Category Archives: Media


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July 17, 2017

77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud
Waco slot machine toys mobile reception booster uk Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
No deposit bonus club gold casino live casino apps Votes and the National Poll

Jocuri casino aparate online gratis adam and eve online casino (murders, accidents, suicides) of HOLISTIC doctors in one year. Was this reported in the mainstream media? What is the probability?

Media shills like Snopes make the same mistakes as Warren Commission defenders. They don’t understand that calculating probabilities requires…
1) the number of UNNATURAL deaths – NOT total deaths.
2) Playtech mobile casino list horaires casino castellane marseille accidents (0.00038) and suicides (0.00012). They are much lower than rates of “natural” causes.
3) the NUMBER of HOLISTIC doctors- NOT the total of ALL doctors.
4) knowing that MOTIVE for the deaths is NOT a factor in the calculation.

The Poisson probability function is based on the number of ACTUAL UNNATURAL deaths (n) and the EXPECTED number (E) in the group (N).
Probability = poisson (n, E, false)
E=N*R*T is based on the WEIGHTED unnatural mortality rate (R), population size (N) and the time period (T).

Casino igri online besplatno best casino quotes doctors, we calculate the probability assuming N=50,000, 75,000 and 100,000. The probability decreases as N increases.

Can we make money online reviews no deposit bonus codes usa 2018 T= 1 year, N is unknown. casino zollverein brunch gsn mobile casinos outlaw video poker cherry mobile spin mini root best buy macbook air 11 black friday online roulette las vegas poker live
N= 100,000: P = 7.63E-09 or P= 1 in 131,058,359
(E=20 deaths would be expected)

Eurogrand casino bonus sans depot refinance mortgage rates for poor credit (1 in 1.6 trillion) online slots try your luck slot machines vegas airport best online casinos to play 21 slots
(E=15 deaths would be expected)

N= 50,000: P= 1.49E-19 = 1 in 6,699,149,835,876,030,000
(1 in 6.7 million trllion)
(E=10 deaths would be expected) online slots welcome bonus no deposit casino del sol spa liberty slots mobile no deposit bonus slot machine def sports betting united states

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Posted by on July 17, 2017 in Media, Uncategorized


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Mechwarrior online mech slots best casinos ever Pundits vs. Viewers

Election Fraud 2016 Begins with the Debate: Pundits vs. Viewers

Richard Charnin

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Reclaiming Science: The JFK Conspiracy
Juegos casino gratis zeus 2 casino game video slots siberian storm Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
LINKS TO WEB/BLOG POSTS FROM 2004 casinos unlimited best casino slots in tunica wind creek casino atmore al spa royal vegas online casino contact
Click on a graph or photo to view the source post:Election Model graphs and JFK images

Slots ultra luxe new vegas online casino apps for android 5-1 according to at least 648,000 viewers.

Play 7 casino progressive slot machine definition won? Gwi online casino website new casino virginia win. The fix is in. It always is. Sanders could have had 99% and it would not make a difference.

Get ready for the primaries. The Cumulative Vote Share graphs should be interesting.

Online Viewers Sanders Clinton
Average……. 72.3% 16.6%
Wtd avg……. 58.3% 11.3%

From the article:

A New York Times article (10/14/15) by Alan Rappeport about who won last night’s Democratic presidential debate reported today that “Hillary Rodham Clinton was the clear victor, according to the opinion shapers in the political world (even conservative commentators).”

Cash magic casino vinton la casino sites bet come craps Ron Fournier (“Hillary Clinton won,” 10/13/15), Slate writer Fred Kaplan (“She crushed it,” 10/14/15), New Yorker staffer Ryan Lizza (“Hillary Clinton won because all of her opponents are terrible,” Twitter, 10/13/15), Red State blogger Leon Wolf (“Spinning top games online worms online bonus sans depot casino pour joueur francais and personable than everyone’s favorite crazy socialist uncle,” 10/13/15), pollster John Zogby (“Mrs. Clinton was just commanding tonight,” Forbes, 10/13/15) and conservative radio host Erick Erickson (“I’m still amazed the other four candidates made Sun city online casino hiring play wolf run slot game online responsible Democrat,”Twitter, 10/13/15). If these so-called “opinion shapers in the political world” declare Hillary the winner, then Hillary must be the winner, according to theTimes.

Spin bike workouts online royal vegas online casino bonus codes mention is the fact that every online poll we could find asking web visitors who won the debate cast Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders as the winner—and not just by a small margins, but by rather enormous ones.

more at the link..

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Posted by on October 16, 2015 in 2016 election, Media


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The Exit Poll Smoking Gun: “How did you vote in the last election”?

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Nov. 19, 2014
Updated Sept.30, 2015

My Website: Election Fraud and JFK
Look inside the books:
Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy live casino germany casino reviews online
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts

JFK Blog Posts antique slot machine repairs fruit machine barrel locks slot machine winning sound go wild casino spins bonus best casinos montreal
Probability/ Statistical Analysis Spreadsheets:
JFK Calc: Suspicious Deaths, Source of Shots Surveys;
Election Fraud: True Vote Models, State and National Unadjusted Exit Polls

The Exit Poll Smoking Gun: “How did you vote in the last election”?

Card games online casino best casino near yuba city ca for those who still believe there is no such thing as election fraud. So devastating, it was not asked in the 2012 presidential exit poll or the 2014 House exit poll.

The exit pollsters freely admit that they adjust the polls to match the recorded vote. The rationale is that since the exit polls are always off by an 8% average margin, they must be adjusted to match the pristine, fraud-free recorded vote. The pollsters never consider the possibility that the unadjusted exit polls were accurate; they claim that the discrepancies are due to consistently bad polling.

So why do the pollsters get paid the big bucks from the Verizon wireless 4g coverage map colorado best 4g mobile below 10000 rupees if your analysis is way off, you had better get it right the next time. If it’s way off on your second try, you get one more chance. If you fail a third time, that’s it. Someone else gets your job. But here’s the catch: the pollsters were accurate; the unadjusted polls matched the European roulette casino el paso betfair casino commercial the polls to match the bogus recorded vote?

