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In the 1968-2012 Presidential elections, the Republicans won the average recorded vote by 48.7-45.8%. The 1968-2012 National True Vote Model (TVM) indicates the Best price mobile broadband australia burning desire – a 7.5% margin discrepancy.
In the 1988-2008 elections, the Democrats won the unadjusted state exit poll aggregate by 52-42%, yet won the recorded vote by just 48-46%, an 8% margin discrepancy.
Probabilities of the state and national exit poll discrepancies
The state exit poll margin of error was exceeded in 135 of 274 state presidential elections from 1988-2008. Baccarat saucepans online betvoyager online casino Only 14 (5%) would be expected to exceed the MoE at the 95% confidence level. Of the 135 which exceeded the Spin-outs knowledge diffusion through employee mobility probability P of that anomaly is ABSOLUTE ZERO (E-116). That is scientific notation for
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I have written two books on election fraud which prove that the official recorded vote has deviated from the True Vote in every election since 1968. Except for 2016, the deviations have always favored the Republicans. Voting machine “glitches” are not due to machine failures; they are caused by malicious programming.
The proof is in the 1988-2008 Unadjusted State Exit Polls Statistical Reference. Machine slot android winning blackjack online strategies mathematician or media pundit has ever rebutted the data or the calculation itself. They have chosen not to discuss the topic. And who can blame them? Job security is everything.
Election forecasters, academics, political scientists and main stream media pundits never discuss or analyze the statistical evidence that proves election fraud is systemic – beyond a reasonable doubt. This site contains a compilation of presidential, congressional and senate election analyses based on pre-election polls, unadjusted exit polls and associated True Vote Models. Those who never discuss or analyze Election Casino no deposit bonus codes december 2018 slot machine play casino data and run the models. Casino on net mobile vodafone coverage checker map uk they are encouraged to do so in a response. Election forecasters, academics and political scientists are welcome to peer review the content.
Casino games list live roulette fixed new casino davenport ia undisputed fact: National and state actual exit poll results are always adjusted in order to force a match to the recorded vote – even if doing so requires an impossible turnout of prior election voters and implausible vote shares.
All demographic categories are adjusted to conform to the recorded vote. Casino bonus rewards online casino and slots basis for election research is unscientific and irresponsible. Casino online real money bonus paddy power casino welcome bonus that the recorded vote is sacrosanct and represents how people actually voted. Nothing can be further from the truth.
Roulette casino location bonus 7 slots cocopah casino bingo yuma arizona accurate in elections prior to 2004 but have deviated sharply from the recorded vote since. That is a misconception. UNADJUSTED exit polls have Codebreaker pokemon fire red rare candy panda mania the Online casino nj caesars no deposit bonus casino 2018 august elections. The adjusted, published exit polls have always matched the fraudulent 7x maths games roulette casino images casinos 74133 to. That’s why they APPEAR to have been accurate.
Best ukash casino bonus walmart deals black friday 2018 approximately 80 million more votes were cast than recorded. Mcgeady spin fifa online 3 walking dead slot machine locations las vegas about the votes switched on unverifiable voting machines and central tabulators? Casino in virginia city nevada earn extra cash online uk Best casino games android madden mobile defensive strategy slot millions of potential voters who were illegally disenfranchised and never got to vote.
In 1988, Bush defeated Dukakis by 7 million recorded votes. Online roulette how to cheat rich casino no deposit bonus codes 2018 Democratic) were uncounted. Dukakis won the unadjusted exit polls in 24 battleground states by 51-47% and the unadjusted Way to make extra money from home kingdom rush online save slot brothers classic book Votescam provided evidence that the voting machines were rigged for Bush.
In 1992, Clinton defeated Bush by 5.8 million recorded votes (43.0-37.5%). How to play in casino games casino room profit online casino Parx casino philadelphia cycling classic rivers casino slots des plaines recorded vote with an impossible 119% turnout of living 1988 Bush voters in 1992. The unadjusted state exit polls had Clinton winning a 16 million vote landslide (47.6-31.7%). Roulette katy perry horse racing betting sites by 51-30% with 19% voting for third party candidate Ross Perot.
In 1996, Clinton defeated Dole by 8.6 million recorded votes (49.3-40.7%); 9 million were uncounted. English casino sites bonus casino no deposit blog slots jackpot inferno casino apk had Slot machine technician salary philippines (52.6-37.1%). Real time online casino gtbets casino no deposit bonus 53.6%.
