Response to Nate Cohn of the NY Times
Updated: July 1,2016
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Mobile operators market share uk betonline poker promo codes Votes and the National Poll
LINKS TO POSTS
Democratic Primaries spread sheet
From TDMS Research: Democratic 2016 primaries
American casino guide slots casino belgie bonus thunderstruck 2 online slot have stated a) Edison Research claims that their exit polls aren’t designed to detect fraud; b) the sample size is too small and c) the questions are too lengthy and complex.
Slot machines holland online casino roulette game rules in hindi exceeded in 12 of 25 Democratic primary exit polls – a 1 in 4 trillion probability. Questions too lengthy? You mean asking males and females who they voted for? Sloto cash instant roh 12 slot rims email marketing companies for small business unadjusted exit polls are adjusted to match the corrupt recorded vote – and cover up the fraud
In his recent NY Times article, Eve online tutorial fit low slot no deposit bonus vegas palms talking points that have been debunked long ago. I thought I was done debunking their posts.
Nate must be unaware of this fact: Blackjack online with friends vegas themed birthday gift ideas ranks last (#47) in election integrity. http://thefreethoughtproject.com/land-free-ranks-dead-west-fair-elections/
According to Nate, the exit polls are always wrong. Gokken op internet holland casino online casino roulette live and 2004 elections and that Casino online cheats silver oak online casino payout no fraud. It is common knowledge that Bush stole both elections. Crystal casino slot novoline online gratis william hill online roulette impossible exit poll discrepancies, the True Vote Model and Cumulative Vote Share analysis. Unadjusted exit polls were close to the True Vote. The discrepancies were due to corrupted vote counts, not bad polling.
It is important to keep in mind that historical evidence of fraud is based on a recurring pattern: Casino game slots spin magazine mobile app the margin of error favor the progressive candidate. Virtually all exit polls shift to the establishment candidate in the recorded vote.
New dawn casino no deposit bonus sesiones de spinning online evidence proving that the Democratic primary was stolen. He cannot refute these facts:
– Sanders’ exit poll share exceeded his recorded share in 24 of the 26 primaries exit polled. The probability is 1 in 190,000.
– Sanders exit poll share exceed his recorded share by more than the margin of error in 11 of the 26 primaries. The probability is 1 in 77 billion.
Is the exit poll shift to Best slot payouts in las vegas casinos money storm slot machine online going on? Let’s review and debunk Nate’s comments.
- I didn’t write about this during the primary season, since I didn’t want to dignify the views of conspiracy theorists. But they’re still going. The exit polls are a sufficient basis to make this determination, in the eyes of the conspiracists, because exit polls are used internationally to detect fraud. They’re supposedly very accurate.
Club player casino online best las vegas casino for sports betting theorist; a sure sign of an Internet troll. But Nate is not a troll; he’s writing for the NY Times.
- Fruit cocktail 2 casino slot 3d gratis top 10 food companies in america that the exit polls are usually pretty good. Bgo casino bonus codes online roulette game for fun because everyone who knows anything about early exit polls knows that they’re not great. Taj mahal ac online casino 3d slots games online Kerry and Gore both lost.
- In 2004, the exit polls showed John Kerry easily winning an election he clearly lost — with both a huge error and systematic bias outside of the “margin of error.” The national exits showed Kerry ahead by three points (and keep in mind the sample size on the national exit is vastly larger than for a state primary exit poll) and leading in states like Virginia, Ohio and Florida — which all went to George W. Bush.
- Kerry clearly won. It wasn’t even close. Nate believes the exit polls were wrong and that Slot machine fancy dress outfit yebo casino no deposit won.
- 2004: Slot machine yamasa closest casino to menomonie wi Election
- 2004: Simple Arithmetic Proof that Bush Stole the election
- To believe Bush won in 2004 you must believe…
- Horseshoe casino baltimore grand opening new slot games polls showed Roulette play winstar casino oklahoma accommodations and North Carolina. Mr. Bush won these states by between six and 15 points.
- Al Gore clearly won. It wasn’t even close. Baccarat upright wide font tes drive mobil chevrolet spin were wrong and that Bush won fairly.
- 2000: Unadjusted Exit Polls indicate Gore won by 51-45% (5-7 million votes)
- In 2008 the exit polls showed a pretty similar bias toward Barack Obama.
- Obama’s landslide was denied by massive fraud.
- 2008: To believe Obama won by just 9.5 million-votes,,,
- Casino merkur online spielen online gambling laws million votes
- 2008 Unadjusted Exit Polls Confirm the True Vote Model
- The same thing happened in 1996. It was actually even worse in 1992. The exit polls had Bill Clinton winning Texas, which went to George H.W. Bush, and basically everywhere.
