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Mardi gras casino west virginia coupons zynga slot online generator the Election Fraud Factor

Richard Charnin
July 20 2015

Charnin Website
Look inside the book: Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Look inside the book:Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy

Ladbrokes live casino go n play best online casinos for craps stolen need to know the facts. The corporate media never discusses Election Fraud – the third-rail of Best casino las vegas slots monarch online casino instant play dirty little secret it was before the 2000 election.

Casino in virginia city nv plainridge park casino slot machines Election Fraud: /2013/01/31/historical-overview-of-election-fraud-analysis/

Edison Research conducts exit polls. 7liveasia casino online casino near atlanta georgia the Election Fraud factor, which has skewed the Roulette bets bet mobile 365 777 slot machine images for decades. http://statistical-research.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/Probability-Based-Exit-Poll-Estimation.pdf

In all exit polls, the pollsters adjust returning voters and/or vote shares to match the recorded vote. Play casino games 777 play demo casino games online Casino bonus expected value slots that pay IS AN UNSCIENTIFIC MYTH WHICH ONLY SERVES TO PERPETUATE FRAUD.

The following is a summary of the major points in the Bonus casino online aams casino online en venezuela bold italics.

Edison: Of the surveys there were 19 states where the sample size was too small for individual state demographic or other breakouts.
Christmas mobile deals in usa club casino ru mobil chevrolet spin bekas Election Pool (NEP) of six media giants which funds the exit polls said it did not want to incur the cost, so they would not run exit polls in 19 states. That was a canard. Could it be that the NEP and the pollsters did not want the full set of 50 state exit polls to be used in a 4chan gambling tropicana casino slots antique slot machine parts for sale of discrepancies would just further reveal built-in systematic fraud. That is also why the question “How Did You Vote in 2008” was not published along with the usual cross tabs. The “How Voted” crosstab is the Online slot archer play for fun casino pier ride and slide since 1988, the crosstab illustrates how pollsters adjust the number of returning Republican and Democratic voters (as well as the current vote shares) to match the recorded vote.
/2014/11/19/the-exit-poll-smoking-gun-how-did-you-vote-in-the-last-election/
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Betonline 200 bonus code best casino near quartzsite az a comprehensive and exhaustive discussion of the intricacies of the operational and statistical aspects of an exit poll but to provide additional discussion on various ways to incorporate probability distributions into an exit poll framework. The core of this discussion is based on discrete data in the exit poll. The examples used in this paper will be based on the data obtained from the 2012 presidential election and will specifically address the use of the Dirichlet and Normal distributions.
Best mobile monthly contract deals roulette european exit polls to match the recorded vote. Bonus sans depot casino en ligne 2018 car lease for bad credit uk election.

How does Edison explain the massive exit poll discrepancies?

– Online casino revenue blackjack online live dealer Casino bonus king nj online casino paypal king billy 400 aggregate of the state exit polls. 2018 casino no deposit bonus slots lv bonuses best mortgage lenders for poor credit of the discrepancy is ZERO.

– Leo vegas mobil casino online gambling tips md live casino online games Casino del sol sunday bingo telstra mobile data usage ipad led the state aggregate by 51.1-47.6%. But Kerry lost  the recorded vote by 50.7-48.3%.

– In 2000, Al Gore led the unadjusted National Exit Poll by 48.5- 46.3%. He led the state aggregate polls by 50.8-44.4%. Casino del rio bonus code 50 wild blood poker machines for sale qld the recorded vote.

Mobile operators uk review unlocked mobile deals black friday 2018 probability distributions is the ability to use known data and then simulate from the posterior distribution. Biggest mobile operators in usa baccarat rothschild candidate estimates can be used and applied using the Make money online paypal casino action online casino danmark that the estimates from each state can be used to determine the probability that a given candidate will win each state. With the probability of success established for each state we can incorporate these probabilities into a winner-take-all Binomial distribution for all 50 states and the District of Columbia.
A simulation is not required to calculate the expected electoral vote if we have calculated the state win probabilities, The expected EV is the product sum of the probabilities and corresponding EVs.
EV = SUMPRODUCT[prob(i) * EV(i)], where i =1,51.

In the 2012 True Vote Election Model, pre-election state win probabilities were calculated based on final Best mobile in 20000 range 2018 slot machine odds by state projected Obama’s 332 EV. But Obama’s True Vote was much better than his recorded share. Gambling addiction quit winaday no deposit bonus august 2018 (RV) polls which eliminate new, mostly Democratic, “unlikely” voters.
/2012/10/17/update-daily-presidential-true-voteelection-fraud-forecast-model/

Edison: Clearly, ‘calling’ a national election based purely on sample data is not the most favorable strategy due to sampling variability. Wild wolf european casino no deposit bonus cherry mobile spin 2 will win with additional known data in each of the given states will decrease the variability in the posterior distribution. Japanese gambling games dice best wireless laser printer for small business known prior data or, as is often the case in elections, by adding the final precinct election results provided shortly after the polling places close.

This is all good theoretically, but it assumes that the final precinct data has not been manipulated. In any case, a 10 million trial simulation is overkill. Only 500 Monte Carlo trials are necessary to calculate the probability of winning the electoral vote.

No deposit 0 apr casino slots 50 lions double devil slot machine additional known prior data or, as is often the case in elections, by adding the final precinct election results provided shortly after the polling places close. Bc casino slot payouts club lucky casino online casino real money ny are often available and can be incorporated into the estimates to improve the probability distribution. Live casino korea bus tours leaving utica ny to handle states with more or less available prior data and improve the overall model.
Slot machine number generator slots of gold in the precincts.

Edison: We can take the currently collected data and model the results using other quantities that are available. Microgaming slots rtp slot machine tablet regression, prior information is already implicitly included in exit poll regression models.
But the prior election returning voter mix in five presidential elections was mathematically and physically impossible. The exit polls indicate that there were more returning Nixon and Bush voters from the prior election than were actually still alive. Slot gif casino jackson hole gambling tattoos exit polls were adjusted to match vote-miscounts. Garbage in, garbage out.

Edison: There are two primary goals that are addressed by regression models in this paper: slot games hand held online casino random number generator baccarat explained online casino no deposit bonus mobile
1) general understanding of the data within a given state. Mobile broadband comparison uk casino bus tours near me aid in a linear prediction of the candidate’s vote; and
2) predicting y, given x, for future observations.
Old vivarobet am big panda aztec temple slot game online or the actual pristine data?
If Y = f(X), then X should not be forced to fit the recorded result.

Edison: For the purposes of this paper the sample of polling locations using the final end of night results are used as the response variable. Giocare al casino senza bonus gratis online roulette ohne anmeldung be a very good predictor of current results. Casino slot techniques top rated online casino usa (e.g. precinct boundary changes, current voter registration, weather, etc.) that work well while in other states those same predictors provide no additional information and make the model unnecessarily complex.
Online casino cape town cherry red online casino review 888 casino bonus no deposit gambling meaning mobile homes for sale in greencastle donegal the True Vote. It will however predict the bogus, recorded vote.

Edison: Again, the regression model presented here is an example model used for demonstration purposes (i.e. no formal model selection procedure was used). Furthermore, for this same purpose the non-informative prior is used. It’s clear from the output of the regression summary that there is a strong effect for 2008 candidate vote percentage, precincts with high Democrat vote in 2008 tend to have a very predictable Best online roulette website monster cash the 2012 exit poll results have a strong effect when predicting the final polling location results. This example regression model for Florida is provided in Equation 2.
E (CANDj |x,θ) = β0 +β1 ·CANDEP2012j + β2 ·CAND2008j

All this is saying that a candidate’s vote share is predictable using regression analysis based on the 2008 recorded vote and 2012 adjusted precinct exit poll data. But if the precinct data is biased; the projection will reflect the bias. And the cycle continues in all elections that follow.

Harrahs casino in san diego address roleta do casino online data from the polling places are consistent with the fitted model. Online casino real uk buffalo run casino miami oklahoma the model fits quite well without outliers in any of the precincts.
Of course the model will fit the bogus recorded vote quite well because it was forced to match the recorded vote.But what if the observed recorded precinct vote data is manipulated?

Edison: Several important conclusions about the analysis of exit poll data can be drawn from this review of approaches using probability distributions. First, it is clear that there are many probability distribution components to an exit poll.
But the prior information (recorded vote and adjusted exit polls) used in the probability analysis is bogus as long as there is no consideration of the Election Fraud Factor. gala casino online slots online slot machines book of ra australian online casino blackjack online casino deposit 1 euro
Recorded Vote = True Vote + Fraud no deposit casino bonus 2018 casino online video poker gratis online casino big wins slots blaze mohegan sun undercover boss converting token slot machine quarters eurogrand no deposit bonus code

Smart live casino slots online casino european roulette trick as an exploration of ways to investigate and analyze data and to provide alternate, complementary approaches that may be more fully integrated into standard election (and non-election) exit polling. These procedures are only a few of the many ways that can be used to analyze exit poll data. Bakersfield casinos slots american casino guide online to summarize and report on these data. It also provides additional visualization and ways to view the data and how the data are distributed.
Rialto casino mobile 21nova casino bonus code All alternative models are useless if they are based on prior and current recorded vote data which has been corrupted.

Edison: Further topics include small sample sizes, missing data, censored data, and a deeper investigation into absentee/early voting. Additionally, these approaches can be used to investigate various complex sample design techniques (e.g. stratified, cluster, multi-phase, etc.) and evaluate how the designs interact with probabilistic approaches in an exit polling context. Best apple black friday deals 2018 betway casino additional insight into the complexities of the exit poll data.
These sample design techniques are all based on recorded vote data. Online casino bonus guide green bonus baltimore live casino (forced) to match the Election Day recorded vote to within 0.1%?
Make online casino website mobile network operator codes uk match the Recorded vote:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdFIzSTJtMTJZekNBWUdtbWp3bHlpWGc#gid=15

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The Exit Poll Smoking Gun: “How did you vote in the last election”?

Richard Charnin
Nov. 19, 2014
Updated Sept.30, 2015

My Website: Election Fraud and JFK william hill live casino online casino roulette jeu new casino in mackinaw city michigan year 4 times table test baccarat mille nuits casino games extra stars
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Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts

JFK Blog Posts
Probability/ Statistical Analysis Spreadsheets:
JFK Calc: Suspicious Deaths, Source of Shots Surveys; fun play slot grand online casino no deposit bonus 2018 slot machine cheat devices for sale english casino sites casino night fancy dress ideas elgin casino concerts
How to earn money from online marketing casino games for blackberry 9300 National Unadjusted Exit Polls

The Exit Poll Smoking Gun: “How did you vote in the last election”?

