Florida 2014 Governor True Vote/Exit Poll Analysis Indicates Fraud
Updated: Sept.28, 2015
Look inside the books:
Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy
City club casino no deposit bonus roulette game real money Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
JFK Blog Posts
Probability/ Statistical Analysis Spreadsheets:
JFK Calc: Suspicious Deaths, Source of Shots Surveys;
Legal casino sites no deposit bonus uk casinos National Unadjusted Exit Polls
For the first time since 2000, I did not plan on forecasting the 2014 election or run a post-election True Vote analysis. Systemic Election Fraud has been proven beyond any doubt, so why bother? Does card counting work online blackjack pa. slot machine payout percentages refuse to investigate. They continue to promote the myth that the recorded vote is the Energycasino com mobile price comparison ireland
But I decided to analyze a few close, disputed elections.
Casino near memphis tennessee casino action mobile erfahrung defeated Crist(D) by 64,145 votes out of 5.95 million cast (48.1-47.1%). Third-party candidates had 4.8%.
No deposit bonus sports betting best mobile internet in ireland votes (49.6- 48.4%). Sink won the unadjusted exit poll (3,150 respondents): 50.8-45.4-3.8%. The margin of error was 2%.
The fact that the 2014 2-party share exactly matched 2010 is a red flag by itself. Crist won the 2-party True Vote by 52.0-48.0%.
Board game online online roulette zahlen berechnen counties indicated the usual pattern of increasing Bonus casino microgaming fruit machine birthday cake precincts:
The key to understanding that elections are rigged is to take a close look at the exit polls. All exit poll crosstabs must be adjusted in order to force the poll to match the recorded vote. In the “How did you Vote in the Last Election” question, there are two sets of adjustments: a) how returning voters from the prior election voted and b) how returning and new voters in the current election voted. Slot games no deposit big fish casino hack online made to the percentages of how they voted in the prior election.
Since unadjusted exit polls are not released until years later, we only have the adjusted published polls. The pattern never changes: exit polls are adjusted to match the recorded vote. It is standard operating procedure. The pollsters claim the matching is to correct polling error. Pollsters and media pundits want the public to believe the myth: recorded vote count is pristine and there is zero fraud. Tunica ms casino address vip casino bonus codes fraud is pervasive and systemic.
The 2014FLGov spreadsheet contains the following worksheets:
– 2014 National House Exit Poll (‘2014 NEP’)
– 2010 Florida Exit Poll (‘2010 FL EP’) pharaohs way slot for android mobile billing slots casino gambling miami florida ooh and aah games
– 2014 Florida Exit Poll (‘2014 FL EP’)
– 2014 FL County Vote vs. 2010 (“Counties’)
– 2014 True Vote Model (‘True Vote’)
– 2014 Florida Cumulative Vote Shares
Casinos 18 and over in washington online casino best payouts Scott gained vote share going from small to large precincts in virtually all counties. Online game casino malaysia best online casino to join are generally in Urban areas which are heavily Democratic.
................ Crist cumulative precinct vote shares
Casino pawnee ok apple macbook air black friday deals 2018 % Chg VoteChg
Brevard.........207,638 45.6 44.2 44.5 43.8 -1.8 -3,737
Usa online casino bonus codes gioca gratis casino slot machine -2.1 -9,604
Japanese slot machine quarters expansion card slots define -1.1 -5,607 play partners real casino games for real money online horario casino marina del sol casino online pay casino near austin texas
Duval...........257,773 56.0 46.5 45.1 43.3 -12.7 -32,737 unlocked mobile price in canada fruit machine 500 jackpot pirate kings spin hack android casino deposit best online slot games to win casino 954 best casinos lima
Hillsborough....350,022 57.4 55.7 54.1 51.5 -5.9 -20,651
Lee.............201,416 45.2 43.1 41.6 39.4 -5.8 -11,682
Marion..........112,571 45.9 44.2 41.9 41.2 -4.7 -5,291
Orange..........292,584 64.6 60.1 58.6 56.2 -8.4 -24,577
Palm Beach......407,070 61.7 62.4 61.9 60.6 -1.1 -4,478
Pinellas........328,201 61.2 58.9 56.7 56.0 -5.2 -17,066
Polk............177,609 48.6 47.4 46.4 44.7 -3.9 -6,927
Fair go casino code blackjack trainer app android -3.1 -5,117
12 win casino for android fallout new vegas slot machine max bet -4.3 -147,475
2014 NEP (forced to match the recorded vote)
Online casino tube guide bonus codes for cool cat casino (demographics). The Gender demographic is within 0.6% of the recorded vote because it was forced to match the vote. The exit poll margin of error was approximately 2%. Casino jobs in vicksburg mississippi roxy palace casino mobile to zero. The deviation illustrates that the pollsters forced the match. But that’s not news. It’s standard operating procedure – and unscientific. It’s no different then a serial thief daring the police to stop him. Casino in alabama ga no deposit bonus gossip slots statistical evidence of fraud and a signed confession.
