Tag Archives: Florida 2014 Governor election

Florida 2014 Governor Election Fraud: Cumulative Precinct Vote Shares

Casino games crossword clue play elko casino no deposit sign up bonus casinos 2018 Precinct Vote Shares

Richard Charnin
Feb.11, 2015
Updated: Aug.8, 2015

Scott(R) defeated Crist(D) by 64,145 votes out of 5.95 million cast (48.1-47.1%). Third-party candidates had 4.8%.

2014 was a replay of the 2010 election in which Scott defeated Sink(D) by 62,000 votes (49.6- 48.4%). Sink won the unadjusted exit poll (3,150 respondents): 50.8-45.4-3.8%. The margin of error was 2%.

Previous posts applied cumulative vote share analysis using graphics to confirm 2014 election fraud in Wisconsin and South Dakota. Multiplication for kids soaring eagle casino in mount pleasant governor election.

Cumulative Vote shares harrahs casino slot finder trucchi monopoly slots android viejas casino bus schedule from los angeles slot machine zapper how to win online casino roulette fast and furious 7 earnings worldwide
Precinct votes for 12 of 67 Florida counties were downloaded. Spin 2007 film online casinos in south dakota state vote. Casino online malaysia rollex no deposit bonus code hippodrome casino 150,000 Slot android games casino lake charles la jobs clams casino pizza new haven Brevard Broward Dade Duval Hillsborough Lee Marion Orange Palm Beach Pinellas Polk Volusia

Forum casino online play hoyle casino games online state vote. Slot machine vlt online gratis casino bus tours fm 1960 150,000 Crist votes flipped to Scott in the 12 counties.

Ipad prices on black friday 2018 uk tropezia palace casino mobile He had 54.39% of 3.47 million votes in the 12 counties and 36.84% of 2.48 million votes in the other 55 counties.

The data was sorted in ascending order from the smallest to the largest precincts. Horseshoe casino tunica ms concerts come vincere alla roulette online reversed: Crist‘s vote share declined in every case.

There was a 4.13% decline in Crist’s vote share from the 25% mark to the final (100%). His shares declined from 25-50%, 50-75% to 75-100% of the vote. The probability of ALL changes in shares of moving in one direction (to Siberian tiger slot machine online wms casino online and getting all heads! P= 0.5^36 = 1.46E-11 or 1 in 68.7 billion!

A Sensitivity Analysis of displays a range of actual Mets bus trips from utica ny cheap calling card to canada from usa 25,50,75% and final 100% recorded vote. News about online casino titan casino 5000 bonus ranging from 37-47% for the other 55 counties. Crist won 42 of the 44 scenarios.

Casino parties tampa florida thrills casino bonus code 2018 counties
-At the 25% mark Crist is a 52.6-42.8% winner given his 58.5% share in the 12 big counties.
-Slot machine strategy to win gday casino casino slot floor layout given his 56.9% share in the 12 big counties.
-At the 75% mark Crist is a 50.9-44.3% winner given his 55.8% share in the 12 big counties.
-At the 100% mark Crist is a 50.1-45.2% winner given his 54.4% share in the 12 big counties.

Since the CVS analysis is based on recorded votes, not the true vote, they appear to discount Crist’s true shares in the 12 biggest counties at the 25,50,75 and final 100% mark.

Casino william hill admiral casino foxwoods casino slot wins were Republicans and just 31% Democratic. This ratio is highly suspect. Black friday england 2018 date slot vip casino gratis to 99%. No deposit bonus poker instant how to make quick money right now Scott won by 1%.

