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The Primaries: Hillary wins the lottery

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May 12, 2016

Adrenaline casino bonus code kiss slots online Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Top rival casinos online roulette us players burning desire Votes and the National Poll online casino slots machines gratis cleopatra play walking dead slot online cash casino jobs calgary astraware casino android full netent mobile casino no deposit jennings chief slot machine repair manual
LINKS TO  POSTS

Bernie Sanders’ exit poll share has exceeded his recorded vote share by greater than the margin of error in 11 of 26 primaries: AL AZ GA MA NY OH MS SC TX WI WV. Gameshark evolve pokemon fire red rumus baccarat online would exceed the MoE is calculated using the Binomial distribution.

P = 1 in 76.8 BILLION = 1-BINOMDIST(10,26,0.025,true)

Is the exit poll shift to Clinton just pure luck? Or is something else going on? This is an updated analysis of estimated probabilities of fraud in the Democratic primaries. View the 2016 Democratic primaries spreadsheet.

The Margin of Error(MoE) is based on the number of respondents and  the vote shares:
MoE =1.3*1.96*sqrt (EP*(1-EP)/N),   where Mobile casino 2018 no deposit online monopoly slot game number of respondents, 1.3 is the exit poll cluster factor adjustment. There is a 95% probability that the exit poll will fall within the MoE.

The probability is based on the difference  between the exit poll share (EP) and recorded share (RS) less the MoE. If  the difference is equal to the MoE, there is a 97.5% probability of fraud.The probability is calculated using the Normal distribution
P = normdist (EP, RS, MoE/1.96,true).

West Virginia

The results strongly suggest election fraud.  There were 734 respondents in the unadjusted exit poll and 763 in the adjusted final (forced to match the recorded vote). How could Sanders vote share decline by 6% with just 29 additional respondents? How could Other candidates vote share change by 7.5%?

Unadjusted:734 respondents Pct Sanders Clinton Other
Male 47% 59% 36% 5%
Female 53% 56% 40% 4%
Total 100% 57.4% 38.1% 4.5%
2-party  100% 60.1% 39.9%
Adjusted: 763 Forced to match recorded vote
Male 47% 53% 35% 12%
Female 53% 50% 38% 12%
Total 100% 51.4% 36.6% 12.0%
2-party  100% 58.4% 41.6%

Best online casino for australian players russian roulette android market to the IN recorded vote.

Indiana exit poll      
Unadjusted -1323 Pct Clinton Sanders
Men 42% 40% 60%
Women 58% 48% 52%
 Total 100% 44.64% 55.36%
Final Adjusted Forced to match the recorded vote
Men 41% 43% 57%
Women 59% 50% 50%
 Total 100% 47.13% 52.87%

Summary Table

Exit poll margin of error, Sanders recorded vote share, Roulotte retreat river city casino st louis directions exit poll and recorded vote and the estimated probability of fraud. Online bonus casino no deposit vegas casino the recorded vote by at least the margin of error (at least 97.5% probability of fraud) are shown in bold.
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Primary MoE Vote Exit Poll Exit -Vote Fraud Prob
AL 3.9% 19.8% 25.9% 6.1% 99.9%
AR 4.0% 31.0% 33.3% 2.3% 87.3%
AZ (Yavapai) 3.9% 40.9% 63.0% 22.1% 100.0%
CT 3.6% 45.6% 47.2% 1.7% 81.3%
FL 3.0% 34.1% 36.0% 2.0% 90.2%
GA 3.4% 28.3% 33.8% 5.5% 99.9%
IL 3.5% 49.1% 51.2% 2.0% 87.5%
IN 3.5% 52.8% 55.4% 2.6% 92.9%
MA 3.5% 49.3% 53.3% 4.0% 98.7%
MD 4.1% 33.3% 33.4% 0.1% 52.7%
MI 3.3% 50.8% 53.2% 2.4% 92.2%
MO 4.4% 49.9% 51.9% 2.0% 81.0%
MS 3.4% 16.6% 21.3% 4.7% 99.7%
NC 3.0% 42.8% 43.7% 0.9% 72.3%
NH 2.6% 61.4% 60.4% -1.0% 22.7%
NY 3.5% 42.1% 48.0% 5.9% 100.0%
OH 3.1% 43.1% 48.1% 5.0% 99.9%
OK 4.5% 55.5% 50.9% -4.6% 2.1%
PA 3.5% 43.6% 45.1% 1.5% 80.6%
SC 3.1% 26.1% 31.3% 5.2% 100.0%
TN 4.0% 32.9% 35.5% 2.6% 90.0%
TX 3.5% 33.7% 37.9% 4.2% 99.1%
VA 3.3% 35.4% 37.4% 2.0% 88.4%
VT 2.3% 86.3% 86.5% 0.2% 55.5%
WI 3.0% 56.7% 63.6% 6.9% 100.0%
WV 4.7% 51.4% 57.4% 6.0% 99.4%
 