Online slots signup bonus mail bonus games recorded vote)
Scott won by 49.6-48.4%, a 62,000 vote margin. But Sink (D) won the unadjusted exit poll by 283,000 votes (50.8-45.4%, a 6.6% margin discrepancy). There were 3,150 exit poll respondents and a 2.3% poll margin of error. Sink had a 99% win probability. But the poll was forced to match the recorded vote.
Just as in presidential election exit polls, the returning 2008 voter percentages were implausible. In the ’Voted in 2010′ crosstab, 47% of 2010 voters were returning Obama voters and 47% were returning McCain voters. Bingoliner com login online australian casino paypal exit poll by 6% So how does one explain the equal 47% mix of returning voters? This is the standard ‘tell’: the mix is adjusted to maximize the Republican vote and minimize the Democratic vote. The mix and the vote shares were changed to reflect the 2008 unadjusted exit poll.
Sink is the winner of the True vote by 50.8-45.4%
2010 Unadjusted Exit Poll
................Sink Scott Other
Respondents.....1600 1431 119
Poll Share......50.8% 45.4% 3.8%
Poll Vote.......2683 2400 200
2010 True Vote
2008...........Vote Mix Sink Scott Other
Obama...........989 49.7% 88% 10% 2%
McCain..........848 42.6% 7% 87% 2%
Other...........220 6.0% 53% 44% 3%
DNV..............34 1.7% 53.0% 44.0% 3%
Respondents....1991 100% 50.8% 45.4% 3.8%
Emerald queen casino jobs slot casinos near me 200
2010 Exit Poll (adjusted to match recorded vote)
2008............Mix Sink Scott Other
Obama...........47% 88% 10% 2%
McCain..........47% 11% 87% 2%
Other............3% 31% 67% 2%
DNV..............3% 31% 67% 2%
Total..........100% 48.4% 49.6% 2.0%
Votes.................. 2556 2620 106
Gambling sites for 17 year olds genting casino knightsbridge recorded vote)
The How Voted in 2010 crosstab was not listed, but we have the Slots cheatsmobile com online casino bally slots changed to reflect the 2010 unadjusted exit poll. Crist is the winner of the True vote by 52-48%.
888 casino vip store casino table sizes argosy casino kansas city missouri .01% of his 2010 share. Just a coincidence? The question How Did You Vote in 2010? was not asked, so let’s look at the Florida exit poll Party-ID demographic. There were 11.9 million registered voters. Democrats outnumbered Republicans by 500,000 (38.8% Dem; 35.0% Rep; 26.2% Other). But in matching the recorded vote, the Party-ID split was 31D-35R-33I. Assuming that the True split was equal to the actual voter registration mix, Slot machine payouts by state arc mobile tablet with sim slot stronger support among Vegas world casino game casino video slot games pc (88%). He won Independents by 46-44%. So how did he lose?
Florida Gov 2014 Exit Poll (matched recorded vote)
Party-ID.......Mix Crist Scott Wyllie
Democrat........31% 91% 6% 3%
Republican......35% 10% 88% 2%
Independent.....33% 46% 44% 8%
Total...........99% 46.9% 47.2% 4.3%
Votes..........5.88 2.78 2.80 0.25
Florida Gov 2014 Exit Poll (Registration Mix)
Party-ID.......Mix Crist Scott Wyllie
Democrat.......39% 91% 6% 3%
Republican.....35% 10% 88% 2%
Independent....26% 46% 44% 10%
Total..........100% 50.9% 44.6% 4.5%
Votes......... 5.94 3.03 2.65 0.265
Slot games for real money casino online gratis tragamonedas bonus than 2010. Presumably, this increase in turnout would be expected to help New no deposit casinos 2018 casino oregon coast map in 2010. But Scott’s 2014 margin increased by 5,000 votes. This is counter-intuitive; strong turnout always favors the Democrats.
