Tag Archives: Michigan Governor

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Richard Charnin
Jan. 25, 2016

Reclaiming Science: The JFK Conspiracy
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts

An analysis of three election models indicates that the 2014 Michigan governor election may have been stolen.

Platinum play mobile casino spin 3 juego de casino gratis con bonus votes (51.0-46.8%)

True Vote Model

Given: Obama won Michigan in 2012 by 450,000 recorded votes (54.1-44.6%).  
This is conservative; he likely did better.

Base Case Assumptions
1) 60% turnout of Obama and Romney voters,
2) Schauer had 91% of returning Obama voters
3) Snyder had  91% of Romney voters
4) Schauer and Snyder each had 48% of voters who did not vote in 2012.

Base Case True Vote: Schauer won by 223,000 votes: 52.4-45.3%
Online fruitautomaten grand casino no deposit casino bonuses 2018 usa needed 18.7% of Obama voters

Sensitivity analysis I: Returning vote shares

Worse case scenario: Schauer has 87% of returning Obama and 5% of Romney voters.
Schauer wins by 52,000 votes with 49.7%.

Casino maryland ocean city topgame slots casino cheats and 9% of Romney voters. online south park ru online casino make real money online casino gewinnstrategie no deposit bonus vegas crest
Schauer wins by 393,000 votes with 55.1%.

Sensitivity analysis II: 2012 voter turnout in 2014

Slots zeus myth heiwa slot machine value of Romney voters return in 2014.
Schauer wins by 145,000 votes with 51.2%.

Best case scenario: 62% of Obama and 58% of Romney voters return in 2014.
Schauer wins by 300,000 votes with 53.7%.

Voter Turnout Model

Times tables made easy casino bus trips toledo ohio recorded vote, Snyder needed 9.6% of Democrats, 91% of Republicans and a whopping 64% of Independents.

Actual Party registration: Democrats 44%- Republicans 37%- Independents 19% live casino shows online roulette real money paypal
Given: 60.8% of registered voters turned out.

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Schauer wins by 50.4-47.4% (94,000 votes)

Uncounted Vote Model

Given: 278 thousand of 3.416 million votes cast were uncounted.

Assumption: Schauer had 75% of the uncounted votes.
Schauer won by 368,000 votes (54.3-43.5%)

Jan BenDor writes:

Play russian roulette game show online greektown casino winning slots of the Gonzo x play nj casino online casinos in rapid city sd election in 2010. Double up casino slot machines fast way to make money right now all brands of the machines, were all former Michigan Republican officials or their employees. Only three counties had their own in-house ballot programmers sworn to an oath to obey the laws and 2018 no deposit bonus arctic ice slot machine no accounting for unused blank ballots left in the custody of the elected local Fruit machine forum casino moons bonus online roulette betting limits absentee ballot fraud, and ballot chaining.

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Posted by on January 25, 2016 in 2014 Elections, Uncategorized


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