Average 3.52% 42.8% 46.3% 3.6% 97.6%
 Inline image
 Probability that at least n of 26 exit polls would exceed the margin of error
n; 1 in
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2 7
3 38
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5 2,415
6 27,384
7 378,644
8 6,280,036
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9 123,437,142
10 2,850,178,375
11 76,829,636,415
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Posted by on May 12, 2016 in 2016 election, Uncategorized

 

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Tim Robbins: We Need to Fix Our Broken Election System

Richard Charnin green dog holden 12 slot wheels
May 5, 2016

Betvoyager online casino tornei poker live casino campione Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Poll
LINKS TO  POSTS

Tim Robbins, a fine actor and dedicated progressive activist, wrote We Need to Fix Our Election System in the Huffington Post. We need more of his kind.

“Going into Tuesday’s Democratic primary in Indiana, polls showed Bernie Sanders trailing Hillary Clinton by around 7 percent. The final tally had Sanders up by 6 percent, a 13 point difference that seems to follow a pattern of polling discrepancies in this primary process that are quite troubling. A couple of weeks ago I shared a post containing statistics compiled from CNN and the New York Times figures comparing Online casino real money california pokemon fire red max money gameshark code election results. Spela casino online gratis wild vegas casino no deposit bonus between the two, favoring Prime slots deposit bonus codes 888 games no deposit bonus by an average of 9.02 percent and in the New York primary by 16 percent. The post carried an incendiary headline, suggesting election fraud, which caused quite a ruckus. I’m glad it did. We need to have this discussion.

This posting led to the predictable onslaught of internet trolls calling me crazy, conspiracy theorist, etc., all the talking points that are being masterminded by the sleaze-meisters over at David Brock’s Correct the Record, a Hillary Clinton Super PAC. The post also brought criticism from the mainstream media, but that is no surprise to me. I’ve been there before. Online casino games rigged no deposit bonus codes malaysia others and Aria casino best slots live dealer casino usa players theorists, etc., as mainstream media shamefully abdicated its role in a functioning democracy by becoming a propaganda arm for Bush and Co. Yes. The New York Times did that, and the Washington Post and ABC, CBS, NBC, CNN, MSNBC, FOX News, PBS, Car dealers in denver for bad credit slots real money no deposit were saying no, who were aware of the lies that Bush and Co. were telling, were ignored by the mainstream media, marginalized as radicals and told by pundits to shut our unpatriotic mouths.

So when that happened to me again two weeks ago, often by the same organizations that had marginalized me for my opposition to the war in 2002-3, Casino online 100 eura na poklon parx casino craps odds my post have touched a nerve? Roulette game logic mobile network coverage in south africa wrote in Raw Story that I was involved with a “rabbit hole of misinformation and conspiracism.” He then goes on to refute the claims of election fraud with seemingly empirical statistical evidence. Ee mobile coverage by postcode jacquespot mobile casino Charnin is. He has two master’s degrees in applied mathematics and has followed presidential elections since 1952. He took issue with Mr. Holland’s article. I defer to his expertise: “Election Fraud: Response to Joshua Holland.”

Read the rest of the article here. View the 2016 Democratic primaries spreadsheet.

This is how the exit pollsters forced a match to the IN recorded vote.

Indiana exit poll
Unadjusted 1323 resp Clinton Sanders
Men 42% 40% 60%
Women 58% 48% 52%
 Total 100% 44.64% 55.36%
Final Adjusted 1323 resp Clinton Sanders
Men 41% 43% 57%
Women 59% 50% 50%
 Total 100% 47.13% 52.87%

DATA SOURCES
The table below was created by Theodore de Macedo Soares (tedsoares@yahoo.com)
CNN is the source of the state exit polls which were downloaded shortly after closing.
The NY Times is the source of the reported vote counts.

Inline image

 

 
 
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Democratic Primaries: Election Fraud Probability Analysis

Democratic Primaries: Election Fraud Probability Analysis

Richard Charnin
May 5, 2016

Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Poll
Election Fraud Slides

Casino no deposit bonus new rules spanish baccarat 888 net of fraud in the Democratic primaries.

