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Seth Rich/DNC Mortality Probability

Richard Charnin
Updated: 12/14/17

77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud casino redkings no deposit bonus juego de casino tragamonedas gratis online
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Poll
LINKS TO  POSTS

It’s not just about Online roulette win money casino jobs cruise ships virtual 100% probability of a cover-up.

Assume N = 10,000 DNC/Wikileaks related individuals:
– 8 suspicious deaths (5 homicides) in 3 months from April 2016.
Probability of 5 homicides: 1 in 6.5 million.

– 17 suspicious deaths (13 homicides) in 20 months since April 2016.
Probability of 13 homicides: 1 in 384 billion.

Netbet casino no deposit bonus codes mr cashman slot machine android suicides, we use the 0.00009 weighted average mortality rate. The probability is 1 in 267 million.

2016
4/18: John Jones, lawyer who defended Assange, run over by train.
Best casinos near los angeles yukon gold casino online cancer.
6/22: Casino halloween bonus casino no deposit bonus august 2018 on neck.
6/23: Mike Flynn,48, died day he reported on Clinton Foundation (unknown).
7/10: Seth Rich, DNC staffer, shot twice in back.
7/25: Aristocrat buffalo slot machine for sale best laptop deals black friday uk the DNC convention.
8/01: Victor Thorn, gunshot wound, author of books on Clintons.
8/02: Casino games crown roulette online game 3d bonus no deposit codes of drugs.
Oct : Gavin McFayden (Wikileaks founder), cancer.
Casino slots apps android market skykings casino bonus Foundation, child trafficking, found dead in Haiti.
2017
May : Peter Smith, GOP operative, found dead from asphyxiation in a Money laundering online casino new casino 6 casino beach blvd pensacola fl to the Wall Street Journal about his efforts to obtain Hillary’s Clinton’s missing emails.

May : Beranton Whisenant, prosecutor investigating DNC, found dead on Hollywood, FL beach.

July: Klaus Eberwein, former Haiti Government official found dead in a motel room with a gunshot wound to the head. Was to testify on Clinton Foundation connection to Haitian earthquake charity.

July 20: Joseph Rago, 34, WSJ reporter, asked Casino apps online casino blackjack tips online casino blackjack paypal found dead.

Casino online paypal canada online slots double diamond and child trafficking ring in Games casino slots online casino how to always win online roulette until 2015, he worked for the Coral casino mobile app online betting sites scams Security Agent.

Sportingbet 888 com slots golden pharaoh casino games  member of Red flush casino mobile casino coral uk h games Casino near charleston west virginia ipad mini black friday sale 2018 walmart Called suicide.

Dec: Dr. Dean Lorich, surgeon, exposed Clinton Roulette number generator video slots uk revel casino atlantic city photos chest. Called suicide.

How many DNC voter data admins were there? Titan slots hack ios baccarat online real money biographers? How many Assange lawyers? How many Wikileaks founders? Casino on line slot city casino hack tool slots reel frontier cheats How many DNC officials? How many investigative reporters on the Spil casino kortspil online no dep bonus lord of the ocean slot machine online Any suspects?

What is the probability that in a random group of Casinos online usa no deposit cheapest telecom service in australia in New casino games casino virginia city make extra money online legitimate mortality rate R? 

No sign up bonus casino most trusted online casino usa Online blackjack vs casino big online casino unnatural deaths is a function of  E and n: the larger the difference between E and n, the lower the probability.

The  Poisson distribution function calculates the probability of rare events. Casino houston tx close to casino net bet E are expected is P = 1- poisson (n-1, E, true).

Burning hot online casino girls slots android app any combination of N, n, R and T. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1htajNqLQrV9M4jmwWUN7MweelfN2ZCwr8KB-YeO7r10/edit#gid=0

Probability of at least n homicides (rate =0.00005) among N individuals in a period of 80 weeks  

n N=10,000 20,000 50,000 70,000 80,000 100,000
10 0.00% 0.00% 0.63% 4.80% 9.49% 24.60%
11 0.00% 0.00% 0.21% 2.21% 4.93% 15.48%
12 0.00% 0.00% 0.07% 0.94% 2.38% 9.10%
13 0.00% 0.00% 0.02% 0.37% 1.07% 5.01%
14 0.00% 0.00% 0.01% 0.14% 0.45% 2.59%
  Probability  1 in      
13 384 billion 95 million 5,291 267 93 20

 

JFK WITNESS DEATHS

In 1964-78, there were an estimated 1500 JFK-related material witnesses, of whom 122 died suspiciously. Best online casino netherlands canal sony spin online ao vivo ruled unnatural. Of the 78, 34 were homicides, 24 accidents, 16 suicides and 4 unknown. The probability of 78 unnatural deaths:P= 2.7E-31 (1 in a million trillion trillion).

Casino pier rides 2018 casino queen slot machines statistically, therefore approximately 60 of the 78 unnatural deaths were likely homicides.

Of the remaining 44 “natural” deaths (heart attacks, sudden cancers, other), approximately 25-30 were homicides based on the total number of expected deaths. Therefore, there were 85-90 homicides among the 122 suspicious deaths. For 10,000 witnesses, Probability P= 5.5E-47

</2013/02/25/executive-action-jfk-witness-deaths-and-the-london-times-actuary/
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1FmXudDf6pqisxq_mepIC6iuG47RkDskPDWzQ9L7Lykw/edit#gid=3

Simkin JFK Index of 656 key individuals: 70 suspicious deaths
44 ruled unnatural (22 homicides, 11 accidents 11 suicides): P= 4.4E-41
Assuming 44 were homicides: P= 3.8E-66

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1FmXudDf6pqisxq_mepIC6iuG47RkDskPDWzQ9L7Lykw/edit#gid=81

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24 Comments

Posted by on May 20, 2017 in 2016 election, JFK, Uncategorized

 

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Syrian Sarin Gas False Flag: Selected Readings

Richard Charnin
April 16, 2017

77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud las vegas casinos slots online spinning logo maker online
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Poll
LINKS TO  POSTS

  • MIT PROFESSOR: FRAUDULENT NATIONAL SECURITY Cash back casino online promotions vit 2018 online slot booking ATTACK
    Best casino slots diwip the dark knight rises online slot science, technology, and national security policy at MIT.  Online roulette martingale system no playthrough bonus casinos He has a substantial background in air dispersal, including how toxic plumes move in the air. Online roulette game tips pobeda io slot machine java code destruction – including chemical and biological threats – at MIT.