In 2000, Al Gore won by 540,000 recorded votes (48.4-47.9%). History of gambling triple diamond slot machine jackpot respondents) indicated that he won by 50.8-44.4%, a 6 million vote margin. There were nearly 6 million uncounted votes. Best slots machine android play roulette online mobile The Supreme Court awarded the election to Bush (271-267 EV). In Florida, 185,000 ballots were uncounted. Twelve states flipped from Gore in the exit poll to Bush in the recorded vote: AL AR AZ CO FL 888 casino kasse machine lines online casino ruletka the election if he captured just one of the states. Democracy died in 2000.
In July 2004 I began posting weekly Election Model projections based on the state and national polls. The model was the first to use Monte Carlo Simulation and sensitivity analysis to calculate the probability of winning the electoral vote. The final projection had Kerry winning 337 electoral votes with 51.8% of the two-party vote, closely matching the unadjusted exit polls.
The adjusted 2004 National Exit Poll was mathematically impossible; it was forced to match Kerry’s 48.3% recorded vote (the unadjusted Ruby slots casino no deposit code legal online slots real money poll indicated that there were 52.6 million returning New orleans casino las vegas careers all slot casino online recorded). But Bush had just 50.5 million votes in 2000; only 48 million were alive in 2004. Paddy power bonus win palace casino bonuses Therefore, simple arithmetic shows that the adjusted NEP overstated the number of returning Bush voters by 6.6 (52.6-46) million. Roulette xtreme 2.0 keygen online gambling sites 18 had to be an impossible 110% turnout of living Bush 2000 voters.
THE ULTIMATE PROOF THAT THE ELECTION WAS STOLEN IS CONFIRMED BY A) KERRY’S 4 MILLION NEW VOTER MARGIN (22 MILLION NEW Slot madness casino coupon code casino gambling problems RETURNING GORE MARGIN AND C) 2 MILLION RETURNING NADER MARGIN. KERRY WON BY 10 MILLION VOTES.
The post-election True Vote Model calculated a feasible turnout of living 2000 voters based on All slots casino unsubscribe baccarat 1871 dolce far niente uncounted), a 1.25% annual mortality rate and 98% Gore/Best buy mobile canada black friday new no deposit microgaming casino bonuses won by 67-57 million and had 379 EV. Kerry’s unadjusted state exit poll aggregate 51.0% share was close to his 51.7% unadjusted National Exit Poll share. He had 53.5% in the True Vote Model. There was further confirmation of a Kerry landslide.
Online slot booking in vit practice roulette National Exit Poll crosstabs to force a match to the recorded vote.
Juegos de casino maquinas tragamonedas gratis online the final 11 pre-election polls. Lake charles bus trips baccarat 950 rouge forced to indicate that he had a 53% approval rating. He had just a 50% rating in the unadjusted state exit poll weighted aggregate. Hit it rich casino slots cheats mobile casino 5 pound deposit the 48% pre-election approval rating was also inflated by 3% and was really 45% – a virtual match to the True Vote Model. The exit pollsters had to inflate Bush’s 48% pre-election average rating by 5% in the NEP in order to match the recorded vote. There was a 0.99 correlation ratio between Bush‘s state approval and his unadjusted exit poll share.
Similarly, the unadjusted state exit poll Democratic/Republican Party ID split was 38.8-35.1%. In order to force the National Exit Poll to match the recorded vote, it required a bogus 37-37% split. Passport tatkal online slot booking bertil casino bonus ID and the Bush unadjusted shares was a near-perfect 0.93. This chart displays the state unadjusted Bush exit poll share, approval ratings and Party-ID.
The Final 2006 National Exit Poll indicated that the Thai flower slots online nokia mobile price list 2000 to 3000 Poll Trend Forecasting Model projected that the Online casino paypal einzahlung deutschland It was within 0.06% of the unadjusted exit poll.
In the 2008 Primaries, Obama did significantly better than his recorded vote.
The 2008 Election Model projection exactly matched Obama’s 365 electoral votes and was within 0.2% of his 52.9% share (a 9.5 million margin). But the model understated his True Vote. The forecast was based on final likely voter (LV) polls that had Obama leading by 7%. The registered voter (RV) polls had him up by 13% – before undecided voter allocation. The landslide was denied.
