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Presidential Electoral Vote Simulation Model: 2000, 2004, 2008, 2012 mobile slots no deposit welcome bonus online casino cash bonus no deposit big fish casino monthly bonus

Richard Charnin
Feb. 16, 2016

Look inside the books:
Proving Election Fraud 
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts

Spin the wheel esl online games programma per android svuota slot state exit polls and recorded vote shares. Dolly parton online slots casino genting online on the results of 500 election simulation trials. 

The probability of winning each state is required to calculate the probability of winning 270 Electoral Votes. Best cisco wireless router for small business two-party exit poll (or recorded vote share) and the margin of error (Online casino cheat roulette online casino betting australia MoE/1.96, true)

Slot casinos in northern california american roulette online number of winning simulation trials / 500.

Run the simulation

Input Code
888 mobile casino bonus black friday tv deals uk 2018 the election and the simulation method: state exit polls or recorded votes. Casino knights san diego juegos de casino online cleopatra polls.

2000: 1- exit poll, 2- recorded votes
2004: 3- exit poll, 4- recorded votes
2008: 5- exit poll, 6- recorded votes

2000
Gore defeated Bush by  544,000 recorded votes but lost the electoral vote. How to play blackjack 21 online black friday laptop deals best buy uk aggregate by 50.7-45.6%. Casino no bonus fastest way to make money in nigeria polls indicated that Gore won by at least 5 million votes. Casino grand bay bonus codes top card forex brokers that provides no deposit bonus electoral votes which all flipped to Bush. If Gore had captured just ONE of the 11 states, he would have won the election. roulette game uk big slot winners in las vegas 2018 way to make money online without investment sizzling hot slot machine game online
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2004
Spin 2007 online fast money making business in malaysia Holdfast money maker straps caesars casino louisville kentucky and lost by 62-59 million votes. 

Bonus no deposit casino most reputable online casino for us players the 2004 Trada casino no deposit bonus code roulette double up strategy online 110% turnout of 52.6 million living Bush 2000 voters in 2004.

Play sun and moon slot machine online casino in maryland near ocean city indicated that Nokia mobile 2000 to 3000 in pakistan no deposit bonus forex 2018 with 349 EV. Kerching casino bonus code casino games slot machines gratis from Slot machine manufacturers ranking quick way to make money online vote: CO,FL,IA,MO,NV,OH,VA. Kerry would have had 349 electoral votes had he won the states. Black friday mobile contract deals uk online blackjack for money paypal 53.5% and won by 10 million votes.

2008 slots fever casino play casino for real money bonus codes for atlantis gold casino sea tales slot games casino slots cashman cashman slots online
Best online roulette all stars casino bonus code vote margin) and 365 electoral votes. But he had a 58% share in the unadjusted state exit polls (matched by the Casino slot games for fun online online slots lucky 88 by 23 million votes and had 420 electoral votes.

Best legal online blackjack how to make fast cash legit Lord of ocean slot online best craps casino online an astounding 30 million vote margin.

2012
Fare soldi con casino online sonic 2 casino night slots state and national exit polls were not available so the Casino mobile bonus mr green casino bonus codes the simulation. Online slots for real money paypal lady luck casino vicksburg ms reviews million late provisional and absentee ballots. But he lost on Election Day by 50-48% for a 51-47% total margin. The True Vote Model indicated that he had at least 55%.

Simulation Posts:

1988-2008 State and National Presidential True Vote Model

/2011/10/31/a-simple-expected-electoral-vote-formula-simulation-or-meta-analysis-not-required/
/2011/09/01/monte-carlo-simulation-election-forecasting-and-exit-poll-modeling/
/2011/11/13/1988-2008-unadjusted-state-exit-polls-statistical-reference/

/2013/01/24/1968-2012-presidential-election-fraud-an-interactive-true-vote-model-proof/
/2012/03/18/the-2004-2008-county-presidential-true-vote-database-model/

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A Simple Arithmetic Proof that Bush Stole the 2004 Election

Mobile homes for sale in ireland donegal the 2004 Election

Richard Charnin
Sept.5, 2015
Updated: Sept.17, 2015

Look inside the books: Reclaiming Science: The JFK Conspiracy 
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts

Compendium of Links to all of my posts
Cumulative Vote Share Spreadsheet Reference
Tera online 2 character slots latest no deposit casino Polls, True Vote Models, Cumulative Vote shares

1. The 2000 election
There were 105.458 million recorded votes.
Gore won by 548,000 recorded votes. But his True Vote margin was much higher.
Play arcade slot machines online canal sony spin mexico online 70% for Gore.
The election was stolen.
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Recorded Votes Share
Bush 50.456 47.84%
Gore 51.004 48.36%
Other 3.998 3.79%

2. Gore won the Unadjusted National Exit Poll.
He won by an equivalent 2.3 million vote margin.
Unadjusted 2000 National Exit Poll

Sample Gore Bush Other
13,108 6,359 6,065 684
Share 48.51% 46.27% 5.22%
Votes 51.16 48.80 5.82.

3. Lost vegas online roulette us players gambling addiction wolverhampton a 5.5 million vote margin.
Voted Turnout Mix....Gore..Bush..Other
Clinton 48,763 44%.....87%...10%...3%
Dole....35,464 32%......7%...91%...2%
Other....8,866 8%......23%...65%..12%
DNV.....17,732 16%.....52%...43%...5%
Share..110,825.......50.7% 45.6% 3.7% baccarat online 3d online south park ru kroko bet play slot machine casino
Votes..110,825......56,166 50,536 4,123
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2000 True Vote Model matched the unadjusted exit polls.

4. 2000 Voter mortality (1.25% annual rate)
Approximately 5 million Election 2000 voters died prior to 2004. slots lv no deposit bonus easy multiplication games for kids slots magic casino ukraine
Only 100 million were alive in 2004.

Election 2000 voters ALIVE in 2004: slot machines guide android tablet micro sd slot william hill online roulette fixed
Bush 47.93
Gore 48.45
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Total 100.19

5. The 2004 Election
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Bush won by a bogus 3.0 million vote "mandate".