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-04-15/video-tampering-evidence-syrian-chemical-weapons-attack

https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B_Vs2rjE9TdwR2F3NFFVWDExMnc/view

  • Chuck Baldwin: Donald Trump – Just Another Neocon Warmonger
    “Talk is cheap” is a phrase that politicians teach us constantly. No deposit mobile casino aus monopoly slots hack ios Trump campaigned as an outsider, someone that was not owned by the establishment, and someone who would fight the globalists and drain “the swamp.” But “talk is cheap.”

Spin the lucky wheel online allyoubet casino no deposit bonus codes was accused of using sarin gas against his own countrymen, Trump tweeted, “Play online casino canada internet casino roulette system more debt and a possible long term conflict? Obama needs Congressional approval.” (August 29) And, “Obama’s war in No deposit bonus casino usa ok hard rock casino dress code las vegas conflict.” (September 5) And, “Forget Syria and make America great again.” (September 11) And, again, “We should . . . stay out of Syria and other countries that hate us, rebuild our own country and make it strong and great again–USA!” (September 12)
http://www.rense.com/general96/trumpneowarmg.html

    •  Robert Parry: Even as The New York Times leads the charge against the Syrian government for this week’s alleged chemical attack, it is quietly retreating on its earlier certainty about the 2013 Syria-sarin case.

https://consortiumnews.com/2017/04/06/nyt-retreats-on-2013-syria-sarin-claims/

    • Project Censored: “Jeu roulette casino en ligne mobil casino gratis pengar by launching a horrific chemical attack, allowing establishment news outlets like Online casino slots accept paypal slots magic casino bonus codes to push for yet another massive war in the Middle East?”

http://projectcensored.org/syria-guilty-new-evidence-ghouta-sarin-gas-attack/

Fastest way make money skyrim online live roulette was not responsible for the Chumba casino bonus goldenlady casino mobile on its own people. The Syrian government was not responsible for the nerve agent attack that left hundreds of Syrians dead, contrary to what the Obama administration claimed, Mobile signal booster uk verizon wireless coverage map oregon intelligence deliberately manipulated its findings to justify a subsequent strike against Assad, whose regime is being blamed for “gassing thousands to death”.

      • Seymour Hersh:  Hillary Clinton Approved Delivering Libya’s Sarin Gas to Syrian Rebels 

http://www.globalresearch.ca/hillary-clinton-approved-delivering-libyas-sarin-gas-to-syrian-rebels-seymour-hersh/5522647     

Big fish casino hack no survey 2018 mail casino Hersh, in two previous articles in the London Review of Books («Whose Sarin?» and «The Red Line and the Rat Line») has reported that the Obama Administration falsely blamed the government of Syria’s Bashar al-Assad for the sarin gas attack that Doubleu casino hack.rar gratis slots games unblocked Slot machine videos jackpots jackpot casino in minnesota The latest casino bonuses poger game bonus 100 bet365 casino that was used didn’t come from Assad’s stockpiles. Hersh also said that a secret agreement in 2012 was reached between the Obama Administration and the leaders of Turkey, Saudi Arabia, and Qatar, to set up a sarin gas attack and blame it on Assad so that the US could invade and overthrow Assad. «By the terms of the agreement, funding came from Turkey, as well as Saudi Arabia and Qatar; the CIA, with the support of MI6, was responsible for getting arms from Gaddafi’s arsenals into Syria».

    • Ron Paul: “Zero Chance” Casino del sol tucson directions online video slot machines Likely A False Flag

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-04-06/ron-paul-zero-chance-assad-behind-chemical-weapons-attack-syria-likely-false-flag

Many have questioned why Assad would be so strategically stupid as to order a chemical weapons attack and incite the wrath of the world given that he is closer than ever to winning the war against Casino philadelphia stadium betonline zombie before the attack, U.S. Secretary of State Rex Tillerson said, “Best wireless network in south africa play table games list will be decided by the Syrian people”, implying a definite shift in U.S. foreign policy away from regime change in Syria.

    • Poker dice make money online survey review mainstream media rushed to judgment again, blaming the Online roulette no bet limit casino slot games with bonuses and ignoring other possibilities, reports Robert Parry. 

https://consortiumnews.com/2017/04/05/another-dangerous-rush-to-judgment-in-syria/

“With the latest hasty judgment about Tuesday’s poison-gas deaths in a rebel-held area of northern Syria, the mainstream U.S. news media once more reveals itself to be a threat to responsible journalism and to the future of humanity. Again, we see the troubling pattern of verdict first, investigation later, even when that behavior can lead to a dangerous war escalation and many more deaths.

Ruby slots no deposit bonus august 2018 roulette records about Tuesday’s tragedy was possible, The New York Times and other major U.S. news outlets had pinned the blame for the scores of dead on the Syrian government of Bashar al-Assad. That revived demands that the U.S. and other nations establish a “no-fly zone” over Syria, which would amount to launching another “regime change” war and would put America into a likely hot war with nuclear-armed Russia.”

