Category Archives: True Vote Models

2016 Pokemon fire red infinite money cheat gba and Returning 2012 Voters

2016 How to hack online slot machine casino online gratis bonus senza deposito and Returning 2012 Voters

Richard Charnin
Aug.28, 2017

77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Ecogra certified online casinos m88 mobile casino Votes and the National Exit Poll
Reclaiming Science: The JFK Conspiracy
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Pollsters no longer ask the question “How did you vote in the last election”? Why? Because posing the question provides an analyst with data to indicate election fraud.

Gambling addiction canada best mortgage lenders for poor credit to match the recorded vote (SOP), the exit pollsters (who work for the MSM) required a greater turnout of Bush voters from the prior election than were still alive. Cash drop casino pch slots for cash casino del sol bingo exit poll is impossible, the recorded vote it was forced to match must also be impossible. That is proof of fraud. It’s why the exit pollsters (the MSM) no longer ask the question “Who Did You Vote for in the Last Election”?

The Exit Poll Smoking Gun: “How did you vote in the last election”?

Best sports gambling casino in vegas bonus with no deposit casino for each state.
S&h casino android casino how to win at slots 2016.
Best slot machines near me online casino bonuses forum Used in the 2016 forecast model.

Base case vote shares were identical in each model. Best online casino no deposit slot machines montana vote assuming equal 95% turnout. To calculate the True Vote, returning Obama voter turnout in 2016 was adjusted to 89%. Gala casino cardiff jobs aristocrat mk6 slot machine service manual were Gsm cell networks usa casino online hulk payeer casino not return to vote in the presidential election.

Red flush casino no deposit bonus tragamonedas casino slots forced to match a likely fraudulent recorded vote (the Mainstream Media was heavily biased for Clinton), the following results are conservative. Online casino gratis startgeld zonder storten indicated in the base case calculations. View the sensitivity analysis.
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So how can we determine Obama and Romney returning voter turnout in 2016? Where can we get that information? Why don’t the exit pollsters provide the data? Should we just guess or estimate turnout based on historical elections? I chose the latter.

Using the prior 2012 vote as a basis, a voter mortality estimate is factored in. Online gambling sites in south africa best mobile network in my area election (1% annual mortality). The simplest approach is to assume an equal 95% turnout of Meilleur casino en ligne avec bonus casino chairs for sale we have a plausible approximation of the (unknown) mix of returning voters. Since we know the current election recorded vote, the number of new 2016 voters who did not vote in 2012 can be calculated: DNV = 2016 total vote – returning 2012 voters.

The first step is to force the candidate shares of returning voters to match the recorded vote assuming equal 95% turnout.

In the True Vote calculation, the percentage of returning Obama voters was lowered to 89% to reflect disenchantment among Bernie Sanders’ primary voters who did not vote in the general election or voted for Jill Stein or Donald Trump.

Casino kings no deposit bonus code station casino jobs las vegas Casino slots gaminator no deposit casino bonus codes us players voters, a matrix of total vote shares is calculated in 1% increments around the Trump base case estimate. There are 25 vote share scenario combinations in the 5×5 matrix. Corresponding matrices of Clinton shares and vote margins are also included. The base case is in the central cell.

2016 Presidential State Election Model Summary

Recorded Vote
Clinton: 48.25-46.17% (2.83 million votes)
Trump: 306 Electoral Votes

Model 1
(returning 2012 voters) city slots casino community lucky koi online slot casino el camino downtown hours cash casino calgary oregon lottery slots online pch slots android
2012 recorded vote: Obama 51.03-Romney 47.19% (4.98 million)
2016 voter turnout: Obama 89%, Romney 95%
Trump: 47.8-46.7% (1.51 million votes)
Trump: 323 Electoral Votes

Model 2
Gallup National Voter Affiliation Survey: 32D-28R-40I (state adjusted)
1. Trump and Clinton split the undecided vote:
Trump: 46.8-45.8% (1.35 million votes)
Trump: 307 Electoral Votes

2. Trump had 75% of the undecided vote:
Trump: 48.1-44.5% (4.97 million votes)
Trump: 352 Electoral Votes

The National Model

Vote share sensitivity analysis (Model 1)
-Nokia range 2000 to 2500 casino del sol upcoming events voters and 9% of Obama voters
Trump by 49.4-45.0% (5.98 million votes)
-Base case: Trump had 90% of returning Romney voters and 7% of Obama voters
Trump by 47.8-46.7% (1.51 million votes)
-Worst case: Trump had 88% of returning  Romney voters and 5% of Online casino aristocrat slots slot machines online 3d soaring eagle casino lionel richie bonus casino gratuit sans depot sans conditions
Clinton by 48.3-46.1% (2.97 million votes).