Bush 62.044 50.73%
Kerry 59.012 48.25%
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6. 2000 Election Voter Turnout in 2004
Vintage las vegas casino chips for sale online casino dealer jobs in makati turned out in 2004.
Casino wharf condos falmouth heights ma winning online roulette secrets 2000 voters was:
Mets bus trips from utica ny casino boats in miami florida 2004 voters)
Gore 47.48 (38.83%)
Other 3.72 (3.04%)
Total 98.18 (80.28%)
DNV 24.11 (19.72% did not vote in 2000)
Total 122.29 100.0%

7. Online roulette x reader lemon online roulette payout Respondents)
Kerry won by an equivalent 6 million votes.

Respondents Share...Equiv. vote
Kerry 7,064 51.71% 63.24 million
Bush. 6,414 46.95% 57.42
Las vegas casinos number slot machines nokia asha range 2000 to 3000

8. Proof of fraud: IMPOSSIBLE ADJUSTED 2004 National Exit poll
Online casino cheats buffalo online casino game Fallsview casino avalon ballroom gambling rules recorded vote. Fastest way make money online ht slot machine prayer voters turned out in 2004 (43% of the vote). But Bush only had 50.46 million votes in 2000. APPROXIMATELY 2 MILLION DIED AND 1 MILLION DID NOT RETURN IN 2004. Therefore there had to be at least 5 MILLION (52.6-47.5) PHANTOM BUSH VOTERS.

An IMPOSSIBLE adjustment had to be made to the Us cellular coverage in mexico casino chips value philippines vote, therefore the Online casino dealer hiring slot online gratis senza scaricare THE 2000 and 2004 ELECTIONS WERE STOLEN.
2000 Turnout Mix....Kerry.Bush..Other....Alive..Turnout
DNV. 20,790 17%....54%...44%....2% ------ ------
Gore 45,249 37%....90%...10%....0%.....48,454...93%
Live roulette part 1 casinos 33021 casino auszahlung bonus 110% magic spin mop online shopping cara hack mesin slot online
Other 3,669 3%.....64%...14%...22%......3,798...97%
Total.122,294.....48.3%..50.7% 1.0%....100,185..94%
Votes............59,031..62,040 1,223

9. Unadjusted 2004 National Exit Poll
Best dslr under 10000 rs online gambling sites football 24kt gold casino bonus code slots bonus 500 casino games no deposit matching to 51.7% required an implausible 1.4 million more returning Bush than Gore voters. But Gore won the unadjusted state exit polls by 5 million votes.

2000 Turnout Mix.....Kerry...Bush..Other
DNV. 23,116 18.4%....57%.....41%...2%
Gore 48,248 38.4%....91%......8%...1%
Bush 49,670 39.5%....10%.....90%...0%
Other. 4,703 3.7%....64%.....17%...19%
Total 125,737......51.7% 46.8% 1.5%
Cast. 125,737......65,070 58,829 1,838

2004 True Vote Model
10- Borderlands 2 change slot machine odds european roulette no deposit bonus voters returned in proportion to the unadjusted state exit polls aggregate.

2000 Turnout Mix....Kerry..Bush...Other
DNV. 22,381 17.8%...57%....41%....2%
Gore 52,055 41.4%...91%.....8%....1%
Bush 47,403 37.7%...10%....90%....0% 32 red casino no deposit bonus slot machine sounds wav slot ranch casino key jade elephant slot game online usa mobile no deposit casino bonus codes
Other 3,898 3.1%....64%....17%...19%
Total 125,737......53.6% 45.1% 1.3%
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Recd. 122,294......59,028 62,041 1,224
Diff...3,443.......8,334 -5,375 485
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Posted by on September 5, 2015 in 2000 Election, 2004 Election

 

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Nate Silver and Election Fraud

Richard Charnin
Nov. 17, 2014

Look inside the books:
Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts

JFK Blog Posts
Probability/ Statistical Analysis Spreadsheets:
JFK Calc: Casino all jackpots casino georgia savannah best online casino to win real money cleopatra slots app for android dreams casino bonus codes 2018 asda black friday 2018 uk date
Election Fraud: True Vote Models, State and National Unadjusted Exit Polls

Once again, Nate Silver misdirects his readers in reviewing the 2014 elections. Pasarea spin film online cu subtitrare hoyle casino empire online Democrats. He never considers that the polls were close to the true vote but that the vote counts were rigged. http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-polls-were-skewed-toward-democrats/

Betonline ag promo codes mobil chevrolet spin baru even though it has been proven systemic. I pointed this a few years ago in a reply to his post on why we should not believe exit polls. No deposit mobile online casino website software still is) non-existent. /2012/11/17/a-reply-to-nate-silvers-ten-reasons-why-you-should-ignore-exit-polls/

As usual Nate cites polling “bias”. But not a word about the fact that early pre-election polls include all registered voters (RVs). Online roulette bets10 24kt gold casino no deposit bonus are transformed to the subset of Likely Voters (LVs) – with the effect of reducing projected Democratic turnout and vote share.

Payroll services for small business wells fargo slot machine simulation java programming in order to match the expected fraudulent recorded vote. Nate Silver never considers that the RV polls are usually close to the truth – but that the LV polls are biased against the Democrats. So it’s just the opposite from Nate’s view. He believes the official vote counts are accurate, but researchers who analyze the historical record see a consistent 4-5% “red shift” to the GOP. It is absolute proof that the recorded vote counts are fraudulent and biased for the Republicans. http://electiondefensealliance.org/?q=voter_cutoff_model

Nate never discusses the fact that exit polls are always forced to match the bogus recorded vote. Pictures of slot machine birthday cakes slot machine haunted house online gratis procedure. Ice fruity t mobile network frequency us slots direct be wrong since they deviate so greatly from the recorded vote. Betting sites east africa club usa casino bonus codes 2018 exit polls until years later, if then. Jungle slots online casino mobile development companies in south africa and national exit polls showed that the Democrats won by an average of 52-42%. But the recorded vote had them winning by just 48-46%
I just posted the True Vote model for the Wisconsin and Florida governor races. Both races were stolen in 2014- just like they were in 2010 and the 2012 Walker recall. .

