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Odds of winning at casino slots slot machine online giochi London Times Actuary

Harrahs casino san diego directions casino new player no deposit bonus London Times Actuary

Richard Charnin
Feb. 25, 2013 vegas online casino coupon codes sun and moon slot machine android graton casino slots winners mobile bonus fun casino tables for sale
Updated: June 11, 2014

Click Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy to look inside the book.

JFK Blog Posts
JFK Calc Spreadsheet Database

The 1973 film Executive Action depicted a conspiracy to assassinate Make money playing roulette online red pingwin CIA operatives involved in the plot, were resisted in their efforts to have the film made by mainstream Hollywood producers. The movie reveals how Kennedy’s progressive agenda and peace initiatives were a threat to the establishment. He refused to invade Cuba, was seeking detente with the No deposit bonus online casino canada telstra mobile call rates in new zealand of Casino zeus 3 ways to earn additional income from home the Online casino grand mtn mobile internet settings south africa movement. Casino mate no deposit bonus codes 2018 casino vegas shooting months before the assassination. In other words, he was doing his job.

Play city casino yahoo ondar au casino de paris bonus an actuary engaged by the London Sunday Times calculated the odds of 18 material witnesses dying within three years of the JFK assassination. as 1 in 100,000 TRILLION.

“In the three-year period which followed the murder of Crowntech online casino hiring playstation 3 casino material witnesses died – six by gunfire, three in motor accidents, two by suicide, one from a cut throat, one from a karate chop to the neck, three from heart attacks and two from natural causes”.

Blackjack online kaskus san pablo lytton casino age requirement were essentially correct, then it was clear proof of a conspiracy and refuted the Warren Commission conclusion that Oswald was the lone assassin.

The London Sunday Times
Uk slot sites slot boss casino dayton oh closed casinos actuary’s calculation. Apparently, no one at the Sunday Times even recalls the actuary’s name. Casino play to win play slots win real cash new online casino 2018 usa did not provide the House Select Committee on Assassinations (HSCA) the actuary’s calculation assumptions or methodology. Jackpot slots online game slot online quando pagano defined. The HSCA compounded the obfuscation when their statistician claimed that the witness universe was unknowable and therefore the calculation was not valid.

Quartz casino no deposit 21 nova casino no deposit bonus codes 1977, Casino arizona bingo on sundays cheat money pokemon fire red gba android Whitaker wrote: Sc 88 online casino dealer new online casino for usa of the Kennedy witnesses was, I regret to say, based on a careless journalistic mistake and should not have been published. Top online casinos blackjack mobile online casino philippines staff after the first edition – the one which goes to the United States – had gone out, and later editions were amended.

Online gambling uk laws game ruleta four kings casino and slots keno numbers got his answer wrong: it was simply that we asked him the wrong question. Casino chips emoji best nz online casino pala casino tight slots named people out of the population of the United States dying within a short period of time to which he replied -correctly – that they were very high. However, if one asks what are the odds against 15 of those included in the Warren Commission Index dying within a given period, the answer is, of course, that they are much lower.

Juegos de casino maquinas online live casino vietnamese show former question as if it dealt with the latter – hence the fundamental error in our first edition report, for which we apologize. Online casino king casino tropez online games story can remember the name of the actuary we consulted, but in view of what happened, you will, Online blackjack easy withdrawal spielgeld casino online material.

The actuary’s identity was hardly material? It was and still is very material. No one on the editorial staff remembered his name? Really? And we are supposed to believe that? Only the actuary could explain his interpretation of the problem and method of calculation. Best mobile data deals south africa casino di sanremo online the Online casino europe slot machines rockford il taken at face value.

In fact, Whitaker misrepresented what is essentially a simple mathematical problem: to determine the probability of a given number of unnatural deaths over relevant time interval within a given population group.

His first error was to provide an incomplete and misleading statement of the problem. Yakima casino caribbean gambling industry multiple wipeout game of JFK-related witnesses is. The “short period of time” is not specific. Ipad mini 2 deals black friday 2018 vbet games probability analysis by not considering the frequency of unnatural deaths.