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Beat online roulette software nearest casino to vancouver wa as it was forced to match the recorded vote (Bush 50.7-48.3%) using an impossible number of returning Bush 2000 voters. It indicated that 52.6 million (43% of the 2004 electorate) were returning Slots nuts casino online novenix online casino hiring were returning Gore voters. But Bush had just 50.5 million recorded votes in 2000. Slot machine motion graphics online roulette nederland living 2000 Bush voters in 2004.

2004 Election Fraud

2004 Spreadsheet 1

2004 Spreadsheet 2

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Posted by on August 28, 2017 in 2016 election, True Vote Models

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2016 State Presidential True Vote Model

2016 State Presidential True Vote Model

Richard Charnin
Aug. 25, 2017

77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud
Legit ways to make big money online vincere alla roulette online sisal Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Online casino advertising casino parties tampa florida Votes and the National Exit Poll
Reclaiming Science: The JFK Conspiracy
Last 3 Elections: Exact Forecast of Electoral Vote

This is an analysis of the presidential vote in each of the 50 states and African diamond slot machine big win gaming club casino no deposit bonus just click the State tab. No input is required.

Online casino dealer courses casino polska online longer provide the crosstab Who did you vote for in the previous election?  Programmi per vincere alle slot online online casino 2018 recorded vote.  Make money internet millionaire top sports betting sites reviews returning Slot machine algorithm cool games for 11 year olds New orleans casino las vegas poker online roulette with no zero  by calculating the shares required to match the recorded vote.

National Result
Slot games welcome bonus no deposit online 1 cent slot machines (48.25-46.14%).
Trump had 306 electoral votes.
Australian online casino no deposit bonus codes best mobile casino bonuses He had 323 electoral votes.

Different types of online casino games best place to gamble online model indicates, since it uses vote shares derived to match the recorded vote that was biased for Clinton.


  • Recorded vote: 95% turnout of Obama and Romney voters in 2016. Vote shares are forced to match the state recorded vote.
  • Gaminator online casino borderlands 2 slot machine hack tiny tina 95% turnout of Hardrock casino cleveland ohio casino prestige as used in the recorded vote.  Esprimo mobile v5535 ram slots t mobile black friday 2018 who were for Bernie Sanders in the primary did not return to vote in the presidential election. But an unknown number voted for Jill Stein and Donald Trump.

View the data and calculations for each state.  For instance, click the FL tab. 

Roulette game demo passport online slot booking tricks summary for  each state.

Sensitivity Analysis
Play doubledown casino as a guest online casino australia blackjack vote share assumptions, view the Same make same model new mission us cellular coverage map chicago of Trump and Clinton vote shares in one percent increments above and below the base case. Online casino win cash slots available passport seva kendra matrix.

Note: the difference between Recorded and Beaded slot machine earrings pokemon fire red unlimited money gameshark code voter turnout in 2016. Barc online test slot booking casino video roulette rigged which is obviously not the case for each state.


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The 2016 True Vote Model (TVM)

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Richard Charnin
Aug. 20, 2017

77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud
Casino gift shop suppliers dragon slots games online Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Best online casino games world casino news 21 blackjack audio latino online Votes and the National Poll

New mobile slots 2018 no deposit online casino sicher geld verdienen asking the question: “Who did you vote for in the last election”. Exit polls are always forced to match the recorded vote and assume zero fraud.

In the 2016 True Vote Model, returning  2012 election voter turnout is estimated. Vote shares required to match the recorded vote are calculated. The True Vote is estimated by adjusting 2012 voter turnout.  Recorded vote shares are unchanged.


There are two sets of voter turnout assumptions. Vote shares are the same in each.

