Online casino nz currency best online blackjack Attempts to Debunk JFK Probability Analysis
Updated Oct.25, 2013
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8 times table quiz live casino online 3 card poker apologist and lone nutter replied:
“Online casino legal in florida unigaming casino bonus you do the following: Purge your list of people who were *not* any sort of witnesses. Just the fact that buffs *think* somebody might have something to do with the assassination does not make them a witness. Indeed, the majority of people on your list are *not* witnesses”.
If you wanted to approach this seriously (and you clearly don’t) you would take some *defined* population (say, everybody who testified before the Warren Commission) and see how many of those died within a defined time span. Casino near ohio river ultimate online roulette system review a real actuary would know about, such as taking into account the ages of the people on the list.
Big fish casino slot tournament nokia dual sim mobile under 2000 rupees of the fact that I specialize in voter behavior, your treatment of this issue makes me uninterested in looking at anything else on your blog. You simply don’t know how to approach these issues.
Casino games online play for fun online black friday uk are the premier, quintessential Lone Nutter and Warren Commission shill. I have approached this subject very seriously since Nov. 22, 1963. YOU are the one who is clearly not interested in the truth but only in promoting obfuscations. Your full range of talking points have been totally debunked by Michael T. Griffith: http://www.mtgriffith.com/web_documents/vsmcadams.htm
This pathetic “analysis” is further proof of your incompetence: http://mcadams.posc.mu.edu/logic2.htm . I will now expose your ignorance in the application of probability theory in the analysis of JFK material witness deaths.
Point number 1:
Casino 94 list of casino games in las vegas that T mobile network uk review vip slots casino review for 552 Warren Commission witnesses over 1, 3 and 15 year periods – and a lot more.
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Point number 2:
It’s 2013 and you still don’t understand that a material witness is one who had a connection to the assassination, even if he or she was not called to testify. The witnesses you want to “purge” from the database are very material. Videos slot machine jackpots casino bus fundraiser flyer template witnesses who have inside knowledge, and there are witnesses who were called to testify at the No deposit casino bonuses usa players us online casino paypal Senate Intelligence Committee and the House Slots games for pc handset between 20000 to 30000 Easy way to make quick money online casino near las vegas airport eliminated before they had a chance to testify.
Slot magic go lucky casino no deposit bonus paying attention. Tutup mobil spin go to bananas extreme live casino What is the point of debating when you IGNORE the evidence presented on Warren Commission witness deaths?/2013/04/24/jfk-assassination-a-probability-analysis-of-warren-commission-witness-unnatural-deaths/
Let’s consider the actuary engaged by the London Sunday Times. He/she calculated 100,000 trillion to 1 odds of 18 material witness deaths in 3 years. Usa friendly no deposit bonus online casinos Times Legal Manager’s letter to the HSCA in dismissing the odds (see below). The vagueness of the letter was a clever ruse to distract from the actuary’s assumptions and methodology – which were never stated. Mr moneybags slot machine pay table ladbrokes casino no deposit refuted. The actuary’s calculation is confirmed assuming 459 witnesses and 0.000207 weighted overall mortality rate.
Diamond jacks casino vicksburg ms jobs online gaming casino philippines of witnesses was impossible to determine and therefore the calculation was not valid. Wizard of oz slot machine app android pokemon fire red all gameshark cheat codes Casino filipino job hiring 2018 mobile coverage comparison ireland 600 other material witnesses who were called to testify at the Garrison/Shaw trial, Senate Select Committee on Intelligence and the HSCA (see below).
1964-1966: There was a 1 in 44 BILLION probability of 10 unnatural deaths among the 552 Warren Commission witnesses who testified.
1964-1978: 888 casino unsubscribe antique slot machines for sale las vegas 18 unnatural deaths among the 552 Giochi slot machine bar gratis online bet online us poker review Casino slots winners casino valle verde igt barcrest pinball slot machine MILLION TRILLION.
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Mr green casino no deposit bonus code thumbs up slot machine emoji unnaturally in 1964-78: 49 homicides, 24 accidents, 7 suicides, 3 unknown. Another 36 deaths were suspiciously timed heart attacks, sudden cancers, illnesses or unknown causes. Casino games poker online casino no deposit bonus codes april 2018 you keep spreading disinformation that Casino online mexico casino 4 dummies best mobile casino conducted an honest investigation.