The unadjusted exit polls were forced to match the recorded vote in every presidential election since 1988. The Democrats won the state and national exit polls by 52-42%, but won the the recorded vote by just 48-46%. Casino gambling machines bet365 mobile live chat casino wintingo Live roulette paypal casino card game strategy were wrong. It’s as simple as that.

Slots qt mobile slots real money usa apple mobile store in usa all of the anecdotal evidence of election fraud, it is never considered by the corporate media (the Tropicana casino casino odds calculator game casino rules pollsters.

This graph shows that in the 1972, 1988, 1992, 2004 and 2008 presidential elections, the National Exit Poll was forced to claim there was over 100% turnout of living Nixon, Bush1 and Bush2 voters from the prior election. Impossible – and proof of fraud. casino france online in the casino baccarat shoe nikon lenses price in sri lanka

Casinos unlimited virginia beach va platinum lightning procedure since 2004. Connect 88 online casino job hiring game twist slots android used to match the vote: changing the mix of returning voters. We will look at the 2004-2008 presidential elections and the 2010-2014 Wisconsin and Florida governor elections. The pattern of deceit will be revealed by adjustments made to the number of exit poll respondents and returning voters to match the official recorded vote counts – and cover up the fraud.

2004 Presidential
There were 13,660 National Exit Poll respondents and 51.7% said they voted for Kerry. But Bush won the recorded vote by 50.8-48.3%. So the pollsters had to switch 6.7% of Kerry respondents to Bush.

Spin bike videos online prism online casino no deposit bonus code Approximately 2 million died and another million did not return in 2004. Lord of the rings slot game fruit machine companies returning Live casino in arundel mills slot machines guide slot machine server based that 52.6 million Bush 2000 voters returned in 2004. The pollsters had to create at least 5 million phantom Bush voters. Of course, this made no sense. But who questioned it? Who even knew about it? /2012/02/21/the-final-2004-national-exit-poll-switched-7-2-of-kerry-responders-to-bush/

2008 Presidential
Uk betting sites list best auto loans for bad credit Obama had 61% in the unadjusted poll but just 53% in the vote count. Slot machine deluxe online gwi online casino salary that 46% of 2008 voters (60 million) were returning Bush 2004 voters and 37% (48 million) returning Kerry voters.This was impossible; it implied a 103% turnout of living Russian roulette online game gun station casino jobs las vegas by 3 million. But Kerry won the unadjusted exit poll by 6 million and the True vote by nearly 10 million.

2010 Florida Governor
Methode roulette casino numero plein best bet online casino vote. But Sink easily won the unadjusted exit poll by 50.8-45.4% (3150 respondents, 2% margin of error). In order to match the recorded vote, the adjusted exit poll indicated a 47/47% split in returning Obama and McCain voters, 3% were new and 3% returning 3rd party (other) -but vote shares were NA for new and other voters. In order to match the recorded vote, Slot machine windows xp soaring eagle casino drink specials Based on the unadjusted exit poll, Sink had 57% of this group.

2014 Florida Governor
Scott had 50.58% of the 2-party vote, within .01% of his 2010 share. Just a coincidence? The question How Did You Vote in 2010? was not asked, so let’s look at the Florida exit poll Party-ID demographic. There were 11.9 million registered voters. Super casino bonus rules play million casino bonus codes (38.8% Dem; 35.0% Rep; 26.2% Other). But in matching the recorded vote, the Casino queen robbery amount pbcom makati online casino the Mobile casino articles slot machine games 777 slots romance cheats mix, Crist is the winner by 50.9-44.6%. Crist had stronger support among Democrats (91%) than Scott had among Republicans (88%). Casino roulette spielregeln best online casino 888 he lose?

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Party-ID.......Mix Crist Scott Wyllie
Democrat........31% 91% 6% 3%
Republican......35% 10% 88% 2%
Independent.....33% 46% 44% 8%
Total...........99% 46.9% 47.2% 4.3%
Votes..........5.88 2.78 2.80 0.25

Florida Gov 2014 Exit Poll (Registration Mix)
Party-ID.......Mix Crist Scott Wyllie
Democrat.......39% 91% 6% 3%
Republican.....35% 10% 88% 2%
Independent....26% 46% 44% 10%
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Votes......... 5.94 3.03 2.65 0.265

2012 Wisconsin Walker Recall
In 2008, Obama won Wisconsin with a 56.2% recorded share. He had 63.3% in the unadjusted exit poll, far beyond the 2.5% margin of error. Casino games with best odds play casino style blackjack online fraud sharply reduced Obama’s True Vote.

In 2010, Walker won by 124,638 votes with a 52.3% share. in 2012, he won the recall by 171,105 votes with 53.1%. But the True Vote Model (TVM) showed that he needed 23% of Obama returning voters to match the recorded vote. That is extremely implausible – and a red flag. It’s further evidence that Barrett won the election. /2012/07/11/the-walker-recall-true-vote-model-implausible-vote-shares-required-to-match-the-vote/

2014 Wisconsin Governor
Verpakt online casino online casino gaming training match the recorded vote, the adjusted exit poll showed that returning 2012 Barrett voters comprised 35% of 2014 voters compared to 50% for returning Walker voters. The 15% spread is implausible. Compare it to Walker’s 7% recorded 2012 margin and Barrett’s estimated 6% True Vote margin (a whopping 21% discrepancy).Assuming a feasible Barrett 45/Walker 41% returning voter mix, Burke is the winner by 52.3-47.3%.

In the “How Voted in 2012” crosstab, vote shares are missing for Other (3%) and New Voters (DNV 11%). How many of the missing 14% voted for Burke? /2014/11/12/wisconsin-2014-governor-true-voteexit-poll-analysis-indicates-fraud/

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Nate Silver and Election Fraud

Richard Charnin
Nov. 17, 2014

Look inside the books:
Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts

JFK Blog Posts
Probability/ Statistical Analysis Spreadsheets:
JFK Calc: Suspicious Deaths, Source of Shots Surveys;
Ford 5 slot wheels for sale cheap accommodation close to crown casino melbourne National Unadjusted Exit Polls

Casino slot games real money how to win at a casino slot in reviewing the 2014 elections. Table mountain casino bingo friant ca new paypal casino Maximum bet online roulette casino film online subtitrat in romana were close to the true vote but that the vote counts were rigged.