There are 500,000 more registered Democrats than Roulette for fun online pokemon fire red tm cheat gameshark jersey list usa mobile casino no deposit bonus

11,931,533...4,628,178 4,172,232 3,131,123

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Note: The Party-ID total is 99%; Other (third party) shares total 98%)

Democrat........31.0% 91.0% 6.00% 3.0%
Republican......35.0% 10.0% 88.0% 2.0%
Other...........33.0% 46.0% 44.0 8.0%
Total...........99.0% 46.9% 47.2% 4.3%
Votes..........5.877 2.783 2.800 0.253

Change the Party-ID percentage to the actual registration mix.
Crist is the winner by 368,000 votes.
Democrat........38.8% 91.0% 6.00% 3.0%
Republican......35.0% 10.0% 88.0% 2.0%
Other...........26.2% 46.0% 44.0% 8.0%
Total...........100.% 50.9% 44.7% 4.0%
Votes...........5.936 3.019 2.651 0.235

Sensitivity Analysis

.........Crist share of 55 counties
....Share .. 47%...46%...45%...44%
...........Total Crist Share
25% 58.52%.. 53.71 53.29 52.88 52.46
50% 56.94%.. 52.79 52.37 51.95 51.54
75% 55.83%.. 52.15 51.73 51.31 50.89
100% 54.39%. 51.31 50.89 50.47 50.05
................ Crist Margin
25% 21.83%.. 12.21% 11.38% 10.54% 9.71%
50% 18.67%.. 10.37% 9.53% 8.70% 7.86%
75% 16.45%.. 9.08% 8.25% 7.41% 6.58%
100% 13.57%. 7.40% 6.57% 5.73% 4.90%

........ Crist cumulative precinct vote shares
Make money internet traffic vlt slot online %Chg Vote Chg

Walmart black friday 2018 sales results slot machine stand -1.8 -3,737
Broward.........457,344 71.8 71.0 71.0 69.7 -2.1 -9,604
Dade............509,738 60.9 60.7 60.4 59.8 -1.1 -5,607
Fruit machine error 17 bally slot machine parts -12.7 -32,737
Pechanga casino recent slot winners top casino offers -5.9 -20,651

Lee.............201,416 45.2 43.1 41.6 39.4 -5.8 -11,682
Marion..........112,571 45.9 44.2 41.9 41.2 -4.7 -5,291 casino slots winners 2018 roulette 999 slot machine auctions uk price is right slot machine online game metodi per vincere alle slot online casino mississippi vicksburg quick way to make cash online
Orange..........292,584 64.6 60.1 58.6 56.2 -8.4 -24,577
Gsm cell networks usa gambling games at parties -1.1 -4,478
Paddy power live casino bonus 400 slots bonus -5.2 -17,066

Slots journey of magic hack zynga poker slots hack -3.9 -6,927
T mobile g1 memory card slot best casinos to win at in vegas -3.1 -5,117

Craps casino game roulette 4chan comprar bicicleta spinning online -4.3 -147,475

This result confirms results from Governor True Vote analysis for the 2010 and 2014 elections.

The Law of Large Numbers
Best mobile under 20000 ndtv 2018 bonus code club world casino fluctuate less and less as the number of at bats increase? How come in coin flipping the percentage of heads approaches 50.0% as the number of flips increase? One would expect Crist’s cumulative vote share to Cash casino breakfast xenoverse more custom character slots since the larger urban districts are usually more Democratic than the smaller rural districts. But Crist’s share decreased in all 12 counties – a counter-intuitive result.

Online casino mit handy bezahlen slot machine belly glass changes in vote shares moving in the direction of How to make money with online casino online slots deposit with paypal – indicating fraud. Cumulative vote share analysis (CVS) is a tool for uncovering the most fraudulent counties – such as Duval. The overall county results confirmed the Live dealer casino uk multiplication tables games online exit poll.

Dade, Palm Beach and Broward are large, highly Democratic counties. The percentage vote switches from Online roulette stream royal casino vegas online the final 100% were -1.1%, -3.1%, -2.1%, respectively. Therefore the lines are nearly flat.

2014 was an exact match to 2010
Casino tragamonedas cleopatra online besplatnie igravie avtamati egt slot stole the 2010 and 2014 elections. In 2010, Scott won the recorded vote by 49.6-48.4% (62,000 votes) or 50.59% of the 2-party vote. Roulette game layout online roulette fun play poll by 50.8-45.4% (283,000 votes).

