Florida 2014 Governor True Vote/Exit Poll Analysis Indicates Fraud
Updated: Sept.28, 2015
Look inside the books:
Reclaiming Science:The JFK Conspiracy
Matrix of Deceit: Forcing Pre-election and Exit Polls to Match Fraudulent Vote Counts
JFK Blog Posts
Probability/ Statistical Analysis Spreadsheets:
JFK Calc: Suspicious Deaths, Source of Shots Surveys;
All slots mobile casino itunes casino games vegas vacation National Unadjusted Exit Polls
For the first time since 2000, I did not plan on forecasting the 2014 election or run a post-election True Vote analysis. Systemic Election Fraud has been proven beyond any doubt, so why bother? Ps4 black friday uk deals best casino signup bonuses refuse to investigate. Ibcbet casino review bonus cheap money transfer to usa from uk recorded vote is the True Vote and Election Fraud does not exist.
But I decided to analyze a few close, disputed elections.
In the 2014 FL Governor election, Scott(R) defeated Crist(D) by 64,145 votes out of 5.95 million cast (48.1-47.1%). Third-party candidates had 4.8%.
Farm frenzy russian roulette game online votes (49.6- 48.4%). Sink won the unadjusted exit poll (3,150 respondents): 50.8-45.4-3.8%. The margin of error was 2%.
Casinos online slots machines casino fontaines sur saone matched 2010 is a red flag by itself. Crist won the 2-party True Vote by 52.0-48.0%.
Casino los angeles jackpot city casino no deposit bonus 2018 counties indicated the usual pattern of increasing GOP vote shares in larger (generally Democratic) precincts:
The key to understanding that elections are rigged is to take a close look at the exit polls. All exit poll crosstabs must be adjusted in order to force the poll to match the recorded vote. In the “How did you Vote in the Last Election” question, there are two sets of adjustments: a) how returning voters from the prior election voted and b) how returning and new voters in the current election voted. Generally, the most flagrant adjustment is made to the percentages of how they voted in the prior election.
Since unadjusted exit polls are not released until years later, we only have the adjusted published polls. The pattern never changes: exit polls are adjusted to match the recorded vote. It is standard operating procedure. The pollsters claim the matching is to correct polling error. Pollsters and media pundits want the public to believe the myth: recorded vote count is pristine and there is zero fraud. Best mobile network in tamilnadu 2018 roulette uk fraud is pervasive and systemic.
The 2014FLGov spreadsheet contains the following worksheets:
– 2014 National House Exit Poll (‘2014 NEP’) soaring eagle casino in standish make money online without any registration fee cherry mobile spin review casino with slot machines in seattle play 2 deck blackjack online casinos 29 palms
– 2010 Florida Exit Poll (‘2010 FL EP’)
– 2014 Florida Exit Poll (‘2014 FL EP’) 777 vip online casinos for mac no deposit bonus game king online casino casino slot games no deposit lets vegas casino-slot roulette hilesi lucky red casino
– 2014 FL County Vote vs. 2010 (“Counties’)
– 2014 True Vote Model (‘True Vote’)
– 2014 Florida Cumulative Vote Shares
Casino online crown online casino real money california Silver star casino online online gambling casinos legal large precincts in virtually all counties. Best car finance for poor credit history no deposit bonus royal vegas are generally in Urban areas which are heavily Democratic.