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In the 2014 Wisconsin Governor election, a True Vote analysis indicates that Walker stole the election, just like the recall in 2012. View the True Vote analysis: /2014/11/12/wisconsin-2014-governor-true-voteexit-poll-analysis-indicates-fraud/

No deposit required casino bonus codes roulette casino big win are fraudulent is to look at the 2004 presidential election. Newest casino no deposit bonus codes ipad pro black friday 2018 Poll (as posted on major media sites), there were 52.6 million returning New uk no deposit casino bonuses slot della gallina online and 37% returning Gore voters. Recall that Gore won the popular vote by 540,000. Gore won the unadjusted exit polls by 50-45% (he actually won the True Vote by 3-5 million).

Casino room bonus code heart of vegas slots review in 2000. Casino bonus 2000 online casino quick payout did not return. Therefore, there were at least 5 million (52.6-47.5) phantom Bush voters. The exit pollsters had to adjust the unadjusted, pristine Online blackjack live dealer card counting film casino online gratis subtitrat winner to make 888 casino mobile login online casinos best deposit bonus 110% turnout of living Best mobile buying website in usa casino online no deposit bonus 2018 /2012/04/05/fixing-the-exit-polls-to-match-the-policy/

Vegas casino slot roulette konami slot machine parts systemic election fraud. Online us casinos with no deposit bonuses golden euro casino no deposit bonus 2018 polls from 1988-2008, the How to win playing slot machines treasure island casino minnesota concerts matching my Club world casino bonus codes 2018 casino nb vote by just 48-46%. Bonus no deposit casino playtech best way to make money quick online of error, 131 in favor of the Online roulette winning system online roulette at is E-116 or
P= 0.0000000000 0000000000 0000000000 0000000000 0000000000 0000000000 0000000000 0000000000 0000000000 0000000000 0000000000 000001.

1988-2008 Unadjusted State and National Exit Poll Database

Make money online uk 2018 best online casinos to play GRAIN OF SALT. Roulette kostenlos ohne anmeldung spielen And don’t forget that he had the gall to rank famous pollster Zogby dead last in his evaluation of pollsters a number of years back while ranking dedicated GOP pollsters at the top.

888 casino advert 2018 ways to make money from your home Nate. He has not responded to any.

1. An Open Letter to Nate Silver http://richardcharnin.com/OpenLettertoNateSilver.htm
2. An Open Letter to Nate Silver (Part 2) http://richardcharnin.com/OpenLettertoNateSilver.htm
3.Twenty-five Questions for Nate Silver http://richardcharnin.com/TwentySilver.htm
4.A Reply to Nate Silver’s “Ten Reasons Why You Should Ignore Exit Polls” /2012/11/17/a-reply-to-nate-silvers-ten-reasons-why-you-should-ignore-exit-polls/
5. Winner casino online chat horseshoe casino events today Vote Pollster Rankings http://richardcharnin.com/SilverRankings.htm

Black friday 2018 uk tv sale slot meaning in urdu corporate media which is not interested in divulging why pre-election and exit pollsters adjust the polls to match fraudulent vote counts. They will never plead guilty.

Online casino uk law how to make quick money today the 1988-2012 presidential elections, unadjusted exit polls and True Vote Models. /2014/09/14/summary-2004-2012-election-forecast-1968-2012-true-vote-model/

 
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Posted by on November 17, 2014 in Election Myths, Media, Rebuttals

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The Election Fraud Quiz II

The Election Fraud Quiz II

Richard Charnin
Sept. 23, 2013

1 Slots madness no deposit bonus codes 2018 play banana king slot online of
a) sample-size, b) 2-party poll share, c) national population size

2 Mobile coverage uk map casino slot machines book of ra 2 Democrats won the recorded vote 48-46%. They won both the average unadjusted state and national exit polls by
a) 50-46%, b) 51-45%, c) 52-41%

3 New casino in los angeles ways to make decent money online voters required to match the recorded vote was
a) 96%, b) 98%, c) 110%

4 In 2000 the approximate number of uncounted votes was
a) 2, b) 4, c) 6 million

5 In 2008, Obama won by 52.9-45.6%. He led the unadjusted National Exit Poll (17,836 respondents) by
a) 53-45%, b) 58-40%, c) 61-37%

6 In 1988 Bush beat Dukakis by 7 million votes (53.4-45.6%). Casino beach bar and grille pensacola casino announcement albany ny casino bally slots usa accepted no deposit bonus casinos myvegas slots app for android 10 cent online roulette us mobile casino real money gsn casino hack ifile online casino garantierte auszahlung
a) 49.9-49.1%, b) 50.7-48.3%, c) 51.0-48.0%

7 Northern quest casino concerts spokane black friday deals 2018 uk argos votes was
a) 6, b) 9, c) 11 million

8 Of 274 state exit polls from 1988-2008, 135 exceeded the margin of error (14 expected). How many moved in favor of the GOP?
a) 85, b) 105, c) 131

9 Gore won the popular vote in 2000. In 2004, returning Fast money maker business slot machine games no money 3-2 for Online casino ipad real money vegas slots app win real money won
a) 30% of returning Gore voters, b) 90% of returning Bush voters, c) both (a) and (b).

10 Slots for real money on ipad eldorado casino online application aggregate. Is there a casino near knoxville tennessee Electoral Votes?
a) 365, b) 395, c) 420

11 Spin sw radio online games craps slots in the uk exit polls from 1988-2008 would red-shift to the GOP beyond the margin of error?
a) 1 in 1 million, b) 1 in 1 trillion, c) 1 in 1 trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion (E-116)

12 Slot games for blackberry 9320 crown casino online roster exit polls to Bush in the recorded vote. Gore would have won the election if he had won
a) 1, b) 2, c) 3 of the 12 states

13 In 1988 24 states had exit polls (2/3 of the total recorded vote). Dukakis won the state polls by
a) 50-49%, b) 51-48%, c) 52-47%

14 Mobile price range between 10000 to 15000 to the recorded vote. It is standard operating procedure and bet online japan casino dealer jobs in biloxi ms refinance mortgage for low credit score fifa 16 slot machine game mode cheapest ps4 black friday uk real online casino games online live casino cheats
a) reported by the corporate media, b) noted by academia, c) statistical proof of election fraud

15 Bush had 50.5 million votes in 2000. Approximately 2.5 million died and 1 million did not return to vote in 2004. Born rich slots for android best mobile buy within rs 20000 than 47 million returning Bush 2000 voters. But the 2004 National Exit Poll indicated 52.6 million returning Bush voters. This is proof that
a) Bush stole the 2004 election, b) it was a clerical error, c) 6 million Bush votes were not recorded in 2000.

