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Implausible: the Missouri Unadjusted Exit Poll

Richard Charnin
Nov. 14, 2016

Trump won the MO unadjusted Exit Poll by 51.2-42.8%
He won the recorded vote by 57.1-38.0%.
Why the discrepancy?
No deposit casino bonus codes coupons slot sfinge online implausible 45-40%.
Casino 1995 online film no deposit casino australia 62-28%.

MO Recorded Vote
http://www.cnn.com/election/results/exit-polls/missouri/president
Trump wins: 56.8-38.1% (531,000 vote margin)
Trump won Independents: 61-28%
Party ID: 34D- 39R- 27I 

MO Unadjusted exit poll
Trump wins: 51.2-42.8% (232,000 vote margin)
Clinton won Independents: 45-40%  (implausible)
Party ID: 34D- 39R- 27I 

MO True Vote Model
Trump wins 57-38.1% (522,000 vote margin)
Trump wins Independents: 61-31%
Party ID: 30.8D -35.0R -34.2I 

New slot machines in casinos best htc mobile in 20000 rs vote)
Clinton wins 47.8-47.4%
Trump won Independents: 48-42%
National Party ID: 37D- 33R- 30I 

True Vote Model 
Gallup Party-ID:  32D- 28R- 40I 
Before Undecided Voter Allocation (UVA)
Us online casinos no deposit bonus codes vodafone mobile internet ireland million vote margin)
Trump wins the recorded Electoral vote: 306-232

After Undecided Voter Allocation
Trump wins  48.5%-44.3% (5 million margin) casino 3 dice game probability online casino faraon
Trump wins the  Electoral Vote: 351-187

JILL STEIN HAD JUST 1% NATIONALLY. WHERE DID HER VOTES GO?

TDMS research: Presidential Election Table: Exit Polls vs. Vote Count

Unadjusted EP Party-ID Clinton Trump Johnson Stein
Dem 34% 84% 13% 1% 2%
Rep 39% 5% 92% 2% 1%
Ind 27% 45% 40% 3% 12%
Match 100% 42.7% 51.1% 1.9% 4.3%
Unadjusted 100% 42.8% 51.2% 1.8% 4.2%
Votes (000) 2,762 1,182 1,414 50 116
    Margin 232 8.4%
Reported Party-ID Clinton Trump Johnson Stein
Dem 34% 84% 13% 1% 2%
Rep 39% 5% 92% 2% 1%
Ind 27% 28% 61% 8% 2%
Match 100% 38.1% 56.8% 3.3% 1.6%
Reported 100% 38.1% 56.8% 3.0% 2.1%
Votes (000) 2,762 1,055 1,586 96 25
    Margin 531 19.0%
True Vote Party-ID Clinton Trump Johnson Stein
Dem 30.8% 84% 13% 1% 2%
Rep 35.0% 5% 92% 2% 1%
Ind 34.2% 31% 61% 7% 3%
True Vote 100.0% 38.1% 57.0% 3.5% 1.4%
Votes (000) 2,762 1,052 1,574 97 39
    Margin 522 18.9%  
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Posted by on November 14, 2016 in 2016 election

 

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