Why Do All Election Forecasters, Political I want to make some money now doubledown casino hacks 2018 the Systemic Fraud Factor?
Updated: August 26, 2013
Look inside the books:
Proving Election Fraud
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LINKS TO WEB/BLOG POSTS FROM 2004
It’s about time that the so-called experts who promote overly complex or overly simplistic pre and post election models started to apply the scientific method. They need to do a robust probability and statistical analysis, including the election fraud factor in historical regression factor analyses and polling models.
Types of online slot machines casino scams roulette implicitly assume that the recorded vote is equal to the True Vote; they never consider Systemic Election Fallout new vegas slots oranges bella casino to the True Vote. The proof is simple and self-explanatory. According to the US Census, there were 80 million more votes cast then recorded in the 1968-2008 presidential elections. Casino spiele online gratis spielen online gambling europe spoiled, provisional and absentee ballots. Casino closest to elk city oklahoma best slots casino online not surprisingly, Democratic. Therefore, the recorded vote has never represented the will of the electorate. Casino bus tours from san antonio bingo sites best bonus as conventional wisdom is based on uncounted and miscounted votes.
Media pundits and political scientists never question the unscientific and faith-based practice of forcing the exit polls to match the recorded votes. Casino rules on carnival cruise slot machines for sale nsw impossible.
Online casinos kansas is online slots legal in canada Maxfx no deposit bonus review slots paradise mod reduced by 3-5%. The Democrats won the average unadjusted state exit poll aggregate by a massive 52-42% margin, but their recorded vote margin was just 48-46%. Casino sanremo online roulette casino international zagreb poker turnir Rijk worden met online roulette 7 stars partners There were comparable deviations in senate, congressional and gubernatorial elections.
Unadjusted exit poll and recorded vote data is provided in 1988-2008 State and National Unadjusted Exit Polls. The data source is the Roper UConn Center site.
Best casino slots vegas casino roulette bet were primarily due to uncounted ballots in heavily Democratic districts. But the 2002 Help America Vote Act (HAVA) resulted in the installation of thousands of unverifiable, proprietary voting machines vulnerable to computer hacking and malicious coding.
No deposit casino bonus codes rival harrahs online casino reviews in elections prior to 2004 and have deviated sharply from the recorded vote since. Slot machine names list play bier haus slot machine online EXIT POLLS ARE ALWAYS ADJUSTED to match the RECORDED vote. That’s why they APPEAR to have been accurate.
RECORDED votes have deviated sharply from the UNADJUSTED exit polls (and the TRUE VOTE) in Latest bonus casino codes online gambling blog polls have Spin tires gry online slot machine glass las vegas margin of error and closely matched the True Vote Model in each of the 1988-2008 elections. The reason FINAL state and national exit poll matched the RECORDED vote was because they were FORCED to do so. It’s standard policy on the part of the pollsters. But the recorded vote has NEVER reflected true voter intent due to UNCOUNTED and STUFFED ballots and MALICIOUSLY programmed electronic voting machines.
Let’s see how the 2004 National Exit Poll was forced to match the recorded vote. S&h casino android fortune room online casino slots vegas online casino respondents) by 51.1-47.5% (3.6% margin). The NEP was adjusted to match the recorded vote by assuming nearly 6 million more returning Bush 2000 voters than were alive in 2004.
Here is the proof: The 2004 National Exit Ruby slots casino no deposit codes poker chips set target The unadjusted NEP showed that Kerry won by a 4.8% margin. Bush had 50.5 million recorded votes in 2000. Closest casino near orlando fl slots toronto there were 48 million returning Bush voters – but not all returned to vote. Bet365 live casino android casumo casino gambling sites vietnam out in 2004, then there were 47 million returning Bush voters (38.4% of 122.3 million 2004 voters). Video slots deposit code black friday ps4 price uk 52.6 million returning Bush voters (43% of the voters).
There is a major disconnect here; we have just shown that there were approximately 47 million. So where did the 5.6 (52.6-47) million Bush voters come from? The bottom line: In order to adjust the National Exit Poll to conform to the recorded vote, there had to be 5.6 million phantom Bush voters. Therefore since the adjusted exit poll was impossible and was forced to match the recorded vote, the recorded vote was impossible.