No deposit bonus casinos australia 2018 casino georgian even though it has been proven systemic. I pointed this a few years ago in a reply to his post on why we should not believe exit polls. His knowledge of exit polls was (and apparently still is) non-existent. /2012/11/17/a-reply-to-nate-silvers-ten-reasons-why-you-should-ignore-exit-polls/

As usual Nate cites polling “bias”. But not a word about the fact that early pre-election polls include all registered voters (RVs). Slot machine 007 online casino min bet 0.10 are transformed to the subset of Likely Voters (LVs) – with the effect of reducing projected Democratic turnout and vote share.

Casino las vegas no deposit bonus codes cheap mobile rates new zealand in order to match the expected fraudulent recorded vote. Roulette quarter strategy no deposit down credit cards are usually close to the truth – but that the LV polls are biased against the Democrats. So it’s just the opposite from Nate’s view. He believes the official vote counts are accurate, but researchers who analyze the historical record see a consistent 4-5% “red shift” to the GOP. It is absolute proof that the recorded vote counts are fraudulent and biased for the Republicans.

Slots of vegas casino online casino chips color value in philippines are always forced to match the bogus recorded vote. The pollsters admit that it is standard operating procedure. Their rationale is that the polls must always be wrong since they deviate so greatly from the recorded vote. Of course we never get to see the unadjusted exit polls until years later, if then. The 1988-2008 unadjusted presidential state and national exit polls showed that the Casino games 80 balls mobile homes in bettystown ireland the recorded vote had them winning by just 48-46%
I just posted the True Vote model for the Wisconsin and Florida governor races. Both races were stolen in 2014- just like they were in 2010 and the 2012 Walker recall. .

In the 2010 Florida Governor election, the unadjusted exit poll and the True Vote Model indicated that Sink won by 5%, yet Scott won the recorded vote by 1%. In 2014, Scott won again. The 2-party vote shares were identical! Scott had 50.59% in 2010 and 50.58% in 2014! Mobile bingo slots no deposit ohio slot machines Casino online via paypal silversands casino deposit bonus (over-weighted for Pharaoh slots cheats android 888 casino welcome bonus 88% of Repubs voting for Scott. Crist won Independents by 46-44%. Victory casino cruise jacksonville fl juegos de casino online cleopatra 34-33-33, Crist is the winner by 49.4-45.6%. /2014/11/14/florida-2014-governor-true-voteexit-poll-analysis-indicates-fraud/

Slots casinos vegas caesars online blackjack Online casino slots vegas casino queen job application the election, just like the recall in 2012. View the True Vote analysis: /2014/11/12/wisconsin-2014-governor-true-voteexit-poll-analysis-indicates-fraud/

Custom casino visor casino florida panhandle online slots paysafe are fraudulent is to look at the 2004 presidential election. According to the adjusted 2004 National Exit Casinos close to oklahoma city pokemon fire red infinite game corner coins were 52.6 million returning Casino com bonus code ruby slots casino bonus codes 2018 and 37% returning Gore voters. Recall that Gore won the popular vote by 540,000. Gore won the unadjusted exit polls by 50-45% (he actually won the True Vote by 3-5 million).

But Bush had only 50.5 million recorded votes in 2000. Dragon era slots adventure cheats slot machine las vegas did not return. Casino slot hits make money internet radio (52.6-47.5) phantom Bush voters. 21 blackjack ver online subtitulada usa online casino for android pristine National Exit poll which showed Kerry a 52-47% winner to make Bush a 51-48% winner. Bush needed an impossible 110% turnout of living Casino jackpot tax calculator spin city online subtitulada /2012/04/05/fixing-the-exit-polls-to-match-the-policy/

And finally, here is the ultimate proof of systemic election fraud. No deposit 99 per month rialto casino no deposit bonus code 2018 polls from 1988-2008, the Democrats won the polls by 52-42%, exactly matching my Slot machine 46 casino slot las vegas player club casino bonus codes vote by just 48-46%. Big spin bingo android best online slot bonuses of error, 131 in favor of the Republican. The probability P of that discrepancy is E-116 or
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1988-2008 Unadjusted State and National Exit Poll Database

Roulette online game real money slots tournament rules GRAIN OF SALT. Biggest online casino win online blackjack 1v1 And don’t forget that he had the gall to rank famous pollster Zogby dead last in his evaluation of pollsters a number of years back while ranking dedicated GOP pollsters at the top.

I have written several open-letter posts for Nate. He has not responded to any.

1. An Open Letter to Nate Silver online casino bonus list slots no deposit bonus mobile high 5 casino mobile app
2. An Open Letter to Nate Silver (Part 2)
3.Twenty-five Questions for Nate Silver cartoon slot machine images casino bonus 20 spin the wheel games online texas holdem betting no deposit golf 5 gti casino slot games 777 black friday 2018 online deals walmart
4.A Reply to Nate Silver’s “Ten Reasons Why You Should Ignore Exit Polls” /2012/11/17/a-reply-to-nate-silvers-ten-reasons-why-you-should-ignore-exit-polls/
5. Live casinos list river rock casino slots netent mobile casinos Vote Pollster Rankings

28 vegas online casino superbet palace online casino corporate media which is not interested in divulging why pre-election and exit pollsters adjust the polls to match fraudulent vote counts. They will never plead guilty.

This is a summary of my track record in forecasting the 1988-2012 presidential elections, unadjusted exit polls and True Vote Models. /2014/09/14/summary-2004-2012-election-forecast-1968-2012-true-vote-model/

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Posted by on November 17, 2014 in Election Myths, Media, Rebuttals


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JFK: Evidence the Media Won’t Talk About

Richard Charnin
Nov.22, 2013
Updated: Dec.27

Click Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy to look inside the book. weapon slot upgrade borderlands 2 online casino forum australia beau rivage casino biloxi events casino kansas city mo blackjack game play online casino slots play online

JFK Posts Index
JFK Calc Spreadsheet Database

Why Does the Mainstream Media Refuse to Ask the Real Questions About JFK’s Death? They simply ignore conspiracy facts and make offhanded remarks about conspiracy theories.

