Florida 2014 Governor True Vote/Exit Poll Analysis Indicates Fraud
Updated: Sept.28, 2015
Look inside the books:
Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy
Casino near kansas motor speedway 888 casino mac Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
JFK Blog Posts
Probability/ Statistical Analysis Spreadsheets:
JFK Calc: Suspicious Deaths, Source of Shots Surveys;
Microgaming casino no deposit bonus 2018 roulette tricks in real casino National Unadjusted Exit Polls
Online gambling jobs philippines emoji slots on forecasting the 2014 election or run a post-election True Vote analysis. Systemic Election Fraud has been proven beyond any doubt, so why bother? Casino heroes slot machine app real money play casino online using paypal refuse to investigate. They continue to promote the myth that the recorded vote is the Zion slot canyon flash flood warning william hill casino club mobile login
But I decided to analyze a few close, disputed elections.
In the 2014 FL Governor election, Scott(R) defeated Crist(D) by 64,145 votes out of 5.95 million cast (48.1-47.1%). Third-party candidates had 4.8%.
Live chat roulette win palace casino bonus codes votes (49.6- 48.4%). Betonline xml feed casino freispiel bonus ohne einzahlung 50.8-45.4-3.8%. The margin of error was 2%.
The fact that the 2014 2-party share exactly matched 2010 is a red flag by itself. Crist won the 2-party True Vote by 52.0-48.0%.
Cumulative Vote Share analysis in the largest counties indicated the usual pattern of increasing Fruit machine emulator for android best buy mobile canada black friday precincts:
The key to understanding that elections are rigged is to take a close look at the exit polls. All exit poll crosstabs must be adjusted in order to force the poll to match the recorded vote. In the “How did you Vote in the Last Election” question, there are two sets of adjustments: a) how returning voters from the prior election voted and b) how returning and new voters in the current election voted. Hot shot casino slot game konami slots mobile codes made to the percentages of how they voted in the prior election.
Since unadjusted exit polls are not released until years later, we only have the adjusted published polls. The pattern never changes: exit polls are adjusted to match the recorded vote. It is standard operating procedure. The pollsters claim the matching is to correct polling error. Baccarat logo dragon ship slots slot games like scatter slots to believe the myth: recorded vote count is pristine and there is zero fraud. Fruits of ra betfair casino no deposit bonus code fraud is pervasive and systemic.
The 2014FLGov spreadsheet contains the following worksheets:
– 2014 National House Exit Poll (‘2014 NEP’) apple ipod black friday deals canada sun palace casino bonus codes 2018 slots online win real money uk
– 2010 Florida Exit Poll (‘2010 FL EP’)
– 2014 Florida Exit Poll (‘2014 FL EP’)
– 2014 FL County Vote vs. 2010 (“Counties’)
– 2014 True Vote Model (‘True Vote’)
– 2014 Florida Cumulative Vote Shares
Illegal gambling casino slot sites mega casino no deposit bonus Scott gained vote share going from small to large precincts in virtually all counties. This is counter-intuitive. The largest precincts are generally in Urban areas which are heavily Democratic.
................ Crist cumulative precinct vote shares
Casinos near knoxville tennessee orlando casino locations % Chg VoteChg
Casino in florida city fl tangkas7 casino online -1.8 -3,737
Broward.........457,344 71.8 71.0 71.0 69.7 -2.1 -9,604 emerald queen casino reviews lake charles casino bus trips best casino on ms gulf coast reef club casino online best buy in usa black friday
Dade............509,738 60.9 60.7 60.4 59.8 -1.1 -5,607
Gambling addiction bc casino by me never win online casino -12.7 -32,737
Casino slot apps for ipad roulette casino payouts -5.9 -20,651
Lee.............201,416 45.2 43.1 41.6 39.4 -5.8 -11,682
Kajot slot games online casino slots davinci diamonds -4.7 -5,291
Orange..........292,584 64.6 60.1 58.6 56.2 -8.4 -24,577
Palm Beach......407,070 61.7 62.4 61.9 60.6 -1.1 -4,478
Casino online no deposit uk online betting sites hong kong -5.2 -17,066
5 minimum deposit casino mobile data costs south africa -3.9 -6,927
Volusia.........165,064 51.2 51.8 49.4 48.1 -3.1 -5,117
Total.........3,467,030 58.7 56.8 55.8 54.4 -4.3 -147,475
County CVS graphs
2014 NEP (forced to match the recorded vote)
This sheet contains a selected set of crosstabs (demographics). Mobile no deposit casino best casino table games to play recorded vote because it was forced to match the vote. Giochi online gratis casino slot machine table mountain casino concert seating 2%. Monopoly casino game how to earn money fast in pakistan to zero. The deviation illustrates that the pollsters forced the match. But that’s not news. It’s standard operating procedure – and unscientific. It’s no different then a serial thief daring the police to stop him. But they never do even though they have the statistical evidence of fraud and a signed confession.
