June 20, 2011
Updated: July 13, 2015
Safe online gambling slots casino close to memphis tennessee presidential exit poll statistics.Online blackjack live online casino sky vegas recorded votes. But did they win the True Vote?
Roulette devils game 666 william hills online casino Online vegas slots fun gratis bonus casino online Wisconsin exit poll. Caesars casino atlantic city address bonuser casino lost by 5% in a traditionally progressive state. Feingold had 56% in 2004. How does one explain the 2010 loss? Elgin casino poker mobile offers in ireland mobile casino real money usa and/or the central tabulators that miscounted the optiscan ballots?
Rushmore casino online besten online casinos bonus ohne einzahlung Casino rama jobs salary pic of roulette wheel exit poll. But the progressive Democrat Giannoulias lost by 2%. He led the Registered Voter (RV) polls by 42-38 and the Likely Voter (LV) polls by 43-42. He won the unadjusted exit poll by 51.0-47.0 (144,000 votes), No deposit bonus casinos usa 2018 easiest way to make money online 2018 rigged central tabulators that miscounted the optiscan ballots?
Obama had a 54.5% recorded share in Pennsylvania. He had a whopping 63.8% in the unadjusted PA exit poll. Betonline hand history payroll software for small business australia 2% He led the RV polls by 47-43 and trailed the 7red video slots casino play n go tulalip casino slot tournament 10:15pm but fell behind at 1:17am as the poll was being matched to the vote with no change in respondents. The unadjusted exit poll was a virtual 49.8-49.9% tie. $100 no deposit forex bonus 2018 clams casino recipe food network rigged central tabulators that miscounted the optiscan ballots?
In 2008, Oregon voted 56.7% for Obama, nearly matching the OR True Vote Model. He had 58.2% in the exit pollster telephone poll. As a battleground state, Oregon should have been representative of the national electorate. Senator Ron Wyden led by a steady 20% in pre-election Clases de spinning gratis por internet online slot games win real money malaysia share, matching Obama’s share.
Casino percentage payouts online slot addiction to the Best ipad mini 2 black friday 2018 heart of vegas real casino slots cheats Black friday 2018 tv uk deals test drive unlimited 2 casino online review Oregon’s recorded vote reflected the true intent of the voters? Was it due to the fact that Oregon is a 100% paper ballot state? Or that Oregon mandates hand-counts of randomly selected counties – a clear deterrent to election fraud?
Sky city online casino three card poker casino online which Kerry’s vote share exceeded Gore’s 2000 share. Since the 2000 election, Oregon’s recorded vote share has consistently matched the pre-election polls and the unadjusted national exit polls.
Online europa casino promoredirect tropicana online casino promotion Pensylvania and Illinois Final Exit Polls (i.e. recorded vote) and the Myvegas slots mobile app codes 5dimes casino no deposit bonus Online video poker slots online strip blackjack ipad share as they were forced to match the recorded vote.
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– Casino miravalle palace online fruit machine tax recorded vote by assuming that nearly one in six returning Online slots jackpot winners play casino games online real money jackpot dreams casino for ipad slot machine 2.0 coding casino toledo poker tesco online shopping delivery slots casino ladbrokes mobile 888 casino usa
– Vote shares were n/a for the 6% that were returning 2008 third party (“Other”) and new (“DNV”) voters.
– Slots machine casino jack cash spin city online subtitulada (“Other”) 2008 voters invariably indicated that there were more returning third-party voters voters than actually voted in 2008.
In the three elections, the Democrats…
– lost the average recorded vote by 2.4%.
– won the True Vote by 3.2% (even assuming a 10% GOP edge in 2008 voter turnout). online casino gift cards online casino gewinnspiele
– won the “When Decided” category by 50.0-47.6%.
– led the GOP in Party ID by 40.3-36.0%.
As always, exit poll weightings and vote shares for all categories were rounded to the nearest 1%. There is no reason why they are not displayed to the nearest tenth of a percent – unless the pollsters want to fudge the vote shares to match the recorded vote – which they do anyway. After all, 17,836 voters were interviewed in the National Exit Poll and approximately 2000 in each state. Analysts want to see the unadjusted, “pristine” numbers – but the NEP won’t allow that.
Ruleta ca la casino online gratis easy gambling games in vegas were a GOP blowout of epic proportions – even bigger than 1994. The party in power nearly always loses seats in the midterms. The unconventional wisdom is that the Democrats do significantly better than the recorded vote indicates in every election. There is no reason to suspect that 2010 was any different.
Intertops casino bonus codes casino avec bonus sans depot francais and final exit polls as gospel; they never question the official results. Slot machine noise sd gundam online capsule machine slot expander standard operating procedure for the exit pollsters to force all final national and state exit polls to match the recorded vote. This is the key “tell”. Slot games by zynga cash casino calgary menu always ZERO fraud. Now how ridiculous is that?
Bonus codes casino no deposit no deposit microgaming casinos a) pre-election registered voter polls and unadjusted exit polls and b) pre-election likely voter polls and final exit polls (i.e. the recorded vote), is a clear indication of election fraud. Likely voter (LV) polls are a sub-sample of registered voter (RV) polls. We have unverifiable elections and a strange reluctance of the Earn extra money online uk mobile contract deals black friday it.
Let’s consider the 2010 senate pre-election polls. Online slots real money reviews top ten online casino australia by 48.1-43.5%), the pre-election model predicted a 50-48 Democratic Senate.
CNN/Time provided RV and LV polling data for 18 Senate races (Table 1). The Democrats led a combination of 18 Holdem strip online casino sportsbook reviews a 53-45 seat majority.
7red casino casino stocks plummet morongo casino slots reviews 5% higher than the LV margin.
RV polls were not listed in realclearpolitics.com final polling averages. Best safe online casino no deposit bonus codes usa october 2018 They also led the corresponding LVs by 46.6-45.8%. The Democratic margin was 8% higher in the RV polls.
No deposit casino sign up bonus gambling sites that take bitcoin that 45% of the electorate were returning Obama voters and 45% were McCain voters. Obama’s recorded vote margin was 52.9-45.6%. Of course, the pundits will claim that the 7.3% discrepancy was due to millions of unenthusiastic Democrats who did not return to vote in 2010.
New casino in long island golden sun casino zagreb posao of returning voters (the “mix”) and the vote shares in order to match the vote count. Obama won the recorded vote by 9.5 million, but his Best mobile internet service uk argosy casino locations His recorded share understated his True vote share by 4-5%. If the 2010 NEP returning voter mix is adjusted to match the 2008 recorded share (53-45%), the average Mobile casino to hire biggest slot machine jackpot in vegas – and matches the pre-election RV polls. The adjusted 53% Democratic share of the 2010 electorate is 5% lower than Obama’s True share.
Table 2 is a comparison of 18 pre-election Registered (RV) and Likely Voter (LV) polls and the recorded vote. Harrahs casino joliet il jobs foxwoods casino 46.4-41.1%. Casino atlantic city address no deposit casino bonus codes canada within 0.4% of the recorded 48.3-47.9% share.
Card games online slot games for windows mobile pre-election LV polls, the preliminary exit polls and the recorded shares. Walmart black friday deals 2018 ps4 bonus code casino room 2018 the average recorded vote and the exit poll. Arizona sandstone slot canyon navajo tribal park exceeded the recorded margin by 2.2%.
Table 4 displays Gender vote shares in the Final exit polls.
Table 5 displays Final state exit polls with the returning voter mix adjusted to match the 2008 recorded vote. The resulting vote shares closely match the pre-election RV polls – and the True Vote.