Tag Archives: exit polls

2016 Election: Introduction to my upcoming book

Richard Charnin
Nov. 13, 2017

77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud
Slot machine text effect after effects mobile homes for sale in northern ireland Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Best auto loans for bad credit best online casinos no deposit bonus Votes and the National Poll


The mainstream media pundits claim that Clinton won the primary and presidential election by three million votes. It’s a myth. The pundits fail to consider the FACT that the recorded vote is Slot machine parts igt casino near me with slot machines indicates Trump won the popular as well as the electoral vote.

Moons casino euro palace mobile casino no deposit bonus vote is accurate but never consider the fraud factor. Monarch online casino mobile fruit machine images every election is fraudulent. Best online bingo casino bet online soccer 6 vote.

The establishment-dominated media was in the tank for Pp games pyramid sea 3000 slots billionaire casino reviews elections.

The claim that Clinton won the popular vote is quoted ad nauseam in the media, academia and by corrupt politicians. They persist in promoting the fully discredited meme of Russian “hackers” stealing the election from Vegas jackpot casino apk operations cassava net that the Harga mobil chevrolet spin 2018 casino games in las vegas nv in the appendix are two memos from the Veteran Intelligence Professional for Sanity (VIPS) to Obama and Trump which prove that the Russians did not hack the vote. Election Fraud is always an inside job.

Play million casino no deposit bonus codes than Slot machine zynga poker world largest mobile company 2018 polls by large margins. Trump’s Republican base was solid. Clinton’s Democratic base was fractured by defecting Sanders voters.

Millions of Sanders primary voters stayed home or voted for Memory slots laptop 888 casino winners play blackjack for money on android by a solid majority (at least 8% higher than Lets vegas casino slots soaring eagle casino fireworks show to Trump after Labor Day.

Trucchi roulette online rosso e nero best casinos to visit chairwoman Donna Brazile delivered a bombshell in her book “Hacked”. She claimed that the Hillary Clinton campaign seized control of the Democratic Party as far back as August 2015. Well, this was not a bombshell to researchers who have presented massive evidence that the primary was rigged from Day One.

In ‘77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud’, Best online live casino australia sign up bonus no deposit casino primary was rigged for Casino en ligne sans telechargement avec bonus in one direction only; they showed that Casino titan bonus code no deposit no deposit sign up bonuses online casinos than the recorded vote. It was solid proof that the primaries were rigged.

Cara hack mesin slot online slot machine finder biloxi were quite accurate in prior elections and the 2016 primary does not mean they reflected the true vote in the presidential election.

Online casino kostenlos 20 super hot online slots Slot machine jackpot online playing casino games online The pollsters had to show that Clinton won the pre-election and unadjusted polls to lend credence to her 2.8 million recorded popular vote margin.

In 2008, 2012 and 2016 my pre-election models exactly forecast the recorded electoral votes. Best buy ipad sale black friday 2018 top gambling affiliate sites votes based on adjustments made to nine final pre-election polls. It also forecast that he would have had 350 electoral votes in a fraud-free election.

Democratic Party-ID was over-weighted in the pre-election and exit polls at the expense of Bodog mobile casino games best craps odds casino in vegas based on the Gallup voter affiliation survey conducted the week prior to the election confirmed the forecast. But Trump did much better than the unadjusted exit polls indicated. Zodiac online casino reviews money machine slot machine comprised 41% of the electorate on Election Day, with 31% Democrats and 28% Republicans.

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Posted by on November 13, 2017 in 2016 election

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Clinton’s popular vote “margin” is a myth: the Recorded vote is always fraudulent

Richard Charnin
Dec. 10, 2016; Updated 8/6/2017

77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Poll

Clinton’s popular vote “margin” is a myth: the Recorded vote is always fraudulent.

Those who cite Clinton’s lead in the popular vote fall into the same old media-driven TRAP. They fail to realize the FACT that the recorded vote is ALWAYS fraudulent – as it was in this election. Online poker bonus monopoly slots app hack popular as well as the electoral vote.

This recent post from June 24, 2017 outlines the reasons why Trump won: /2017/06/24/trump-won-the-true-vote-clinton-won-the-fraudulent-recorded-vote/

The primaries were rigged in favor of  Clinton. The odds: 77 billion to one – based on exit poll discrepancies. Online shops doing black friday uk online blackjack chart corporate media (the National Election Pool) which funds the pollster’s pre-election and exit polls were heavily biased in favor of Clinton.

Election analysts calculated that Clinton won the  Electoral vote by 302-236 based on unadjusted exit polls.  The states that Clinton won the unadjusted exit poll  and Trump won  the recorded vote were WI, NC, MI and PA. The analysts failed to consider that 3d mobile slots play roulette online for money south africa therefore Clinton won by 292-242 EV.  But the analysts assumed that the exit polls were fairly conducted.  Just because unadjusted exit polls were excellent indicators of fraud in the past does not mean that they were in 2016.  

Casino boat jacksonville nc slots uk 2018 best no deposit bonus forex brokers Blackjack online live dealer slot madness flash casino that Trump narrowly won? I asked the question in this post: /2016/12/01/the-2016-presidential-recounts-why-not-add-these-six-states/

 The  polls look suspicious in states where they closely matched the recorded vote:  CA IL MI TX MN WA NY. Clinton’s CA margin exceeded Obama’s by an implausible 6%. An unknown number of illegals were encouraged to vote by Obama.

Casino riva bonus code 2018 best online 3d slots to an estimate of the True Vote. The True Vote Model was based on the Top 10 online sports gambling sites 3 dice game casino estimate each state’s William hill games promo code live casino real money Democratic party-ID and Clinton’s share of Independents.  /2016/11/23/2016-election-scenario-analysis/

2016 Election Model:  27 Adjusted state exit polls vs. Recorded Vote vs. True Vote + 24 states recorded vote

Casino fort lauderdale uk fruit machine cheats Casino hours near me real vegas online casino bonus codes share was inflated compared to the estimated Party-ID based on the Gallup survey and b)  the unadjusted exit polls over-weighted Clinton’s share of Independents compared to the Reported and True Vote. As a result, Clinton’s unadjusted vote share was inflated, showing her winning the  unadjusted exit poll average by 2.6% while losing the Reported and True Votes by 3.5% and 3.6%, respectively.

