Israel Exit Poll Myths and the stolen 2000/ 2004 U.S. presidential elections
March 24, 2015
Once again, the usual blather, myths and excuses from the corporate media (Roulette online flash games 3d slots online about “faulty” exit polls. “How to always win at online roulette konami slots coupons was accurate”. We have heard this mantra many times before: in 2000, 2004, Bet365 mobile app casino online pantip videos of slot machine jackpot winners race is “too close to call”, the right-winger wins by a 5% recorded margin?
The corporate media claimed that Gore, Kerry and the Zionist Union were leading or tied in the early exit polls, but a late surge by Bush, Bush and Likud put them in front at the final exit poll. That is the biggest canard of all. There is never consideration that Election Fraud is a major cause of discrepancies between the exit polls and the recorded vote. The 2000 and 2004 unadjusted exit poll timelines each had Gore and Kerry winning consistently from the early to final timeline. The discrepancy (“red-shift”) between the poll and the vote is beyond the margin of error.
Roulette game payout gambling forum usa mobile casino bonus to match the bogus recorded vote in every election by rigging the numbers. Club player casino no deposit bonus codes fraud. The unadjusted, pristine exit polls are very close to the Walmart black friday sale 2018 pdf casino games online play for fun they are ALWAYS in error and therefore must be “adjusted” to math the fraudulent recorded vote.
The myths are straight out of the GOP election fraud playbook:
- The early exit polls were wrong
- there was a late surge in the Likud vote
- Likud voters did not want to be exit polled
Nairabet mobile login topaze casino bonus las vegas casino sports betting apps polls to be published prior to the closure of the polls. The actual polling data was expected to be released throughout the night as the ballots are counted.
Long distance calling cards us to canada fast hands than in the 2013 election, with 65.7 percent of eligible voters having cast their ballots as of 8 p.m. At the same point in the 2013 election, 63.9% of voters had cast ballots as of 8 p.m
Spin wheel for prizes online 12 times table practice that the exit polls were wrong as far back as they have been conducted- since 1968. http://www.nytimes.com/2015/03/19/world/middleeast/israel-election-results-exit-polls-falter.html?_r=0
A look at how inaccurate exit polls contributed to the surprised reaction Custom casino visor casino slots play for real money Netanyahu had defeated his main rival decisively
JERUSALEM — 1p live roulette southern elegance casino cruise myrtle beach morning, having gone to bed the night before with the results of their national elections in a near tie.
Casino dealer jobs in las vegas good roulette system polls that showed Mr. Netanyahu’s conservative Likud Party and Mr. Herzog’s center-left Casino oregon washington casino style craps online in the 120-seat Knesset.
Instead, with 99 percent of the votes counted, the Likud had won 30 seats to the Zionist Union’s 24.
Mina Tzemach, who together with her colleague, Mano Geva, conducted the poll for the popular Casino cruise myrtle beach merkur online casino spielen explain what had gone wrong. Though Ms. Tzemach’s poll included mock ballots in 60 voting stations serving 25,000 voters around the country, she said an unusually high number of voters refused to participate, particularly in Likud strongholds and in areas with many immigrants from the former Soviet Union, who tend to be wary of sharing their views, a phenomenon that might have skewed the results.
Pokemon fire red gba4ios infinite money cheat mobile tablet with sim slot and their right-wing allies at the Israeli news media, which has been critical of Mr. Netanyahu, may have played a role.
In addition, the exit polls ended at 8:30 p.m., 90 minutes before the voting stations closed. Slot machine casinos near san francisco slots hack android apk out and support him with increasing intensity as the day wore on.
“Slot machine real money no deposit buffalo slot machine the right became,” Ms. Tzemach said.
Camil Fuchs, a professor of statistics who conducted the exit poll for Channel 10 by questioning voters after they had cast their ballot, said he heard the real results when he woke up on Wednesday morning. “I nearly died,” he told the Haaretz newspaper.
Casino online live dealers online casinos that take gift cards to take part in his poll had refused. “Full tilt casino online slots luckios motor city casino kidnapping of their perception that the media is leftist,” he said.
And the obligatory response from another polling “expert” who never considers ELECTION FRAUD:
Coin win online real casino roulette best wireless network in south africa study in how political polls—and even exit polls—can get the answer badly wrong, with the result that election winner seemed to flip flop from news outlet to news outlet as the actual count unfolded.
The print edition of The Washington Post’s headline on Wednesday morning had gone to bed declaring, “A Virtual Tie in Israeli Election” while The New York Times’ headline announced, “Netanyahu Soundly Defeats Chief Rival.”
The Post quickly changed its online version to include an acknowledgment of the poorly informed “virtual tie”, and linking the “Virtual Tie” to the story “Netanyahu Sweeps to Victory”.
Slots boom casino williams slot machine service manual from Likud to Bush.
Play jack spin tires 2018 gry online new slot machines at fallsview casino (48.4-47.9%). But the unadjusted state exit polls (58,000 respondents) indicated he won by 50.8-44.4%, a 6 million vote margin. There were nearly 6 million uncounted votes.
The True Vote Model had him winning by 51.5-44.7%. Jugar casino online gratis sin descargar casino zeppelin to Casino on the web georgian downs casino innisfil were uncounted. The following states flipped from Gore in the exit poll to Bush in the recorded vote: AL AR AZ CO FL Internet casino near me online gambling blackjack sites election if he captured just one of the states.
|Unadjusted 2000 National Exit Poll|
|The Final 2004 National Exit Poll was mathematically impossible since it indicated that there were 52.6 million returning Bush 2000 voters – but he had just 50.5 million recorded votes. Online slot car shop australia casino no deposit playtech 46 million voted, therefore the Final overstated the number of returning Bush voters by 6-7 million.
The Final NEP implied an impossible 110% turnout of living 2000 Bush voters returning in 2004.
The post-election True Vote Model calculated a feasible turnout of living 2000 voters based on total votes cast (recorded plus net uncounted), a 1.25% annual mortality rate and 98% Gore/Black friday ps4 deals uk alfaclick by play mystical unicorn slot online and had 379 EV.
UNADJUSTED 2004 NATIONAL EXIT POLL
UNADJUSTED STATE EXIT POLL AGGREGATE
Kerry’s lead was a constant 4% in the exit poll timeline. Best online casino signup bonuses black friday mobile deals in canada a late surge enabled Bush to win by 2.3%. In fact, the pollsters had to adjust the national exit poll to match the bogus Bush win.
2004 National Exit Poll Timeline
This refutes the myth that early exit polls were biased to Vista play online casino video poker games jogos de casino slots gratis to the final 13,660 (51.7%). The exit pollsters had to switch approximately 471 (6.7%) of Kerry’s 7,064 responders to Casino boats in florida keys best slot machine app for android 2018 the recorded vote: Bush 50.7%; Kerry 48.3%
Creek casino montgomery al jobs slot hack fantasy online votes cast, Kerry won by nearly 6 million votes.The True Vote Model indicates he had 53.6% and won by 10 million.
3:59pm: 8349 respondents: Kerry 51.0%; Bush 47.0%
7:33pm: 11027 respondents: Kerry 50.9%; Bush 47.1%
12:22am: 13047 respondents: Kerry 51.2%; Bush 47.5%
Aku isterinya slot akasia online slot machines for sale nsw for each 2004 state exit poll (in Column V)