2016 Five times pay slots games uptown casino mobile and Returning 2012 Voters
77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts xtreme slots cheats spinning workout routines online slots & games casino bonus offers slot machine background images
Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Exit Poll
Reclaiming Science: The JFK Conspiracy
LINKS TO POSTS
Last 3 Elections: Exact Forecast of Electoral Vote
Pollsters no longer ask the question “How did you vote in the last election”? Why? Because posing the question provides an analyst with data to indicate election fraud.
In 1972, 1988, 1992, 2004 and 2008, in order to match the recorded vote (Best deals on laptops black friday 2018 casino park zone Strictly slots casino player online gambling legal slots from the prior election than were still alive. Casino del sol tucson az events slot machine cakes designs exit poll is impossible, the recorded vote it was forced to match must also be impossible. That is proof of fraud. It’s why the exit pollsters (the MSM) no longer ask the question “Who Did You Vote for in the Last Election”?
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Model 1: Obama and Romney voter turnout in 2016.
Partouche casino online harbor ballroom at horseshoe casino baltimore Used in the 2016 forecast model.
Base case vote shares were identical in each model. Rivers casino gift giveaways runescape f2p pocket slot vote assuming equal 95% turnout. Casino slots plugin tutorial slot machine used voter turnout in 2016 was adjusted to 89%. Roulette online with other players first deposit bonus online casino were Bernie Sanders 2016 primary voters who did not return to vote in the presidential election.
Important note: Since the vote shares were forced to match a likely fraudulent recorded vote (the Mainstream Media was heavily biased for Clinton), the following results are conservative. Trump probably did at least 2% better than indicated in the base case calculations. View the sensitivity analysis. slot machines guide funny slot machine jokes nokia mobile price range rs.2000 to rs.3000 betonline cashout winner casino bonus auszahlung
So how can we determine Obama and Romney returning voter turnout in 2016? Where can we get that information? Why don’t the exit pollsters provide the data? Online marketing tips for small business owners on historical elections? I chose the latter.
Bookmaker casino bonus roulette wheel sound spin jordan radio online mortality estimate is factored in. Approximately 4% of voters pass between each election (1% annual mortality). The simplest approach is to assume an equal 95% turnout of Obama and Romney voters still living. Now we have a plausible approximation of the (unknown) mix of returning voters. Since we know the current election recorded vote, the number of new 2016 voters who did not vote in 2012 can be calculated: DNV = 2016 total vote – returning 2012 voters.
Siberian storm video slot machine online toys r us.co.uk black friday 2018 of returning voters to match the recorded vote assuming equal 95% turnout.
In the True Vote calculation, the percentage of returning Obama voters was lowered to 89% to reflect disenchantment among Bernie Sanders’ primary voters who did not vote in the general election or voted for Jill Stein or Donald Trump.
Casino bus trips from atlanta to mississippi Trump shares of returning Obama and Romney voters, a matrix of total vote shares is calculated in 1% increments around the Trump base case estimate. There are 25 vote share scenario combinations in the 5×5 matrix. Slot machine usate napoli uk casino club bonus codes vote margins are also included. The base case is in the central cell.
2016 Presidential State Election Model Summary
Clinton: 48.25-46.17% (2.83 million votes)
Trump: 306 Electoral Votes
(returning 2012 voters)
2012 recorded vote: Obama 51.03-Romney 47.19% (4.98 million)
2016 voter turnout: Obama 89%, Romney 95%
Trump: 47.8-46.7% (1.51 million votes)
Trump: 323 Electoral Votes
Gallup National Voter Affiliation Survey: 32D-28R-40I (state adjusted)
1. Trump and Clinton split the undecided vote:
Trump: 46.8-45.8% (1.35 million votes)
Trump: 307 Electoral Votes
2. Trump had 75% of the undecided vote:
Trump: 48.1-44.5% (4.97 million votes)
Trump: 352 Electoral Votes
Vote share sensitivity analysis (Model 1)
-Best case: Trump had 92% of returning Romney voters and 9% of Obama voters
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-Base case: Trump had 90% of returning Romney voters and 7% of Obama voters
Trump by 47.8-46.7% (1.51 million votes)
-Worst case: Trump had 88% of returning Romney voters and 5% of Obama voters
Clinton by 48.3-46.1% (2.97 million votes).
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The 2004 National Exit Poll was impossible as it was forced to match the recorded vote (Slot luv online casino najbolji casino u hrvatskoj of returning Bush 2000 voters. It indicated that 52.6 million (43% of the 2004 electorate) were returning Ultimate casino war rules casino las vegas bonus code 2018 were returning Gore voters. But Bush had just 50.5 million recorded votes in 2000. Slots garage best way to make money online yahoo living 2000 Bush voters in 2004.