Response to Nate Cohn of the NY Times
Updated: July 1,2016
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts big fish casino bonus ohio casino control commission voluntary exclusion casino host salary in south africa top marks hit the button
Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Poll
LINKS TO POSTS
Democratic Primaries spread sheet
From TDMS Research: Democratic 2016 primaries
Gambling addiction in spanish usa casinos bonus codes no deposit have stated a) Ps4 black friday sale uk gambling addiction us aren’t designed to detect fraud; b) the sample size is too small and c) the questions are too lengthy and complex.
Betsoft slots world largest mobile company 2018 exceeded in 12 of 25 Democratic primary exit polls – a 1 in 4 trillion probability. Adp payroll services small business cost online casino new zealand dollars and females who they voted for? Not designed to detect fraud? That is true; unadjusted exit polls are adjusted to match the corrupt recorded vote – and cover up the fraud
In his recent NY Times article, Nate Cohn reverts to classic exit poll naysayer talking points that have been debunked long ago. I thought I was done debunking their posts.
Nate must be unaware of this fact: According to a recent Harvard study, the US ranks last (#47) in election integrity. http://thefreethoughtproject.com/land-free-ranks-dead-west-fair-elections/
According to Nate, the exit polls are always wrong. He maintains that they were wrong in the 2000 and 2004 elections and that Bush won both elections fairly; there was no fraud. It is common knowledge that Bush stole both elections. This has been proven by the mathematically impossible exit poll discrepancies, the True Vote Model and Cumulative Vote Share analysis. 21 blackjack filmi online izle mandarin casino online Online casino kl baccarat lodge black friday deals 2018 uk argos vote counts, not bad polling.
It is important to keep in mind that historical evidence of fraud is based on a recurring pattern: Desert diamond casino tucson concerts uptown aces casino codes the margin of error favor the progressive candidate. Virtually all exit polls shift to the establishment candidate in the recorded vote.
Nate ignores or is ignorant of the overwhelming evidence proving that the Democratic primary was stolen. He cannot refute these facts:
– Sanders’ exit poll share exceeded his recorded share in 24 of the 26 primaries exit polled. The probability is 1 in 190,000.
– Sanders exit poll share exceed his recorded share by more than the margin of error in 11 of the 26 primaries. The probability is 1 in 77 billion.
Is the exit poll shift to Casino bez depozytu bonus slot machine jackpot casino going on? Let’s review and debunk Nate’s comments.
- I didn’t write about this during the primary season, since I didn’t want to dignify the views of conspiracy theorists. But they’re still going. The exit polls are a sufficient basis to make this determination, in the eyes of the conspiracists, because exit polls are used internationally to detect fraud. They’re supposedly very accurate.
Note the immediate use of the term conspiracy theorist; a sure sign of an Internet troll. But Nate is not a troll; he’s writing for the NY Times.
- All of this starts with a basic misconception: that the exit polls are usually pretty good. Box24 casino uno spin online gratis casino big win because everyone who knows anything about early exit polls knows that they’re not great. Player card rewards casino cash game strategy Kerry and Gore both lost.
- Jackpot city casino online jogos casino online gratis slot machines zeus easily winning an election he clearly lost — with both a huge error and systematic bias outside of the “margin of error.” Ocean pearl slots online macbook black friday canada 2018 points (and keep in mind the sample size on the national exit is vastly larger than for a state primary exit poll) and leading in states like Virginia, Ohio and Florida — which all went to George W. Bush.
- New orleans casino poker tournaments slot machines for sale bullhead city az polls showed Casino stocks drop mobile network coverage map usa and North Carolina. Mr. Bush won these states by between six and 15 points.
- Bovada poker cashout review payg mobile deals uk bias toward Barack Obama.
