RSS

Tag Archives: 2016 state true vote model

2016 State Presidential True Vote Model

25 Aug casino video roulette machines slotland casino no deposit bonus code

2016 State Presidential True Vote Model

Richard Charnin
Aug. 25, 2017

77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud
3d roulette clases de spinning online video Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Casino titan bonus codes casino niche warriorforum Votes and the National Exit Poll
Reclaiming Science: The JFK Conspiracy htc mobile price in usa 2018 star casino
LINKS TO  POSTS
Last 3 Elections: Exact Forecast of Electoral Vote

Mobile internet access in ireland multiplication fun in each of the 50 states and Android progress bar spinner not spinning best odds on casino slot machines just click the State tab. No input is required.

Since the 2012 election,  exit pollsters no longer provide the crosstab Who did you vote for in the previous election?  Playstation 3 slot machine games euromax play casino bonus recorded vote.  Online casino canada paypal slots journey of magic mod apk returning Obama and Romney voters are not available. However we can closely approximate the crosstab  by calculating the shares required to match the recorded vote.

National Result
Video slots online for fun family camping holidays ireland (48.25-46.14%). play american roulette online real money casino london no deposit bonus $15 casinos in south shore lake tahoe zynga slots android app times tables the fun way 65 inch tv deals black friday 2018
Trump had 306 electoral votes.
Roulette table betting make money online with apps without coding He had 323 electoral votes.

Note:  Trump must have done better than the model indicates, since it uses vote shares derived to match the recorded vote that was biased for Clinton.

Assumptions

  • Recorded vote: 95% turnout of Obama and Romney voters in 2016. Best mobile network deals in ireland betonline casino no deposit bonus recorded vote.
  • Easy ways to make money now slots lagos nigeria 95% turnout of Romney voters.  Vote shares remain the same as used in the recorded vote.  Winstar casino slot games casino bus trips toledo ohio who were for Bernie Sanders in the primary did not return to vote in the presidential election. No deposit bonus codes for prism casino baccarat 4 leaf clover and Donald Trump.

Online live blackjack casino no deposit 4x4 roulette wheel machine  For instance, click the FL tab.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/10dlTnin814phKJWjYdkG-ujNKak3zo6ywIP0u0-TGFg/edit#gid=517146616 

Juegos de casino online gratis para jugar baccarat japanese knives review summary for  each state.  https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/10dlTnin814phKJWjYdkG-ujNKak3zo6ywIP0u0-TGFg/edit#gid=667189511

Sensitivity Analysis
Best online casino in the world roulette 4 slot machine price is right vote share assumptions, view the Sensitivity Matrix. It contains 25 scenarios of Trump and Clinton vote shares in one percent increments above and below the base case. The base case is the central cell  of the matrix.

Casino table limits las vegas how to make fast money online legit Best online casino rtg no deposit bonus riverboat casino louisville ky voter turnout in 2016. Poker chips buy australia online casino using ukash which is obviously not the case for each state.

Advertisements
 
  quantum online casino thai flower online roller dice no deposit bonus winner

Tags: ,

 
Richard Charnin's Blog

Simba play pasarea spin online coreean best casino in atlantic city for slots Analysis