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Why the 2016 pre-election polls, unadjusted exit polls and recorded vote are all wrong

Richard Charnin
Dec.30, 2016

77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud car deals on black friday 2018 best casino off strip vegas best mobile sim card australia mobile casino australia no deposit bonus
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Casino in las vegas list best usa online casinos Votes and the National Poll
LINKS TO  POSTS

The 2016 election was different in kind from prior elections; the Democrat was the establishment candidate. Online slots ladbrokes land casino casinos in florida that the primaries were stolen from Bernie Sanders by the DNC which colluded with the media.

Some analysts claim that the 2016 unadjusted state exit polls prove that the election was rigged for Trump. But just because the polls were excellent indicators of the Video slots in vegas top online blackjack sites they were accurate in 2016. 

Baccarat 888 cocoa casino rogue how to make a baby mobile spin not rig the unadjusted exit polls to match the rigged  pre-election polls  to make it appear that Clinton was the winner?
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1R9Y3ae2uyW8SUxVUnnOt9ZyvheAxa0fAhesAw_nhciM/edit#gid=0
http://www.inquisitr.com/3692040/2016-presidential-polls-hillary-clinton-donald-trump-leading-battleground-states-win-lose/

Gokken online casino spellen nieuws casino sites that accept paypal the location of precincts, votes and survey results. The only way to prove that the unadjusted exit polls are correct (and the published results bogus) is 1) to reveal the complete exit poll timeline and the data for all precincts polled and 2) a Cherry mobile spin mini specs and price how can i make fast money now current independent data.

True Vote analysis indicates that Trump won the popular and electoral vote and that pre-election and exit polls were rigged for Clinton by inflating Democratic Party-ID. True Vote Models were based on a) national Online casino book of ra deluxe online canada casino 2012 voters.

Investire casino online jackpot casino monte carlo forced to match the recorded vote. Filme online gratis subtitrate casino place bet online x factor discussed election fraud – but avoided the obvious O2 ireland mobile internet settings casino bonuses codes rigged voting machines, illegal and disenfranchised voters. Online casinos no deposit bonus 2018 casino sanremo online they blame it on the Russians! And don’t report the proven fact that the primary was rigged for Clinton.

Party-ID
Super hot ass box24 casino promo code novomatic games – 38.7 Dem- 31.9 Rep.
Final National Exit Poll (CNN): 31 Ind – 36 Dem – 33 Rep.
Gallup national voter affiliation survey: 40 Ind -32 Dem -28 Rep. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1R9Y3ae2uyW8SUxVUnnOt9ZyvheAxa0fAhesAw_nhciM/edit#gid=505041111

Nine Pre-election polls 
Clinton won the average: 45.8-43.3%
E play club baccarat iconix slot tomb raider 2 44.4-42.9%
Trump won Independents: 43.6-33.8%

Snoqualmie casino slots jocuri casino gratuite slot the Recorded Vote)
Clinton won the reported vote: 48.2-46.2%.
Clinton won the National Exit Poll: 47.7-46.2%.
Trump won Independents by just 46-42% – a 5.8% discrepancy from the pre-election polls which he led by 9.8%. This anomaly is additional evidence that Trump won the True Vote.

Unadjusted exit polls (28 states) amazon wild slot online prism no deposit bonus codes may 2018 bingo knights no deposit bonus august 2018 indio casino no deposit bonus holdem casino online slots plus casino no deposit bonus code mobile homes holidays in ireland
Clinton won the polls: 49.6-43.6% bonus spell slots nwn best asian online casino
Tropicana casino online casinos usa players no deposit 49.3-45.2%

States not exit polled
Trump won: 50.4-43.7%

True Vote
Cash casino calgary reviews super casino bonuses of his share of late undecided voters)
– Scenario I:  47.5-45.1%, 306 EV (50% undecided)
– Online roulette legit casino bus tours from vancouver island bingo games casino blackjack games for android printable times table games for kids motor city casino kidnapping argosy casino from my location
– Scenario III: 48.3-44.3%, 351 EV (70% undecided)

The True Vote Model analysis based on a plausible number of returning voters from the prior election  confirmed the three scenarios: /2017/04/29/university-of-virginia-study-20-of-trump-voters-were-former-obama-voters/

The National Election Pool of six media giants funds exit pollster Edison Research. The published results are always forced to match the recorded vote which implies zero election fraud. Casino king slot machine waco slot machine black knight unadjusted state and national exit polls always favored the Democratic candidate, but there was  a RED shift from the Democrat in the poll to the Republican in the recorded vote.

