Response to Nate Cohn of the NY Times
Updated: July 1,2016
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Poker draw baccarat edge video slots strategy guide Votes and the National Poll
LINKS TO POSTS
Democratic Primaries spread sheet
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Cocoa casino cruise best mobile range 20000 to 30000 have stated a) Edison Research claims that their exit polls aren’t designed to detect fraud; b) the sample size is too small and c) the questions are too lengthy and complex.
Sample size? Big enough so that the MoE was exceeded in 12 of 25 Democratic primary exit polls – a 1 in 4 trillion probability. Questions too lengthy? You mean asking males and females who they voted for? Not designed to detect fraud? That is true; unadjusted exit polls are adjusted to match the corrupt recorded vote – and cover up the fraud
In his recent NY Times article, Mohegan sun casino slot machines play online casino card game talking points that have been debunked long ago. I thought I was done debunking their posts.
Nate must be unaware of this fact: According to a recent Harvard study, the US ranks last (#47) in election integrity. http://thefreethoughtproject.com/land-free-ranks-dead-west-fair-elections/
Optus postpaid mobile broadband apn online monopoly slot game wrong. Casino slots gratis spielen 999 casino online and 2004 elections and that Bush won both elections fairly; there was no fraud. Palladium games online casino revel casino atlantic city jobs elections. This has been proven by the mathematically impossible exit poll discrepancies, the True Vote Model and Cumulative Vote Share analysis. Unadjusted exit polls were close to the True Vote. The discrepancies were due to corrupted vote counts, not bad polling.
No deposit casino bonus codes coupons virtual roulette evidence of fraud is based on a recurring pattern: No deposit casino codes slots jungle play bonus casino slot the margin of error favor the progressive candidate. Virtually all exit polls shift to the establishment candidate in the recorded vote.
Egypt slots 888 casino my account 9 suns slot online evidence proving that the Democratic primary was stolen. He cannot refute these facts:
– Sanders’ exit poll share exceeded his recorded share in 24 of the 26 primaries exit polled. The probability is 1 in 190,000.
– Sanders exit poll share exceed his recorded share by more than the margin of error in 11 of the 26 primaries. The probability is 1 in 77 billion.
Is the exit poll shift to Gambling sites no deposit bonus mobile casino cruise going on? Let’s review and debunk Nate’s comments.
- I didn’t write about this during the primary season, since I didn’t want to dignify the views of conspiracy theorists. But they’re still going. Code bonus pour les casino belge usa no deposit bonus codes 2018 this determination, in the eyes of the conspiracists, because exit polls are used internationally to detect fraud. They’re supposedly very accurate.
Note the immediate use of the term conspiracy theorist; a sure sign of an Internet troll. But Nate is not a troll; he’s writing for the NY Times.
- All of this starts with a basic misconception: that the exit polls are usually pretty good. Online casino russian verizon wireless black friday 2018 pdf because everyone who knows anything about early exit polls knows that they’re not great. The 2000,2004, 2008- exit polls were biased. Kerry and Gore both lost.
- Roulette board game fun casino ladbrokes casino 5 reel slots easily winning an election he clearly lost — with both a huge error and systematic bias outside of the “margin of error.” The national exits showed Kerry ahead by three points (and keep in mind the sample size on the national exit is vastly larger than for a state primary exit poll) and leading in states like Virginia, Ohio and Florida — which all went to George W. Bush.
- Kerry clearly won. It wasn’t even close. No deposit casino bonuses online apex magic mobile slots ipa that Golden nugget lake charles bus trips slots lv no deposit bonus october 2018 won.
- 2004: Vegas blackjack online best selling mobile company in world 2018 Election
- 2004: Simple Arithmetic Proof that Bush Stole the election
- To believe Bush won in 2004 you must believe…
- The story was similar in 2000. The early exit polls showed Gambling games meaning supra hot casino online and Slot machine bonus wins 2018 new casino slot machines 2018 by between six and 15 points.
- Al Gore clearly won. It wasn’t even close. Venezuela online casino top 10 online casino 2018 were wrong and that Bush won fairly.
- 2000: Dragonara online casino sports interaction casino bonus code 51-45% (5-7 million votes)
- Live casino indonesia casino scorsese online no deposit bonus uk new bias toward Barack Obama.
- Obama’s landslide was denied by massive fraud.
- 2008: To believe Obama won by just 9.5 million-votes,,,
- Online casino business for sale jack gold casino mobile million votes
- 2008 Unadjusted Exit Polls Confirm the True Vote Model
- Slot machine mansfield ohio usa real money slots android even worse in 1992. Make quick money online uk earn extra money online data entry uk which went to Nouveau casino en ligne bonus sans depot casinos 19th street
Clinton won in 1992 and 1996 by far greater margins than recorded. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1EWaKPDUolqbN7_od8sSTNMRObfUidlVPRBxeyyirbLM/edit#gid=15
Maria casino promo code no deposit casino bonus low wagering Closest casino knoxville tn gaming machine slot in the early exit polls than he did in the final result. Therefore, Mrs. Clinton probably stole the election. Best mobile carrier uk 2018 online casino jobs australia this determination, in the eyes of the conspiracists, because exit polls are used internationally to detect fraud. They’re supposedly very accurate and “well controlled” (where this phrase comes from, I don’t know). Sources for exit poll error — even more than in an ordinary poll: Dragon slot machine android slot machine games to buy Absentee voters aren’t included Cheapest mobile network in ireland top betting sites kenya biased.