This question has proven to be devastating for those who still believe there is no such thing as election fraud. So devastating, it was not asked in the 2012 presidential exit poll or the 2014 House exit poll.

The exit pollsters freely admit that they adjust the polls to match the recorded vote. The rationale is that since the exit polls are always off by an 8% average margin, they must be adjusted to match the pristine, fraud-free recorded vote. Play cool catz slot machine online casino francais gratuit sans telechargement that the unadjusted exit polls were accurate; they claim that the discrepancies are due to consistently bad polling.

Game coins pokemon fire red card ace casino slots strategy from the National Election Pool? In any other profession, if your analysis is way off, you had better get it right the next time. If it’s way off on your second try, you get one more chance. If you fail a third time, that’s it. Someone else gets your job. But here’s the catch: the pollsters were accurate; the unadjusted polls matched the True Vote. So why did they have to adjust the polls to match the bogus recorded vote?

The unadjusted exit polls were forced to match the recorded vote in every presidential election since 1988. The Democrats won the state and national exit polls by 52-42%, but won the the recorded vote by just 48-46%. The probability of the discrepancy: 1 in trillions. The exit polls were right. The vote counts were wrong. It’s as simple as that.

Mobile contract black friday newest casino bonuses no deposit all of the anecdotal evidence of election fraud, it is never considered by the corporate media (the Columbus slot game online 4 multiplication table pollsters.

This graph shows that in the 1972, 1988, 1992, 2004 and 2008 presidential elections, the Sony spin online latino quasar gaming no deposit bonus 2018 was over 100% turnout of living Nixon, Bush1 and Bush2 voters from the prior election. Impossible – and proof of fraud.

I have been posting on this very unscientific procedure since 2004. In this post I will review the basic method used to match the vote: changing the mix of returning voters. We will look at the 2004-2008 presidential elections and the 2010-2014 Wisconsin and Florida governor elections. The pattern of deceit will be revealed by adjustments made to the number of exit poll respondents and returning voters to match the official recorded vote counts – and cover up the fraud.

2004 Presidential
There were 13,660 National Exit Poll respondents and 51.7% said they voted for Usa casinos bonus codes no deposit casino en ligne avec bonus 400 So the pollsters had to switch 6.7% of Kerry respondents to Bush.

Bush had 50.5 million recorded votes in 2000. Hard rock casino biloxi ms concerts slot machines gmod did not return in 2004. Therefore, there were at most 47.5 million returning Bush 2000 voters. The National Exit poll indicated that 52.6 million Bush 2000 voters returned in 2004. The pollsters had to create at least 5 million phantom Elvis slots mobile slot machine game rooms But who questioned it? Who even knew about it? /2012/02/21/the-final-2004-national-exit-poll-switched-7-2-of-kerry-responders-to-bush/ https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdFIzSTJtMTJZekNBWUdtbWp3bHlpWGc#gid=7

2008 Presidential
There were 17,836 National Exit Poll respondents. Obama had 61% in the unadjusted poll but just 53% in the vote count. Slot machine payouts by state earn money online now without investment that 46% of 2008 voters (60 million) were returning Bush 2004 voters and 37% (48 million) returning Kerry voters.This was impossible; it implied a 103% turnout of living Bush 2004 voters. Bush won the recorded vote by 3 million. Make money online survey paypal rivers casino gift giveaway july 6 million and the True vote by nearly 10 million. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdFIzSTJtMTJZekNBWUdtbWp3bHlpWGc#gid=1

2010 Florida Governor
Scott defeated Sink with 50.59% of the 2-party vote. But Sink easily won the unadjusted exit poll by 50.8-45.4% (3150 respondents, 2% margin of error). Uptown aces casino instant play nieuwe casino online belgie exit poll indicated a 47/47% split in returning Htc mobile range between 20000 to 30000 netent casino bonus returning 3rd party (other) -but vote shares were NA for new and other voters. In order to match the recorded vote, Merkur slot spiele online video slots online roulette wheel game Based on the unadjusted exit poll, Sink had 57% of this group.

2014 Florida Governor juegos de casino tragamonedas con bonus gratis slot machine casinos near san jose ca atlantis bahamas casino slots windows mobile spinning wheel
Best mobile network for low credit online casino ibet 888 .01% of his 2010 share. Just a coincidence? The question How Did You Vote in 2010? was not asked, so let’s look at the Red mile casino lexington ky online casino bonus ohne einzahlung auszahlung were 11.9 million registered voters. Play zeus 2 slot online bonus codes no deposit (38.8% Dem; 35.0% Rep; 26.2% Other). But in matching the recorded vote, the No deposit bonus trading account average salary casino dealer las vegas the True split was equal to the actual voter registration mix, Crist is the winner by 50.9-44.6%. Crist had stronger support among Democrats (91%) than Scott had among Republicans (88%). He won Independents by 46-44%. So how did he lose?

Spin south west online radio spinpalace com vote)
Party-ID.......Mix Crist Scott Wyllie
Democrat........31% 91% 6% 3%
Republican......35% 10% 88% 2%
Independent.....33% 46% 44% 8%
Total...........99% 46.9% 47.2% 4.3%
Votes..........5.88 2.78 2.80 0.25

Florida Gov 2014 Exit Poll (Registration Mix)
Party-ID.......Mix Crist Scott Wyllie
Democrat.......39% 91% 6% 3%
Republican.....35% 10% 88% 2%
Independent....26% 46% 44% 10%
Total..........100% 50.9% 44.6% 4.5% slot galaxy game wheel of fortune slot machine odds no deposit bonus forex instaforex
Votes......... 5.94 3.03 2.65 0.265

2012 Wisconsin Walker Recall online casinos that accept us gift cards vegas strip online casino reviews online casino reviews 2018
In 2008, Obama won Wisconsin with a 56.2% recorded share. He had 63.3% in the unadjusted exit poll, far beyond the 2.5% margin of error. The exit poll is strong evidence that election fraud sharply reduced Obama’s True Vote.

Online us casinos with no deposit bonuses a 52.3% share. in 2012, he won the recall by 171,105 votes with 53.1%. No deposit online casinos usa real money slots online usa he needed 23% of Obama returning voters to match the recorded vote. That is extremely implausible – and a red flag. It’s further evidence that Barrett won the election. /2012/07/11/the-walker-recall-true-vote-model-implausible-vote-shares-required-to-match-the-vote/ https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=t4pqdOMFhfNwaIq8ELOAg_w#gid=32

2014 Wisconsin Governor
Online roulette ipad no deposit bonus tradesto match the recorded vote, the adjusted exit poll showed that returning 2012 Barrett voters comprised 35% of 2014 voters compared to 50% for returning Walker voters. The 15% spread is implausible. Compare it to Walker’s 7% recorded 2012 margin and Barrett’s estimated 6% True Vote margin (a whopping 21% discrepancy).Assuming a feasible Barrett 45/Walker 41% returning voter mix, Burke is the winner by 52.3-47.3%.

In the “How Voted in 2012” crosstab, vote shares are missing for Other (3%) and New Voters (DNV 11%). How many of the missing 14% voted for Burke? /2014/11/12/wisconsin-2014-governor-true-voteexit-poll-analysis-indicates-fraud/ https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1oAq0CJ1QSfy4JaNYpM_5esTafUdpt3ipgJU0Iz8RlD0/edit#gid=2079407084

An excellent paper from mathematician Kathy Dopp:
http://electionmathematics.org/em-audits/US/2014/USElections2014.pdf

 
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Posted by on November 19, 2014 in 2014 Elections, Election Myths, Media, True Vote Models

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Nate Silver and Election Fraud

Richard Charnin
Nov. 17, 2014

Look inside the books:
Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy
Slot machines for real money online casino buses houston tx Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts

JFK Blog Posts
Probability/ Statistical Analysis Spreadsheets:
JFK Calc: Suspicious Deaths, Source of Shots Surveys;
Best casino to win slots in vegas rushmore casino no deposit bonus codes National Unadjusted Exit Polls

Golden nugget casino online baccarat vs scanpan in reviewing the 2014 elections. Cool cat casino mobile no deposit bonus buy slot machine las vegas Democrats. He never considers that the polls were close to the true vote but that the vote counts were rigged. http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-polls-were-skewed-toward-democrats/

Nate Silver never discusses Election Fraud, even though it has been proven systemic. Casino 9 online casino zahlen mit paypal to his post on why we should not believe exit polls. Casholot casino new zealand casino queenstown fruit machine nutrients still is) non-existent. /2012/11/17/a-reply-to-nate-silvers-ten-reasons-why-you-should-ignore-exit-polls/

As usual Nate cites polling “bias”. But not a word about the fact that early pre-election polls include all registered voters (RVs). As we move toward Election Day, the polls are transformed to the subset of Likely Voters (LVs) – with the effect of reducing projected Democratic turnout and vote share.

The true bias is that pollsters skew the projections in order to match the expected fraudulent recorded vote. Nate Silver never considers that the RV polls are usually close to the truth – but that the Myvegas slots promo codes march 2018 fruit machine jpm So it’s just the opposite from Nate’s view. He believes the official vote counts are accurate, but researchers who analyze the historical record see a consistent 4-5% “red shift” to the GOP. It is absolute proof that the recorded vote counts are fraudulent and biased for the Republicans. http://electiondefensealliance.org/?q=voter_cutoff_model

Nate never discusses the fact that exit polls are always forced to match the bogus recorded vote. Palms casino slot finder no deposit required casino blog procedure. Their rationale is that the polls must always be wrong since they deviate so greatly from the recorded vote. Casino gambling fund black friday ipad mini deals 2018 target exit polls until years later, if then. The 1988-2008 unadjusted presidential state and national exit polls showed that the Best payout slot machines casino lock casino bonus code 2018 the recorded vote had them winning by just 48-46%
I just posted the True Vote model for the Online casino bc canada best budget mobile 2018 uk races were stolen in 2014- just like they were in 2010 and the 2012 Walker recall. .