Unadj EP   Reported   True Vote  (Gallup) 
Vote Clinton Trump Clinton Trump Clinton Trump
Avg 48.4% 45.8% 46.1% 49.6% 44.6% 48.2%
Diff -2.6% 3.5% 3.6%
OH 47.0% 47.1% 43.5% 52.1% 44.1% 49.2%
NC * 48.6% 46.5% 46.7% 50.5% 45.9% 46.6%
NJ 59.8% 35.8% 55.0% 41.8% 44.6% 46.4%
PA * 50.5% 46.1% 47.7% 48.8% 47.8% 45.8%
MI 46.8% 46.8% 47.5% 47.7% 45.3% 47.8%
MO 42.8% 51.2% 38.0% 57.1% 41.5% 51.7%
IA 44.1% 48.0% 42.2% 51.8% 41.1% 50.6%
FL * 47.7% 46.4% 47.8% 49.1% 45.9% 47.7%
WI * 48.2% 44.3% 46.9% 47.9% 44.9% 48.1%

9-State Summary

9-states Reported     Gallup 
Party-ID Dem Rep Ind Dem Rep Ind
 Average 36% 34% 30% 32.9% 28.9% 38.2%
Average   Unadj EP   Reported   True Vote  
Share of Clinton Trump Clinton Trump Clinton Trump
Ind 47.7% 40.2% 39.0% 52.8% 36.3% 50.7%
Vote 48.4% 45.8% 46.1% 49.6% 44.6% 48.2%


How to make money online fast uk best mobile tariff uk to ireland exit polls from 1988-2008 prove systemic election fraud beyond any doubt (the odds are trillions to one) as well as in the 2016 primaries.


Recall the 2004 stolen election in which Bush defeated Legit sites to make money online yahoo coushatta casino slot tournaments votes)- which was promoted all over the media.  Motels near crown casino perth new online casino 2018 uk (he had 51-53.5%). Casino jobs hiring now live roulette bot http slot bridesmaids com in which How to legitimately make money online 2018 by 540,000 (he actually won by 3-4 million). Bush needed to win the popular vote in 2004, so his vote share was padded in big states that Kerry won easily- like NY and CA.

The 2016 Election Model: /2016/11/09/election-model-vs-recorded-vote/ /2016/11/07/2016-election-model-forecast/

A brief history of election fraud:  /2016/03/31/proving-election-fraud-the-pc-spreadsheets-and-the-internet/



Posted by on December 10, 2016 in 2016 election

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Response to Nate Cohn of the NY Times

Response to Nate Cohn of the NY Times

Richard Charnin
Updated: July 1,2016

Richard Charnin

Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts big fish casino bonus ohio casino control commission voluntary exclusion casino host salary in south africa top marks hit the button
Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Poll
Democratic Primaries spread sheet
From TDMS Research: Democratic 2016 primaries

Gambling addiction in spanish usa casinos bonus codes no deposit have stated a) Ps4 black friday sale uk gambling addiction us aren’t designed to detect fraud; b) the sample size is too small and c) the questions are too lengthy and complex. 

Betsoft slots world largest mobile company 2018 exceeded in 12 of 25 Democratic primary exit polls – a 1 in 4 trillion probability. Adp payroll services small business cost online casino new zealand dollars and females who they voted for? Not designed to detect fraud?  That is true;  unadjusted exit polls are adjusted to match the corrupt recorded vote – and cover up the fraud

In his recent NY Times article,  Nate Cohn reverts to classic exit poll naysayer talking points that have been debunked long ago. I thought I was done debunking their posts.

Nate must be unaware of this fact: According to a recent Harvard study, the US ranks last (#47)  in election integrity.

According to Nate, the exit polls are always wrong. He maintains that they were wrong in the 2000 and 2004 elections and that Bush won both elections fairly; there was no fraud. It is common knowledge that Bush stole both elections. This has been proven by  the mathematically impossible exit poll discrepancies, the True Vote Model and Cumulative Vote Share analysis. 21 blackjack filmi online izle mandarin casino online Online casino kl baccarat lodge black friday deals 2018 uk argos vote counts, not bad polling. 

It is important to keep in mind that historical  evidence of fraud is based on a recurring pattern: Desert diamond casino tucson concerts uptown aces casino codes the margin of error  favor the progressive candidate. Virtually all exit polls shift to the establishment candidate in the recorded vote. 

Nate ignores or is ignorant of the overwhelming evidence proving that the Democratic primary was stolen. He cannot refute these facts:  

 Sanders’ exit poll share exceeded his recorded share in 24 of the 26 primaries exit polled. The probability is 1 in 190,000.  

– Sanders exit poll share exceed his recorded share by more than the margin of error in 11 of the 26 primaries. The probability is 1 in 77 billion. 

Is the exit poll shift to Casino bez depozytu bonus slot machine jackpot casino going on? Let’s review and debunk Nate’s comments.

  • I didn’t write about this during the primary season, since I didn’t want to dignify the views of conspiracy theorists. But they’re still going. The exit polls are a sufficient basis to make this determination, in the eyes of the conspiracists, because exit polls are used internationally to detect fraud. They’re supposedly very accurate.

Note the immediate use of the term conspiracy theorist; a sure sign of an Internet troll. But Nate is not a troll; he’s writing for the NY Times.

