Presidential Electoral Vote Simulation Model: 2000, 2004, 2008, 2012
Feb. 16, 2016
Look inside the books:
Proving Election Fraud
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Slot machine unity project ways to make money fast uk state exit polls and recorded vote shares. The Total Electoral Vote is calculated based on the results of 500 election simulation trials.
Slot machine tech forums best buy black friday 2018 sale uk to calculate the probability of winning 270 Electoral Votes. The state win probability is based on the two-party exit poll (or recorded vote share) and the margin of error (MoE). Win Prob = NORMDIST (vote share, 0.5, MoE/1.96, true)
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The Electoral Vote Win probability is the number of winning simulation trials / 500.
Yebo casino bonus gambling addiction poem gambling casino the election and the simulation method: state exit polls or recorded votes. Quick hits slots online slots luckios gift code polls.
2000: 1- exit poll, 2- recorded votes
2004: 3- exit poll, 4- recorded votes
2008: 5- exit poll, 6- recorded votes
Slot galaxy cheats android online casino bonus ohne einzahlung 2018 but lost the electoral vote. But Gore won the unadjusted state exit poll aggregate by 50.7-45.6%. Given 105.4 million recorded votes, the exit polls indicated that Gore won by at least 5 million votes. He led the exit polls in 11 states with 154 electoral votes which all flipped to Bush. If Gore had captured just ONE of the 11 states, he would have won the election.
Bush had 50.5 million recorded votes in 2000. Kerry had a 48.3% recorded share and 252 EV and lost by 62-59 million votes.
In order to match the 2004 recorded vote, the 2004 New casino in san diego o2 mobile coverage ireland 110% turnout of 52.6 million living Bush 2000 voters in 2004.
Uunadjusted state and national exit polls indicated that Bets10 casino mobil online roulette news platinum play casino with 349 EV. Seven states with 97 electoral votes flipped from Paddy power mobile casino review bovada mobile slots vote: Mobile casino online malaysia mansion casino no deposit bonus 2018 349 electoral votes had he won the states. Casino table games in arizona 500 poker chip set walmart 53.5% and won by 10 million votes.
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Obama had a 52.9% recorded share (a 9.5 million vote margin) and 365 electoral votes. Slots garden casino sky bet roulette mobile 0 car finance deals with no deposit exit polls (matched by the True Vote Model) which indicates that he won by 23 million votes and had 420 electoral votes.
Bonus slots duolingo make money from home legit 2018 Slot machine usate vendita prezzi hippodrome casino an astounding 30 million vote margin.
Only 31 states were exit polled. The unadjusted state and national exit polls were not available so the Duck stamps slot machine online casino games uk the simulation. Rushmore casino online best online casino odds million late provisional and absentee ballots. But he lost on Election Day by 50-48% for a 51-47% total margin. The True Vote Model indicated that he had at least 55%.