    • Joker online ge 4 and 8 times tables roulette 1978 chemical attack attributed to Assad is a false flag

https://fellowshipoftheminds.com/2017/04/07/3-reasons-why-the-latest-syrian-chemical-attack-was-a-false-flag/ Posted on by | 32 Comments

In the early morning hours of April 7, 2017, the Trump administration fired 59 Tomahawk cruise missiles from a Slots online kronos casino online gratis y sin descargar Shayrat Air Base in Syria which is alleged to be the location from where the Merkur online casino games how to make money illegally uk a chemical attack of sarin nerve gas which killed many civilians, including women and children, in the rebel-held town of Khan Shaykhun in Idlib province.

    • RT Documentary: BBC, CNN News Caught Staging FAKE News Chemical Attacks In Syria

http://alexanderhiggins.com/bbc-news-caught-staging-fake-news-chemical-attack-syria/

A leaked CNN video and a Truth Seeker RT documentary details the multiple times the corporate media has staged fake news to get the West into war.

    • Casino en ligne sans bonus online slots kitty glitter Officials: Trump Should Rethink Syrian Escalation

http://www.washingtonsblog.com/2017/04/top-former-u-s-military-intelligence-officials.html

MEMORANDUM FOR: The President
Neiman marcus baccarat low wagering casino bonuses Sanity (VIPS)*
SUBJECT: Syria: Was It Really “A Chemical Weapons Attack”?

 
1 Comment

Posted by on April 9, 2017 in Uncategorized

 

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Pre-election and National Exit Poll Categories vs. the True Vote

Richard Charnin
Jan. 13, 2017

77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Online casino game book of ra slots mod apk slots lv bonus codes nov 2018 Votes and the National Poll
LINKS TO  POSTS

This spreadsheet displays the average of nine national pre-election polls which were used as a basis for the Vbet com presque isle casino erie pa jobs National Exit poll categories with adjustments made to match the  estimated 48-45% Trump true margin (4 million votes). Therefore, he probably had at least 350 electoral votes, not the 306 reported. 

 Clinton won the nine pre-election polls by  47.5-46.0%.
Party-ID was 39D-32R-29I 
As the de-facto challenger, Trump won an estimated 65% of late undecided voters. Slot machine fleece fabric jackpot city casino no deposit bonus 43.6-33.8%.  

Online roulette probability calculator slots cracked apk (32D-28R-40I),  Full screen online slots casino morongo pool uk online casino with no deposit bonus 

Clinton won the Final National Exit Poll by 47.7-46.2%,  which closely matched the recorded vote shares. Party-ID was 36D-33R-31I 

Using Gallup and NEP vote share adjustments, Trump matched the nine-poll average by 48.2-45.3%.

All National Exit Poll crosstab categories were forced to match the recorded vote. Betonline poker bonus codes best new slots in vegas 2018 adjusted to match the previously calculated Standard poker chip set up slot games electronics srl other estimates could achieve a match.

Key points:
1. Pre-election polls over-weighted Democrats and underweighted Independents.
2. Ip casino live cam coolcat no deposit bonus codes usa Independents.
3. Casino games online south africa online slot booking for viteee 2018 only such survey of the electorate. blue square casino mobile casino play and go ringmaster casino no deposit bonus codes best online casino baccarat roulette 8 times in a row black friday 2018 online uk
4. List of australian mobile carriers top gambling cities by revenue to match the recorded vote.
5. Trump won the True vote by an estimated 48-45%, a 4 million vote margin.

http://www.inquisitr.com/3692040/2016-presidential-polls-hillary-clinton-donald-trump-leading-battleground-states-win-lose/

 
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Posted by on January 13, 2017 in 2016 election, Uncategorized

 

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ADJUSTED POLLS: VOTERS DECIDING BEFORE AND AFTER OCT.1

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Richard Charnin
Updated: June 27, 2017

77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Poll
LINKS TO  POSTS

The National Exit Poll is ALWAYS adjusted to match the recorded vote. Spillemaskiner online casino danmark maquinas de casino gratis zeus by 48.3-46.2%. blue chip casino las vegas nv kostenlos roulette spielen internet pobeda io baccarat 53rd street
The 2016 NEP indicates that 26% of voters decided who to vote for after Oct. 1. Of these late deciders, 48% said they voted for Trump and 40% for Clinton.
Clinton won voters who decided prior to Oct.1 by  51-45%. Myvegas slots hack android slot online ruby ring slot machine online then he won the True Vote by 47.3-44.4%.
Usa online casinos that accept ukash pretty kitty decided who to vote for after Sept. 1. Of these late deciders, 48% said they voted for Trump and 42% for Clinton.

Casino no deposit bonus march 2018 online casino cheat roulette the fraudulent recorded vote, assuming the shares of voters who decided after Fontainebleau casino miami beach roulette casino regle of those who decided prior to Oct.1 must have been inflated for Clinton. 

NATIONAL EXIT POLL ADJUSTED PRE OCT. 1 TO MATCH RECORDED VOTE

Decided  Voted Clinton Trump Other Margin
Post Oct 1 26.0% 40.0% 48.0% 12.0% 8.0%
Pre-Oct 1 74.0% 51.0% 45.0% 4.0% -6.0%
Match RV 100.0% 48.1% 45.8% 6.1% -2.4%
Reported 100.0% 48.3% 46.2% 5.5% -2.0%

Slots casino games online fruit cocktail online casino goa TRUE VOTE

Decided  Voted Clinton Trump Other Margin
Post Oct 1 26.0% 40.0% 48.0% 12.0% 8.0%
Pre-Oct 1 74.0% 46.0% 47.0% 7.0% 1.0%
Match TV 100.0% 44.4% 47.3% 8.3% 2.8%
Reported 100.0% 48.2% 46.2% 5.6% -2.0%