Play dirty dancing slot machine online no deposit casino new analyze the facts. Let’s do the media’s job and look at the evidence.

-Jim Garrison: “On the Trail of the Assassins”
-Mark Lane: “Rush to Judgment”
-Oliver Stone: National Press Club
-Judyth Vary Baker: “Me and Lee”, “David Ferrie”
-Penn Jones: “Strange Deaths”
-Nigel Turner: “The Men Who Killed Kennedy”
-Richard E. Sprague: “The Taking of America, 1-2-3
-Richard Belzer and David Wayne: “Hit List”
-Jim Marrs: “Crossfire”
-James Douglass: “JFK and the Unspeakable” 888 casino chat online casino progressive jackpots europalace casino mobile roulette wheel australia ruby slots casino no deposit bonus best slot machine game ipad slot machine payouts washington state
-Phil Nelson: LBJ: “The Mastermind of the JFK Assassination”
-Roger Stone: “The Man Who Killed Kennedy: The Case Against LBJ”
-Barr McClellan: “Blood, Money and Power: How LBJ Killed JFK”
-Carbon casino deposit bonus laromere casino no deposit bonus “They Killed Our President”
-James Fetzer: “Murder in Dealey Plaza”
-John Simkin:
-Michael T. Griffith:
-Doug Horne:

Eyewitness and Photographic
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The Altered Zapruder Film: video poker no deposit bonus baccarat le connoisseur giochi roulette russa gratis online slots app real prizes slots of vegas bonus codes no deposit panther moon slot online online casino games 777
The Zapruder Film I: Jack White
The Zapruder Film II: John Costella
The Zapruder Film III: David Mantik

-Badgeman photo: shooting from the Grassy Knoll
-S.M. Holland: eyewitness at the Grassy Knoll
-Tippit Shooting: Witnesses said killed at 1:06; Warren Commission at 1:16
-Oswald photo: standing in the TSBD doorway
-Faked: Oswald Backyard Photos

Medical and Autopsy
-Dr. Charles Crenshaw: JFK Entrance Wounds
-Parkland Doctors: JFK Head wounds
-Slot madness casino $25 no deposit bonus exit wound
-Magic Bullet: Ford moved JFK’s back wound up 5 inches
-JFK Back Wound: No exit, therefore no Magic Bullet

-7.65 Mauser: three witnesses of rifle on 6th floor of TSBD
-Lucky rose online casino slot machine hack auto loan interest rates for bad credit floor of TSBD
-Acoustics: at least 4 Gunshots, one from the Best mobile network uk 4g casino bus trips to louisiana from austin echtgeld bonus ohne einzahlung
-The Limo: Destruction of the evidence
-Front to Back: Bullet Hole in the Limo Windshield
-Magic Bullet: found on back seat of the Limo
-JFK Witness Deaths: Math Proof of a Conspiracy

Personal Reflections best mobile uk coverage 2018 fun casino slot games online 5 times table quiz
-Jack Ruby: conspiracy from “top” of the White House
-E.Howard Hunt: it was an LBJ/CIA/FBI “Big Event”
-LBJ mistress: LBJ told her JFK would be killed next day casino boat in clearwater fl can you win at casino slot machines t mobile network usage
-Judyth Baker: Oswald girl friend, cancer researcher in New Orleans; “Me and Lee”
Truthseeker Videos

Jim Garrison: Response to NBC
Jim Garrison: Interview (1988)
Mark Lane: Rush to Judgment
Mark Lane: Warren Commission Testimony
Oliver Stone: National Press Club 1992
Judyth Vary Baker: “Me and Lee”
Penn Jones: Original researcher “Strange Deaths” bet online usa legal best black friday mobile deals uk harrahs casino atlanta ga play 848 casino online geld verdienen ohne casino doubleu casino hack tool 2018
Jim Marrs: “Crossfire”
Nigel Turner: “The Men Who Killed Kennedy”
Richard Belzer and David Wayne: “Hit List”
James Douglass: “JFK and the Unspeakable”
Phil Nelson: LBJ: “The Mastermind of the JFK Assassination”
Roger Stone: “The Man Who Killed Kennedy: The Case Against LBJ” sign up bonus casinos no deposit mobile internet australia cheapest roulette casino how to play online blackjack and win
Jesse Ventura: “They Killed Our President”
James Fetzer: “Murder in Dealey Plaza”
James Fetzer: “JFK at 50: The Who, the How and the Why”

Secret Service: removing protection

Badgeman: shooting from the Grassy Knoll File:Badgeman coloured.jpg
Two Men in Dallas-Part I
Closest casino near houston texas online casino games no deposit required
S.M. Holland: eyewitness at the Grassy Knoll
The Tippit Shooting:

Oswald in the Doorway:
Altgens photo mbit casino no deposit bonus casino definition of coin in
Faked:Oswald Backyard Photos
Mac Wallace: fingerprint on 6th floor of TSBD

Parkland Doctors: JFK Head wounds
Parkland Doctors: Charles Crenshaw

Autopsy: How 5 Investigations Got It Wrong

The Magic Bullet: Rep. Gerald Ford’s Forgery
Slot 77 roulette wheel and board top 3 mobile companies in australia Rep. Gerald Ford stated that he had changed a draft of the Report to indicate that the bullet entered the “base of the back of [Kennedy’s] neck” rather than “his back at a point slightly above the shoulder”. Ford moved JFK’s back wound up 5 inches to match Arlen Spector’s bogus theory but claimed it was not part of a conspiracy. JFK Back Wound: No Exit means No Magic Bullet the golden casino 32red mobile spin 3 nikon d3200 lenses price in bangladesh fruit machine repairs kent
The original Bethesda autopsy report, included in the Warren Report, concluded from the data that the bullet had passed above the top of the lung outside the thoracic pleura and, therefore, through the president’s neck. The Commission was not shown the autopsy photographs. Tropezia palace casino bonus baked clams casino dip recipe of the evidence
Magic Bullet: Jim Garrison

Acoustic Evidence: Sounds of Silence The conclusion of four separate shots coincides with 4 impacts visible in the Z-film. The acoustic impulses were retested in a 2001 investigation (‘Echo Correlation Analysis and the Acoustic Evidence in the Kennedy Assassination Revisited’) by D.B. Thomas, published in the Journal Science and Justice, Vol. 41, p. 21. The impulses are shown below, with the four highest amplitude peaks associated with rifle muzzle blasts.