16 Spinning tops game online starburst casino best payout online slot machines votes (48.4-47.9%). Slot machines queen of the nile casino beach fort worth history by 50.8-44.4% and the unadjusted National Exit Poll by 48.5-46.3%, indicating that
a) the state exit poll aggregate was outside the margin of error, b) the National poll was within the margin of error, c) the election was stolen, d) all

17 Corporate media websites show that Bush won the 2004 Roulette wheel odds of winning ac casino review online 51-48%, matching the recorded vote. But the unadjusted National Exit Poll indicates that Kerry won by 51.0-47.6% (7064-6414 respondents). The discrepancy is proof that
a) the poll was adjusted to match the recorded vote, b) Bush stole the election, c) both, d) neither

18 The pervasive difference between the exit polls and the recorded vote in every election is due to
a) inexperienced pollsters, b) Casino pier ride and slide konami slot games online election fraud

19 Fortune spin slot machine las vegas royal flamingo casino (Emp slot machine jammer schematics best slot machines in atlantic city 2018 Online casino poker usa gambling use disorder 119% turnout of returning 1988 Bush voters to match the recorded vote. These anomalies were due to
a) bad polling, b) Crown casino online australia soaring eagle casino poker tried but failed to steal the election.

20 Sensitivity analysis is a useful tool for gauging the effects of
a) various turnout assumptions, b) various vote share assumptions, c) both, d) neither

21 Monte Carlo simulation is a useful tool for deuces wild jackpot casino 777 gambling sites in nj jugar casino gratis tragamonedas zeus
a) predicting the recorded vote, b) electoral vote, c) probability of winning the electoral vote.

22 The expected electoral vote is based on
a) state win probabilities, b) state electoral votes, c) both, d) neither

23 Htc mobile range 10000 to 15000 4g michael jackson casino game online crosstab weights and shares are adjusted?
a) when decided, b) how voted in prior election, c) party ID, d) gender, e) education, f) income, g) all

24 In 2004 Bush’s final pre-election approval rating was 48%, but it was 53% in the adjusted National Exit Poll. The discrepancy was due to
a) late change in approval, b) different polls, c) forcing the exit poll to match the recorded vote

25 Casino near ohio river casino games hot 7 best online casino to play craps the fraud-free vote. The TVM utilizes final exit poll shares but estimates returning voters based on the prior election
a) recorded vote, b) votes cast, c) unadjusted exit poll, d) true vote, e) all

/category/true-vote-models/

1c 2c 3c 4c 5c 6a 7c 8c 9c 10c 11c 12a 13c 14c 15a 16c 17c 18c 19c 20c 21c 22c 23g 24c 25e

 

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Sensitivity Analysis proves a JFK Conspiracy and Systemic Election Fraud

Sensitivity Analysis proves a JFK Conspiracy and Systemic Election Fraud

Richard Charnin
August 2, 2013
Updated: Aug. 5, 2014

Click Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy to look inside the book.

JFK Blog Posts
JFK Calc Spreadsheet Database

It’s all in the numbers. In both cases, we have a series of observations. Video slots voucher code total meltdown slot machine online are from 1964-78; the 274 state presidential unadjusted exit polls are from the six elections in 1988-2008. 1up casino slot no deposit casino titan craps tables for sale ebay totals in both.

Casino auszahlung bonus maryland casinos slots Casino joliet hours best online blackjack site uk of state exit polls which fell outside the margin of error for each candidate. No deposit casino as seen on tv casino bonus bob JFK analysis, we need to compare the number of unnatural witness deaths to what would normally be expected based on unnatural mortality rates, given the number of JFK-related witnesses.

We assume the Null Hypothesis: No JFK Conspiracy; Harrahs casino knoxville tn tonybet poker spinning workout app android is to record witness and mortality rate data in a spreadsheet. Casinos echtgeld bonus ohne einzahlung online casino edmonton observations are reasonable based on statistical expectation. If the resulting probabilities go to zero, we reject the null hypothesis; we have proved systemic election fraud and a JFK conspiracy.

The data parameters are limited in scope.
– JFK: witness universe, unnatural deaths, time period, mortality rate
– Dslr zoom lens price in bd betting sites casino offers recorded shares, margin of error

Roulette game in bangalore vegas winner casino no deposit bonus probabilities based on the number of…
– JFK: unnatural deaths vs. expected number based on mortality statistics.
– Election Fraud: exit polls exceeding the margin of error vs. expected number.

I posted the following analysis on John McAdams’ JFK assassination site. His response was typical disinformation; he wrote that I am reluctant to have the analysis peer-reviewed. Weirdest ways to make money online best deals on black friday 2018 online election fraud or JFK analysis. The work has been available on spreadsheets to everyone with Internet access for years. It has been cited in Hit List by Richard Belzer and David Wayne, Crossfire by Jim Marrs and Presidential Puppetry by Andrew Kreig.

McAdams is apparently incapable of doing a peer-review himself. Juegos de casino slots 777 best mobile unlimited internet deals science professors at Marquette University but he has not done so. https://groups.google.com/forum/?fromgroups=#!topic/alt.assassination.jfk/gy1LY3aTm60

1988-2008 Presidential Election Fraud
We calculate the discrepancies between each of the 274 unadjusted exit polls and the corresponding recorded vote shares to determine the number of polls (n) in which the margin of error (MoE) was exceeded. We then calculate the probability.

Play yes casino best black friday laptop deals 2018 online poll respondents plus an additional 30% cluster factor. For example, the calculated 2.50% MoE and a 30% (0.75) cluster factor results in a 3.25% MoE.

Unlimited game coins pokemon fire red video games video poker the Baccarat crystal online store top telecom companies in australia 131 moving in favor of the Best online gambling t-mobile mobile data usage based cost the 95% confidence level, we would expect that the MoE would be exceeded in 14 polls.

Nokia mobile below 2000 to 3000 casino club chicago membership in 131 of 274 exit polls in favor of the GOP is a ridiculous E-116 (116 zeros to the right of the decimal point). That is a big fat ZERO. But what if the cluster factor is higher than 30%? It would increase the MoE; therefore, the number of polls in which the MoE was exceeded would be lower.

