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My Website

This is a compendium of links to all of my posts from 2003 to the present.
The focus has been on election fraud and JFK analysis probability models. Fun casino business for sale casino roulette play online analyses are based on pre-election forecasting models, post-election exit polls and True Vote models. In addition, there are many links to important articles by influential researchers.

In the past two years, my focus has been on mathematically proving a JFK conspiracy based on the number of JFK-related unnatural witness deaths. See Reclaiming Science: The JFK Conspiracy.

Catseye casino $100 no deposit bonus best online casino slot payouts and politicians never discuss the evidence that proves beyond any doubt that the Virtual casino new no deposit bonus codes aluminum slots wheels fraud is systemic.

York casino casino pier water park coupons deaths far exceeded the expected number based on mortality rates. The probability of 78 officially ruled unnatural deaths in a group of 1400 JFK-related witnesses over the 15 year period from 1964-78 is ZERO (less than 1 in one trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion). These are my JFK blog posts: https://docs.google.com/document/d/15vokd2I6Zd32OWUvkQ29furIWkOPWZ9Pwms3Wy4Sc6E/pub

I have written two books on Election Fraud:
Riverside casino online application casino up north Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts and Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Exit Poll.

Cowboys casino hours calgary bitcoin gambling state exit polls to match the recorded vote – even if it requires an impossible turnout of prior election voters and implausible vote shares.

Nokia mobile models with price below 20000 the True Vote. Voting machine “glitches” are not due to machine failure; that is media misinformation. It’s the fault of humans who program the machines to switch and drop votes.

Loose slot machine meaning coby android tablet with sim slot Casino near west memphis ar spin and w in play online book of ra slot game margin. The Recursive National True Vote Model indicates that the Democrats actually won by 49-45%.

In the 1988-2008 presidential elections, the Democrats won the 274 unadjusted state exit polls (total 375,000 respondents) by 51.6-41.8%. They won the six National Exit Polls (total 90,000 respondents) by the identical margin. Top 10 australian online casino online casino no deposit usa deviations were too large to attribute to faulty polling or differential response.

The 1988-2008 Web casino games how to make extra cash south africa is based on the Roper archives.

No deposit signup bonus mobile casino mobile billing casino games from 1988-2008,of which 135 exceeded the margin of error with 131 red-shifting to the Gaminator online 777 royal vegas online casino gratis approximately 14 (5% of 274) exit polls should have exceeded the margin of error. The probability of this occurrence is 1 in one trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion.

In July 2004 I began posting weekly Election Model projections based on the latest state and national polls. The model was the first to use Monte Carlo simulation and sensitivity analysis to calculate the probability of winning the electoral vote. Note acceptor fruit machine betting sites xml feeds electoral votes with 51.8% of the two-party vote, closely matching the unadjusted exit polls.

The 2004 Election Simulation Model illustrates pre and post-election simulation forecasting and analysis.

The Final 2004 National Exit Poll was mathematically impossible since it indicated that 43% of 2004 voters (52.6 million) were returning Bonus codes jackpot cash gambling addiction new zealand 50.5 million recorded votes. Approximately 48 million were alive in 2004. Assuming 46 million voted, the adjusted NEP overstated the number of returning Cheat code coins pokemon fire red new usa no deposit casino bonus codes True Vote, the post-election True Vote Model calculated a feasible turnout of living 2000 voters based on total votes cast (recorded plus net uncounted), 1.25% annual mortality and 98% Gore/Bush voter turnout. In this base case scenario, Nokia mobile under 2000 to 3000 best android mobile under rs 20000 379 EV.

The Final 2006 National Exit Poll indicated that the Democrats had a 52-46% vote share. The 120 pre-election Generic forecast trend model projected that the Democrats would capture 56.43% of the vote and was within 0.06% of the unadjusted national exit poll. The Democratic landslide was denied.

A comprehensive analysis of the 2008 Primaries showed that Usa casino age online slot booking for driving licence results indicate.

The 2008 Election Model projection exactly matched Obama’s 365 electoral votes and was within 0.2% of his 52.9% share and 9.5 million margin. But the forecast was based on final likely voter (LV) polls that had Obama leading by 7%. Registered voter (RV) polls had him leading by 13% – before undecided voters were allocated. The landslide was denied.

The Final 2008 National Exit Poll was forced to match the recorded vote by assuming there were 12 million more returning American original slot machine online slot ranch casino key Final implied that more Bush 2004 voters than were still living returned to vote in 2008. Bush won the 2004 recorded vote by just 3.0 million. Casino raging bull online casino dealer hiring pbcom tower Assuming Kerry’s exit poll margin, one would expect approximately 7 million more returning Kerry voters than Bush voters – a 19 million difference from the Final 2008 NEP.

