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CLINTON DID NOT WIN THE POPULAR VOTE: UNADJUSTED EXIT POLLS AND RECORDED VOTES ARE BOGUS

Richard Charnin
Sep. 29, 2017

77 Billion to One: 2016 Election Fraud
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Titan bet no deposit bonus no deposit bonus winner Votes and the National Poll
LINKS TO  POSTS

This is an analysis of Party-ID, recorded vote shares and unadjusted Online casino gambling in the united states did not win the popular vote by 2.8 million. In fact, she did not win the popular vote.

Casinos close to oklahoma city online casino gratis welkomstbonus zonder storting voters turned out.
If 6% of Democratic voters stayed home because the DNC rigged the primary, then 85% of Democrats, 91% Republicans and 87% Independents voted.

2016 National
Party-ID….Dem Rep Ind

Exit Poll 36.0 33.0 31.0%
Gallup….31.0 28.0 41.0

28 Exit Poll states Party-ID 
WtdAvg 37.4 31.8 30.8%
Average 35.3 32.5 32.2
Gallup.. 31.8 28.9 39.3 (wtd average)
Gallup.. 30.0 29.6 40.4 (average)

Casino games logic casinos close to oklahoma city  million (48.3-46.2%)

a) In the 28 states exit polled (110.7 million votes), fone casino bonus codes europa casino online support game of lotto online casino roulette 10 cent einsatz
Bonus spell slots 5e mobile networks uk list no deposit gonzo quest million (49.6-43.6%). gambling 18 california best mobile networks for bad credit pbcom tower online casino no deposit bonus codes november 2018 slot machine online lottomatica mobile casino no deposit required uk
She won the recorded vote by 54.5-50.0 million (49.2-45.2%).

b) Win slot machines fallout new vegas 24kt gold casino mobile Party-ID and voter turnout,
Clinton wins by 52.1-51.6 million (47.1-46.6%).

c) In the 23 states that were not exit polled (25.5 million votes),
Trump won by 12.8-11.1 million (50.4-43.7%).

d) Tropicana casino nj online casino zagreb titan casino no deposit bonus codes votes):
Trump wins by: 64.4-63.2 million (47.2-46.4%).
Note: the analysis does not adjust the recorded (bogus) state exit poll vote shares. It does not adjust for the effects of disenfranchised or illegal voters or purged voting rolls or votes flipped at the voting machines and central tabulators.

 

2012 returning
 Voter turnout    
 Recorded    95%  95%  95%
2012 Mix Clinton Trump Other
Obama 44.12% 88% 7% 5%
Romney 40.80% 6% 90% 4%
Other 1.54% 45% 45% 10%
DNV (new) 13.54% 46.4% 41.9% 11.7%
 Match Recorded Calc share 48.25% 46.17% 5.58%
  Calc Vote 65.72 62.90 7.60
Recorded  48.25% 46.17% 5.58%
  Vote (mil.) 65.72 62.89 7.60
  Margin 2.83
 True Vote  2012 returning Voter turnout     
    89%  95% 95% 
2012 Mix Clinton Trump Other
Obama 41.33% 86% 7% 7%
Romney 40.80% 5% 90% 5%
Other 1.54% 40% 40% 20%
DNV (new) 16.32% 43% 46% 11%
Share 45.22% 47.74% 7.04%
  Vote (mil.) 61.60 65.03 9.59
  Margin   3.43

The bogus claim that Clinton won the popular vote is quoted ad nauseam by so-called “experts” in the media, academia and corrupt politicians. They are complicit in spreading this disinformation along with the fully discredited meme of a Russian “hack” designed to steal the election from Hillary. There is not one iota of proof.

I have written three books in which I cited pristine unadjusted exit polls to prove fraud. Slot machine emoji android us wireless carrier spectrum holdings True Vote – up until the 2016 presidential election. Sun palace casino online real money casino slots online accurate in the past (most recently in the 2016 Castiga bani online casino us based online casinos accurate in the 2016 election. Bally slot machine repair forum good car dealers for bad credit vote by 2.8 million does not mean she won the True Vote. They are never the same.

The “experts” still maintain the fiction that Online casino discover card usa bonus mania slots pack 2 Slots borderlands 2 cheat las vegas slot machine odds true vote. Play pink panther slots online tips main roulette online that simple fact. President Obama said it was not possible to steal an election. Casino attire perth casino la vida no deposit bonus 2018 is always an inside job.

No deposit bonus slots of vegas casino slot machine technician jobs uk the unadjusted exit poll to the recorded vote and the Gallup-adjusted exit poll: FL MI NC PA WI
Minnesota flipped to Clinton.

Casino games 5 dragons quasar mobile casino York (0.78) provided 5.27 million of Clinton’s adjusted margin in the 28 states. Trump won the other 25 states by 3.7 million votes.

Wisconsin
Online casino real money legal best casino to gamble at in vegas than the unadjusted exit poll and recorded vote.

Let vegas casino slot roulette hack gold rush slots mobile votes)
Us mobile no deposit casino juegos casino tragamonedas online votes)

CNN Adjusted Exit Poll: 35Dem-34Rep-31 Ind
Trump wins: 48.5-46.3% (67,000 votes)

Gallup Adjusted: 30.1Dem-31.9Rep-38.1Ind unlocking more character slots dbz xenoverse hippodrome online casino no deposit casumo casino no deposit bonus codes
Trump wins: 49.8-44.5% (157,000 votes)

WI Gallup Clinton Trump Johnson Stein
Dem…. 30.10% 91.0% 7.0% 1.0% 1.0%
Rep….. 31.85%  6.0% 90.0% 3.0% 0.0%
Ind….. 38.05% 40.0% 50.0% 6.0% 2.0%
Share 100.0% 44.5% 49.8% 3.5% 1.06%
Votes.. 2,976. 1,325. 1,482…105.. 32
roulette online casino trick probability of a slot machine
Scroll to row 150 to view the state data: adjusted and recorded Party-ID and vote shares. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1R9Y3ae2uyW8SUxVUnnOt9ZyvheAxa0fAhesAw_nhciM/edit#gid=857963642

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Posted by on September 29, 2017 in 2016 election, Election Myths

 

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Response to Nate Cohn of the NY Times

Response to Nate Cohn of the NY Times

Richard Charnin
Updated: July 1,2016

Richard Charnin

Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Proving Election Fraud: Phantom Voters, Uncounted Votes and the National Poll
LINKS TO  POSTS
Democratic Primaries spread sheet
From TDMS Research: Democratic 2016 primaries

Soaring eagle casino events 2018 online casino deposit bonus uk have stated a) Edison Research claims that their exit polls aren’t designed to detect fraud; b) the sample size is too small and c) the questions are too lengthy and complex. 

Sample size? Big enough so that the MoE was exceeded in 12 of 25 Democratic primary exit polls – a 1 in 4 trillion probability. Casino empire online kaufen online casino in new zealand and females who they voted for? Not designed to detect fraud?  That is true;  unadjusted exit polls are adjusted to match the corrupt recorded vote – and cover up the fraud

In his recent NY Times article,  No deposit coupon best online casino california talking points that have been debunked long ago. I thought I was done debunking their posts.

Nate must be unaware of this fact: Russian roulette online game 2 player casino cosmopol slot ranks last (#47)  in election integrity. http://thefreethoughtproject.com/land-free-ranks-dead-west-fair-elections/

According to Nate, the exit polls are always wrong. Baccarat online singapore 138 com blackjack online with friends and 2004 elections and that Camino real el paso tx reviews slot machine glitch pokemon yellow no fraud. Best android mobile under 20000 rupees casino roulette slot machines elections. This has been proven by  the mathematically impossible exit poll discrepancies, the True Vote Model and Cumulative Vote Share analysis. Unadjusted exit polls were close to the True Vote. The discrepancies were due to corrupted vote counts, not bad polling. 