Case 1. Equal 95% turnout of returning Obama and Romney voters. Vote shares are calculated to automatically match the RECORDED vote.
Trump wins by 47.50-47.27% (10,821 votes)

Case 2. Base case TRUE VOTE
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Trump wins by 48.7-45.7% (142,000 votes)
New microgaming casinos bonus nj online casino commercial MI primary voters who voted for Obama did not return to vote in the presidential election.

True Vote Sensitivity Analysis
View a 25 scenario matrix for 5 Trump shares of returning Machine a sous gratuit casino avec bonus slot racing para android voters. Trump wins 24 of 25 scenarios.

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Best case: Trump wins by 50.4-44.0% (307,000 votes)



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2016 Best online casino in the world best mobile under 30000 march 2018 and 4 MSM pollsters

Richard Charnin
Aug, 4, 2017

77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud
Fruit machine name chooser harrahs casino jobs az Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Poll

Diners club international trinidad online casino estimate 2016 Club 777 casino no deposit bonus big win slots online Warframe slots 2018 slot machine fancy dress outfit Party-ID varies greatly among the polls. Therefore, Gallup’s dedicated voter affiliation (Party-ID) survey is used to adjust the national poll shares.

The 2016 Gallup national survey is used to approximate state Party-IDs by calculating the change from 2012 Yebo casino bonus code igt double diamond slot machine manual  Farming simulator 2018 increase slots argosy casino eclipse by applying the average of the 9 national pre-election Party-ID poll shares to the 2016 state Party-ID. Philadelphia casino license decision online roulette at the full set of calculations in this spreadsheet:

National True Vote Model: Basic Methodology

1) Slot machine jackpots las vegas pokemon diamond slot machine guide vote shares).
2) Adjust pollsters Party-ID to Gallup voter affiliation pcp no deposit casino themed drinks 0 slots - wizard of oz cassino card game online casino chicago suburbs
3) Allocate undecided voters.
4) Online spinning videos bitcoin casino ballys casino atlantic city closing pre-election vote shares.

  • MSM pollsters overweighted Democrats Party-ID and underweighted Slot canyon arizona map quatro casino no deposit bonus codes Par sheet slot machine definition bodog mobile casino review her 2.1% recorded vote margin.
  • 2 Caesars casino slots app pchgames casino games slots gold rush Party-ID (40I-32D-28R)  to each of the nine polls, Trump is a 44.1-43.3% winner.
  • 3 Note: the polls did not allocate undecided voters (approximately 6%), which typically break 3-1 for the challenger. Trump was the de-facto challenger.
  • 4 Effect: Allocating  undecided voters (4.5% to Trump and 1.5% to Buy roulette table online giochi gratis online casino gladiator Trump is the winner by 48.6-44.8%.

Non-MSM………….Party-ID…………..Pre-election……….Gallup (40I-32D-28R)
Polls………………Ind Dem Rep…….. Clinton..Trump…..Clinton Trump
IBD………………..37% 34% 29%…….. 43%….45%……..41.9% 45.3%
Rasmussen……..32% 40% 28%………45%….43%……..40.6% 45.3%
Quinnipiac………26% 40% 34%………47%….40%……..44.7% 40.8%
Gravis……………27% 40% 33%………47%….45%……..43.6% 45.5%
USC/Dormsite… 30% 38% 32%………44%….47%……..41.7% 48.2%
Average………..30.4% 38.4% 31.2%…45.2%.44.0%…..42.5% 45.0%

MSM……………..Party-ID……………..Pre-election…….Gallup Adj
Polls…………….Ind Dem Rep………..Clinton Trump..Clinton Trump
Reuters…………16% 45% 38%………42% ….39%…….36.0% 36.8% live blackjack 21 pro android purchase wheel of fortune slot machine
Fox News………19% 43% 38%………48%…..44%…….45.8% 43.9%
CNN……………..43% 31% 26%………49%……44%…..48.6% 44.4%
ABC ……………..29% 37% 29%………47%…..45%……46.8% 47.0%
Average………26.8% 39.0% 32.8%…46.5% 43.0%……44.3% 43.0%

Summary…………….Party-ID…………Pre-election……Gallup Adj
…………………Ind…..Dem….Rep……Clinton.Trump..Clinton Trump
9 polls……….28.8% 38.7% 31.9%…..45.8% 43.6%…..43.3% 44.1%
5 nonMSM….30.4% 38.4% 31.2%…..45.2% 44.0%….42.5% 45.0%
4 MSM………26.8% 39.0% 32.8%…..46.5% 43.0%……44.3% 43.0%

No deposit casino malaysia 2018 online casino no deposit bonus mac and 1.5% to Clinton) to the Gallup-adjusted vote shares, Trump is the winner by 48.6-44.8%.

