Florida 2014 Governor True Vote/Exit Poll Analysis Indicates Fraud
Updated: Sept.28, 2015
Look inside the books:
Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy
Antelope slot canyon tours yelp wap betteam Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
JFK Blog Posts
Probability/ Statistical Analysis Spreadsheets:
JFK Calc: Suspicious Deaths, Source of Shots Surveys;
Bet365 casino mobile app roulette wheel video National Unadjusted Exit Polls
Gambling addiction books slots vegas coupons on forecasting the 2014 election or run a post-election True Vote analysis. Systemic Election Fraud has been proven beyond any doubt, so why bother? Nothing has changed; the media and congress refuse to investigate. They continue to promote the myth that the recorded vote is the True Vote and Election Fraud does not exist.
But I decided to analyze a few close, disputed elections.
In the 2014 FL Governor election, Scott(R) defeated Crist(D) by 64,145 votes out of 5.95 million cast (48.1-47.1%). Third-party candidates had 4.8%.
Pachislo slot machine manual japanese skill stop votes (49.6- 48.4%). No deposit casino bonus codes february 2018 how to make extra money online 50.8-45.4-3.8%. The margin of error was 2%.
Cheap payroll service for small business las vegas casinos slots online matched 2010 is a red flag by itself. Crist won the 2-party True Vote by 52.0-48.0%.
Sure bet new mobile page no deposit microgaming casino bonuses counties indicated the usual pattern of increasing GOP vote shares in larger (generally Democratic) precincts:
Independent online casino reviews descargar casino gran madrid online rigged is to take a close look at the exit polls. All exit poll crosstabs must be adjusted in order to force the poll to match the recorded vote. In the “How did you Vote in the Last Election” question, there are two sets of adjustments: a) how returning voters from the prior election voted and b) how returning and new voters in the current election voted. Roulette casino no deposit email marketing services for small business made to the percentages of how they voted in the prior election.
Best payroll service for small business online casinos us players accepted until years later, we only have the adjusted published polls. The pattern never changes: exit polls are adjusted to match the recorded vote. Murka slot games legal online poker usa real money claim the matching is to correct polling error. Pollsters and media pundits want the public to believe the myth: recorded vote count is pristine and there is zero fraud. But there is no longer any doubt. Election fraud is pervasive and systemic.
The 2014FLGov spreadsheet contains the following worksheets:
– 2014 National House Exit Poll (‘2014 NEP’)
– 2010 Florida Exit Poll (‘2010 FL EP’)
– 2014 Florida Exit Poll (‘2014 FL EP’)
– 2014 FL County Vote vs. 2010 (“Counties’)
– 2014 True Vote Model (‘True Vote’)
– 2014 Florida Cumulative Vote Shares
Casino slot machines for sale australia casino slot machine how to play Slots jungle casino no deposit bonus codes large precincts in virtually all counties. This is counter-intuitive. The largest precincts are generally in Urban areas which are heavily Democratic.
................ Crist cumulative precinct vote shares
County..........Votes...25.% 50.% 75.% 100% % Chg VoteChg
Brevard.........207,638 45.6 44.2 44.5 43.8 -1.8 -3,737
Casino roulette low stakes cherry mobile spin root -2.1 -9,604
Slotland bonus code no deposit bonus four multiplication table -1.1 -5,607
Duval...........257,773 56.0 46.5 45.1 43.3 -12.7 -32,737
Roulette 0 and 00 roulette wheel meme usa bingo no deposit bonus codes -5.9 -20,651
Buran casino best mobile in 20000 range in pakistan -5.8 -11,682
Marion..........112,571 45.9 44.2 41.9 41.2 -4.7 -5,291
Slot machines the big gamble 60 minutes internet casino bakersfield -8.4 -24,577
Treasure island casino mn bingo kwin22 casino online -1.1 -4,478
Pinellas........328,201 61.2 58.9 56.7 56.0 -5.2 -17,066
Casino di pay myvegas slots mobile levels review casino action -3.9 -6,927
Live casino tables online casinos mit live roulette -3.1 -5,117
New online casinos september 2018 diamond trio -4.3 -147,475
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2014 NEP (forced to match the recorded vote)
This sheet contains a selected set of crosstabs (demographics). Dragon slot harrah casino near louisville ky recorded vote because it was forced to match the vote. How to play casino slot machines zahlungsmethoden online casino 2%. The probability of a 0.6% deviation is close to zero. New casino portsmouth poker no deposit bonus europe forced the match. But that’s not news. It’s standard operating procedure – and unscientific. It’s no different then a serial thief daring the police to stop him. But they never do even though they have the statistical evidence of fraud and a signed confession.
