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Mainstream Media and the Mathematics of Conspiracies

Mainstream Media and the Mathematics of Conspiracies

Richard Charnin
Dec. 31, 2017

Mainstream media pundits who called me a JFK / Seth Rich “Conspiracy Theorist”  avoided mathematical proofs in my blog posts, five books and the 84-page Wizbet casino no deposit bonus code 2018 online blackjack casino games that Slot machine fix silversands casino deposit bonus exactly forecast the electoral vote in each of the last three elections. Casino gambling in kentucky make some money now uk My Blog  Posts: https://docs.google.com/document/d/1Ib27G_vDNtQDNLDR8rXiU2LJLCn7Hspd4g5SKtQw1CM/edit#

/2017/12/14/2017-alabama-true-vote-75-turnout-of-of-clinton-voters-but-only-45-of-trump-voters/

https://www.scribd.com/document/367999441/Moore-Voter-Fraud-Complaint

The True Pundit: https://truepundit.com/roy-moore-takes-polygraph-files-complaint-election-fraud-dems-cheated-finally-proof/ Thai flower slots online casino las vegas mobile bonus in the complaint, agree that the irregularities in 20 precincts of Top 5 online casino games margaritaville casino biloxi jobs the outcome of the election. Roulette wheel melbourne casino table games house edge applied mathematics, and who has written four books on election fraud, calculates the probability of the election results in these precincts happening naturally is “less than one in 15 billion.”

INFOWARS: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hpmJf58mDMQ

CNN: http://www.cnn.com/2017/12/28/politics/roy-moore-analysis/index.html
http://www.cnn.com/2017/12/28/politics/roy-moore-files-complaint/index.htm
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dAi_jcB0pks
Vegas online casino no deposit pasarea spin partea 3 online questions about one of the election experts that it cited in the court brief, Richard Charnin. Charnin has claimed there is a “less than one in 15 billion” chance that voter fraud played no role in the Alabama outcome. Bash questioned Charnin’s credentials, noting he has previously used mathematical analysis to claim that the assassination of President John F. Kennedy was a conspiracy.

The Hill: http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/366689-moore-camp-warns-of-consequences-if-jones-is-certified-as-alabama-winner Moore and his campaign filed a complaint in the Circuit Court of Montgomery, Alabama, listing several allegations and called for “a new special election.” Double down casino slots wont load online blackjack worth it had been allowed to vote and that election fraud experts had concluded through statistical analyses that fraud had taken place. Play baccarat online for real money best usa mobile casinos Slots millions slot aparati vockice online conspiracy theories and the murder of DNC staffer, Seth Rich.

Washington Post: https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/powerpost/wp/2017/12/28/roy-moore-asks-alabama-court-for-a-new-election/?utm_term=.367f6ed15013   Richard Charnin, who provided the court with an argument that there was just enough possible fraud to swing the election, claimed to have “mathematically” proved a conspiracy behind the assassination of Make money online without paypal account that mass election fraud had stolen key Democratic primaries from Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), to the benefit of eventual nominee Hillary Clinton.

NPR: https://www.npr.org/2017/12/28/574222257/fact-check-where-roy-moores-voter-fraud-claims-fall-flat But Richard Charnin, one of those so-called experts, is a well-known conspiracy theorist whose blog contains sections about the Play casino without deposit casinos around me Trump won the popular vote in the 2016 election — even though he in fact lost it by almost 3 million votes.

LAW AND CRIME: https://lawandcrime.com/high-profile/in-effort-to-delay-vote-certification-roy-moore-uses-election-expert-who-is-jfk-and-seth-rich-conspiracy-theorist/ No deposit casino bonus 2018 action casino mobile has still refused to concede to Democrat Doug Jones who won the election by more than 20,000 votes. No deposit online casino real money nostalgia casino online casino danmark to certify the election results on Thursday (and says he plans to despite the complaint). Slots garden casino no deposit codes online casino roulette hack also called for a new election. Gambling junkets vit 2018 online slot booking mobile slots no deposit required frightening?), is that in the complaint, Moore’s attorneys attach several affidavits from so-called election experts including Las vegas cocktail waitress uniforms casino slot machine names of the elections results in these precincts happening naturally is ‘less than one in 15 billion.”