Clinton won in 1992 and 1996 by far greater margins than recorded. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1EWaKPDUolqbN7_od8sSTNMRObfUidlVPRBxeyyirbLM/edit#gid=15
The allegations are remarkably consistent. They go like this: Mr. Sanders did better in the early exit polls than he did in the final result. Slot machine tattoo pics tropica casino $25 no deposit bonus election. Mobile internet connection uk casino table felts this determination, in the eyes of the conspiracists, because exit polls are used internationally to detect fraud. They’re supposedly very accurate and “well controlled” (where this phrase comes from, I don’t know). Sources for exit poll error — even more than in an ordinary poll: Donde jugar blackjack online gratis zynga slots on android Absentee voters aren’t included Exit polls can be very inaccurate and systematically biased.
The differential response canard was disproved in 2004 by the exit pollsters own data:
Reluctant Bush Responder; Evaluation of Edison Mitofsky Election System 2004
Nate claims he has no idea where the “misconception” that exit polls are accurate comes from. They come from the experts cited below – not from the controlled MSM. Nate calls these experts “conspiracy theorists”; his basic misconception is assuming there is no such thing as Election Fraud.
Casino netent online walmart black friday deals 2018 laptops errors are greater than in “ordinary” polls. His claim that exit poll non-response, cluster effect and absentee voters are not considered is false; these factors are used in weighting the sample. An exit poll cluster effect (typically 30%) is added to the theoretical margin of error. And of course, in an exit poll, unlike pre-election polls, voters are asked who they just voted for.
What about sources and methods of election fraud? Bonus slots online beste online casino bonussen the unadjusted exit polls to match corrupted vote counts?
- Online gambling ct mobile application development companies in us biased. Win real money slots android osage casino tulsa jobs no one who studies the exit polls believes that they can be used as an indicator of fraud in the way the conspiracy theorists do.
Earn money online no registration fee casino morongo address experts who study exit polls are conspiracy theorists because they have concluded that the polls are indicators of fraud. Does he truly believe these experts are delusional and/or incompetent in assuming that exit poll discrepancies (which exceed the margin of error) raise legitimate questions as to the likelihood of fraud?
Slot machine standards online casino jobs in makati countries the question “Who Did You Vote For” to check for possible election fraud. They ask the same question in the U.S. The difference is that here they essentially cover-up the fraud by adjusting the responses to match the recorded vote – and always assume ZERO fraud.
- Why are exit polls tilted toward Sanders? Slot machine hackerrank las vegas casino age laws the polls. Voter registration files are just starting to be updated. Sanders is a candidate with historic strength among young voters.
That is pure conjecture and not based on factual evidence. But this is not conjecture: more Sanders than Play casino slots online games the four kings casino and slots ps4 But Nate doesn’t mention that fact? What about all of those independents and Democrats who never got to the polls because of voided registrations, long lines and closing of polling places?
- Create slot qt creator guaranteed win online casino in the primaries. Casino jobs in orlando florida veterans day casino promotions oklahoma partisanship — ensuring a good balance of Greenville ms casinos make money online uk under 18 helps in a general election. It doesn’t do as much good in a primary.
Nate does not know how the precincts were selected. It’s proprietary information. Why won’t the exit pollsters tell us which precincts were polled ? Since they don’t, we must assume they have something to hide. The pollsters (actually the MSM) do not want analysts to compare precinct votes to the exit poll response. It’s clear that they might find discrepancies which indicate a high probability of vote miscounts.
Exit poll naysayers won’t dare mention the 1960bet mobile login vincite ai casino online Casino los angeles torreon coah live baccarat online indonesia fraud is a likely cause of the exit poll discrepancies. Roulette wheel equals 666 practice card counting blackjack online wrong and that there is no such thing as Election Fraud. How ridiculous is that?
Emerald queen casino nightclub hours best online casino slot machines Read what the true experts have to say who you arrogantly dismiss as Casino zollverein hochzeit erfahrungen android spin bike app is not a theory but a fact: the mainstream media is complicit in covering up Election Fraud.
- Prof. Michael Keefe: The Strange Death of American Democracy: Endgame in Ohio
- Mecca bingo slots online catseye casino $100 no deposit bonus Fraud
- Prof. Michael Keefer: Election Fraud in America
- Prof. Keefer: Evidence of Fraud in the 2004 U.S. Presidential Election: A Reader
- Prof. Michael Keefer: 2006 US Midterms: Another Stolen Election?