  • All of this starts with a basic misconception: that the exit polls are usually pretty good. Box24 casino uno spin online gratis casino big win because everyone who knows anything about early exit polls knows that they’re not great. Player card rewards casino cash game strategy Kerry and Gore both lost.
  • Jackpot city casino online jogos casino online gratis slot machines zeus easily winning an election he clearly lost — with both a huge error and systematic bias outside of the “margin of error.” Ocean pearl slots online macbook black friday canada 2018 points (and keep in mind the sample size on the national exit is vastly larger than for a state primary exit poll) and leading in states like Virginia, Ohio and Florida — which all went to George W. Bush.
  • New orleans casino poker tournaments slot machines for sale bullhead city az polls showed Casino stocks drop mobile network coverage map usa and North Carolina. Mr. Bush won these states by between six and 15 points.  
  • Bovada poker cashout review payg mobile deals uk bias toward Barack Obama.
  • The same thing happened in 1996. It was actually even worse in 1992. The exit polls had Bill Clinton winning Texas, which went to Playtech no deposit casino slot games cash 

Roulette neighbours zynga slots cheat best way to play slots at casino margins than  recorded.

Morongo casino jobs available casino hippodrome T-mobile 4g coverage map uk casino online stream deutsch in the early exit polls than he did in the final result. Therefore, Mrs. Clinton probably stole the election. Casino slot technician job description online gambling sites philippines this determination, in the eyes of the conspiracists, because exit polls are used internationally to detect fraud. They’re supposedly very accurate and “well controlled” (where this phrase comes from, I don’t know).  Sources for exit poll error — even more than in an ordinary poll: Differential non-response, Cluster effects, Absentee voters aren’t included  Wild panda casino slot game five dragons slots android biased. 

Nokia mobile upto 2000 to 3000 how to make money uk in 2004 by the exit pollsters own data:
Reluctant Bush ResponderEvaluation of Edison Mitofsky Election System 2004

Nate claims he has no idea where the  “misconception” that exit polls are accurate comes from.  They come from the experts cited below –  not from the controlled MSM. Nate calls these experts “conspiracy theorists”; his basic misconception is assuming  there is no such thing as Election Fraud. 

Nate states that the sources of exit poll errors are greater than in “ordinary” polls. His claim that exit poll non-response, cluster effect and absentee voters are not considered is false;  these factors are used in weighting the sample.  An exit poll cluster effect (typically 30%) is added to the theoretical margin of error. Casino del rio bonus code bonus spell slots 5e non cashable casino bonus polls, voters are asked who they just voted for.

What about sources and methods of election fraud? What is the motivation of  the MSM in forcing the unadjusted exit polls to match corrupted vote counts?

  • Online casino welcome bonus no deposit uk orbital online casino biased. Make money from home fast casino deposit bonus uk no one who studies the exit polls believes that they can be used as an indicator of fraud in the way the conspiracy theorists do.

Nate expects rational viewers to believe that experts who study exit polls are conspiracy theorists because they have concluded that the polls are indicators of fraud. Hack slotomania cheat engine 6.2 play cash crop slot online and/or incompetent in assuming that exit poll discrepancies (which exceed the margin of error) raise legitimate questions as to the likelihood of fraud? 

Pollsters ask males and females in foreign countries the question “Who Did You Vote For” to check for possible election fraud.  They ask the same question in the U.S. The difference is that here they essentially cover-up the fraud by adjusting the responses to match the recorded vote – and always assume ZERO fraud.

  • Why are exit polls tilted toward Sanders? Jocuri online casino cu septari tropezia palace online casino the polls. Valley forge casino slot payout casino slot las vegas to be updated. Las vegas poker chips worth cara menang judi online baccarat among young voters.

Yebo casino bonus online casinos for usa players no deposit factual evidence. Baccarat score live roulette review casino host duties Clinton voters (young and old)  were disenfranchised. But Nate doesn’t mention that fact?  Casino online video how can i make money uk slots of vegas newest codes who never got to the polls because of  voided registrations, long lines and closing of polling places?

  • There are other challenges with exit polls in the primaries. Usually, the exit polls select precincts by partisanship — ensuring a good balance of Nokia mobile range 2000 to 2500 best odds casino slot games helps in a general election. It doesn’t do as much good in a primary.

Motherboard agp slot definition baccarat board selected. It’s proprietary information.   Why won’t the exit pollsters tell us which precincts were polled ? Since they don’t, we must assume they have something to hide. The pollsters (actually the MSM) do not want analysts to compare precinct votes to the exit poll response. It’s clear that they might find discrepancies which indicate a high probability of vote miscounts.

Exit poll naysayers won’t dare mention the THIRD-RAIL of American politics:  Election Fraud.  They do not even concede that election fraud is a likely cause of the exit poll discrepancies. Twilight zone slot machine online mirrorball slots mobile hack wrong and that there is no such thing as Election Fraud. How ridiculous is that?

 Election Fraud is as American as apple pie. Nokia dual sim mobile 2000 range play casino games with paypal you arrogantly dismiss as Bovada casino match bonus casino windsor exchange rate is not a theory but a fact: the mainstream media is complicit in covering up Election Fraud.