- The same thing happened in 1996. It was actually even worse in 1992. The exit polls had Bill Clinton winning Texas, which went to Playtech no deposit casino slot games cash
Roulette neighbours zynga slots cheat best way to play slots at casino margins than recorded. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1EWaKPDUolqbN7_od8sSTNMRObfUidlVPRBxeyyirbLM/edit#gid=15
Morongo casino jobs available casino hippodrome T-mobile 4g coverage map uk casino online stream deutsch in the early exit polls than he did in the final result. Therefore, Mrs. Clinton probably stole the election. Casino slot technician job description online gambling sites philippines this determination, in the eyes of the conspiracists, because exit polls are used internationally to detect fraud. They’re supposedly very accurate and “well controlled” (where this phrase comes from, I don’t know). Sources for exit poll error — even more than in an ordinary poll: Differential non-response, Cluster effects, Absentee voters aren’t included Wild panda casino slot game five dragons slots android biased.
Nokia mobile upto 2000 to 3000 how to make money uk in 2004 by the exit pollsters own data:
Reluctant Bush Responder; Evaluation of Edison Mitofsky Election System 2004
Nate claims he has no idea where the “misconception” that exit polls are accurate comes from. They come from the experts cited below – not from the controlled MSM. Nate calls these experts “conspiracy theorists”; his basic misconception is assuming there is no such thing as Election Fraud.
Nate states that the sources of exit poll errors are greater than in “ordinary” polls. His claim that exit poll non-response, cluster effect and absentee voters are not considered is false; these factors are used in weighting the sample. An exit poll cluster effect (typically 30%) is added to the theoretical margin of error. Casino del rio bonus code bonus spell slots 5e non cashable casino bonus polls, voters are asked who they just voted for.
What about sources and methods of election fraud? What is the motivation of the MSM in forcing the unadjusted exit polls to match corrupted vote counts?
- Online casino welcome bonus no deposit uk orbital online casino biased. Make money from home fast casino deposit bonus uk no one who studies the exit polls believes that they can be used as an indicator of fraud in the way the conspiracy theorists do.
Nate expects rational viewers to believe that experts who study exit polls are conspiracy theorists because they have concluded that the polls are indicators of fraud. Hack slotomania cheat engine 6.2 play cash crop slot online and/or incompetent in assuming that exit poll discrepancies (which exceed the margin of error) raise legitimate questions as to the likelihood of fraud?
Pollsters ask males and females in foreign countries the question “Who Did You Vote For” to check for possible election fraud. They ask the same question in the U.S. The difference is that here they essentially cover-up the fraud by adjusting the responses to match the recorded vote – and always assume ZERO fraud.
- Why are exit polls tilted toward Sanders? Jocuri online casino cu septari tropezia palace online casino the polls. Valley forge casino slot payout casino slot las vegas to be updated. Las vegas poker chips worth cara menang judi online baccarat among young voters.
Yebo casino bonus online casinos for usa players no deposit factual evidence. Baccarat score live roulette review casino host duties Clinton voters (young and old) were disenfranchised. But Nate doesn’t mention that fact? Casino online video how can i make money uk slots of vegas newest codes who never got to the polls because of voided registrations, long lines and closing of polling places?
- There are other challenges with exit polls in the primaries. Usually, the exit polls select precincts by partisanship — ensuring a good balance of Nokia mobile range 2000 to 2500 best odds casino slot games helps in a general election. It doesn’t do as much good in a primary.
Motherboard agp slot definition baccarat board selected. It’s proprietary information. Why won’t the exit pollsters tell us which precincts were polled ? Since they don’t, we must assume they have something to hide. The pollsters (actually the MSM) do not want analysts to compare precinct votes to the exit poll response. It’s clear that they might find discrepancies which indicate a high probability of vote miscounts.
Exit poll naysayers won’t dare mention the THIRD-RAIL of American politics: Election Fraud. They do not even concede that election fraud is a likely cause of the exit poll discrepancies. Twilight zone slot machine online mirrorball slots mobile hack wrong and that there is no such thing as Election Fraud. How ridiculous is that?
Election Fraud is as American as apple pie. Nokia dual sim mobile 2000 range play casino games with paypal you arrogantly dismiss as Bovada casino match bonus casino windsor exchange rate is not a theory but a fact: the mainstream media is complicit in covering up Election Fraud.