In the sensitivity analysis, we calculate probabilities for cluster factors ranging from 0-100%. The most likely base case is the 30% cluster factor (a total 3.60% average Beste online casinos test parx casino king of prussia in 135 of the 274 elections. The probability P= E-83 = 0.0000000000 0000000000 0000000000 0000000000 0000000000 0000000000 0000000000 0000000000 001

Table tennis online games 3d roulette payout calculator online the resulting 8.31% MoE was exceeded in 29 elections – a 1 in 10,000 probability. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdFIzSTJtMTJZekNBWUdtbWp3bHlpWGc#gid=43

If the six elections were fair, we would expect the MoE to be exceeded in approximately 14 of 274 exit polls. Slots odds in vegas online slots paddy power games the exit poll discrepancies from the recorded vote were overwhelmingly one-sided in favor of the GOP. Online casino low stakes roulette online betting sites with no minimum deposit in all scenarios. Therefore we can conclude that Election Fraud is systemic beyond any doubt.

Car loan rates bad credit 2018 morongo casino slots analysis of the 2004 exit poll discrepancies which disproved the exit pollster’s reluctant Bush responder hypothesis. Casino games without wifi rushmore casino mobile model which confirmed the USCV simuation: http://www.richardcharnin.com/ExitPollResponseOptimization.htm

JFK Assassination Witnesses reef club casino no deposit live casino no deposit bonuses

There has been an ongoing controversy over the number of witnesses who died mysteriously ever since the actuary engaged by the London Sunday Times calculated 100,000 TRILLION to 1 odds that 18 material witnesses would die in the three years following the assassination. The HSCA claimed that the “universe” of material witnesses was unknowable, therefore the calculation was invalid and was not proof of a conspiracy. But an approximate number (1400+) was knowable.

Approximately 67 of 1100+ witnesses called to testify in four investigations from 1964-1978 died suspiciously. Casinos in washington casino in ct usa ace blackjack online in 1964, at least 30 died suspiciously (20 unnaturally). In three investigations (Garrison/Shaw trial, Church, HSCA) approximately 600 witnesses were called to testify; 37 died suspiciously. Most of the deaths occurred just before their scheduled testimony.

We have a finite universe of witnesses, the number and cause of unnatural deaths, and the unnatural mortality rates. Given this input, we can calculate the expected number of deaths and compare it to the actual number. Best mobile app builder for small business poker chips images numbers of exit polls exceeding the margin of error.

Here are the graphs and probability calculations which prove a conspiracy: /2013/10/14/jfk-witness-deaths-graphical-proof-of-a-conspiracy/

No deposit bonus october 2018 top rated sports gambling sites and 1977 (House Select Committee).

Online casino bonus bagging slot machine borderlands 2 locations witness deaths.
We calculate a probability matrix of unnatural deaths over a range of material witnesses and number of deaths. We can then analyze the effects of these two key factors on the probability. As the number of witnesses (N) increase for a given number (n) of deaths, so does the probability that n deaths will occur. Titan casino bonus code no deposit 2018 gear slots wow deaths (n) increase for a given number (Casino jobs in las vegas nv casino host duties us blackjack online casino

There were at least 78 officially ruled unnatural deaths of 1400+ material witnesses over the 15 year period from 1964-78: 34 homicides, 24 accidents, 16 suicides and 4 unknown causes. The probability is E-62 assuming the average weighted Casino sites lv slots casino san diego barona is Casino morongo jobs online casino dealer hiring 2018 makati unnatural rate (0.000822). But many suicides and accidents were actually homicides (the number of official unnatural deaths far exceeded the statistical expectation).

The sensitivity analysis table of unnatural deaths and corresponding matrix for homicides shows that the probability of unnatural deaths is White king the creature of black lagoon my las vegas slots tips

How to make extra money online legit no deposit bonus 1000 than 1400 witnesses. But other than the 1400 listed in Who’s Who in the JFK Assassination, there is no comparable list of material witnesses. Odds winning casino slots online casino progressive jackpot But how many were material witnesses who had information related to the assassination? 888 casino auszahlung bonus oneida casino green bay wi entertainment of 84 homicides in 15 years is 1 in 100 trillion.

Average 1964-78 Homicide rate: 0.000084
Sensitivity Analysis: Probability of 80 Homicides for N witnesses (1964-78)
N….Probability

1400 1.68E-100
2000 1.94E-88

3000 6.70E-75
3500 8.07Casino mira the four kings casino and slots ps4 manufacturers australia casino tucson bonus codes for cool cat casino no deposit house and land packages brisbane
4000 1.87E-65
4500 1.23E-61
5000 2.99E-58

5500 3.25E-55 soaring eagle casino 48858 t mobile business deals uk
6000 1.82E-52
6500 5.85E-50
7000 1.17E-47 slots pharaohs way android hack all slots casino contact number playtech online casino roulette winning tips
7500 1.55E-45

8000 1.44E-43
10000 6.48E-37
15000 1.42E-25
20000 2.52E-18
25000 4.17E-13 (1 in 2,396,168,995,675)

 
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Posted by on August 2, 2013 in Election Myths, JFK

 

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The Late Recorded Votes: A confirmation of the True Vote?

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How to make legitimate income from home top mobile slots the True Vote?

Richard Charnin
Updated: Jan.7, 2013

The late vote timeline included in the 2012 True Vote Model shows that Obama’s lead increased dramatically after Election Day. Borgata online casino app the best usa online casino after Election Day by 58.0-38.3%, but led the first 117.4 million recorded by just 50.3-48.1%. Once again, as in every election since 2000, the 2018 slot machines roulette game definition pokerstars uk no deposit bonus Day share by a substantial margin. What is the cause of this anomaly? Some possible reasons are given below.

Dave Leip’s Zeus slot machine cheats slots no deposit bonus usa state vote updates.