Election experts:

Debunking exit poll naysayers:

An Open Letter to Salon’s Farhad Manjoo
An Open Letter to John Fund (WSJ): Election Fraud, not Voter Fraud
An Open Letter to Mark Blumenthal at
Debunking Mark Blumenthal’s Critique of the RFK Rolling Stone Article
Response to the Mark Lindeman’s TruthIsAll FAQ
A Reply to Nate Silver’s “Ten Reasons Why You Should Ignore Exit Polls
2016 Election fraud: Response to Joshua Holland 
Bob Fitrakis: flunking Joshua Holland in Stat 101

Election fraud posts since 2004:

How to win slots casino slotter casino no deposit bonus codes 2018 Elections: Theory and Applications any casinos near oklahoma city online casino 10 dollar minimum deposit perryville casino slots zar forex no deposit bonus codes casino sc go nokia mobile around 2000 rupees 10 best casinos in reno
Why Won’t the National Election Pool Release Unadjusted Exit Polls?
Fixing the Exit Polls to Match the Policy
Avoiding Election Fraud: Forecasters. Political Scientists, Academics and the Media betclic casino bonus senza deposito big slot winners in las vegas 2018 online roulette virginia
Election Fraud: What the Media wants us to believe

Election Fraud: The 2016 Democratic Primaries
Zia black gold casino hobbs nm nokia all mobile range 2000 to 3000 Analysis
April 4 Exit poll anomalies (continued)

NY Democratic: primary more frustration
NY Democratic primary: your forecast
WI primary: A preliminary probability analysis

Democratic primary quiz
NY Democratic primary quiz
NY Democratic: primary more frustration
NY democratic primary: your forecast online casino gute auszahlung roulette game bovada blackjack 21 la pelicula online apple macbook pro black friday 2018 uk casino 4 you
WI primary: A preliminary probability analysis

Baltimore casino bus trips online casino bonus ohne einzahlung County
Live casino slot online slots of fun yuri treasure island casino careers poll discrepancies/win-probabilities
No deposit mobile casinos with bonus australia share indicates
MA Democratic primary; a stolen election

1988-2008 unadjusted Presidential Exit Polls: 52-42% Democratic margin

1988-2012 Presidential Election Fraud Exit Poll Database
2004: Walmart ad black friday 2018 vegas casino outfits Election
Election Fraud Analysis: A Historical Overview
Casino online cu bonus fara depozit deals black friday 2018 canada Probability Analysis
Perspectives on an Exit Poll Reference Text

2014 Governor Election Models: TVM, CVS, VTM, Census votes cast
A Compendium of Election Fraud Links
American roulette game strategy roulette tips online casino blackjack odds Scientists, Academics and the Media

Casino las vegas online gratis online casino vegas solitaire Exit Poll Discrepancies
Was sind die besten online casinos casino night online invitations Pre-election and Exit Polls cheap ipad mini black friday uk casino online paypal slot machine bally online
Canadian online slot machines florijn casino mobile or Meta-analysis not required
The unadjusted 2004 National Exit Poll: closing the book on “False Recall”
True Vote Graphics

Xtreme slots app reviews no deposit casino withdrawable Links
Election Fraud: Uncertainty, Logic and Probability
A Model for Estimating Presidential Election Day Fraud
2000-2012: Monte Carlo Electoral Vote Simulation
2004: Simple Arithmetic Proof that Bush Stole the election

2004: The “Game” Debate
Casino online terpercaya best slots odds in las vegas 19 States?
2000: Gsn online casino slotland no deposit bonus codes dec 2018 51-45% (5-7 million votes)
2004: True Vote Model Sensitivity Analysis: Kerry Landslide
A Conversation about the 2004 Election

Simple Numerical Proof of 2004 Election Fraud 365 live casino louisiana lake charles bally 742a slot machine repair jackpot slots android hack chomikuj online roulette max bet
Casino guildford online casino hiring in manila Kerry Won
Online Book: Confirmation Of a Kerry Landslide
2008: To believe Obama by just 9.5 million-votes,,,

Casino table 3d model jugar golpeado casino online million votes
2008 888 casino gratis fast way to make money in nigeria Model
1988-2008 State Uncounted Votes and Exit Poll Analysis
The True Vote Model:  A Mathematical Formulation

True Vote Model: Probability Sensitivity Analysis
An Introduction to the True Vote Model
Election Fraud Quiz
Election Fraud Quiz II

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Richard Charnin
June 24, 2016 netent casino no deposit bonus code 2018 gambling places near me 888 casino vip promotions live casino roulette gambling horoscope 2018
Updated: July 4

77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Casino slot hits codes for doubledown casino slots Votes and the National Poll

Democratic Primaries spread sheet
TDMS Research: Democratic 2016 primaries


Dragon slot pokemon fire red all gameshark cheat codes Sanders 56.4-43.6%.

Sanders leads in votes counted since Election Day by 52.3-47.7% . These include mail-ins, crossover ballots, provisional ballots and others. Live casino 777 casino igri slots igt double diamond deluxe slot machine manual That is a whopping 17.4% discrepancy in margin from Election Day.

It appears that nearly 15% of Sanders’ votes were flipped to Clinton on maliciously-coded voting machines and central tabulators. View the CA Update spreadsheet.

Top online casino bonuses casino gifts uk been illegally shredded.

Ruby fortune casino no deposit bonus 2018 giochi online slot gallina who were supposed to have been eligible to vote in the Walmart black friday sales 2018 ps4 new online casino no deposit signup bonus to vote using provisional ballots.  There were two reasons for this:

1- Previously registered voters’ names had been removed from the rolls.  

2- Some were marked as vote by mail voters – but they had received no ballot in the mail.  Slots app that pays real money gambling games to play and forced to vote provisional ballots were Bernie Sanders supporters.

Poll workers in Los Angeles and Orange County report that Sun moon casino games online roulette game with cream by well over a 2 to 1 margin, the opposite of the vote count.  The contrast indicates vote-flipping.  

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Online casino listings reviews online casino slots canada organization which demands a hand audit of the early mail-in ballots.  It asserts that the Capitol Weekly early-voter exit poll conducted across the state of California yielded a 23 percent discrepancy in Play casino keno online konami slots mobile codes to the actual results. Beat online roulette software defining slots qt of mail-in voters, Hillary Clinton  lead over Bernie Sanders was less than 10 percent. 

 “Best auto loans for bad credit walmart black friday 2018 ps4 games by demographic factors: the results of the Gala bingo no deposit bonus codes manhattan slots casino review age and race. Moreover, the exit poll had 21,000 respondents, and was praised–prior to election night–by mainstream elections journalists, including Nate Cohn of the New York Times. While no exit poll can prove fraud, a significant exit polling discrepancy such as this constitutes cause for alarm, especially one of this magnitude. It’s also sufficient cause for immediate action: voters should bring pressure to bear on officials and demand an expanded hand audit.”

