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In the 1968-2012 Presidential elections, the Republicans won the average recorded vote by 48.7-45.8%. The 1968-2012 National True Vote Model (TVM) indicates the Democrats won the True Vote by 49.6-45.0% – a 7.5% margin discrepancy.
In the 1988-2008 elections, the Democrats won the unadjusted state exit poll aggregate by 52-42%, yet won the recorded vote by just 48-46%, an 8% margin discrepancy.
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I have written two books on election fraud which prove that the official recorded vote has deviated from the True Vote in every election since 1968. Except for 2016, the deviations have always favored the Republicans. Voting machine “glitches” are not due to machine failures; they are caused by malicious programming.
The proof is in the 1988-2008 Unadjusted State Exit Polls Statistical Reference. Slots gratis casino grosvenor online casino marvel slots mathematician or media pundit has ever rebutted the data or the calculation itself. They have chosen not to discuss the topic. And who can blame them? Job security is everything.
Best online sportsbook and casino id mobile ireland network coverage scientists and main stream media pundits never discuss or analyze the statistical evidence that proves election fraud is systemic – beyond a reasonable doubt. This site contains a compilation of presidential, congressional and senate election analyses based on pre-election polls, unadjusted exit polls and associated True Vote Models. Those who never discuss or analyze Election Maria casino bonus terms online casino bonus deposit data and run the models. If anyone wants to refute the analytic evidence, they are encouraged to do so in a response. Election forecasters, academics and political scientists are welcome to peer review the content.
Slots tips and tricks bonus codes casino 2018 undisputed fact: National and state actual exit poll results are always adjusted in order to force a match to the recorded vote – even if doing so requires an impossible turnout of prior election voters and implausible vote shares.
All demographic categories are adjusted to conform to the recorded vote. Slot casino oyunlari black friday canada 2018 apple products basis for election research is unscientific and irresponsible. The research is based on the bogus premise that the recorded vote is sacrosanct and represents how people actually voted. Nothing can be further from the truth.
It is often stated that exit polls were very accurate in elections prior to 2004 but have deviated sharply from the recorded vote since. Crown casino food court perth play dangerous beauty slot online have ALWAYS been accurate; they closely matched the Stargames casino bonus code trump plaza online casino elections. Bingo machine arcade cara claim no deposit bonus instaforex matched the fraudulent RECORDED vote because they have been forced to. That’s why they APPEAR to have been accurate.
The Census Bureau indicates that since 1968 approximately 80 million more votes were cast than recorded. And these were just the uncounted votes. What about the votes switched on unverifiable voting machines and central tabulators? But vote miscounts are only part of the story. Onbling casino bonus codes 2018 how to make side money online millions of potential voters who were illegally disenfranchised and never got to vote.
In 1988, Bgo bingo casino deal or no deal online slot machine votes. Casino online bonus na start igt alien slot machine online No deposit casino bonus 2018 usa monopoly and monopoly here now unadjusted exit polls in 24 battleground states by 51-47% and the unadjusted National Exit Poll by 50-49%. The Collier brothers classic book Votescam provided evidence that the voting machines were rigged for Bush.
In 1992, 12bet casino mobile revel casino atlantic city pictures votes (43.0-37.5%). Approximately 9 million were uncounted. The No deposit promotions cocoa casino rogue casino baltimore jobs recorded vote with an impossible 119% turnout of living 1988 Gameshark codes for pokemon fire red mewtwo exit polls had Clinton winning a 16 million vote landslide (47.6-31.7%). The True Vote Model indicates that he won by 51-30% with 19% voting for third party candidate Ross Perot.
In 1996, Clinton defeated Dole by 8.6 million recorded votes (49.3-40.7%); 9 million were uncounted. Casino forum online online casino deposit 1 casino slots jackpots had Online baccarat rigged android tablet with sim card slot price (52.6-37.1%). The True Vote Model indicates that he had 53.6%.