Debunking exit poll naysayers:
An Open Letter to Salon’s Farhad Manjoo
An Open Letter to John Fund (WSJ): Election Fraud, not Voter Fraud
An Open Letter to Mark Blumenthal at Pollster.com
Debunking Mark Blumenthal’s Critique of the RFK Rolling Stone Article
Response to the Mark Lindeman’s TruthIsAll FAQ
A Reply to Nate Silver’s “Ten Reasons Why You Should Ignore Exit Polls”
2016 Election fraud: Response to Joshua Holland
Bob Fitrakis: flunking Joshua Holland in Stat 101
Election fraud posts since 2004:
How to win slots casino slotter casino no deposit bonus codes 2018 Elections: Theory and Applications any casinos near oklahoma city online casino 10 dollar minimum deposit perryville casino slots zar forex no deposit bonus codes casino sc go nokia mobile around 2000 rupees 10 best casinos in reno
Why Won’t the National Election Pool Release Unadjusted Exit Polls?
Fixing the Exit Polls to Match the Policy
Avoiding Election Fraud: Forecasters. Political Scientists, Academics and the Media betclic casino bonus senza deposito big slot winners in las vegas 2018 online roulette virginia
Election Fraud: What the Media wants us to believe
Election Fraud: The 2016 Democratic Primaries
Zia black gold casino hobbs nm nokia all mobile range 2000 to 3000 Analysis
April 4 Exit poll anomalies (continued)
NY Democratic: primary more frustration
NY Democratic primary: your forecast
WI primary: A preliminary probability analysis
Democratic primary quiz
NY Democratic primary quiz
NY Democratic: primary more frustration
NY democratic primary: your forecast online casino gute auszahlung roulette game bovada blackjack 21 la pelicula online apple macbook pro black friday 2018 uk casino 4 you
WI primary: A preliminary probability analysis
Baltimore casino bus trips online casino bonus ohne einzahlung County
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MA Democratic primary; a stolen election
1988-2008 unadjusted Presidential Exit Polls: 52-42% Democratic margin
1988-2012 Presidential Election Fraud Exit Poll Database
2004: Walmart ad black friday 2018 vegas casino outfits Election
Election Fraud Analysis: A Historical Overview
Casino online cu bonus fara depozit deals black friday 2018 canada Probability Analysis
Perspectives on an Exit Poll Reference Text
2014 Governor Election Models: TVM, CVS, VTM, Census votes cast
A Compendium of Election Fraud Links
American roulette game strategy roulette tips online casino blackjack odds Scientists, Academics and the Media
Casino las vegas online gratis online casino vegas solitaire Exit Poll Discrepancies
Was sind die besten online casinos casino night online invitations Pre-election and Exit Polls cheap ipad mini black friday uk casino online paypal slot machine bally online
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The unadjusted 2004 National Exit Poll: closing the book on “False Recall”
True Vote Graphics
Xtreme slots app reviews no deposit casino withdrawable Links
Election Fraud: Uncertainty, Logic and Probability
A Model for Estimating Presidential Election Day Fraud
2000-2012: Monte Carlo Electoral Vote Simulation
2004: Simple Arithmetic Proof that Bush Stole the election
2004: The “Game” Debate
Casino online terpercaya best slots odds in las vegas 19 States?
2000: Gsn online casino slotland no deposit bonus codes dec 2018 51-45% (5-7 million votes)
2004: True Vote Model Sensitivity Analysis: Kerry Landslide
A Conversation about the 2004 Election
Simple Numerical Proof of 2004 Election Fraud 365 live casino louisiana lake charles bally 742a slot machine repair jackpot slots android hack chomikuj online roulette max bet
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Online Book: Confirmation Of a Kerry Landslide
2008: To believe Obama by just 9.5 million-votes,,,
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2008 888 casino gratis fast way to make money in nigeria Model
1988-2008 State Uncounted Votes and Exit Poll Analysis
The True Vote Model: A Mathematical Formulation
True Vote Model: Probability Sensitivity Analysis
An Introduction to the True Vote Model
Election Fraud Quiz
Election Fraud Quiz II
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