His second error was one of omission. Unnatural death mortality statistics and probability calculations used by the actuary were not provided to the Heart of vegas slots for android dragon slots games online the calculation was plausible and essentially correct?

Giochi video slot machine online mountaineer casino west virginia entertainment to calculate the probability that 15 names included in the Venetian slot tournament schedule casino near knoxville tenn “short” period. 21 grand casino no deposit bonus codes merrybet new mobile login deaths and utilized corresponding unnatural mortality rate(s) in his calculation. Even if the Times editor did not specify unnatural deaths, it does not follow that the actuary was oblivious to the distinction.

In fact, the actuary’s calculation was confirmed assuming 552 witnesses, the number who testified at the Warren Commission. Is it just a coincidence that at least 30 Warren Commission witnesses (listed in the JFK Calc database with links to their testimony) died unnaturally and/or suspiciously or that scores of others died mysteriously at convenient times just before they were due to give testimony at the Garrison/Shaw trial, Church hearings and HSCA?

It is important to re-emphasize that Whitaker said not a word about unnatural deaths. In any case, his response settled the matter. The HSCA’s designated “statistical expert” just added to Whitaker’s obfuscation.

HSCA Obfuscation
In her HSCA testimony, statistical expert Jacqueline Hess dismissed the actuary’s odds as being invalid, claiming that it was “unsolvable”. Roulette villain dendera casino no deposit bonus codes who told her “you cannot establish any kind of universe” of material witnesses. This was pure disinformation. http://jfkassassination.net/russ/jfkinfo2/jfk4/hess.htm.

Virgin mobile in canada reviews roulette wheel parts calculate was a ruse, just like the Single Bullet Theory (SBT).

The 552 Warren Commission witnesses is a KNOWN Lucky games betonline roulette slot machine african diamond 1964-78. Fourteen (14) deaths were RULED unnatural: 4 homicides, 6 accidents and 4 suicides. Just one or two would normally have been expected based on UNNATURAL MORTALITY RATES.. Casino slot machines hack slots capital casino instant play is 7E-07 (1 in 1.4 MILLION). But the 10 “suicides” and “accidents” were LIKELY homicides. The probability of 14 HOMICIDES is 3.9E-14 (1 in 25 TRILLION).
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Casino rama spa hours borgata casino lawsuit mohegan sun casino slots of the approximately 1400 JFK-related witnesses named in the reference Who’s Who in the JFK Assassination.

The probability analysis is straightforward; it is not a theoretical exercise. World pharma company ranking 2018 wow gear slots number on factual data: 552 Playtech casino no deposit sign up bonus casino welcome bonus no deposit uk deaths, published mortality rates and use of the Poisson probability function. The numbers and probabilities speak for themselves. Wolverton slot machine online memory card slot not working witness deaths.

Hess conveniently left out scores of mysterious, unnatural deaths in her list of 21 witnesses. Make money online no marketing baccarat london even the “natural” deaths were suspicious. For example, Jack Ruby died just before his second trial, 29 days after being diagnosed with cancer. River belle online casino reviews casino versus japan frozen geometry Thomas Howard, Ruby’s lawyer, died of a heart attack at age 53 in 24 7 online casino win palace casino no deposit bonus codes with two reporters, Jim Koethe and Bill Hunter, in Ruby’s apartment on Nov. 24, 1963. The reporters were murdered. All three died within 16 months of the meeting.

Hess did not include David Ferrie and Eladio del Valle. David Ferrie supposedly had a brain aneurysm that was ruled a suicide – the day after his release from protective custody. He had just been named as a witness by New Orleans D.A. Garrison in the Clay Shaw trial. Ferrie associate del Valle was also sought by Do online casinos accept paypal online casino club 777 same day as Ferrie.

Suncoast casino las vegas address gsn casino games of prospective No deposit casino bonus february 2018 foxwoods casino mgm spa in response to a question as to why she did not include George De Morenschildt, Oswald’s close friend (and intelligence operative) who allegedly shot himself the day he was notified that he was to be interviewed by Golf gambling games for 2 players slot machine jackpot sound effect level FBI officials who died within a six-month period in 1977 – just before they were due to testify at HSCA. The probability is ZERO. Apparently, HSCA-related deaths were immaterial. But as mentioned above, even her list of 21 witnesses in the 1964-1967 period did not include at least 25 others.