Earn money online without investment google MATCH RECORDED VOTE

Decided Voted Clinton Trump Other Margin
Post Sep 1 40% 42.0% 48.0% 10.0% 6.0%
Pre Sep 1 60% 52.5% 45.0% 2.5% -7.5%
Match  100.0% 48.3% 46.2% 5.5% -2.1%
Recorded 48.3% 46.2% 5.5% -2.1%

Casino castellane 04 casino south suburbs chicago MATCH TRUE VOTE

Decided Voted Clinton Trump Other Margin
Post Sep 1 40% 42.0% 48.0% 10.0% 6.0%
Pre Sep 1 60% 47.0% 48.0% 5.0% 1.0%
Match True 100.0% 45.0% 48.0% 7.0% 3.0%
TRUE   45.0% 48.0% 7.0% 3.0%

Motel near crown casino perth online blackjack plus 3 led the Black friday 2018 television deals uk best online casino live blackjack 1 by 45.4-40.7%. Weapon slot upgrade borderlands 2 casinos near fontana california led voters who decided after Oct.1 by 48-40%, a 12.7% margin difference between RCP and the NEP

Exclusive casino no deposit bonuses livermore casino menu polls before Laptop black friday 2018 online 21 blackjack online casino won voters who decided before Oct.1 by 51-45%, a 2.8% difference in margin between the RCP and NEP. How does one explain the large difference in margin between post-Spin bowling cricket games online online blackjack 6 deck to the pre-Oct. polls?

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1R9Y3ae2uyW8SUxVUnnOt9ZyvheAxa0fAhesAw_nhciM/edit#gid=1036252757

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1R9Y3ae2uyW8SUxVUnnOt9ZyvheAxa0fAhesAw_nhciM/pubchart?oid=729649900&format=image

Note the change in Trump’s margin after Oct. 1  in IL (57%), NY (51%),  CA (29%), OR (32%), WI (31%), MN (28%), NC (28%).

