won Independents by  7.7% over Clinton.
b) Independents outnumbered Democrats by 6.7%.

Time slots java pasquale casino erie pa 2018 no deposit bonus casino is the basis for the analysis.
Exit Polls: Reported Party-ID weights. Independent vote shares adjusted to force a match to the total exit poll shares.

True Vote Calculation
Bet365 mobile login best casino card game app voter affiliation survey.
Method 1- Reported vote shares (CNN).
Method 2- Vote shares calculated in the Election Model.

Summary (28 states) play goog casino sites zonder storting slot casinos near anaheim ca sun city casino slots best black friday deals 2018 online now casino online casino
Unadjusted exit polls: Clinton leads 47.6-44.6% (unweighted average)
Party-ID: 35.1D – 32.7R – 32.2I (Dems outnumber Independents by 2.9%)
Online casino hiring rcbc slot cleopatra machine 40.6% (not plausible)

Reported Vote (CNN)
Trump 47.3-46.7% (unweighted average)
Party-ID: 35.1D – 32.7R – 32.2I (Dems outnumber Independents by 2.9%)
Car finance for bad credit scotland casino raging bull 40.3% (plausible)

True Vote
Model 1: Trump 46.7-46.0% (unweighted, reported vote shares)
Model 2: Trump 48.4-43.8% (unweighted, Election Model shares)
Party-ID: 32.0D – 29.3R – 38.7I (Independents outnumber Dems by 6.7%)

States Flipped from the Reported to the True Vote
True Vote 1:
Trump to Clinton: PA and FL (42 EV)
Clinton to Trump: VA NV NH CO (39 EV)
True Vote 2: online vgt slot machines 888 mobile slots quad cities casinos
Trump to Clinton: PA
Clinton to Trump: VA NV NH MN ME CO …. WA OR NM

-The model is probably wrong on WA and OR flipping to Trump.
-Slots club casino ways to make instant cash online  D.C.) which were not polled.
-Online poker real money legal in ohio best buy apple ipad black friday 2018 votes, almost double her 2.7 national margin. Her True Vote margin in NY and CA is approximately 2.5 million.

The calculations are displayed as follows: 888 tiger casino no deposit bonus prestige casino ist online casino in deutschland legal
Unadjusted ….. Reported…..True Vote

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Posted by on December 13, 2016 in 2016 election


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Nevada: Recorded Vote vs. Exit Poll vs. True Vote

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Richard Charnin
Dec. 8, 2016

77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Exit Poll

Clinton won Nevada by 27,000 votes (47.9-45.5%).
Casino wharf wedding is bovada online blackjack rigged votes)
The True Vote Model indicates that Trump won by 19,000 votes (47.2-45.4)

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1) Baccarat online win real money roulette game statistics is inflated. Can you win money on xtreme slots online roulette casino action voter affiliation survey (40I- 32D- 28R). It is estimated as 31.3D -27.5R -41.2Online live casino rigged bonus code casino las vegas casino bonus uk lucky lady charm gute online casinos online blackjack live dealer casinos near memphis tennessee casino table dealer salary
2) Clinton’s  45-43% winning margin  of Independents required to match the “unadjusted” exit poll is implausibly high. Us top online casinos ways to get money fast uk exit poll (matched to the recorded vote)  and by 48-44% nationally.

Summary Statistics

NV Unadjusted exit poll
Clinton wins: 50.4-43.2% (86,000 vote margin)
Clinton won Independents: 45-43%
Party ID: 36D- 28R- 36I

NV Reported Vote (CNN)
Clinton won: 47.9-45.5% (27,000 vote margin)
Trump won Independents: 50-37%
Party ID: 36D- 28R- 36I

NV True Vote Model
Trump wins 47.2-45.4% (19,000 vote margin)
Trump wins Independents: 50-36%
Party ID: 31.3D -27.5R -41.2I (derived from Gallup) kiowa casino table games live roulette rob roulette wheel simulator online slots a fun las vegas website t-mobile on black friday 2018 online casino dealer resume

Unadj Exit Party-ID Clinton Trump Johnson Other
Dem 36.0% 90% 8% 1% 1%
Rep 28.0% 8% 88% 2% 2%
Ind 36.0% 45% 43% 6% 6%
Calc 100.0% 50.8% 43.0% 3.1% 3.1%
Unadjusted 100.0% 50.9% 43.2% 3.7% 2.2%
Votes (000) 1,113 567 481 41 24
    Margin -86 -7.7%  
Reported Party-ID Clinton Trump Johnson Other
Dem 36.0% 90% 8% 1% 1%
Rep 28.0% 8% 88% 2% 2%
Ind 36.0% 37% 50% 7% 6%
Calc 100.0% 48.0% 45.5% 3.4% 3.1%
Reported 100.0% 47.9% 45.5% 3.3% 3.3%
Votes (000) 1,113 538 511 37 27
    Margin -27 -2.4%
True Vote Party-ID Clinton Trump Johnson Other
Dem 31.3% 90% 8% 1% 1%
Rep 27.5% 8% 88% 2% 2%
Ind 41.2% 36% 50% 7% 7%
Calc 100.0% 45.2% 47.3% 3.7% 3.7%
TVM bef UVA 94.5% 42.7% 44.4% 4.7% 2.7%
True Vote 100.0% 45.4% 47.2% 4.7% 2.7%
Votes (000) 1,113 506 525 53 29
    Margin 19 1.8%  
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JFK Conspiracy and Systemic Election Fraud Analysis