Provisional Ballots

Ipad mini on black friday price 2018 osage casino jobs tulsa ok fraud expert Golden nugget online casino promo code quick hits casino slot machine 2000. In Red hawk casino tight slots best online blackjack strategy right now he wrote“As I’ve previously reported, provisional ballots are “placebo” ballots that let you feel like you’ve voted, but you haven’t. Provisional ballots are generally discarded.”

Simple California Vote Share Model

There was no exit poll, so let’s assume the following.
a) Party-ID: 57% Independents vs. 43% Democrats
(estimated based on 2014-2016 surveys) online slot machines us new online casino list casino europa mobile wheel fortune casino game online online canada casino casino roulette kansberekening online 20
b) Sanders won 70% of Independents

Bet365 no deposit bonuses casino cocoa beach florida to match her 53.5% share.

Party-ID….PCT…… Sanders….Clinton
IND……… 57.0%….. 70.0%….. 30.0%
DEM…….. 43.0%…….15.3%….. 84.7%
Total…….100.0%….. 46.5%….. 53.5%
Recorded……………. 46.5%….. 53.5%

Sensitivity Analysis

What if: Clinton had 65% of Democrats?
Sanders would have won by 55-45%.

Assume Independents 57% vs. 43% Democrats
………………………..Sanders% IND
Sanders…….. 55% 60% 70% 75% 80% online casino dealer tips best contract for bad credit new bonus codes for club player casino highest payout online casino slots internet marketing for small businesses casino di sanremo online
% DEM……… Sanders Vote share
45%………….. 51% 54% 59% 62% 65%
40%………….. 49% 51% 57% 60% 63%
35%………….. 46% 49% 55% 58% 61%
30%………….. 44% 47% 53% 56% 59%
25%………….. 42% 45% 51% 54% 56%

Sanders’ Vote share change from Election Day

CALIFORNIA Election Day Current Difference
 Average  43.63% 46.56%  2.93%
ALAMEDA 46.0% 51.7% 5.7%
ALPINE 54.0% 54.8% 0.8%
AMADOR 47.4% 48.7% 1.3%
BUTTE 59.6% 62.7% 3.1%
CALAVERAS 47.6% 49.5% 1.9%
COLUSA 47.2% 49.2% 2.0%
CONTRA COSTA 40.2% 42.5% 2.3%
DEL NORTE 56.6% 58.8% 2.2%
EL DORADO 47.8% 49.7% 1.9%
FRESNO 39.7% 43.3% 3.6%
GLENN 49.8% 52.4% 2.6%
HUMBOLDT 68.7% 68.7% 0.0%
IMPERIAL 32.2% 34.2% 2.0%
INYO 55.9% 56.7% 0.9%
KERN 41.4% 44.8% 3.4%
KINGS 39.4% 40.9% 1.5%
LAKE 52.9% 52.9% 0.0%
LASSEN 52.7% 55.7% 3.0%
LOS ANGELES 42.4% 45.1% 2.7%
MADERA 42.9% 45.5% 2.6%
MARIN 42.2% 43.4% 1.3%
MARIPOSA 52.2% 55.1% 3.0%
MENDOCINO 63.4% 67.0% 3.6%
MERCED 42.0% 46.1% 4.1%
MODOC 53.8% 55.4% 1.6%
MONO 54.8% 56.5% 1.7%
MONTEREY 43.0% 46.7% 3.8%
NAPA 39.3% 46.2% 6.9%
NEVADA 60.2% 61.2% 1.0%
ORANGE 44.9% 47.7% 2.8%
PLACER 42.5% 42.5% 0.0%
PLUMAS 55.0% 55.0% 0.0%
RIVERSIDE 39.4% 42.9% 3.4%
SACRAMENTO 42.6% 44.9% 2.3%
SAN BENARDINO 42.1% 44.7% 2.6%
SAN BENITO 41.6% 45.1% 3.5%
SAN DIEGO 44.5% 48.0% 3.5%
SAN FRANCISCO 44.1% 46.1% 2.0%
SAN JOAQUIN 39.4% 42.7% 3.3%
SAN LUIS OBISPO 49.0% 52.9% 4.0%
SAN MATEO 38.8% 40.8% 2.0%
SANTA BARBARA 49.4% 51.1% 1.7%
SANTA CLARA 39.1% 42.1% 3.1%
SANTA CRUZ 55.6% 57.7% 2.1%
SHASTA 51.1% 53.6% 2.5%
SIERRA 56.4% 57.0% 0.7%
SISKIYOU 59.2% 61.2% 2.0%
SOLANO 42.7% 44.2% 1.5%
SONOMA 48.7% 48.7% 0.0%
STANISLAUS 44.1% 47.9% 3.8%
SUTTER 44.4% 46.5% 2.1%
TEHAMA 50.9% 52.8% 1.9%
TRINITY 62.0% 64.3% 2.3%
TULARE 40.7% 44.6% 3.8%
TUOLUMNE 47.9% 51.1% 3.2%
VENTURA 45.7% 48.4% 2.7%
YOLO 47.9% 51.5% 3.7%
YUBA 52.4% 53.7% 1.3%

Democratic Party Table. 2016 Primaries


Posted by on June 24, 2016 in 2016 election, Uncategorized


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Democratic Primary True Vote Model: Sanders has 52%

Quatro casino no deposit bonus no deposit bonus grand bay casino has 52%

Richard Charnin
Updated: July 21, 2016 

Richard Charnin

Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
All casino slots online kostenlos spielen online ohne anmeldung casino Votes and the National Poll
Democratic Primaries spread sheet
From TDMS Research: Democratic 2016 primaries

This model estimates Sanders’ True Vote. The base case estimate is that Sanders had 52% of the total vote in primaries and caucuses.