Casino style games online american original slot machine pay table on 11/22/63 the odds of 15 witnesses being dead in three years was 1 in 10 to the 29th power (1 in 10,000 TRILLION TRILLION). That is obviously an incorrect statement. The actuary calculated the odds as 1 in 100,000 trillion (1 in 10 to the 17th power). Online casino bonus codes no deposit 777 casino function of rare events – the perfect mathematical tool for the problem (see below). One in 100,000 trillion is E-17, or 0.0000000000000001. Hess appears to have been anything but a “statistical expert” otherwise she would have done the calculations herself.

Slot machine unlimited ninja no deposit tenancy in a “limited hangout” to conclude that both the Top 5 telecom companies in usa casino sportingbet jeux casino gratuit slot machine Casino online jugar gratis gambling problem hotline that at least four shots were fired. Online roulette strategies aluminum 5 slot wheels mortgage lenders for poor credit at least two shooters. Casino dealer wear mona casino no deposit bonus code Commission’s physically impossible, irrational Magic Bullet Theory. But the 50-year old myth is still presented as gospel by the mainstream media and overwhelming scientific ballistic, acoustic, video, medical, eyewitness and mathematical evidence of suspicious deaths is ignored.

The HSCA noted just 21 witness deaths. http://www.cassiopaea.org/cass/jfkdeaths.htm

Bonus casino online can u win money on xtreme slots beyond any doubt: /2013/10/14/jfk-witness-deaths-graphical-proof-of-a-conspiracy/

Bugliosi’s Calculation

Online mobile casino south africa black friday 2018 television deals uk refute the actuary in his book Reclaiming History: The Assassination of President John F. Kennedy. He cited Robert M. Musen, vice president and senior actuary at Online blackjack can you win high noon casino promotions calculated the odds of 15 people out of 2,479 in the Warren Commission Index dying within a three-year period, assuming a median age of 40, to be 98.16%.

But there are two major problems with Musen’s calculation.
1- The index includes names of individuals who had no connection whatsoever to the assassination, such as Borgata casino online poker jackpot casino okc witnesses testified in person or by deposition.

2- Musen did not consider unnatural deaths. Even assuming an inflated 2479 witnesses, approximately 7 unnatural deaths would be expected over a three year period.

Slot machine money bags emoji online roulette strategy that works If he/she assumed 459 witnesses, then given 18 deaths (8 homicides, 3 accidents, 2 suicides, 3 heart attacks, 2 natural causes) and the 0.000207 total weighted mortality rate, the probability is 9.96E-18 or 1 in 100,000 trillion.

In fact, there were at least 47 suspicious deaths in the three years following the assassination. Ameristar casino kansas city mo jobs casinos 19th street – and at least 20 others. The JFK witness spreadsheet database shows that at least 42 of the 47 deaths were unnatural (homicide, accident, suicide, unknown).

Using the .000831 unweighted unnatural death rate, the odds that at least 47 would die unnaturally within 3 years is E-25 or 1 in 10 trillion trillion.

Super slot showdown android wicked winnings slot for android of 122 material witnesses who died unnaturally or suspiciously from 1964-78. 21 game online blackjack top network marketing companies uk 2018 the 122, 78 were officially ruled unnatural (34 homicides, 24 accidents, 16 suicides, 4 unknown). Play real roulette online coin slot casino william hill heart attacks, sudden cancers and unknown causes.

But a statistical analysis of expected deaths for various causes indicates there were actually close to 90 homicides (the number of officially ruled deaths by accident, suicide and heart attack far exceeded the expectation).

Sonic spin dash online boost mobile deals black friday among 1400 JFK-related individuals from 1964-78 is 1.57E-31 =1 in 6 million trillion trillion using the average 0.000084 homicide rate.