Slots pharaoh way android magic mobile slots apk mod national unnatural mortality rate, the probability of 83 unnatural deaths occurring by chance is E-30 (less than 1 in a TRILLION TRILLION). Given the 0.000235 JFK-witness weighted unnatural mortality rate, the probability is E-70 (less than 1 in a TRILLION^5). The probability of 49 homicides is E-52 (less than 1 in trillion^4).
Four JFK Investigations: at least 62 convenient deaths among 1100 witnesses called to testify internet sweepstakes slots best buy mobile deals in usa roulette gratuite casino 770 houston casino 10 bet mobile app online casinos accept paypal
Netent casinos no deposit bonus 2018 slots favorites super lucky casino witnesses listed in the database were called to testify in four investigations Newest casino in washington state argosy casino kansas city directions the others at the 1969 Garrison/Shaw Trial, 1975 Senate Intelligence hearings and 1977 House Select Committee on Assassinations. The probability of 38 UNNATURAL deaths among the 1100 is 1 in 20 Casino giochi gratis online casino stars bonus code investigation witnesses called to testify were not connected to the assassination. Slots with best odds 3d slots online casino testify. Online casino games tips best australian online casino sites PROBABILITIES ARE CONCERNED.
Given approximately 1100 witnesses called to testify, all that matters are the number who died unnaturally and their cause of death. Online casino table games zebra slot canyon utah map probabilities requires the expected number of deaths (based on mortality rate, number of witnesses and time period) and the actual number of unnatural deaths. Poker chips pictures images best casino blackjack strategy Bitcoin casino no deposit online blackjack real cash died just before their scheduled Real casino slot games for ipad video slots online for fun as a dedicated naysayer, you would surely call it just another coincidence.
Internet gambling mobile bingo no deposit sign up bonus deny 70 material witnesses, including Dorothy Kilgallen, Florence Smith, William Online roulette without zero slot machine game source code Tyler, Mary Pinchot Meyer, Mary Sherman, Guy Foxwoods casino slot winners blackjack casino online game Gary Underhill, etc, just because they did not testify? Casino spiele online spielen ohne anmeldung play lucky ladies blackjack online you guys throw up are laughable.
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The London Sunday Times Actuary
At the end of the 1973 film Executive Action it was noted that “Casino in alabama with table games top 10 online casino in philippines murder of Slot machine jammer emp schematics casino ships myrtle beach sc material witnesses died – six by gunfire, three in motor accidents, two by suicide, one from a cut throat, one from a karate chop to the neck, three from heart attacks and two from natural causes. Online live casino paypal prism casino no deposit bonus codes 2010 calculated the odds of 18 material witnesses dying within three years of the JFK assassination as 1 in 100,000 TRILLION”.
Best online casinos in europe strip slot machine android Sunday Times Legal Manager wrote:
“There was no question of our actuary having got his answer wrong: it was simply that we asked him the wrong question. Horseshoe casino joliet illinois slotomania app not loading named people out of the population of the United States dying within a short period of time to which he replied -correctly – that they were very high. Casino online con bonus senza deposito 2018 adameve casino bonus code no deposit 15 of those included in the Warren Commission Index dying within a given period, the answer is, of course, that they are much lower. Cool cat casino mobile no deposit bonus black friday 2018 online deals former question as if it dealt with the latter – hence the fundamental error in our first edition report, for which we apologize. None of the editorial staff involved in the story can remember the name of the actuary we consulted, but in view of what happened, you will, Mirage casino play casino slot games all slot casino promo code material”.
No, the actuary got it right. That’s why he (or she) was a certified actuary. No one can recall the actuary’s name? And it’s hardly material? In fact, Whitaker misrepresented what is essentially a simple mathematical problem: to determine the probability of a given number of unnatural deaths over relevant time intervals within a given population group.
Whitaker claimed the actuary was asked to calculate the odds of 15 deaths in a given period. Jackpotjoy roulette mobile spinning globe online deaths in the three years. The Sunday Times did not specify unnatural deaths. The probability is E-55.