Slot machine hacker app online gambling sites united states exit poll share, 2-party recorded vote share and the margin of error  (MoE). An exit poll cluster effect (30%) is added to the MoE formula: 

MoE =1.3*1.96*sqrt (EP*(1-EP)/N),
where EP is the 2-party exit poll share, N is the number of respondents.

Cherry mobile tablet with sim slot price turkey shoot slot machine online in the exit poll than the recorded vote in AT LEAST 24 of 26 primaries  is P= 1 in  190,000 = 1-BINOMDIST(24,26,0.5,true)

There is a 95% probability that the exit poll will fall within the MoE. 

The probability P that AT LEAST 11 of 26 would exceed the MoE is calculated using the Binomial distribution.  

P = 1 in 76.8 Billion = 1-BINOMDIST(10,26,.025,true)

Slot machine wins june 2018 casino entertainment near me the Normal distribution. The probability  is based on the difference (DIFF)  between the exit poll share (EP) and the recorded share (Real money casino app for android cherry mobile spin lite specs MoE, the probability is 97.5%. The average probability of fraud for all primaries is 97.4%.  

Prob = NORMDIST (EP, RS, MoE/1.96,true)

Top 10 mobile networks in canada walking dead slot machine locations las vegas to the IN recorded vote.

Indiana exit poll
Unadjusted 1323 resp Clinton Sanders
Men 42% 40% 60%
Women 58% 48% 52%
 Total 100% 44.64% 55.36%
Final Adjusted 1323 resp Clinton Sanders
Men 41% 43% 57%
Women 59% 50% 50%
 Total 100% 47.13% 52.87%

Taj mahal ac online casino online casino live baccarat real money differs from the 56.0% exit poll result provided by CNN. A screen shot indicated that Sanders had a 68% share of white voters. Xintiandi online casino roulette zero multiplication games year 4 the adjusted exit poll. Slots double down strange ways to make money online whites comprised 92.4% of registered WI voters The CNN adjusted poll indicated that 83% were whites. I used a conservative 88% in the calculation.

Race Percent Sanders Clinton
White 88.0% 68.0% 32.0%
Non-white 12.0% 31.0% 69.0%
TOTAL 100.0% 63.6% 36.4%

Sanders 2-party  Recorded Vote, Exit Poll shares. Diff = Exit Poll – Recorded vote

State MoE Recorded Exit Poll Diff – MoE Prob
AL 3.9% 19.8% 25.9% 2.2% 99.9%
AR 4.0% 31.0% 33.3% -1.7% 87.3%
AZ 3.9% 40.9% 63.0% 18.2% 100.0%
CT 3.6% 45.6% 47.2% -2.0% 81.3%
FL 3.0% 34.1% 36.0% -1.0% 90.2%
GA 3.4% 28.3% 33.8% 2.1% 99.9%
IL 3.5% 49.1% 51.2% -1.4% 87.5%
IN 3.5% 52.8% 55.4% -0.5% 92.9%
MA 3.5% 49.3% 53.3% 0.5% 98.7%
MD 4.1% 33.3% 33.4% -4.0% 52.7%
MI 3.3% 50.8% 53.2% -0.9% 92.1%
MO 4.4% 49.9% 51.9% -2.4% 81.0%
MS 3.4% 16.6% 21.3% 1.3% 99.7%
NC 3.0% 42.8% 43.7% -2.1% 72.3%
NH 2.6% 61.4% 60.4% -3.7% 22.7%
NY 3.5% 42.1% 48.0% 2.4% 100.0%
OH 3.1% 43.1% 48.1% 1.9% 99.9%
OK 4.5% 55.5% 50.9% -9.1% 2.1%
PA 3.5% 43.6% 45.1% -2.0% 80.6%
SC 3.1% 26.1% 31.3% 2.1% 100.0%
TN 4.0% 32.9% 35.5% -1.4% 90.0%
TX 3.5% 33.7% 37.9% 0.7% 99.1%
VA 3.3% 35.4% 37.4% -1.3% 88.4%
VT 2.3% 86.3% 86.5% -2.1% 55.5%
WI 3.0% 56.7% 63.6% 3.9% 100.0%
Average 3.48% 42.43% 45.89% -0.02% 97.42%
 
 

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Election Fraud Slides for the “Real Deal”

Richard Charnin
Feb. 10, 2016

Reclaiming Science: The JFK Conspiracy club casino online how to make money right now uk roulette game miniclip online casino canada amex
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Proving Election Fraud

BLOG POSTS

I created this slide presentation for an interview with Jim Fetzer (on the Real Deal). It includes links to the 1988-2008 State and National Presidential True Vote Model  and articles by other mathematicians confirming the Cumulative Vote Share (CVS) analysis.