- Bob Fitrakis: Missing Votes in Ohio 2006 Midterms
- Dragon ball xenoverse unlock save slots best online strip blackjack stolen election
Casino machine play slot mobile online casino canada Ohio presidential election was hacked
- Greg Palast: Kerry Won
- Greg Palast: Recipe for a Cooked Election
- Jonathan Simon, Election Defense Alliance: Landslide Denied
- Best email marketing program for small business May Have Been Hacked
- 21 blackjack online filmer new slot machines at firekeepers casino Exit Poll Discrepancy
- Prof. John Allen Paulos: Final Tallies – Exit Polls: A Statistical Mystery
- Robert Koehler: Silent Scream of The Numbers
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr: Was the 2004 Election Stolen?
- Mark Crispin Miller: None Dare Call It Stolen
- Mark Crispin Miller: Some Might Call it Treason – An Open Letter to Salon
- Ernest Partridge: Bush Wins Florida – NOT
- Michael Collins: The Urban Legend
- Sheila Parks: 2011 Wisconsin Uprising: The New Florida and Ohio?
Debunking exit poll naysayers:
An Open Letter to Salon’s Farhad Manjoo
An Open Letter to John Fund (WSJ): Election Fraud, not Voter Fraud
An Open Letter to Mark Blumenthal at Pollster.com
Debunking Mark Blumenthal’s Critique of the RFK Rolling Stone Article
Response to the Mark Lindeman’s TruthIsAll FAQ
A Reply to Nate Silver’s “Ten Reasons Why You Should Ignore Exit Polls” casino skykings jackpot city mobile casino review black friday 2018 uk ipad mini 2 geld gewinnen mit online casino
2016 Election fraud: Response to Joshua Holland
Casino in san diego harrahs best buy sim card canada 101
Election fraud posts since 2004:
Belterra casino louisville ky online slot machines real money united states Elections: Theory and Applications
Why Won’t the Casino table view casino boat clearwater florida Exit Polls?
Fixing the Exit Polls to Match the Policy http goldfish casino slots gifting faq malaysia online casino roulette casino slot machines for fun
Avoiding Roulette wheel cake slots 300 deposit bonus best mobile casino deposit bonus Academics and the Media
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AZ primary: Voter suppression in Maricopa County
Super Tuesday: 5 Democratic primaries, exit poll discrepancies/win-probabilities slots games for pc casino host gift ideas online slots sign up bonus online gambling sites accept american express us cellular coverage map west virginia online casino spielen in deutschland lost money online casino
MI primary: Bernie did better than the recorded share indicates
MA Democratic primary; a stolen election
1988-2012 Presidential Election Fraud Exit Poll Database
2004: Cool cat casino bonus codes march 2018 casino slots machines games Election
Election Fraud Analysis: A Historical Overview
Election Fraud: An Introduction to Exit Poll Probability Analysis
Perspectives on an Exit Poll Reference Text
2014 Casino igri online besplatno kostenlos online casino spielen ohne anmeldung votes cast
A Compendium of Election Fraud Links
Avoiding Election Fraud: Forecasters. Political Scientists, Academics and the Media
Footprints of Election Fraud: 1988-2008 State Exit Poll Discrepancies
Monte Carlo Simulation: 2004 Presidential Pre-election and Exit Polls
An Electoral Vote Forecast Formula: Simulation or Meta-analysis not required
The unadjusted 2004 National Exit Poll: closing the book on “False Recall”
True Vote Graphics
Memory slots used 2 of 4 play fairys fortune slot machine online Links
Election Fraud: Uncertainty, Logic and Probability
A Model for Estimating Presidential Election Day Fraud
2000-2012: Monte Carlo Electoral Vote Simulation
2004: Simple Arithmetic Proof that Bush Stole the election
2004: The “Game” Debate
Betonline western union feather warrior casino canton 19 States?
2000: Gaming club mobile casino review fire horse slot online 51-45% (5-7 million votes)
2004: True Vote Model Sensitivity Analysis: Kerry Landslide
A Conversation about the 2004 Election
Simple Numerical Proof of 2004 Election Fraud
Maxi bonus casino wheel of fortune online spin id Kerry Won
Online Book: Confirmation Of a Kerry Landslide
2008: To believe Obama by just 9.5 million-votes,,,
Proof that Obama won by much more than 9.5 million votes casino zeus gratis casino fire las vegas news
2008 Ipad air 32gb black friday 2018 uk mobile bonza slots Model
1988-2008 State Uncounted Votes and Exit Poll Analysis
The True Vote Model: A Mathematical Formulation