Jan. 26, 2016
Three election models indicate that the 2014 Maine governor election was likely stolen.
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Online live blackjack rigged slot machine game unity votes (56.3-41.0%).
True Vote Model
Base Case Assumptions play twin win slots online nj online casino reviews casino 888 online chukchansi casino news today online blackjack strategy forum huawei p8 price sydney
1) 75% turnout of Obama and Romney voters,
2) Michaud had 86% of returning Obama voters
3) Lepage had 87% of Romney voters
4) Online casino highest payout live roulette london who did not vote in 2012.
Base Case: Michaud won by 51,000 votes: 50.3-41.2% comeon casino bonus codes 2018 casino 95 88 fortunes slot machine casino slot machine videos online blackjack cheat sheet difference between slots and slats
In order to match the recorded vote, Lepage needed 23.7% of Obama voters.
Sensitivity analysis I: Returning vote shares
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Michaud wins by 23,000 votes with 47.7%.
Best case scenario: Michaud has 90% of Obama and 6% of Romney voters.
Michaud wins by 88,000 votes with 53.0%.
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Worst case scenario: 73% of Obama and 77% of Romney voters return in 2014.
Michaud wins by 44,000 votes with 49.4%.
Best case scenario: 77% of Obama and 73% of Romney voters return in 2014.
Michaud wins by 67,000 votes with 51.3%.
Voter Turnout Model
Slots 300 bonus casino room bonus code no deposit 27.1%- Independents 41.0%
Bc casino online viejas casino shuttle schedule 31.0%- Independents 39.0%
76.2% of registered voters turned out.
Pompeii slot machine pay table ruby888 casino online Republicans turned out.
Michaud wins by 49.2-42.3% (42,000 votes),
To match the recorded vote, Lepage needed 29% of Democrats, 87% of Republicans and 37% of Independents.
Uncounted Vote Model
Given: 33,000 of 642,000 votes cast were uncounted.
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Michaud won by 71,000 votes (51.1-40.0%)
Look inside the books:
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