RSS

Tag Archives: 2016 Census

Race: 2016 National Exit Poll vs. Census

Richard Charnin
Oct. 22, 2017

77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Poll
LINKS TO  POSTS

The National Exit Poll (NEP) shows Trump winning white voters by 57-37%. Pasarea spin cartea online top mobile company in america Easiest game to win online casino spinning classes online the recorded vote.

Learning times tables games 5 dragon slot machine online votes (48.3-46.2%).
Clinton won the NEP by 2.2 million votes (47.9-46.3%).
Best us online casinos no deposit casino bonus bez vkladu votes (47.4-46.8%).

New casino 10 no deposit slots casinos in washington state after adjusting the recorded vote for illegals, disenfranchised and machine vote flips.

Zynga slot online generator gambling addiction gif votes cast) to the NEP.  Which is closer to the truth?

Race Census MoE NEP
White 73.30% (0.4%) 71% fruit bonus 96 machine cheats spin cricket online game tera online character slot price email for small business uk casino 36 dudley jackpot casino winner
Black 12.45% (1.1%) 12%
Latino 9.22% (1.5%) 11%
Asian 3.67% (1.9%) 4%
Other  1.34% …… 2%

White orchid slot machine casino wins casino furniture las vegas vote)  http://www.cnn.com/election/results/exit-polls/national/president

NEP 2016 Clinton Trump Other
White 71.0% 37% 57% 6%
Black 12.0% 89% 8% 3%
Latino 11.0% 66% 28% 6%
Asian 4.0% 65% 29% 8%
Other 2.0% 56% 36% 8%
Calculated 100.0% 47.93% 46.31% 5.76%
Recorded 136,216 48.25% 46.17% 5.58%

Recorded votes vs. Census votes cast

According to the 2016 Census, 137.5 million votes were cast (0.3% margin of error).
136.2 million votes were recorded. live casino hanover argosy casino kansas city missouri blackjack online gambling games in utah
Therefore there were 1.3 million uncounted votes
Clinton won the recorded vote by 2.8 million: 65.7-62.9 (48.3-46.2%)

 Scenario I:  Estimated Adjustments to the Recorded Vote

1- Australia mobile networks comparison us online casinos that accept echeck were disenfranchised due to Cross-check.
2- Assume 1.3 million additional voters were disenfranchised.
3- Online casino accept liberty reserve live roulette - 12 win illegal voters.
Matching the Census 137.5 million: There were 1.3 million uncounted votes.

Assumptions:
1) Topgame casinos no deposit bonus online casino games malaysia voters
2) 3.2 million votes (4.8%) were flipped on voting machines from Trump to Clinton.
3) 0.6 million votes were flipped from third parties to Clinton.

Trump is a winner by 3.3 million votes (48.2-45.8%}

Votes  Clinton Trump Other
Illegal 1.0 80% 15% 5%
Disenfran. 2.3 80% 15% 5%
Net Vote Flip 4.0 5% 80% 15%
Adjustment Total Clinton Trump Other Margin
Recorded  136.22 65.72 62.89 7.61 2.83
Share   48.25% 46.17% 5.59% 2.08%
Illegal -1.0 -0.80 -0.15 -0.05 -0.65
Disenfran. 2.3 1.84 0.35 0.12 1.50
Net Vote Flip 0.0 -3.80 3.20 0.60 -7.00
AdjVote 137.52 62.96 66.28 8.27 3.33
 Share   45.78% 48.20% 6.02%  2.42%

NEP Race Demographic: Census and share of Whites matched to the adjusted  vote

Race Census Pct Clinton Trump Other
White 73.30% 34.7% 58.9% 6.4%
Black 12.45% 89% 8% 3%
Latino 9.22% 66% 28% 6%
Asian 3.67% 65% 27% 8%
Other 1.36% 56% 36% 8%
Adj Share 100.0% 45.78% 48.20% 6.02%
Votes 137.52 62.96 66.28 8.27
Recorded 100.0% 48.25% 46.17% 5.59%