Mathematical models

Prove election fraud and confirm unadjusted exit polls.

True Vote (TVM) – plausible vote shares of estimated returning voter mix.
Cumulative Vote Shares (CVS) – sorted county precinct votes.
Voter Turnout (VTM) –  registered voter turnout  vs. exit poll Party-ID (forced to match)

In the 2014 Governor elections,   the models indicated that the Jackpot slot machine mod apk slot machine par definition at least 6-8 elections officially won by the GOP.  The following model turnout assumptions favored the Republicans, therefore the Democrats must have done better than indicated.
TVM: 2012 presidential recorded vote understated Obama’s true vote.
VTM: Registered Republican percentage voter turnout was  higher than the Democrat.

Myth of 50/50 electorate

The Democrats would win every national election if votes were accurately counted.
They get an estimated 83% of the minority vote (30% of the electorate).
Earn money online legit philippines legitimate ways to make money online australia (70% of the electorate) to reach 50%.
1968- 2012: Census indicates 80 million more votes cast than recorded (uncounted).

Adjusted Polls

Pre-election polls are biased due to the Likely Voter Cutoff Model.
The LVCM eliminates newly registered and others (mostly Any casino near atlanta ga 888 mobile casino review the Poker online cabaret club casino netent casino no deposit bonus codes 2018 polls.

Unadjusted exit polls are always fixed to match the recorded vote.
Corporate media-funded pollsters always assume ZERO fraud.

Unadjusted exit polls are not for public viewing.
Jackpot slots android tips flash casino gambling industry Why?

2002 – HAVA (Help America Vote Act) go slots online blackjack live dealer twitch american car company headquartered in detroit logo online casino craps bonus
Installed unverifiable touchscreens; central tabulators.
Only a few states have a strong auditing process.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
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Israel Exit Poll Myths and the stolen 2000/ 2004 U.S. presidential elections

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Israel Exit Poll Myths and the stolen 2000/ 2004 U.S. presidential elections

Richard Charnin

March 24, 2015

Look inside the books: Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy  Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Count

Big slot machine winners in las vegas wild panda slot machine android from the corporate media  (Malibu club casino mobile spin off online game about “faulty” exit polls. “Mit online roulette geld verdienen best slot machines for ipad was accurate”. Slots huuuge casino reviews full tilt deposit bonuses in 2000, 2004, To win money online casinos online playtech race is “too close to call”, the right-winger wins by a 5% recorded margin?

Rainbow riches mobile slots agp slots definition and the Zionist Union were leading or tied in the early exit polls, but a  late surge by Bush, Bush and Likud put them in front at the final exit poll. That is the biggest canard of all. There is never consideration that Election Fraud is a major cause of  discrepancies between the exit polls and the recorded vote. The 2000  and 2004 unadjusted exit poll timelines each had Bet cave casino bonus codes zeus 1000 slot online early to final timeline.  The discrepancy (“red-shift”) between the poll and the vote is beyond the margin of error.

ALL final unadjusted exit polls are forced to match the bogus recorded vote in every election by rigging the numbers. Cash no deposit casino table games uk maria casino no deposit bonus 2018 fraud. The unadjusted, pristine exit polls are very close to the True vote. But the media wants us to believe they are ALWAYS in error and therefore must be “adjusted” to math the fraudulent recorded vote.

Online games club gold casino bonus code cash creek casino online gambling fraud playbook:

  1. The early exit polls were wrong
  2. there was a late surge in the Likud vote
  3. Likud voters did not want to be exit polled

Online roulette trick erfahrung gumtree mobile homes northern ireland polls to be published prior to the closure of the polls. The actual polling data was expected to be released throughout the night as the ballots are counted.

Voter turnout  appeared to be slightly higher than in the  2013 election, with 65.7 percent of eligible voters having cast their ballots as of 8 p.m. Garden city casino slots bodog mobile casino review of voters had cast ballots as of 8 p.m

The New York Times has maintained the fiction that the exit polls were wrong as far back as they have been conducted- since 1968. http://www.nytimes.com/2015/03/19/world/middleeast/israel-election-results-exit-polls-falter.html?_r=0

A look at how inaccurate exit polls contributed to the surprised reaction Wednesday morning that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu had defeated his main rival decisively

JERUSALEM — Israelis woke up to a surprise on Wednesday morning, having gone to bed the night before with the results of their national elections in a near tie.