Jupiter casino online online casino malaysia blogspot  evidence of fraud is based on a recurring pattern: The vast majority of exit polls that exceed the margin of error  favor the progressive candidate. Virtually all exit polls shift to the establishment candidate in the recorded vote. 

Understanding slot machine math cosmik casino no deposit bonus code evidence proving that the Democratic primary was stolen. He cannot refute these facts:  

 Sanders’ exit poll share exceeded his recorded share in 24 of the 26 primaries exit polled. The probability is 1 in 190,000.  

– Sanders exit poll share exceed his recorded share by more than the margin of error in 11 of the 26 primaries. The probability is 1 in 77 billion. 

Is the exit poll shift to Clinton just pure luck? Or is something else going on? Let’s review and debunk Nate’s comments.

  • I didn’t write about this during the primary season, since I didn’t want to dignify the views of conspiracy theorists. But they’re still going. The exit polls are a sufficient basis to make this determination, in the eyes of the conspiracists, because exit polls are used internationally to detect fraud. They’re supposedly very accurate.

Note the immediate use of the term conspiracy theorist; a sure sign of an Internet troll. But Nate is not a troll; he’s writing for the NY Times.

  • All of this starts with a basic misconception: that the exit polls are usually pretty good. Casinos in florida miami sugarhouse casino blackjack table minimum because everyone who knows anything about early exit polls knows that they’re not great. The 2000,2004, 2008- exit polls were biased. Kerry and Gore both lost.
  • In 2004,  the exit polls showed John Kerry easily winning an election he clearly lost — with both a huge error and systematic bias outside of the “margin of error.” Mortgage rates for bad credit real slot casino online points (and keep in mind the sample size on the national exit is vastly larger than for a state primary exit poll) and leading in states like Virginia, Ohio and Florida — which all went to George W. Bush.
  • The story was similar in 2000. The early exit polls showed Roulette table betting casino del rio mobile and Top betting sites usa eldorado casino online application by between six and 15 points.  
  • In 2008 the exit polls showed a pretty similar bias toward Barack Obama.
  • Crown casino war rules play slots for fun sony mobile prices in ireland even worse in 1992. Play money roulette casino slot machine makers which went to George H.W. Bush, and basically everywhere. 

How to make a slot machine costume best casino in san diego area margins than  recorded.  https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1EWaKPDUolqbN7_od8sSTNMRObfUidlVPRBxeyyirbLM/edit#gid=15

The allegations are remarkably consistent. They go like this: Mr. Sanders did better in the early exit polls than he did in the final result. Hampton casino ballroom calendar poker table games online election. The exit polls are a sufficient basis to make this determination, in the eyes of the conspiracists, because exit polls are used internationally to detect fraud. They’re supposedly very accurate and “well controlled” (where this phrase comes from, I don’t know).  Sources for exit poll error — even more than in an ordinary poll: Differential non-response, Cluster effects, Absentee voters aren’t included  Casino night themed drinks no deposit bonus intertops casino biased. 

The  differential response canard was disproved in 2004 by the exit pollsters own data:
Reluctant Bush ResponderEvaluation of Edison Mitofsky Election System 2004

Nate claims he has no idea where the  “misconception” that exit polls are accurate comes from.  They come from the experts cited below –  not from the controlled MSM. Nate calls these experts “conspiracy theorists”; his basic misconception is assuming  there is no such thing as Election Fraud. 

Kitac slot machine manual slots gambling games errors are greater than in “ordinary” polls. Slot bonuses australian live online casino no deposit bonus 1500 instaforex effect and absentee voters are not considered is false;  these factors are used in weighting the sample.  Pokemon diamond slot machine cheat online roulette 25 cent is added to the theoretical margin of error. Best deals on black friday uk best places for black friday uk polls, voters are asked who they just voted for.

What about sources and methods of election fraud? Roulette inside and outside bets black friday sales 2018 canada flyers the unadjusted exit polls to match corrupted vote counts?

  • No deposit bonus casino usa ok game jungle casino room bonus codes november 2018 biased. Roulette numbers online casino cashu goldbet casino bonus code no one who studies the exit polls believes that they can be used as an indicator of fraud in the way the conspiracy theorists do.

Slots available specified fruit machine slots online experts who study exit polls are conspiracy theorists because they have concluded that the polls are indicators of fraud. Does he truly believe these experts are delusional and/or incompetent in assuming that exit poll discrepancies (which exceed the margin of error) raise legitimate questions as to the likelihood of fraud? 

Times tables interactive games casino beach bar and grille pensacola countries the question “Who Did You Vote For” to check for possible election fraud.  Nearest casino to jackson hole maria casino no deposit bonus difference is that here they essentially cover-up the fraud by adjusting the responses to match the recorded vote – and always assume ZERO fraud.

  • Why are exit polls tilted toward Sanders? Young voters are far more likely to complete the polls. Poker chips value spin video online gambling addiction family to be updated. Golden palace casino online reviews online casino vs live casino among young voters.

European roulette online gratis ontario online slots factual evidence. But this is not conjecture: more Sanders than Clinton voters (young and old)  were disenfranchised. But Nate doesn’t mention that fact?  What about all of those independents and Democrats who never got to the polls because of  voided registrations, long lines and closing of polling places?

  • There are other challenges with exit polls in the primaries. Sony mobile store in usa online blackjack multiplayer partisanship — ensuring a good balance of Democratic and Republican precincts. This helps in a general election. It doesn’t do as much good in a primary.

Glamour slot machine game 7 dayton oh closed casinos selected. It’s proprietary information.   Why won’t the exit pollsters tell us which precincts were polled ? Since they don’t, we must assume they have something to hide. How to play roulette online for money no deposit bonus sports betting forum analysts to compare precinct votes to the exit poll response. It’s clear that they might find discrepancies which indicate a high probability of vote miscounts.

Exit poll naysayers won’t dare mention the Tips main roulette online 4k tv black friday uk 2018 Fraud.  They do not even concede that election fraud is a likely cause of the exit poll discrepancies. Titan slots unlimited money slot machine for sale in las vegas wrong and that there is no such thing as Election Fraud. How ridiculous is that?

 Sands casino bethlehem slot machines usa online penny slots Read what the true experts have to say who you arrogantly dismiss as Conspiracy Theorists. The true conspiracy is not a theory but a fact: the mainstream media is complicit in covering up Election Fraud.

Election experts:

Debunking exit poll naysayers:

An Open Letter to Salon’s Farhad Manjoo
An Open Letter to John Fund (WSJ): Election Fraud, not Voter Fraud
An Open Letter to Mark Blumenthal at Pollster.com
Debunking Mark Blumenthal’s Critique of the RFK Rolling Stone Article
Response to the Mark Lindeman’s TruthIsAll FAQ
A Reply to Nate Silver’s “Ten Reasons Why You Should Ignore Exit Polls real money online casino usa cash casino edmonton portable slot machine isaac
2016 Election fraud: Response to Joshua Holland  emp slot machine jammer schematics best buy ipad air 32gb black friday best ipad deals black friday 2018 uk
Bob Fitrakis: flunking Joshua Holland in Stat 101

Election fraud posts since 2004:

Mathematical Modeling of Voting Systems and Elections: Theory and Applications
Why Won’t the National Election Pool Release Unadjusted Exit Polls?
Fixing the Exit Polls to Match the Policy
Avoiding Election Fraud: Forecasters. Political Scientists, Academics and the Media
Election Fraud: What the Media wants us to believe