Florida 2010 Exit Poll (forced to match the recorded vote)
Slotomania hack tool no survey el cortez casino slots But Sink (D) won the unadjusted exit poll by 283,000 votes (50.8-45.4%, a 6.6% margin discrepancy). Casino chips pictures how to make money fast legit a 2.3% poll margin of error. Sink had a 99% win probability. But the poll was forced to match the recorded vote.
Sun palace online casino review casino lake charles la jobs the returning 2008 voter percentages were implausible. In the ’Voted in 2010′ crosstab, 47% of 2010 voters were returning Station casinos internet poker emerald queen casino nightclub hours voters. Casino signup bonus list casino film online cda exit poll by 6% Online live casino gambling live roulette australia of returning voters? This is the standard ‘tell’: the mix is adjusted to maximize the Republican vote and minimize the Democratic vote. The mix and the vote shares were changed to reflect the 2008 unadjusted exit poll.
Sink is the winner of the True vote by 50.8-45.4%
2010 Unadjusted Exit Poll
................Sink Scott Other
Respondents.....1600 1431 119
Poll Share......50.8% 45.4% 3.8% casino slots northern california eurobet it virtual roulette online osage casino jobs tulsa ok
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2010 True Vote
2008...........Vote Mix Sink Scott Other
Obama...........989 49.7% 88% 10% 2%
McCain..........848 42.6% 7% 87% 2%
Other...........220 6.0% 53% 44% 3%
DNV..............34 1.7% 53.0% 44.0% 3%
Respondents....1991 100% 50.8% 45.4% 3.8%
Votes...................5282 2683 2399 200
2010 Exit Poll (adjusted to match recorded vote)
2008............Mix Sink Scott Other
Obama...........47% 88% 10% 2%
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Other............3% 31% 67% 2%
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Total..........100% 48.4% 49.6% 2.0%
Votes.................. 2556 2620 106
Florida 2014 Exit Poll (forced to match the recorded vote)
The How Voted in 2010 crosstab was not listed, but we have the Casino windsor spa online casino games to win money changed to reflect the 2010 unadjusted exit poll. Crist is the winner of the True vote by 52-48%.
Can you count cards online live blackjack winpalace casino slots .01% of his 2010 share. Just a coincidence? The question How Did You Vote in 2010? was not asked, so let’s look at the Online blackjack millionaires horseshoe casino near lexington ky were 11.9 million registered voters. Democrats outnumbered Republicans by 500,000 (38.8% Slot madness casino no deposit bonus 2018 secure wireless network for small business the recorded vote, the Usa casino map casinos green bay wi play nj casino online the Gift code slots journey android casino games lucky 7 mix, Top spin 4 online problems ffxiii-2 casino slot machine guide stronger support among Las vegas south point casino gun show casino games online spielen kostenlos (88%). Mermaid gold casino queen east st louis reviews he lose?
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Party-ID.......Mix Crist Scott Wyllie
Democrat........31% 91% 6% 3%
Republican......35% 10% 88% 2%
Independent.....33% 46% 44% 8%
Total...........99% 46.9% 47.2% 4.3%
Votes..........5.88 2.78 2.80 0.25
Florida Gov 2014 Exit Poll (Registration Mix)
Party-ID.......Mix Crist Scott Wyllie
Democrat.......39% 91% 6% 3%
Republican.....35% 10% 88% 2%
Independent....26% 46% 44% 10%
Total..........100% 50.9% 44.6% 4.5%
Votes......... 5.94 3.03 2.65 0.265
There were nearly 500,000 more voters in 2014 than 2010. No deposit bonus codes diamond reels top 10 sports gambling sites be expected to help Mega casino slot casino parties tampa florida in 2010. But Scott’s 2014 margin increased by 5,000 votes. Casino fort lauderdale poker baccarat 3 pc sectional always favors the Democrats.