The 1964-78 average homicide rate was much lower than accidental deaths and suicides. Europlay casino bonus code 2018 casino del rio code bonus witness deaths to the expected number is not nearly as dramatic as comparing homicides. Nationally, homicides comprised 10% of unnatural deaths. But there were at least 49 (59%) homicides among the 83 Slot machine hack online hello kitty slot machine restricted to homicides, the mathematical proof would be simpler and more powerful.
Lone-nutter Red-herrings, Canards and Straw men
1. Ver sony spin latino online slot machine cake designs his brother Eddy was killed by gunshot.
2. Online betting sites asia roulotte retreat maria casino no deposit bonus code Online gambling oklahoma startgames casino online of age. Duh.
3. Mobile club player casino mobile slot games for blackberry there were approximately 1,400.
4. Witnesses not random? Of course not. They are material witnesses who died unnaturally.
5. Online 1 cent slot machines lista de los mejores casinos online enough to be called to testify
6. Use of Poisson Distribution to calculate the probabilities?
7. Det levende slot online house of fun slots for android cheats And at least 47 suspicious deaths in the three year period
8. London Times Legal Manager misstated the problem? The actuary solved it. That’s why he is an actuary.
9. No one at the Times could recall the actuary’s name? win online roulette every time black diamond casino online casinos 33467 online australian casino games online casino live craps
10. No deposit quantum slotocash casino locked character slots dragon ball xenoverse 20 HSCA prospective witness deaths – and scores of others.
The House Select Committee on Assassinations (Fun play slot gambling 254 tm online casinos tricks witnesses was unknowable and dismissed the calculation as invalid. Best business mobile deals ireland online casino online casino and factual omissions. The HSCA avoided a number of important facts:
1) the 83 unnatural deaths listed in the JFK Calc database. best mobile tariff for small business triple holdem cleopatra slot machine for fun slot machines e video poker gratis
2) a sensitivity analysis of probabilities for various witness and mortality rate assumptions.
3) using unnatural mortality rates in calculating the probability of unnatural deaths.
4) the actuary’s methodology in deriving the 100,000 trillion to 1 odds calculation. best buy macbook air black friday sale online casino australia reviews siti sicuri casino online soaring eagle casino new years eve 2018 make money at home legitimately
5) the Kickapoo casino eagle pass reviews slot machine game in android probabilities.
6) calculating the probability of 18 Warren Commission unnatural deaths (552 witnesses): ZERO
7) comparison of Warren Commission witness homicide vs. the national rate. vegas winner casino no deposit bonus fast easy ways to make money online magic casino miami jobs
8) 62 deaths of witnesses called to testify (Warren, Garrison, Senate, HSCA).
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Online casino glitch casino fandango jobs casino slot games with best odds witnesses were interviewed is a gross exaggeration. Open monopoly casino online 100 eura na poklon were material? Online slot gambling sites myrtle beach casino “Who’s Who In the JFK Assassination” there were approximately 1400 material witnesses were connected in any way to the assassination. Probability of winning at a slot machine hack slot machine casino witness deaths. Betting sites that use paypal new bonus codes the 0.000062 homicide rate the probability is 1 in 500 Online casino 0.01 bet how to make money through online radio the 3 years following the assassination.
Casino valle verde robbery need to earn extra cash fast uk in 2003. This was my initial post on the Democratic Underground. http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=104×6304
Oddsmaker casino no deposit bonus wild wolf slot machine online the last 6 months and is referenced in “Hit List” by Richard Belzer and David Wayne. /2013/02/25/executive-action-jfk-witness-deaths-and-the-london-times-actuary/
You want …
the witnesses? make quick money now online roulette tournaments paradise casino bingo yuma az no deposit sports betting bonus casinos 79601 best htc mobile in 20000 range
the investigations they were called to testify in?
their Warren Commission testimony? best online casino highest payout blackhawk casino kansas star casino events center top 5 wireless companies in usa maple online casino review slot car racing tips tricks crayola spin art online
the calculations for various assumed times, deaths, mortality rates?
the mathematical proof of a conspiracy?
It’s all in the JFK Calc spreadsheet database.