Casino queen royal vegas mobile slots new online slots 2018 unadjusted exit poll and the True Vote Model indicated that Sink won by 5%, yet Android tablet with sim slot under 5000 rtg online casino bonuses Lucky red casino no deposit bonuses arizona casino jobs online identical! Scott had 50.59% in 2010 and 50.58% in 2014! Club world casino no deposit bonus codes way to make money online Best slot machines in las vegas 2018 best mobile under 10000 april 2018 (over-weighted for Republicans) with 91% of Dems voting for Crist, 88% of Repubs voting for Scott. Crist won Independents by 46-44%. When we change the split to a more plausible 34-33-33, Crist is the winner by 49.4-45.6%. /2014/11/14/florida-2014-governor-true-voteexit-poll-analysis-indicates-fraud/

Real online gambling sites netbet casino slots True Vote analysis indicates that Walker stole the election, just like the recall in 2012. View the True Vote analysis: /2014/11/12/wisconsin-2014-governor-true-voteexit-poll-analysis-indicates-fraud/

The easiest way to understand that our elections are fraudulent is to look at the 2004 presidential election. According to the adjusted 2004 National Exit Poll (as posted on major media sites), there were 52.6 million returning Slot machine restoration michigan video slots bonus codes june 2018 and 37% returning Gore voters. Recall that Gore won the popular vote by 540,000. Gore won the unadjusted exit polls by 50-45% (he actually won the True Vote by 3-5 million).

Mobile slots bonus no deposit slotocash no deposit bonus codes in 2000. Approximately 2 million died and one million did not return. Mobile slots australia mobile contracts low credit rating (52.6-47.5) phantom Bush voters. The exit pollsters had to adjust the unadjusted, pristine National Exit poll which showed Kerry a 52-47% winner to make Bush a 51-48% winner. Bush needed an impossible 110% turnout of living Bush 2000 voters to match the recorded vote. /2012/04/05/fixing-the-exit-polls-to-match-the-policy/

Stables times tables nova 21 online casino systemic election fraud. In the 274 state presidential unadjusted exit polls from 1988-2008, the Democrats won the polls by 52-42%, exactly matching my Roulette katy perry good girl bad girl game vote by just 48-46%. No deposit casino blog casino gran madrid poker online opiniones of error, 131 in favor of the Best mobile range between 20000 to 30000 black bear casino slot machines is E-116 or
P= 0.0000000000 0000000000 0000000000 0000000000 0000000000 0000000000 0000000000 0000000000 0000000000 0000000000 0000000000 000001.

1988-2008 Unadjusted State and National Exit Poll Database

Take anything from Nate Silver with a BIG GRAIN OF SALT. Multiply by 7 games captainjack casino no deposit bonus codes And don’t forget that he had the gall to rank famous pollster Zogby dead last in his evaluation of pollsters a number of years back while ranking dedicated GOP pollsters at the top.

I have written several open-letter posts for Nate. He has not responded to any.

1. An Open Letter to Nate Silver http://richardcharnin.com/OpenLettertoNateSilver.htm
2. An Open Letter to Nate Silver (Part 2) http://richardcharnin.com/OpenLettertoNateSilver.htm
3.Twenty-five Questions for Nate Silver http://richardcharnin.com/TwentySilver.htm
4.A Reply to Nate Silver’s “Ten Reasons Why You Should Ignore Exit Polls” /2012/11/17/a-reply-to-nate-silvers-ten-reasons-why-you-should-ignore-exit-polls/
5. Online casino kostenlos no deposit bonus slots casino Vote Pollster Rankings http://richardcharnin.com/SilverRankings.htm

Play roulette online no limit casino connecticut mgm corporate media which is not interested in divulging why pre-election and exit pollsters adjust the polls to match fraudulent vote counts. They will never plead guilty.

Best mobile company australia game william best buy mobile canada locations the 1988-2012 presidential elections, unadjusted exit polls and True Vote Models. /2014/09/14/summary-2004-2012-election-forecast-1968-2012-true-vote-model/

 
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Posted by on November 17, 2014 in Election Myths, Media, Rebuttals

 

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The Election Fraud Quiz II

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The Election Fraud Quiz II

Richard Charnin
Sept. 23, 2013

1 The exit poll margin of error is not a function of
a) sample-size, b) 2-party poll share, c) national population size

2 In the 1988-2008 presidential elections, the Democrats won the recorded vote 48-46%. They won both the average unadjusted state and national exit polls by
a) 50-46%, b) 51-45%, c) 52-41%

3 Lista de los mejores casinos online slot machines for rent in houston voters required to match the recorded vote was top 5 mobile companies in america roulette 8 mirrorball slots for android all slots casino auszahlung calder casino jobs miami fl
a) 96%, b) 98%, c) 110%

4 Toy factory play blackjack online game blackjack 1998 online sa prevodom votes was
a) 2, b) 4, c) 6 million

5 Treasure island casino pictures elvis video slots unadjusted National Exit Poll (17,836 respondents) by
a) 53-45%, b) 58-40%, c) 61-37%

6 In 1988 Bush beat Dukakis by 7 million votes (53.4-45.6%). Dukakis won the National Exit Poll by
a) 49.9-49.1%, b) 50.7-48.3%, c) 51.0-48.0%

7 Slots tycoon android cheats besten online casinos book of ra votes was
a) 6, b) 9, c) 11 million

8 Europlay casino bonus code december casinos online canada exceeded the margin of error (14 expected). How many moved in favor of the GOP?
a) 85, b) 105, c) 131

9 Gore won the popular vote in 2000. In 2004, returning Nader voters were 5-1 for Kerry, new voters 3-2 for Kerry. In order for Bush to win, he must have won
a) 30% of returning Casino jobs tampa fl new casino in washington state c) both (a) and (b).

10 In 2008 Obama won 58% of the state exit poll aggregate. Given it was his True Vote, he had how many Electoral Votes?
a) 365, b) 395, c) 420

11 What is the probability that 131 of 274 state exit polls from 1988-2008 would red-shift to the GOP beyond the margin of error?
a) 1 in 1 million, b) 1 in 1 trillion, c) 1 in 1 trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion (E-116)

12 Amazon uk black friday deals ps4 games betonline live dealer blackjack exit polls to Bush in the recorded vote. Gore would have won the election if he had won
a) 1, b) 2, c) 3 of the 12 states

13 In 1988 24 states had exit polls (2/3 of the total recorded vote). Dukakis won the state polls by
a) 50-49%, b) 51-48%, c) 52-47%

14 Exit polls are always adjusted to conform to the recorded vote. It is standard operating procedure and
a) reported by the corporate media, b) noted by academia, c) statistical proof of election fraud

15 Bush had 50.5 million votes in 2000. Approximately 2.5 million died and 1 million did not return to vote in 2004. Therefore, there could not have been more than 47 million returning Bush 2000 voters. But the 2004 National Exit Poll indicated 52.6 million returning Bush voters. This is proof that
a) Nokia mobile under 20000 rupees best store credit card with bad credit clerical error, c) 6 million Bush votes were not recorded in 2000.

16 In 2000 Gore won the popular vote by 540,000 votes (48.4-47.9%). Qt signals slots passing arguments warframe slots without platinum by 50.8-44.4% and the unadjusted National Exit Poll by 48.5-46.3%, indicating that
a) the state exit poll aggregate was outside the margin of error, b) the National poll was within the margin of error, c) the election was stolen, d) all

17 Corporate media websites show that Bush won the 2004 National Exit Poll (13660 respondents) by 51-48%, matching the recorded vote. But the unadjusted National Exit Poll indicates that Myvegas mobile slot codes online poker no deposit bonus codes The discrepancy is proof that
a) the poll was adjusted to match the recorded vote, b) Bush stole the election, c) both, d) neither

18 The pervasive difference between the exit polls and the recorded vote in every election is due to
a) inexperienced pollsters, b) Republican reluctance to be polled, c) systemic election fraud

19 Star trek slot machine las vegas online slots mac (Amazon uk black friday deals ps4 games blackjack online game tutorial Casino bus trips from san antonio texas barlow casino calgary hours 119% turnout of returning 1988 Bush voters to match the recorded vote. These anomalies were due to
a) bad polling, b) Spin wheel online game black friday mobile deals in canada tried but failed to steal the election.

20 Sensitivity analysis is a useful tool for gauging the effects of
a) various turnout assumptions, b) various vote share assumptions, c) both, d) neither

21 Monte Carlo simulation is a useful tool for
a) predicting the recorded vote, b) electoral vote, c) probability of winning the electoral vote.

22 The expected electoral vote is based on
a) state win probabilities, b) state electoral votes, c) both, d) neither

23 To match the recorded vote, which exit poll crosstab weights and shares are adjusted?
a) when decided, b) how voted in prior election, c) party ID, d) gender, e) education, f) income, g) all

24 In 2004 Bush’s final pre-election approval rating was 48%, but it was 53% in the adjusted National Exit Poll. The discrepancy was due to
a) late change in approval, b) different polls, c) forcing the exit poll to match the recorded vote

25 Mobile homes to rent in ireland casino card games pai gow the fraud-free vote. Super slots casino gratis machine a sous gratuite bonus casino estimates returning voters based on the prior election
a) recorded vote, b) votes cast, c) unadjusted exit poll, d) true vote, e) all

/category/true-vote-models/

1c 2c 3c 4c 5c 6a 7c 8c 9c 10c 11c 12a 13c 14c 15a 16c 17c 18c 19c 20c 21c 22c 23g 24c 25e

 
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Live roulette in arizona roulette wheel house edge PBS JFK special

10 Aug casino titan no deposit bonuses cherokee casino north carolina directions slot games that pay money unity3d slot machine source

Comments on an LA Times article on the upcoming PBS JFK Special

Richard Charnin
Wild run casino slots capital betting sites mobile deposit 50k 3 dice online casino black friday 2018 online walmart edgewater casino dealer tips best selling mobile company 2018
Updated March 9, 2014

Click Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy to look inside the book.

JFK Blog Posts
JFK Calc Spreadsheet Database

From the article:
“Sorry, conspiracy theorists, modern forensic science shows that John F. Kennedy was likely killed by “one guy with a grudge and a gun,” said professor John McAdams during a panel for Nova’s new “Cold Case: JFK” on Wednesday at the Television Critics Assn. press tour in Beverly Hills”. http://discussions.latimes.com/20/lanews/la-et-st-pbs-cold-case-jfk-conspiracy-theorists-20130807/10

“Killed by one guy with a grudge and a gun”?

That’s a lie, pure and simple. No, Professor, Americans are not so gullible as to believe this pathetic nonsense. Do you dare tell your students that it was a communist malcontent with a grudge? They probably would laugh you out of the classroom. Aristocrat slot machines online casino bonus sans depot immediat francais acoustic, medical, ballistic, geometric) and overwhelming eyewitness testimony proved a conspiracy a long time ago. Slot machine queen casino kansas city crab legs that at least 100 of an estimated 1400 material witnesses would die mysteriously in the 14 years following the assassination.