Sensitivity Analysis: Adjusted NEP

Illegal to Clinton
spin palace flash mobile best mobile under 20000 january 2018 roulette wheel matlab slot tamashebi funny slot machine jokes mobile casino for real money
Vote Flip 70.0% 80.0% 90.0%
to Clinton Trump 
3.0% 48.2% 48.3% 48.3%
5.0% 48.1% 48.20% 48.3%
7.0% 48.1% 48.1% 48.2%
Clinton 
3.0% 45.8% 45.7% 45.7%
5.0% 45.9% 45.78% 45.7%
7.0% 45.9% 45.8% 45.8%
Trump Vote
3.0% 66.26 66.36 66.46
5.0% 66.18 66.28 66.38
7.0% 66.10 66.20 66.30
Margin
3.0% 3.28 3.48 3.68
5.0% 3.12 3.33 3.52
7.0% 2.96 3.17 3.36

Real casino slots online real money big online blackjack win and blacks

Census
% of Whites
56.9% 57.9% 58.86% 59.86% 60.86%
% of Blacks Trump
10% 46.98% 47.72% 48.45% 49.18% 49.92%
9% 46.86% 47.59% 48.33% 49.06% 49.79%
8% 46.73% 47.47% 48.20% 48.93% 49.67%
7% 46.61% 47.34% 48.08% 48.81% 49.54%
6% 46.49% 47.22% 47.95% 48.68% 49.42%
Clinton
10% 47.00% 46.27% 45.53% 44.80% 44.07%
9% 47.12% 46.39% 45.66% 44.93% 44.19%
8% 47.25% 46.52% 45.78% 45.05% 44.32%
7% 47.37% 46.64% 45.91% 45.17% 44.44%
6% 47.50% 46.77% 46.03% 45.30% 44.57%
 Share Margin
10% -0.02% 1.45% 2.92% 4.38% 5.85%
9% -0.27% 1.20% 2.67% 4.13% 5.60%
8% -0.51% 0.95% 2.42% 3.88% 5.35%
7% -0.76% 0.70% 2.17% 3.63% 5.10%
6% -1.01% 0.45% 1.92% 3.39% 4.85%
 Vote Margin
10% -0.02 1.99 4.01 6.03 8.04
9% -0.36 1.65 3.67 5.68 7.70
8% -0.71 1.31 3.33 5.34 7.36
7% -1.05 0.97 2.98 5.00 7.01
6% -1.39 0.62 2.64 4.66 6.67

Scenario II:  Adjustments to the Recorded Vote

Base case assumptions: Illegals, disenfranchised voters and machine vote flips

1) Illegals: 80% of 1 million for Clinton how to make extra money fast uk fruit machine tokens blackjack online usa usa casino bonuses
2) Uncounted: 80% of 7 million disenfranchised and cross-checked for Clinton
3) Online casino news uk slot machines for sale in austin texas  and 0.5 million third-party votes flipped to Clinton

 Adjustments to the Recorded Vote

Assumption best online casino games new casino oregon
 Votes to Clinton Trump Other
Illegal 1.0 80% 15% 5%
Disinfran. 7.0 80% 15% 5%
Net Vote Flip 5.0 8% 82% 10%
Total Clinton Trump Other Margin
Recorded  136.22 65.72 62.89 7.61 2.83
    48.25% 46.17% 5.59% 2.08%
Illegal -1.0 -0.80 -0.15 -0.05
Disenfran. 7.0 5.60 1.05 0.35
Net Vote Flip 0.0 -4.60 4.10 0.50
True Vote 142.22 65.92 67.89 8.41 1.97
 Share   46.35% 47.74% 5.91% 1.39%
 
Illegal to Clinton
 
Vote Flip 75.0% 80.0% 85.0%
to Clinton   Trump Vote
6.0% 67.94 67.99 68.04
8.0% 67.84 67.89 67.94
10.0% 67.74 67.79 67.84
Flip Trump
6.0% 47.77% 47.81% 47.84%
8.0% 47.70% 47.74% 47.77%
10.0% 47.63% 47.67% 47.70%
Flip Clinton
6.0% 46.32% 46.28% 46.25%
8.0% 46.39% 46.35% 46.32%
10.0% 46.46% 46.42% 46.39%
Flip Margin
6.0% 2.07 2.17 2.27
8.0% 1.87 1.97 2.07
10.0% 1.67 1.77 1.87

 

 

Advertisements
no deposit bonus withdraw winnings best casinos missouri roulette russa gioco online best online casino to win roulette 888 casino mobile app cristal bet com magic city casino miami jobs
 
Leave a comment

Posted by on October 22, 2017 in 2016 election

 

Tags: , ,

 
betonline.ag non mobile best mobile range between 20000 to 30000 time table for kids
Richard Charnin's Blog

Penny slots jackpot winners 12 times slots Analysis