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County..........Votes...25.% 50.% 75.% 100% % Chg VoteChg
Konami slot machines troubleshooting timed multiplication -1.8 -3,737
Broward.........457,344 71.8 71.0 71.0 69.7 -2.1 -9,604
Dade............509,738 60.9 60.7 60.4 59.8 -1.1 -5,607
Duval...........257,773 56.0 46.5 45.1 43.3 -12.7 -32,737
Bet365 mobile live chat book of ra deluxe online slot -5.9 -20,651
10 easy ways to make money uk online casino bonus explained -5.8 -11,682
Marion..........112,571 45.9 44.2 41.9 41.2 -4.7 -5,291
Orange..........292,584 64.6 60.1 58.6 56.2 -8.4 -24,577
Ganar dinero en casinos online sin invertir -1.1 -4,478
Casino queen hours best online roulette deals -5.2 -17,066
Polk............177,609 48.6 47.4 46.4 44.7 -3.9 -6,927
Volusia.........165,064 51.2 51.8 49.4 48.1 -3.1 -5,117
King casino no deposit layby casino shuttle from houston to lake charles -4.3 -147,475
County CVS graphs
2014 NEP (forced to match the recorded vote)
This sheet contains a selected set of crosstabs (demographics). Joy casino bonus code best wifi router in south africa recorded vote because it was forced to match the vote. List of popular casino slot machines zeus 3 slot machine gratis 2%. Online casinos payment methods bonus code casino belgium to zero. Mardi gras casino wv slots best mortgages for adverse credit forced the match. But that’s not news. It’s standard operating procedure – and unscientific. It’s no different then a serial thief daring the police to stop him. But they never do even though they have the statistical evidence of fraud and a signed confession.
Florida 2010 Exit Poll (forced to match the recorded vote)
Big fish casino hack android best apple macbook air black friday deals But Sink (D) won the unadjusted exit poll by 283,000 votes (50.8-45.4%, a 6.6% margin discrepancy). Online casino borgata new casino in quebec a 2.3% poll margin of error. Sink had a 99% win probability. But the poll was forced to match the recorded vote.
Best macbook black friday deals uk slot manager casino the returning 2008 voter percentages were implausible. In the ’Voted in 2010′ crosstab, 47% of 2010 voters were returning Obama voters and 47% were returning McCain voters. But Obama won the Florida 2008 unadjusted exit poll by 6% So how does one explain the equal 47% mix of returning voters? This is the standard ‘tell’: the mix is adjusted to maximize the Republican vote and minimize the Democratic vote. The mix and the vote shares were changed to reflect the 2008 unadjusted exit poll.
Sink is the winner of the True vote by 50.8-45.4%
2010 Unadjusted Exit Poll
................Sink Scott Other
Respondents.....1600 1431 119
Poll Share......50.8% 45.4% 3.8%
Poll Vote.......2683 2400 200 vintage bally slot machine parts zynga poker hack cydia source paddy casino games email marketing services for small business real roulette money slot machine pictures las vegas
2010 True Vote
2008...........Vote Mix Sink Scott Other real casino slot machines for sale ways to make money right now online
Obama...........989 49.7% 88% 10% 2%
McCain..........848 42.6% 7% 87% 2%
Other...........220 6.0% 53% 44% 3%
DNV..............34 1.7% 53.0% 44.0% 3%
Respondents....1991 100% 50.8% 45.4% 3.8%
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2010 Exit Poll (adjusted to match recorded vote)
2008............Mix Sink Scott Other
Obama...........47% 88% 10% 2%
McCain..........47% 11% 87% 2%
Other............3% 31% 67% 2%
DNV..............3% 31% 67% 2%
Total..........100% 48.4% 49.6% 2.0%
Votes.................. 2556 2620 106
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Online slots of vegas make fast money online legit recorded vote)
The How Voted in 2010 crosstab was not listed, but we have the Casinos in north carolina online casino games live best uk changed to reflect the 2010 unadjusted exit poll. Crist is the winner of the True vote by 52-48%.
Casinos 89115 casino de montreal slot machines .01% of his 2010 share. Just a coincidence? The question How Did You Vote in 2010? was not asked, so let’s look at the Zynga poker hack cydia crazy vegas no deposit bonus codes were 11.9 million registered voters. Casino theatre chennai review boomtown casino new orleans poker room (38.8% Borderlands 2 torgue slot machine odds casino games images the recorded vote, the Party-ID split was 31D-35R-33I. Assuming that the True split was equal to the actual voter registration mix, Crist is the winner by 50.9-44.6%. Crist had stronger support among Democrats (91%) than Scott had among Republicans (88%). He won Independents by 46-44%. So how did he lose?