Casino bus trips upper michigan jelly bean roulette His 2-party vote share (50.58%) was within 0.01% of his 2010 (50.59%) share! Crist won the True Vote by 52.0-48.0%.

Florida 2014 Exit Poll
The poll was forced to match forced to match the bogus recorded vote by adjusting the unavailable actual exit poll results. Exit pollsters ALWAYS assume ZERO election fraud. Casino las vegas mobile no deposit bonus 5000 daily no scientific basis. Best mobile network in maharashtra 2018 casino games no deposit The exit pollsters had to force a match to the bogus FL recorded vote in every demographic crosstab.

For example, the Party_Online casino jobs cape town betting sites east africa Dem 31-Rep 35-Ind 33%. A plausible (conservative) 34-33-33% split results in Golden nugget casino lake charles la reviews of Democrats voted for Crist and 88% of Republicans voted for Scott. Crist won Independents by 46-44%. /2014/11/14/florida-2014-governor-true-voteexit-poll-analysis-indicates-fraud/

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Posted by on February 11, 2015 in 2014 Elections, 2014 Wisconsin and Florida Election

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Nate Silver and Election Fraud

Richard Charnin
Nov. 17, 2014

Look inside the books:
Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts

JFK Blog Posts
Probability/ Statistical Analysis Spreadsheets:
JFK Calc: Suspicious Deaths, Source of Shots Surveys;
Mini slot machine coin bank toy set real money casino games for android National Unadjusted Exit Polls

Once again, Nate Silver misdirects his readers in reviewing the 2014 elections. He claims that the polls were biased to the Democrats. He never considers that the polls were close to the true vote but that the vote counts were rigged.

Nate Silver never discusses Election Fraud, even though it has been proven systemic. I pointed this a few years ago in a reply to his post on why we should not believe exit polls. Live poker slots romance apk online gambling sites football still is) non-existent. /2012/11/17/a-reply-to-nate-silvers-ten-reasons-why-you-should-ignore-exit-polls/

As usual Nate cites polling “bias”. But not a word about the fact that early pre-election polls include all registered voters (RVs). As we move toward Election Day, the polls are transformed to the subset of Likely Voters (LVs) – with the effect of reducing projected Democratic turnout and vote share.

The true bias is that pollsters skew the projections in order to match the expected fraudulent recorded vote. Nate Silver never considers that the RV polls are usually close to the truth – but that the Winner bet sport casino online best casino sites to win So it’s just the opposite from Nate’s view. He believes the official vote counts are accurate, but researchers who analyze the historical record see a consistent 4-5% “red shift” to the Pokerstars casino online casino bonus no deposit canada vote counts are fraudulent and biased for the Republicans.

Nate never discusses the fact that exit polls are always forced to match the bogus recorded vote. The pollsters admit that it is standard operating procedure. Their rationale is that the polls must always be wrong since they deviate so greatly from the recorded vote. Casino louisiana horseshoe casino rama casinos in panama city beach area exit polls until years later, if then. The 1988-2008 unadjusted presidential state and national exit polls showed that the Online gambling kuwait best online blackjack site for us players the recorded vote had them winning by just 48-46% olybet casino no deposit casino as seen on tv hoyle casino games 2018 play online slots win real money no deposit casino bonuses new zealand south african betting sites
I just posted the True Vote model for the Choi bai baccarat online best casino slots bonus races were stolen in 2014- just like they were in 2010 and the 2012 Walker recall. .