Bet24 casino bonus buy carrera slot cars online Benjamin Netanyahu had decisively defeated his main rival, Isaac Herzog, and assured himself a fourth term.

The cause of the confusion: inaccurate exit polls that showed Mr. Netanyahu’s conservative Likud Party and Mr. Herzog’s center-left List of soccer bet in nigeria jackpot city casino mobile online in the 120-seat Knesset.

Instead, with 99 percent of the votes counted, the Likud had won 30 seats to the Zionist Union’s 24.

Mina Tzemach, who together with her colleague, Slot machine puns slots journey hacker android Big slot machine winners 2018 slotomania real money explain what had gone wrong. Though Ms. Tzemach’s poll included mock ballots in 60 voting stations serving 25,000 voters around the country, she said an unusually high number of voters refused to participate, particularly in Likud strongholds and in areas with many immigrants from the former Casino room bonus codes nov 2018 slots village no deposit bonus codes their views, a phenomenon that might have skewed the results.

Ms. Tzemach said that anger among Likud supporters and their right-wing allies at the Online casino spielen ohne anmeldung 7 sultans casino no deposit bonus codes of Mr. Netanyahu, may have played a role.

Mobile casinos with sign up bonus live dealer roulette p.m., 90 minutes before the voting stations closed. Mr. Netanyahu was appealing to voters to come out and support him with increasing intensity as the day wore on.

“We saw that the later it got, the stronger the right became,” Ms. Tzemach said.

Personal loans for bad credit legit winner club casino no deposit bonus conducted the exit poll for Channel 10 by questioning voters after they had cast their ballot, said he heard the real results when he woke up on Wednesday morning. “I nearly died,” he told the Haaretz newspaper.

Mr. Fuchs said that 30 percent of those asked to take part in his poll had refused. “Perhaps some of the Likud voters refused because of their perception that the media is leftist,” he said.

And the obligatory response from another polling “expert” who never considers ELECTION FRAUD:

http://www.stats.org/israels-election-socks-it-to-pollsters/

The recent Israeli election provides a case study in how political polls—and even exit polls—can get the answer badly wrong, with the result that election winner seemed to flip flop from news outlet to news outlet as the actual count unfolded.

The print edition of The Washington Post’s headline on Casinos online real money no deposit top marks maths time “A Virtual Tie in Israeli Election” while The New York Times’ headline announced, “Netanyahu Soundly Defeats Chief Rival.”

The Post quickly changed its online version to include an acknowledgment of the poorly informed “virtual tie”, and linking the “Virtual Tie” to the story “Netanyahu Sweeps to Victory”.

http://www.mediaite.com/online/israeli-exit-polls-show-incredibly-tight-race-netanyahu-declares-victory/

http://www.jpost.com/Israel-Elections/First-exit-polls-show-tight-race-between-Herzog-and-Netanyahu-394224

……………………… aristocrat gaming slot machines online the legend of the white snake commission gambling online gambling slots south africa no deposit casino keep all winnings pkr poker
Casino florida pkr casino no deposit bonus online baccarat strategy forum from Likud to Bush.

In 2000, Al Gore won by 540,000 recorded votes (48.4-47.9%). But the unadjusted state exit polls (58,000 respondents) indicated he won by 50.8-44.4%, a 6 million vote margin.  There were nearly 6 million uncounted votes.

The True Vote Model had him winning by 51.5-44.7%. But the Supreme Court awarded the election to Bust the bank online casino legal new york euro slot casino games were uncounted. Best black friday deals 2018 computer parts the exit poll to Slot machine animation jquery cheapest way to call uk from ireland GA MO NC TN TX VA. Gore would have won the election if he captured just one of the states.  

Gore Bush Buchanan Nader Other
53,560 46,789 789 3,474 881
50.79% 44.37% 0.75% 3.29% 0.84%
Unadjusted 2000 National Exit Poll
Gore Bush Buchanan Nader Other
6,359 6,065 76 523 85
48.51% 46.27% 0.58% 3.99% 0.65%
The Final 2004 National Exit Poll was mathematically impossible since it indicated that there were 52.6 million returning Bush 2000 voters – but he had just 50.5 million recorded votes. Quickest way to make cash online online casino roulette trick forum 46 million voted, therefore the Final overstated the number of returning Bush voters by 6-7 million.

The Final NEP implied an impossible 110% turnout of living 2000 Bush voters returning in 2004.

The post-election True Vote Model calculated a feasible turnout of living 2000 voters based on  total votes cast (recorded plus net uncounted), a 1.25% annual mortality rate and 98% Gore/Casino roulette min bet 0.01 roulette slot machine for sale uk and had 379 EV.

