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2014 Governor Exit Polls: Where are the Minority Voters?

Richard Charnin
Feb.2, 2016

Governor exit polls  were forced to match the recorded vote in 2014 – as is always the case. But let’s take a closer look at the RACE demographic. Minority voters share of the total vote is shown, but corresponding vote shares are missing. Top online australian casinos best buy in usa black friday Democrat is usually the winner.

Live baccarat online casino safe online casino paypal So the results are conservative: The Democrats most likely did better than indicated in the tables.

The Sensitivity analysis tables show the effect of Black widow slot machine tips best 50 inch tv black friday uk Democratic share.

Based on True Vote, Cumulative Vote and Voter Turnout models: prestige casino no deposit bonus code 2018 orlando casino
IL: Quinn did better than 35% of whites.
FL: Crist did better than 37% of whites and 85% of blacks.
ME: Michaud did better than 43% of whites.
WI: Burke did better than 42% of whites and 90% of blacks.
Gratis bonus casino online slot games 7777 and 89% of blacks.
KS: Davis did better than 46% of Latinos

IL 1,263
Pct Quinn Rauner Grimm Quinn Rauner Grimm
White 75% 35% 61% 4% 37% 59% 4%
Black 16% 93% 7% 1% 94% 5% 1%
Latino 6% 80% 10% 10%
Asian 2% 80% 10% 10%
Other 1% 80% 10% 10%
Total 100% 41.1% 46.9% 3.2% 50.0% 46.0% 4.1%
Recorded 45.6% 50.1% 3.3%
FL 2,806
Pct Crist Scott Wyllie Crist Scott Wyllie
White 69% 37% 58% 4% 39% 57% 4%
Black 14% 85% 12% 3% 94% 4% 2%
Latino 13% 58% 38% 3% 58% 38% 4%
Asian 2% 80% 10% 10%
Other 2% 80% 10% 10%
Total 100% 45.0% 46.6% 3.6% 50.8% 45.2% 4.0%
Recorded 47.1% 48.2% 4.8%
ME 1,006
Pct Michaud LePage Cutler Michaud LePage Cutler
White 97% 43% 49% 9% 46% 46% 8%
Black 1% 95% 3% 2%
Latino 2% 80% 10% 10%
Asian 80% 10% 10%
Other 80% 10% 10%
Total 100% 41.7% 47.5% 8.7% 47.2% 44.8% 8.0%
Recorded 43.4% 48.2% 8.4%
WI 2,316
Burke Walker  Other Burke Walker  Other
White 88% 42% 56%  2% 46% 53%  1%
Black 6% 90% 10% 95% 4%  1%
Latino 3% 80% 19%  1%
Asian 1% 80% 19%  1%
Other 2% 80% 19%  1%
Total 100% 42.4% 49.9%  0.9% 51.0% 48.0  1.0%
Recorded 46.6% 52.3% 0.9%
MI 2,232
Schauer Snyder  Other Schauer Snyder  Other
White 79% 40% 59%  1% 41% 58%  1%
Black 14% 89% 9%  2% 95% 3%  2%
Latino 3%  – 80% 20%  0%
Asian 2%  – 80% 20%  0%
Other 2%  – 80% 20%  0%
Total 100% 44.1% 47.9% 51.3% 47.6% 1.0%
Recorded 47.1% 51.0%  1.9%
KS 2,009
Pct Davis Brownback Umbehr Davis Brownback Umbehr
White 88% 46% 51% 3% 46% 51% 3%
Black 3% 93% 4% 3%
Latino 6% 46% 47% 7% 48% 45% 7%
Asian 1% 80% 13% 7%
Other 2% 80% 13% 7%
Total 100% 43.2% 47.7% 3.1% 48.5% 48.1% 3.4%
Recorded 46.2% 50.7% 3.2%

New mobile homes for sale northern ireland shares of white voters on total vote.

FL Crist % Whites
Pct 37% 39% 41%
White 69% 25.5% 26.9% 28.3%
Black 14% 13.2% 13.2% 13.2%
Latin 13% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5%
Asian 2% 1.6% 1.6% 1.6%
Other 2% 1.6% 1.6% 1.6%
Total 100% 49.4% 50.8% 52.2%
 IL Quinn % Whites
Pct 35% 37% 39%
White 75% 26.3% 27.8% 29.3%
Black 16% 15.0% 15.0% 15.0%
Latin 6% 4.8% 4.8% 4.8%
Asian 2% 1.6% 1.6% 1.6%
Other 1% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8%
Total 100% 48.5% 50.0% 51.5%
 WI Burke % Whites
Pct 42% 44% 46%
White 88% 37.0% 38.7% 40.5%
Black 6% 5.7% 5.7% 5.7%
Latin 3% 2.4% 2.4% 2.4%
Asian 1% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8%
Other 2% 1.6% 1.6% 1.6%
Total 100% 47.5% 49.2% 51.0%
 KS Davis % Whites
Pct 46% 48% 50%
White 88% 40.5% 42.2% 44.0%
Black 3% 2.8% 2.8% 2.8%
Latin 6% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9%
Asian 1% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8%
Other 2% 1.6% 1.6% 1.6%
Total 100% 48.6% 50.3% 52.1%
 ME Michaud % Whites
Pct 43% 46% 49%
White 97% 41.7% 44.6% 47.5%
Black 1% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0%
Latin 2% 1.6% 1.6% 1.6%
Asian
Other
Total 100% 44.3% 47.2% 50.1%
 MI Schauer % Whites
Pct 40% 42% 44%
White 79% 31.6% 33.2% 34.8%
Black 14% 13.3% 13.3% 13.3%
Latin 3% 2.4% 2.4% 2.4%
Asian 2% 1.6% 1.6% 1.6%
Other 2% 1.6% 1.6% 1.6%
Total 100% 50.5% 52.1% 53.7%

 

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Posted by on February 2, 2016 in 2014 Elections, Uncategorized

 
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