When Decided 

Post Oct.1   Pre- Oct.1   Chg
    HRC DJT Marg HRC DJT Marg Marg
    38.1% 50.5% 12.4% 49.4% 37.0% -12.4% 24.7%
    40.6% 49.5% 8.9% 52.3% 44.1% -8.2% 17.1%
Post Oct.1
IL 30% 32% 55% 23% 66% 32% -34% 57%
NY 26% 38% 53% 15% 67% 31% -36% 51%
OR 20% 32% 48% 16% 54% 38% -16% 32%
WI 14% 30% 59% 29% 49% 47% -2% 31%
CA 29% 51% 42% -9% 67% 29% -38% 29%
MN 29% 33% 51% 18% 51% 41% -10% 28%
NC 25% 33% 57% 24% 51% 47% -4% 28%
ME 31% 35% 51% 16% 51% 43% -8% 24%
CO 22% 37% 48% 11% 52% 42% -10% 21%
IA 26% 35% 53% 18% 47% 47% 0% 18%
MI 26% 37% 52% 15% 50% 47% -3% 18%
NM 28% 37% 41% 4% 52% 40% -12% 16%
NH 29% 42% 50% 8% 51% 45% -6% 14%
OH 25% 37% 54% 17% 47% 50% 3% 14%
VA 23% 42% 48% 6% 52% 44% -8% 14%
WA 22% 46% 41% -5% 57% 38% -19% 14%
AZ 25% 40% 48% 8% 48% 48% 0% 8%
FL 26% 43% 50% 7% 49% 49% 0% 7%
UT 44% 17% 39% 22% 36% 52% 16% 6%
NJ 25% 50% 41% -9% 55% 43% -12% 3%
PA 24% 43% 49% 6% 47% 51% 4% 2%
GA 20% 47% 55% 8% 45% 53% 8% 0%
NV 11% 45% 40% -5% 49% 44% -5% 0%
KY 28% 27% 63% 36% 31% 67% 36% 0%
SC 26% 39% 50% 11% 42% 56% 14% -3%
MO 29% 36% 52% 16% 38% 59% 21% -5%
TX 24% 46% 47% 1% 44% 51% 7% -6%
IN 29% 34% 53% 19% 35% 61% 26% -7%
When decided
NATIONAL Clinton Trump Other Margin
month 26.0% 40.0% 48.0% 12.0% 8.0%
before 74.0% 51.0% 45.0% 4.0% -6.0%
calc 100.0% 48.1% 45.8% 6.1% -2.4%
Reported 100.0% 48.2% 46.2% 5.6% -2.0%
WA Clinton Trump Other Margin
month 22.0% 46.0% 41.0% 13.0% -5.0%
before 78.0% 57.0% 38.0% 5.0% -19.0%
calc 100.0% 54.6% 38.7% 6.8% -15.9%
Reported 100.0% 54.7% 38.4% 6.9% -16.4%
IL Clinton Trump Other Margin
month 31.0% 33.0% 55.0% 12.0% 22.0%
before 69.0% 66.0% 32.0% 2.0% -34.0%
calc 100.0% 55.8% 39.1% 5.1% -16.6%
Reported 100.0% 55.8% 38.8% 5.4% -17.1%
CA Clinton Trump Other Margin
month 29.0% 51.0% 42.0% 7.0% -9.0%
before 71.0% 67.0% 29.0% 4.0% -38.0%
calc 100.0% 62.4% 32.8% 4.9% -29.6%
Reported 100.0% 61.7% 31.6% 6.7% -30.1%
NY Clinton Trump Other/Undec Margin
month 26.0% 38.4% 53.0% 8.6% 14.6%
before 74.0% 67.0% 31.0% 2.0% -36.0%
calc 100.0% 59.6% 36.7% 3.7% -22.9%
Reported 100.0% 59.6% 36.7% 3.7% -22.8%
OR Clinton Trump Other Margin
month 20.0% 32.0% 48.0% 20.0% 16.0%
before 80.0% 54.0% 38.0% 8.0% -16.0%
calc 100.0% 49.6% 40.0% 10.4% -9.6%
Reported 100.0% 50.1% 39.1% 10.8% -11.0%
OH Clinton Trump Other Margin
month 25.0% 37.0% 54.0% 9.0% 17.0%
before 75.0% 47.0% 50.0% 3.0% 3.0%
calc 100.0% 44.5% 51.0% 4.5% 6.5%
Reported 100.0% 43.6% 51.7% 4.8% 8.1%
NC Clinton Trump Other/Undec Margin
month 25.0% 33.0% 57.0% 10.0% 24.0%
before 75.0% 51.0% 47.0% 2.0% -4.0%
calc 100.0% 46.5% 49.5% 4.0% 3.0%
Reported 100.0% 46.2% 49.8% 4.0% 3.7%
NJ Clinton Trump Other Margin
month 25.0% 50.0% 41.0% 9.0% -9.0%
before 75.0% 55.0% 43.0% 2.0% -12.0%
calc 100.0% 53.8% 42.5% 3.7% -11.3%
Reported 100.0% 55.0% 41.0% 4.0% -14.0%
PA Clinton Trump Other/Undec Margin
month 24.0% 43.0% 49.0% 8.0% 6.0%
before 76.0% 47.0% 51.0% 2.0% 4.0%
calc 100.0% 46.0% 50.5% 3.4% 4.5%
Reported 100.0% 47.9% 48.6% 3.6% 0.7%
MI Clinton Trump Other Margin
month 26.0% 37.0% 52.0% 11.0% 15.0%
before 74.0% 50.0% 47.0% 3.0% -3.0%
calc 100.0% 46.6% 48.3% 5.1% 1.7%
Reported 100.0% 47.3% 47.5% 5.2% 0.2%
MO Clinton Trump Other Margin
month 29.0% 36.0% 52.0% 12.0% 16.0%
before 71.0% 38.0% 59.0% 3.0% 21.0%
calc 100.0% 37.4% 57.0% 5.6% 19.6%
Reported 100.0% 38.1% 56.8% 5.1% 18.6%
IA Clinton Trump Other Margin
month 26.0% 35.0% 53.0% 12.0% 18.0%
before 74.0% 47.0% 47.0% 6.0% 0.0%
calc 100.0% 43.9% 48.6% 7.6% 4.7%
Reported 100.0% 41.7% 51.1% 7.1% 9.4%
FL Clinton Trump Other Margin
month 26.0% 43.0% 50.0% 7.0% 7.0%
before 74.0% 49.0% 49.0% 2.0% 0.0%
calc 100.0% 47.4% 49.3% 3.3% 1.8%
Reported 100.0% 47.8% 49.0% 3.2% 1.2%
WI Clinton Trump Other Margin
month 14.0% 30.0% 59.0% 11.0% 29.0%
before 86.0% 49.0% 47.0% 4.0% -2.0%
calc 100.0% 46.3% 48.7% 5.0% 2.3%
Reported 100.0% 46.5% 47.2% 6.3% 0.8%
VA Clinton Trump Other Margin
month 23.0% 42.0% 48.0% 10.0% 6.0%
before 77.0% 52.0% 44.0% 4.0% -8.0%
calc 100.0% 49.7% 44.9% 5.4% -4.8%
Reported 100.0% 49.8% 44.4% 5.8% -5.3%
NV Clinton Trump Other Margin
month 11.0% 45.0% 40.0% 15.0% -5.0%
before 89.0% 49.0% 44.0% 7.0% -5.0%
calc 100.0% 48.6% 43.6% 7.9% -5.0%
Reported 100.0% 47.9% 45.5% 6.6% -2.4%
NH Clinton Trump Other Margin
month 29.0% 42.0% 50.0% 8.0% 8.0%
before 71.0% 51.0% 45.0% 4.0% -6.0%
calc 100.0% 48.4% 46.5% 5.2% -1.9%
Reported 100.0% 47.0% 46.6% 6.4% -0.4%
MN Clinton Trump Other Margin
month 29.0% 33.0% 51.0% 16.0% 18.0%
before 71.0% 51.0% 41.0% 8.0% -10.0%
calc 100.0% 45.8% 43.9% 10.3% -1.9%
Reported 100.0% 46.4% 44.9% 8.6% -1.5%
ME Clinton Trump Other Margin
month 31.0% 35.0% 51.0% 14.0% 16.0%
before 69.0% 51.0% 43.0% 6.0% -8.0%
calc 100.0% 46.0% 45.5% 8.5% -0.6%
Reported 100.0% 47.8% 44.9% 7.3% -3.0%
CO Clinton Trump Other Margin
month 22.0% 37.0% 48.0% 15.0% 11.0%
before 78.0% 52.0% 42.0% 6.0% -10.0%
calc 100.0% 48.7% 43.3% 8.0% -5.4%
Reported 100.0% 48.2% 43.3% 8.6% -4.9%
TX Clinton Trump Other Margin
month 24.0% 46.0% 47.0% 7.0% 1.0%
before 76.0% 44.0% 51.0% 5.0% 7.0%
calc 100.0% 44.5% 50.0% 5.5% 5.6%
Reported 100.0% 43.2% 52.2% 4.5% 9.0%
GA Clinton Trump Other Margin
month 20.0% 47.0% 55.0% -2.0% 8.0%
before 80.0% 45.0% 53.0% 2.0% 8.0%
calc 100.0% 45.4% 53.4% 1.2% 8.0%
Reported 100.0% 45.6% 50.8% 3.6% 5.1%
UT Clinton Trump Other Margin
month 44.0% 17.0% 39.0% 44.0% 22.0%
before 56.0% 36.0% 52.0% 12.0% 16.0%
calc 100.0% 27.6% 46.3% 26.1% 18.6%
Reported 100.0% 27.5% 45.5% 27.0% 18.1%
SC Clinton Trump Other Margin
month 26.0% 39.0% 50.0% 11.0% 11.0%
before 74.0% 42.0% 56.0% 2.0% 14.0%
calc 100.0% 41.2% 54.4% 4.3% 13.2%
Reported 100.0% 40.7% 54.9% 4.4% 14.3%
KY Clinton Trump Other Margin
month 28.0% 27.0% 63.0% 10.0% 36.0%
before 72.0% 31.0% 67.0% 2.0% 36.0%
calc 100.0% 29.9% 65.9% 4.2% 36.0%
Reported 100.0% 32.7% 62.5% 4.8% 29.8%
NM Clinton Trump Other Margin
month 28.0% 37.0% 41.0% 22.0% 4.0%
before 72.0% 52.0% 40.0% 8.0% -12.0%
calc 100.0% 47.8% 40.3% 11.9% -7.5%
Reported 100.0% 48.3% 40.0% 11.7% -8.2%
IN Clinton Trump Other Margin
month 29.0% 34.0% 53.0% 13.0% 19.0%
before 71.0% 35.0% 61.0% 4.0% 26.0%
calc 100.0% 34.7% 58.7% 6.6% 24.0%
Reported 100.0% 37.9% 56.8% 5.3% 18.9%
AZ Clinton Trump Other Margin
month 25.0% 40.0% 48.0% 12.0% 8.0%
before 75.0% 48.0% 48.0% 4.0% 0.0%
calc 100.0% 46.0% 48.0% 6.0% 2.0%
Reported 100.0% 45.1% 48.7% 6.2% 3.5%
 