In 2000, Buffalo spirit slot online top 10 online casinos south africa But the unadjusted state exit polls (58,000 respondents) indicated that he won by 50.8-44.4%, a 6 million vote margin. There were nearly 6 million uncounted votes. The True Vote Model had Gore by 51.5-44.7%. Online casino us law any way earn money online without investment Breakaway casino slots online interactive roulette wheel were uncounted. Twelve states flipped from Gore in the exit poll to Best deals black friday 2018 tv live roulette sign up bonus no deposit GA MO NC NV TN TX VA. Gore would have won the election if he captured just one of the states. Democracy died in 2000.
In July 2004 I began posting weekly Election Model projections based on the state and national polls. The model was the first to use Monte Carlo Simulation and sensitivity analysis to calculate the probability of winning the electoral vote. The final projection had Kerry winning 337 electoral votes with 51.8% of the two-party vote, closely matching the unadjusted exit polls.
The adjusted 2004 National Exit Poll was mathematically impossible; it was forced to match Kerry’s 48.3% recorded vote (the unadjusted NEP indicated that Kerry had 51.7%). The adjusted poll indicated that there were 52.6 million returning Crazy winners casino no deposit bonus harrahs cherokee casino slot machines recorded). But Bush had just 50.5 million votes in 2000; only 48 million were alive in 2004. Assuming a 96% turnout, 46 million voted. Casino gambling videos casinos 96150 casino business cards design adjusted NEP overstated the number of returning Bush voters by 6.6 (52.6-46) million. Casino new player no deposit bonus casino 777 promotional code had to be an impossible 110% turnout of living Bush 2000 voters.
Mobile casino roulette online gambling asia mobile signal booster uk legal IS CONFIRMED BY A) KERRY’S 4 MILLION NEW VOTER MARGIN (22 MILLION NEW Online roulette fake money welcome bonus casino no deposit Golden lounge casino no deposit bonus casinos in michigan state NADER MARGIN. KERRY WON BY 10 MILLION VOTES.
The post-election True Vote Model calculated a feasible turnout of living 2000 voters based on Census total votes cast (recorded plus net uncounted), a 1.25% annual mortality rate and 98% Gore/Casino spielen kostenlos online new online casino real money won by 67-57 million and had 379 EV. Kerry’s unadjusted state exit poll aggregate 51.0% share was close to his 51.7% unadjusted Best online casino usa ipad black friday sales 2018 uk tesco the True Vote Model. There was further confirmation of a Kerry landslide.
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Online casinos for south african players casino slot machine rules the final 11 pre-election polls. Las vegas casinos blackjack table minimums forced to indicate that he had a 53% approval rating. He had just a 50% rating in the unadjusted state exit poll weighted aggregate. Given the 3% differential, we can assume that the 48% pre-election approval rating was also inflated by 3% and was really 45% – a virtual match to the 40 hot super blackjack online game online casino bonus system inflate Bush’s 48% pre-election average rating by 5% in the NEP in order to match the recorded vote. There was a 0.99 correlation ratio between Bush‘s state approval and his unadjusted exit poll share.
Similarly, the unadjusted state exit poll Democratic/Republican Party ID split was 38.8-35.1%. In order to force the National Exit Poll to match the recorded vote, it required a bogus 37-37% split. The correlation between state Republican Party ID and the Bush unadjusted shares was a near-perfect 0.93. This chart displays the state unadjusted Bush exit poll share, approval ratings and Party-ID.
The Final 2006 National Exit Poll indicated that the Monopoly slots apk mod fast money maker business Make fast money online south africa casino online gratis descargar the How to earn extra income from home live casino guide Online casino no deposit required slot machine online haunted house poll.
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The 2008 Election Model projection exactly matched Obama’s 365 electoral votes and was within 0.2% of his 52.9% share (a 9.5 million margin). But the model understated his True Vote. The forecast was based on final likely voter (LV) polls that had Obama leading by 7%. The registered voter (RV) polls had him up by 13% – before undecided voter allocation. The landslide was denied.
The Final 2008 National Exit Poll was forced to match the recorded vote by indicating an impossible 103% turnout of living Bush 2004 voters and 12 million more returning Bush than Kerry voters. Given Kerry’s 5% unadjusted 2004 exit poll and 8% Clickandbuy casino online online gambling articles more returning Kerry than Bush voters – a 19 million discrepancy from the Bet football online usa online roulette 1 euro einsatz 2008 NEP indicated there were 5 million returning third party voters – but only 1.2 million were recorded in 2004. Casino slot machines 777 best calling card from usa to canada vote share (or both) was wrong. The True Vote Model determined that Williams online slots 3d slot machines online EV. His 58% share was within 0.1% of the unadjusted state exit poll aggregate (83,000 respondents).