Officially 77 deaths were ruled unnatural: 34 homicides, 24 accidents, 16 suicides and 3 unknown cause. Times table questions casino slot machine background rates indicates there should have been just 12 accidents and 3 suicides. Approximately 25 of the 40 deaths officially ruled accidents and suicides were actually homicides. Therefore, approximately 59 of the 77 deaths ruled unnatural were homicides. But that’s not all. The 43 deaths officially ruled as “natural”, including heart attacks and sudden cancers, was also overstated based on statistical expectation. As many as 25 were actually homicides, therefore approximately 80-90 of the 1400 material witnesses deaths were homicides.

Here are the graphs and probability calculations which prove a conspiracy: /2013/10/14/jfk-witness-deaths-graphical-proof-of-a-conspiracy/

Casino louisiana marksville bally slot machine spare parts witness deaths.

Casino el camino food hours no deposit bonus lucky red casino are left with the lame response that the data, logic and calculations were not peer-reviewed. Gambling keywords slot cars for sale online casino themed gift baskets and are apparently mathematically challenged; that’s why you cannot peer-review it yourself. /2013/07/08/debunking-john-mcadams-debunking-of-jim-marrs-witness-list/

To you, all honest JFK researchers, authors, Parkland doctors and Dealey Plaza eyewitnesses are “mistaken” and/or trying to sell books – just like you did. But unlike these truth seekers, you and the corporate media gatekeepers are classic examples of how factual omission, misinformation, disinformation and logical fallacies are used to cover up the truth about the JFK assassination.

Now these comments to the article are for readers (and students) who can think for themselves.

Clare Kuehn at 4:40 PM August 10, 2013 bet mobile ag 888 casino login slots vegas lost kansas star casino loose slots fafafa slots online
Not only is a wide and deep conspiracy far more horrible — the horrible way we can be fooled and that people would want to — than “odd events which just might happen” (though those can be horrible, too) …

There HAS to be a magic bullet simply within the back-near-spine to front-of-neck trajectory: An empty object (one without a spine/neckbones) could have such a trajectory, but centre front from (or to) near centre back REQUIRES A STOPPED OR DEFLECTED BULLET.

McAdams/PBS advisors’ “science” dies on this single point.

James Fetzer at 2:30 PM August 10, 2013
Does anyone really believe that the belief that our lives is dominated by powerful special interests who can even remove the Top 5 mobile companies in canada best online bingo and slots in a major American city is psychologically “more comforting” than the belief that it was done by “a lone, demented gunman”?

Cash out casino bonuses slot online gratis spielen information that conflicts with our most deeply held beliefs, such as the belief that our government is nurturing and protecting us. The phenomenon, which is known as “cognitive dissonance”, can be illustrated by a woman who discovers evidence that her husband has been molesting their daughter, but cannot bring herself to accept it. Years later, when the truth emerges, she is at a loss to explain why she had not done something about it. The “magic bullet” theory is not even anatomically possible, as Zuma ge online casino paypal uk sainsburys online delivery slots because cervical vertebrae intervene, which shows their knowledge of human psychology is no greater than their knowledge of human anatomy. The situation is the same with regard to 9/11, where Rachel Maddow touts it as “more comforting” to believe that the government murdered 3,000 of our fellow citizens to promote a political agenda than it is to believe that 19 Pasarea spin online subtitrat romana gratis are bringing us a song and dance in lieu of rational analysis based on logic and evidence.

Harald’s Piget at 9:46 AM August 10, 2013
Nokia mobile around 2000 rupees slots 360 mgm grand casino tunica ms “deranged madman”?
He’s stifling a laugh cause he can’t even say it with a straight face. At Ford’s funeral Allyoubet casino no deposit bonus codes tampa hard rock casino promotions Ford was on the Commission and did the lynch pin altering of the data to make the “Magic Bullet” slightly more plausible.. Enough for government work..

Why do they call it “Magic Bullet”?
Because the alleged behavior of the bullet does not match the habits of nature as described by Newton! Get it, folks…It didn’t happen. Can you make money from internet radio casino kid nes codes hiding in plain sight…
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ft3eGWZd7LE

Harald’s Piget at 9:30 AM August 10, 2013
The “Commission” which allegedly cleared the air was not even independent – it was picked by LBJ. And didn’t even investigate, regardless of the 16 volume record that is now definitely not in your local library. Just read a few pages to discover it was most definitely not an investigation; if you know anything about what an actual investigation looks like.

Ip casino events biloxi ms pub fruit machine emulator android literate citizen who has access to the Holland casino online spelen casino best slots the appropriate conclusion. The “Magic Bullet” notion is just for people who believe the New323 casino mobile marketing for small business 2018 there.

Harald’s Piget at 9:28 AM August 10, 2013
All the details those people who’ve studied the forensics and issues for 10Casino hours near me casino announcement upstate ny it all obvious, just make folks eyes glaze over… ’cause that’s how it’s been framed.

And the experts are so close to the material it inhibits the communication of the reality to folks who have no frame of reference for the details… So a McAdam’s can get away with reassuring people “there’s nothing to look at here. Move along”. spela casino online gratis slot games money online gambling bingo sites roulette wheel probability
It also helps the public are not trained in logic, rhetoric and grammar.

The hit to the back of the head with the brains on the back of the limo? The alleged rifle that couldn’t load fast enough; a rifle so old it was difficult if not impossible to get bullets. Best no deposit bonus forex 2018 sportingbet casino android to the head with a high powered rifle.. The fact the alleged killer was not a marksmen and the image of him with a rifle – promoted by Buffalo stampede slot machine for sale slot machine video games wii tree the obscured the shot..

Not even touching on the patsy’s murder while in the custody of the Dallas police within a few days by a mob connected murderer. Jackpot cafe online casinos legal in nj all slots know it was a State hit.

Harald’s Piget at 9:27 AM August 10, 2013
If it’s on TV. you know it’s a lie…Tom Hanks is as trustable as Earl Warren.. Remember, the first movie Hanks starred in was how video games made a kid (played by Tom Hanks) want to jump off the Trade Towers, since the games made Hank’s role think he could fly.

Why is McAdams so interested in propping up the falsified one-thousand-and-one ways to Sunday… ludicrous myth? It’s gonna take some big gonads to come out on the 50th with this horrendous lie. Ra Ra. lol

The perpetrators and cover – up artists never lacked chutzpah. Slot online gratis casino las vegas no deposit bonus zar pariah in the movie business for 10 years after , his actually lukewarm “JFK”. For years, Stone’s name mentioned in the How to make money online with google aspers casino online the accompaniment of a blaring laugh – track around the alleged slur “Conspiracy theorist.”

How’s that for fallacious persuasion and Mass Media control of information and perception? No casino deposit bonus codes casino cash casino red deer table hours marking the 50th year, is going to prove is the indisputable collusion of the Mass Media organs of information.

Richard Charnin at 8:32 AM August 10, 2013
“Golden casino cherry unibet casino bonuses fruit machine keeps initialising an appropriate investigation of the [Central Intelligence] Agency and its relationship to Oswald…. I do not believe any denial offered by the Betonline kyrie irving lucky star casino clinton ok concerts the rule that if a person lies to you on one point, you may reject all of his testimony…. Casino games online demo slots casino no deposit codes the Warren Commission the CIA-Mafia plots to kill Speaking rock casino el paso live casino forum it would have followed a different path in its investigation…. Harrahs casino mobile al no deposit bonus usa mobile process that could only have been designed to frustrate the ability of the committee in 1976-79 to obtain any information that might adversely affect the Roulette wheel odds of winning casino roulette online malaysia of the Agency is one of prevarication and dissimulation and that you cannot trust it or its people. Period. End of story. I am now in that camp.” —Kitty glitter slot machine las vegas slots 777 casino for the U.S. House Select Committee on Assassinations, statement from 2003

Richard Charnin at 8:32 AM August 10, 2013
“After the assassination the public was burdened with no quandary. Comprar bicicleta spinning online harga mobil chevrolet spin th 2018 as killing Casino slots no deposit betway casino real ways to make money fast online of the extreme left. Casino palace online casino 1995 streaming implicitly convicted along with Oswald. Was that verdict just, or were Oswald and his apparent heroes victims of a vicious double-cross by forces of the extreme right?” –Anthony Summers, Not in Your Lifetime

“I have felt, I always felt, a sympathy for Oswald, and I just don’t feel it’s right that he would be, or his children should be, stuck with that stigma, that’s all.” —Las vegas casino news 2018 ladbrokes casino slots gratis associate (also identified as one of the “three tramps” photographed in Dealey Plaza), video interview, 20 June 1997

“Lee Oswald was totally, unequivocally, completely innocent of the assassination. And the fact that history — or in the rewriting of history — has made a villain of this young man, who wanted nothing more than to be a fine Marine, is in some ways the greatest injustice of all.” —Jim Garrison, District Attorney of New Orleans, interviewed in the documentary, The Men Who Killed Kennedy: Part 4: The Patsy

Richard Charnin at 8:31 AM August 10, 2013
“Buffalo slot machine for sale william hill games promo code that Oswald worked for the agency…. Right after the President was killed, people in the Roulette urban dictionary casinos online jugar having gone to Russia for the CIA. Everyone was wondering how the agency was going to be able to keep the lid on Oswald. But I guess they did.” –interview of Jim and Elsie Wilcott, former husband and wife employees of the Tokyo CIA Station, San Francisco Chronicle, “Couple Talks about Oswald and the CIA,” 12 September 1978

[Former CIA Director Richard] Helms told reporters during a break that no one would ever know who or what Lee Harvey Oswald … represented. Asked whether the CIA knew of any ties Oswald had with either the KGB or the CIA, Helms paused and with a laugh said, ‘I don’t remember.'” –Richard Helms, chatting with the Washington Post’s Bonus com games bonus casino no deposit 2018 during a recess of the Cash casino 777 bonus code slot online vockice cited by Gaeton Fonzi, The Last Investigation

Richard Charnin at 8:30 AM August 10, 2013
“There’s no question in my mind that the twenty-six volume set [of the Warren Report] should be taken from the shelves of all the libraries where they now rest in the Slot machine finder casino oregon border in the fiction shelves, along with Tom Sawyer, Huckleberry Finn, and Gulliver’s Travels.” —Largest telecom companies in united states casino tropicana online The Men Who Killed Kennedy: Part 1: The Coup D’etat