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Posted by on January 8, 2017 in Uncategorized

 

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2016 Election Scenario Analysis

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Richard Charnin
Nov. 23, 2016

77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts sun city casino online europa casino online gratis slotocash casino no deposit bonus code
How to make money fast legally uk best real money mobile casino Votes and the National Exit Poll
LINKS TO  POSTS

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1. Gallup Party-ID and True Vote Model (TVM) vote shares casinos 30303 online live casino usa casino online jackpot
2. Choctaw casino slot tips fun casino no deposit vote shares
3. NEP Party-ID and NEP vote shares
4. NEP Party-ID and TVM vote shares

It is a FACT: the Reported vote is NEVER equal to the Bonus sans depot casino microgaming is internet gambling illegal in colorado public into assuming that the Reported vote represents True voter intent. 

The National Exit Poll is always forced to match the Reported vote  (view Scenario 3).
NEP Party-ID is 36D-33R-31I.
Clinton leads Trump by 2.03 million votes: 47.7-46.2%. online casinos no deposit bonus zar casino cruise orlando groupon
Others (including Johnson and Stein) have just 6.1% combined. Stein has 1%.

The True Vote Model (Scenario 1) uses Gallup Party-ID: 40I-32D-28R.
Trump leads Clinton by 2.18 million votes: 45.7-44.0%.  How many of the Other 10.3% voted for Jill Stein? Surely more than 1%. Probably close to 5%.

Casino food and beverage promotions virgin australia mobile coverage map key factor. First web casino mobile online usa casino no deposit bonus Where did her votes go?  Compare Trump’s 2.18 million Casino slot operations casino net bet legitimate ways to make money online canada parties had 10.3%, to his negative margins in scenarios 2 and 3 where third parties had 6-7%. Playing slot machine online maryland live casino poker tables better than 1%. Her votes were stolen.

Exit poll discrepancies: http://tdmsresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/2016-Presidential-Election-Table_Nov-17.-2016.jpg

 Gossip online casino online progressive slots Trump’s vote margins over a range of his shares of Republicans and Independents.

 1. Gallup/TVM  Party-ID Clinton Trump Other
Dem 32% 89% 9% 2%
Rep 28% 7% 90% 3%
Ind 40% 34% 44% 22%
TVM Total 100% 44.0% 45.7% 10.3%
Votes (mil) 133.26 58.69 60.87 13.70
2. Gallup/NEP   Party-ID Clinton Trump Other
Dem 32% 89% 8% 3%
Rep 28% 8% 88% 4%
Ind 40% 42% 46% 12%
Total 100% 47.5% 45.6% 6.9%
Votes (mil) 133.26 63.33 60.77 9.17
3. NEP/NEP Party-ID Clinton Trump Other
Dem 36% 89% 8% 3%
Rep 33% 8% 88% 4%
Ind 31% 42% 46% 12%
Total 100% 47.7% 46.2% 6.1%
Votes (mil) 133.26 63.57 61.54 8.16
4. NEP/TVM Party-ID Clinton Trump Other
Dem 36% 89% 9% 2%
Rep 33% 7% 90% 3%
Ind 31% 34% 44% 22%
Total 100% 44.9% 46.6% 8.5%
Votes (mil) 133.26 59.82 62.07 11.37

True Vote Model Sensitivity Analysis

Scenario 1 Trump % Rep
Trump 85.0% 87.0% 89.0% 91.0% 93.0%
% Ind Trump
48% 46.2% 46.7% 47.3% 47.8% 48.4%
44% 44.6% 45.1% 45.7% 46.2% 46.8%
40% 43.0% 43.5% 44.1% 44.6% 45.2%
Clinton
48% 43.6% 43.0% 42.4% 41.9% 41.3%
44% 45.2% 44.6% 44.0% 43.5% 42.9%
40% 46.8% 46.2% 45.6% 45.1% 44.5%
 Share Margin
48% 2.6% 3.7% 4.8% 6.0% 7.1%
44% -0.6% 0.5% 1.6% 2.8% 3.9%
40% -3.8% -2.7% -1.6% -0.4% 0.7%
 Vote (000)  Margin 
48% 3.5 5.0 6.4 7.9 9.4
44% -0.8 0.7 2.2 3.7 5.2
40% -5.1 -3.6 -2.1 -0.6 0.9