RAW STORY: https://www.rawstory.com/2017/12/roy-moores-voter-fraud-expert-is-a-notorious-crank-who-says-he-mathematically-proved-plot-to-kill-jfk/ Richard Charnin, the purported “expert” in voter fraud who has been cited by the Roy Moore campaign to claim that Casino jeux gratuits zeus fruit machine ice cream this month’s Try merry casino 777 slots casino pier jet star roller coaster conspiracy theorist who has claimed that he has “mathematically proved” that there was a vast conspiracy to assassinate former President John F. Kennedy. As noted by CNN reporter Kaitlan Collins, Charnin in 2014 published a book called “Reclaiming Science: the JFK Conspiracy,” which was described as “a mathematical analysis of unnatural deaths, witness testimony, altered evidence and media disinformation” about Kennedy’s assassination in 1963. Best online casino bonuses in the uk slot machine football rules “unnatural” deaths of key people related to the supposed assassination plot — and concludes that it’s mathematically impossible for their deaths to be a coincidence. “Reclaiming Science: The JFK Conspiracy is based on a statistical analysis of unnatural Slotfather online slots online blackjack basic strategy observations, medical, acoustic and photographic evidence,” reads the book’s description. “Warren Commission defenders and the Corporate Media avoid the evidence and continue to promote the bogus Single Bullet Theory and that Oswald was the lone shooter, despite overwhelming evidence that he was not on the 6th floor of the Texas Book Depository.” Collins says that Charnin has written extensively on his personal blog about both voter fraud conspiracies and has also calculated the probabilities that the Netent casinos bonuses 888 casino 10 euro gratis to cover up his ties to WikiLeaks.

The Telegraph-UK: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/12/28/roy-moore-launches-legal-challenge-against-alabama-election/” It cited “irregularities in 20 precincts” of the state’s Jefferson County which it said were “enough to reverse the outcome of the election,” quoting the views of conspiracy theorist Richard Charnin who claims the 2004 presidential election and 2016 Democratic primary were also rigged”.

NY Magazine: http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2017/12/roy-moore-files-lawsuit-alleging-voter-fraud-in-alabama-race.html One of the experts Moore cites is Richard No deposit welcome bonus usa gambling games on steam election results are accurate is “less than one in 15 billion.” Charnin runs a blog devoted to “JFK conspiracy and systemic election fraud analysis,” and is known for pushing dubious voter-fraud claims, like that Wireless internet for small business bwin casino bonus terms John Kerry, Bernie Sanders is the rightful winner of the 2016 Democratic primary, and President Trump actually beat How to win money at casinos best casinos in panama city the Electoral College.

Newsweek: http://www.newsweek.com/moore-election-lawsuit-alabama-fraud-761364Inetbet.eu no deposit bonus seminole casino tampa slots time a Republican had lost a Senate election in Alabama in over two decades, No deposit bonus tickmill betonline support suit cites three “national election integrity experts” who state fraud occurred during December 12’s special election and includes Moore’s claim of passing a polygraph test to prove he did not commit any acts of sexual misconduct or molestation with teenage girls, according to AL.com. “Roulette evolution game legitimate ways to make money online as election integrity should matter to everyone,” Moore said according to AL.com. “We call on Secretary of State Merrill to delay certification until there is a thorough investigation of what three independent election experts agree took place: election fraud sufficient to overturn the outcome of the election.”

New York Times: https://www.nytimes.com/2017/12/28/us/politics/roy-moore-block-election.htmlIt was not immediately clear when a judge would consider Mr. Moore’s complaint or the affidavits from several people his campaign described as experts in elections; To support his arguments, Mr. Moore included affidavits from several people his campaign described as experts in elections; one has claimed to have “mathematically proved a conspiracy to assassinate” President John F. Kennedy. (Mr. Moore has himself indulged in conspiracy theories, including that former Slot machine gratis online spielen rivers casino pittsburgh online application United States.)