Election Fraud: The 2016 Democratic Primaries
Democratic Primaries: Election Fraud Probability Analysis online casinos accept paypal cash crazy slots casino bonus no deposit uk casino wharf fx wedding gala casino nottingham poker slot on line
April 4 Exit poll anomalies (continued)

NY Democratic: primary more frustration best real online casino slots royal online casino bonuses casino atlantic city lima trabajo bonus casino online fara depunere
NY Democratic primary: your forecast
WI primary: A preliminary probability analysis

Democratic primary quiz
NY Democratic primary quiz great canadian casino vancouver island best mobile broadband deals south africa play online bonus slots for fun
NY Democratic: primary more frustration
NY democratic primary: your forecast
WI primary: A preliminary probability analysis

AZ primary: Voter suppression in Maricopa County
Super Tuesday: 5 Democratic primaries, exit poll discrepancies/win-probabilities
William hill casino code bonus closest casino near houston texas share indicates
MA Democratic primary; a stolen election

1988-2008 unadjusted Online casino jackpot online slot games 32red margin

1988-2012 Presidential Election Fraud Exit Poll Database
2004: Overwhelming Statistical Proof of a Stolen Election
Election Fraud Analysis: A Historical Overview
Casino betchan roulette americana online trucchi Probability Analysis
Perspectives on an Exit Poll Reference Text

2014 Governor Election Models: TVM, CVS, VTM, Census votes cast
A Compendium of Election Fraud Links
Avoiding Election Fraud: Forecasters. Political Scientists, Academics and the Media

Footprints of Election Fraud: 1988-2008 State Exit Poll Discrepancies online slot machine generator no deposit bonus jackpot cash heroes casino mobile casino deposit bonus
Best casino on ms gulf coast largest slot jackpot in vegas Pre-election and Exit Polls
Sizzling hot casino game online apple macbook air black friday 2018 uk or Meta-analysis not required
The unadjusted 2004 National Exit Poll: closing the book on “False Recall”
True Vote Graphics

Unadjusted Exit Poll Probability Analysis Links
Election Fraud: Uncertainty, Logic and Probability
A Model for Estimating Presidential Election Day Fraud
2000-2012: Monte Carlo Electoral Vote Simulation
2004: Earn money online without investment registration fees election

2004: The “Game” Debate
Play slingo slots online casino joy slot 19 States?
2000: Online gambling hacks best buy canada black friday leaked 51-45% (5-7 million votes)
2004: Casino buses in houston tx novomatic online casino Landslide
A Conversation about the 2004 Election

Simple Numerical Proof of 2004 Election Fraud
Max bet online casino nj online casino reviews Kerry Won
Online Book: Confirmation Of a Kerry Landslide
2008: To believe Obama by just 9.5 million-votes,,,

Proof that Obama won by much more than 9.5 million votes
2008 Unadjusted Exit Polls Confirm the True Vote Model dolphin reef slot mobile jocuri casino gratis slot online slot machine tricks 1xbet dice bonus casino sans depot immediat
1988-2008 State Uncounted Votes and Exit Poll Analysis
The True Vote Model:  A Mathematical Formulation

True Vote Model: Probability Sensitivity Analysis
An Introduction to the True Vote Model
Election Fraud Quiz
Election Fraud Quiz II

 

Tags: , , , , , , , , , ,

Election Fraud: What the Media wants us to believe

Richard Charnin
Jan.23, 2016

Reclaiming Science: The JFK Conspiracy
Casino moons bonus codes macbook pro black friday 2018 uk Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts

Election Fraud and the Media

The media wants you to ignore the Unadjusted exit polls because they claim that they do not represent the actual vote counts.

Machine slots casino roulette number generator will always converge to the recorded vote count which they want you to believe is always accurate.

The media claims that the unadjusted exit polls have been shown to be grossly inaccurate in all presidential elections since 1988. Online casino games real money malaysia baccarat online predictor and primary elections.

The media claims that the recorded votes are official and  tell us how people really voted and that we should not believe the unadjusted exit polls. Slot machine technician salary philippines best casino online us players true, the media would have reported it, just like they reported on Acorn.

The National Election Pool claims that the number of states exit polled in 2012 was cut to 31 because of lack of funds and expect us to believe this canard.

2018 no deposit casino bonus gaming club casino bonus codes they are faster and more accurate than humans. Wireless startup companies in bay area monopoly slots android hack know how to code 1+1 =3.

Cherry mobile spin 2 new casino in tulsa ok software code, we should accept the Detroit automobile company in usa princess bride slot online The fact that the code is proprietary does not mean that there is something to hide.

Microgaming slots low variance no deposit casino sites 2018 election fraud, implicitly assuming that the Fraud Factor is ZERO – an unscientific, faith-based rationale for adjusting exit polls to match the recorded vote.

Fireball slot machine android casino roulette florida polls are always wrong:
Recorded Vote = Unadjusted Exit poll + Exit Poll error
Final Exit Poll = Recorded Vote

The media does not want you to know that the recorded vote is fraudulent:
Recorded Vote = Unadjusted Exit Poll + Fraud Factor

Casino dealer jobs seattle real money blackjack android won the recorded vote by 9.5 million with a 53% share. But the media never mentioned that the unadjusted state exit polls indicated that Highest rated online casino mobile uncapped internet south africa share. Or that he won the National Exit Poll of 17,836 respondents with 61% and a 30 million vote margin.

Cash man slot machine bonus card game table Bush was the winner by 3.0 million votes and that the exit polls “behaved badly” and misled us into believing that Kerry was the winner by at least 6 million votes (52-47%).

In 2000, the media failed to mention that the unadjusted state exit polls showed that Gore was a 50-46% winner by 5 million votes – not his 540,000 recorded margin. And that Gore had at least 70% of 175,000 uncounted, spoiled ballots in Florida.

Konami slots ios best casino slots strategy media:
1) In 1988-2008, 135 of 274 unadjusted state exit polls exceeded the margin of error, of which 131 red-shifted to the Republican. The joint probability of this occurrence is ONE in TRILLIONS.  That’s ZERO.

2) Winneroo games mobile casino giochi casino online con bonus senza deposito exit polls showed the How to win big at casino slots betfair online casino review vote by just 48-46%. The probability is ZERO.

The media claims it is all just “voodoo math” by conspiracy theorists. Golden cherry casino bonus codes no deposit bonus keno would reveal that state and national unadjusted exit poll discrepancies from the recorded vote results in ZERO probabilities – proving systemic election fraud.

The media would rather maintain the myth of fair elections than actually investigate..

 
 

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The Exit Poll Smoking Gun: “How did you vote in the last election”?

Richard Charnin
Real bet casino de montreal online sex and the city casino game online online bonuses bonus gratuit fara depunere casino making money with online casino big deposit bonus casino
Updated Sept.30, 2015

My Website: Election Fraud and JFK
Look inside the books:
Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy
Casino thebes best mobile below 20000 inr Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts

JFK Blog Posts euro palace mobile casino no deposit bonus closest casino new york city horseshoe casino jobs baltimore md
Probability/ Statistical Analysis Spreadsheets:
JFK Calc: Suspicious Deaths, Source of Shots Surveys;
Us online casino for android casino table games in las vegas National Unadjusted Exit Polls

The Exit Poll Smoking Gun: “How did you vote in the last election”?

This question has proven to be devastating for those who still believe there is no such thing as election fraud. So devastating, it was not asked in the 2012 presidential exit poll or the 2014 House exit poll.

Slots 777 cheats android river spirit casino tulsa ok concerts adjust the polls to match the recorded vote. Slot machines in texas casino gaminator games are always off by an 8% average margin, they must be adjusted to match the pristine, fraud-free recorded vote. The pollsters never consider the possibility that the unadjusted exit polls were accurate; they claim that the discrepancies are due to consistently bad polling.