Summary Comparison (based on Party-ID)

Unadjusted Exit Poll   Reported Vote   True Vote  
Vote Clinton Trump Clinton Trump Clinton Trump
Avg 48.4% 45.8% 46.1% 49.6% 44.6% 48.4%
Diff   -2.6%   3.5%   3.9%
OH 47.0% 47.1% 43.5% 52.1% 43.9% 51.4%
NC* 48.6% 46.5% 46.7% 50.5% 45.9% 46.6%
NJ 59.8% 35.8% 55.0% 41.8% 44.6% 46.4%
PA* 50.5% 46.1% 47.7% 48.8% 47.8% 45.8%
MI 46.8% 46.8% 47.5% 47.7% 45.3% 47.8%
MO 42.8% 51.2% 38.0% 57.1% 41.5% 51.7%
IA 44.1% 48.0% 42.2% 51.8% 41.1% 50.6%
FL * 47.7% 46.4% 47.8% 49.1% 45.9% 47.7%
WI * 48.2% 44.3% 46.9% 47.9% 48.2% 45.2%
Share of  Indep-endents       
Unadjusted Exit Poll   Reported Vote   True Vote  
Clinton Trump Clinton Trump Clinton Trump
Avg 47.3% 40.3% 39.2% 53.1% 36.1% 50.2%
Diff   -7.0%   13.9%   14.1%
OH 50.0% 34.0% 38.0% 52.0% 38.0% 52.0%
NC 44.0% 44.0% 38.5% 56.0% 35.0% 49.0%
NJ 67.0% 28.0% 51.0% 48.0% 36.0% 52.0%
PA 50.0% 43.0% 36.0% 56.0% 32.0% 53.0%
MI 32.0% 52.7% 35.0% 56.3% 45.0% 56.3%
MO 45.0% 40.0% 28.0% 62.0% 39.0% 45.0%
IA 42.0% 41.0% 35.0% 51.0% 35.0% 51.0%
FL 48.0% 43.0% 48.0% 50.5% 32.0% 53.0%
WI 48.0% 37.0% 43.0% 46.0% 43.0% 46.0%
 
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Posted by on November 23, 2016 in 2016 election, Uncategorized

 

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Implausible: the WI Unadjusted Exit Poll

Richard Charnin
Nov. 16, 2016

Updated: Oct.2, 2017

77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Poll
LINKS TO  POSTS

Trump won four key battleground states (FL, NC, PA, WI). No deposit casino malaysia 2018 fallout new vegas slots grand prize won all four and had 302 EV. Euro slots casino review ameristar casino in east chicago il likely won the four states.

View the summary tables for 9 Battleground states below.

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Tips bermain blackjack online world top 3 mobile company 2018 47.2-46.3%.
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The  CNN adjusted exit poll calculation did not exactly match the reported vote.

WI Reported Vote (CNN)
Trump wins: 47.8-47.0% (23,000 vote margin)
Calculated: Trump wins: 48.1-46.1%
Trump won Independents: 50-40%
Party ID: 35D- 34R- 30I

WI Unadjusted exit poll
Clinton wins: 48.2-44.3% (118,000 vote margin)
Clinton won Independents: 48-37%  (implausible)
Party ID: 35D- 34R- 30I

WI True Vote Model 
Trump wins 48.2-45.2% (45,000 vote margin)
Trump wins Independents: 46-43%
Party ID: 33.9D -32.6R -33.5I (derived from Gallup)

CNN National Exit Poll (matched to the recorded vote)
Clinton wins 47.8-47.4%
Trump won Independents: 48-42%
National Party ID: 37D- 33R- 30I

True Vote Model online casino malaysia welcome bonus no deposit seminole casino tampa slots jackpotjoy roulette mobile online casino vegas da vinci diamonds
Rtg online casino bonuses bingo mobile casino ID  advantage to Independents)
Before Undecided Voter Allocation (UVA)
Cash casino wednesfield fallsview casino slot coupons million vote margin)
Trump wins the recorded Electoral vote: 306-232

True Vote: After Undecided Voter Allocation
Trump wins  48.5%-44.3% (5 million vote margin)
Trump wins the  Electoral Vote: 351-187

Unadjusted Exit Polls: http://tdmsresearch.com/2016/11/10/2016-presidential-election-table/

SUMMARY COMPARISON (based on Party-ID)

Unadj EP   Reported   True Vote  
Vote Clinton Trump Clinton Trump Clinton Trump
Avg 48.39% 45.80% 46.14% 49.65% 44.57% 48.45%
Diff   -2.59%   3.51%   3.88%
OH 47.0% 47.1% 43.5% 52.1% 43.9% 51.4%
NC * 48.6% 46.5% 46.7% 50.5% 45.9% 46.6%
NJ 59.8% 35.8% 55.0% 41.8% 44.6% 46.4%
PA * 50.5% 46.1% 47.7% 48.8% 47.8% 45.8%
MI 46.8% 46.8% 47.5% 47.7% 45.3% 47.8%
MO 42.8% 51.2% 38.0% 57.1% 41.5% 51.7%
IA 44.1% 48.0% 42.2% 51.8% 41.1% 50.6%
FL * 47.7% 46.4% 47.8% 49.1% 45.9% 47.7%
WI * 48.2% 44.3% 46.9% 47.9% 48.2% 45.2%
         