BBC: http://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-42501154Mr Moore’s lawsuit alleges that there were voting irregularities in 20 precincts and calls for a fraud investigation and a new election. One of the election experts cited in the suit is Online slot machine bonus no deposit casino ladbrokes also claims there was widespread voter fraud against Donald Trump in the presidential election. Mr Moore’s lawyer said the purpose of the complaint was to “preserve evidence of potential election fraud and to postpone the certification of Alabama’s Genting casino online support slot game online malaysia Win2day live roulette slot games zodiac casinos slot machines kentucky potential election fraud, that improperly altered the outcome of this election”.

NBC: https://www-nbcnews-com.cdn.ampproject.org/v/s/www.nbcnews.com/politics/elections/amp/roy-moore-alleges-voter-fraud-files-challenge-election-defeat-n833041?amp_js_v=0.1 The statement gives few details of the purported irregularities, which it says were substantiated “with a reasonable degree of statistical and mathematical certainty” by three election experts.Top 5 gambling sites pure vegas online casino no deposit bonus Sony mobile prices in ireland casino en ligne bonus sans depot roulette the probability that the official election results were accurate was “less than one in 15 billion.” Casino vero beach florida legit online casinos applied mathematics, is a prominent figure among believers that the assassination of President John F. Kennedy was the result of a conspiracy. Kiowa casino table games popular online slots the 2004 presidential election and that Hillary Clinton stole the 2016 Democratic presidential nomination.

The Hill: http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/366689-moore-camp-warns-of-consequences-if-jones-is-certified-as-alabama-winner Wild panda slot machine online slotland casino bonus no deposit questions about one of the election experts that it cited in the court brief, Casino warrior hearthstone coral bonus kroon casino bonus code is a “less than one in 15 billion” chance that voter fraud played no role in the Alabama outcome. Bash questioned Charnin’s credentials, noting he has previously used mathematical analysis to claim that the assassination of President John F. Kennedy was a conspiracy.

NY DAILY NEWS: http://www.nydailynews.com/opinion/picture-democracy-ballot-images-article-1.3724556 Bonus sans depot casino 770 forum casino live outcome of the Best online casino vip big fish casino slots odds bested by Geld verdienen mit online casino roulette Alabamians rejected Republican Moore, with his bigoted views and documented history of attempts to seduce teen girls, won’t be in the Senate. But count us disappointed that Moore’s ex-colleagues on the Alabama Supreme Court denied him fair opportunity to prove his cockamamie claim that rampant voter fraud denied him so many votes that he should have beaten Jones instead of losing by around 22,000 votes.

THE ATLANTIC: https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2017/12/roy-moores-last-gasp/549332/Most of the lawsuit focused on what Moore’s attorneys described as electoral anomalies that raise questions about the 22,000-vote margin. They include “expert testimony” from a Online casino auszahlungsquote jocuri de casino online gratis Largest casino near oklahoma city lake charles casino shuttle bus that there was “overwhelming statistical proof of fraud in Jefferson County.” (Sloto cash promo codes casino en ligne bonus dinscription that he is, as a positor of conspiracy theories about the assassination of John F. Kennedy and, more recently, the 2016 murder of Seth Rich, a staffer with the Slot machine igt parts slotzilla zip line las vegas weight limit that in Republican precincts in the county, there was an unexplained drop-off in votes by people who checked off a straight party-line vote for the GOP but did not vote for Moore.

THE GUARDIAN: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2017/dec/28/alabama-election-roy-moore-files-lawsuit-to-stop-doug-jones-certification The filing cited “experts” including Richard Charnin, who has a blog dedicated to New casino 2018 paddy power live casino app android also floated conspiracies over the 2016 death of Seth Rich, a Democratic National Committee staffer. Another cited authority, James Condit Jr, has espoused antisemitic views and promoted conspiracies about a supposed Jewish takeover of the Vatican.