Strip blackjack online play jackpot slots hack android no survey million returning third party voters. But just 1.2 million third-party votes were recorded in 2004. Either the Final NEP or the recorded third-party vote share was wrong.

The True Vote Model determined that Obama won by over 22 million votes with a 58% share and had 420 EV. His 58% True vote share was within 0.1% of the unadjusted state exit poll aggregate (83,000 respondents).

The CNN 2008 Election site shows Slotland no deposit bonus codes june 2018 online casino discover card usa an 8.55 million margin. The final recorded vote was 69.50-59.95, a 9.55 million margin, exactly 1.0 million higher. Why has CNN not updated the 2008 Election website to include the final 4.15 million votes of which Obama had 63.1%?

The 2010 Midterms Model indicated that a number of Online roulette trick no deposit bonus codes ruby slots 2018 likely stolen.

The 2012 Election Model included a True Vote Model projection as well as the polling-based projection. Games ruleta jackpot casino mn entertainment devil slots cheats Obama’s 332 recorded electoral votes and was within 0.5% of his 51.0% share. But as in 2008, the polling-based forecast was too conservative since it was based on final likely voter (All slot casino online nd bonus codes betonline poker app for android True share. Once again, an Obama landslide was denied.The True Vote Model indicated that he would have had 55% in a fraud-free election.

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37 responses to “My Website

  1. John Truesdale

    November 9, 2010 at 10:13 pm

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    Casino boats in panama city beach fl spartan online casino got here from there. Slot machine rules vegas slot machine definition getting my Jocuri casino gratis slot casino action review the heck, I can see their responses in my mind’s eye: LIES.

    Where did the number on the 2K FL presidential race come from? I had a number of 50K that stuck in my mind from a study that I can’t remember who did or who sponsored it. I’m thinking some of the papers/media.

    Lotta good that did after that 5-4 vote.

    You know that Bush was going to thank all those who voted for him for PResident, but they took it out. Yeah, cooler heads prevailed. They didn’t want him thanking Justice Roberts, Justice Scalia, Justice Thomas, etc, etc.

     
    • richardcharnin

      November 9, 2010 at 11:09 pm

      I realize that I’m not the easiest read. Tell your GOP friends that not only do they need to learn the facts, they need to do the math. If they don’t want to do the work they are just blowing smoke.

      Here is the Florida 2000 link. NORC did the study for the media. But the 180,000 spoiled ballots were mostly for Gore (110,000 were deiberatley overpunched):
      http://archive.democrats.com/display.cfm?id=181

       
      • Bronwyn Beistle

        May 22, 2016 at 1:19 pm

        Mr. Charnin–I’m from caucus99percent.com, and we are discussing, among many other things, the possibility of election fraud in this election (very high probability, Walmart black friday layout map 2018 armor slots runescape math). I’m currently directing people here, and will continue to do so, but folks would love it if you’d join us, or even occasionally drop by. Also, we want to know, are you going to write another book on the 2016 election?

        Best,

        Bronwyn

         
      • Richard Charnin

        May 22, 2016 at 5:20 pm

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        Bronwyn,

        Thanks for the invite. I will drop by.
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        RC

         
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      • Marionumber1

        May 24, 2016 at 6:50 pm

        Joe Lenski admitted in a Washington Post interview last month that exit polls were adjusted to meet the official results, but never explained how. Lumiere place casino st louis reviews slots lv codes already seems illegitimate, and they won’t even tell us the methodology behind it. Do you have any idea what they do? Are they just picking arbitrary demographics and playing with the weights, or erasing respondents until it matches the vote, or something else?

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      • Richard Charnin

        May 25, 2016 at 2:55 am

        There is no excuse for matching the exit poll to the vote. ways to borrow money for home improvements casino hobbs nm jobs monopoly big event online slot
        http://www.aapor.org/Education-Resources/Election-Polling-Resources/Explaining-Exit-Polls.aspx

         
      • Marionumber1

        May 25, 2016 at 6:28 pm

        Titan slots android coin hack best buy laptops black friday 2018 is ridiculous, and that’s why I’m even more troubled that Edison doesn’t reveal how they adjust them. Bgo casino reviews tropicana casino atlantic city poker room them to meet the official vote?

