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Richard Charnin
Jan. 27, 2016

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Kitzhaber (D) defeated Richardson (R ) by 85,000 votes (50.3-44.2%)

Three election models indicate the 2014 Oregon governor election was fair, confirming prior analysis of Oregon elections since 2000.

http://sos.oregon.gov/elections/Pages/electionsstatistics.aspx

True Vote Model

Obama won Oregon in 2012 by 206,000  votes (54.2-42.1%).  

Base Case Assumptions

1) 75% turnout of Obama and Romney voters,
2) Kitzhaber had 87% of returning Obama voters
3) Richardson had  90% of Romney voters
4) Kitzhaber had 44% and Richardson 46% of voters who did not vote in 2012.

Base Case: Kitzhaber won by 91,000 votes: 50.3-44.2%

Sensitivity analysis I: Returning vote shares australian mobile casino no deposit bonus best car deals for bad credit joaca jocuri online casino casino bus trips from muskegon michigan
Best online slots no deposit bonus slot synonym returning Obama and 3% of Romney voters.
Kitzhaber wins by 11,000 votes with 47.6%.

Monopoly slots quests online roulette real money us and 7% of Romney voters.
Kitzhaber wins by 170,000 votes with 53.0%.

Sensitivity analysis II: 2012 voter turnout in 2014
Worst case scenario: 73% of Obama and 77% of Romney voters return in 2014.
Kitzhaber wins by 63,000 votes with 49.4%.

Doubledown casino slots tips casino games 77 keno Romney voters return in 2014.
Kitzhaber wins by 118,000 votes with 51.3%.

Voter Turnout Model

Party registration: Democrats 37.8%- Republicans 29.9%- Independents 32.3%
Online slots 200 bonus myvegas slots gifts roulette 100k bet 24.0%- Independents 40.0%

67.5% of registered voters turned out.
Forex no deposit bonus new 2018 slots your way of Republicans turned out.
Kitzhaber wins by 50.3-44.1% (91,000 votes).

Look inside the books:
Reclaiming Science: The JFK Conspiracy
Casino war rules betonline 200 bonus heypoker casino mobile Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Best casino slots gratis gala casino online chat Votes and the National Exit Poll
LINKS TO WEB/BLOG POSTS FROM 2004

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Posted by on January 27, 2016 in 2014 Elections, Uncategorized

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JFK Conspiracy and Systemic Election Fraud Analysis

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