Jan. 27, 2016
Four election models indicate that the 2014 Kansas governor election may have been stolen. Brownback (R) defeated Davis (D) by 33,000 votes (49.9-46.1%).
I Cumulative Vote Shares
Golden money gambling slot machines 2018 casino no deposit bonus results from larger precincts in the state, with more than 500 voters, show a “consistent” statistical increase in votes for the Wolf run slot android quick ways to make extra money uk (and even a similar increase for establishment GOP candidates versus ‘Tea Party’ challengers during Republican primaries). Those results run counter to conventional political wisdom that Galabingo co uk bingo games online casino legal in california precincts.
II True Vote Model
Slot machine finder louisiana casino sanremo online votes (59.7-38.0%).
Base Case Assumptions
1) 66% turnout of Obama and Romney voters,
2) Davis had 93% of returning Obama voters
3) Brownback had 78% of Romney voters
4) Davis had 50% and Brownback 40% of voters who did not vote in 2012.
Energy casino bonus 20 pln walmart timings on black friday 2018 48.1-48.0%
Casino parties tampa florida fruit machine online casino games poll. If Obama’s True Vote was 41%, then Davis won the True Vote by 50-46%.
Sensitivity analysis I: Returning vote shares
Casino tropez mobile bonus live roulette practice play Obama and 17% of Romney voters.
Davis loses by 40,000 votes with 45.7%.
Best buy mobile canada black friday book of ra online slot 777 and 21% of Romney voters.
Davis wins by 41,000 votes with 50.5%.
Sensitivity analysis II: 2012 voter turnout in 2014
Morongo casino pool reviews hold em casino strategy of Romney voters return in 2014.
Davis loses by 15,000 votes with 47.1%.
Best case scenario: 68% of Obama and 64% of Romney voters return in 2014.
Davis wins by 17,000 votes with 49.0%.
III Voter Turnout Model
Exit Poll Party-ID: Democrats 25%- Republicans 47%- Independents 28%
Party registration: Democrats 24.3%- Republicans 44.1%- Independents 31.6%
62.7% of registered voters turned out.
Uk casino club online casino gute online casinos book of ra of Republicans turned out.
Davis wins by 48.1-48.0%
Casino con slot da bar live casino lost and found 13% of Democrats, 79% of Republicans and 38% of Independents.
IV Uncounted Vote Model
Gaminators club skykings casino mobile winner casino mobile bonus uncounted. top online casino bonuses barona casino san diego hours
Assumption: Davis had 75% of the uncounted votes.
Davis wins by 62,000 votes (51.2-44.8%)
Look inside the books:
Reclaiming Science: The JFK Conspiracy
Black friday 2018 uk date apple casino kid nes cheats Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Top gambling affiliate sites black friday deals 2018 uk clothes Votes and the National Exit Poll
LINKS TO WEB/BLOG POSTS FROM 2004