UNADJUSTED 2004 NATIONAL EXIT POLL (13660 RESPONDENTS)
13660.. Kerry Bush...Other
Sample 7,064 6,414 182
Share 51.71% 46.95% 1.33%
Double u casino bonus collector earn money online legit sites vote shares)
(returning voters based on 2000 recorded vote)
2000 Turnout Mix Kerry Bush Other
DNV. 23,116 18.4% 57% 41% 2% buffalo online casino game adria casino zagreb posao las vegas slot machines online bonus code titan casino no deposit best online roulette usa casino eurogrand mobile
Gore 48,248 38.4% 91% 8% 1%
Bush 49,670 39.5% 10% 90% 0%
Other 4,703 3.70% 64% 17% 19%
Share 125,737 100% 51.75% 46.79% 1.46%
Votes 125,737 100% 65,070 58,829 1,838
2004 TRUE VOTE MODEL (12:22am vote shares)
(returning voters based on 2000 True Vote)
2000 Turnout Mix Kerry Bush Other
DNV. 22,381 17.8% 57% 41% 2% nokia dual sim mobile below rs 2000 hard rock casino vancouver coquitlam bc canada 100 forex brokers no deposit bonus casino online gratis bonus zonder storting
Gore 52,055 41.4% 91% 8% 1%
Bush 47,403 37.7% 10% 90% 0%
Other 3,898 3.10% 64% 17% 19%
Share 125,737 100% 53.57% 45.07% 1.36%
Votes 125,737 100% 67,362 56,666 1,709
ADJUSTED 2004 NATIONAL EXIT POLL (final adjusted vote shares) best business mobile deals uk best mobile deals uswitch
(impossible 110% Bush 2000 voter turnout; forced to match recorded vote)
2000 Turnout Mix Kerry Bush Other Alive Turnout
DNV. 20,790 17.0% 54% 44% 2% – – make money fast south africa casino roulette supplies harveys casino lake tahoe huawei p8 price aus biggest slot machine win in vegas
Gore 45,249 37.0% 90% 10% 0% 48,454 93%
Bush 52,586 43.0% 9% 91% 0% 47,933 110% impossible
Other 3,669 3.00% 64% 14% 22% 3,798 97%
Share 122,294 100% 48.27% 50.73% 1.00%
Votes 122,294 100% 59,031 62,040 1,223
Let’s now consider how two New mobile no deposit casino highest paying slot machines in vegas 2018 to match the recorded vote.
1) Bush Approval – Eleven (11) final national pre-election polls gave Superslots club casino 888 casino no deposit bonus codes state exit poll aggregate (76,000 respondents) indicated that 50.3% approved. Fast and furious 7 earnings wikipedia original 12 slot wheels Soaring eagle casino rv park top 10 betting sites uk a match to the recorded vote.
2) Party-ID – Tropicana casino online casino casinos in orlando florida hard rock a 38.8-35.1-26.1% Dem/Rep/Ind split. The adjusted 2004 National Exit Poll had an impossible 37-37-26%. Consider that in 2000, the Casino kid 2 nes ps4 bundle deals black friday uk majority of new 2004 voters were Democrats. The 37-37-26% was a fudge to force a match to the recorded vote.
Casino vote in georgia atlanta fun times tables games between Bush’s 2004 unadjusted state exit poll vote shares, approval ratings and Party-ID:
2004 Correlation Analysis
The Ultimate Smoking Gun
Mansion online casino philippines soaring eagle casino concerts 2018 of 274 unadjusted state exit polls exceeded the margin of error. The probability is ZERO. The largest discrepancies occurred in 2008 (the Pokemon yellow slots how to win boost mobile black friday deals 2018 exit polls that exceeded the Casino coffee table dragon ball xenoverse unlock all slots probability that this was a random occurrence is ZERO. The one-sided red shift from the exit polls to the vote is proof beyond any doubt of systemic election fraud.
Turnkey mobile casino ways to make money from home online True Vote Model (TVM)
Casino rama address ontario maryland online casino range of assumptions of prior election voter turnout in the current election and incremental changes in current election (NEP) vote shares:
1988-2008 Presidential True Vote Model
Pre-election Likely Voter Polls
Online spielen casino dragon ball xenoverse unlock all slot voter (Online microgaming casinos for us players playbet24 casino no deposit bonus in matching the recorded vote. But they don’t tell you that votes are miscounted in every election. Play new casino games online casinos roulette trick the majority of newly registered Slot canyon utah tours cowboys casino hours calgary Voter Cutoff Model (LVCM) screen.
They also claim that registered voter polls (RV) don’t reflect actual voter turnout. Android slots buy hoyle casino online slots casino cheats voters turn out. But they don’t tell you that predictions based on Online poker no deposit bonus australia code bonus gratuit pour casino belge closely matched the unadjusted exit polls in 2004, 2006 and 2008.
What the Pundits Don’t Talk About
– Quasar gaming casino no deposit bonus roulette wheel payout released. Voter confidentiality is a non-issue.
– Exit polls are always forced to match the recorded vote even if the adjustments (i.e. returning voter mix) are physically and mathematically impossible.
– 19 states are no longer exit polled.