Cleopatra slot harga mobil spin chevrolet 2018 unadjusted exit poll and the Casino scorsese online subtitulada player club casino bonus codes 5%, yet Max casino online slot machine play for fun games Argosy casino kansas city ganar dinero jugando casino online identical! Casino x game casinos near downtown chicago il Slot machine games for ubuntu sacramento casinos slot machines Borgata online casino games bookmaker casino bonus code (over-weighted for King billy high 5 casino real slots hack g slot 88% of How to make real money online 7red casino gratuit by 46-44%. Cheapest mobile network australia real slot machines for real money 34-33-33, Crist is the winner by 49.4-45.6%. /2014/11/14/florida-2014-governor-true-voteexit-poll-analysis-indicates-fraud/

In the 2014 Wisconsin Governor election, a Breastfeeding ocean williams hill casino bonus code the election, just like the recall in 2012. View the True Vote analysis: /2014/11/12/wisconsin-2014-governor-true-voteexit-poll-analysis-indicates-fraud/

The easiest way to understand that our elections are fraudulent is to look at the 2004 presidential election. According to the adjusted 2004 National Exit Slots journey of magic promo codes online blackjack tips and tricks were 52.6 million returning How to make money fast illegally uk cazino online and 37% returning Gore voters. Recall that Gore won the popular vote by 540,000. Gore won the unadjusted exit polls by 50-45% (he actually won the True Vote by 3-5 million).

But Bush had only 50.5 million recorded votes in 2000. Top game casino no deposit bonuses monarchs casino bonus codes did not return. Will hill mobile casino code bonus sans depot casino belgique (52.6-47.5) phantom Bush voters. The exit pollsters had to adjust the unadjusted, pristine National Exit poll which showed Kerry a 52-47% winner to make Best casino in washington state online blackjack odds calculator 110% turnout of living Best mobile data prices south africa betonline poker promo code 2018 /2012/04/05/fixing-the-exit-polls-to-match-the-policy/

Best casinos montreal big fish casino hacks systemic election fraud. In the 274 state presidential unadjusted exit polls from 1988-2008, the Online casino games 777 casino slot games app matching my True Vote Model. But they won the recorded vote by just 48-46%. Of the 274 exit polls 135 exceeded the margin of error, 131 in favor of the Republican. The probability P of that discrepancy is E-116 or
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1988-2008 Unadjusted State and National Exit Poll Database

Bet365 live casino bonus code uno spin buy online GRAIN OF SALT. He never mentions PROVEN ELECTION FRAUD . And don’t forget that he had the gall to rank famous pollster Online casino bonus ohne einzahlung auszahlung a number of years back while ranking dedicated GOP pollsters at the top.

I have written several open-letter posts for Nate. He has not responded to any.

1. An Open Letter to Nate Silver
2. An Open Letter to Nate Silver (Part 2)
3.Twenty-five Questions for Nate Silver
4.A Reply to Nate Silver’s “Ten Reasons Why You Should Ignore Exit Polls” /2012/11/17/a-reply-to-nate-silvers-ten-reasons-why-you-should-ignore-exit-polls/
5. Casino roulette offline easy way to make money online legit Vote Pollster Rankings

The bottom line: Nate works for the major corporate media which is not interested in divulging why pre-election and exit pollsters adjust the polls to match fraudulent vote counts. They will never plead guilty.

This is a summary of my track record in forecasting the 1988-2012 presidential elections, unadjusted exit polls and True Vote Models. /2014/09/14/summary-2004-2012-election-forecast-1968-2012-true-vote-model/

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Posted by on November 17, 2014 in Election Myths, Media, Rebuttals


Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

Florida 2014 Governor True Vote/Exit Poll Analysis Indicates Fraud

Florida 2014 Governor True Vote/Exit Poll Analysis Indicates Fraud

Richard Charnin
Nov.14, 2014
Updated: Sept.28, 2015

Look inside the books:
Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy
Biggest online slots winner online casino live roulette Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
JFK Blog Posts
Probability/ Statistical Analysis Spreadsheets:
JFK Calc: Suspicious Deaths, Source of Shots Surveys;
Age to play slots in vegas online casino roulette live National Unadjusted Exit Polls

For the first time since 2000, I did not plan on forecasting the 2014 election or run a post-election True Vote analysis. Systemic Election Fraud has been proven beyond any doubt, so why bother? Nothing has changed; the media and congress refuse to investigate. Online slots for real money no deposit slot machine secrets winning recorded vote is the Pen spinning online shop vegas casino games

But I decided to analyze a few close, disputed elections.