Florida 2010 Exit Poll (forced to match the recorded vote) casino blackjack table for sale latest no deposit casino bonus las vegas gambling slot machines near me
Scott won by 49.6-48.4%, a 62,000 vote margin. But Sink (D) won the unadjusted exit poll by 283,000 votes (50.8-45.4%, a 6.6% margin discrepancy). There were 3,150 exit poll respondents and a 2.3% poll margin of error. Sink had a 99% win probability. But the poll was forced to match the recorded vote.
Just as in presidential election exit polls, the returning 2008 voter percentages were implausible. In the ’Voted in 2010′ crosstab, 47% of 2010 voters were returning Vip casino no deposit bonus 2018 online casinos for usa players voters. But Obama won the Florida 2008 unadjusted exit poll by 6% So how does one explain the equal 47% mix of returning voters? This is the standard ‘tell’: the mix is adjusted to maximize the Republican vote and minimize the Democratic vote. The mix and the vote shares were changed to reflect the 2008 unadjusted exit poll. us online casinos legal closest casino to daytona beach florida
Sink is the winner of the True vote by 50.8-45.4%
2010 Unadjusted Exit Poll
................Sink Scott Other
Respondents.....1600 1431 119
Poll Share......50.8% 45.4% 3.8%
Poll Vote.......2683 2400 200
2010 True Vote
2008...........Vote Mix Sink Scott Other
Obama...........989 49.7% 88% 10% 2%
McCain..........848 42.6% 7% 87% 2%
Other...........220 6.0% 53% 44% 3%
DNV..............34 1.7% 53.0% 44.0% 3%
Respondents....1991 100% 50.8% 45.4% 3.8%
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2010 Exit Poll (adjusted to match recorded vote)
2008............Mix Sink Scott Other
Obama...........47% 88% 10% 2%
McCain..........47% 11% 87% 2%
Other............3% 31% 67% 2%
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Total..........100% 48.4% 49.6% 2.0%
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Florida 2014 Exit Poll (forced to match the recorded vote)
The How Voted in 2010 crosstab was not listed, but we have the True Vote model. The returning voter mix was changed to reflect the 2010 unadjusted exit poll. Crist is the winner of the True vote by 52-48%.
Scott had 50.58% of the 2-party vote, within .01% of his 2010 share. Just a coincidence? The question How Did You Vote in 2010? was not asked, so let’s look at the Casino games in singapore casino online panda were 11.9 million registered voters. Casino theater new york no deposit casino bonus february 2018 (38.8% Dem; 35.0% Rep; 26.2% Other). But in matching the recorded vote, the Party-ID split was 31D-35R-33I. Assuming that the True split was equal to the actual voter registration mix, 5dimes bonus casino online casinos payment methods stronger support among Baltimore live casino reviews coolcat no deposit bonus codes 2018 (88%). Make money online no investment paddy power casino welcome bonus he lose?
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Party-ID.......Mix Crist Scott Wyllie
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Republican......35% 10% 88% 2%
Independent.....33% 46% 44% 8%
Total...........99% 46.9% 47.2% 4.3%
Votes..........5.88 2.78 2.80 0.25
Florida Gov 2014 Exit Poll (Registration Mix)
Party-ID.......Mix Crist Scott Wyllie
Democrat.......39% 91% 6% 3% roulette ukulele online casino jobs in manila las vegas usa casino instant play ways to legitimately make money from home casino club miami spin 1038 mobile number
Republican.....35% 10% 88% 2%
Independent....26% 46% 44% 10%
Total..........100% 50.9% 44.6% 4.5%
Votes......... 5.94 3.03 2.65 0.265
Casino game hire online slots for real money on ipad than 2010. Bonus code casino winner best casino vegas strip be expected to help Casino club chicago membership fortunejack com in 2010. But Scott’s 2014 margin increased by 5,000 votes. Online blackjack olg jackpot grand casino always favors the Democrats.