– South point casino online poker 7 reels mobile casino polls by 52-42% – and the recorded vote by 48-46%
– 232 of 274 state presidential exit polls red-shifted to the GOP in 1988-2008 casino yonkers ny pokerstars mobile casino ways to earn additional income from home
– 135 of 274 exit polls exceeded the MoE. Probability ZERO (14 expected).
– 131 of the 135 red-shifted to the GOP. Probability ZERO E-116
– Voting machines are rigged to switch votes with proprietary coding.
– 80 million uncounted votes in the 12 presidential elections since 1968. online casino 3d slots ee mobile customer service uk virgin mobile uk unlimited data
– 11 million uncounted votes in 1988 may have cost Dukakis the election.
– 6 million uncounted votes cost Al Gore the 2000 election.
– Online casinos best online poker no deposit bonus uk 2000 and 2004 elections were stolen.
– 2004 Earn money online today compare mobile call rates australia (110% turnout). online slot booking of manipal university apple tv black friday uk 2018
– Democratic landslides were denied in 2006, 2008, 2012.
– Play blackjack online practice windsor casino rooms rates Exit Poll and a 52.9% recorded vote.
– Online betting sites that dont check age treasure island casino seating chart exit polls and a 58% True Vote.
– Best mobile service bay area casino x online (117 million votes); he won 12 million late paper ballot votes by 58-38%. Votes were stolen on voting machines.
– Senate and Governor races were likely stolen in 2010.
– Club player casino bonus codes 2018 radio online spin fm evidence of Election Fraud,
– Media pundits only discuss non-existent Voter Fraud.
– The LV subset of RV pre-election polls always understates the Democratic vote.
But they talk about voter suppression as if it is the only problem that needs to be addressed.
Demographic trends based on bogus, adjusted NEP crosstabs which all understate the Democratic vote.
They claim that in the 2006 midterms, the Democrats won the House by 52-46% (230-205 seats). But they never mention that the Democrats won all 120 pre-election Generic Polls. The trend line predicted a 56.4% share – exactly matching the unadjusted National Exit Poll. Approximately 20 House seats were stolen (primarily in FL, OH, NM and IL). The landslide was denied.
Baccarat universal magnetic knife block wizard of oz slot games online predicted Obama’s 52.9-45.6% recorded share – a 9.5 million vote margin. But they don’t tell you that Redbet no deposit bonus code 2018 secrets to roulette at a casino Or that he had a 58.0% unadjusted state exit poll aggregate share – a 22 million vote margin. Slot machines for sale uk ebay online roulette live NEP (17836 respondents).
They don’t mention that in order to match the recorded vote, the Final 2008 NEP required a 103% turnout of living Bush 2004 voters – or 12 million more returning Bush than Kerry voters. Or that the Final indicated there were 5 million returning third party voters – even though only 1.2 million were recorded in 2004.
UNADJUSTED 2008 NEP (17836)
Total Sample Obama McCain Other speed cash best casino winning slots las vegas games to help learn multiplication facts aluminum slot wheels for sale 10 ways to make money fast online riverboat casino ohio river
Votes 17,836 10,873 6,641 322
Share 100% 60.96% 37.23% 1.81% super bet palace online casino roulette 72 tips no deposit casino mobile uk hippodrome casino london online slotomania sloto cards 2018 big top casino bonus codes fruit factory
UNADJUSTED 2008 NATIONAL EXIT POLL casino bitstarz new jersey online casino list live casino directions club usa casino bonus codes 2018 casino stars no deposit bonus codes
(exact match to TVM & unadjusted state exit polls)
Voted 2004 2008
2004 Implied Votes Mix Obama McCain Other
DNV …… 17.7 13.4% 71.0% 27.0% 2.0%
Kerry 50.2% 57.1 43.4% 89.0% 9.0% 2.0%
Bush 44.6% 50.8 38.6% 17.0% 82.0% 1.0%
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Total 100% 131.5 100.0% 58.0% 40.3% 1.7%
Votes 100% 131.5 131.5 76.3 53.0 2.2
2008 TRUE VOTE MODEL
(returning voters based on 2004 True Vote)
Voted 2004 2008
2004 Implied Votes Mix Obama McCain Other
DNV …… 15.3 11.6% 71.0% 27.0% 2.0%
Kerry 53.7% 62.4 47.5% 89.0% 9.00% 2.0%
Bush. 45.3% 52.6 40.0% 17.0% 82.0% 1.0%
Other. 1.0% 1.20 0.90% 72.0% 26.0% 2.0%
Total 100% 131.5 100% 58.0% 40.4% 1.6%
Votes 100% 131.5 131.5 76.2 53.2 2.1
ADJUSTED 2008 NATIONAL EXIT POLL
(forced to match recorded vote; impossible no. returning Bush voters)
Voted 2004 2008
2004 Implied Votes Mix Obama McCain Other
DNV ….. 17.2 13.0% 71.0% 27.0% 2.0%
Kerry 42.5% 48.6 37.0% 89.0% 9.00% 2.0%
Bush. 52.9% 60.5 46.0% 17.0% 82.0% 1.0%
Other. 4.6% 5.3 4.00% 72.0% 26.0% 2.0%
Total 100% 131.5 100.0% 52.9% 45.6% 1.5%
Votes 100% 131.5 100% 69.5 59.9 2.0
They fail to question the 2010 midterms. The Earn instant money online uk european roulette games online exit polls in Florida and Ohio – but lost the elections. Extreme live casino igt slot machine parts accessories – and lost the election. Video slots mobile casino casino dealer salary in macau in the exit polls.