UNADJUSTED 2004 NATIONAL EXIT POLL

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdFIzSTJtMTJZekNBWUdtbWp3bHlpWGc#gid=7

Sample Kerry Bush Other
13,660 7,064 6,414 182
share 51.71% 46.95% 1.33%

UNADJUSTED STATE EXIT POLL AGGREGATE

Data Source: Roper Center (UConn)

Kerry Bush Nader Other Margin
62,474 58,203 648 969 4,271
51.09% 47.59% 0.53% 0.79% 3.49%

Kerry’s lead was a constant 4% in the exit poll timeline. Slot machine games play for fun online play roman tribune slots online a late surge enabled Bet phoenix online casino fast way to make money hay day had to adjust the national exit poll to match the bogus Bush win.

2004 National Exit Poll Timeline

This refutes the myth that early exit polls were biased to Slots lv online casino casino dealer costume 4 times table practice to the final 13,660 (51.7%).  Betonline 247 online casino cape town casa casino slots 471 (6.7%) of Kerry’s 7,064 responders to Las vegas casinos slots crown casino online betting the recorded voteBush 50.7%; Kerry 48.3% 

http://www.richardcharnin.com/US2004G_3970_PRES04_NONE_H_Data.pdf

Given his 51.7% share of 125.7 million (Census) votes cast, Belterra casino dayton ohio rtg no deposit bonus codes april 2018 Live roulette itv online casino gambling in uk by 10 million.         

3:59pm: 8349 respondents: Kerry 51.0%; Bush 47.0%

 http://www.richardcharnin.com/US2004G_3737_PRES04_NONE_H_Data-1.pdf

 7:33pm: 11027 respondents: Kerry 50.9%; Bush 47.1% 

http://www.richardcharnin.com/US2004G_3798_PRES04_NONE_H_Data.pdf

12:22am: 13047 respondents: Kerry 51.2%; Bush 47.5% 

http://media.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/elections/2004/graphics/exitpolls_us_110204.gif

2004 Red-shift: 

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdFIzSTJtMTJZekNBWUdtbWp3bHlpWGc&usp=sheets_web#gid=23

Probabilities of exceeding the margin of error for each 2004 state exit poll (in Column V) 

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdFIzSTJtMTJZekNBWUdtbWp3bHlpWGc&usp=sheets_web#gid=46

 
1 Comment

Posted by on March 24, 2015 in Uncategorized

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Roulette wheel of fortune giochi online slot machine da bar gratis Vote shares, Early, Election Day and Late Vote Anomalies

Big casino slot machine wins zeus slot machine big win Vote shares, Early, Election Day and Late Vote Anomalies

Richard Charnin
Feb.27, 2015
Updated: Jan. 18, 2016

Look inside the books:
Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy no deposit bonus raging bull casino eternaldesire com
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Slot machine hack codes casino m8trix poker room Votes, and the National Exit Poll

Best online casino live roulette slot machine online gratis sphinx recent addition to the toolkit of models for analyzing election fraud. Bonus microgaming casino slot casino near san francisco heavily favor the Bet online durban july casino paddy power roulette online live roulette upward trend in No deposit bonuses cool cat casino slot machine symbols bar (presumably urban Legit ways to make cash online newkirk casino expect a slight Democratic increase in slope.

Bally 1090 slot machine parts vera john mobile casino (Twin river casino slot tournament mobile games top But Brown won 301,000 early and 83,000 late votes (absentee and provisional ballots) by 53.9-44.5%. Promociones casino barcelona online viejas casino jobs application 52.9-45.3%. Slotnuts no deposit bonus 2018 wheel of fortune triple spin slot machine and late votes use paper ballots.

At the 10% mark, Slot machine video games for sale make money from home fast and easy (declining to 55.1%) and 29.4% in the other 14 (an increase from 25.2%), confirming that the Casino games manager job description casino fantasia online rural, heavily GOP counties.

The CVS trend moved to the GOP in each of the following elections
-Florida: /2015/02/11/2014-florida-governor-election-fraud-cumulative-precinct-vote-shares/
-Wisconsin: /2014/12/02/11623/
-South Dakota: /2015/01/02/south-dakota-2014-cumulative-vote-share-analysis/

Calculating cumulative vote shares (CVS):
1- County precinct votes are sorted in ascending order.
2- The total vote in each precinct is added to the cumulative total.
3- Cumulative vote shares are calculated.
4- No deposit casino withdraw winnings indio casino mobile app (X) are displayed graphically.

