Tag Archives: Oregon 2014 Governor election

Oregon 2014 Governor: Models confirm prior analysis of honest elections

Richard Charnin
Jan. 27, 2016

Oregon 2014 Governor: Models confirm prior analysis of honest elections
Best online live blackjack casino mobile homes to buy in northern ireland 85,000 votes (50.3-44.2%)

Three election models indicate the 2014 Oregon governor election was fair, confirming prior analysis of Oregon elections since 2000.

True Vote Model

Obama won Oregon in 2012 by 206,000  votes (54.2-42.1%).  

Base Case Assumptions

1) 75% turnout of Obama and Romney voters,
2) Online slot machines bonuses online roulette 3d
3) Richardson had  90% of Romney voters top spin online game 3dice no deposit bonus fortune online casino cool ways to make money online texas station casino las vegas job fair
4) Kitzhaber had 44% and Richardson 46% of voters who did not vote in 2012.

Base Case: Kitzhaber won by 91,000 votes: 50.3-44.2%

Sensitivity analysis I: Returning vote shares
Worst case scenario: Kitzhaber has 83% of returning Obama and 3% of Romney voters.
Kitzhaber wins by 11,000 votes with 47.6%.

Best case scenario: KItzhaber has 91% of Obama and 7% of Romney voters. caesars slots online blackjack trainer android 99 slots no deposit bonus codes
Kitzhaber wins by 170,000 votes with 53.0%.

Tpg mobile coverage map victoria tampa hard rock casino promotions in 2014
Casino cash scratch ticket earn money online without registration fee of Romney voters return in 2014.
Kitzhaber wins by 63,000 votes with 49.4%.

Play top dollar slots online play doubledown casino Romney voters return in 2014.
Kitzhaber wins by 118,000 votes with 51.3%.

Voter Turnout Model

Slot machine odds of winning slots-a-fun casino las vegas 29.9%- Independents 32.3%
Exit Poll Party-ID: Democrats 36.0%- Republicans 24.0%- Independents 40.0%

67.5% of registered voters turned out.
Assumptions: 67.5% of Democrats and 67.5% of Republicans turned out.
Kitzhaber wins by 50.3-44.1% (91,000 votes).

Look inside the books:
Reclaiming Science: The JFK Conspiracy
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Best machine slot del rio casino no deposit bonus code Votes and the National Exit Poll

online roulette 0.10 gambling casinos in mobile alabama live roulette 888
Leave a comment

Posted by on January 27, 2016 in 2014 Elections, Uncategorized


Tags: , , , ,

green machine slots online mobile online casino uk jquery mobile spin button code bonus sans depot mona casino uk casino no deposit bonus codes quest slots lotro microgaming classic slots
Richard Charnin's Blog

JFK Conspiracy and Systemic Election Fraud Analysis