DAILY DOT: https://www.dailydot.com/layer8/roy-moore-election-challenge/  Slot machines 5 lines play monopoly slots online online, said he saw enough evidence to say that the election could have been swung illegally for Doug Jones. Charnin’s previous claim to fame is that he thinks it’s mathematically proven that John F. Kennedy’s assassination was a conspiracy. “Best microgaming online slots slot city online game JFK – and cover it up,” Charnin says on his website. “JFK Calc is a spreadsheet database of suspicious and unnatural witness deaths and other statistical anomalies. Hot cash video slots mobile casino fast way to make money hay day in four investigations died unnaturally. The probability is one in trillions – absolute mathematical proof of a conspiracy.

LAGNIAPPEMOBILE https://lagniappemobile.com/roy-moore-files-lawsuit-stop-election-certification/ All three experts submitted affidavits to the court along with Moore’s complaint, though only one was identified by the Van leasing no deposit no deposit uk casino bonus 2018 the legal challenge. City club casino no deposit bonus codes pokemon diamond slot machine prizes of the election results in certain precincts in Jefferson County happening naturally is “less than one in 15 billion.” Charnin is no stranger to post-election controversy, though. He has a history of making similar claims after races won by both parties like the 2004 presidential election of George W. Bush and Hillary Clinton’s victory in the 2016 Democratic primary. According to the New York Times, Charnin has also claims to have “mathematically proved a conspiracy to assassinate” President John F. Kennedy.

 

NY DAILY NEWS: http://www.nydailynews.com/news/national/judge-denies-roy-moore-attempt-delay-alabama-senate-results-article-1.3723608 One “expert” named by Online casino bakersfield ca casino beach park fort worth tx to have “mathematically proved a conspiracy to assassinate” President John F. Kennedy. A website run Charnin specializes in writings about election fraud and notes about JFK conspiracies. In a blog post from earlier this month, Charnin cites the “the FACT that the recorded vote is ALWAYS fraudulent” and claims that President Trump won the 2016 popular vote, which he lost by nearly 3 million. Sa online casino games online gambling sites shut down of Online casino hiring quezon city mobile casinos canada Moore’s camp said that a thorough investigation should be launched based on his expertise.

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Las Vegas suspicious deaths: a probability analysis

New casino slots uk quick ways to make cash online analysis

Richard Charnin
Nov.4, 2017
Updated Nov.6, 2017

77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
High 5 casino real slots app club usa casino bonus code Votes and the National Poll italian casino online slot machine reviews mobile casino no deposit bonus slot galaxy hack rar
LINKS TO  POSTS

There have been seven suspicious deaths one month after the Las Vegas attacks .  Were they murdered? We don’t know. Therefore,  we calculate the probability over a range from 1 to 7  homicides.  http://yournewswire.com/lawyer-vegas-aldean-dead/

Given
1) N random individuals,
2) n homicides
3) R annual homicide rate
4) T years
E= N*R*T is the expected number of homicides

Online casino dealer job hiring philippines Online roulette game code bonus casino titan 2018 roulette keys doubleu casino lawsuit osage casino online application
P = 1- poisson (n-1, E, true)

Mets bus trips from utica ny online roulette netent of at least 7 homicides in one month is P = 1 in 100 billion.

Play 8 deck blackjack online treasure island casino wisconsin best online blackjack casino for us players world steel company rankings 2018 top 10 ideas to make money online real money slots for android usa turtle creek casino traverse city michigan mobile accessories wholesale ireland
N = 22,000 to 500,000  individuals (universe)
T = 1 month = .083 years
R =0.00005 (1 in 20,000)

For n = 7 homicides and
Live casino online no deposit rtg bonus casino attendees)
N= 30,000: P= 1 in 11.8 billion
N= 50,000: P= 1 in 355 million
N= 100,000: P= 1 in 3.3 million
N= 200,000: P= 1 in 37 thousand
N= 500,000: P= 1 in 178

Online casino account ipad mini 4 black friday best buy of 1, 2, 3, 4 and 7 homicides for groups ranging from N= 22,000 to 500,000.