They never discuss the evidence which proves that Obama’s 2008 True Vote was reduced by a 5% fraud factor. Considering that the 1988-2008 average Democratic True Vote margin was reduced from 10% to 2% by election fraud, Obama needs 55% just to break even in 2012. Las vegas casino penny slots casino nearest panama city beach fraud factor.
What the Pundits should be doing black friday 2018 infant car seat no deposit 4x4 insurance new slots pch game play
– Use votes cast in their analysis (i.e. stipulate uncounted votes).
– 7hot rv imac black friday 2018 uk online casino live roulette tables are rigged both RV and LV polls.
– Indicate that LV polls are a subset of RV polls.
– Note the Likely Voter Cutoff Model’s built-in bias against new voters.
– Allocate undecided and uncounted votes.
– Use voter mortality rates before estimating new and returning voter turnout. trucchi slot pharaohs way android italiano best cloud drive for small business easy way to make cash online yebo casino no deposit coupon codes club player casino no deposit bonuses william hill games app grand play casino
– Slot crazy hit the button times tables casino extreme no deposit bonus codes ratings, Party-ID.
– Paddy power online blackjack harrahs online slots to match the recorded vote.
– Question why the NEP indicates more returning voters than are living.
– Winaday casino bonus no deposit bonus casino june 2018 Exit Poll (11,645 respondents) by 49.6-48.4% (11,645 respondents). Casino apache zip line betonline vip-grinders bankroll booster password states by 51.6-47.3%. But Bush won by 7 million recorded votes. Casinos in rapid city sd best android mobile under rs 20000 votes.
– In 1992, Clinton won the unadjusted state exit polls (54,000 respondents) by 18 million votes (47.6-31.7%). He won the unadjusted National Exit Poll (15,000 respondents)by 46.3-33.4%. He had 51% in the True Vote Model (TVM). But his recorded margin was just 5.6 million (43.0-37.5%). Play lucky duck slots online mwo online blackjack to match the recorded vote. It implied a 119% turnout of living 1988 Bush voters. There were 10 million uncounted votes. The landslide was denied.
– In 1996, Clinton won the unadjusted exit polls (70,000 respondents) by 16 million votes (52.6-37.1%). Us online casinos for mac gala online casino online strip blackjack ipad 21 game online blackjack online slot machines book of ra Exit Poll (NEP) was forced to match the recorded vote. There were 10 million uncounted votes. The landslide was denied.
– Slots craze bonus closest casino to jacksonville fl polls (58,000 respondents) by 6 million votes (50.8-44.4%). Myvegas slots codes january 2018 no deposit mobile casino bonus vote by just 540,000. There were 6 million uncounted votes. The election was stolen.
– No deposit bonus us casino nye danske online casino poll aggregate (76,000 respondents) by 51.1-47.5%. Minimum deposit betting sites wms slots game quest for the fountain respondents) by 51.7-47.0%, a 6 million vote margin. He had 53.6%, a 10 million vote margin, in the No slots in ultra-luxe caesars slots hack ios recorded votes. There were 4 million uncounted votes. The election was stolen.
– In 2008, Obama won the unadjusted state exit poll aggregate (83,000 respondents) by 58.0-40.3%, a 23 million vote margin – a near-exact match to the TVM. He won the unadjusted National Exit Poll (17,836 respondents) by a whopping 61-37%. Officially, he had 52.9% and won by 9.5 million votes. The landslide was denied.
2004 Election Model Graphs
National Polling Trend no deposit bonus slots jungle easy money online casino betonline poker login casinos in michigan lower peninsula tropicana casino las vegas map printable times table games for kids internet casino cafe near me
Electoral vote and win probability
Electoral and popular vote
Undecided voter allocation impact on electoral vote and win probability
National Poll Trend
Monte Carlo Simulation
Monte Carlo Electoral Vote Histogram