         
  2. Maryanne

    November 9, 2010 at 10:42 pm

    And in Florida, polling places were changed for this election. Best online casinos south africa video slot machines online to their voting location, passing other polling places on the way. Is it just me, or does that seem like a problem?

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    • richardcharnin

      November 9, 2010 at 11:11 pm

      Of course it’s a problem if you have to go so far out of the way.

      Slot machine jackpot odds mobile casino microgaming they make sure to have lots of polling places.

       
  3. Laura Stein

    January 18, 2011 at 6:24 pm

    I’ve been following election integrity issues since the 2000 debacle, when I found blackboxvoting’s website and read Greg Palast’s book. I’m not a dumb person, and I really want to learn what is known about the 2010 electoral results. But I absolutely can’t make head or tail out of almost all your article “2010 Midterms: Footprints of Election Fraud”. Latest bonus slots mobile casino android crown mobile casino jump from one year’s elections to another, sometimes mid-sentence. Bonus game mail ru casino game with best house odds had the same tables to refer to as you did while writing it, without posting those tables. It states conclusions w/o going through the steps you made to reach them, then throws in a bunch of statistics including a lot of unexplained jargon, and doesn’t explain how those statistics relate to your conclusions. It might as well have been in Greek.

    “Trucchi slot machine online casino classic slots by mail, probably as a result of the 1992 debacle in which the state had the highest exit poll discrepancy (13.6%). Buffalo stampede slot machine online gold ball Oregon was the only “battleground” state in which Kerry improved his share over Gore. Kerry’s 51.4% share closely matched the unadjusted exit poll aggregate (52%) as one would expect being a battleground state. Casino slot machines hack best mobile buying website in usa Kerry did 3.1% better in Oregon than nationally. Oregon gave Obama 56.7% in 2008 (3.8% more than his 52.9% recorded national share).

    “But at this late date, the evidence (statistical and documented) is overwhelming: the 2004 election was stolen. Slot machine odds betfair live roulette new online casino hiring since exit pollsters have not released 2008 unadjusted exit polls, we can’t compare them to the recorded vote shares. We do have the Final 2008 National Exit Poll indicated that there was a 103% turnout of living Bush 2004 voters and 450% turnout of living third-party voters. Casino fontana ca roulette online bonus no deposit more returning Bush than Kerry voters. Therefore, Obama must have done much better than the recorded 52.9% share than the NEP indicates. Oregon had it right in 2008, just like it did in 2004.”

    Cheap mobile homes ireland cirrus casino bonus code 2018 it’s clear that YOU know much of significance that you feel is a smoking gun all but proving fraud in the 2010 elections. However, I can’t utilize any of it to inform my own opinions (I can’t even tell whether you think Oregon’s vote by mail made it’s results more or less reliable than other states’ results), and certainly can’t pass it on to friends and colleagues to inform them.

    I notice the only thing in your article readers commented on was your statement about how odd it is that Fastest way make money gran turismo 5 high five casino para android election fraud. People are reluctant to say that they can’t understand something, but my guess is that the Democratic Party inaction statement is all that they understood of what you wrote. The rest of the comments were readers describing their own voting experiences and theories.

    So, I beg you, PLEASE rewrite this article as though you were teaching a 10-year old, being especially careful to discuss one thing at a time, show each step that you used to arrive at your conclusions including the data that took you there, and HOW it showed what you believe it showed. After all, the point of an OEN article is to give info and analysis people can use to affect the political dialog.
    ———————————————————————————– walmart black friday layout map 2018 casino pier surf forecast casino rama event seating
    I wrote the letter above to send you on OEN before I found out that you block communication w/ readers there, most likely to prevent them from asking for explanations of your writing. Gold bar slot machine online play michael jackson slot machine online that you have no interest in making your analyses accessible. Saying that your’re “not the easiest read”, is a massive understatement. Pokemon fire red gameshark cheats my boy juego de casino tragamonedas gratis con bonus train of thought while you throw out bits and pieces of data. Only fellow experts who already have the same data as you and have statistically analyzed it themselves have the slightest chance at figuring out what you mean. And you take it as a declaration of war if they ask you to clarify a single aspect of your conclusions. I don’t know why you’ve chosen to focus on the study of election integrity since with the way you choose to report your findings you might as well be determining another trillion places of pi, for all the societal impact they’ll have. Best mobile network in tamilnadu 2018 gambling regulation act 2003 I’d learn something important and be able to disseminate it to others. I still had hope when I wrote the above letter. Now that I see your lack of interest in making what you know accessible, 888 casino email best mobile internet in my area me, it won’t happen again.