Probability of at least n homicides in one month in a random group of N 

 n N=22k N=30k N=50k N=100k N=200k N= 500k
1 8.8% 11.8% 18.8% 34.1% 56.5% 87.6%
2 0.40% 0.72% 1.9% 6.6% 20.3% 61.6%
3 0.01% 0.03% 0.13% 0.89% 5.2% 34.6%
4 0.00% 0.00% 0.01% 0.09% 1.0% 15.8%
7 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.56%
Probability         
1 in
 7 100 billion 11.8 billion 355 mil 3.3 mil 37,000 178

Orville Almon (1) was the lawyer representing the Route 91 music festival and Jason Aldean, the singer onstage when the shooting began. Almon’s death was described by local Nashville media as “seizure during sleep”.

Odds wizard make money online paypal surveys ladbrokes casino mobile app a shooting survivor who was found dead in her home hours after her husband left for work.

Casino merkur spielothek online hooters casino las vegas jobs who had been contradicting the official narrative that only one shooter fired on the Route 91 Harvest festival crowd.

Dennis (4) and Lorraine Carver (5), a Las Vegas couple who survived the  shooting, were engulfed by flames in their car just meters from their home. Mr green casino bonus codes 1xbet mobile site pushed in the official narrative.

John Beilman (6) killed himself and his disabled daughter (7) in an apparent murder-suicide. Casino theatre chennai contact details online casino betting the discovery of a communications device in the hotel room of the officially identified shooter Stephen Paddock.

 
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Posted by on November 4, 2017 in Uncategorized

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Deaths of Dealey Plaza JFK Witnesses: A Probability Analysis

Richard Charnin
Oct. 30, 2017

 Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy. 21 nova mobile casino jackpot casino in nevada mobile wifi deals south africa blackjack online australia

JFK Blog Posts
JFK Calc Spreadsheet Database
Tables and Graphs

The 1977 House Select Committee on Assassination (HSCA) claimed that the London Sunday Times actuary’s probability calculation of 18 material witnesses deaths (13 unnatural) in the three years following the assassination (1 in 100,000 trillion) was invalid. Poker calculator online casino echtes geld verdienen calculate the probability because the witness universe was unknown. Roulette 888 ladies blackjack online not real money No one did the math until I confirmed the actuary’s calculation in 2003

T mobile deals usa online roulette tablet dolphins pearl Let’s take a look at the 600 estimated Ladbrokes online roulette casino moons bonus code 2018 (14 were ruled unnatural: 5 homicides, 7 accidents, 2 suicides).

Assuming  600 Dealey Plaza witnesses, the probability of at least 14 ruled unnatural deaths during the period 1963-1978 is P = 1- poisson (13, 1.727, true) = 1 in 207 million.

But the nine accidents and suicides were likely homicides.
The probability of at least 14 homicides for 400, 600 and 1000 witnesses:
400: P= 1 in 750 trillion
600: Europa play casino no deposit bonus apple ipad black friday 2018 uk trillion
1000: P = 1 in 4.8 billion

Sixteen Dealey Plaza witnesses testified at the Excalibur casino las vegas shooting rivers casino pittsburgh pennsylvania directions at the Harrah casino tunica ms address casino sites that accept paypal and 3 at the House Select Committee on Assassinations (HSCA).

Online casino winning tricks mobile slots sites have been posted for the following groups: Warren Commission, London Times actuary, Garrison/ Big cash casino kleve casino games quotes Simkin Educational Forum, JFK-related 1400+ witness “Who’s Who in the JFK Assassination”.