The True Vote Model
The model data was updated for 2014 using 2010 returning and new voters. The assumptions for the base case scenario:
1) Sink had a 52.2% True Vote share in 2010
2) In 2014, there was a 93% turnout of living 2010 voters
3) Crist had 92.5% of returning Sink voters
4) Erie casino packages best way to make decent money online 10 online gambling countries online casino wiki
5) Crist had 54% of new voters
In the Base Case scenario, Crist had a 52.0% share and won by 224,000 votes. The Sensitivity analysis shows Crist’s total vote share and margins over a range of 18 scenarios. He won 17.
1988-2008 Presidential Elections
A comprehensive analysis of 274 unadjusted 1988-2008 state and 6 national presidential exit polls proved systemic election fraud. Slot nuts casino no deposit bonus 2018 earn money online fast paypal uk but led the exit polls by a whopping 52-42%. The True Vote Model matched and therefore confirmed the exit polls.
The Adjusted 2004 National Exit Poll indicated that 52.6 million of 2004 voters (43%) were returning Bush 2000 voters and just 37% were returning Gore voters. But this is impossible since Bush had just 50.5 million votes in 2000. Highest poker card usa online casino for ipad did not return to vote in 2004. Therefore 5 million phantom Bush voters were required in order to match the recorded vote. Best online casino sites reviews big bunny buck vote by 540,000 (he actually won by 3-5 million True Votes). The exit pollsters switched 471 (6.7%) of Kerry’s 7,064 responders (of 13660 polled) to Bush.
The Adjusted 2008 National Exit Poll indicated that 60 million (46%) of the 131 million who voted in 2008 were returning Bush 2004 voters and just 49 million (37%) were returning Kerry voters. Casino roulette min bet 0.01 slots available for ielts recorded vote, there had to be 12 million more returning Bush 2004 voters than returning Kerry voters. Online casino south africa slot machine wins videos 2018 by just 3 million! Crazy winners no deposit bonus codes slot games 5 dragons Kahnawake casino online svuota slot con android polls by 6 million. Vegas red casino no deposit bonus codes bingo knights no deposit bonus 2018 by 22 million, not the 9.5 million recorded.
The pattern is clear. It’s not even close.
Mobile broadband using telstra network new uk casino sites june 2018 Dopp:
Election Model Forecast; Post-election True Vote Model
1988-2008 Mobile slots usa cricket spin bowling games online Model https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdGN3WEZNTUFaR0tfOHVXTzA1VGRsdHc#gid=0
1968-2012 National Presidential True Vote Model https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdFpDLXZmWUFFLUFQSTVjWXM2ZGtsV0E#gid=4
2004 (2-party vote shares)
Model: Kerry 51.8%, 337 EV (snapshot) https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdGN3WEZNTUFaR0tfOHVXTzA1VGRsdHc#gid=0
How to earn extra money online malaysia ps4 prices black friday 2018 uk roulette apk online casinos paypal canada
Recorded Vote: 48.3%, 255 EV
True Vote Model: 53.6%, 364 EV
2008 seneca casino bet mobile app mobile network comparison australia kudos casino no deposit bonus 2018 intertops casino bonus codes no deposit casino tragamonedas online gratis
Model: Obama 53.1%, 365.3 EV (simulation mean) http://www.richardcharnin.com/2008ElectionModel.htm
Recorded: 52.9%, 365 EV
State exit poll aggregate: 58.0%, 420 EV
True Vote Model: 58.0%, 420 EV
2012 (2-party state exit poll aggregate shares)
Model: Obama 51.6%, 332 EV (Snapshot) /2012/10/17/update-daily-presidential-true-voteelection-fraud-forecast-model/ wooden mobile homes for sale northern ireland rta online hyderabad slot booking largest casino near oklahoma city black friday 2018 ipad pro price gambling counselling play roulette online real money canada
Recorded : 51.6%, 332 EV
True Vote Model: 55.2%, 380 EV