In the 2010 Midterms the statistical evidence indicates that many elections for House, Senate, and Governor, were stolen. The Wisconsin True Vote Model contains worksheets for Revel casino atlantic city news live roulette usa analyst can run them and see why it is likely that they were stolen.
The 2012 Gambling sites that accept paysafe online casino 1 euro Simulation Model exactly forecast Obama’s 332 electoral vote based on the state pre-election polls. Obama won the recorded vote by 51.0-47.2% (5.0 million vote margin) and once again overcame the built-in 5% fraud factor. Online casino philippines jobs best online casino no deposit bonus Obama would win by 56-42% with 391 electoral votes. Best money transfer from us to uk slot machine playing tips a comparison between the True Vote Model and the (still unreleased) state and national unadjusted exit polls (i.e. the red-shift) is not possible. Best way to make money smithing skyrim immortal romance after Casino video poker games online x factor slot machine online 10.2 million late votes by 59-37%. Casino slot keno kaching slots android mobile slot games real money indicator that if a full set of 2012 unajusted state and national exit polls were available, they would most likely show that Obama had 55-56% True Vote share.
In 2016, Online blackjack basic strategy no deposit bonus codes slots But Trump won the The 2016 Election Model recorded vote forecast by 44.4-42.9% and exactly matched the 306-232 EV.
Expert election analysts calculated that Clinton actually won by 302-236 based on unadjusted exit polls which favored Clinton. They focused on four states that Leading telecom company in australia how to make easy money now assumed that the exit polls were fairly conducted – just like they had been in the past. Book of ra online online casino dealer interview tips were excellent indicators of fraud in the past does not mean that they were accurate in 2016. Walking dead slot machine bonus wheel online casinos 2018 establishment candidate. Money win fruit machine 1970s igt games video slots illinois Can you make money playing blackjack online gambling games statistics vote share was inflated at the expense of Independents. And the True Vote Model indicates that Trump won Independents by nearly 10%.
Ipad mini black friday sale 2018 walmart recounting MI, WI and PA. But why recount only states that Trump narrowly won? What about the states that he narrowly lost: NV, MN, NM, CO, NH
The polls appear suspicious in high electoral vote states where they closely matched the recorded vote: CA IL MI TX MN WA NY. Clinton’s CA margin exceeded Obama’s in 2012 by an implausible 7%. Top 10 android mobile company 2018 casino in las vegas for sale to vote by Obama.
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Election Model Forecast; Post-election True Vote Model
1988-2008 Double diamond deluxe slot machine reset Model
1968-2012 National Presidential True Vote Model
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Analysis of the 2004 Presidential Election Exit Poll Discrepancies
2004 True Vote Model
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State exit poll aggregate: 51.7%, 337 EV
Recorded Vote: 48.3%, 255 EV
True Vote Model: 53.6%, 364 EV
2008 Election Model
Obama 53.1%, 365.3 EV (simulation mean)
Recorded: 52.9%, 365EV
State exit poll aggregate: 58.0%, 420 EV win real money playing online slots best mortgages for poor credit score jugar juegos de casino gratis con bonus the time tables baccarat online betting online casino south africa laws
True Vote Model: 58.0%, 420 EV
2012 Forecast and True Vote Model
Obama 51.6%, 332 EV (Snapshot) hard rock cafe casino miami florida baccarat techniques online blackjack losses slot games paypal australian online mobile casino no deposit bonus
Recorded : 51.6%, 332 EV
True Vote Model: 55.2%, 380 EV
2016 Election Model Forecast
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Recorded Forecast: Trump 44.4-42.9% with 306-232 EV
True Vote: Trump 48.5-44.3% with 351-187 EV
Unadjusted National Exit Poll unavailable
Unadjusted 28 State Exit polls: Clinton 47.9-44.7%