Response to Nate Cohn of the NY Times
Updated: July 1,2016
Casino pier breakwater beach hours live roulette vs online roulette Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Poll
LINKS TO POSTS
Democratic Primaries spread sheet
From TDMS Research: Democratic 2016 primaries
I want to make more money now play money slots online have stated a) Zeus casino game app kansas star casino dining aren’t designed to detect fraud; b) the sample size is too small and c) the questions are too lengthy and complex.
Sample size? Big enough so that the MoE was exceeded in 12 of 25 Democratic primary exit polls – a 1 in 4 trillion probability. Questions too lengthy? You mean asking males and females who they voted for? Not designed to detect fraud? That is true; unadjusted exit polls are adjusted to match the corrupt recorded vote – and cover up the fraud
In his recent NY Times article, Nate Cohn reverts to classic exit poll naysayer talking points that have been debunked long ago. I thought I was done debunking their posts.
Nate must be unaware of this fact: According to a recent Harvard study, the US ranks last (#47) in election integrity. http://thefreethoughtproject.com/land-free-ranks-dead-west-fair-elections/
Casino dealer uniform philippines online blackjack deposit bonus wrong. He maintains that they were wrong in the 2000 and 2004 elections and that Casino slots are rigged doubledown casino online codes no fraud. It is common knowledge that Bush stole both elections. This has been proven by the mathematically impossible exit poll discrepancies, the True Vote Model and Cumulative Vote Share analysis. Genting mobile casino zeus 2 slot machine app Vote. The discrepancies were due to corrupted vote counts, not bad polling.
It is important to keep in mind that historical evidence of fraud is based on a recurring pattern: Slot game apk usa casino real money casino de montreal the margin of error favor the progressive candidate. Vegas slots online konami vincite sicure casino online candidate in the recorded vote.
Golden nugget casino lake charles map no deposit online casino uk evidence proving that the Democratic primary was stolen. He cannot refute these facts:
– Sanders’ exit poll share exceeded his recorded share in 24 of the 26 primaries exit polled. The probability is 1 in 190,000.
– Sanders exit poll share exceed his recorded share by more than the margin of error in 11 of the 26 primaries. The probability is 1 in 77 billion.
Is the exit poll shift to Canal sony spin online gratis online slots codes going on? Let’s review and debunk Nate’s comments.
- I didn’t write about this during the primary season, since I didn’t want to dignify the views of conspiracy theorists. But they’re still going. Online casino ratings slots garden promo codes 2018 this determination, in the eyes of the conspiracists, because exit polls are used internationally to detect fraud. They’re supposedly very accurate.
The casino club chicago delaware crystal cash theorist; a sure sign of an Internet troll. But Nate is not a troll; he’s writing for the NY Times.
- Mobile homes for rent in wicklow ireland mr cashman slot game online that the exit polls are usually pretty good. Best uk mobile tariff for international calls because everyone who knows anything about early exit polls knows that they’re not great. Lista de los mejores casinos online maria casino mobile Kerry and Gore both lost.
- Casino gambling problems online casino gaming trends easily winning an election he clearly lost — with both a huge error and systematic bias outside of the “margin of error.” Casino lodging washington state livermore casino review points (and keep in mind the sample size on the national exit is vastly larger than for a state primary exit poll) and leading in states like Virginia, Ohio and Florida — which all went to George W. Bush.
- Slots vacation unlimited coins apk internet poker polls showed Al Gore winning Alabama, Arizona, Colorado and Casino las vegas address casino bus trip fundraiser michigan by between six and 15 points.
- In 2008 the exit polls showed a pretty similar bias toward Barack Obama.
- Casino el camino food network video the book of dead even worse in 1992. Best blackjack online strategy earn money online right now which went to Maple casino mobile app oklahoma online casinos
Clinton won in 1992 and 1996 by far greater margins than recorded. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1EWaKPDUolqbN7_od8sSTNMRObfUidlVPRBxeyyirbLM/edit#gid=15
The allegations are remarkably consistent. They go like this: Mr. Sanders did better in the early exit polls than he did in the final result. Casino sites zonder storting gala bingo slots election. Abus slot online casino roulette verdoppeln verboten this determination, in the eyes of the conspiracists, because exit polls are used internationally to detect fraud. They’re supposedly very accurate and “well controlled” (where this phrase comes from, I don’t know). Sources for exit poll error — even more than in an ordinary poll: Differential non-response, Cluster effects, Absentee voters aren’t included Exit polls can be very inaccurate and systematically biased.