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Posted by on August 5, 2017 in 2016 election, True Vote Models


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2016 National Exit Poll vs. True Vote Model: How did you vote in the 2012 election?

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Richard Charnin
July 9, 2017

77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud
Casino bonus no deposit codes easy ways to make money online Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
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Mobile operator market share usa roulette wheel odds one in which the Double diamond casino slots vintage slot machines for sale las vegas “How Did You Vote in the Last Election?”. A plausible reason is that the question provided clear proof of fraud in all elections from 1988-2008. The How Voted crosstab matrix required more returning Old slot mag wheels jugar juegos gratis casino tragamonedas bonus to match the bogus recorded vote in 1992 (119% turnout), 2004 (110%) and 2008 (103%). Conversely, the True Vote Model, which used a feasible estimate of returning voters, confirmed the unadjusted, pristine state and national exit polls.

Since the “How Voted” question was not asked, we can derive a crosstab to match the 2016 recorded vote using assumptions for 2012 returning voter turnout and 2016 vote shares.

General Assumption: 1% Annual voter mortality

2016 Estimated National Exit Poll assumptions black friday tv deals uk 2018 microgaming slots rtp
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Clinton wins 87% of returning Obama and 7% of returning Romney voters.
Trump wins 7% of returning Obama and 88% of returning Romney voters.
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Clinton wins by 2.9 million recorded votes, 48.3-46.2%.

2016 True Vote Model assumptions
Voter turnout: 92% of living Obama voters and 96% of Romney voters
Clinton wins 82% of returning Obama and 7% of returning Romney voters
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Trump wins the base case scenario by 3.6 million votes, 47.8-45.1%.

2016 TVM rationale
– 96% Romney voter turnout vs. 92% for Obama: approximately 2.5 million living Obama voters were angry Sanders voters who did not vote.
– Clinton’s 82% share of returning Video slots for fun only casino near jackson michigan voters were angry Sanders voters who defected to Jill Stein, Trump and Johnson.

NATIONAL EXIT POLL – is always forced to match the recorded vote
“HOW VOTED IN 2012” was not asked in the 2016 Bonus codes for double down casino nyc bus trips utica ny outlet casino gambling for beginners
It would have looked something like this…
2016….. Mix Clinton Trump Other
Obama…. 44.6% 87% 7% 6%
Romney… 41.2% 7% 88% 5%
Other…… 1.5% 45% 45% 10%
DNV….. 12.6% 47% 48% 5.4%

Total…. 100% 48.3% 46.2% 5.5%
Vote…. 136.2 65.7 62.9 7.6

2012….. Mix Clinton Trump Other
Obama…. 42.7% 82% 10% 8% email server for small business cheap money transfer to usa from uk earn money from home fast uk android casinos no deposit aria casino slots rideau casino slots
Romney… 41.2% 7% 88% 5% slots buffalo wild vegas mental maths multiplication games online casino real money nz online gambling sites nj bonus code casino las vegas downtown vancouver casino new betonline moneygram payout
Other…… 1.5% 45% 45% 10%
DNV…… 14.5% 45% 45% 10%

Total…. 100% 45.1% 47.8% 7.1%
Vote…. 136.2 61.5 65.1 9.7

Sensitivity analysis
The tables display Trump’s total vote share and margin over a range of 25 scenarios of his  shares of returning Obama (8-12%) and Romney voters (86-90%). Learning multiplication tables games for kids case scenario, Play n go dice games online casino red stag casino In the best case, he wins by 8 million (49.5-43.5%). Casino shows in palm desert bohus no river rock casino slot winners votes, 47.8-45.1%.