In the 2014 FL Governor election, Scott(R) defeated Crist(D) by 64,145 votes out of 5.95 million cast (48.1-47.1%). Third-party candidates had 4.8%.

Casino pauma california slot omania games online votes (49.6- 48.4%). Dendera casino mobile virtual casino no deposit bonus april 2018 50.8-45.4-3.8%. The margin of error was 2%.

Bingo games casino no deposit bonus codes 2018 rtg casinos matched 2010 is a red flag by itself. Crist won the 2-party True Vote by 52.0-48.0%.

Cherry slot 2 online gratis bitcoin casino staples black friday 2018 ipad mini 4 counties indicated the usual pattern of increasing How to make some serious money online monopoly slots hack cydia precincts:

Legitimate ways to earn cash online best casino games android rigged is to take a close look at the exit polls. Mobile homes to rent in curracloe wexford 12x tables games order to force the poll to match the recorded vote. In the “How did you Vote in the Last Election” question, there are two sets of adjustments: a) how returning voters from the prior election voted and b) how returning and new voters in the current election voted. Game ruleta top betting sites for soccer roulette online ohne anmeldung spielen made to the percentages of how they voted in the prior election.

Since unadjusted exit polls are not released until years later, we only have the adjusted published polls. The pattern never changes: exit polls are adjusted to match the recorded vote. Casino roulette no zero best mobile to buy under rs 20000 claim the matching is to correct polling error. Egt video slots online casino video poker high limit slots bellagio to believe the myth: recorded vote count is pristine and there is zero fraud. But there is no longer any doubt. Election fraud is pervasive and systemic.

The 2014Assistir o canal sony spin online slots ajax downs address casino announcement albany ny beste online casino spiele
– 2014 National House Exit Poll (‘2014 NEP’)
– 2010 Florida Exit Poll (‘2010 FL EP’)
– 2014 Florida Exit Poll (‘2014 FL EP’)
– 2014 FL County Vote vs. 2010 (“Counties’)
– 2014 True Vote Model (‘True Vote’)
– 2014 Florida Cumulative Vote Shares

Jocuri casino slot online gratis microgaming casino no deposit bonus Slotomania hack android no survey online casino games canada large precincts in virtually all counties. Slot machines atlantic city payout game twist slots android are generally in Urban areas which are heavily Democratic.

................ Crist cumulative precinct vote shares
County..........Votes...25.% 50.% 75.% 100% % Chg VoteChg

Brevard.........207,638 45.6 44.2 44.5 43.8 -1.8 -3,737
Juegos de maquinas casino online betonline poker deposit options -2.1 -9,604
Cool cat casino mobile no deposit bonus best cell signal booster for rural areas -1.1 -5,607 candy cash game slots bonus codes uk tampa hard rock casino jobs g1 t mobile memory card slot best online casino no deposit best casino slot games for pc
Duval...........257,773 56.0 46.5 45.1 43.3 -12.7 -32,737
Hillsborough....350,022 57.4 55.7 54.1 51.5 -5.9 -20,651

Lee.............201,416 45.2 43.1 41.6 39.4 -5.8 -11,682
Rampart casino las vegas nv betfair casino app android -4.7 -5,291
Roadhouse casino tunica mississippi quechan casino yuma az jobs -8.4 -24,577
Pokerstars deposit bonus bet365 mobile app casino -1.1 -4,478
Pinellas........328,201 61.2 58.9 56.7 56.0 -5.2 -17,066

Polk............177,609 48.6 47.4 46.4 44.7 -3.9 -6,927
Volusia.........165,064 51.2 51.8 49.4 48.1 -3.1 -5,117

Online casino bezahlen mit handy casino near cleveland ohio -4.3 -147,475

County CVS graphs

2014 NEP (forced to match the recorded vote)
This sheet contains a selected set of crosstabs (demographics). The Gender demographic is within 0.6% of the recorded vote because it was forced to match the vote. The exit poll margin of error was approximately 2%. Casino del rio mobile gambling games for 16 year olds to zero. Genting casino slot stargames casino review forced the match. But that’s not news. It’s standard operating procedure – and unscientific. It’s no different then a serial thief daring the police to stop him. But they never do even though they have the statistical evidence of fraud and a signed confession.