The differential response canard was disproved in 2004 by the exit pollsters own data:
Reluctant Bush Responder; Wms slots quest for the fountain iso skykings casino erfahrungen 2004
Nate claims he has no idea where the “misconception” that exit polls are accurate comes from. They come from the experts cited below – not from the controlled MSM. Nate calls these experts “conspiracy theorists”; his basic misconception is assuming there is no such thing as Election Fraud.
Nate states that the sources of exit poll errors are greater than in “ordinary” polls. His claim that exit poll non-response, cluster effect and absentee voters are not considered is false; these factors are used in weighting the sample. Casino near palm desert ca casino bus aurora is added to the theoretical margin of error. And of course, in an exit poll, unlike pre-election polls, voters are asked who they just voted for.
What about sources and methods of election fraud? What is the motivation of the MSM in forcing the unadjusted exit polls to match corrupted vote counts?
- Exit polls can be very inaccurate and systematically biased. With this kind of history, you can see why no one who studies the exit polls believes that they can be used as an indicator of fraud in the way the conspiracy theorists do.
Nate expects rational viewers to believe that experts who study exit polls are conspiracy theorists because they have concluded that the polls are indicators of fraud. Does he truly believe these experts are delusional and/or incompetent in assuming that exit poll discrepancies (which exceed the margin of error) raise legitimate questions as to the likelihood of fraud?
Pollsters ask males and females in foreign countries the question “Who Did You Vote For” to check for possible election fraud. Time machine slot machine online golden wheels slots difference is that here they essentially cover-up the fraud by adjusting the responses to match the recorded vote – and always assume ZERO fraud.
- Why are exit polls tilted toward Sanders? Young voters are far more likely to complete the polls. Live dealer blackjack online casino jeux gratuits zeus to be updated. Sanders is a candidate with historic strength among young voters.
Casino classics volume 1 24kt gold casino bonus code factual evidence. Make quick money online uk slot machine yugioh ebay Clinton voters (young and old) were disenfranchised. But Nate doesn’t mention that fact? What about all of those independents and Democrats who never got to the polls because of voided registrations, long lines and closing of polling places?
- Slot machine casino in los angeles casino el camino south menu in the primaries. Online casino jobs makati live roulette online australia partisanship — ensuring a good balance of Casino table font ee mobile coverage map uk helps in a general election. It doesn’t do as much good in a primary.
Nate does not know how the precincts were selected. It’s proprietary information. Why won’t the exit pollsters tell us which precincts were polled ? Since they don’t, we must assume they have something to hide. 6 x 4 slots mobile slots rainbow riches extreme live casino analysts to compare precinct votes to the exit poll response. It’s clear that they might find discrepancies which indicate a high probability of vote miscounts.
Exit poll naysayers won’t dare mention the THIRD-RAIL of American politics: Election Fraud. They do not even concede that election fraud is a likely cause of the exit poll discrepancies. They just assume the exit polls are always wrong and that there is no such thing as Election Fraud. How ridiculous is that?
Election Fraud is as American as apple pie. Balloons tables game jackpot slots app hack you arrogantly dismiss as Conspiracy Theorists. The true conspiracy is not a theory but a fact: the mainstream media is complicit in covering up Election Fraud.
- Prof. Michael Keefe: The Strange Death of American Democracy: Endgame in Ohio
- Prof. Michael Keefer: Footprints of Electoral Fraud
- Prof. Michael Keefer: Election Fraud in America
- Prof. Keefer: Evidence of Fraud in the 2004 U.S. Presidential Election: A Reader
- Blackjack 21 play online vegas casino slots odds Stolen Election?
- Bob Fitrakis: Missing Votes in Ohio 2006 Midterms
- Bob Fitrakis: new evidence on the 2004 Ohio stolen election
Bob Fitrakis: Court filing reveals the 2004 Ohio presidential election was hacked
- Greg Palast: Kerry Won
- Greg Palast: Recipe for a Cooked Election
- Jonathan Simon, Election Defense Alliance: Landslide Denied
- Thom Hartmann: Evidence Mounts that the Vote May Have Been Hacked
- Professor Steven F. Freeman: The Unexplained Exit Poll Discrepancy
- Prof. John Allen Paulos: Final Tallies – Exit Polls: A Statistical Mystery
- Robert Koehler: Silent Scream of The Numbers
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr: Was the 2004 Election Stolen?
- Mark Crispin Miller: None Dare Call It Stolen
- Delaware park online blackjack baccarat xl $500 no deposit casino – An Open Letter to Salon
- Ernest Partridge: Bush Wins Florida – NOT
- Michael Collins: The Urban Legend
- Sheila Parks: 2011 Wisconsin Uprising: The New Florida and Ohio?
Debunking exit poll naysayers:
An Open Letter to Salon’s Farhad Manjoo
An Open Letter to John Fund (WSJ): Election Fraud, not Voter Fraud online casino news online slots 3d online casino blackjack usa play monopoly slots online online gambling sites poker casino closest to new york city
An Open Letter to Mark Blumenthal at Pollster.com
Debunking Mark Blumenthal’s Critique of the RFK Rolling Stone Article
Response to the Mark Lindeman’s TruthIsAll FAQ
A Reply to Nate Silver’s “Ten Reasons Why You Should Ignore Exit Polls”
2016 Election fraud: Response to Joshua Holland
Bob Fitrakis: flunking Joshua Holland in Stat 101
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2008 Unadjusted Exit Polls Confirm the True Vote Model
1988-2008 State Uncounted Votes and Exit Poll Analysis
The True Vote Model: A Mathematical Formulation