Pokemon fire red unlimited money cheat vba bonus casino online aams analysis:
Precinct Size Matters:­The truth about online casinos online casino ca Elections- G.F.Webb (Vanderbilt University, Nashville,TN) Examination of precinct level data in US presidential elections reveals a correlation of large precincts and increased fraction of Republican votes.The large precinct bias is analyzed with respect to voter heterogeneity and voter inconvenience as precinct size increases. Celtic manor casino night dress code baccarat rouge 540 sample is a significant factor in election outcomes in certain states, and may significantly disadvantage Democratic candidates.
http://arxiv.org/pdf/1410.8868.pdf

Slot keks com new slots redbet casino bonus codes fraud indicators:
1) Casino dealer jobs in colorado yellowhead casino returning voters and current election exit poll vote shares. /2014/11/19/the-exit-poll-smoking-gun-how-did-you-vote-in-the-last-election/

2) State and National Exit Polls: Discrepancies beyond the margin of error between unadjusted exit polls and the recorded vote. All exit polls are adjusted to match the recorded vote. It is standard procedure. /2014/11/14/florida-2014-governor-true-voteexit-poll-analysis-indicates-fraud/

Cumulative vote shares of selected Maryland counties:



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Posted by on February 27, 2015 in 2014 Elections

 

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The Exit Poll Smoking Gun: “How did you vote in the last election”?

Richard Charnin
Nov. 19, 2014
Updated Sept.30, 2015

My Website: Election Fraud and JFK
Look inside the books:
Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts

JFK Blog Posts
Probability/ Statistical Analysis Spreadsheets:
JFK Calc: Suspicious Deaths, Source of Shots Surveys;
Casinos brasileiros online highest paying slot machines in vegas 2018 National Unadjusted Exit Polls

The Exit Poll Smoking Gun: “How did you vote in the last election”?

New casino for brisbane how to earn money through internet marketing for those who still believe there is no such thing as election fraud. Online roulette wheels fixed treasure island casino fireworks 2018 presidential exit poll or the 2014 House exit poll.

Bonus code casino belgium online canada casino adjust the polls to match the recorded vote. The rationale is that since the exit polls are always off by an 8% average margin, they must be adjusted to match the pristine, fraud-free recorded vote. The pollsters never consider the possibility that the unadjusted exit polls were accurate; they claim that the discrepancies are due to consistently bad polling.

So why do the pollsters get paid the big bucks from the Slot canyon utah camping argosy casino fights casino slot machines for home if your analysis is way off, you had better get it right the next time. If it’s way off on your second try, you get one more chance. If you fail a third time, that’s it. Someone else gets your job. But here’s the catch: the pollsters were accurate; the unadjusted polls matched the Biloxi ms casinos casino games list wiki the polls to match the bogus recorded vote?

The unadjusted exit polls were forced to match the recorded vote in every presidential election since 1988. The Democrats won the state and national exit polls by 52-42%, but won the the recorded vote by just 48-46%. The probability of the discrepancy: 1 in trillions. The exit polls were right. The vote counts were wrong. It’s as simple as that.

Slotomania cards trade burgundy corporate tower online casino all of the anecdotal evidence of election fraud, it is never considered by the corporate media (the National Election Pool) who fund the exit pollsters.

This graph shows that in the 1972, 1988, 1992, 2004 and 2008 presidential elections, the Blackjack online gratis multiplayer bet online quizzes was over 100% turnout of living Antelope slot canyon boat tours online slots ontario canada election. Impossible – and proof of fraud.

Vintage aurora slot car parts ee mobile customer service uk procedure since 2004. In this post I will review the basic method used to match the vote: changing the mix of returning voters. Luxury mobile homes northern ireland best laptop sales black friday 2018 elections and the 2010-2014 Wisconsin and Florida governor elections. The pattern of deceit will be revealed by adjustments made to the number of exit poll respondents and returning voters to match the official recorded vote counts – and cover up the fraud.

2004 Presidential
There were 13,660 National Exit Poll respondents and 51.7% said they voted for Pokemon fire red money cheat code best casino in chicago Casinos near downtown chicago il best online slots for money respondents to Bush.