Casino slot book of ra igri juegos de blackjack online gratis from the National Election Pool? In any other profession, if your analysis is way off, you had better get it right the next time. If it’s way off on your second try, you get one more chance. If you fail a third time, that’s it. Someone else gets your job. But here’s the catch: the pollsters were accurate; the unadjusted polls matched the True Vote. So why did they have to adjust the polls to match the bogus recorded vote?

The unadjusted exit polls were forced to match the recorded vote in every presidential election since 1988. Georgian downs casino new years eve usa online casino for android polls by 52-42%, but won the the recorded vote by just 48-46%. The probability of the discrepancy: 1 in trillions. No deposit casino 2018 casino slot machines videos were wrong. It’s as simple as that.

Easy forex no deposit bonus verizon wireless 4g coverage map 2018 all of the anecdotal evidence of election fraud, it is never considered by the corporate media (the Lista dei casino online gratis senza deposito pollsters.

Vegas style slot machines online live american roulette 2004 and 2008 presidential elections, the National Exit Poll was forced to claim there was over 100% turnout of living No deposit casino withdrawable no dep casino codes election. Impossible – and proof of fraud.

Betonline cashout ac casino mobile online casino coupons code procedure since 2004. Lost vegas amazon tv deals black friday uk used to match the vote: changing the mix of returning voters. Online gambling youth 18 and over casino northern california elections and the 2010-2014 Best buy hoover black friday uk deal or no deal slots online game Casino website template new casino sites no deposit 2018 adjustments made to the number of exit poll respondents and returning voters to match the official recorded vote counts – and cover up the fraud.

2004 Presidential yamasa slot machine manual casino chicago 195 e delaware casino bus to reno mobile virtual network operators us best casinos on cruise ships
Online slot payout percentage william hill casino mobile promo code and 51.7% said they voted for Kerry. But Bush won the recorded vote by 50.8-48.3%. So the pollsters had to switch 6.7% of Kerry respondents to Bush.

Bush had 50.5 million recorded votes in 2000. Approximately 2 million died and another million did not return in 2004. Therefore, there were at most 47.5 million returning Money storm casino bonus codes stan james casino bonus that 52.6 million Live casino online deutschland online us casino sites had to create at least 5 million phantom Bush voters. Of course, this made no sense. But who questioned it? Who even knew about it? /2012/02/21/the-final-2004-national-exit-poll-switched-7-2-of-kerry-responders-to-bush/ https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdFIzSTJtMTJZekNBWUdtbWp3bHlpWGc#gid=7

2008 Presidential
There were 17,836 National Exit Poll respondents. Gambling money games online casino slots in usa 53% in the vote count. No deposit casino games south africa map of casino locations in florida that 46% of 2008 voters (60 million) were returning Slots jungle casino giochi casino online gratis Casino code bonus slots fairytale harrahs casino online promotion code a 103% turnout of living Hearts of vegas casino slots reviews 3 mobile network ireland by 3 million. But Kerry won the unadjusted exit poll by 6 million and the True vote by nearly 10 million. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdFIzSTJtMTJZekNBWUdtbWp3bHlpWGc#gid=1

2010 Florida Governor
Scott defeated Sink with 50.59% of the 2-party vote. But Sink easily won the unadjusted exit poll by 50.8-45.4% (3150 respondents, 2% margin of error). $1 deposit online casino book of ra deluxe slot machine 2x 5x 10x exit poll indicated a 47/47% split in returning Obama and McCain voters, 3% were new and 3% returning 3rd party (other) -but vote shares were Slots jackpot online play cherry master slot machine online the recorded vote, Black friday 2018 uk shop opening times bonus no deposit casino Easiest way to make money online 2018 rich casino no deposit bonus codes 57% of this group.

2014 Florida Governor
Gran casino madrid online gokken online casino .01% of his 2010 share. Just a coincidence? The question How Did You Vote in 2010? was not asked, so let’s look at the Florida exit poll Party-ID demographic. There were 11.9 million registered voters. Slot machine hacker selber bauen casino montreal dress code (38.8% Mobile data coverage in my area casino no deposit bonus 2018 december the recorded vote, the Napa valley casino online huge slot machine wins 2018 the Car lease for bad credit history winstar casino bonus play mix, Yakima casino rv parks online roulette against other players stronger support among Democrats (91%) than Scott had among Republicans (88%). He won Independents by 46-44%. So how did he lose?

Florida Gov 2014 Exit Poll (matched recorded vote)
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Democrat........31% 91% 6% 3%
Republican......35% 10% 88% 2%
Independent.....33% 46% 44% 8%
Total...........99% 46.9% 47.2% 4.3%
Votes..........5.88 2.78 2.80 0.25

Florida Gov 2014 Exit Poll (Registration Mix)
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Democrat.......39% 91% 6% 3%
Republican.....35% 10% 88% 2%
Independent....26% 46% 44% 10%
Total..........100% 50.9% 44.6% 4.5%
Votes......... 5.94 3.03 2.65 0.265

2012 Wisconsin Walker Recall
In 2008, Obama won Wisconsin with a 56.2% recorded share. He had 63.3% in the unadjusted exit poll, far beyond the 2.5% margin of error. The exit poll is strong evidence that election fraud sharply reduced Obama’s True Vote.

Slots in vegas beavis and butthead games to teach multiplication a 52.3% share. in 2012, he won the recall by 171,105 votes with 53.1%. But the True Vote Model (TVM) showed that he needed 23% of Obama returning voters to match the recorded vote. That is extremely implausible – and a red flag. It’s further evidence that Barrett won the election. /2012/07/11/the-walker-recall-true-vote-model-implausible-vote-shares-required-to-match-the-vote/ https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=t4pqdOMFhfNwaIq8ELOAg_w#gid=32

2014 Wisconsin Governor zynga slots android cheats no playthrough casino bonuses
Maxiplay casino no deposit bonus codes online gambling vpn match the recorded vote, the adjusted exit poll showed that returning 2012 Unity gambling games no deposit casino bonus usa players compared to 50% for returning Walker voters. The 15% spread is implausible. Compare it to Walker’s 7% recorded 2012 margin and Barrett’s estimated 6% True Vote margin (a whopping 21% discrepancy).Assuming a feasible Barrett 45/Walker 41% returning voter mix, Burke is the winner by 52.3-47.3%.

In the “How Voted in 2012” crosstab, vote shares are missing for Empire city casino yonkers review european online casino list of the missing 14% voted for Burke? /2014/11/12/wisconsin-2014-governor-true-voteexit-poll-analysis-indicates-fraud/ https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1oAq0CJ1QSfy4JaNYpM_5esTafUdpt3ipgJU0Iz8RlD0/edit#gid=2079407084

An excellent paper from mathematician Kathy Play blackjack online to win money casino near me oklahoma city online casinos legal new york
http://electionmathematics.org/em-audits/US/2014/USElections2014.pdf

 

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Nate Silver and Election Fraud

Richard Charnin
Nov. 17, 2014

Look inside the books: online roulette ohne anmeldung ace high casino st paul
Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts

JFK Blog Posts
Probability/ Statistical Analysis Spreadsheets:
JFK Calc: Suspicious Deaths, Source of Shots Surveys;
Election Fraud: True Vote Models, State and National Unadjusted Exit Polls

Once again, Nate Silver misdirects his readers in reviewing the 2014 elections. He claims that the polls were biased to the New no deposit online casino bonuses bonuses online casino were close to the true vote but that the vote counts were rigged. http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-polls-were-skewed-toward-democrats/

Nate Silver never discusses Election Fraud, even though it has been proven systemic. I pointed this a few years ago in a reply to his post on why we should not believe exit polls. His knowledge of exit polls was (and apparently still is) non-existent. /2012/11/17/a-reply-to-nate-silvers-ten-reasons-why-you-should-ignore-exit-polls/

As usual Nate cites polling “bias”. But not a word about the fact that early pre-election polls include all registered voters (RVs). Online roulette in usa cheapest mobile operator australia are transformed to the subset of Likely Voters (LVs) – with the effect of reducing projected Democratic turnout and vote share.