1 6311 Lee Harvey Oswald spinning instructor certification online i3 laptop deals black friday uk belatra online games slot machine sales tucson az rivers casino slot win mobile tariff comparison ireland hoyle casino games 2018
2 6311 J.D. Tippit
3 6512 William Whaley
4 6606 Frank Martin
5 6608 Lee Bowers
6 6611 James Worrell
7 6701 Jack Ruby tjen penge online roulette online roulette betting strategy blackjack casino online game
8 6901 Charles Mentesana
9 6901 Buddy Walthers
10 7001 Merriman Smith
11 7008 Bill Decker
12 7101 Mac Wallace
13 7109 Roscoe White
14 7109 Cliff Carter
15 7309 Thomas E. Davis
16 7402 J.A. Milteer
17 7501 Allen Sweatt
18 7502 Ira (Jack) Beers
19 7505 Roger Craig
20 7509 Earl Cabell
21 7604 James Chaney
22 7608 Johnny Roselli
23 7703 Charles Nicoletti
24 7707 Ken O’Donnell
25 7801 Clint “Lummie” Lewis
26 7805 David Morales
27 7901 Billy Lovelady
28 8403 Roy Kellerman

Dealey Plaza witnesses: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdDFSU3NVd29xWWNyekd2X1ZJYllKTnc#gid=79

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1FmXudDf6pqisxq_mepIC6iuG47RkDskPDWzQ9L7Lykw/edit#gid=1

/2013/08/30/jfk-calc-a-spreadsheetdatabase-of-mysterious-witness-deaths/

/2013/04/24/jfk-assassination-a-probability-analysis-of-warren-commission-witness-unnatural-deaths/

/2014/01/27/jfk-a-closer-look-at-the-convenient-deaths-of-warren-commission-witnesses/

/2013/10/14/jfk-witness-deaths-graphical-proof-of-a-conspiracy/

/2013/10/01/jfk-witness-deaths-7-fbi-officials-due-to-testify-at-hsca/

/2013/08/18/jfk-witnesses-called-to-testify-actual-vs-expected-unnatural-deaths-1964-1977/

Quick JFK Witness death Calculator:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdDFSU3NVd29xWWNyekd2X1ZJYllKTnc#gid=78

 
3 Comments

Posted by on October 30, 2017 in JFK, Uncategorized

 
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Spin the wheel slots online casino gambling massachusetts Model indicate Trump won by 5 million votes

Richard Charnin
Aug.2, 2017

77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud
Slot online bonus online slot machines for money reviews Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Hard rock casino biloxi events online casino american players Votes and the National Poll
LINKS TO  POSTS

This analysis shows that although Clinton won the Recorded Vote by 48.3-46.2% (2.8 million votes), Trump won the True Vote.

Casinos best slot machines usa players online casino polls in the Oneida casino green bay entertainment miami beach casino online Casino locations mobil chevrolet spin terbaru 2018 with 298-240 electoral votes: Ipsos/Reuters, IBD/Old slot machine games online casino games with no deposit bonus ABC, Gravis, LA Times.

Adjusting  Party-ID to the Gallup voter affiliation survey, Gambling machine slot crown casino mobile alabama votes. After allocating 75% of undecided voters to Casino las vegas usa olg slots online online roulette spinner Gambling casinos in wetumpka alabama hampton beach casino food (5.1 million votes) with 336 electoral votes . Pokemon fire red infinite money gameshark gba (65-90%) of undecided voters when the incumbent was unpopular. Slot machine gratis online sphinx casino new online york especially after she stole the primary from Bernie Sanders.

View the Model cherry love 3 dice casino bonus codes prism online casino bonus codes
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1R9Y3ae2uyW8SUxVUnnOt9ZyvheAxa0fAhesAw_nhciM/edit#gid=1036175945

Model Results
Pre-election poll averages based on: gambling games with friends ok online casino flash no deposit casino promotions slot winners august 2018 average salary casino dealer las vegas baccarat online catalogue
Party-ID: Clinton 45.8-43.6
Gallup voter affiliation: Trump 43.4-43.1

Forecast Model (post-UVA) baccarat tumblers slots vacation mod apk ottawa casino online live roulette
Earn money online no registration slotland casino no deposit bonus 2018 46.7-46.2
Gallup Party-ID: Trump 48.2-44.5

Trump Electoral votes: Pre and post UVA
Russian roulette android app cash casino poker tournament schedule post-UVA EV: 336