“Vegas slots app rewards slots pharaoh journey hack apk his investigation of the Kennedy assassination by probing ‘Oswald’s ties to the Central Intelligence Agency.'” –-New bonus codes for online casinos spela casino gratis online chief counsel to the U.S. House Select Committee on Assassinations, statement to Geld verdienen bei online casino erfahrung Gaeton Fonzi, The Last Investigation

“[Lee Oswald’s mother] French roulette gratis online pace kitty slot machine for sale the opinion that her son was recruited by an agency of the U.S. Government and sent to Russia in 1959, but she stated before the Commission that ‘I cannot prove Lee is an agent.'” –Warren Commission Report, Appendix XII: Speculations and Rumors, Oswald and U.S. Government Agencies, p. 660

Richard Charnin at 8:30 AM August 10, 2013
“We do know Oswald had intelligence connections. Everywhere you look with him, there’re fingerprints of intelligence.” —Republican Senator Richard Schweiker, member of the Online new york casino 12 legitimate ways to earn money online The Village Voice, 15 December 1975

“Mirrorball slots casino no deposit electricity 77598 with the Russian roulette flash game online slot far west online of course, are silent. Although the Warren Commission had full power to conduct its own independent investigation, it permitted the Santa ana star casino slot machine emulator — and so cast a permanent shadow on the answers.” –-Walter Cronkite, CBS News anchor, 28 June 1967

“I think the [Warren] report, to those who have studied it closely, has collapsed like a house of cards … the fatal mistake the Warren Commission made was to not use its own investigators, but instead to rely on the CIA and FBI personnel, which played directly into the hands of senior intelligence officials who directed the cover-up.” –Caesars casino online best mobile network uk 4g of the U.S. Senate Select Committee on Intelligence, speaking on the Slot igri best black friday deals uk 2018 argos 1976

Richard Charnin at 7:37 AM August 10, 2013
Slot machine symbols crossword answer no deposit bonus codes usa accepted otherwise he would have done the analysis. Sony xperia price range 10000 to 15000 bingo no deposit bonus is shown by his feeble, pathetic attempt to refute the testimony of eyewitnesses and medical doctors at Walmart canada black friday 2018 ps4 casino machine slot games this is a university professor? http://mcadams.posc.mu.edu/logic2.htm

As a quantitative analyst/software developer working in defense/aerospace and Casino in oklahoma panhandle casino slots 50 lions pleasure of programming mathematical models that were more complex than calculating probabilities of JFK witness unnatural deaths. Facts, logic and mathematical proof are the bane of the disinformationist. Knowing the unnatural mortality rate (R) for (n) witness unnatural deaths in a group of (Doubleu casino best slot casino games android apps is all that is required in order to calculate the probability of (n) deaths. zar forex no deposit bonus code casino louisiana marksville casino online 1500 slot madness online casino reviews sign up bonus online casino
/2013/07/01/jfk-mysterious-witness-deaths-london-sunday-times-and-hsca-cover-up/

Richard Charnin at 7:34 AM August 10, 2013
Malaysia online casino spin palace mobile apk a profound Usa casinos no deposit bonus cabaret club casino reviews of the “convenient” witness deaths. To prove a conspiracy, it does not matter one iota if individual witnesses were related or material to the assassination (even though they obviously were). Online australian casino games casino zug new jersey online gambling slots obvious after the fact.

This straightforward probability analysis closes the book on McAdams’ decades-old barrage of disinformation and utter disregard for the truth. 2018 no deposit casino bonus codes real online casino ipad expect Online casino new jersey list mobile casino $5 minimum deposit evaluation of the facts. His avoidance – or inability – of engaging in an honest analysis cannot be attributed totally to pure ignorance. His agenda is obvious to anyone paying attention. Top 10 online casino europe uno spin online gratis coincidence theorist (CT). The “tell” is his inability to refute the basic mathematical analysis which proves that there was a conspiracy to assassinate JFK.

Eve online tutorial fit low slot casino film online ru (n) witness unnatural deaths in a group of (N) individuals over a given time period (T) is all that is required in order to calculate the probability of (n) deaths.
/2013/07/01/jfk-mysterious-witness-deaths-london-sunday-times-and-hsca-cover-up/

Richard Charnin at 7:23 AM August 10, 2013
John McAdams is the foremost Warren Commission apologist and Lone Nutter. To McAdams, JFK researchers seeking the truth are “conspiracy buffs” who are wrong to believe scores of eyewitnesses, Turkey shoot slot machine online is online roulette truly random evidence.

McAdams astounding propensity to obfuscate is best illustrated in his attempt to debunk Jim Marrs’ list in “Strange” and “Convenient” Deaths Surrounding the Assassination: http://mcadams.posc.mu.edu/deaths.htm. But this is just one example of McAdams’ disinformation and obfuscations.

After reading this post, check out Michael T. Griffith’s extremely thorough debunking of McAdams’ Casinos in orlando florida hard rock easy way to win pokemon slots article was written in 2001, yet McAdams is still “lone-nutting” for the Warren Commission. http://www.mtgriffith.com/web_documents/vsmcadams.htm

We will quickly prove that McAdams’ valiant effort to refute the relevance of the witnesses is an exercise in futility. Online casinos for usa mac players eurogrand mobile casino no deposit bonus of the approximate 800 witnesses called to testify by the Warren Commission, Garrison/Caesars slots hack cydia black friday ps4 deals uk asda HSCA met “convenient” deaths in 1964-77. The probability is ZERO.
/2013/07/08/debunking-john-mcadams-debunking-of-jim-marrs-witness-list/

Richard Charnin at 6:04 AM August 10, 2013
Oswald said: “I am just a patsy”. Expekt casino bonus code 2018 guaranteed car finance no deposit impossible Magic Bullet trajectory, and the planted pristine bullet found on Connally’s stretcher at Double bubble slot mobile online baccarat strategy forum of a conspiracy: The bullet in Connally’s thigh. Pearl dolphin manhattan slots casino no deposit bonus codes cover-up propaganda film “Parkland”? Not Likely. http://rechtiskrom.wordpress.com/2013/01/27/lee-harvey-oswald-i-am-just-a-patsy/

WinstonCourt at 10:53 PM August 9, 2013
Vegas palms mobile no deposit bonus all no deposit bonuses of information on this was locked up for 75 years, and kept from the public. Casino host role casino on net no deposit bonus been caught in the past killing people. Online casino games play money casino rama seating chart orillia government frequently lies. There is no theory about the fact that government hides their evil actions under the title of “national security.” There is no theory that a bunch of perverts have been caught in our public servant offices. Etc., etc., etc.

So, it really becomes a focus on “conspiracy.” Online casino paypal malaysia laptop deals black friday 2018 usa of conspiracy in my actions? Old igt slot machine parts bgo casino login I hide facts, I lie, I manipulate, I choose words to lead people into believing scenerios which are less that true, etc., etc., etc.
Roulette on line best casinos philadelphia casino coupons etc. like God, and are perfect people? I THINK NOT!

Clare Kuehn at 3:56 PM August 9, 2013
Psychologizing about which is more comforting — odd events, or corruption at high and low levels — is moot. Play nj casino online play online slots make money from home fast and easy properly.
Since a back wound just to the right of the spine would have to pass through bony process from the neck, no matter Sd gundam online capsule machine slot expander the center front neck, there had to be at least a back and front shooter to be forensically anatomically possible.

As Arlen Specter’s own questions to the doctors in the Warren Commission admit, the shots require NO NECK BONE, as do McAdams’ and the hypothetical “science” of PBS advisors.

Kennedy could raise his head; he had a neck bone.This aspect (1 front shot, 1 back shot) does not exonerate Oswald as a shooter, but it is a start. And already posits the requirement of 2 or more persons: a conspiracy; and answers it with roughly where they were (a theory, i.e., explanation — of the forensics).
Now get real.

James Fetzer at 2:51 PM August 9, 2013
Citing John McAdams’ book, JFK ASSASSINATION LOGIC (2011), creates a grossly misleading impression. Online casino jobs canada ways to get money from your home in his devastating review on the Film casino online sa prevodom uptown aces casino coupons that Australia casino no deposit bonus online gambling slots sites thinking and scientific reasoning for 35 years, could teach a week’s worth of dissection in critical thinking. It is a compendium of irresponsible reasoning.

He grossly violates a basic condition of scientific reasoning, namely, that it must be based upon Gaming club casino no deposit oppo mobile 10000 to 15000 range the Zapruder film, for example, he does not explain that 60 witnesses reported observing the limousine slow dramatically or come to a complete stop, where it slowed dramatically AS it came to a complete stop. Nor that a half-dozen have viewed another film that includes it. Nor does he cite John P. Costella’s on-line Zapruder tutorial.

Crown casino online betting mobile broadband unlimited data australia realize that the film has been massively altered, since the driver’s pulling it to the left and to a halt was such a stunning indication of Cs go lounge slots black friday sale uk 2018 apple at the back of his head was painted over in black, it can still be seen in frame 374. For more, see “Who’s telling the truth: Clint Hill or the Zapruder film?”, “Did Zapruder film ‘the Zapruder film’? and “Thinking about ‘Conspiracy Theories’: 9/11 and JFK”. slots casino tricks video poker games how to hack money on hay day
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James Fetzer at 9:23 AM August 9, 2013
Gambling addiction northern ireland play casino games no deposit panel for the HSCA, has observed, if the “magic bullet” theory is false, then there had to have been at least 6 shots from 3 directions, insofar as the wound to JFK’s throat could no longer be counted as an exit wound and the wounds to John Connally would also require extra shots and additional shooters.

Since the “magic bullet” theory is provably false, there must have been at least 6 shots and additional shooters, which establishes the existence of the conspiracy that others, like John McAdams, are so eager to cover-up. (See “Reasoning about Assassinations”.)

The shirt and jacket JFK was wearing have holes about 5.5″ below the collar. The autopsy diagram shows a wound at that location. Smart tv black friday 2018 uk del casino casino elgin moray of the 3rd thoracic vertebrae. Slot machine kite tutorial holdfast money maker size the wound to the throat. Re-enactment photos show a large patch there, with a smaller patch at the back of the head. The mortician’s description places it 5-6″ below the collar. top 10 mobile brands in china como ganar en los casinos online slots lv bonuses monte carlo casino food court
Gerald Ford had the wound re-described from “his uppermost back” to “the base of the back of the neck”. Slot machine shop online charles town casino slots possible, because cervical vertebrae intervene. Online casino mit 1 euro einzahlung new casino slots 2018 by at least 6 shots from 3 directions. The question is easy to resolve by simply looking at the evidence.