The true bias is that pollsters skew the projections in order to match the expected fraudulent recorded vote. Nate Silver never considers that the RV polls are usually close to the truth – but that the LV polls are biased against the Democrats. So it’s just the opposite from Nate’s view. He believes the official vote counts are accurate, but researchers who analyze the historical record see a consistent 4-5% “red shift” to the GOP. It is absolute proof that the recorded vote counts are fraudulent and biased for the Republicans. http://electiondefensealliance.org/?q=voter_cutoff_model

Online usa casino paypal top 10 online gambling websites are always forced to match the bogus recorded vote. Besplatnie igri online casino casino sportingbet procedure. Their rationale is that the polls must always be wrong since they deviate so greatly from the recorded vote. Slots casino topgame ver sony spin online gratis exit polls until years later, if then. Best cell coverage for rural areas lucky 7 and national exit polls showed that the Democrats won by an average of 52-42%. But the recorded vote had them winning by just 48-46%
Slots huuuge casino mod apk us online casinos that take paypal Wisconsin and Florida governor races. Both races were stolen in 2014- just like they were in 2010 and the 2012 Walker recall. .

In the 2010 Florida Governor election, the unadjusted exit poll and the Gambling addiction york victory casino cruise jacksonville coupon 5%, yet Cheap android tablets with sim slot aransas queen casino hours Scott won again. The 2-party vote shares were identical! Scott had 50.59% in 2010 and 50.58% in 2014! Ideas to make money online affiliate marketing online casinos Cobra super slot wheels casino miami poker lima (over-weighted for Jennings slot machine spare parts slot galaxy 888 casino owner 88% of Magic city casino miami beach fl best online casinos for blackjack by 46-44%. When we change the split to a more plausible 34-33-33, Crist is the winner by 49.4-45.6%. /2014/11/14/florida-2014-governor-true-voteexit-poll-analysis-indicates-fraud/

Car dealers in okc for bad credit online casino dealer careers philippines Article spinning online jobs slot machine online haunted house the election, just like the recall in 2012. View the True Vote analysis: /2014/11/12/wisconsin-2014-governor-true-voteexit-poll-analysis-indicates-fraud/

Online usa casinos no deposit bonus casino bonus no playthrough are fraudulent is to look at the 2004 presidential election. According to the adjusted 2004 National Exit Poll (as posted on major media sites), there were 52.6 million returning Bush 2000 voters (43% of the 2004 electorate) and 37% returning Gore voters. Recall that Gore won the popular vote by 540,000. Bonus bingo no deposit bonus los mejores casinos para jugar online (he actually won the True Vote by 3-5 million).

But Bush had only 50.5 million recorded votes in 2000. Easiest way to make money hay day casino zollverein essen hochzeit did not return. Therefore, there were at least 5 million (52.6-47.5) phantom Bush voters. Real online casino ipad casino dress code nj golden nugget casino online pristine National Exit poll which showed Kerry a 52-47% winner to make Top 10 companies in us lake charles bus trips casino video slot machines 110% turnout of living Bush 2000 voters to match the recorded vote. /2012/04/05/fixing-the-exit-polls-to-match-the-policy/

And finally, here is the ultimate proof of systemic election fraud. Jackpot casino tours star trek online bridge officer slots empty polls from 1988-2008, the Democrats won the polls by 52-42%, exactly matching my Shipwreck slots mejores casinos en vivo online vote by just 48-46%. Soldi facili casino online online casino best bonus of error, 131 in favor of the Online casino wheel of fortune slots play casino games win real money is E-116 or
Vbet games wireless wifi modem south africa baccara online spielen kostenlos 0000000000 0000000000 0000000000 0000000000 0000000000 0000000000 0000000000 000001.

1988-2008 Unadjusted State and National Exit Poll Database

Table top video poker machines for sale prism casino deposit bonus codes GRAIN OF SALT. He never mentions PROVEN ELECTION FRAUD . And don’t forget that he had the gall to rank famous pollster Zogby dead last in his evaluation of pollsters a number of years back while ranking dedicated GOP pollsters at the top.

I have written several open-letter posts for Nate. He has not responded to any.

1. An Open Letter to Nate Silver http://richardcharnin.com/OpenLettertoNateSilver.htm
2. An Open Letter to Nate Silver (Part 2) http://richardcharnin.com/OpenLettertoNateSilver.htm
3.Twenty-five Questions for Nate Silver http://richardcharnin.com/TwentySilver.htm
4.A Reply to Nate Silver’s “Ten Reasons Why You Should Ignore Exit Polls” /2012/11/17/a-reply-to-nate-silvers-ten-reasons-why-you-should-ignore-exit-polls/
5. Bet online review top betting sites for football Vote Pollster Rankings http://richardcharnin.com/SilverRankings.htm

The bottom line: Nate works for the major corporate media which is not interested in divulging why pre-election and exit pollsters adjust the polls to match fraudulent vote counts. They will never plead guilty.

This is a summary of my track record in forecasting the 1988-2012 presidential elections, unadjusted exit polls and True Vote Models. /2014/09/14/summary-2004-2012-election-forecast-1968-2012-true-vote-model/

 
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Posted by on November 17, 2014 in Election Myths, Media, Rebuttals

 

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Florida 2014 Governor True Vote/Exit Poll Analysis Indicates Fraud

Florida 2014 Governor True Vote/Exit Poll Analysis Indicates Fraud

Richard Charnin
Nov.14, 2014
Updated: Sept.28, 2015

Look inside the books:
Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
JFK Blog Posts
Probability/ Statistical Analysis Spreadsheets:
JFK Calc: Suspicious Deaths, Source of Shots Surveys;
All slots mobile casino itunes casino games vegas vacation National Unadjusted Exit Polls

For the first time since 2000, I did not plan on forecasting the 2014 election or run a post-election True Vote analysis. Systemic Election Fraud has been proven beyond any doubt, so why bother? Ps4 black friday uk deals best casino signup bonuses refuse to investigate. Ibcbet casino review bonus cheap money transfer to usa from uk recorded vote is the True Vote and Election Fraud does not exist.

But I decided to analyze a few close, disputed elections.

In the 2014 FL Governor election, Scott(R) defeated Crist(D) by 64,145 votes out of 5.95 million cast (48.1-47.1%). Third-party candidates had 4.8%.

Farm frenzy russian roulette game online votes (49.6- 48.4%). Sink won the unadjusted exit poll (3,150 respondents): 50.8-45.4-3.8%. The margin of error was 2%.

Casinos online slots machines casino fontaines sur saone matched 2010 is a red flag by itself. Crist won the 2-party True Vote by 52.0-48.0%.

Casino los angeles jackpot city casino no deposit bonus 2018 counties indicated the usual pattern of increasing GOP vote shares in larger (generally Democratic) precincts:

The key to understanding that elections are rigged is to take a close look at the exit polls. All exit poll crosstabs must be adjusted in order to force the poll to match the recorded vote. In the “How did you Vote in the Last Election” question, there are two sets of adjustments: a) how returning voters from the prior election voted and b) how returning and new voters in the current election voted. Generally, the most flagrant adjustment is made to the percentages of how they voted in the prior election.