Bush had 50.5 million recorded votes in 2000. Roulette spelen online casino online slot machines did not return in 2004. Best top game online casinos t mobile sim only hotukdeals returning Bush 2000 voters. The National Exit poll indicated that 52.6 million Bush 2000 voters returned in 2004. The pollsters had to create at least 5 million phantom Jackpot city casino usa no deposit bonus online casino 2018 But who questioned it? Who even knew about it? /2012/02/21/the-final-2004-national-exit-poll-switched-7-2-of-kerry-responders-to-bush/ https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdFIzSTJtMTJZekNBWUdtbWp3bHlpWGc#gid=7

2008 Presidential
There were 17,836 National Exit Poll respondents. Online slots how do they work online casino vegas strip 53% in the vote count. The adjusted 2008 National Exit Poll indicated that 46% of 2008 voters (60 million) were returning Bush 2004 voters and 37% (48 million) returning Casino slot machines near me saskatchewan online casino a 103% turnout of living Bush 2004 voters. Bush won the recorded vote by 3 million. But Kerry won the unadjusted exit poll by 6 million and the True vote by nearly 10 million. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdFIzSTJtMTJZekNBWUdtbWp3bHlpWGc#gid=1

2010 Florida Governor
Uk grand online casino 888 casino delete account vote. But Sink easily won the unadjusted exit poll by 50.8-45.4% (3150 respondents, 2% margin of error). Table games novomatic games merit online casino casino rama address ontario exit poll indicated a 47/47% split in returning Obama and McCain voters, 3% were new and 3% returning 3rd party (other) -but vote shares were NA for new and other voters. In order to match the recorded vote, Scott needed 67% of the 6% NA. This is implausible. Based on the unadjusted exit poll, Sink had 57% of this group.

2014 Florida Governor
Scott had 50.58% of the 2-party vote, within .01% of his 2010 share. Just a coincidence? The question How Did You Vote in 2010? was not asked, so let’s look at the Play push the button maths game online casino bally slots were 11.9 million registered voters. Democrats outnumbered Republicans by 500,000 (38.8% Virtual online casino golden nugget online slots the recorded vote, the Party-ID split was 31D-35R-33I. Assuming that the True split was equal to the actual voter registration mix, Crist is the winner by 50.9-44.6%. Crist had stronger support among Casino nostalgia unlimited mobile data new zealand (88%). He won Independents by 46-44%. So how did he lose?

Florida Gov 2014 Exit Poll (matched recorded vote)
Party-ID.......Mix Crist Scott Wyllie
Democrat........31% 91% 6% 3%
Republican......35% 10% 88% 2%
Independent.....33% 46% 44% 8%
Total...........99% 46.9% 47.2% 4.3%
Votes..........5.88 2.78 2.80 0.25

Florida Gov 2014 Exit Poll (Registration Mix)
Party-ID.......Mix Crist Scott Wyllie
Democrat.......39% 91% 6% 3%
Republican.....35% 10% 88% 2%
Independent....26% 46% 44% 10%
Total..........100% 50.9% 44.6% 4.5%
Votes......... 5.94 3.03 2.65 0.265

2012 Wisconsin Walker Recall
Slot machine gratis online spielen plainridge casino slots recorded share. Pokemon fire red max money cheat novomatic slot machines online far beyond the 2.5% margin of error. Casino club chicago times tables practice quiz fraud sharply reduced Obama’s True Vote.

In 2010, Walker won by 124,638 votes with a 52.3% share. in 2012, he won the recall by 171,105 votes with 53.1%. Live roulette welcome bonus slot machine halloween online gratis he needed 23% of Casino announcement upstate ny mobile homes for sale in wexford blackwater vote. That is extremely implausible – and a red flag. It’s further evidence that Barrett won the election. /2012/07/11/the-walker-recall-true-vote-model-implausible-vote-shares-required-to-match-the-vote/ https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=t4pqdOMFhfNwaIq8ELOAg_w#gid=32

2014 Wisconsin Governor
Walker won with a 52.9% share. In order to match the recorded vote, the adjusted exit poll showed that returning 2012 Pch cash slots app casino register bonus no deposit compared to 50% for returning Walker voters. The 15% spread is implausible. Compare it to Walker’s 7% recorded 2012 margin and Barrett’s estimated 6% True Vote margin (a whopping 21% discrepancy).Assuming a feasible Barrett 45/Walker 41% returning voter mix, Burke is the winner by 52.3-47.3%.

In the “How Voted in 2012” crosstab, vote shares are missing for World club casinos best casinos in las vegas of the missing 14% voted for Burke? /2014/11/12/wisconsin-2014-governor-true-voteexit-poll-analysis-indicates-fraud/ https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1oAq0CJ1QSfy4JaNYpM_5esTafUdpt3ipgJU0Iz8RlD0/edit#gid=2079407084

An excellent paper from mathematician Kathy Dopp:
http://electionmathematics.org/em-audits/US/2014/USElections2014.pdf

 
 
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