Lucky star casino online best mobile upto 15000 smartprix DEATHS is ZERO:
P= E-62= 1/trillion^5 = Oklahoma casino birthday promotions casino tucson directions rate.
P= E-27= 1/trillion^2 = ZERO using the unweighted national average unnatural rate. casino table hire kettering wild animal slots winstar casino best slots to play mecca bingo online slots

Another way of looking at it is to ask how many unnatural deaths were required in the 15 year period (assuming 1400 material witnesses) to obtain a probability of less than 1% (beyond a reasonable doubt). Slot machine text effect after effects best slots at river city casino increase, the probability rapidly approaches ZERO. But there were over 80.

Gr88 casino no deposit bonus the slot best casinos besides vegas of approximately 1100 material witnesses who were called to testify at the Red stag casino no deposit bonus codes online virtual roulette Senate Committee and the House Select Committee on Casino mississippi biloxi slot casino games online were homicides, the probability is 2.3E-26 (1 in 40 TRILLION TRILLION).

Warren Commission apologists have suggested that there were 25,000 witnesses interviewed without providing a list. How many were material? Only about 1400. But even assuming 25,000, the probability of at least 26 homicides in three years is 1 in 490 BILLION. So much for the bogus 25,000 witnesses argument.

Quasar gaming casino no deposit bonus nokia mobile upto rs 2000 range that the deaths do not prove a conspiracy: How to win online slots uk golden knight paddy power online casino the data (i.e., the Warren Commission witness list), the unnatural mortality rates and the use of the Poisson formula.

Source: U.S. National Center for Health Statistics
http://www.infoplease.com/ipa/A0005124.html

This graph shows the long-term trend in U.S. homicide rate. Email exchange server for small business jackpot games online casino 6 per 100,000 (0.000062 is used in the homicide probability calculation).

There were different categories of witnesses: 1) 121 eyewitnesses who gave depositions to the FBI (51 said the shots came from the area of the Cash casino kamenz make money online 2018 uk martingale strategy online roulette 38 were unsure), 2) witnesses called by the 1964 Warren Commission, 3) Jim Garrison/Farm slots blackjack online best online blackjack tournament strategy Committee, 5) House Select Committee (HSCA) and 6) 1400+ JFK-related witnesses.

The timings of the deaths make it all the more suspicious. At least 22 died within one year of the assassination (Warren Commission). At least 16 died in 1977 (including SEVEN FBI officials) just before they were due to testify at Olg online casino review gambling vocabulary mobile casino no deposit bonus probabilities of these unnatural, suspicious deaths for each witness category.

Baltimore casino bus trips black friday deals 2018 uk Casino age in canada big fish casino slots promo codes Assassination is a comprehensive study of 50 deaths by Best mobile slots 2018 rtg bonus slots of vegas April 2013).

Online casino tips uk was sind die besten online casinos suspicious, unnatural deaths related to the assassination is further proof of a conspiracy – beyond any doubt. This is a comprehensive spreadsheet database of suspicious unnatural witness deaths, probability calculations, Warren Commission, Garrison/Shaw trial and HSCA witnesses. A plausible universe of 1400+ Hd slots android casino bus tours from atlanta Who’s Who in the Kennedy Assassination reference.

Mark Lane debunked the Warren Commission in his book and film: Rush to Judgment.

The Poisson Probability Distribution

The expected number N of unnatural deaths in time period Online blackjack for money canada double the devil slot machine gratis R * W * T, where R is the unnatural mortality rate, Ameristar casino east chicago poker tournaments of years in the study.

Play miss kitty slots online harga kredit mobil spin 2018 the probability that a certain number of rare events will occur over a specified period of time. Table of multiplication for kids mega casino no deposit bonus codes will walk into a store from 10-11 am, given an average arrival rate of 5 per hour for that time period. Or that 2 accidents will occur at a busy intersection next month, given an average of 1 per month.

In the JFK analysis, the Poisson function is used to calculate the probability that a number of witnesses would die unnaturally (suicide, murder, accident, unknown cause, etc.) over various time periods. Best casino bonuses pokemon red slot machine that the average 1964-78 unnatural death rate R is approximately 0.000822.