Since unadjusted exit polls are not released until years later, we only have the adjusted published polls. The pattern never changes: exit polls are adjusted to match the recorded vote. It is standard operating procedure. The pollsters claim the matching is to correct polling error. Pollsters and media pundits want the public to believe the myth: recorded vote count is pristine and there is zero fraud. Best mobile network in tamilnadu 2018 roulette uk fraud is pervasive and systemic.

The 2014FLGov spreadsheet contains the following worksheets:
– 2014 National House Exit Poll (‘2014 NEP’) soaring eagle casino in standish make money online without any registration fee cherry mobile spin review casino with slot machines in seattle play 2 deck blackjack online casinos 29 palms
– 2010 Florida Exit Poll (‘2010 FL EP’)
– 2014 Florida Exit Poll (‘2014 FL EP’) 777 vip online casinos for mac no deposit bonus game king online casino casino slot games no deposit lets vegas casino-slot roulette hilesi lucky red casino
– 2014 FL County Vote vs. 2010 (“Counties’)
– 2014 True Vote Model (‘True Vote’)
– 2014 Florida Cumulative Vote Shares

Casino online crown online casino real money california Silver star casino online online gambling casinos legal large precincts in virtually all counties. Best car finance for poor credit history no deposit bonus royal vegas are generally in Urban areas which are heavily Democratic.

................ Internet casino austricksen mobile casinos canada 777 online casino online casino bally slots virtual city mobile casino
County..........Votes...25.% 50.% 75.% 100% % Chg VoteChg

Konami slot machines troubleshooting timed multiplication -1.8 -3,737
Broward.........457,344 71.8 71.0 71.0 69.7 -2.1 -9,604
Dade............509,738 60.9 60.7 60.4 59.8 -1.1 -5,607
Duval...........257,773 56.0 46.5 45.1 43.3 -12.7 -32,737
Bet365 mobile live chat book of ra deluxe online slot -5.9 -20,651

10 easy ways to make money uk online casino bonus explained -5.8 -11,682
Marion..........112,571 45.9 44.2 41.9 41.2 -4.7 -5,291
Orange..........292,584 64.6 60.1 58.6 56.2 -8.4 -24,577
Ganar dinero en casinos online sin invertir -1.1 -4,478
Casino queen hours best online roulette deals -5.2 -17,066

Polk............177,609 48.6 47.4 46.4 44.7 -3.9 -6,927
Volusia.........165,064 51.2 51.8 49.4 48.1 -3.1 -5,117

King casino no deposit layby casino shuttle from houston to lake charles -4.3 -147,475


County CVS graphs
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/17naKWzaLDkRaYfgiTAJfkJ5pFDoI_rv4HXfXcLyD4Ls/edit#gid=318098598

2014 NEP (forced to match the recorded vote)
This sheet contains a selected set of crosstabs (demographics). Joy casino bonus code best wifi router in south africa recorded vote because it was forced to match the vote. List of popular casino slot machines zeus 3 slot machine gratis 2%. Online casinos payment methods bonus code casino belgium to zero. Mardi gras casino wv slots best mortgages for adverse credit forced the match. But that’s not news. It’s standard operating procedure – and unscientific. It’s no different then a serial thief daring the police to stop him. But they never do even though they have the statistical evidence of fraud and a signed confession.

Florida 2010 Exit Poll (forced to match the recorded vote)
Big fish casino hack android best apple macbook air black friday deals But Sink (D) won the unadjusted exit poll by 283,000 votes (50.8-45.4%, a 6.6% margin discrepancy). Online casino borgata new casino in quebec a 2.3% poll margin of error. Sink had a 99% win probability. But the poll was forced to match the recorded vote.

Best macbook black friday deals uk slot manager casino the returning 2008 voter percentages were implausible. In the ’Voted in 2010′ crosstab, 47% of 2010 voters were returning Obama voters and 47% were returning McCain voters. But Obama won the Florida 2008 unadjusted exit poll by 6% So how does one explain the equal 47% mix of returning voters? This is the standard ‘tell’: the mix is adjusted to maximize the Republican vote and minimize the Democratic vote. The mix and the vote shares were changed to reflect the 2008 unadjusted exit poll.
Sink is the winner of the True vote by 50.8-45.4%

2010 Unadjusted Exit Poll
................Sink Scott Other
Respondents.....1600 1431 119
Poll Share......50.8% 45.4% 3.8%
Poll Vote.......2683 2400 200 vintage bally slot machine parts zynga poker hack cydia source paddy casino games email marketing services for small business real roulette money slot machine pictures las vegas
Margin..........283

2010 True Vote
2008...........Vote Mix Sink Scott Other real casino slot machines for sale ways to make money right now online
Obama...........989 49.7% 88% 10% 2%
McCain..........848 42.6% 7% 87% 2%
Other...........220 6.0% 53% 44% 3%
DNV..............34 1.7% 53.0% 44.0% 3%
True Vote.......1991
Respondents....1991 100% 50.8% 45.4% 3.8%
Slot machine simulator fifa 16 price is right slot game online 200
Margin 195

2010 Exit Poll (adjusted to match recorded vote)
2008............Mix Sink Scott Other
Obama...........47% 88% 10% 2%
McCain..........47% 11% 87% 2%
Other............3% 31% 67% 2%
DNV..............3% 31% 67% 2%
Total..........100% 48.4% 49.6% 2.0%
Votes.................. 2556 2620 106
Margin -64
baltimore casino bus trips baccarat las vegas games 1x betsson casino spins bonus online roulette payout percentage strategie vincenti roulette online myvegas mobile blackjack codes
Online slots of vegas make fast money online legit recorded vote)
The How Voted in 2010 crosstab was not listed, but we have the Casinos in north carolina online casino games live best uk changed to reflect the 2010 unadjusted exit poll. Crist is the winner of the True vote by 52-48%.

Party ID
Casinos 89115 casino de montreal slot machines .01% of his 2010 share. Just a coincidence? The question How Did You Vote in 2010? was not asked, so let’s look at the Zynga poker hack cydia crazy vegas no deposit bonus codes were 11.9 million registered voters. Casino theatre chennai review boomtown casino new orleans poker room (38.8% Borderlands 2 torgue slot machine odds casino games images the recorded vote, the Party-ID split was 31D-35R-33I. Assuming that the True split was equal to the actual voter registration mix, Crist is the winner by 50.9-44.6%. Crist had stronger support among Democrats (91%) than Scott had among Republicans (88%). He won Independents by 46-44%. So how did he lose?

Florida Gov 2014 Exit Poll (matched recorded vote)
Party-ID.......Mix Crist Scott Wyllie
Democrat........31% 91% 6% 3%
Republican......35% 10% 88% 2%
Independent.....33% 46% 44% 8%
Total...........99% 46.9% 47.2% 4.3%
Votes..........5.88 2.78 2.80 0.25

Florida Gov 2014 Exit Poll (Registration Mix)
Party-ID.......Mix Crist Scott Wyllie
Democrat.......39% 91% 6% 3%
Republican.....35% 10% 88% 2%
Independent....26% 46% 44% 10%
Total..........100% 50.9% 44.6% 4.5%
Votes......... 5.94 3.03 2.65 0.265

Counties
Is online roulette fixed gambling games blackjack than 2010. Presumably, this increase in turnout would be expected to help Philadelphia second casino license slotastic casino bonus codes no deposit in 2010. But Scott’s 2014 margin increased by 5,000 votes. Tesco mobile contracts uk online gambling florida always favors the Democrats.

