RSS

Tag Archives: Missouri exit poll

Implausible: the Missouri Unadjusted Exit Poll

Richard Charnin
Nov. 14, 2016

Trump won the MO unadjusted Exit Poll by 51.2-42.8%
He won the recorded vote by 57.1-38.0%.
Why the discrepancy?
Clinton won Independents in the poll by an implausible 45-40%.
Trump won Independents in the vote by a plausible 62-28%.

MO Recorded Vote
http://www.cnn.com/election/results/exit-polls/missouri/president
Trump wins: 56.8-38.1% (531,000 vote margin)
Trump won Independents: 61-28%
Party ID: 34D- 39R- 27I 

MO Unadjusted exit poll
Trump wins: 51.2-42.8% (232,000 vote margin) slot online gratis 3d slot machine noise casino slot games apps harrahs casino atlanta ga no deposit 2018 uk incassare vincite casino online casino barcelona
Clinton won Independents: 45-40%  (implausible)
Party ID: 34D- 39R- 27I 

MO True Vote Model
Trump wins 57-38.1% (522,000 vote margin)
Trump wins Independents: 61-31%
Party ID: 30.8D -35.0R -34.2I 

National Exit Poll (matched to the recorded vote) nairabet new mobile login online casino hiring abroad slot machine multiple lines betonline poker promo code 2018 slot machine repair san jose ca
Clinton wins 47.8-47.4%
Trump won Independents: 48-42%
National Party ID: 37D- 33R- 30I 

True Vote Model 
Gallup Party-ID:  32D- 28R- 40I 
Before Undecided Voter Allocation (UVA)
Black friday tv deals 2018 predictions uk casino cosmopol slot million vote margin)
Trump wins the recorded Electoral vote: 306-232

After Undecided Voter Allocation casino online 12 win argosy casino discount code casino ferry long island
Trump wins  48.5%-44.3% (5 million margin)
Trump wins the  Electoral Vote: 351-187

JILL STEIN HAD JUST 1% NATIONALLY. WHERE DID HER VOTES GO?

TDMS research: Presidential Election Table: Exit Polls vs. Vote Count

Unadjusted EP Party-ID Clinton Trump Johnson Stein
Dem 34% 84% 13% 1% 2%
Rep 39% 5% 92% 2% 1%
Ind 27% 45% 40% 3% 12%
Match 100% 42.7% 51.1% 1.9% 4.3%
Unadjusted 100% 42.8% 51.2% 1.8% 4.2%
Votes (000) 2,762 1,182 1,414 50 116
    Margin 232 8.4%
Reported Party-ID Clinton Trump Johnson Stein
Dem 34% 84% 13% 1% 2%
Rep 39% 5% 92% 2% 1%
Ind 27% 28% 61% 8% 2%
Match 100% 38.1% 56.8% 3.3% 1.6%
Reported 100% 38.1% 56.8% 3.0% 2.1%
Votes (000) 2,762 1,055 1,586 96 25
    Margin 531 19.0%
True Vote Party-ID Clinton Trump Johnson Stein
Dem 30.8% 84% 13% 1% 2%
Rep 35.0% 5% 92% 2% 1%
Ind 34.2% 31% 61% 7% 3%
True Vote 100.0% 38.1% 57.0% 3.5% 1.4%
Votes (000) 2,762 1,052 1,574 97 39
    Margin 522 18.9%  
Advertisements
wms slots quest for the fountain rar mu online socket slot token
 
11 Comments

Posted by on November 14, 2016 in 2016 election

rain money online casino ortigas los angeles casinos near lax maryland live casino online poker 888 casino verification how to earn extra income online philippines casino zeus minsk
 
liberty 7 slot machine online casino-x no deposit bonus codes jocuri casino online gratis gaminator slots heaven casino game casino slot winnings slots machine gratis online

Tags: , ,

uk casino 2018 no deposit bonus slot games for fun
 
Richard Charnin's Blog

JFK Conspiracy and Systemic Election Fraud Analysis

riscossione vincite casino online casino roulette kopen