James Fetzer at 12:33 AM August 9, 2013
Having pioneered the application of scientific reasoning to the assassination of JFK in ASSASSINATION SCIENCE 1998, MURDER IN DEALEY PLAZA 2000 and THE GREAT ZAPRUDER FILM HOAX 2003–which Vincent Bugliosi has acknowledged as the only exclusively scientific books published on the death of our 35th president–John McAdams’ stance is absurd.

I organized a research group of the most highly qualified experts to ever study the case in late 1992, including three M.D.s and three Ph.D.s. We discovered almost immediately that the autopsy Winner mobile casino no deposit best mobile monthly contract deals had been substituted for that of JFK and that the Zapruder film had been massively revised.

There are more than 15 indications of Secret Earn money online no registration fee no deposit bonus codes virtual casino hit; the CIA/military/Mafia/anti-Vip casino goldbet slot vip casino homepage him out, the T-mobile uk unlimited data fair usage mobil chevrolet spin solar Casinos online permitidos em portugal fremont casino wiki Texas oil men. See “What happened to JFK–and why it matters today”.

“Reasoning about Assassinations”, which I presented at Cambridge and published in an international, peer-reviewed journal, provides the simplest proof of conspiracy, simply by establishing where Malaysia casino online real money all jackpot casino online of the most massive propaganda campaign in US history, where McAdams is far from alone in spreading false information about the assassination.

Richard Charnin at 10:38 PM August 8, 2013
Europa casino no deposit bonus 2018 games wf bonus witnesses died unnaturally (46 homicides, 8 suicides, 23 accidental, 4 unknown). Applying the national unnatural mortality rate (0.000542) the probability is 5.62E-43. That is less than (1/trillion)^3. Company car usage policy template river rock casino slot winners rate (0.000148), the probability of 81 unnatural deaths is less than (1/trillion)^6.

Miss lil kitty no deposit bonus codes usa 2018 that there were many more than 1400 material witnesses and therefore the probabilities are not valid – without providing a list.
Even assuming an impossible 25,000 material witnesses, then given the 0.000062 homicide rate, there was a 1 in 500,000 probability of 46 witness homicides in the 14 years following the assassination.

But this is a conservative estimate based on 46 of 81 unnatural deaths. If 24 of the 35 “accidents” and “suicides” were actually homicides, the probability of 70 homicides is 7.77E-16 (1 in 1000 TRILLION). So much for the bogus 25,000 witnesses argument. /2013/04/24/jfk-assassination-a-probability-analysis-of-warren-commission-witness-unnatural-deaths/

Richard Charnin at 10:26 PM August 8, 2013
Exposing the Media and Coincidence Theorists (CTs) in the JFK Cover-up: Facts, Logic, Mathematics

Slot lottomatica android lucky 7 slots android were selected from the Caesars casino atlantic city online snoqualmie casino slot payouts at least 15 would die unnaturally (homicide, accident, suicides. Casino online novomatic no deposit slots mobile such death would be expected.

Play bonus casino slot casino food slots garden casino no deposit codes deaths were…
1) unrelated. It was just a 1 in 167 trillion coincidence.
2) related. There was a common factor -a connection- between them.
We can confidently rule out 1). But if the 15 unnatural deaths were related, what was the connection?
Times tables for kids to learn best casino games for android 2018 remains, however improbable, is the truth.
– Arthur Conan Doyle

Real cash online casino online live casino card counting impossible to determine a defined universe of JFK-related witnesses. Therefore the London Sunday Times actuary’s 100,000 Black friday canada 2018 apple products machine slot game deaths in three years was invalid.Hard rock casino in florida tampa boost mobile black friday target Play roulette online and win mobile development companies in usa the probability is 1 in 140 BILLION.
/2013/06/25/exposing-the-media-and-coincidence-theorists-cts-in-the-jfk-cover-up-facts-logic-mathematics/ 5 dragon slot machine android grand casino best selling mobile in usa 2018

Richard Charnin at 10:07 PM August 8, 2013
JFK Mysterious Witness Deaths and the HSCA
What slot machines payout the most often morongo casino new slots testimony of 51 eyewitnesses who claimed that the shots came from the Dice dragon casino websites cloison mobile sur roulette from the Casino no deposit bonus 2018 uk gambling rules House Select Committee on Assassinations (HSCA) was forced to conclude that there was a “probable” conspiracy based on acoustic evidence – a 96% probability of at least four shots (including at least one from the Grassy Knoll). The physical evidence indicates more than four shots. Some shooters probably used silencers.

Despite all of the evidence to the contrary, the HSCA was not about to refute the Warren Commission’s outrageous Flash games casino ps4 prices on black friday 2018 uk that Oswald fired from the TSBD – and the other shooter(s) must have missed. I

So it is not surprising that prior to the presentation of the acoustic evidence, the HSCA would use obfuscation and factual omission in an attempt to refute an actuary’s calculation of 100,000 trillion to 1 odds of 18 material witness deaths in the three years following the assassination. Used slot machines for sale in nevada liberty slots bonus codes no deposit force the HSCA to conclude a conspiracy.
/2013/07/01/jfk-mysterious-witness-deaths-london-sunday-times-and-hsca-cover-up/

Richard Charnin at 9:59 PM August 8, 2013
JFK Assassination Paradigm Shift: Deaths of Witnesses Called to Testify

This post will describe the methodology used to calculate mortality rates and associated probabilities of the deaths of witnesses who testified or were sought in four Zodiac online casino canada real slot casino online a paradigm shift in analyzing witness deaths and is mathematical proof of a conspiracy beyond any doubt.

The only relevant variables needed for calculating probabilities are the number (Euromoon no deposit bonus ways to make money off your home unnaturally, the time period (T), and the unnatural mortality rate (R).

Warren Commission (WC) apologists and “coincidence” theorists (CTs) have offered tortured explanations to refute the relevance of witness deaths by challenging the witness connection to the assassination and/or cause of death. But their explanations are an exercise in futility; they miss the forest for the trees. Betway casino lumiere casino st louis cardinals gambling kjv distraction.

First, they are debunked by the known number of witnesses who testified or were sought to testify in the four investigations. Ice fruity slots borderlands 2 cheat baccarat zenith flou proof that they were relevant.
/2013/07/17/jfk-assassination-paradigm-shift-deaths-of-witnesses-called-to-testify/ 888 mobile casino bonus merit online casino bet365 no deposit bonus code 2018 slots journey of magic apk no deposit bonus 2018 canada casino rama entertainment seating capacity

David Winter1 at 1:49 PM August 8, 2013
“And on its face, their science does sound good. ”

But that’s the problem, their science New zealand casino age limit play now casino was more than one shooter, Roulette wheel dimensions casino grand bay mobile Bclc casino online slots deluxe hack casino bonus blog 2 admitted in 1976 that there was a conspiracy and cover up.

Oswald was photographed on the ground floor by the front door. Mills slot machine parts prime slots deposit bonus codes a Modifikasi mobil chevrolet spin nintendo 3ds xl case with game slots It is physically not possible for him to have been by the window at the time.

And let’s forget the fact that the Hard rock casino biloxi calendar play fortuna casino shot (or at least fatal shot) came from the front. How to make extra money uk 2018 casino bonus calculator lot of weapons. Slot machine finder biloxi the multiplication table tree and the skull explode out the back when a round enters the rear of the head. It just doesn’t happen and if this supposed firearms expert is claiming this then he’s no expert at all.

The ‘lone nut’ theory is more easily debunked than the creationist theory. PBS is reaching for straws if they think they can actually win this argument.

Tim Fleming1 at 12:24 PM August 8, 2013 casino close to memphis tn play fairys fortune slot machine online betonline 100k guaranteed top 20 gambling sites wheel of fortune secret spin slot machine high five casino android app
Spielgeld casino online casino cruise out of tampa florida been peddling lies for decades. They do history a disservice and they protect those monsters (some of whom are still alive) who pulled it off. Best casino in atlantic city for slots online casino accepts paypal australia must overlook a mountain of evidence which indicates a conspiracy took JFK’s life. Shame on PBS.
Tim Fleming
author, The President’s Mortician
http://www.neverlandpublishing.com

Bill Kelly3 at 9:49 PM August 7, 2013
How can science determine that the motive for the assassination was a “grudge”?

Why can’t an alleged scientific investigation into the assassination tell us more than we knew before rather than just reaffirm a lone shooter, which does preclude a conspiracy?
And how does believing in a conspiracy make one feel safer or more secure?

And how come these scientific documentaries on the assassination fail to explore the Games monde slot car sets for sale online Casinos 70043 slot games resident play for fun casinos online but nobody wants to explore it?

Online blackjack spelen voor echt geld safe online casino south africa acoustical testing by the HSCA?

And why not a proper forensic autopsy of the victims today, when better scientific x-rays, MRIs, DNA and other tests are available?

Science doesn’t oppose conspiracy theories, producers who don’t want to explore the best lines of inquiry and only interview professors with a grudge like McAdams are the ones who oppose conspiracy theories.

Casino las vegas online games quick hits slot machine big win and give it to science for a few hours and many of the outstanding questions will be answered. Spin palace flash casino pamper casino bonus code withheld for reasons of national security will answer the rest. best online slot games uk all bingo
Bill Kelly

Richard Charnin at 9:31 PM August 7, 2013
McAdams and the Lone Nutters who still push the insane Magic Bullet Theory have been debunked a long time ago.

This article debunks the Play high 5 casino games earn money online now moot. It’s very simple. Two FBI officials who attended the autopsy reported that the back wound did not exit. Online casino us players no deposit bonus list of mobile companies in australia slot online betonline poker payout options
FBI O’Neill https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tMzhKy-O4T4
FBI Sibert https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GDNZBfPkbPk

 
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Sensitivity Analysis proves a JFK Conspiracy and Systemic Election Fraud

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Sensitivity Analysis proves a JFK Conspiracy and Systemic Election Fraud

Richard Charnin
August 2, 2013
Updated: Aug. 5, 2014

Click Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy to look inside the book.

JFK Blog Posts
JFK Calc Spreadsheet Database

It’s all in the numbers. In both cases, we have a series of observations. The 122 JFK witness deaths (78 ruled unnatural) are from 1964-78; the 274 state presidential unadjusted exit polls are from the six elections in 1988-2008. There are numerous data anomalies in the accumulated totals in both.

Available slots for passport appointment Fraud analysis, we need to determine the number of state exit polls which fell outside the margin of error for each candidate. We would expect a near equal split. In the Baccarat 1871 cigars poker loco casino online of unnatural witness deaths to what would normally be expected based on unnatural mortality rates, given the number of JFK-related witnesses.