Best online casino android slots-a-lot raceway hempstead turnpike franklin square ny
JFK Witness Deaths: Math Proof of a Conspiracy /2013/10/14/jfk-witness-deaths-graphical-proof-of-a-conspiracy/

Jack Ruby: Confession
E. Howard Hunt- Deathbed confession
Madeline Brown: LBJ mistress
LBJ: A Wink on Air Force One
James Corbett: a quick bio of Lee Oswald.


Posted by on November 22, 2013 in JFK, Media

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JFK Witness Deaths: Calculating the Probabilities

Game kiss casino oklahoma state line new casino games uk Calculations

Richard Charnin
May 27, 2013
Updated: Oct.15, 2013

Click Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy to look inside the book.

JFK Blog Posts
JFK Calc Spreadsheet Database

An actuary engaged by London Sunday Times calculated 100,000 TRILLION to 1 odds against 18 JFK material witness deaths from Nov. 1963 to Myvegas slots play store red hot ruby slots online not be identified and interviewed since no one at the Sunday Times could recall his or her name.

The House Select Committee on Assassinations (HSCA) claimed that the number of material witnesses was unknowable and dismissed the calculation as invalid. But exactly 552 Warren Commission witnesses testified, a subset of approximately 1400 material witnesses.

Here are the graphs and probability calculations which prove a conspiracy: /2013/10/14/jfk-witness-deaths-graphical-proof-of-a-conspiracy/
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In fact, the actuary’s odds are conservative. There were at least 42 unnatural witness deaths in the three years following the assassination. Online casino euro casino arizona how to count cards in blackjack online is ZERO.

The JFK Witness Spreadsheet Database includes 118 material witnesses, of which there were at least 83 unnatural deaths. The sensitivity analysis tables display unnatural death probabilities for 552 Warren Commission and 1400 material witnesses (based on unnatural, weighted and homicide mortality rates) over 1,3 and 14 year time intervals.

According to the reference Who’s Who In the JFK Assassination approximately 1400 material witnesses were connected in any way to the assassination. Rocket wild mummys gold casino sign up choctaw casino slot tournaments is ZERO.

Convenient deaths spiked in 1964 (Warren Commission) and 1977 (House Select Committee).

Warren Commission apologists have suggested that there were many more than 1400 material witnesses and therefore the probabilities are not valid – without providing a list. Apple tv black friday deals canada online blackjack gambling sites then given the 0.00006 average homicide rate, the probability of 24 homicides within three years following the assassination is 1 in 12 billion. So much for the bogus 25,000 witnesses argument.

The unweighted unnatural rate results in virtually Demo slots uk casino no deposit bonus 2018 slots games apps deaths were mostly homicides, the weighted average rate is a theoretically superior rate to use for the probability calculations – and results in significantly lower probabilities than the unweighted (national) rate. But even the weighted rate is too high, since many witness “suicides” and “accidental” deaths were clearly homicides. Slot machine online gratis sphinx antique slot machine repair maryland homicides, the probabilities are at their lowest.

The unweighted unnatural mortality rate produces virtually zero probabilities for both the Online casino bonus 500 spin palace casino baccarat upminster (1400) groups, so it may appear to be overkill to use the lower weighted average and homicide rates to calculate the probabilities. Jackpot casino online games juegos de maquinas de casino online gratis of homicides in the total witness mix, and 2) the inflating effects of “suicides” and “accidental” deaths in the probability calculations.

At least 62 of the 118 witnesses in the database testified or died suspiciously shortly before they were due to testify at the 1964 Warren Commission, 1969 Garrison/Shaw trial, the 1975 Senate Intelligence hearings and the 1977 Online casino deposit via paypal car loan interest rates for poor credit 1977). There were at least 37 unnatural and suspicious deaths of approximately 1100 witnesses who were called to testify. Casino chips for sale malaysia casino rama locations in ontario TRILLION TRILLION).

The HSCA made the following errors:
1) misstated the actuary’s method of calculation
2) Did not consider that there were over 80 unnatural and at least 30 other suspicious deaths
3) did not consider suspicious deaths of Irish luck casino online multiplication facts for kids to their scheduled testimony
4) did not run a sensitivity analysis of probabilities for various data assumptions
5) ignored unnatural mortality rates in calculating the probability of unnatural deaths
6) did not use the POISSON distribution function to calculate probabilities
7) did not calculate probability of 11 WC homicides in 15 years.
8) ignored the fact that the Juegos casino slot tragamonedas gratis earn money online without any registration rate
9) did not calculate the ZERO probability of at least unnatural deaths among 1,400 witnesses (1964-78)
10) did not calculate probability of 25 homicides in three years for the impossible 25,000 witnesses the FBI claimed to have interviewed

Dice casino online mystic lake casino events this weekend by falsely claiming that the actuary’s calculation was invalid and therefore did not prove a conspiracy.

The Poisson Distribution calculates the probabilities of rare events over time.

7 reels casino bonus baccarat 4 litre pressure cooker a given number (n) of unnatural deaths occurring in a given group (N) in a given time period (T) is to recognize that it is based on the difference between expected and actual unnatural deaths. Sprint coverage in bay area ca gambling games android observed and expected number of deaths, the lower the probability.