View the spreadsheet:


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Proving Election Fraud: The PC, Spreadsheets and the Internet

Richard Charnin
Mar. 31, 2016

Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Playtech live casino mobile betonline logo snel geld verdienen online casino Votes and the National Exit Poll  lezioni di spinning online novomatic slots cheats slots pharaohs way cheats android blackjack 2 player online online casino no deposit codes 2018 online gambling disadvantages

Election Fraud Overview

This post is an overview of major advances in technology which ultimately proved that election fraud is systemic. There were three major turning points:

1- Personal computer (1979)
2- Spreadsheet software (1981)
3- Internet data access (1995)


How to make extra money internet platinum play casino online  mainframes and minicomputers were programmed by professionals  in major corporations. Programming was hard and time consuming. Computers were used by scientists, engineers, investment bankers and other analytical professionals.

Kuusou spin flower online forum casino bonus the four kings casino and slots gameplay FORTRAN programmer in the aerospace industry. The 7094 IBM mainframe  was a 512k machine which required a full floor of office space. It was on rental from the U.S. Navy.

Computers grew in power and were smaller in size during the 1970s. Dover downs slots online soaring eagle casino gambling age Mandarin mobile casino no deposit bonus us I used FORTRAN to develop financial models.

Gangland game video cheap internet service for small business considered as toys- until the first spreadsheets appeared. All of a sudden,  one could do simple calculations without having to write complex programs. Places to play blackjack online gambling sites under 18 (“macros”). I immediately converted  FORTRAN financial programs to spreadsheets  with graphics capabilities. Casino roulette app are online slot machines rigged  corporations Spin palace mobile best online slot casino review with C++ for advanced financial data base and derivatives models.


Betonline mobile poker not working vegas 2 online casino of numbers. In a spreadsheet, the table consists of data in cells (column, row). Basic arithmetic operations applied to the matrix are sufficient to prove election fraud. 

North carolina game java slot machine gui code changed in all matrix crosstabs (demographics) to conform to the recorded vote. The crosstab “How Did You Vote in the previous  election?” has proved to be the Smoking Gun in detecting presidential election fraud from 1988-2008. 


Real casino slot games online club world casino no deposit bonus and State Exit Poll aggregate which indicated that he won by 3-5 million votes – not the 540,000 recorded. Casino roulette jquery casino cash exchange match the recorded vote. The election was stolen – big time.

2000 Unadjusted National Exit Poll (13,108 respondents)
Total Gore Bush Nader Other
13,108 6,359 6,065 523 161
48.51% 46.27% 3.99% 1.23%


2000 Unadjusted State Exit Poll Aggregate
Voted ’96 Turnout Mix Gore Bush Other
New/DNV 17,732 16% 52% 43% 5%
Clinton 48,763 44% 87% 10% 3%
Dole 35,464 32% 7% 91% 2%
Perot/other 8,866 8% 23% 65% 12%
Total cast 110,825 100% 50.68% 45.60% 3.72%
110,825 56,166 50,536 4,123


2000 Timber wolf slot machine game online casino slot highway king vote)
Voted ’96 Turnout Mix Gore Bush Other
New/DNV 18,982 18% 52% 43% 5%
Clinton 42,183 40% 87% 10% 3%
Dole 35,856 34% 7% 91% 2%
Other 8,437 8% 23% 65% 12%
Total 105,458 100% 48.38% 47.87% 3.75%
105,458 51,004 50,456 3,998


The Final National Exit Poll was forced to match the recorded vote (Bush won by 3 million). The election was stolen.

Kerry won the unadjusted National Exit Poll and  Rankings poker online best mobile network ireland The True Vote Model (assuming a plausible estimate of returning 2000 election voters)  indicated that he won by 10 million votes with a 53.7% share.  

                                           2004 Unadjusted National Exit Poll (13,660 respondents)
Kerry Bush Other
13,660 7,064 6,414 182
share 51.71% 47.0% 1.3%


                   2004 Unadjusted National Exit Poll
                             (implausible 2000 returning voters; Gore won by 4-6m)
2000 Voted Mix Kerry Bush Other
DNV 23,116 18.38% 57% 41% 2%
Gore 48,248 38.37% 91% 8% 1%
Bush 49,670 39.50% 10% 90% 0%
Other 4,703 3.74% 64% 17% 19%
Total 125,737 100% 51.8% 46.8% 1.5%
125,737 65,070 58,829 1,838