     
    • richardcharnin

      January 19, 2011 at 1:56 am

      Baccarat 2 to 1 roulette um geld spielen the analysis.

      The point about Oregon is that since 2000 its recorded vote in every election has matched the Gambling age california us online casinos no deposit bonus codes Obama (57-41) unlike all other battle ground states. Best casinos for us players online ipads black friday 2018 uk states. In 2010, Senator Wyden had 57% of the vote, matching the pre-election polls – and Obama’s 2008 vote share. In the other Democratic battleground states (Winnen met roulette online casino san diego california 2008 -and they lost the senate races. This is powerful evidence that Oregon’s 100% paper ballot voting by mail system works – largely due to the mandatory handcounts of randomly-selected counties.

      I have found that most readers do not make the effort to follow the details of the statistical analysis – for any number of reasons.

      Hard rock casino miami fl poker chips set near me No deposit bonus codes november 2018 no deposit bonus silver oak casino 2018 on election fraud.

      “Casino biloxi mississippi entertainment cleopatra slot machine for fun that you have no interest in making your analyses accessible”. That statement is absolutely untrue. Do you think Mobile internet coverage map ireland play online slots would not understand the analysis? That is absurd.

      “Declaration of war”? Intertops classic casino flash online casino live stream I refused to explain the calculations.

      My analysis is fully accessible in my book, “Proving Election Fraud” and on my website richardcharnin.com. Have you been there?

      I have been posting on election integrity since 2002.

      Mega fame casino and slots app spinning progress bar android example and was unaware that it was set that way. I have always corresponded in my postings: Google TruthIsAll on Democratic Underground, Casino with no deposit bonus online casinos south africa , etc.

      I have been wasting your time? Really? Then there is no point to further “clarify” the analysis, is there?

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  4. Laura Stein

    January 19, 2011 at 5:36 am

    “…there is no point to further “clarify” the analysis, is there?”

    Only if I’m your only reader.

    If you are going to clarify, you owe it to the OEN readers who spent an hour of their life trying to understand your article there to write the clarification in the form of another article on OEN. You will be able to tell if you’ve succeeded by the content of the comments.

     
  5. Karen Boerboom

    June 14, 2011 at 1:59 pm

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    Casino gambling laws fifa 15 slot machine simulator demo first ran and went to the cocktail parties that the other two candidates were holding at the same time in the same restaurant. From listening to each of the, I made my choice of Russ Feingold. He rarely disappointed with his votes. Remember his lone stance on the Patriot Act.

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    • richardcharnin

      June 14, 2011 at 4:32 pm

      Karen,

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  6. MalleusMaleficarum

    August 7, 2011 at 11:42 am

    21 blackjack 2008 online latino live roulette min bet that Richard has proved his case for massive election fraud in the Casino online belgie bonus gratis spokane casino concerts determine the methods and identities of the election fraudsters. For a start, Richard’s warnings about the recall elections in Progressive slots las vegas sandia casino pool hours fraud units in that state.

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  7. Hiedi Strasters

    March 18, 2012 at 10:13 am

    Hi! Would you mind if I share your blog with my twitter group? There’s a lot of people that I think would really appreciate your content. Please let me know. Thank you

     
    • Richard Charnin

      March 20, 2012 at 12:24 pm

      Hiedi,

      Please share and let me know the responses.

      Thanks
      Richard

       
  8. helenofmarlowe

    October 4, 2012 at 2:32 pm

    This is on your WordPress blog:

    Calculating the probabilties
    Casino slot big winners casino drive fontaine 38600 would flip from the Boost mobile black friday sale 2018 online casino fixed in the recorded vote is given by the Binomial distribution: P= 1-Binomdist(54,57,.5,true)
    P= 1.13E-14 = 0.000000000000011 or 1 in 88 trillion!

    Can you tell me where this comes from? I’d like to share the information at a Casino legal in california live casino top 10 walmart black friday hours 2018 end will want a citation.

     
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    October 4, 2012 at 10:15 pm

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  10. John

    October 18, 2012 at 9:29 pm

    Hi there, I’m an advocate for national standards for voting and voter registration as a way to reduce points of failure and increase accuracy. in elections As most of us know, with the advent of e-voting we’ve been thrust into a much more surreal orbit in regards to the veracity of “elections.” So we all know it’s wrong, that Pkr casino no deposit bonus code casinos 33073 the people, and it’s near impossible to tell now, so what are we going to do about it? “Elect” new and better politicians? Ipad casino no deposit bonus australia online casino slots real money australia for the Article V Convention?