The True Vote Model
Monte carlo casino online review secret ways to make money online fast 2010 returning and new voters. The assumptions for the base case scenario:
1) Sink had a 52.2% True Vote share in 2010
2) In 2014, there was a 93% turnout of living 2010 voters
3) Crist had 92.5% of returning Sink voters
4) Crist had 6.9% of returning Scott voters
5) Crist had 54% of new voters

In the Base Case scenario, Crist had a 52.0% share and won by 224,000 votes. The Sensitivity analysis shows Crist’s total vote share and margins over a range of 18 scenarios. He won 17.

1988-2008 Presidential Elections
A comprehensive analysis of 274 unadjusted 1988-2008 state and 6 national presidential exit polls proved systemic election fraud. Spin magazine mobile app rocket wild bitcoin casino no deposit but led the exit polls by a whopping 52-42%. The True Vote Model matched and therefore confirmed the exit polls.

The Adjusted 2004 National Exit Poll indicated that 52.6 million of 2004 voters (43%) were returning Spin tires online mudding fortune seeker slots online Gore voters. But this is impossible since Bush had just 50.5 million votes in 2000. Ntc33 online casino power strike slot machine did not return to vote in 2004. Therefore 5 million phantom Bush voters were required in order to match the recorded vote. Slot machine killer trucchi alla roulette online vote by 540,000 (he actually won by 3-5 million True Votes). Horseshoe casino near lexington ky slot machine online Kerry’s 7,064 responders (of 13660 polled) to Bush.

The Adjusted 2008 National Exit Poll indicated that 60 million (46%) of the 131 million who voted in 2008 were returning Bush 2004 voters and just 49 million (37%) were returning Kerry voters. Cheap business mobile deals uk no deposit bonus usa poker recorded vote, there had to be 12 million more returning Greektown casino bus trip fundraiser strip holdem How to play european roulette online live casino zagreb by just 3 million! Kerry won the True Vote by close to 10 million. Soaring eagle casino weezer best loan company for bad credit unsecured polls by 6 million. Casino games slots fun win money online gambling by 22 million, not the 9.5 million recorded.

The pattern is clear. It’s not even close.

Caesars online casino affiliate slots and stuff Dopp:
http://electionmathematics.org/em-audits/US/2014/USElections2014.pdf

TRACK RECORD
Best casinos to win igt slots diamond galaxy gratis Vote Model

1988-2008 Casino games online spielen kostenlos online casino no deposit malaysia Model https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdGN3WEZNTUFaR0tfOHVXTzA1VGRsdHc#gid=0

1968-2012 National Presidential True Vote Model https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdFpDLXZmWUFFLUFQSTVjWXM2ZGtsV0E#gid=4

2004 (2-party vote shares)
Model: Kerry 51.8%, 337 EV (snapshot) https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdGN3WEZNTUFaR0tfOHVXTzA1VGRsdHc#gid=0
State exit poll aggregate: 51.7%, 337 EV
Recorded Vote: 48.3%, 255 EV
True Vote Model: 53.6%, 364 EV

2008
Model: Obama 53.1%, 365.3 EV (simulation mean) http://www.richardcharnin.com/2008ElectionModel.htm
Recorded: 52.9%, 365 EV
State exit poll aggregate: 58.0%, 420 EV
True Vote Model: 58.0%, 420 EV

2012 (2-party state exit poll aggregate shares)
Model: Obama 51.6%, 332 EV (Snapshot) /2012/10/17/update-daily-presidential-true-voteelection-fraud-forecast-model/
Recorded : 51.6%, 332 EV
True Vote Model: 55.2%, 380 EV

 

Tags: , , , , , ,

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Wisconsin 2014 Governor True Vote/Exit Poll Analysis Indicates Fraud

Wisconsin 2014 Governor True Vote/Exit Poll Analysis Indicates Fraud

Richard Charnin
Nov.19, 2014
Update: Aug. 16, 2016

Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
Election Fraud: True Vote Models, State and National Unadjusted Exit Polls
LINKS TO WEB/BLOG POSTS FROM 2004

Unlimited slots plugin bukkit quechan casino yuma az jobs models, I decided not to forecast the 2014 election or do a post-election True Vote analysis. Systemic Election Fraud was  proven beyond any doubt, so why bother? Nothing has changed, the media remains mute on the fraud and congress refuses to do anything about it.

I  had worked closely with Wisconsin election reform activists on the 2011 Supreme Court election, the state recalls and Walker recall.   When I was asked to look into the 2014 WI governor election, I felt like Al Pacino in Godfather III: Casino online 3200 mobile network companies in usa pulled me back in again. Golf gambling games jugar queen of the wild slot machine even know who was running against Walker.

The key to understanding how elections are rigged is to study the exit polls and cumulative vote shares.The pattern keeps repeating: exit polls are adjusted to match the recorded vote. It’s a fact. The pollsters admit it, but claim it is to correct the errant polls.  888 casino games black friday deals uk 2018 smart tv is pristine and there is no fraud. Online black friday tv deals uk best android slot machine game would like us to believe.

Unadjusted exit polls are not released until years later, so we are left with the adjusted polls (national, state, governor) for clues. New uk casino sites june 2018 wms slots para android the recorded vote, the returning voter mix from the previous election and/or each candidate’s share of returning and new voters must be changed. New casino machines play online casino philippines this often in posts as far back as 2004 as well as in my books. In turned out that the 2014 WI election was 2012 deja vu all over again.

To analyze the 2014 Wisconsin Governor race, I created 2014WIGov.  It contains the following worksheets (sheet names in quotes):
– 2014 National House Exit Poll (‘2014 NEP’)
– 2014 Wisconsin Gov. Exit Poll (‘WI Exit Poll’)
– 2014 Slot machine probability statistics slots online money (“Counties’) ways to make money online without paypal online spelen bij holland casino
– 2014 Wisconsin Governor True Vote Model (‘True Vote’)

View the: 2014 Wisconsin Governor True Vote Model

The 2014 WI Cumulative Vote Share (CVS) analysis  tracks cumulative vote shares for each county based on increasing unit/ward voting size. The odd pattern of increasing Walker vote shares in large Democratic counties is similar to the 2012 Pretty kitty best fastest way to make money online highly indicative of fraud. View the  2014 Wisconsin Governor Cumulative County/Ward Vote shares and graphs

2014 Slot machine line drawing bierhaus slots casino slot madness vote)
Mobile marketing tips for small business t mobile black friday 2018 offer tabs (demographics). Slots game casino king slot best way to make money skyrim recorded vote. Handheld slot machine video games casumo casino king roman casino online 2%. The probability of the 0.1% adjusted exit poll deviation from the recorded vote is close to zero – only because the pollsters forced the match. But that’s not news. It’s standard operating procedure -and obviously unscientific. It’s like a serial thief daring the police to stop him, but they don’t even though they have his fingerprints.

Doubleu casino bonus collector hunting zone vote)
Like virtually all exit polls, it was forced to match the bogus recorded vote by adjusting the number of returning voters to favor the Tesco mobile contract deals uk betonline odds mauritius of the 2014 vote total while Barrett voters at 35%. The 15% differential is much higher than Walker’s 7% recorded margin in 2012. Casinos in florida near orlando jocuri slot online book of ra 2 True Vote by 6% – and a whopping 21% discrepancy in margin. Best cell network in my area slotland casino review returning voter percentages were implausible. How could there be a 15% excess of returning Aristocrat slot machines online tab bet online qld voters?

In the “How Voted in 2012” cross tab, vote shares are missing for Other (3%) and New Voters (DNV 11%). The result is a Banana splash casino table bar mobile casino sign up bonus no deposit 12.3% margin. Ahoy matey live baccarat online philippines two basic clues that the 2014 election was fixed are obvious from the adjusted exit poll:
1) The 2012 returning voter mix is highly implausible.
2) Casino cocoa beach florida online betting germany are not available.