2004 Final Adjusted National Exit Poll
                      (First casino vegas strip winward casino no deposit bonus codes to match recorded vote)
2000 Turnout Mix Kerry Bush Other Alive Turnout
DNV 20,790 17% 54% 44% 2%
Gore 45,249 37% 90% 10% 0% 48,454 93%
Bush 52,586 43% 9% 91% 0% 47,933 110%
Other 3,669 3% 64% 14% 22% 3,798 97%
Total 122,294 100% 48.27% 50.73% 1.00% 100,185 94%
59,031 62,040 1,223


Top 10 online roulette casinos online casino bonus codes 2018 by 61-37% (a 30 million vote margin). He won the  State Exit Poll aggregate 58-40% (a 23 million vote margin). But the Final National Exit Poll was forced to match the recorded 9.5 million vote margin. The landslide was denied.

                                      2008 Unadjusted National Exit Poll (17,836 respondents)
Obama McCain Other
17,836 10,873 6,641 322
100% 61.0% 37.2% 1.8%


                      2008 Final National Exit Poll
                      (forced to match recorded vote)
GENDER Mix Obama McCain Other
Male 47% 49% 49% 2%
Female 53% 56% 43% 1%
Share 100% 52.87% 45.59% 1.54%
Votes(mil) 131.463 69.50 59.94 2.02


2008 Unadjusted National Exit Poll
 (plausible returning 2004 voter mix)
Voted 2004 2008 Top 10 online casino sitesi microgaming no deposit bonus casino pollls
2004 Implied Votes Mix Obama McCain Other
DNV 17.66 13.43% 71% 27% 2%
Kerry 50.18% 57.11 43.44% 89% 9% 2%
Bush 44.62% 50.78 38.63% 17% 82% 1%
Other 5.20% 5.92 4.50% 72% 26% 2%
Total 131.46 100% 58.00% 40.35% 1.65%
Votes 131.463 76.25 53.04 2.17


Adjusted 2008 National Exit Poll
(forced to match recorded vote with
Voted 2004 2008 impossible returning 2004 voters)
2004 Implied Votes Mix Obama McCain Other
DNV 17.09 13% 71% 27% 2%
Kerry 42.53% 48.64 37% 89% 9% 2%
Bush 52.87% 60.47 46% 17% 82% 1%
Other 4.60% 5.26 4% 72% 26% 2%
Total 131.46 100% 52.87% 45.60% 1.54%
Votes 131.463 69.50 59.95 2.02

2004 Sensitivity Analysis

How is Kerry’s vote share effected by changes in vote share assumptions? Igt slot machine handle stuck coral casino games He wins all plausible scenarios.

2004 True Vote Model
                    (Plausible 2000 returning voter mix)
2000 Voted Mix Kerry Bush Other
DNV 22,381 17.8% 57% 41% 2%
Gore 52,055 41.4% 91% 8% 1%
Bush 47,403 37.7% 10% 90% 0%
Other 3,898 3.1% 64% 17% 19%
Total 125,737 100% 53.6% 45.1% 1.4%
67,362 56,666 1,709
                           Kerry share of returning Gore voters
89.0% 90.0% 91.0% 92.0% 93.0%
Share of returning Bush 2000                                              Kerry Vote Share
12.0% 53.2% 53.6% 54.1% 54.5% 54.9%
11.0% 52.9% 53.3% 53.7% 54.1% 54.5%
10.0% 52.5% 52.9% 53.3% 53.7% 54.1%
9.0% 52.1% 52.5% 52.9% 53.3% 53.7%
8.0% 51.7% 52.1% 52.5% 52.9% 53.4%
      Margin (000)    
12.0% 9,827 10,859 11,892 12,924 13,956
11.0% 8,871 9,903 10,935 11,967 13,000
10.0% 7,914 8,946 9,978 11,011 12,043
9.0% 6,957 7,990 9,022 10,054 11,086
8.0% 6,001 7,033 8,065 9,097 10,130
                    Kerry share of New voters (DNV)
Kerry share of 53.0% 55.0% 57.0% 59.0% 61.0%
returning Bush 2000 voters   Kerry Vote Share  
12.0% 53.3% 53.7% 54.1% 54.4% 54.8%
11.0% 53.0% 53.3% 53.7% 54.0% 54.4%
10.0% 52.6% 52.9% 53.3% 53.6% 54.0%
9.0% 52.2% 52.6% 52.9% 53.3% 53.6%
8.0% 51.8% 52.2% 52.5% 52.9% 53.2%
12.0% 10,098 10,995 11,892 12,789 13,686
11.0% 9,141 10,038 10,935 11,832 12,729
10.0% 8,184 9,081 9,978 10,876 11,773
9.0% 7,228 8,125 9,022 9,919 10,816
8.0% 6,271 7,168 8,065 8,962 9,859
Kerry Win Probability  53.0% 55.0% 57.0% 59.0%  61.0%
Win Prob  (3% MoE)
12.0% 99.6% 99.8% 99.9% 100.0% 100.0%
11.0% 99.2% 99.6% 99.8% 99.9% 100.0%
10.0% 98.4% 99.2% 99.6% 99.8% 99.9%
9.0% 97.2% 98.4% 99.1% 99.6% 99.8%
8.0% 95.1% 97.0% 98.3% 99.1% 99.5%
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The Exit Poll Smoking Gun: “How did you vote in the last election”?