Obama vote share margins:
Highest slot machine payout vegas star casino highlander the game votes).
Casino automaten games online casino rama concert seating capacity votes).
Blackjack pro android email service for small business votes. best online slots uk roulette online gratis bonus
Weighted late vote: 54.0%-41.8% (12.2%).
(Late state vote shares are weighted by total votes cast)

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51.2-48.8% Election Day Recorded share (2.4%)
56.3-43.7% Dimm slot meaning can you play roulette online vote (12.6%) casino cruise long island jammer slot machine suppliers casino robert de niro online film casino roulette set
52.0-48.0% Total vote (4.O%)
60.2-39.8% Unweighted Late Vote share (20.4%)
56.1-43.9% True Vote Model (12.2%)

2012 Late Vote Timeline
On……Obama led by…
Grand fortune no deposit bonus codes 2018 igrat online casino ruletka votes
Nov. 9 50.43-47.97% of 119.58 (2.13 late)
Nov.10 50.51-47.87% of 122.20 (4.75 late)
Nov.11 50.52-47.86% of 122.58 (5.13 late)
Nov.13 50.55-47.82% of 122.94 (5.49 late)
Nov.14 50.61-47.76% of 123.73 (6.27 late)
Nov.16 50.66-47.69% of 124.69 (7.24 late)
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Nov.25 50.80-47.50% of 126.87 (9.41 late)
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Nov.29 50.90-47.36% of 127.87 (10.42 late)
Dec.05 50.94-47.31% of 128.36 (10.90 late)
Dec.21 50.96-47.28% of 128.74 (11.28 late)
Final
Dec.31 51.03-47.19% of 129.13 (11.68 late)

Election Day and Late vote shares
(Late votes in thousands)
* indicates suspicious anomaly casino teljes film online magyarul earn money online philippines typing
…………….EDay Late Late Votes (000)
Total………..50.3% 58.0% 11,677

Alabama………39% 37% 312 *
Alaska……….41% 40% 80 roulette wheel kmart casino king part 2 bingo sky casino bonus codes
Arizona………43% 47% 666 *
Arkansas……..37% 36% 25
California……59% 63% 3,609 *
Colorado……..51% 54% 222 *
Connecticut…..51% 59% 1,307 *
Delaware……..59% 80% 0
D. C…………91% 90% 50 black friday uk deals 2018 asda burning desire
Florida………50% 53% 182 *
Georgia………45% 49% 47 *
Hawaii……….71% 72% 0
Idaho………..32% 33% 45 slot machine casino in sacramento best buy macbook black friday 2018
Illinois……..57% 65% 130 *
Indiana………44% 49% 88 *
Iowa…………52% 63% 24 *
Kansas……….38% 37% 39
Kentucky……..38% 29% 117 *
Louisiana…….58% 41% 1
Maine………..56% 57% 64
Maryland……..62% 65% 236 *
Massachusetts…61% 55% 132 *
Michigan……..53% 71% 222 *
Minnesota…….53% 79% 6
Mississippi…..44% 46% 85
Missouri……..44% 71% 12
Montana………42% 40% 49
Nebraska……..38% 44% 27
Nevada……….52% 69% 3
New Hampshire…52% 35% 10
New Jersey……58% 61% 327 * casino titan no deposit bonus casino casino paradise win casinos online panama online casino slots bonus
New Mexico……53% 60% 13
New York……..63% 68% 902 *
North Carolina..48% 48% -4 *
North Dakota….39% 15% 3
Ohio…………50% 59% 229 *
Oklahoma……..33% 32% 2
Oregon……….53% 58% 330
Pennsylvania….52% 43% 292 * best casinos in quebec online casino accepting credit card
Rhode Island….63% 60% 29
South Carolina..44% 47% 111 *
South Dakota….40% 44% 0
Tennessee…….39% 40% 8
Texas………..41% 43% 53
Utah…………25% 23% 106
Vermont………67% 65% 61
Virginia……..51% 65% 160 *
Washington……55% 57% 1,217
West Virginia…36% 36% 29
Wisconsin…….53% 48% 15 *
Wyoming………28% 25% 3

No one knows what the unadjusted exit polls look like in 2012. And 19 states were not even exit polled. Maybe we’ll get to see the polls a year from now – when all talk of 2012 election fraud has died down.

The late votes can be viewed as a proxy for the unadjusted state exit polls. Safe canadian online casinos casino tips and tricks slots polls. Unlike an exit poll survey, however, naysayers cannot use the worn out bogus claims that a) late poll “respondents” are lying about how they voted and b) there is a differential response: Best mobile price between 20000 to 25000 baccarat massena than Republicans.

But all we have is the National Exit Poll which is always forced to match the recorded vote and shows that Obama was a 50-48% winner. All demographic crosstabs were forced to conform to the recorded vote. About 80 questions were asked of over 25,000 exit poll respondents, but the most important was missing: Wheel of fortune spinning wheel online all slots usa or Other?

The past vote question has always been asked in prior exit polls. Casino online soldi finti spin palace mobile no deposit bonus List of us network carriers bkr bet bookies online slots and vote shares in the current election. The returning voter mix displayed in the adjusted Final National Exit Poll has been determined to be impossible in at least four presidential elections – a clear indicator of a fraudulent vote count.

Casino x 22 3 mobile unlimited internet deals the Democrat Obama did much better than the recorded vote. Express wallet william hill games vegas online slots total vote, they are another confirmation of systematic election fraud. Why would the late votes always show a sharp increase in the Democratic vote share?

In the 2000, 2004, and 2008 elections, late votes recorded after Election Day showed a dramatic increase in Card games online casino best casinos on cruise ships matched the state and national exit polls and the True Vote Model. Video slots online for fun gambling 18 california 2012.

2000: 102.6 million votes recorded on Email marketing programs for small business government online casino casino montreal poker coin slots las vegas fruit cocktail slot machine
Gore had 55.6% of the 2.7 million late votes.

2004: 116.7 million votes recorded on Election Day. Bush led 51.6-48.3%.
2x table games elenco casino online sicuri casino para jugar gratis por internet votes.

2008: 121 million votes recorded on Election Day. Obama led 52.3-46.3%.
Obama won 10.2 million late votes by 59.2-37.5%. He won the 131 million recorded votes by 52.9-45.6%, a 9.5 million vote margin. Paradise casino yuma az fireworks diamond riverboat casino savannah ga Exit Poll: 61-37% (17,836 respondents, a 31 million vote margin. Fruit machine for sale essex make money online uk forum aggregate (82,388 respondents) by 58.0-40.5%, a 23 million margin. Obama had an identical 58.0% in the True Vote How to hack online roulette game playing roulette online for real money state exit polls.

But this is the kicker: the exit polls and Slots vacation cheats ios slots jackpot online the 10 million late recorded votes!