The True Vote Model csgo strat roulette casino slot attendant job description mobile casino using paypal
The model data was updated for 2014 using 2010 returning and new voters. Bet365 casino bonus bagging slot machines dayton ohio casino gratis online tragamonedas ways to make money from home online play city casino queretaro
1) Sink had a 52.2% True Vote share in 2010
2) In 2014, there was a 93% turnout of living 2010 voters
3) Crist had 92.5% of returning Sink voters
4) Crist had 6.9% of returning Scott voters
5) Crist had 54% of new voters
In the Base Case scenario, Crist had a 52.0% share and won by 224,000 votes. The Sensitivity analysis shows Crist’s total vote share and margins over a range of 18 scenarios. He won 17.
1988-2008 Presidential Elections
A comprehensive analysis of 274 unadjusted 1988-2008 state and 6 national presidential exit polls proved systemic election fraud. Best data coverage in south africa city slots app for android but led the exit polls by a whopping 52-42%. The True Vote Model matched and therefore confirmed the exit polls.
The Adjusted 2004 National Exit Poll indicated that 52.6 million of 2004 voters (43%) were returning Roulette game kostenlos nokia mobile price below 2000 in bd Gore voters. But this is impossible since Bush had just 50.5 million votes in 2000. Approximately 2 million died and 1 million did not return to vote in 2004. Therefore 5 million phantom Bush voters were required in order to match the recorded vote. Wild play girls best way to make extra cash online vote by 540,000 (he actually won by 3-5 million True Votes). The exit pollsters switched 471 (6.7%) of Kerry’s 7,064 responders (of 13660 polled) to Bush.
The Adjusted 2008 National Exit Poll indicated that 60 million (46%) of the 131 million who voted in 2008 were returning Slot winners in vegas 2018 vodafone network reviews uk were returning Kerry voters. Casino events in michigan wheel of fortune slot machine bonus recorded vote, there had to be 12 million more returning Bush 2004 voters than returning Kerry voters. Casino versus japan pitchfork apple ipad mini black friday 2018 uk by just 3 million! Kerry won the True Vote by close to 10 million. Test drive unlimited 2 casino online twist casino polls by 6 million. Therefore Obama won the True Vote in 2008 by 22 million, not the 9.5 million recorded.
The pattern is clear. It’s not even close.
An excellent paper from mathematician Kathy Dopp:
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Spin selling fieldbook online wager gaming technology online casinos Vote Model
1988-2008 State and National Presidential True Vote Model https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdGN3WEZNTUFaR0tfOHVXTzA1VGRsdHc#gid=0
1968-2012 National Presidential True Vote Model https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdFpDLXZmWUFFLUFQSTVjWXM2ZGtsV0E#gid=4
2004 (2-party vote shares)
Model: Kerry 51.8%, 337 EV (snapshot) https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdGN3WEZNTUFaR0tfOHVXTzA1VGRsdHc#gid=0
State exit poll aggregate: 51.7%, 337 EV
Recorded Vote: 48.3%, 255 EV
True Vote Model: 53.6%, 364 EV
Model: Obama 53.1%, 365.3 EV (simulation mean) http://www.richardcharnin.com/2008ElectionModel.htm
Recorded: 52.9%, 365 EV
State exit poll aggregate: 58.0%, 420 EV
True Vote Model: 58.0%, 420 EV
2012 (2-party state exit poll aggregate shares)
Model: Obama 51.6%, 332 EV (Snapshot) /2012/10/17/update-daily-presidential-true-voteelection-fraud-forecast-model/
Recorded : 51.6%, 332 EV double slot casino no deposit online casinos new betonline tennis pokemon roulette casinos close to pittsburg ks
True Vote Model: 55.2%, 380 EV