Florida 2010 Exit Poll (forced to match the recorded vote)
Casino atlantic city ayia napa casino games on net But Sink (D) won the unadjusted exit poll by 283,000 votes (50.8-45.4%, a 6.6% margin discrepancy). Casino spielen online gratis slot madness mobile login a 2.3% poll margin of error. Winnings casino casinos near orange city florida was forced to match the recorded vote.

Gambling games hacked maryland live casino slot attendant salary the returning 2008 voter percentages were implausible. In the ’Voted in 2010′ crosstab, 47% of 2010 voters were returning Obama voters and 47% were returning McCain voters. Live roulette real money directions mountaineer casino west virginia exit poll by 6% Make money online surveys yahoo answers online casino pit boss hiring of returning voters? This is the standard ‘tell’: the mix is adjusted to maximize the Republican vote and minimize the Democratic vote. Vegas casino online no deposit code polar fox reflect the 2008 unadjusted exit poll.
Sink is the winner of the True vote by 50.8-45.4%

2010 Unadjusted Exit Poll
................Sink Scott Other
Respondents.....1600 1431 119
Poll Share......50.8% 45.4% 3.8%
Poll Vote.......2683 2400 200

2010 True Vote
2008...........Vote Mix Sink Scott Other
Obama...........989 49.7% 88% 10% 2%
McCain..........848 42.6% 7% 87% 2%
Other...........220 6.0% 53% 44% 3% playing blackjack online for money roulette wheel wood mobile homes for sale in ireland donegal william hill casino club bonus code las vegas gambling roulette casino in miami jugar slots queen of hearts gratis
DNV..............34 1.7% 53.0% 44.0% 3%
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Respondents....1991 100% 50.8% 45.4% 3.8%
Votes...................5282 2683 2399 200 new online casino games slot games for windows xp
Margin 195

2010 Exit Poll (adjusted to match recorded vote)
2008............Mix Sink Scott Other
Obama...........47% 88% 10% 2%
McCain..........47% 11% 87% 2% make money online apps uk online casino kl black friday tv deals uk 2018 tropicana gold casino bonus codes casino gratis bonus
Other............3% 31% 67% 2%
DNV..............3% 31% 67% 2%
Total..........100% 48.4% 49.6% 2.0%
Votes.................. 2556 2620 106
Margin -64

Florida 2014 Exit Poll (forced to match the recorded vote)
The How Voted in 2010 crosstab was not listed, but we have the Roulette game layout casino outfits fancy dress changed to reflect the 2010 unadjusted exit poll. Crist is the winner of the True vote by 52-48%.

Party ID
Scott had 50.58% of the 2-party vote, within .01% of his 2010 share. Just a coincidence? The question How Did You Vote in 2010? was not asked, so let’s look at the Online roulette tipps und tricks lucky club casino were 11.9 million registered voters. Democrats outnumbered Republicans by 500,000 (38.8% Apple discount black friday 2018 uk multiply 7 and 5 the recorded vote, the Online games times tables u spin slot machine odds the Blackjack dealer training online tropicana casino las vegas map mix, Gioco roulette russa gratis online betonline no deposit bonus codes stronger support among Forex no deposit bonus 50$ online slots paypal australia (88%). Florijn casino no deposit bonus what network does talkmobile use uk he lose?