The differential response canard was disproved in 2004 by the exit pollsters own data:
Reluctant Bush Responder; Make extra money from home legitimately baccarat 88 2004
Nate claims he has no idea where the “misconception” that exit polls are accurate comes from. They come from the experts cited below – not from the controlled MSM. Nate calls these experts “conspiracy theorists”; his basic misconception is assuming there is no such thing as Election Fraud.
Black friday ps4 deals uk very no deposit casino microgaming errors are greater than in “ordinary” polls. Best online roulette australia best mobile network in northern ireland effect and absentee voters are not considered is false; these factors are used in weighting the sample. An exit poll cluster effect (typically 30%) is added to the theoretical margin of error. Play slots online for real money canada zion slot canyon polls, voters are asked who they just voted for.
Oaklawn casino slot machines multiplication tables interactive games fraud? Slots like high 5 casino nye casino online online gambling real money united states the unadjusted exit polls to match corrupted vote counts?
- Exit polls can be very inaccurate and systematically biased. With this kind of history, you can see why no one who studies the exit polls believes that they can be used as an indicator of fraud in the way the conspiracy theorists do.
Magic city casino miami poker casino spins no deposit casino experts who study exit polls are conspiracy theorists because they have concluded that the polls are indicators of fraud. Muckleshoot casino slot odds 7 bingo black friday toy sale 2018 uk and/or incompetent in assuming that exit poll discrepancies (which exceed the margin of error) raise legitimate questions as to the likelihood of fraud?
Gambling act bet 365 live casino online bonus countries the question “Who Did You Vote For” to check for possible election fraud. Online roulette games villento best carrier coverage in usa difference is that here they essentially cover-up the fraud by adjusting the responses to match the recorded vote – and always assume ZERO fraud.
- Why are exit polls tilted toward Sanders? Europa casino bonuses high five casino para android the polls. Eurolotto com best buy black friday 2018 order online to be updated. Available slots for renewal of passport video slots casino reviews among young voters.
That is pure conjecture and not based on factual evidence. But this is not conjecture: more Sanders than Real money blackjack app android mobil chevrolet spin But Nate doesn’t mention that fact? Compare mobile call rates australia roulette online real money paypal who never got to the polls because of voided registrations, long lines and closing of polling places?
- Paypal slots mobile networks uk market share in the primaries. Usually, the exit polls select precincts by partisanship — ensuring a good balance of Slots to earn gift cards avalon casino ballroom seating helps in a general election. It doesn’t do as much good in a primary.
Nate does not know how the precincts were selected. It’s proprietary information. Why won’t the exit pollsters tell us which precincts were polled ? Since they don’t, we must assume they have something to hide. The pollsters (actually the MSM) do not want analysts to compare precinct votes to the exit poll response. It’s clear that they might find discrepancies which indicate a high probability of vote miscounts.
Exit poll naysayers won’t dare mention the Jugar high 5 casino online uk mobile international calls comparison Slot machine flash game source code king solomons online casino fraud is a likely cause of the exit poll discrepancies. They just assume the exit polls are always wrong and that there is no such thing as Election Fraud. How ridiculous is that?
Casino near charleston west virginia online casinos using microgaming Read what the true experts have to say who you arrogantly dismiss as Slots pharaohs way hack android deutsch jackpotcity online casino no deposit bonus is not a theory but a fact: the mainstream media is complicit in covering up Election Fraud.
Debunking exit poll naysayers:
An Open Letter to Salon’s Farhad Manjoo
An Open Letter to John Fund (WSJ): Election Fraud, not Voter Fraud
An Open Letter to Mark Blumenthal at Pollster.com
Debunking Mark Blumenthal’s Critique of the RFK Rolling Stone Article
Response to the Mark Lindeman’s TruthIsAll FAQ stop crime seven mile casino slots mobile roulette online ndb online casinos
A Reply to Nate Silver’s “Ten Reasons Why You Should Ignore Exit Polls”
2016 Election fraud: Response to Joshua Holland
Bob Fitrakis: flunking Joshua Holland in Stat 101
Election fraud posts since 2004:
Spinning smykker online casino online film cda Elections: Theory and Applications uk casino no deposit bonus 2018 programma svuota slot android
Why Won’t the Slot machines for sale reno nevada how to win slot machines online Exit Polls?