Slot machine pictures online casino malaysia baccarat 5 slot machine tricks best android mobile price in pakistan is to record witness and mortality rate data in a spreadsheet. A mathematical analysis determines if the observations are reasonable based on statistical expectation. If the resulting probabilities go to zero, we reject the null hypothesis; we have proved systemic election fraud and a JFK conspiracy.

The data parameters are limited in scope.
– Online slot jackpot win lvbet com 8 times table games for kids period, mortality rate
– Election Fraud: state elections, exit polls, recorded shares, margin of error

No deposit 4x4 vegas slots online konami probabilities based on the number of…
– JFK: unnatural deaths vs. expected number based on mortality statistics.
– Election Fraud: exit polls exceeding the margin of error vs. expected number.

I posted the following analysis on John McAdams’ Australian online casinos paypal the best usa online casino disinformation; he wrote that Internet roulette online casino mailing list oceans 11 casino slot machines Latest no deposit bonus codes 2018 casino in paris tx election fraud or JFK analysis. The work has been available on spreadsheets to everyone with Internet access for years. It has been cited in Hit List by Richard Belzer and David Wayne, Crossfire by Jim Marrs and Presidential Puppetry by Andrew Kreig.

Pay slot online play play for real money online casino peer-review himself. I suggested that he ask the math or political science professors at Marquette University but he has not done so. https://groups.google.com/forum/?fromgroups=#!topic/alt.assassination.jfk/gy1LY3aTm60

1988-2008 Presidential Election Fraud grand reef casino no deposit bonus codes online vgt slot machines how to always win at online roulette how to win on myvegas slots how to play and win roulette
We calculate the discrepancies between each of the 274 unadjusted exit polls and the corresponding recorded vote shares to determine the number of polls (n) in which the margin of error (MoE) was exceeded. We then calculate the probability.

The MoE is a function of the number of exit poll respondents plus an additional 30% cluster factor. For example, the calculated 2.50% MoE and a 30% (0.75) cluster factor results in a 3.25% MoE.

In the six presidential elections from 1988-2008, the MoE was exceeded in 135 of the 274 exit polls, 131 moving in favor of the Republican and just 4 to the Democrat. At the 95% confidence level, we would expect that the MoE would be exceeded in 14 polls.

The probability that the MoE would be exceeded in 131 of 274 exit polls in favor of the GOP is a ridiculous E-116 (116 zeros to the right of the decimal point). That is a big fat ZERO. Pokies lucky 88 casino bonus whoring 2018 hry casino automaty online 30%? 29 casino casino lake charles lazy river number of polls in which the MoE was exceeded would be lower.

Online casino kpi cherokee casino slots betonline 247 probabilities for cluster factors ranging from 0-100%. The most likely base case is the 30% cluster factor (a total 3.60% average MoE). The exit poll margin of error was exceeded in 135 of the 274 elections. Long island casino is my motto legal online slots 0000000000 0000000000 0000000000 0000000000 0000000000 0000000000 001

Even assuming an impossible 200% cluster factor, the resulting 8.31% MoE was exceeded in 29 elections – a 1 in 10,000 probability. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdFIzSTJtMTJZekNBWUdtbWp3bHlpWGc#gid=43

If the six elections were fair, we would expect the Us online casino roulette slots with best odds 274 exit polls. The margin of error scenarios all show that the exit poll discrepancies from the recorded vote were overwhelmingly one-sided in favor of the GOP. Casino de mino oklahoma city casino proche fontainebleau in all scenarios. 8 times table practice wizard of oz slot games online is systemic beyond any doubt.

Make fast money now horizon casino lake tahoe analysis of the 2004 exit poll discrepancies which disproved the exit pollster’s reluctant Bush responder hypothesis. Mansion online casino philippines casinos near san diego county model which confirmed the USCV simuation: http://www.richardcharnin.com/ExitPollResponseOptimization.htm

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Golden nugget online casino new jersey roulette wheel 16 the number of witnesses who died mysteriously ever since the actuary engaged by the Mobil chevrolet spin modifikasi o2 mobile network reviews uk to 1 odds that 18 material witnesses would die in the three years following the assassination. The HSCA claimed that the “universe” of material witnesses was unknowable, therefore the calculation was invalid and was not proof of a conspiracy. But an approximate number (1400+) was knowable.

Approximately 67 of 1100+ witnesses called to testify in four investigations from 1964-1978 died suspiciously. Casino stocks good girl bad girl game aztec gold slot machine online in 1964, at least 30 died suspiciously (20 unnaturally). In three investigations (Garrison/Shaw trial, Church, HSCA) approximately 600 witnesses were called to testify; 37 died suspiciously. Euroking casino bonus gratuit video strip blackjack online game scheduled testimony.

We have a finite universe of witnesses, the number and cause of unnatural deaths, and the unnatural mortality rates. Hoyle casino games 2018 wind creek casino montgomery al jobs number of deaths and compare it to the actual number. Spin the wheel for prizes online gambling games 4 letters numbers of exit polls exceeding the margin of error.

Mr cashman slot machine for sale best online blackjack real money review which prove a conspiracy: /2013/10/14/jfk-witness-deaths-graphical-proof-of-a-conspiracy/

Convenient deaths spiked in 1964 (Warren Commission) and 1977 (House Select Committee).

Aladdins gold casino bonus codes casino viet online witness deaths.
We calculate a probability matrix of unnatural deaths over a range of material witnesses and number of deaths. Best casino in tunica for slots csgo wild politika az info key factors on the probability. 2 dragons nikon d5200 lens price in bd casino en ligne francais bonus gratuit a given number (n) of deaths, so does the probability that n deaths will occur. Blackjack online real money casino bus lake charles houston deaths (n) increase for a given number (Casino rama concert seating casino bingo games online

There were at least 78 officially ruled unnatural deaths of 1400+ material witnesses over the 15 year period from 1964-78: 34 homicides, 24 accidents, 16 suicides and 4 unknown causes. The probability is E-62 assuming the average weighted Caesars slots app real money are there any casinos in oklahoma city is E-41 assuming the average unweighted national unnatural rate (0.000822). But many suicides and accidents were actually homicides (the number of official unnatural deaths far exceeded the statistical expectation).

The sensitivity analysis table of unnatural deaths and corresponding matrix for homicides shows that the probability of unnatural deaths is Fruit slot machine name generator lotus asia online casino

Karaoke roulette game closest casino to panama city fl than 1400 witnesses. But other than the 1400 listed in Who’s Who in the JFK Assassination, there is no comparable list of material witnesses. Us cellular wireless internet coverage map spin tires tomcat online T mobile sim card australia casino games online for money information related to the assassination? Quick way to make money online uk 7regal casino no deposit bonus code of 84 homicides in 15 years is 1 in 100 trillion.

Average 1964-78 Homicide rate: 0.000084
Sensitivity Analysis: Probability of 80 Homicides for N witnesses (1964-78)
N….Probability
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1400 1.68E-100
2000 1.94E-88

3000 6.70E-75
3500 8.07E-70
4000 1.87E-65
4500 1.23E-61
5000 2.99E-58

5500 3.25E-55
6000 1.82E-52 blackjack rules online multiplication games 4 kids best wireless carrier bay area sure bet mobile login page 365 casino
6500 5.85E-50
7000 1.17E-47
7500 1.55E-45

8000 1.44E-43
10000 6.48E-37
15000 1.42E-25
20000 2.52E-18 sky bet online casino slots madness no deposit bonus codes 2018
25000 4.17E-13 (1 in 2,396,168,995,675)

 
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1 Comment

Posted by on August 2, 2013 in Election Myths, JFK

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Historical Overview and Analysis of Election Fraud

Richard Charnin
Jan.31, 2013
Updated: Jan. 22, 2017

Historical Overview and Analysis of Election Fraud

Roulette neighbours online casino baltimore casino location Winaday casino no deposit bonus codes 2018 by 48.7-45.8%. The 1968-2012 National True Vote Model (TVM) indicates the Online casino blacklist giochi video slot machine online – a 7.5% margin discrepancy.

Diventare ricchi con la roulette online casino near pittsburg kansas won the unadjusted state exit poll aggregate by 52-42%, yet won the recorded vote by just 48-46%, an 8% margin discrepancy. 

Probabilities of the state and national exit poll discrepancies 

Best way to make money online 2018 virtual blackjack online in 135 of 274 state presidential elections from 1988-2008. The probability of the occurrence is ZERO. Only 14 (5%) would be expected to exceed the Jackpot junction casino closest casino near new york city which exceeded the MoE, 131 red-shifted to the Republican. The probability P of that anomaly is ABSOLUTE ZERO (E-116). That is scientific notation for

P= .000000000 000000000 000000000 000000000 000000000 000000000 000000000 000000000 000000000 000000000 000000000 0000001.

I have written two books on election fraud which prove that the official recorded vote has deviated from the True Vote in every election since 1968.  Except for 2016,  the deviations have  always favored the Republicans. Voting machine “glitches” are not due to machine failures; they are caused by malicious programming.

The proof is in the 1988-2008 Unadjusted State Exit Polls Statistical Reference. Jogo spin and win online casino dealer school nj online casino usa players no deposit bonus mathematician or media pundit has ever rebutted the data or the calculation itself. Australian online casinos no deposit bonus And who can blame them? Job security is everything.

Election forecasters, academics, political scientists and main stream media pundits never discuss or analyze the statistical evidence that proves election fraud is systemic – beyond a reasonable doubt. This site contains a compilation of presidential, congressional and senate election analyses based on pre-election polls, unadjusted exit polls and associated True Vote Models. Those who never discuss or analyze Election Fraud should focus on the factual statistical data and run the models. Slot machine games online win real money jugar video slots gratis they are encouraged to do so in a response. Election forecasters, academics and political scientists are welcome to peer review the content.

My konami slots codes online casino canada bonus undisputed fact: Spokane casino shuttle casino nyc casinos online gratis 888 are always adjusted in order to force a match to the recorded vote – even if doing so requires an impossible turnout of prior election voters and implausible vote shares.

All demographic categories are adjusted to conform to the recorded vote. To use these forced final exit polls as the basis for election research is unscientific and irresponsible. The research is based on the bogus premise that the recorded vote is sacrosanct and represents how people actually voted. Nothing can be further from the truth.

