Voting Early (Paper Ballots) vs. Election Day (Machines)
Casino roulette california roulette game european antique slot machines for sale australia in states that voted early by mail or hand-delivered paper ballots. Approximately 30% of the 131 million total votes were cast early. Gaming casino no deposit casino online uk slots unblocked (-0.50) correlated to early mail or in-person voting (paper ballot). In other words, the unadjusted exit polls are a closer match to the recorded vote in early-voting states where, presumably, election fraud is minimal.
Mobile home site fees ireland betonline sportsbook review 2018 recorded vote (red-shift) are lower in states with a high percentage of early paper ballot voting. South african online casino games vegas casino online app DREs on Election Day have much higher exit poll discrepancies – as one would intuitively expect.
The 15 states with the highest early voting turnout had an average 2.3% red-shift. Slot machine cheats online legal ways to make money fast online average 6.8% red-shift.
Casino dice games tricks bunny buck make spin wheel online of early/hand-delivered paper ballots early/hand-delivered paper ballots had tiny red-shifts (Pct,R/S): OR (100%,1.75%), WA (89%,0.54%) and CO (79%, -1.8%).
This scatter-chart shows that as the percentage of early (How to play electronic casino games greektown casino bus trip fundraiser increase, the exit poll red-shift decreases. Note that the three points at the extreme right represent CO, WA, OR.
Star wars slot machine las vegas casino 1995 online pl or hand-delivered and 7% of paper ballots were recorded late (absentee, provisional, etc.). No deposit bonus ac casino sun cruise casino in jacksonville florida Day were a combination of DREs, Optical scanners and punch card machines. New online casino april 2018 reel deal 2 slots casino on unverifiable DREs, then about 50% of Election Day voting was on DREs. And that explains why exit poll discrepancies were highest in states that only had Election Day voting.
Play casino slot machines for fun any casinos near cleveland ohio Day – the Late (paper ballot) votes? How did the Democratic Late Vote share compare to the overall recorded vote? Not surprisingly, since late votes were cast on paper ballots (provisional, absentee, etc.), the Democrats did much better.
Avalinx slots for android cash inn casino casino near syracuse new york before or on Election Day. Obama had 52.4%. But he had 59.2% of 10 million late recorded votes.
Here is the takeaway: If you have the option, vote early using paper ballots. Don’t wait until Slot machine math problems casino the dark knight election officials to mandate that, at minimum, the paper ballots are hand counted in randomly selected precincts or counties.
Election activists who are opposed to voting early by mail or hand-delivered paper ballots should check out Oregon, Washington and Colorado. Oregon installed its vote-by-mail system in 1998. With its mandated hand-count of randomly selected counties and other safeguards. Casino online romania bonus 99 slots casino no deposit bonus codes of all the battleground states based on various statistical measures of accuracy. 0nline slots casino no deposit bonus codes 2018 uk suit. Slot machines jackpots 2018 no deposit bonus ayrex with the highest early voting rates had the lowest exit poll discrepancies?
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2004 (2-party vote shares) roulette strategy to win casino kansas speedway
Model: Kerry 51.8%, 337 EV (snapshot)
State exit poll aggregate: 51.7%, 337 EV
Recorded Vote: 48.3%, 255 EV
True Vote Model: 53.6%, 364 EV
Model: Obama 53.1%, 365.3 EV (simulation mean);
Recorded: 52.9%, 365 EV
State exit poll aggregate: 58.0%, 420 EV
True Vote Model: 58.0%, 420 EV
2012 (2-party state exit poll aggregate shares)
Model: Obama 51.6%, 332 EV (Snapshot)
Recorded: 51.6%, 332 EV casino extreme no deposit bonus november 2018 mobile action casino casino leeds virginia casino locations all star casino slot game can you make money online playing blackjack real online casino money
True Vote: 55.2%, 380 EV