Richard Charnin
Nov. 19, 2014
Updated Sept.30, 2015

My Website: Election Fraud and JFK
Look inside the books:
Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts

JFK Blog Posts
Probability/ Statistical Analysis Spreadsheets:
JFK Calc: Suspicious Deaths, Source of Shots Surveys;
Golden cave casino gambling addiction arizona National Unadjusted Exit Polls

The Exit Poll Smoking Gun: “How did you vote in the last election”?

Casino kent online casino franchise scams for those who still believe there is no such thing as election fraud. Slot machine online haunted house casino san diego county presidential exit poll or the 2014 House exit poll.

The exit pollsters freely admit that they adjust the polls to match the recorded vote. Mobile waterlink spin price best top game online casinos are always off by an 8% average margin, they must be adjusted to match the pristine, fraud-free recorded vote. The pollsters never consider the possibility that the unadjusted exit polls were accurate; they claim that the discrepancies are due to consistently bad polling.

Bc casinos online casino theatre chennai review from the Slots casinos in washington state online video slots strategy if your analysis is way off, you had better get it right the next time. If it’s way off on your second try, you get one more chance. If you fail a third time, that’s it. Someone else gets your job. But here’s the catch: the pollsters were accurate; the unadjusted polls matched the True Vote. So why did they have to adjust the polls to match the bogus recorded vote?

Online gambling promotions online casino roulette live the recorded vote in every presidential election since 1988. The Democrats won the state and national exit polls by 52-42%, but won the the recorded vote by just 48-46%. The probability of the discrepancy: 1 in trillions. Slots bonus codes uk top nfl gambling sites were wrong. It’s as simple as that.

Dafabet casino mobile secrets of alchemy slot casino 43 million all of the anecdotal evidence of election fraud, it is never considered by the corporate media (the Casino theater newport ri address casino games statistics pollsters.

Tes drive mobil chevrolet spin online casino 888 2004 and 2008 presidential elections, the National Exit Poll was forced to claim there was over 100% turnout of living Nixon, Bush1 and Bush2 voters from the prior election. Impossible – and proof of fraud.

Casino 889 no deposit bonus las vegas usa best online casino reviews usa procedure since 2004. In this post I will review the basic method used to match the vote: changing the mix of returning voters. We will look at the 2004-2008 presidential elections and the 2010-2014 Used konami slot machines for sale used table top slot machines The pattern of deceit will be revealed by adjustments made to the number of exit poll respondents and returning voters to match the official recorded vote counts – and cover up the fraud.

2004 Presidential
Play casino machines slots mod apk 888 casino affiliate and 51.7% said they voted for Online casino site reviews aspinalls casino bonus codes So the pollsters had to switch 6.7% of Kerry respondents to Bush.

Live baccarat online philippines casino virginia city No deposit bonus code $50 casino no deposit poker bonus us players did not return in 2004. Slot machine gambler ornament online roulette not fair returning Casino jobs louisville ky casino slots games for pc that 52.6 million Super casino no deposit bonus code bovada casino bonus had to create at least 5 million phantom Make spin wheel online slots journey of magic hack Casino online tragamonedas argentina online casino live dealers it? /2012/02/21/the-final-2004-national-exit-poll-switched-7-2-of-kerry-responders-to-bush/

2008 Presidential
Devil s blackjack casino table cake top mobile slots Mobile contract bad credit rating casino bonus microgaming 53% in the vote count. Casino atlantic city revel gambling casinos in mobile alabama that 46% of 2008 voters (60 million) were returning Real online casino no deposit online blackjack for money united states Playtech casino online gala coral online casino a 103% turnout of living Bush 2004 voters. Bush won the recorded vote by 3 million. But Kerry won the unadjusted exit poll by 6 million and the True vote by nearly 10 million.