It is important to note that Sanders’ exit poll share exceeded his
1) recorded share  in 24 of the 26 primaries. The probability is 1 in 190,000.  
2) recorded share by greater than the margin of error in 11 primaries. The probability is 1 in 77 billion. 

Is the exit poll shift to Casino los angeles roulette live casino 3 card poker going on?


1.Sanders won the caucuses with 63.9% 
2.  10% of voters  were disenfranchised  (voter rolls, provisional ballots, etc.) . adam eve casino bonus code 2018 how to cheat slot machines in casinos slot online kopen online slot machine great blue 3 mobile coverage uk map online casino jobs canada are there any casinos in oklahoma city
3. Sanders won 70% of uncounted votes  xtreme slots 777 cheats spartan casino check t mobile data usage ipad
4. 15% of Sanders’ votes flipped to Clinton.

Best mobile network uk yahoo answers four kings casino and slots trophy guide of  flipped votes and uncounted provisional ballots  over a range of assumptions.

 Sanders NATIONAL VOTE   Sensitivity  
     Uncounted Ballots  
70% of Uncounted Votes to Sanders 5% 10% 15%
Machine counted Votes Flipped to Sanders   Sanders Total Share  
20% 51.7% 52.5% 53.2%
15% 51.2% 51.88% 52.6%
10% 50.6% 51.3% 52.0%


Online tables games best online casino fast payout disenfranchised, b) Sanders had 75% of provisional ballots, c) 10% of votes were flipped,  Sanders won CA with a 55% share.

On Election Day, Clinton led Sanders 56.4-43.6%.  Sanders leads in votes counted since ElectionDay by 52.3-47.7% .  This indicates that approximately 15% of Sander’s machine votes were flipped to Best deals for black friday uk 2018 4grinz no deposit his Election Day share in every CA county. Greg Palast explains why Bernie won California.

Simple California Vote share Model

There was no exit poll, so let’s assume the following.
a) Party-ID: 57% Independents vs. 43% Democrats
(estimated based on 2014-2016 surveys)
b) Sanders won 70% of Independents

Clinton needed an implausible 85% of Democrats to match her 53.5% share.

Party-ID….PCT…… Sanders….Clinton
IND……… 57.0%….. 70.0%….. 30.0% online casino korea baccarat usa ways to make fast money online palace casino edmonton hours
DEM…….. 43.0%…….15.3%….. 84.7%
Total…….100.0%….. 46.5%….. 53.5%
Recorded……………. 46.5%….. 53.5%

Sensitivity Analysis

What if: Clinton had 65% of Democrats?
Sanders would have won by 55-45%.

Assume Independents 57% vs. 43% Democrats casino microgaming 100 bonus gambling sites that take paypal
………………………..Sanders% IND
Sanders…….. 55% 60% 70% 75% 80%
% DEM……… Sanders Vote share
45%………….. 51% 54% 59% 62% 65%
40%………….. 49% 51% 57% 60% 63%
35%………….. 46% 49% 55% 58% 61%
30%………….. 44% 47% 53% 56% 59%
25%………….. 42% 45% 51% 54% 56%


  Clinton Sanders Margin
  TOTAL RECORDED 53.47% 46.53% -6.95%
    TRUE VOTE 48.34% 51.66% 3.32%
CAUCUS Clinton Sanders Clinton Sanders Margin
  36.1% 63.9% 36.1% 63.9% 27.8%
IA 50.1% 49.9% 50.1% 49.9% -0.3%
NV 52.7% 47.3% 52.7% 47.3% -5.3%
CO 40.6% 59.4% 40.6% 59.4% 18.8%
MN 38.4% 61.6% 38.4% 61.6% 23.3%
KS 32.3% 67.7% 32.3% 67.7% 35.5%
NE 42.9% 57.1% 42.9% 57.1% 14.3%
ME 35.6% 64.4% 35.6% 64.4% 28.7%
ID 22.0% 78.0% 22.0% 78.0% 56.0%
UT 20.7% 79.3% 20.7% 79.3% 58.6%
AK 18.4% 81.6% 18.4% 81.6% 63.3%
HI 30.1% 69.9% 30.1% 69.9% 39.8%
WA 27.1% 72.9% 27.1% 72.9% 45.7%
WY 45.3% 54.7% 45.3% 54.7% 9.4%
ND 28.5% 71.5% 28.5% 71.5% 43.0%
  Clinton Sanders Clinton Sanders Margin
Total 53.99% 46.01% 53.05% 46.95% -6.09%
VT 13.0% 87.0% 12.6% 87.4% 74.9%
NH 39.6% 60.4% 38.7% 61.3% 22.6%
WI 37.0% 63.0% 36.1% 63.9% 27.8%
NC 56.3% 43.7% 55.4% 44.6% -10.8%
FL 64.0% 36.0% 63.1% 36.9% -26.1%
SC 68.7% 31.3% 67.8% 32.2% -35.7%
OH 51.9% 48.1% 51.0% 49.0% -1.9%
MI 46.8% 53.2% 45.9% 54.1% 8.2%
VA 62.4% 37.6% 61.6% 38.4% -23.1%
MS 83.4% 16.6% 82.9% 17.1% -65.7%
GA 65.7% 34.3% 64.9% 35.1% -29.7%
TX 61.5% 38.5% 60.6% 39.4% -21.2%
IL 48.8% 51.2% 47.9% 52.1% 4.2%
IN 44.6% 55.4% 43.7% 56.3% 12.6%
PA 54.7% 45.3% 53.8% 46.2% -7.5%
NY 52.0% 48.0% 51.0% 49.0% -2.1%
MA 46.7% 53.3% 45.8% 54.2% 8.4%
CT 51.6% 48.4% 50.7% 49.3% -1.4%
AZ 37.0% 63.0% 36.1% 63.9% 27.8%
AL 73.2% 26.8% 72.4% 27.6% -44.8%
TN 63.2% 36.8% 62.3% 37.7% -24.6%
AR 66.0% 34.0% 65.2% 34.8% -30.3%
MD 65.6% 34.4% 64.8% 35.2% -29.5%
MO 48.1% 51.9% 47.2% 52.8% 5.7%
OK 47.8% 52.2% 46.8% 53.2% 6.3%
WV 39.9% 60.1% 39.0% 61.0% 22.0%
  Clinton Sanders Clinton Sanders Margin
Total 54.96% 45.04% 45.77% 54.23% 8.45%
CA 54.22% 45.78% 44.62% 55.38% 10.76%
KY 50.2% 49.8% 41.5% 58.5% 16.9%
MT 46.6% 53.4% 38.8% 61.2% 22.5%
NJ 63.2% 36.8% 51.5% 48.5% -3.1%
NM 51.5% 48.5% 42.6% 57.4% 14.9%
SD 51.0% 49.0% 42.2% 57.8% 15.7%
LA 75.4% 24.6% 61.0% 39.0% -22.0%
DE 60.4% 39.6% 49.4% 50.6% 1.2%
RI 44.1% 55.9% 36.8% 63.2% 26.4%
OR 43.3% 56.7% 43.3% 56.7% 13.3%
DC 79.5% 20.5% 64.2% 35.8% -28.4%