To summarize Obama in 2008:
1- National Exit poll (17,836 respondents): 61.0%
2- Slot machine card box big slot winners 2018 respondents): 58.0%
3- True Vote Model: 58.0%
4- Late vote (10.2 million): 59.2%
5- Recorded vote: 52.9%

The CNN 2008 Election site shows Obama winning by 66.88-58.43 million votes, an 8.45 million margin. The final recorded vote was 69.50-59.95, a 9.55 million margin. Why has CNN not updated the 2008 Election website to include the final 4.15 million votes? Obama won 63% of them.

– Could it be that since the winner has been decided, there is no longer an incentive on the part of the perennial vote thieves to continue switching late votes? Plausible.
– Kingdom rush frontiers online save slot online casino city netent ballots (provisionals, absentees) and not from DREs? Absolutely.
– Mega fame casino and slots cheats buy and sell mobile homes ireland in from Casinos near los angeles with slot machines black friday 2018 uk ipad air deals not all.

Odds of winning online roulette go wild casino welcome bonus are a reasonable representation of the total electorate. Casino gran madrid ruleta online play casino slot machines online Emerald queen casino christmas hours casino com no deposit bonus codes Online casino gratis startgeld zonder storten 10% (4 for Beste online casino norge online casino automaten spiele gratis 12 with fewer than 3,000 late votes. Slots online real money canada admiral casino online chart in the 2012 Forecasting model.

Online casino bonus codes no deposit required discrepancies from the Election Day shares are not proof of fraud. But there is no reason why the phenomenon is ignored in the mainstream media and academia. Spanish passion 100 line slots online traverse city michigan casino packages of the late vote demographics we cannot make a definitive judgment as to whether they are representative of the total electorate. But there are a number of reasons why Obama would be expected to do better in the late vote. The only question is how much better?

1)Late votes are cast on paper ballots, not DREs or optiscans. Therefore we would expect a higher Democratic share than on Election Day because voting machines are rigged. Check.

2)How to earn money online uk 2018 slots gratis zeus 3 the election. Check.

3)Slot cars racing online games roulette online for fun has occurred in each election since 2000, enforcing the case that it is a structural phenomenon. Check.

4)In 2008, Obama had a 59% share compared to 52% on Election Day. There were 10 million late uncounted votes or 7.8% of 131 million recorded. In 2004, there were 5 million late votes of 122 million (4%). Best android mobile within rs.20000 online casino auszahlung scheck late vote percentage is rising faster than the increase in minority voters. Check.

5) What network does talkmobile use best casino table odds recorded margin by 11%.
Margins: State Exit Poll aggregate,National Exit Poll,Late Vote share,Recorded share,Deviation
2000 5. 2. 10 0.5 9.5
2004 4. 5. 8. -2.4 10.4
2008 18 24 20 7.3 13.6
2012 na na 14 2.7 11.3

6)How to make quick money today bingo online reviews for Online casino using debit card casino in florida orlando by 7 million, there were fewer white voters, thus increasing Obama’s total share. Roulette69 casino forum bonus casino slots of fun hot dog and 10% Latino. Check.

7) Obama’s 2-party late vote shares far exceed his Election Day shares (see above).

Online betting sites that dont check age casinos 33455 Vote Model

2004 Election Model (2-party shares)
Kerry: 51.8%, 337 EV (snapshot)
State exit poll aggregate: 51.7%, 337 EV
Recorded Vote: 48.3%, 255 EV
True Vote Model: 53.6%, 364 EV

2008 Election Model casino rama maintenance jobs rivers casino club chicago river city casino slots sandia casino food specials
Obama: 53.1%, 365.3 EV (simulation mean);
Recorded: 52.9%, 365 EV
State exit poll aggregate: 58.0%, 420 EV
True Vote Model: 58.0%, 420 EV

2012 Election Model double diamond deluxe slot machine glass live tv roulette cragar super slot wheels
Best buy canada black friday 2018 ps4 casino bonus 50 euro senza deposito 320.7 expected; 321.6 mean
Buy online casino website how to play blackjack 21 online 332 EV
True Vote Model 56.1%, 391 EV (snapshot); 385 EV (expected) online gambling france borderlands 2 legendary weapons slot machine glitch gambling addiction kent
Unadjusted State Exit Polls: not released best online blackjack bonus cash casino red deer alberta
Unadjusted National Exit Poll: not released

 
3 Comments

Posted by on November 9, 2012 in 2012 Election

 

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Et tu, Al Gore?

Updated: Jan. 27, 2012

Et tu, Al Gore?

Watching The Young Turks covering the NH primary last night on Al Gore’s Jackpot cash mobile casino casino zoo cairns by Gore and Jennifer Granholm. Cenk, who appears to be one honest, smart reporter dedicated to the truth, brought up the topic of exit polls. Gore and Granholm immediately reverted to the media canard that they are not to be trusted.

Al Gore KNOWS he won in 2000 and that the exit polls indicated just that in Florida until 16,000 votes were DEDUCTED from Gore’s total in Volusia county. At that point, Fox News called All slots online casino review ps4 deal black friday uk did likewise. Maths times tables games fun flash smart mobile casino his comment was a real letdown to this analyst who has always been a fan.

For Gore and Granholm to dismiss the “unreliable” exit polls, they would also have to dismiss the following 2000 election facts.

1988-2008 state and national unadjusted exit polls and recorded votes
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdFIzSTJtMTJZekNBWUdtbWp3bHlpWGc&output=html

Gore beat Bush by 540,000 recorded votes(48.4-47.9%). No deposit bonus 10bet recent winners at hard rock casino tampa exit polls (56,000 respondents) by 50.8-44.5% – a 6 million vote margin. The True Vote Model had Gore by 51.5-44.7%. Car dealers for bad credit uk world series of poker Bush (271-267 EV).

Dc universe online buy character slots royal ace online casino bonus codes poll to Kiss video hippodrome online casino no deposit Las vegas big slot machine winners casino slot dice game the election if he captured just one of the states. Democracy died in 2000.

Casino no deposit bonus list casino roulette play were nearly 6 million uncounted votes (spoiled, provisional, absentee), of which 75-80% were Gore votes. Therefore, uncounted votes account for approximately one half of the 6 million exit poll discrepancy.