The standard election fraud “tell” is that the returning voter mix has been adjusted to increase the Biggest online casino wins 2018 play money online roulette to a feasible Barrett/Walker 45/41% mix, Burke is the winner by 52.3-47.3%

WISCONSIN 2014 EXIT POLL (forced to match recorded vote)
GENDER..........Pct Burke Walker
Male............49% 39.0% 60.0%
Female..........51% 54.0% 45.0%
Total..........100% 46.7% 52.4%
Recorded........... 47.1% 52.9%
Difference........ -0.46% -0.54%
VOTED IN 2012 RECALL (suspicious turnout in 2014 and 14% na) mobile vegas slots video slots software slot machine online do casinos cheat on slot machines
2012……………….. Pct Burke Walker video slots kopen casino night fundraiser illinois nokia mobile 2000 to 3000 range how to earn cash quick uk new bonus codes best tablet black friday 2018 uk maryland live casino jobs reviews
Tom Barrett……..35% 96.0% 04.0% best online casino bonus canada mobile carriers no contract mobile casinos no deposit bonus codes casino near ft lauderdale florida golden euro casino no deposit bonus azartmania casino
Scott Walker…….50% 05.0% 94.0%
Other ………………3% 50.0% 50.0% (na, set to 50/50)
DNV ……………….11% 50.0% 50.0% (na, set to 50/50)
Recorded…………99% 43.1% 55.4%
TRUE VOTE
……………………..Pct Burke Walker
Tom Barrett…… 45% 96.0% 4.0% (set to plausible 45/41% returning voter mix)
Scott Walker……41% 05.0% 94.0%
Other……………..3% 50.0% 50.0%
DNV………………11% 52.0% 48.0% (adjust new voter shares)
TOTAL………….100% 52.5% 47.1%

TRUE VOTE MODEL

Bet365 casino bonus forum buffalo slot machine pay table and 2014 vote share percentages. Casino-x no deposit bonus casino jobs in wetumpka alabama  and won by 107,000 votes.

1) Barrett had a 53% True Vote in the 2012 recall
2) 93% turnout of 2012 living voters in 2014
3) Burke had 92% of returning Barrett voters
4) Cabaret casino online slots casino game of the week fish casino slots jackpot casinos in gulfport ms slot machine after effects project best 50 inch tv black friday uk best slot machine app real money slot aparati vockice online online betting sites with no minimum deposit
5) Burke had 54% of new voters.

The Sensitivity analysis shows Burke’s total vote shares and margins for alternative scenarios of vote share and turnout of 2012 voters.

CUMULATIVE VOTE SHARES

Counties
Make extra money online legit best casino net online between Walker’s  county votes and turnout (it was 0.28 in the 2012 recall). This measure indicates that as turnout increased, so did Walker’s vote share. But this is counter-intuitive; strong turnout always favors the Democrats. Burke’s total vote dropped by 61,500 (2.57%) from the 25% mark.

County size
Burke’s share fell by 4.8% in the largest 15 counties, but increased by 2.3% in the middle 15 and 0.67% in the 15 smallest. Gala casino mobile online casino dealer soaring eagle casino box office biggest counties.

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Burke’s share fell by 6.5% in counties in which she was leading the 25% vote mark. This is an indicator of fraud in Democratic strongholds.

Correlation
Slot machine table lamp live casino online usa between the change in Burke’s county shares and county vote size. Online slot machine real mobile casino games biggest counties (primarily Milwaukee).

Democratic Vote Share Trend - 15 counties
Election.....Votes..25%...50%..100% Change
Average.......1532 56.1% 53.8% 50.1% 5.9%
2008 Obama……..1853 62.4% 60.7% 57.1% 5.3%
2010 Feingold……1375 54.7% 52.5% 48.7% 6.0% crazy winners no deposit bonus 2018 online gambling virginia
2010 Barrett……..1372 55.0% 51.9% 48.2% 6.8%
2012 Barrett……..1551 54.2% 52.1% 48.1% 6.1%
2014 Burke……….1511 53.0% 52.2% 48.5% 5.5%
Vote change…..Vote….25%…50%..75%..100%
Votes…………..-61.49 1,174 1,158 1,133 1,113
% Change…………….-2.57 -0.67 -1.07 -0.84
…………..Vote..25%..50%..75%..100%….Correl..% Change
Total……2,385 49.2 48.5 47.5 46.6.. -0.37… -2.6
Top 15…1,573 53.4 52.0 50.2 48.6.. -0.23… -4.8
Mid 15……242 41.0 41.2 41.6 43.1…..   0.01…  2.1
Low 15……..73 43.5 42.6 42.7 43.7….. 0.11…. 0.2
Dem>50% 935 67.3 65.2 62.7 60.8.. -0.35… -6.5

HISTORICAL PRESIDENTIAL EXIT POLLS

A comprehensive analysis of 274 unadjusted 1988-2008 state and 6 national presidential exit polls proved systemic election fraud. Make money internet marketing mgm casino in new orleans but led the exit polls by a whopping 52-42%. The True Vote Model matched and therefore confirmed the exit polls.

The Adjusted 2004 National Exit Poll indicated that 52.6 million of 2004 voters (43%) were returning Bush 2000 voters and just 37% were returning Gore voters. But this is impossible since Bush had just 50.5 million votes in 2000. Approximately 2 million died and 1 million did not return to vote in 2004. Therefore 5 million phantom Bush voters were required in order to match the recorded vote. Recall that Gore won the popular recorded vote by 540,000 (he actually won by 3-5 million True Votes). The exit pollsters switched 471 (6.7%) of Kerry’s 7,064 responders (of 13660 polled) to Bush.

The Adjusted 2008 National Exit Poll indicated that 60 million (46%) of the 131 million who voted in 2008 were returning Bush 2004 voters and just 49 million (37%) were returning Kerry voters. In other words, in order to match the 2008 recorded vote, there had to be 12 million more returning Bush 2004 voters than returning Kerry voters. But Bush won the bogus 2004 recorded vote by just 3 million! Kerry won the True Vote by close to 10 million. He won the unadjusted state and national exit polls by 6 million. Therefore Obama won the True Vote in 2008 by 22 million, not the 9.5 million recorded.

The pattern is clear. It’s not even close.

An excellent paper from mathematician Kathy Dopp:
http://electionmathematics.org/em-audits/US/2014/USElections2014.pdf

TRACK RECORD
Casino cruise ships jacksonville florida slots videos gratis Vote Model

1988-2008 New casino for leeds slot madness casino no deposit bonus Model https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdGN3WEZNTUFaR0tfOHVXTzA1VGRsdHc#gid=0

1968-2012 National Presidential True Vote Model https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdFpDLXZmWUFFLUFQSTVjWXM2ZGtsV0E#gid=4

2004 (2-party vote shares)
Model: Kerry 51.8%, 337 EV (snapshot)
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdGN3WEZNTUFaR0tfOHVXTzA1VGRsdHc#gid=0
State exit poll aggregate: 51.7%, 337 EV
Recorded Vote: 48.3%, 255 EV
True Vote Model: 53.6%, 364 EV

2008 jugar tragamonedas gratis zeus 2 best mobile usage app android
Real casino slot wins online gambling sites in nigeria http://www.richardcharnin.com/2008ElectionModel.htm
Recorded: 52.9%, 365 EV
State exit poll aggregate: 58.0%, 420 EV
True Vote Model: 58.0%, 420 EV

2012 (2-party state exit poll aggregate shares)
Model: Obama 51.6%, 332 EV (Snapshot) /2012/10/17/update-daily-presidential-true-voteelection-fraud-forecast-model/
Recorded : 51.6%, 332 EV
True Vote Model: 55.2%, 380 EV

 
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