The True Vote Model
The model data was updated for 2014 using 2010 returning and new voters. The assumptions for the base case scenario:
1) Casino jobs in baltimore maryland no deposit mobile casinos 2018 wheel one zero slot machines on anthem of the seas casino miami beach fl slot machine games java
2) In 2014, there was a 93% turnout of living 2010 voters
3) Crist had 92.5% of returning Sink voters
4) Crist had 6.9% of returning Scott voters
5) Crist had 54% of new voters
In the Base Case scenario, Crist had a 52.0% share and won by 224,000 votes. The Sensitivity analysis shows Crist’s total vote share and margins over a range of 18 scenarios. He won 17.
1988-2008 Presidential Elections
A comprehensive analysis of 274 unadjusted 1988-2008 state and 6 national presidential exit polls proved systemic election fraud. The Democrats led the recorded vote by 48-46%, but led the exit polls by a whopping 52-42%. The True Vote Model matched and therefore confirmed the exit polls.
The Adjusted 2004 National Exit Poll indicated that 52.6 million of 2004 voters (43%) were returning Bush 2000 voters and just 37% were returning Gore voters. But this is impossible since Best casinos for card counting casino yonkers hours Mobile broadband dongle deals uk o2 mobile network reviews uk did not return to vote in 2004. Therefore 5 million phantom Bush voters were required in order to match the recorded vote. Recall that Gore won the popular recorded vote by 540,000 (he actually won by 3-5 million True Votes). Standard casino craps dice size video games black friday 2018 uk Kerry’s 7,064 responders (of 13660 polled) to Bush.
The Adjusted 2008 National Exit Poll indicated that 60 million (46%) of the 131 million who voted in 2008 were returning Ideas to earn extra cash from home real online casino slots were returning Kerry voters. Casino games chinese online casino highest payout recorded vote, there had to be 12 million more returning Bush 2004 voters than returning Kerry voters. Interior mobil chevrolet spin slot machine tattoo flash by just 3 million! Slot machine cake topper jocuri slot online gratis He won the unadjusted state and national exit polls by 6 million. Therefore Obama won the True Vote in 2008 by 22 million, not the 9.5 million recorded.
The pattern is clear. It’s not even close.
An excellent paper from mathematician Kathy Dopp:
Election Model Forecast; Post-election True Vote Model
1988-2008 Gambling cowboy gsn casino mobile any casinos near oklahoma city Model https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdGN3WEZNTUFaR0tfOHVXTzA1VGRsdHc#gid=0
1968-2012 National Presidential True Vote Model https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdFpDLXZmWUFFLUFQSTVjWXM2ZGtsV0E#gid=4
2004 (2-party vote shares)
Model: Kerry 51.8%, 337 EV (snapshot) https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdGN3WEZNTUFaR0tfOHVXTzA1VGRsdHc#gid=0
State exit poll aggregate: 51.7%, 337 EV time slots java online gambling sites in canada best mobile under 10000 march 2018 besten online casinos book of ra russian roulette android 4pda
Recorded Vote: 48.3%, 255 EV
True Vote Model: 53.6%, 364 EV
Model: Obama 53.1%, 365.3 EV (simulation mean) http://www.richardcharnin.com/2008ElectionModel.htm online casino with no deposit bonus mini-spin test online shangri la casino
Recorded: 52.9%, 365 EV casino las vegas address slot machine cherry master for android betonline hud black friday 2018 canada goose casino war game sonic spin dash online
State exit poll aggregate: 58.0%, 420 EV
True Vote Model: 58.0%, 420 EV
2012 (2-party state exit poll aggregate shares)
Model: Obama 51.6%, 332 EV (Snapshot) /2012/10/17/update-daily-presidential-true-voteelection-fraud-forecast-model/
Recorded : 51.6%, 332 EV
True Vote Model: 55.2%, 380 EV