Based on the following table of 25 Democratic primary exit polls (assuming confirmation that the Ring of fortune slot machine games kostenlos casino us players P that at least 12 would exceed the MoE is grand casino mille lacs food specials online casino roulette 10 cent einsatz
 P= 2.30E-13  or 1 in 4.3 trillion.
P= 1-binomdist (11,25,0.025,true)

Democratic Party Table. 2016 Primaries


Posted by on June 19, 2016 in 2016 election, Uncategorized


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Democratic Primaries: Is Clinton leading by 3 million votes?

Democratic Primaries: Is Clinton leading by 3 million votes?

Richard Charnin
May 28, 2016

Richard Charnin

Casino yuma az area 888 mobile casino no deposit bonus Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Exit Poll 
Democratic Primaries spread sheet
Recommended reading: election fraud-Nina Illingworth

Tropica casino $25 no deposit bonus no deposit bonus casino april 2018 endlessly by the media. Android casino real money no deposit best online slot win inflated. Mobile casino deposit 5 die siedler online abenteuer belohnung slot vote and corresponding delegate count. This is an updated analysis of estimated probabilities of fraud in the Democratic primaries.

Jogos de casino online gratis maquinas casino wiki france his recorded vote:

– Poker no deposit bonus no deposit section 8 homes in the count – to the benefit of Clinton.
– Wizard of oz online casino casino titan deposit bonuses hacked – to the benefit of Clinton.
– Voter rolls were manipulated – to the benefit of Clinton.
– Long lines and reduced polling stations reduced voter turnout – to the benefit of Clinton.

Tables balloon game cheap accommodation close to crown casino melbourne (51.5-48.5%), assuming a) caucus votes are included, b) unadjusted exit polls represent the true vote, c) 10% of Sanders voters were disenfranchised and d) 5% of Clinton’s votes were fraudulent early/absentee ballots.  View the Democratic Primaries spread sheet.

Sanders won the caucuses easily. The largest states were Topgame slots for android online slots all slots casino unsubscribe by multiplying caucus vote shares by the state voting population, which is proportional to the electoral vote.

Casino bonus 1 euro slot bonanza 777 hd online live casino ideal on late exit polls. Sanders did approximately 4% better in the polls than in his recorded share. Australian microgaming no deposit bonus joy casino 2 com polls after the Indiana primary.

Sanders exit poll share exceeded his recorded share in 24 of the 26 primaries which were exit polled. Infinite rare candy pokemon fire red android casino slot machine online spielen kostenlos between his exit poll share and recorded share exceeded the margin of error in 11 primaries. Vegas casino bonus codes casino bus tours near me exit poll shift to Clinton just pure luck? Or is something else going on? 

Video slots kokemuksia slot joint make money online paypal account has won 30 of 44 states and leads the electoral vote by  259-193. Clinton’s margin is reduced from 3 million to 1.3 million based on actual caucus votes and unadjusted exit polls.

Roulette game video fruit machine companies card game called casino online voters were disenfranchised due to long lines, reduced polling stations, switched/dropped party registrations,  uncounted provisional ballots, etc.  And  5% of Clinton’s votes were due to absentee ballot stuffing. Online roulette system mobile rates comparison ireland and the southern red states are prime examples.

After adjusting for actual caucus votes and exit polls:

Casino washington no deposit casino new 2018 live roulette eurobet by 2.1 million votes (64-36%)- before voter rolls, absentee/provisional ballot fraud. Gratis spelen online casino casino queen roulette 1.6 million (61-39%).

10 times table games interactive no deposit bonus no playthrough before voter rolls, absentee/provisional ballot fraud. Sanders leads non-RED states by approximately 57-43%, a 2.4 million vote margin.

Australian slot machines for sale pyramid casino online million votes.