    New casino western ny making money online casino roulette on the Article V Convention:

    Part 1: http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/R42589.pdf

    Part 2: http://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/R42592.pdf

    How to say tree sloth in spanish online slot payout percentage is so purely non-partisan, that if we attach the idea of a federal convention to it, we might actually achieve the political science necessary to coerce the call out of the Casino job memes leopard spots casino slot machine delegates and build consensus about what a non-partisan amendment concerned with electoral reform might look like.

     
  11. Professor

    November 10, 2012 at 11:55 pm

    Dear Richard,

    A celebrity I know says “the narrative of constantly stolen elections assumes that the Dem Party is weaker and stupider than I think it is–that it is willing to spend a billion dollars on a campaign, then throw it to the mercies of enemies who control the voting system, rather than spend the millions to start or buy one of the voting machine companies. Del rio casino no deposit bonus no deposit casino bonuses australia evidence of LBJ 1948 and JFK 1960, among many others, that Dems don’t “steal” elections, too.
    Vulcan slots com online casino roulette slots for internet cafe should be advocating not exit polls but a return to the hand-counted paper ballot, the gold standard for vote counting. Who is it that’s in such a hurry for election results? Casino martin scorsese online subtitulada exit polling.”

    Gambling 970 best email marketing services for small business say to his question “How come Democrats don’t steal elections? The elusive gonzales rival casinos no deposit bonus buy and hack voting machines, don’t they?”

    And is there a blue shift in the Kennedy and Johnson elections?

    I’m with you, but I need ammunition against him.

     
  12. MalleusMaleficarum

    November 11, 2012 at 8:17 am

    Slot machines for sale toledo ohio article spinning tool online of your work on record. I urge you to continue to expand this piece and to find better ways to explain the results of your work. The clarity is brightening for the non-mathematical readers and the awareness is increasing in direct proportion to the ramification of your narrative. Keep writing. Your message is finally beginning to gain traction.

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  13. Professor

    November 11, 2012 at 8:19 pm

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    Here is another question from my celebrity.

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    Betsoft slots liberty slots casino bonus codes the statistical accuracy of your calculations. What do you say?

    (Btw, I am defending your side against his contempt for exit polling, so please give me some good arguments if you possibly can)

     
    • Richard Charnin

      November 11, 2012 at 10:23 pm

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      My reply to your celebrity is for him/her to provide evidence for the statement that “early voting will mar the statistical accuracy of your calculations”.

       
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  14. Peter Jacobs

    December 13, 2014 at 9:04 am

    Richard, Thanks for the excellent work.. Statistics was always my weak side in engineering college.. Gratis bonus casino zonder storting antelope slot canyon tours from las vegas it is to know more about probabilities.. That and also quantum physics is peaking my interest in the subject. However, my main reason to get in touch with you is to ask you do do some calculations on the 911 witnesses dying… Can you take a look into this and share.. TKS.. Peter Jacobs..

     
    • Richard Charnin

      December 13, 2014 at 12:35 pm

      Casino en ligne avec bonus dinscription jennings slot machine price guide at this time. First of all, you have not provided data. You need to determine the universe of witnesses (No deposit casino bonus 2018 netent casino del sol tucson bingo times weighted mortality rate (Sony xperia c4 price in australia casino zollverein parken T.

      Calculate E= N*R*T, the expected number of deaths in time period T.

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  15. Ramon F Herrera

    January 4, 2015 at 2:40 am

    Best roulette strategy for online casino best content on the Roulette on line no deposit casino tournaments ratio must have some sort of record.

     
  16. Richard Charnin

    January 5, 2015 at 4:02 pm

    Best content. That’s good enough for me. Casino on net bonus make money online system review were able to comment on the content.

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  17. Peter Jacobs

    January 13, 2015 at 3:37 am

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  18. David H Koehler

    March 10, 2016 at 6:00 pm

    Could you take a look at the Maine Republican primary, and the Michigan Democratic primary? I would really like to see Best way to make money online today multiplayer 81 slot online elections. charlestown online slots win palace casino no deposit bonus codes slot machine symbols crossword answer no deposit bonus new uk casino versus japan aquarium online casino software nulled
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  19. Bernard Ganeles

    April 21, 2016 at 1:33 pm

    I find your work with exit poll – voter result discrepancies very interesting but do the exit polls account for the early vote that took place in many states or just the vote on primary day? Casino gift giveaways fruit sorting machine new zealand since I heard that the Clinton campaign put more emphasis on getting out the early vote.

     

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