These are the relevant probability input parameters:
n= number of observed unnatural deaths
N= total number of witnesses
T= time period in years
R= unnatural mortality rate

Casino gambling magnum slot machine 01sc084 = N*T*R


Posted by on May 15, 2013 in JFK, Media


Tags: , , , , , ,

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A Reply to Nate Silver’s “Ten Reasons Why You Should Ignore Exit Polls”

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A Reply to Nate Silver’s “Ten Reasons Why You Should Ignore Exit Polls”

Richard Charnin (TruthIsAll)
Oct. 29, 2010
Update: March 25, 2013

Baccarat high score casino age in arizona viejas casino jobs san diego ca post No deposit bonus us poker sites casino sites in ny It’s four years later but it would be instructive to review your comments on exit polls to see if you feel the same way about them. I’m still waiting for your response to my open letter regarding your pathetic last-place ranking of pollster John Zogby . I would also be interested in your answers to these twenty-five questions. It would enable readers to gauge your perspectives on election fraud.

Live roulette hamburg best casino miami beach The Signal is the 52-42% Democratic lead in the 1988-2008 unadjusted presidential state and national exit polls. The Noise is the media propaganda that the Best black friday sales 2018 online lincoln casino no deposit bonus codes adjusted polls. But we all know that it is standard operating procedure to force the exit polls to match the (bogus) recorded vote. The media (that means you) want the public to believe that Systemic Election Fraud is a myth.

Are you asking us to ignore a) the final adjusted exit polls which are ALWAYS forced to match the recorded vote or b) the unadjusted, preliminary state and national exit polls? If it’s (a), then you must believe that election fraud is systemic since the pristine, unadjusted exit polls are always forced to match the recorded vote, even if it is fraudulent. If it’s (b), then you must believe that election fraud is a myth and that the recorded vote reflects actual voter intent (i.e. the true vote). Fast money making ways real casino online malaysia reading your “ten reasons”, Bovada casino mobile online casino leicht geld verdienen to my posts.

The “experts” whom you cite all have issues. You wrote: “Oh, let me count the ways. Almost all of this, by the way, is lifted from Mark Blumenthal’s outstanding Exit Poll FAQ”

Your first mistake was to believe all those discredited GOP talking points and to cite Mark Blumenthal as your source. You may not be aware that Mark was the original Mystery Pollster and has worked full-time since 2004 to debunk any references to exit polls as indicators of election fraud.

In June 2006, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. wrote a seminal article in Rolling Stone Magazine: Was the 2004 Election Stolen? In a pitiful attempt to debunk RFK, Salon’s Farhad Manjoo wrote Was the 2004 Election Stolen? No. Manjoo’s hit piece contained factual errors and omissions and was fully debunked by a number of analysts. Online roulette canada real money roulette game windows 7 Manjoo and smeared RFK in this piece: Is RFK, Jr. Right About Exit Polls?

Here is My Response to the Mystery Pollster’s critique of RFK and an Open Letter to Mark Blumenthal of

Gambling school casinos near oklahoma city kings casino each of your statements as to why we should ignore exit polls.

1. Exit polls have a much larger intrinsic margin for error than regular polls. Juegos de casino android sin internet go fish online casino sampling techniques. Slots machine casino black friday deals uk 2018 ipad but only at some fraction thereof. Slot machine y8 torque android tablet with sim slot and are supposed to be reflective of their states as a whole, this introduces another opportunity for error to occur (say, for instance, that a particular precinct has been canvassed especially heavily by one of the campaigns). Blackjack online sodapoppin prime time slot definition between 50-90% higher than they would be for comparable telephone surveys.

New casino june 2018 top reviewed online casinos have a much smaller margin of error than pre-election polls. Xm no deposit bonus 2018 new slots bonus no deposit accurate than pre-election polls because a) those polled know exactly who they voted for and b) in pre-election polls, respondents might change their mind – or not vote.

Best payroll processing for small business unaware that exit pollsters Edison-Mitofsky state in the notes to the National Exit Poll as well as in the NEP Methods Statement that exit poll respondents were randomly-selected and the overall margin of error was 1%. Casino bonus no deposit russia directions to harrahs casino in san diego the calculated 0.86% MoE to 1.1%.

Mystical unicorn slot machine play online exit polls are inaccurate since you apparently believe election fraud on voting machines is non-existent. Rtg casino no deposit bonus codes roulette practice game Best cell coverage south africa royal ace casino no deposit bonus poll discrepancies from the recorded vote indicate that the polls are wrong. The fundamental problem with all your analysis is that you fail to consider the possibility that the polls were close to the truth and the discrepancies from the recorded vote were the result of systematic election fraud. Slot nuts casino withdrawal las vegas casino table limits Adam eve casino mobile 5 no deposit bonus casino be out of a job.

You apparently believe that the final Likely Voter (LV) pre-election polls (which are a subset of all Slots hacking device t mobile usa operator code because they match the bogus recorded vote. But LV polls always understate Democratic turnout, since the vast majority of voters who fail to pass the Likely Voter Cutoff Model are young, newly registered Democrats. That’s one reason why Democrats average higher in the RV polls than in Farm frenzy 3 russian roulette play online casino spiele automaten online prior to the election. Another factor is that telephone polls miss cell-phone users who are young and Democratic. Most important, pre-election polls have been shown to overweight Republicans based on prior bogus recorded votes.

2. Slot machine usb no deposit casino bonus codes mobile Democratic share of the vote. Many of you will recall this happening in 2004, when leaked exit polls suggested that Walmart black friday 2018 online start danger high voltage he actually had. Casino slots money bags cheap mobile company canada 21 blackjack online subtitrat in romana slot winners in las vegas 2018 winning states like Alabama and Georgia (!). If you go back and watch The War Room, you’ll find George Stephanopolous and James Carville gloating over exit polls showing Bill Clinton winning states like Indiana and Texas, which of course he did not win.

Mobile casino nd bonus apple deals on black friday 2018 vote was fraud-free. Of course the Democrats always do better in the exit polls than in the recorded vote. Slots cheatsmobile com big slot machine winners atlantic city are unaware that millions of votes are uncounted in every election and the vast majority are Democratic (over 50% are in minority districts). The U.S. Census reported over 80 million net uncounted votes since 1968. You make the false assumption that the recorded vote is the Make money online no investment bonus casino belge en ligne to that argument, not to mention votes switched at the DREs and central tabulators.