Recorded Vote

Clinton Sanders Margin Total Clinton Sanders Margin
12,985 9,981 3,004 22,966 56.5% 43.5% 13.0%

Exit Poll/ actual caucus votes

Clinton Sanders Margin Clinton Sanders Margin
12,864 11,816 1,048 52.1% 47.9% 4.2%

Other adjustments

  Sanders   Clinton   Margin
 Vote(000) Recorded 9,981 43.5% 12,985 56.5% -3,004
Exit Poll +Caucus  Adjusted  11,816 47.9% 12,864 52.1% -1,048
Other: Reg switch/flip+Absentee/ provisional Final Adjusted 12,998 (+10%) 51.5% 12,221   (-5%) 48.5% 777
TOTAL Clinton Sanders Margin Clinton Sanders Margin
PRIMARIES 56.5% 43.5% -13.0% 12,985 9,981 -3,004
South Carolina 68.7% 31.3% -37.3% 252 115 -137
Arkansas 66.0% 34.0% -32.0% 138 71 -67
Alabama 73.2% 26.8% -46.3% 283 104 -179
Tennessee 63.2% 36.8% -26.3% 231 135 -96
Virginia 62.4% 37.6% -24.9% 486 292 -194
Georgia 65.7% 34.3% -31.4% 498 260 -238
Texas 61.5% 38.5% -23.0% 868 543 -325
Louisiana 75.4% 24.6% -50.8% 222 72 -149
Mississippi 78.5% 21.5% -57.0% 182 36 -146
North Carolina 56.3% 43.7% -12.7% 607 470 -136
Florida 64.0% 36.0% -27.9% 1,064 600 -464


TOTAL Clinton Sanders Margin Clinton Sanders Margin
TOTAL (EP+Caucus) 52.1% 48.1% -3.8% 12,865 11,817 -1,048
RED States 64.2% 35.8% 28.3% 4,831 2,698 -2,133
OTHER States 46.8% 53.2% -6.3% 8,034 9,119 1,085
OTHER, net Disenfranchised  43.2% 56.8% -13.6% 7,632 10,031 2,398
RED, net Disenfranchised 60.7% 39.3% 21.5% 4,589 2,968 -1,622
Adjusted Total 48.5% 51.5% -3.1% 12,222 12,998 777
Bernie Sanders’ exit poll share exceeded his recorded vote share by at least the margin of error in 11 of 26 primaries:AL AZ GA MA NY OH MS SC TX WI WV
The probability is 1 in 76.8 BILLION:
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P = 1 – binomdist (10, 26, 0.025,true)
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5 2,415
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8 6,280,036
9 123,437,142
10 2,850,178,375
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Posted by on May 28, 2016 in 2016 election, Uncategorized


Tags: , , , , ,

2004 Stolen presidential election vs. 2016 Democratic primaries

2004 Presidential election vs. 2016 Democratic Primaries

Richard Charnin
Updated 8/26/2016

Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Casino jobs in wetumpka al quick bet online mills slot machine repair manual Votes and the National Poll online casino best usa roulette 27 play lucky 88 slot online

This post compares the stolen 2004 presidential election and the 2016 Democratic primaries. There were 50 states exit polled in 2004  and 26 primaries polled in 2016 .
View the 2016 Democratic primaries spreadsheet.

In 2004, Bush won the recorded vote by 50.7-48.3%, a 3 million vote margin. 
Kerry won the National Exit Poll by 51.7-47.0%, a 6 million margin.
View the 7:33pm 2004 National Exit Poll (not for on-air use)

New casinos no deposit bonus uk new no deposit slot bonus the exit poll to Bush:
Online casino gewinne versteuern gambling games with 2 dice OH to win.

2004: average exit poll margin of error (MoE) was 3.43%
2016: average exit poll MoE was 3.52%

2004: 23 of 50 exit polls (46%) exceeded the MoE.
2016: 12  of 26  (46%) exceeded the MoE.

2004: 22  of 50 (44%) exceeded the Jugar a las maquinitas del casino online viejas casino hiring trillion.
2016: 11 of 26  (42%)  exceeded the MoE for Sanders. P= 1 in 76.8 billion.

2004: 42 of 50  (84%) shifted to Bush in the vote.  P= 1 in 1.7 million.
2016: 24 of 26  (92%) shifted to Clinton in the vote. P= 1 in 190,000.


Harrahs casino online promotion code casino apps that give you real money Vote, Exit Poll, Discrepancy, Probability

Primary MoE Sanders Vote Exit Poll Discrep. Prob of Fraud
AL 3.9% 19.8% 25.9% 6.1% 99.9%
AR 4.0% 31.0% 33.3% 2.3% 87.3%
AZ            (Yavapai Cty) 3.9% 40.9% 63.0% 22.1% 100.0%
CT 3.6% 45.6% 47.2% 1.7% 81.3%
FL 3.0% 34.1% 36.0% 2.0% 90.2%
GA 3.4% 28.3% 33.8% 5.5% 99.9%
IL 3.5% 49.1% 51.2% 2.0% 87.5%
IN 3.5% 52.8% 55.4% 2.6% 92.9%
MA 3.5% 49.3% 53.3% 4.0% 98.7%
MD 4.1% 33.3% 33.4% 0.1% 52.7%
MI 3.3% 50.8% 53.2% 2.4% 92.2%
MO 4.4% 49.9% 51.9% 2.0% 81.0%
MS 3.4% 16.6% 21.3% 4.7% 99.7%
NC 3.0% 42.8% 43.7% 0.9% 72.3%
NH 2.6% 61.4% 60.4% -1.0% 22.7%
NY 3.5% 42.1% 48.0% 5.9% 100.0%
OH 3.1% 43.1% 48.1% 5.0% 99.9%
OK 4.5% 55.5% 50.9% -4.6% 2.1%
PA 3.5% 43.6% 45.1% 1.5% 80.6%
SC 3.1% 26.1% 31.3% 5.2% 100.0%
TN 4.0% 32.9% 35.5% 2.6% 90.0%
TX 3.5% 33.7% 37.9% 4.2% 99.1%
VA 3.3% 35.4% 37.4% 2.0% 88.4%
VT 2.3% 86.3% 86.5% 0.2% 55.5%
WI 3.0% 56.7% 63.6% 6.9% 100.0%
WV 4.7% 51.4% 57.4% 6.0% 99.4%
Average 3.52% 42.8% 46.3% 3.6% 97.6%
Goldfish casino slot game online new casino in san diego county exceed the margin of error for Sanders
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Richard Charnin's Blog

JFK Conspiracy and Systemic Election Fraud Analysis