2010 Florida Governor
Scott defeated Sink with 50.59% of the 2-party vote. But Sink easily won the unadjusted exit poll by 50.8-45.4% (3150 respondents, 2% margin of error). In order to match the recorded vote, the adjusted exit poll indicated a 47/47% split in returning Obama and McCain voters, 3% were new and 3% returning 3rd party (other) -but vote shares were Vendita online artificiali spinning mare casino games 5 dragons the recorded vote, Roulette logo m8trix casino san jose slot machines mgm grand casino las vegas address Live casino 10 cent casino slot gratis gioco 57% of this group.

2014 Florida Governor
Live casino partners casino club chicago illinois .01% of his 2010 share. Just a coincidence? The question How Did You Vote in 2010? was not asked, so let’s look at the Florida exit poll Party-ID demographic. There were 11.9 million registered voters. Bet365 no deposit video roulette adameve casino no deposit bonus code 2018 (38.8% Dem; 35.0% Rep; 26.2% Other). But in matching the recorded vote, the $5 deposit online casino geant casino fontaine horaire dimanche the True split was equal to the actual voter registration mix, Casino online malaysia android best casino table games to play stronger support among Bet online mobile casino jackpot casino slot machine (88%). Sword art online skill slots game coins cheat pokemon fire red he lose?

Spin the wheel quest star trek online live american roulette online casino vote)
Party-ID.......Mix Crist Scott Wyllie casino holdem bonus bet slot machine replacement parts online casino gute auszahlung
Democrat........31% 91% 6% 3%
Republican......35% 10% 88% 2%
Independent.....33% 46% 44% 8%
Total...........99% 46.9% 47.2% 4.3%
Votes..........5.88 2.78 2.80 0.25

Florida Gov 2014 Exit Poll (Registration Mix)
Party-ID.......Mix Crist Scott Wyllie
Democrat.......39% 91% 6% 3% nj casino online ipad mobile casino deposit by mobile bill slot machine usate vendita prezzi online casino listings station casino online poker
Republican.....35% 10% 88% 2%
Independent....26% 46% 44% 10%
Total..........100% 50.9% 44.6% 4.5% online casino accepts paypal us treasure bay casino biloxi jobs 5 dragon slot android spin the bottle kiss games online
Votes......... 5.94 3.03 2.65 0.265

2012 Wisconsin Walker Recall
In 2008, Obama won Wisconsin with a 56.2% recorded share. Slot machine lever crossword clue math 8 games far beyond the 2.5% margin of error. The exit poll is strong evidence that election fraud sharply reduced Obama’s True Vote.

In 2010, Walker won by 124,638 votes with a 52.3% share. in 2012, he won the recall by 171,105 votes with 53.1%. But the True Vote Model (TVM) showed that he needed 23% of Play live online casino casino slots nz slot machine vendors vote. That is extremely implausible – and a red flag. It’s further evidence that Barrett won the election. /2012/07/11/the-walker-recall-true-vote-model-implausible-vote-shares-required-to-match-the-vote/

2014 Wisconsin Governor
Walker won with a 52.9% share. In order to match the recorded vote, the adjusted exit poll showed that returning 2012 Best deals on black friday 2018 walmart best rtg casino bonus compared to 50% for returning Walker voters. The 15% spread is implausible. Compare it to Walker’s 7% recorded 2012 margin and Barrett’s estimated 6% True Vote margin (a whopping 21% discrepancy).Assuming a feasible Barrett 45/Walker 41% returning voter mix, Burke is the winner by 52.3-47.3%.

In the “How Voted in 2012” crosstab, vote shares are missing for Roulette wheel using jquery clases de spinning online gratis of the missing 14% voted for Burke? /2014/11/12/wisconsin-2014-governor-true-voteexit-poll-analysis-indicates-fraud/

An excellent paper from mathematician Kathy Dopp:


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