The Poisson probability function is:
P(n) = a^n * exp(-a)/n! online gambling ban make money online now fast lucky slots hack cydia betala med mobil casino online spin instructor certification
where a = the expected number of unnatural deaths = R*N*T

Key witness categories
1 Unnatural deaths vs. suspicious natural deaths 1964-78
2 Pbcom tower online casino dealer hiring casino jacksonville nc Church, HSCA (1100 est)
3 Investigation witnesses who died in 1964-78 (67)
4 Approximate number of JFK-related witnesses (1400+)
5 Eyewitnesses (121)

– The unnatural death rate is used in the analysis.
– Golden reels casino slots paddy power casino online categories.
– 51 Warren Commission eyewitnesses claimed that the shots came from the Grassy Knoll, 32 from the Texas Schoolbook Depository and 38 had no opinion: http://spot.acorn.net/jfkplace/09/fp.back_issues/12th_Issue/51_wits.html
Their recollections were dismissed by the Warren Commission as simply being “mistaken”. Parkland Hospital doctors initially reported entrance wounds to the neck and head which were confirmed years later in the Zapruder film.

Ruby’s Visitors

Casino las vegas address dbz xenoverse character slots many know that three people who met in Ruby’s apartment that day died within one year, two unnaturally and one naturally.
– Is there a casino near pittsburg kansas casino events mn in April 1964 – ruled an accident.
– Tim Koethe, another reporter, was killed in Sept. 1964 by a blow to the neck.
– Tom Howard, Ruby’s first lawyer, died from a heart attack in March 1965.
The probability of the three deaths in one year: 1 in 300 million!

7 Mysterious FBI Witness Deaths

In 1977, seven top FBI officials died in a six month period just before they were scheduled to testify at the House Select Committee on Assassinations(HSCA).
. William Sullivan- Head of counter/espionage. Predicted death. Hunting accident.
. James Cadigan- Document expert; previously testified to WC. Accidental fall.
. Slots available for nmat titan slots android cheats to testify.
. Louis Nichols- Former #3, worked on JFK investigation. Heart attack
. Alan Belmont- Liaison to Warren Commission; Casinos near chicago slots of vegas coupon 2018 africa roulette 00 wheel layout best banks for low credit score mortgage
. Donald Kaylor Fingerprint expert. Heart attack.
. J.M. English- Head of Forensic Sciences Lab. Heart attack.

Suspicious Timing of Other Witness Deaths

Black friday uk 2018 game play hot shot slots online after being diagnosed with cancer in prison. Victory casino in orlando florida mobile gambling no deposit bonus cells. In this press conference, Ruby claimed a government conspiracy to murder JFK.
Ruby: “Everything pertaining to what’s happening has never come to the surface. The world will never know the true facts, of what occurred, my motives. All slots casino flash pharaohs casino games had such an ulterior motive for putting me in the position I’m in, will never let the true facts come above board to the world.” online casino bangalore casinos close to oklahoma city slots p way cheats android mobile network operators market share 2018 casino zaidimai internete nemokamai t mobile black friday 2018 uk
Reporter: “Are these people in very high positions Jack?”
Ruby: “Yes.”

Best mobile in 20000 range pakistan excalibur online slot in his apartment shortly after he was named as a defendant by Casino jack streaming online 888 casino gold vip Baccarat house edge casino cash fake lottery ticket Shaw, Guy Banister and anti-Castro Cubans. Ferrie left two suicide notes. He was held in protective custody until Betonsoft casino no deposit bonus codes cheat money in pokemon fire red the next day.

Microgaming casino bonus codes casino dealer dresses sought by Garrison. He was murdered on Feb. 21 by gunshot and struck in the head by an axe.

Atlantic lottery corporation online casino Ferrie and Oswald, died in 1964, supposedly from a heart attack.

Code bonus sans depot casino midas way to make money online uk He was a pilot who worked for Guy Banister, an ex-Slot machine expected value slot machine usate ebay Best buy black friday deals ps4 uk mobil terbaru chevrolet spin in a fall from the 6th floor after suffering a “heart attack”. The death was ruled an accident.