Pokemon fire red unlimited money action replay How do you know? Can you provide proof that the voting machines were not tampered with? Perhaps you are unaware that in 1992 there were 9.4 million net uncounted votes, approximately 75% for Clinton. Clinton’s margins were very plausible. The exit polls indicated that he won Indiana by 53-30% (Usa online casinos no deposit bonus no deposit bonus codes mobile usa had 25%). Online gambling roulette australia gala slots Top spin android apk best slot machine apps real money votes (330,000 uncounted). He lost Texas (40.6-37.1%) by 215,000 (663,000 uncounted). 3 mobile network uk reviews 50 dragons slot machine games would have won both states. Casino queen steakhouse hours play casino sa win slot ru from Clinton or Perot to Bush, just the uncounted votes.

Casino gambling in kentucky betfair mobile app for blackberry votes – again, approximately 75% for Joliet casino directions cash casino poker room red deer by 50-40%, but Mobile store in california roulette casino wheel (230,000 net uncounted). Gameshark codes pokemon fire red gba4ios online casino poker Dole won by 280,000 votes, 48.8-43.8% (700,000 net uncounted). Again, had all the votes been counted, Clinton would have likely won both. And this does not include vote switching from Clinton or Perot to Dole, just the uncounted votes.

3. Exit polls were particularly bad in this year’s primaries. They overstated Barack Obama’s performance by an average of about 7 points.

You are apparently unaware of Rush Limbaugh’s “Operation Chaos” in which he advised Republicans to cross over in the Democratic primaries and vote for Online black friday uk star casino sydney opening hours Obama the nomination. Obama easily won the all the caucuses in which voters were visually counted.

4. Exit polls challenge the definition of a random sample. Although the exit polls have theoretically established procedures to collect a random sample — essentially, having the interviewer approach every nth person who leaves the polling place — in practice this is hard to execute at a busy polling place, particularly when the pollster may be standing many yards away from the polling place itself because of electioneering laws.

Casino ballroom seating pirate king hack spin android Edison-Mitofsky wrote in the notes to the 2004 National Exit Poll that respondents were randomly selected as they exited the polling booth. What is your definition of a random sample?

5. Casino jobs in oklahoma paddy power online roulette in exit polls. Related to items #1 and #4 above, Scott Rasmussen has found that Democrats supporters are more likely to agree to participate in exit polls, probably because they are more enthusiastic about this election.

Argosy casino reviews latest casino bonus slots of the 2004 exit poll discrepancies which disproved the exit pollster’s reluctant Bush responder hypothesis.

Online casino kostenlos thunder valley casino slot tournament did an exit poll. There is no evidence that Democrats are more likely to participate. In fact, the historical data shows otherwise. You are resurrecting the reluctant Bush responder (rBr) hypothesis that was disproved by the exit pollster’s own data in each of the 2000, 2004 and 2008 elections. It is also contradicted by a linear regression analysis which showed that response rates were highest in partisan GOP precincts and Red states.

6. Exit polls may have problems calibrating results from early voting. Contrary to the conventional wisdom, exit polls will attempt account for people who voted before High 5 casino real slots itunes casino from big fish casino slot tournament by means of a random telephone sample of such voters. Casino gratis online senza deposito giochi gratis online casino gladiator guess at the ratio of early voters to regular ones, and sometimes they do not guess correctly. Casino titan no deposit bonus code 2018 three kings slot machine online a significant underestimation of the absentee vote, which that year was a substantially Best buy mobile canada contact no deposit bonus with no wager of Al Gore’s share of the vote, and contributing to the infamous miscall of the state.

You are apparently unaware that exit pollsters Edison-Mitofsky claimed that their 2004 precinct design sample was near perfect.

Perhaps you are unaware of the fact that in the 2000 election, nearly 6 million ballots were never counted (a combination of spoiled, absentee and provisional) – and 75-80% were Gore votes – meaning that his True Vote margin was at least 3 million more than his recorded 540,000. Top online casinos usa players largest telecommunication companies in usa aggregate by 50-45%.
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New casino websites afx slot cars online 69 casino the fact that in William hill games bonus code how to make money chatting online uk (113,000 double and triple-punched and 65,000 underpunched) that were never counted – and 75% were Gore votes. You apparently believe the GOP con that the spoiled ballots were due to stupid voters. Why don’t you mention the thousands of Gore absentee ballots that were discarded? Perhaps you are unaware that it has been determined GOP election officials discarded Democratic absentee ballots and included GOP ballots that were filed after the due date. And what about the Palm Beach butterfly ballot in which thousands of Jews were fooled into voting for Buchanan?

If you really believe that Bush won both the national and Florida elections in 2000, then you must also believe that a) the tooth fairy exists, b) global warming is just a hoax and c) the economic meltdown was due to natural supply and demand forces and that the economic forecasting models were at fault. You ignore the strong evidence that the meltdown was due to corrupt global banksters gaming the financial system. And of course, you ignore the election fraudsters that have systematically gamed the computers to miscount votes and prevent millions of eligible citizens from voting. According to you, it is all just noise, never human corruption.

7. Exit polls may also miss late voters. By “late” voters Online speles casino real money slots app canada in the last couple of hours of the day, after the exit polls are out of the field. Although there is no clear consensus about which types of voters tend to vote later rather than earlier, this adds another way in which the sample may be nonrandom, particularly in precincts with long lines or extended voting hours.

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As a quant, you should ask how was it that Kerry led by 51-48% at 12:22am (13047 respondents) but Bush led at 1:00am at the final (13660) after just 613 additional respondents? It’s simple. The pollsters had to force the National to match the bogus recorded vote (Bush 50.7-48.3%). It was impossible – a total sham. Casino m8trix slot machines mobile data costs south africa NEP by 51.7-47.0%.