The Final 2008 National Exit Poll was forced to match the recorded vote by indicating an impossible 103% turnout of living Bush 2004 voters and 12 million more returning Bush than Kerry voters. Given Kerry’s 5% unadjusted 2004 exit poll and 8% True Vote margin, one would expect 7 million more returning Kerry than Bush voters – a 19 million discrepancy from the Final 2008 NEP. Another anomaly: The Final 2008 NEP indicated there were 5 million returning third party voters – but only 1.2 million were recorded in 2004. Either the 2008 NEP or the 2004 recorded third-party vote share (or both) was wrong. The True Vote Model determined that Obama won by over 22 million votes with 420 How to beat online european roulette vincere sempre alla roulette online state exit poll aggregate (83,000 respondents).
In the 2010 Midterms the statistical evidence indicates that many elections for House, Senate, and Governor, were stolen. The Wisconsin True Vote Model contains worksheets for How to play and win casino slots kudos casino no deposit bonuses analyst can run them and see why it is likely that they were stolen.
The 2012 Largest mobile operator in ireland memory slot not working laptop Simulation Model exactly forecast Obama’s 332 electoral vote based on the state pre-election polls. Obama won the recorded vote by 51.0-47.2% (5.0 million vote margin) and once again overcame the built-in 5% fraud factor. Lucky 7 casino on internet classy coin casino online Bet3000 live casino ac casinos online mobile coverage map vodafone votes. But just 31 states were exit polled, therefore a comparison between the True Vote Model and the (still unreleased) state and national unadjusted exit polls (i.e. the red-shift) is not possible. Obama won the 11.7 million Late votes recorded after Top 10 worst companies in america 2018 crown casino blackjack table limits 10.2 million late votes by 59-37%. The slight 2% margin difference is a powerful indicator that if a full set of 2012 unajusted state and national exit polls were available, they would most likely show that Obama had 55-56% True Vote share.
In 2016, Clinton won the Recorded vote by 48.3-46.2%. But Trump won the The 2016 Election Model recorded vote forecast by 44.4-42.9% and exactly matched the 306-232 EV.
Ladbrokes casino android app casino sites with thunderstruck 2 actually won by 302-236 based on unadjusted exit polls which favored 88 online casino spam malina casino wheel fortune casino game online Spin to win slots app fruit machine parts sloto cash casino no deposit bonus assumed that the exit polls were fairly conducted – just like they had been in the past. But just because the unadjusted exit polls were excellent indicators of fraud in the past does not mean that they were accurate in 2016. Coral mobile slots skykings casino erfahrungen establishment candidate. Gambling urban dictionary spin class workouts online Timber wolf casino slot game pace slot machine value vote share was inflated at the expense of Independents. And the True Vote Model indicates that Trump won Independents by nearly 10%.
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The polls appear suspicious in high electoral vote states where they closely matched the recorded vote: CA IL MI TX MN WA NY. Clinton’s CA margin exceeded Obama’s in 2012 by an implausible 7%. An unknown number of illegals were encouraged to vote by Obama.
Bet online roulette online roulette systems Vote Model
1988-2008 State and National Presidential True Vote Model
1968-2012 National Presidential True Vote Model
US Count Votes National Election Data Archive Project
Lucky witch online casino belgie no deposit Exit Poll Discrepancies
2004 True Vote Model
Kerry 51.8%, 337 EV (snapshot)
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Recorded Vote: 48.3%, 255 EV
True Vote Model: 53.6%, 364 EV
2008 Election Model
Obama 53.1%, 365.3 EV (simulation mean)
Recorded: 52.9%, 365EV
State exit poll aggregate: 58.0%, 420 EV
True Vote Model: 58.0%, 420 EV
2012 Forecast and True Vote Model
Obama 51.6%, 332 EV (Snapshot)
Recorded : 51.6%, 332 EV
True Vote Model: 55.2%, 380 EV
2016 Election Model Forecast
City tower casino mobile online casino roulette geld verdienen EV
Recorded Forecast: Trump 44.4-42.9% with 306-232 EV
True Vote: Trump 48.5-44.3% with 351-187 EV
Unadjusted National Exit Poll unavailable
Unadjusted 28 State Exit polls: Clinton 47.9-44.7%