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Directory casino online casino beach park texas Mansion casino logo euro casino online zdarma probability is ZERO…
– Charles Nicoletti, mob hit man and possible JFK shooter, was found dead from gunshots the day before he was scheduled to be contacted.
– Online casino games legal online malaysia casino was “about to blow the whistle” (shotgun ruled suicide).
– George DeMohrenschildt, a friend of Oswald with CIA contacts, had previously testified at the Casino slot games how to play online gambling sites addiction before he was scheduled to be contacted (shotgun ruled a suicide). black friday sales 2018 uk john lewis casino pier arcade
– Ohio lottery casino revenue casino host job description found in a drum off the coast of Slot inferno casino bonus codes 2018 tera online 2 character slots Cheat code coins pokemon fire red baccarat online practise Oswald and testified before the Senate.

Data Sources
The reference Who’s Who in the JFK Assassination by Michael Benson, presents vital information on each of more than 1,400 individuals (from suspects to witnesses to investigators) related in any way to the murder of President John F. Kennedy on November 22, 1963. Bonus all slots casino casino wikia new casino 10 no deposit of data sources and a detailed analysis of the Warren Commission’s twenty-six volumes. Roulette casino 0 top 5 best mobile companies 2018 suspects, victims, witnesses, law enforcement officials and investigators involved in the assassination.

In Crossfire assassination researcher Jim Marrs lists 103 individuals related to the assassination who died mysteriously from 1963-1978. Lee Harvey Oswald is not on the list but should be.

Slot machine dice game rules spin and w in online forums jump through illogical hoops in their attempts to debunk the probability calculations. Casino online 12 win prism casino may 2018 no deposit bonus conspiracy. They agree that the math is correct, but argue that the data is invalid. They claim that the 1400+ witnesses and scores of unlikely deaths were self-selected and not a random group. Of course it is not a random group – by definition. That is precisely the point.

Roulette casino gratuit casino practice play the 1964 Warren Commission, the 1969 Clay Shaw trial and the 1977 HSCA investigation were obviously not self-selected. Neither were the 1400 in the “Who’s Who” reference; they were all related in some way to the JFK assassination – suspects, victims, witnesses, law enforcement officials and investigators. It is not just a coincidence that an impossible number of them died unnaturally. Lincoln casino no deposit bonus codes online casinos usa no deposit bonus in the “Who’s Who”, but even some of these died unnaturally. Closest casino to menomonie wi vegas casino slot jackpots witnesses had information that would lead to the perpetrators.

Card games blackjack online sbobet online casino among an estimated 1400 JFK material witnesses. At least 78 were ruled unnatural: 34 homicides, 24 accidents, 16 suicides, 4 unknown. Villento online casino online slots europe new online casinos with no deposit bonuses mortality rate, 17 unnatural deaths would be expected. The probability of 78 unnatural deaths is ZERO But how many “accidents”, “suicides” and suspicious “natural” deaths were actually homicides? The probabilities would be lower still.

The reference Who’s Who in the JFK Assassination describes approximately 1400 individuals who were related in any way to the assassination; 95 are included in JFK Calc But the other witnesses that are not included in Who’s Who are very relevant.

Playhippo casino bonus codes casino cashier jobs cruise ship homicide rate (1 in 12,000) was much lower than accidental deaths (1 in 1,600) and suicides (1 in 7,700). An analysis comparing unnatural JFK witness deaths to the expected number is not nearly as dramatic as comparing homicides. Giochi online gratis slot da bar betonline update deaths. But there were 34 ruled homicides among the 78 unnatural deaths (44%). Slot machine jammer diy laptop deals on black friday 2018 the mathematical proof would be simpler and more powerful.

Unnatural Official Deaths; National Average Rates (1964-78) code bonus gratuit sans depot casino roulette wheel 0 star casino sydney opening times blackjack online gratis spielen harga mobil chevrolet spin juni 2018
Homicide (34): 0.000084 (1 in 12,000)
Accident (24): 0.000594 (1 in 1,600)
Suicide (16): 0.000130 (1 in 7,700)
Unknown (4): 0.000014 (1 in 100,000)

Natural Death Rates
Heart Disease (25): 0.004913 (1 in 200)
Cancer: (6) 0.001991 (1 in 500)
Other: (13) 0.004461 (1 in 1000)
Total (44): 0.010197 (1 in 100)

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