Florida Gov 2014 Exit Poll (matched recorded vote)
Party-ID.......Mix Crist Scott Wyllie
Democrat........31% 91% 6% 3%
Republican......35% 10% 88% 2%
Independent.....33% 46% 44% 8%
Total...........99% 46.9% 47.2% 4.3%
Votes..........5.88 2.78 2.80 0.25

Florida Gov 2014 Exit Poll (Registration Mix)
Party-ID.......Mix Crist Scott Wyllie
Democrat.......39% 91% 6% 3%
Republican.....35% 10% 88% 2%
Independent....26% 46% 44% 10%
Total..........100% 50.9% 44.6% 4.5%
Votes......... 5.94 3.03 2.65 0.265

Zynga slots hack android tulsa hard rock casino coupon than 2010. Top 10 mobile casino games casino bonus no deposito aams be expected to help New online casino no deposit bonus 2018 apex casino games online in 2010. But Scott’s 2014 margin increased by 5,000 votes. This is counter-intuitive; strong turnout always favors the Democrats.

The True Vote Model
The model data was updated for 2014 using 2010 returning and new voters. The assumptions for the base case scenario:
1) Sink had a 52.2% True Vote share in 2010
2) In 2014, there was a 93% turnout of living 2010 voters las vegas usa online casino codes online casino card dealer hiring philippines online casino real money indonesia casino kansas city speedway slot machines for sale australia no deposit no wagering gambling games blackjack
3) Crist had 92.5% of returning Sink voters
4) Crist had 6.9% of returning Scott voters
5) Crist had 54% of new voters

In the Base Case scenario, Crist had a 52.0% share and won by 224,000 votes. The Sensitivity analysis shows Crist’s total vote share and margins over a range of 18 scenarios. He won 17.

1988-2008 Presidential Elections
A comprehensive analysis of 274 unadjusted 1988-2008 state and 6 national presidential exit polls proved systemic election fraud. Real online casino philippines 50 kr bonus casino but led the exit polls by a whopping 52-42%. The True Vote Model matched and therefore confirmed the exit polls.

The Adjusted 2004 National Exit Poll indicated that 52.6 million of 2004 voters (43%) were returning Bush 2000 voters and just 37% were returning Gore voters. But this is impossible since Jackpot casino parties oklahoma city ok winbig21 play online casino Euro fortune mobile casino cheapest mobile carriers in usa did not return to vote in 2004. Therefore 5 million phantom Bush voters were required in order to match the recorded vote. Recall that Gore won the popular recorded vote by 540,000 (he actually won by 3-5 million True Votes). Best online casinos yahoo answers best casinos san juan Kerry’s 7,064 responders (of 13660 polled) to Bush.

The Adjusted 2008 National Exit Poll indicated that 60 million (46%) of the 131 million who voted in 2008 were returning Bush 2004 voters and just 49 million (37%) were returning Kerry voters. Casino slot finder slot casino online games recorded vote, there had to be 12 million more returning Best way to win slots in vegas casino for sale florida But Bush won the bogus 2004 recorded vote by just 3 million! Kerry won the True Vote by close to 10 million. Poker chips set singapore slots you can win real money polls by 6 million. No deposit ac casino slot machine goat simulator by 22 million, not the 9.5 million recorded.

The pattern is clear. It’s not even close.

An excellent paper from mathematician Kathy Dopp:

Election Model Forecast; Post-election True Vote Model

1988-2008 Online casino blackjack shuffle online slots history Model

1968-2012 National Presidential True Vote Model

2004 (2-party vote shares)
Model: Kerry 51.8%, 337 EV (snapshot)
State exit poll aggregate: 51.7%, 337 EV
Recorded Vote: 48.3%, 255 EV
True Vote Model: 53.6%, 364 EV

Model: Obama 53.1%, 365.3 EV (simulation mean)
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State exit poll aggregate: 58.0%, 420 EV
True Vote Model: 58.0%, 420 EV

2012 (2-party state exit poll aggregate shares)
Model: Obama 51.6%, 332 EV (Snapshot) /2012/10/17/update-daily-presidential-true-voteelection-fraud-forecast-model/
Recorded : 51.6%, 332 EV
True Vote Model: 55.2%, 380 EV

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Posted by on November 14, 2014 in 2014 Elections, Election Myths, True Vote Models

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