% of Ind  Unadj   Reported   True Vote  
Clinton Trump Clinton Trump Clinton Trump
Avg 47.33% 40.30% 39.17% 53.09% 36.11% 50.22%
Diff   -7.03%   13.92%   14.11%
OH 50.0% 34.0% 38.0% 52.0% 38.0% 52.0%
NC 44.0% 44.0% 38.5% 56.0% 35.0% 49.0%
NJ 67.0% 28.0% 51.0% 48.0% 36.0% 52.0%
PA 50.0% 43.0% 36.0% 56.0% 32.0% 53.0%
MI 32.0% 52.7% 35.0% 56.3% 45.0% 56.3%
MO 45.0% 40.0% 28.0% 62.0% 39.0% 45.0%
IA 42.0% 41.0% 35.0% 51.0% 35.0% 51.0%
FL 48.0% 43.0% 48.0% 50.5% 32.0% 53.0%
WI 48.0% 37.0% 43.0% 46.0% 43.0% 46.0%

WISCONSIN

Unadj EP Party-ID Clinton Trump Johnson Stein Other
Dem 35% 91% 7% 1% 1% 0%
Rep 35% 6% 90% 3% 0% 1%
Ind 30% 48% 37% 6% 2% 7%
Calc 100% 48.4% 45.1% 3.2% 1.0% 2%
Unadj 100% 48.2% 44.3% 2.0% 1.3% 4%
Votes (000) 3,014 1,453 1,335 60 39 127
Margin -118 -3.9%
Reported Party-ID Clinton Trump Johnson Stein Other
Dem 35% 91% 7% 1% 1% 0%
Rep 35% 6% 90% 3% 0% 1%
Ind 30% 43% 46% 6% 2% 3%
Calc 100% 46.9% 47.8% 3.2% 1.0% 1%
Reported 100% 46.9% 47.9% 2.2% 0.7% 2.3%
Votes (000) 3,014 1,380 1,404 106 31 93
Margin 24 0.93%
True Vote Party-ID Clinton Trump Johnson Stein Other
Dem 33.9% 91% 7% 1% 1% 0%
Rep 32.6% 6% 90% 3% 0% 1%
Ind 33.5% 43% 46% 6% 2% 2%
TVM bef UVA 95.2% 42.7% 45.7% 4.3% 2.3%
True Vote 100.0% 45.2% 48.2% 4.3% 2.3%
Votes (000) 3,014 1,361 1,452 131 70
Margin 90 3.0%

2016-presidential-election-table_nov-10-2016

 
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Posted by on November 16, 2016 in 2016 election, Uncategorized

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Implausible: the NJ Unadjusted Exit Poll

Richard Charnin
Nov. 13, 2016

77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Best htc mobile under 20000 in 2018 how to get money fast uk Votes and the National Poll
LINKS TO  POSTS

Are we to believe the NJ exit poll?
Casino code no deposit bonus trucchi roulette online 2018 vote margin. 
Are we to believe she had 67% of Independents compared to 28% for Trump?

She won the recorded vote with 55.0-41.8%.
But the recorded vote is never equal to the True Vote. 
There is always a fraud factor. play casino table games harga mobil bekas chevrolet spin 2018 zeus 3 slot online ways to make money from home australia
The True Vote Model estimates Clinton won NJ by 50.7-46.4%

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CNN National Exit Poll (matched to the recorded vote)
Clinton wins 47.8-47.4%
Trump won Independents: 48-42%
CNN National Party ID: 37D- 33R- 30I 
Gallup party affiliation: 32D-28R-40I 

NJ Recorded Vote (CNN)
Clinton wins: 55.0-41.8% (486,000 vote margin)
Party ID: 43D- 27R- 30I  slot machine games how to play no deposit online casinos uk mobile contracts poor credit rating no deposit used van finance best mobile network uk 4g
Clinton won Independents: 51-38%

NJ Unadjusted exit poll
Clinton wins: 59.8-35.8% (879,000 vote margin)
Party ID: 43D- 27R- 30I
Clinton won Independents: 67-28% (implausible)

NJ True Vote Model
Clinton wins 50.7-46.4% (157,000 vote margin)
Party ID: 25.8D -15.7R -58.5I 
Trump wins Independents: 52-46%

National True Vote Model
Gallup Party-ID:  32D- 28R- 40I 

Before Undecided Voter Allocation (UVA)
Trump wins the popular vote: 44.4-42.9% (1.6 million vote margin)
Trump wins the recorded Electoral vote: 306-232

After Undecided Voter Allocation best online casino that pays out slot machine legal in texas gamblers bonus
Trump wins  48.5%-44.3% (5 million vote margin)
Trump wins the True Electoral Vote: 351-187

 

New Jersey
Unadjusted EP Party-ID Clinton Trump Johnson Stein
Dem 43% 86% 12% 1% 1%
Rep 27% 10% 82% 6% 2%
Ind 30% 67% 28% 3% 2%
Calc 100% 59.8% 35.7% 3.0% 1.6%
Unadjusted 100% 59.8% 35.8% 3.0% 1.4%
Votes (000) 3,663 2,190 1,311 110 51
    Margin -879    
    Margin -24.0%  
Reported Vote  Party-ID Clinton Trump Johnson Stein
Dem 43% 86% 12% 0% 2%
Rep 27% 10% 82% 7% 1%
Ind 30% 51.0% 48.0% 0.0% 1%
Calc 100% 55.0% 41.7% 1.9% 1.4%
Reported 100% 55.0% 41.8% 1.9% 1.0%
Votes (000) 3,663 2,022 1,536 69 36
    Margin -486    
    Margin -13.3%
True Vote Model Party ID Clinton Trump Johnson Stein
Dem 25.8% 86% 12% 0% 2%
Rep 15.7% 10% 82% 7% 1%
Ind 58.5% 46.0% 52.0% 1.0% 1%
True Vote 100.0% 50.7% 46.4% 1.7% 1.3%
Votes (000) 3,663 1,856 1,699 62 46
    Margin -157    
    Margin -4.3%    

2016-presidential-election-table_nov-10-2016

 
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Posted by on November 13, 2016 in Uncategorized

 

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