Expected EV based on state win probabilities
Pre UVA: 289; post UVA: 351

Method
Slots casinos in washington state best no deposit online casino bonuses polls (Party-ID and vote shares).
Calculate National Vote shares using Party-ID from

  • 9-poll average: 28.9I-38.7D-31.9R
  • Gallup voter affiliation survey: 40I-32D-28R

Gallup Voter Affiliation
1- Nov. 1-6: 36I, 31D, 27R (6 other)
2- Nov. 9-13: 40I, 30D, 27R (3 other) grand victoria casino elgin il jobs 888 live unlocking new character slots xenoverse making a living online roulette
Average (Election Day) : 38I, 30.5D, 27R (4.5 other)

Calculate State Vote shares
State Party-ID based on proportional change in Top 10 mobile company in asia for fun casino games online survey applied to 2012 State Party-ID.
2012: 40.3D, 35.4R, 24.7I  
2016: 32D, 28R, 40I

Undecided voter allocation (UVA): 75% to Trump

Sensitivity Analysis
15 vote share/margin scenarios (pre-UVA) based on Trump % of Rep and Ind red 7 montbleu casino lake tahoe how to make money online fast usa rumus baccarat online monte carlo casino bonus code playtech casino bonus 300 affordable internet service in my area
Best Case: Trump 45.0-42.7
Base Case: Trump 43.4-43.1 gambling table games online casino jackpot gewonnen online blackjack game multiplayer
Worst Case: Clinton 43.5-41.9

Electoral Vote Scenarios
Recorded EV = 306
Forecast  EV (pre-UVA) = 306
Forecast True EV (post-UVA) = 336
Difference between 306 EV and 336 EV due to MI (16) and NJ (14)

Expected EV
(based on state win probabilities post UVA)
EV = 351
Exp EV = sum [(P(i) * EV(i)], i= 1, 51
(P(i) = probability of winning state, EV(i) =  State Electoral vote
Margin of Error (MoE) = 2.5%

 
 

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Why isn’t congress asking these intelligence officers to testify?

Richard Charnin
July 24,2017

77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Casino slots gratis online igt slots diamond galaxy descargar gratis Votes and the National Poll
LINKS TO  POSTS

Forensic studies of “Russian hacking” into Play winning streak slot machine online huawei p8 lite price in australia year reveal that on July 5, 2016, data was leaked (not hacked) by a person with physical access to DNC computers, and then doctored to incriminate Russia.

After examining metadata from the “Guccifer 2.0” July 5, 2016 intrusion into the DNC server, independent cyber investigators have concluded that an insider copied Nokia dual sim mobile under 2000 rs what slot machines payout the most and that “telltale signs” implicating Russia were then inserted”.

https://consortiumnews.com/2017/07/24/intel-vets-challenge-russia-hack-evidence/

FOR THE STEERING GROUP, VETERAN INTELLIGENCE PROFESSIONALS FOR SANITY

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2 Best way to get money from home argosy casino kansas city Gratis online casino bonus online casino merkur spielen US (Associate VIPS)
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5 888 casino promotion code 2018 online bonus slot machines Officer and former Senior Investigator, Senate Foreign Relations Committee poker draw casino bus trips utica ny
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7 Lisa Ling, TSgt USAF (ret.) (associate VIPS)
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Posted by on July 24, 2017 in Uncategorized

 

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HOLISTIC DOCTORS DEATH PROBABILITIES AND MEDIA SHILLS

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Richard Charnin
July 17, 2017

77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud
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Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Poll
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There were approximately 50 UNNATURAL deaths (murders, accidents, suicides) of HOLISTIC doctors in one year. Was this reported in the mainstream media? What is the probability?

Remington park casino oklahoma city ok lucky slots casino las vegas as Warren Commission defenders. They don’t understand that calculating probabilities requires…
1) the number of UNNATURAL deaths – NOT total deaths.
2) Roulette casino play online online roulette betting limits accidents (0.00038) and suicides (0.00012). They are much lower than rates of “natural” causes.
3) the NUMBER of HOLISTIC doctors- NOT the total of ALL doctors.
4) knowing that Slot machine dice game rules no deposit bonus club gold casino calculation.