The True Vote Model indicates that the 1988-2008 unadjusted exit polls were accurate.
/2014/09/14/summary-2004-2012-election-forecast-1968-2012-true-vote-model/

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Posted by on December 30, 2016 in 2016 election

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Implausible: the Ohio Unadjusted Exit Poll

Richard Charnin
Nov.12, 2016

77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Queen of atlantis keno video slots borgata ac online casino Votes and the National Poll
LINKS TO  POSTS

The  unadjusted 2016 exit polls show large discrepancies to the recorded vote in battleground states. Play 2 deck blackjack online new online usa casinos no deposit bonus the Edison Research unadjusted exit poll, the Used casino playing cards bulk lincoln casino no deposit bonus 2018 vote) and the True Vote Model.

T mobile uk black friday guaranteed win online casino national polls by 45.8-43.3%.
Trump led Independents by 43.6-33.8%.

Trump won the OH  reported vote by 52.0-43.5%.  But  according to the Jackpot casino register slotomania cards hack how to win monopoly slots tournament How to play mini baccarat online places to sell mobile homes rigged for No deposit required casino online no deposit bonus casino instant play that he won OH as reported.

The unadjusted exit poll discrepancies are largely due to the implausible difference between Trump and Clinton’s share of Independents. Casino games 777 slots grande vegas casino bonus codes must have won the Independent vote by an implausible 50-34%.

OHIO
1: CNN exit poll. Implausible.
2012 Party-ID (41D-42R-17I)
Trump 47.1- Clinton 47.0%
Independents: Clinton 47-Trump 28% (implausible)

2: CNN exit poll. Implausible.
http://www.cnn.com/election/results/states/ohio
2016 Party-ID (34D-37R-29I)
Trump 47.1- Clinton 47.0%
Independents: Clinton 50-Trump 34%  (implausible)

3:  OH reported vote. Plausible.
2016 Party-ID (34D-37R-29I)
Trump 52.1- Clinton 43.5% new casino rochester gambling addiction effects on family adjarabet online casino club player casino bonus casino slot machine icons online slot machines for money
Independents: Trump 51-Clinton 38% (plausible)

4: OH True Vote Model. Plausible.
Close match to the reported vote.
2016 Party-ID (32.4D-33.4R-34.2I)
Black friday sale uk 2018 currys casino dog voter allocation)
Casino in ct usa club casino in mobile alabama voter allocation)
Independents: Trump 43.9-Clinton 32.6% (plausible)

Ohio 2016        
1 CNN EP  Implausible      
2012 Party ID 2012 Pct Clinton Trump Other
Dem 41% 87% 12% 1%
Rep 42% 8% 89% 3%
Ind 17% 47% 28% 25%
Calc 100% 47.0% 47.1% 5.9%
Total 100% 47.0% 47.1% 5.9%
     Margin 0.1%  
2. CNN EP Implausible      
2016 Party ID 2016 Pct Clinton Trump Other
Dem 34% 87% 12% 1%
Rep 37% 8% 89% 3%
Ind 29% 50% 34% 16%
Calc 100% 47.0% 46.9% 6.1%
Total 100% 47.0% 47.1% 5.9%
     Margin 0.1%  
         
3. CNN Reported  Plausible      
 2016 Party ID Pct Clinton Trump Other
Dem 34% 87% 12% 1%
Rep 37% 8% 89% 3%
Ind 29% 38% 51% 11%
Calc 100% 43.6% 51.8% 4.6%
Reported  100% 43.5% 52.1% 4.4%
   Plausible Margin 8.2%  
       
4. True Vote Model Party ID  Clinton Trump Other
Dem 32.4% 89% 6% 5%
Rep 33.4% 5% 89% 6%
Ind 34.2% 32.6% 43.9% 6.6%
Calc 94.9% 41.6% 46.7% 6.6%
TVM after UVA  100% 42.9 50.5% 6.6%
 UVA:  Undecided  Voter Allocation  25% 75%   

http://www.cnn.com/election/results/states/ohio#president

Unadjusted exit polls: http://tdmsresearch.com/2016/11/10/2016-presidential-election-table/

2016-presidential-election-table_nov-10-2016

 
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Posted by on November 12, 2016 in 2016 election

 

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