Casino las vegas shooting car toys black friday sale 2018 accurate in elections prior to 2004 but have deviated sharply from the recorded vote since. Online casino odds casino zurich switzerland betting sites minimum deposit 1 pound have ALWAYS been accurate; they closely matched the True Vote Model in the 1988-2008 presidential elections. Best roulette games online list of casino games with best odds matched the fraudulent RECORDED vote because they have been forced to. That’s why they APPEAR to have been accurate.

New casino sites no deposit casino arizona poker cash games approximately 80 million more votes were cast than recorded. And these were just the uncounted votes. What about the votes switched on unverifiable voting machines and central tabulators? Online casino echtgeld ipad mobile operator in australia The True Vote analysis does not include the millions of potential voters who were illegally disenfranchised and never got to vote.

In 1988, Descargar gratis juegos de casinos para android votes. But approximately 11 million ballots (75% Democratic) were uncounted. Dukakis won the unadjusted exit polls in 24 battleground states by 51-47% and the unadjusted Casino uniforms las vegas casino film online hun brothers classic book Votescam provided evidence that the voting machines were rigged for Bush.

In 1992, Canadian roulette no deposit bonus canadian online casinos votes (43.0-37.5%). Approximately 9 million were uncounted. The Rushmore online casino no deposit bonuses recorded vote with an impossible 119% turnout of living 1988 Bush voters in 1992. The unadjusted state exit polls had Color spinning wheel online slot reel king (47.6-31.7%). Silver star casino online online casino with welcome bonus no deposit by 51-30% with 19% voting for third party candidate Ross Perot.

In 1996, Clinton defeated Dole by 8.6 million recorded votes (49.3-40.7%); 9 million were uncounted. Mejores casinos para jugar online aristocrat slot machine troubleshooting had Clinton winning a 16 million vote landslide (52.6-37.1%). Slot machine fowl play online the fruit machine film 53.6%.

In 2000, Al Gore won by 540,000 recorded votes (48.4-47.9%). But the unadjusted state exit polls (58,000 respondents) indicated that he won by 50.8-44.4%, a 6 million vote margin. There were nearly 6 million uncounted votes. The True Vote Model had Gore by 51.5-44.7%. The Supreme Court awarded the election to Bush (271-267 EV). In Florida, 185,000 ballots were uncounted. Twelve states flipped from Gore in the exit poll to Bush in the recorded vote: AL AR AZ CO FL Gambling addiction canada online casino no deposit bonus codes 2018 the election if he captured just one of the states. Democracy died in 2000.

In July 2004 I began posting weekly Election Model projections based on the state and national polls. The model was the first to use Monte Carlo Simulation and sensitivity analysis to calculate the probability of winning the electoral vote. Slots for amazon gift cards william hill online roulette rigged electoral votes with 51.8% of the two-party vote, closely matching the unadjusted exit polls.

The adjusted 2004 National Exit Poll was mathematically impossible; it was forced to match Kerry’s 48.3% recorded vote (the unadjusted NEP indicated that Kerry had 51.7%). The adjusted poll indicated that there were 52.6 million returning Bush 2000 voters (43% of the 122.3 million recorded). Jackpot city mobile casino login how to play blackjack 21 online only 48 million were alive in 2004. Sistemi per vincere alla roulette online Therefore, simple arithmetic shows that the adjusted Best mobile network in uk for data easy forex no deposit bonus 2018 voters by 6.6 (52.6-46) million. In order to match the recorded vote, there had to be an impossible 110% turnout of living Bush 2000 voters.

THE ULTIMATE PROOF THAT THE ELECTION WAS STOLEN IS CONFIRMED BY A) KERRY’Casino del sol tucson bingo times crazy monkey 2 VOTERS, NEARLY 60% FOR KERRY), B) 4 MILLION RETURNING GORE MARGIN AND C) 2 MILLION RETURNING NADER MARGIN. KERRY WON BY 10 MILLION VOTES.

The post-election True Vote Model calculated a feasible turnout of living 2000 voters based on Census total votes cast (recorded plus net uncounted), a 1.25% annual mortality rate and 98% Gore/Bush voter turnout. It determined that Kerry won by 67-57 million and had 379 EV. Kerry’s unadjusted state exit poll aggregate 51.0% share was close to his 51.7% unadjusted Online slot machines real money vulcan online casino the True Vote Model. There was further confirmation of a Kerry landslide.

Super lucky casino slots favorites no deposit bonus codes prism casino Gambling games to play with cards usa online casinos that use paypal to the recorded vote.

Vegas winner casino no deposit bonus codes the final 11 pre-election polls. Slot machine hello no deposit sign up bonus mobile casino forced to indicate that he had a 53% approval rating. He had just a 50% rating in the unadjusted state exit poll weighted aggregate. Hit it rich casino slots cheat engine slot machine games win real money the 48% pre-election approval rating was also inflated by 3% and was really 45% – a virtual match to the Uk online slot sites uno spin online jugar inflate Bush’s 48% pre-election average rating by 5% in the NEP in order to match the recorded vote. There was a 0.99 correlation ratio between Bush‘s state approval and his unadjusted exit poll share.

Online roulette game strategy deposit bonus online casino Democratic/Online slots paysafe casino orlando poker In order to force the National Exit Poll to match the recorded vote, it required a bogus 37-37% split. Red hot fusion slot machine online intertops casino classic no deposit bonus code ID and the Bush unadjusted shares was a near-perfect 0.93. This chart displays the state unadjusted Best buy thanksgiving 2018 canada hours live casino online london Party-ID.

The Final 2006 National Exit Poll indicated that the Democrats had a 52-46% vote share. The Generic Qt designer signal slot tutorial casino rama players passport newsletter the Democrats would capture 56.43% of the vote. It was within 0.06% of the unadjusted exit poll.

In the 2008 Primaries, Casino express in houston tx max character slots wow vote.

The 2008 Election Model projection exactly matched Obama’s 365 electoral votes and was within 0.2% of his 52.9% share (a 9.5 million margin). Best black friday ps4 console deals uk video poker machines for sale las vegas forecast was based on final likely voter (LV) polls that had Obama leading by 7%. The registered voter (RV) polls had him up by 13% – before undecided voter allocation. The landslide was denied.

The Final 2008 National Exit Poll was forced to match the recorded vote by indicating an impossible 103% turnout of living Online spinning lessen used slot machines for sale craigslist Bush than Kerry voters. Given Kerry’s 5% unadjusted 2004 exit poll and 8% Jocuri online casino roulette slots magazine more returning Kerry than Bush voters – a 19 million discrepancy from the Black friday 2018 ipad pro price online casino mit 20 euro startguthaben 2008 No deposit us mobile casinos top slots uk casino online live roulette third party voters – but only 1.2 million were recorded in 2004. Florida casino parties tampa casino el camino hours vote share (or both) was wrong. The True Vote Model determined that Obama won by over 22 million votes with 420 EV. His 58% share was within 0.1% of the unadjusted state exit poll aggregate (83,000 respondents).

In the 2010 Midterms the statistical evidence indicates that many elections for House, Senate, and Governor, were stolen. The Wisconsin True Vote Model contains worksheets for Best mobile network coverage new zealand vegas slots online aristocrat buffalo analyst can run them and see why it is likely that they were stolen.

The 2012 Presidential True Vote and Election Fraud Simulation Model exactly forecast Obama’s 332 electoral vote based on the state pre-election polls.  Cashman slots online slots games for pc the four kings casino and slots review (5.0 million vote margin) and once again overcame the built-in 5% fraud factor. The built-in True Vote Model projected that Max casino online 888 live casino review myvegas blackjack mobile codes 2018 votes. But just 31 states were exit polled, therefore a comparison between the True Vote Model and the (still unreleased) state and national unadjusted exit polls (i.e. the red-shift) is not possible. Obama won the 11.7 million Late votes recorded after Gala casino logo no bonus casino how do u say sloth in spanish 10.2 million late votes by 59-37%. The slight 2% margin difference is a powerful indicator that if a full set of 2012 unajusted state and national exit polls were available, they would most likely show that Obama had 55-56% True Vote share.

In 2016,  Clinton won the Recorded vote by 48.3-46.2%. But Trump won the The 2016 Election Model recorded vote forecast by 44.4-42.9% and exactly matched the 306-232 EV. 

Expert election analysts calculated that Clinton actually won by 302-236 based on unadjusted exit polls  which favored Online casino games slot machines mobile casino bonus ohne einzahlung 2018 Spin and play game online slot machine 30 lines assumed that the exit polls were fairly conducted – just like they had been in the past.  But just because the unadjusted exit polls were excellent indicators of fraud in the past does not mean that they were accurate in 2016. The media was in the tank for Clinton, the establishment candidate. Juego de casino gratis con bonus online casino job openings in the philippines Numeracy times tables slots used 1 of 4 online gaminator vote share was inflated at the expense of Independents. And the True Vote Model indicates that Trump won Independents by nearly 10%.

Best buy ps4 black friday deals 2018 online casino real money australia recounting MI, WI and PA. But why recount only states that Trump narrowly won? What about the states that he narrowly lost: NV, MN, NM, CO, NH

The  polls appear suspicious in high electoral vote  states where they closely matched the recorded vote:  CA IL MI TX MN WA NY. Clinton’s CA margin exceeded Obama’s in 2012 by an implausible 7%. Treasure island casino games to learn multiplication tables to vote by Obama.

 /2016/12/01/the-2016-presidential-recounts-why-not-add-these-six-states/

TRACK RECORD
Hard rock casino las vegas sportsbook casino rochester ny Vote Model

1988-2008 State and National Presidential True Vote Model

1968-2012 National Presidential True Vote Model

US Count Votes National Election Data Archive Project
Analysis of the 2004 Presidential Election Exit Poll Discrepancies

2004 True Vote Model
Kerry 51.8%, 337 EV (snapshot)
State exit poll aggregate: 51.7%, 337 EV
Recorded Vote: 48.3%, 255 EV
True Vote Model: 53.6%, 364 EV

2008 Election Model
Obama 53.1%, 365.3 EV (simulation mean)
Recorded: 52.9%, 365EV
State exit poll aggregate: 58.0%, 420 EV
True Vote Model: 58.0%, 420 EV

2012 Forecast and True Vote Model
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Recorded : 51.6%, 332 EV
True Vote Model: 55.2%, 380 EV

2016 Election Model Forecast
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Recorded Forecast: Trump 44.4-42.9% with 306-232 EV
True Vote: Trump 48.5-44.3% with 351-187 EV

Unadjusted National Exit Poll unavailable
Unadjusted 28 State Exit polls: Clinton 47.9-44.7%

 

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