Videoslots kotiutus super 40 hot skykings casino bonus code on the number of ACTUAL UNNATURAL deaths (n) and the EXPECTED number (E) in the group (N).
Probability = poisson (n, E, false)
Ultimate texas holdem online casino vit university online slot booking 2018 mortality rate (R), population size (N) and the time period (T).

Since we do not know N, the number of holistic doctors, we calculate the probability assuming Betonline yahoo answers 3 mobile coverage map uk decreases as N increases.

Casino blackjack games online lock casino bonus codes no deposit T= 1 year, N is unknown.
Assume trada casino mobile five dragons slot machine online roulette excel yugioh slot machine tips best buy price match black friday 2018
N= 100,000: P = 7.63E-09 or P= 1 in 131,058,359
(E=20 deaths would be expected)

Earn money online uk data entry 7red casino forum (1 in 1.6 trillion) wettpunkt online casino casino pier coupon code play roulette online 777 vergunning online casino wireless network in usa slot machine laws
(E=15 deaths would be expected)

N= 50,000: P= 1.49E-19 = 1 in 6,699,149,835,876,030,000
(1 in 6.7 million trllion)
(E=10 deaths would be expected)

https://www.healthnutnews.com/recap-on-my-unintended-series-the-holistic-doctor-deaths/
/2015/05/24/a-probability-analysis-of-the-mysterious-deaths-of-125-scientists-and-75-bankers/
http://www.snopes.com/holistic-doctor-death-conspiracy/
http://reason.com/blog/2015/09/13/the-feds-murdering-alternative-doctors

 
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Posted by on July 17, 2017 in Media, Uncategorized

 

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Probability Analysis of Unlikely Historical Events

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Richard Charnin
7/12/2017

77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud piggs peak casino no deposit bonus 2018 irish luck doubleu casino promo codes android slots with real money payouts casino pier surf forecast
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts $1 deposit mobile casino slot machines casino in san jose
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Gas garena online spin slots to win us online casino mastercard a probability analysis of  these events in the mainstream media?

Conspiracy Theories and Mathematical probabilities
/2012/05/26/conspiracy-theories-and-mathematical-probabilities/

Grandmaster casino jackpotcity mobile casino witnesses from 1963-1978.
/2013/05/15/jfk-witness-deaths-calculating-the-probabilities/

Seth Rich and 8 other DNC-related suspicious deaths
/2017/05/20/quick-mortality-probability-calculator/

Election Fraud: True Vote vs. Recorded
/2012/06/25/election-fraud-an-introduction-to-exit-poll-probability-analysis/

Suspicious Deaths of 75 Bankers and 125 Scientists bingo hall online casino gambling addiction uk 2018 nokia dual sim mobile below 20000 argosy riverboat casino cincinnati ohio mobile rates comparison ireland home roulette game bet online mobile casino
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/2015/05/24/a-probability-analysis-of-the-mysterious-deaths-of-125-scientists-and-75-bankers/
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1VdwJE_g5z3St3h2NbbXpau0DH7-g1y_98IKXRrt_9ao/edit#gid=496654748

Suspicious Deaths of 16 Microbiologists in 4 months
http://www.rigorousintuition.ca/board2/viewtopic.php?f=18&t=34755#p462796
http://911research.wtc7.net/post911/attacks/killings.html

10 Terrorist Attacks and Concurrent Drills
/2015/12/13/14991/

Cancer Deaths of 7 Latin American Leaders
/2013/03/14/latin-american-leaders-and-cancer-a-probability-analysis/

Mystery Deaths for various group size assumptions https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1VdwJE_g5z3St3h2NbbXpau0DH7-g1y_98IKXRrt_9ao/edit#gid=252025167

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Posted by on July 14, 2017 in JFK, Uncategorized

 

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Richard Charnin's Blog

JFK Conspiracy and Systemic Election Fraud Analysis