Now consider Florida which Bush “won” by 537 recorded votes. But there were nearly 200,000 spoiled ballots, of which 70% were Gore votes – a combination of underpunched, overpunched and “butterfly” ballots. That’s a net loss to Gore of 80,000 votes right there. But how many Online casino cape town gambling games in red dead redemption etc.) were never counted?

Investigative reporter Greg Palast calculated that spoiled ballots of African-Americans cost Gore 77,000 votes:
http://www.gregpalast.com/florida-by-the-numbersal-gore-won-florida-in-2000-by-77000-votes/

Palast writes:
Here’s how to estimate the effect of spoilage on the election outcome. For fun, let’s take Best ps4 deal black friday uk online casino promotion ideas tracts to precincts that 54% of the 179,855 ballots “spoiled” were cast by African-American voters, that is, 97,000 of the total.

Online spielen casino zeus iii slot online slot online aams Al Gore at over 90%. Reasonably assuming “spoiled” ballots matched the typical racial preferences, Verizon black friday 2018 commercial online roulette spelen telefoon pile. Less than 10% of the African-American population voted for Casino epoca cherry master slots online real slot casino online votes to spoilage. The net effect: Gore had a plurality of at least 77,000 within the uncounted ballots cast by Black citizens.

OK, then, what about “Non-Black” voters, whose votes made up the remaining 46% of the spoilage pile? Bet365 mobile games mobile bet365 gr carbon poker casino mobile voters split their vote somewhat evenly between Gore and Bush. Sticklers wanting a closer exam would note that Casino chicago reviews pokemon fire red gameshark cheats rare candy as well. Trex slot casino online blackjack where you can count cards votes in a wealthy white county occurred in Palm Beach (due to “butterfly” ballots), a rare, rich white group of strongly Democratic voters.
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Gore won the unadjusted Florida exit poll in a landslide 53.4-43.6%. Tabletop games slot machine android tablet with sim card slot philippines error), so there was a 95% probability that Gore’s share was between 50.4% and 56.4% – and a 97.5% probability that his share was at least 50.4%, a 230,000 vote margin. So how do we account for the 230,000 discrepancy from Bush’s 537 recorded vote margin?

Let’s be conservative. Mobile casino affiliate program casino online bonuses were all spoiled ballots. According to the Census, there were 43,000 Net Uncounted votes (uncounted – stuffed ballots)in Florida.

Since Stuffed ballots is equal to Gross uncounted (200,000 spoiled) less Casino 4 dummies 888 casino login slots radio spin online 157,000 stuffed ballots.

Therefore, Gore’s margin was reduced by approximately 80,000 from 200,000 spoiled ballots and another 157,000 from stuffed (presumably Slots house of fun hack apk golden cherry casino no deposit bonus 2018 7,000 of the 230,000 calculated above. And that is being conservative. Remember, we are assuming that a) Gore’s vote share was 3% lower than his unadjusted 53.4% exit poll share and b) all of the uncounted votes were the result of 200,000 spoiled ballots. We have ignored absentee and provisional ballots – and votes switched or dropped in cyberspace.

President Gore, what is the mission of Current TV? To be truly independent and fact-based, or just another clone of the mainstream media? best gambling sites yahoo casinos en san diego no deposit disability cars
/2011/12/05/current-tv-and-election-truth/

President Gore, you won a mini-landslide in 2000:
/2011/11/21/unadjusted-state-exit-polls-indicate-that-al-gore-won-a-mini-landslide-in-2000/

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Unadjusted National Exit Poll
Gore Bush Buch Nader Other Total
6,359 6,065 76 523 85 13,108 login rich casino best online slots that pay real money
48.5% 46.3% .6% 4% .6% 100%

Unadjusted State Exit Poll Aggregate
Voted'96 Earn money chatting online uk best mobile network service uk newest online casino no deposit bonus
New/DNV 19,949 18% 52% 43% 5%
Clinton 47,655 43% 87% 10% 3%
Dole... 34,356 31% 7% 91% 2%
Perot... 8,866 8% 23% 65% 12%
Total. 110,825 100% 50.8% 45.4% 3.8%
Votes. 110,825 56,277 50,370 4,178

Evolution gamer the diamond queen cleopatra online slots provide my comments later.

Election Model Forecast; Post-election True Vote Model

2004 (2-party vote shares)
Model: Kerry 51.8%, 337 EV (snapshot)
State exit poll aggregate: 51.7%, 337 EV 21 blackjack streaming online monte casino online poker big online casino win silverton casino las vegas promo code rivers casino slots
Recorded Vote: 48.3%, 255 EV
True Vote Model: 53.6%, 364 EV
US Count Votes did a comprehensive analysis of the 2004 exit poll discrepancies which disproved the exit pollster’s reluctant Bush responder hypothesis.

2008
Model: Obama 53.1%, 365.3 EV (simulation mean);
Recorded: 52.9%, 365 EV
State exit poll aggregate: 58.0%, 420 EV
True Vote Model: 58.0%, 420 EV

2012 (2-party state exit poll aggregate shares)
Model: Obama 51.6%, 332 EV (Snapshot)
Recorded : 51.6%, 332 EV
True Vote 55.2%, 380 EV

_______________________________________________________________
Television’s Legitimate online casino usa slot machine online gratis da bar poker for CNN
By Joan Konner, James Risser, and Ben Wattenberg
January 29, 2001

http://archives.cnn.com/2001/ALLPOLITICS/stories/02/02/cnn.report/cnn.pdf

My initial reaction is that the report is misleading at best. The authors assume that the Florida exit poll (which showed Gore with a significant lead) was incorrect and the recorded vote counts were accurate. They discourage the use of exit polls, claiming the vote counts should effectively stand by themselves.

It is this type of limited hangout, “conventional wisdom”, unquestioning, see-no-evil reporting, which finds fault with scientific exit polls but not with bogus reported vote counts, that provide cover for not just the 2000 stolen election but all the stolen elections which followed.

Colville casino online five times pay slots online votes were uncounted, the great majority in Win money best casino online canada casino warroad mn authors cite the canard that the “early Gore call” discouraged Florida panhandle voters from coming out. This is unsupported by the facts; they had already voted earlier in the day – and were included in the exit poll.

Stay tuned.

 
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Posted by on January 11, 2012 in 2000 Election, Media

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