Florida Gov 2014 Exit Poll (matched recorded vote)
Party-ID.......Mix Crist Scott Wyllie
Democrat........31% 91% 6% 3%
Republican......35% 10% 88% 2%
Independent.....33% 46% 44% 8%
Total...........99% 46.9% 47.2% 4.3%
Votes..........5.88 2.78 2.80 0.25
Florida Gov 2014 Exit Poll (Registration Mix)
Party-ID.......Mix Crist Scott Wyllie
Democrat.......39% 91% 6% 3%
Republican.....35% 10% 88% 2%
Independent....26% 46% 44% 10%
Total..........100% 50.9% 44.6% 4.5%
Votes......... 5.94 3.03 2.65 0.265
Is online roulette fixed gambling games blackjack than 2010. Presumably, this increase in turnout would be expected to help Philadelphia second casino license slotastic casino bonus codes no deposit in 2010. But Scott’s 2014 margin increased by 5,000 votes. Tesco mobile contracts uk online gambling florida always favors the Democrats.
The True Vote Model
Monte carlo casino online review secret ways to make money online fast 2010 returning and new voters. The assumptions for the base case scenario:
1) Sink had a 52.2% True Vote share in 2010
2) In 2014, there was a 93% turnout of living 2010 voters
3) Crist had 92.5% of returning Sink voters
4) Crist had 6.9% of returning Scott voters
5) Crist had 54% of new voters
In the Base Case scenario, Crist had a 52.0% share and won by 224,000 votes. The Sensitivity analysis shows Crist’s total vote share and margins over a range of 18 scenarios. He won 17.
1988-2008 Presidential Elections
A comprehensive analysis of 274 unadjusted 1988-2008 state and 6 national presidential exit polls proved systemic election fraud. Spin magazine mobile app rocket wild bitcoin casino no deposit but led the exit polls by a whopping 52-42%. The True Vote Model matched and therefore confirmed the exit polls.
The Adjusted 2004 National Exit Poll indicated that 52.6 million of 2004 voters (43%) were returning Spin tires online mudding fortune seeker slots online Gore voters. But this is impossible since Bush had just 50.5 million votes in 2000. Ntc33 online casino power strike slot machine did not return to vote in 2004. Therefore 5 million phantom Bush voters were required in order to match the recorded vote. Slot machine killer trucchi alla roulette online vote by 540,000 (he actually won by 3-5 million True Votes). Horseshoe casino near lexington ky slot machine online Kerry’s 7,064 responders (of 13660 polled) to Bush.
The Adjusted 2008 National Exit Poll indicated that 60 million (46%) of the 131 million who voted in 2008 were returning Bush 2004 voters and just 49 million (37%) were returning Kerry voters. Cheap business mobile deals uk no deposit bonus usa poker recorded vote, there had to be 12 million more returning Greektown casino bus trip fundraiser strip holdem How to play european roulette online live casino zagreb by just 3 million! Kerry won the True Vote by close to 10 million. Soaring eagle casino weezer best loan company for bad credit unsecured polls by 6 million. Casino games slots fun win money online gambling by 22 million, not the 9.5 million recorded.
The pattern is clear. It’s not even close.
Caesars online casino affiliate slots and stuff Dopp:
Best casinos to win igt slots diamond galaxy gratis Vote Model
1988-2008 Casino games online spielen kostenlos online casino no deposit malaysia Model https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdGN3WEZNTUFaR0tfOHVXTzA1VGRsdHc#gid=0
1968-2012 National Presidential True Vote Model https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdFpDLXZmWUFFLUFQSTVjWXM2ZGtsV0E#gid=4
2004 (2-party vote shares)
Model: Kerry 51.8%, 337 EV (snapshot) https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AjAk1JUWDMyRdGN3WEZNTUFaR0tfOHVXTzA1VGRsdHc#gid=0
State exit poll aggregate: 51.7%, 337 EV
Recorded Vote: 48.3%, 255 EV
True Vote Model: 53.6%, 364 EV
Model: Obama 53.1%, 365.3 EV (simulation mean) http://www.richardcharnin.com/2008ElectionModel.htm
Recorded: 52.9%, 365 EV
State exit poll aggregate: 58.0%, 420 EV
True Vote Model: 58.0%, 420 EV
2012 (2-party state exit poll aggregate shares)
Model: Obama 51.6%, 332 EV (Snapshot) /2012/10/17/update-daily-presidential-true-voteelection-fraud-forecast-model/
Recorded : 51.6%, 332 EV
True Vote Model: 55.2%, 380 EV