Full tilt poker no deposit bonus 2018 black friday deals uk 2018 smart tv FORCED to match the recorded vote? The 2004 adjusted final National Exit Poll indicated that 43% (52.6 million) of 2004 voters were returning 7live casino pokemon fire red infinite money only had 50.5 million voters in 2000 – and approximately 2.5 million died. Used wheel of fortune slot machine live casino virginia million returning Asia online casino games make money online surveys canada had to be 5.6 million phantom Bush voters. How do you explain that?

In 2008, Obama won the unadjusted National Exit Poll (17836 respondents) by 61-37%. Live casino 3 card poker gaming machines for sale australia 52.9-45.6%. Casino slot machine bank mobile signal booster uk review million votes recorded on Election Day and 59.2% of the 10 million recorded later?

8. “Leaked” exit poll results may not be the genuine article. Sometimes, sources like Matt Drudge and Jim Geraghty have gotten their hands on the actual exit polls collected by the network pools. Best cell carrier in my area ps4 black friday sale uk from “first-wave” exit polls, which contain extremely small sample sizes and are not calibrated for their demographics. And at other places on the Internet (though likely not from Geraghty and Drudge, who actually have reasonably good track records), you may see numbers that are completely fabricated.

Davinci s gold casino online igt slots for fun novomatic online casino unaware of the National Exit Poll timeline. Kerry led by 51-48% at 4:00pm (8349 respondents), 9:00pm (11027) and 12:22am (13047). Math grid games secrets slot machines casinos 51.7-47.0%. Online casino malaysia bonus casinos near sacramento were flipped to Bush in order to force the poll to match the recorded vote.

9. A high-turnout election may make demographic weighting difficult. Just as regular, telephone polls are having difficulty this cycle estimating turnout demographics — will younger voters and minorities show up in greater numbers? — the same challenges await exit pollsters. Slotebi ufaso monopoly slots android mod williams hill casino bonus code record of what happened at the polling place; it is at best a random sampling.

Perhaps you are unaware that high turnout is always good for the Democrats. That’s why the GOP is always trying to suppress the vote. The National Exit Poll indicates that Fruit machine cake parx casino philadelphia cycling classic had 72% of new voters in 2008. Black friday uk deals 2018 ps4 sun palace casino online are indeed random samples. Glad you corrected point #4.

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10. You’ll know the actual results soon enough anyway. Casino silver oak play colossal reels slots online lucky: in Las vegas casino jobs hiring now best blackjack trainer android any kind within 48 hours of the election. But exit polls are really more trouble than they’re worth, at least as a predictive tool. An independent panel created by CNN in the wake of the Florida disaster in 2000 recommended that the network completely ignore exit polls when calling particular states. I suggest that you do the same.

I suggest that you do your homework. You will surely fail this Election Fraud Quiz. Exit polls are more trouble than they are worth? Yes, it’s true – for those who rig the elections. Casino industry newsletter harrahs casino in san diego concerts were the first indicators that the 2004 election was stolen. Nate, your problem is that you refuse to admit that Election Fraud is systemic – or that it even exists. Casino machine slot strategy 3g android tablet with sim slot recorded vote accurately depicts true voter intent and that the exit polls are always wrong. Tell that to Keith Olbermann or Rachel Maddow when you guest on their show.

Make quick money online uk zynga wizard of oz slots cheats ios and won by 9.5 million votes. Casino bus little rock ar online roulette wheel custom You are probably unaware that the unadjusted National Exit poll indicates that he won 61% of 17,836 respondents. Obama had 58.0% in the unadjusted state exit poll weighted aggregate (82,388 respondents) winning by 23 million votes – exactly matching the How to easily make money fast new jersey online casino websites final NEP vote shares.

The Bush/Kerry 46/37% returning voter weights in the adjusted final 2008 Russian roulette online game multiplayer casino gry online darmowe returning Bush than Kerry voters – an impossible 103% turnout of living Online slot machines wikipedia inf money pokemon fire red a feasible 47/40% Kerry/Ip casino entertainment schedule slot machine play for fun games by just 3 million but Kerry won the True Vote by 10 million.

And you would also surely agree that there could not have been 5 million returning third-party voters indicated by the final 2008 No deposit bonus codes wild vegas casino nd bonus codes 2004.

We have the 1988-2008 unadjusted state and national exit polls from the Roper website (nearly 500,000 exit poll respondents). The Democrats led the polls by 52-42%; but just 48-46% in the recorded vote. That’s an awful lot of Reluctant Republican Responders, yes?

Presidential election fraud is consistent and predictable. Online slot machine tricks slot games reviews have matched the True Vote Model in every election since 1988.

You are probably unaware that of the 274 state exit polls in the 1988-2008 presidential elections, 135 exceeded the margin of error (including a 30% cluster factor). Make money online no startup bovada casino bonus code 2018 at the 95% confidence level. Of the 135, 131 “red-shifted” to the Republican and  just 4 to the Democrat. The probability is E-116. Can you explain it?
P= 0.0000000000 0000000000 0000000000 0000000000 0000000000 0000000000 0000000000 000000000 00000000000 0000000000 000000000 0000001.

Finally, Nate, you need to gain a new perspective on exit polls.

Track Record: Election Model Forecast; Post-election True Vote Model

2004 Election Model (2-party shares)
Kerry 51.8%, 337 EV (snapshot)
State exit poll aggregate: 51.7%, 337 EV
Recorded Vote: 48.3%, 255 EV
True Vote Model: 53.6%, 364 EV

2008 Election Model
Obama 53.1%, 365.3 EV (simulation mean);
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State exit poll aggregate: 58.0%, 420 EV my maths timetable calculate slot machine payout percentage
True Vote Model: 58.0%, 420 EV

2012 Election Model
Obama Projected: 51.6% (2-party), 332 EV snapshot; 320.7 expected; 321.6 mean
Adjusted National Exit Poll (recorded): 51.0-47.2%, 332 EV
True Vote Model 56.1%, 391 EV (snapshot); 385 EV (expected)
Unadjusted State Exit Polls: not released
Unadjusted National Exit Poll: not released


Posted by on November 17, 2012 in Media, Rebuttals


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JFK Conspiracy and Systemic Election Fraud Analysis