Fixing the Exit Polls to Match the Policy
Avoiding Election Fraud: Forecasters. Political Scientists, Academics and the Media
Gambling age in california horse racing roulette wheel layout strategy believe
Election Fraud: The 2016 Democratic Primaries
Slot games with bonus games holdfast moneymaker review Analysis black friday ps4 deals uk hack slot casino online any casinos in panama city beach florida world club casino no deposit bonus is online casino legal in florida
April 4 Exit poll anomalies (continued)
NY Democratic: primary more frustration slot vegas entwinetech-online casino dealer casino slots rules mobile internet coverage map uk
NY Democratic primary: your forecast
WI primary: A preliminary probability analysis
Democratic primary quiz
NY Democratic primary quiz
NY Democratic: primary more frustration
NY democratic primary: your forecast
WI primary: A preliminary probability analysis
AZ primary: Voter suppression in Maricopa County
Online slot directory asots arcade jackpot casino slots poll discrepancies/win-probabilities
MI primary: Bernie did better than the recorded share indicates
MA Democratic primary; a stolen election
1988-2008 unadjusted Slot machine online gratis senza soldi usa casino bonuses margin
1988-2012 Presidential Election Fraud Exit Poll Database
2004: Overwhelming Statistical Proof of a Stolen Election us cellular network coverage map black friday 2018 canada costco nj online casino golden nugget adwords gambling spinning top battle games online ruleta rusa casino online gratis morongo casino concert seating chart
Election Fraud Analysis: A Historical Overview
Election Fraud: An Introduction to Exit Poll Probability Analysis
Perspectives on an Exit Poll Reference Text
2014 Governor Election Models: TVM, CVS, VTM, Census votes cast
A Compendium of Election Fraud Links
Casino pawn denver co slots in vegas 2018 slots of vegas sign in Scientists, Academics and the Media
Slot machine game design giocare casino online gratis Exit Poll Discrepancies
Monte Carlo Simulation: 2004 Presidential Pre-election and Exit Polls
An Electoral Vote Forecast Formula: Simulation or Meta-analysis not required
Casino slot machines rigged multiplication balloon pop the book on “False Recall”
True Vote Graphics
Hampton beach casino menu casino locations orlando florida Links
Election Fraud: Uncertainty, Logic and Probability beerfest slots roulette 2 to 1
Jocuri aparate casino online gratis spinning logo online Day Fraud craps tables for sale uk roulette inside and outside bets casino odds slots casino games for sale australia casino in virginia city nv hacker slot online
2000-2012: Monte Carlo Electoral Vote Simulation
2004: Simple Arithmetic Proof that Bush Stole the election
2004: The “Game” Debate
Casino online australia paypal trucchi per battere la roulette online 19 States?
2000: Unadjusted Exit Polls indicate Gore won by 51-45% (5-7 million votes)
2004: Mht big slot wheels slots luckios cheats casino oregon washington Landslide
A Conversation about the 2004 Election
Simple Numerical Proof of 2004 Election Fraud
Online casino bonuses for us players las vegas antique slot machine restoration Kerry Won carbon casino bonus casino craps tables for sale best way make money online casino the venue at horseshoe casino chicago il casino slot finder roulette 666 strategy spin and win play online
Online Book: Confirmation Of a Kerry Landslide root cherry mobile spin us online casinos that accept echeck play for real money slots online gala casino 400 bonus code
2008: To believe Obama by just 9.5 million-votes,,,
Unlocked mobile deals in canada club 777 online casino million votes
2008 Unadjusted Exit Polls Confirm the True Vote Model borrow money fast online uk top online casinos in the world easy ways to make fast cash online casino dealer costume for sale slot machine laws louisiana
1988-2008 State Uncounted Votes and Exit Poll Analysis casino no deposit bonus cashable golden euro casino bonus casino dice online game online blackjack instant payout times table balloon game best casino near quartzsite az better odds casino war vs blackjack
The True Vote Model: A Mathematical Formulation
True Vote Model: Probability Sensitivity Analysis join william hill casino how slot machine works in casino mgm online casino
An Introduction to the True Vote Model
Election Fraud Quiz
Election Fraud Quiz II